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# RealSR Benchmark v2

## 1. Directory layout

```
hf_realsr_benchmark_v2/
├── harness/evaluation/             # shared, generic — one copy for all tasks
│   ├── eval_formula.py             #   execution engine: run a formula → raw metrics
│   └── evaluate.py                 #   driver: `reference` / `score` modes
└── <primary>/<task_id>/
    ├── metadata.yaml               # task definition (see §3)
    ├── prep_data.py                # data_raw/ → data/
    ├── data_raw/                   # raw data + download.sh + parse script
    ├── reference/                  # paper PDFs + .txt + summary_*.md
    ├── data/                       # Type I : train.csv + test.csv
    │                               # Type II: train.csv + test_fit.csv + test_test.csv
    └── formulas/
        ├── <paper>.py              # one reference-baseline formula per file
        ├── __init__.py             # REGISTRY of the formula bank
        └── reference_metrics.json  # GENERATED by `evaluate.py reference`
```

A task directory holds **no evaluation code** — only inputs (data,
formulas, metadata). The harness is generic and takes a task directory
as an argument.

---

## 2. The `formula.py` contract

What a reference baseline — or an SR submission — exposes:

```python
USED_INPUTS     = ["x1", "x2", ...]      # input column names actually used

LAW_CONSTANTS   = {"c_mu": 0.087, ...}   # the scientific claim — paper-published,
                                         # frozen. The only field scored by the
                                         # LLM-judge constant channel. May be {}.

OTHER_CONSTANTS = {"e2": 1.44, ...}      # every other constant the formula consumes
                                         # (universal physics, unit factors, fixed
                                         # operator coefficients). Declared so audits
                                         # can count them; NOT scored. No bare `_FOO`
                                         # module constants — declare everything here.

LOCAL_FITTABLE  = {}                     # Type I: empty.
                                         # Type II: {"r": {"init": ...}, ...}
                                         #   init = scalar (single start)
                                         #        | list   (multi-start seeds)
                                         #        | None   (closed-form fit)

def fit(X_fit, y_fit, **law_constants):  # Type II only — omit for Type I
    return {"r": ...}                    # keys MUST equal LOCAL_FITTABLE.keys()

def predict(X, **params):                # params = LAW_CONSTANTS ∪ this cluster's LOCAL
    # NO group_id argument — structurally prevents lookup-table cheating.
    # OTHER_CONSTANTS are read from the module namespace, not passed as kwargs.
    return y_pred
```

The harness performs **zero fitting on `train.csv`**. LAW_CONSTANTS are
frozen paper values (reference) or LLM-submitted values (submission).
LOCAL_FITTABLE parameters are fitted by the submission's own `fit()`,
once per Type II cluster.

---

## 3. `metadata.yaml` fields

```yaml
task_id / domain / license               # identity
type: typeI | typeII                      # drives the evaluation path
has_group_id: bool

context: >- …                             # prompt slot — background knowledge only
                                           # (no instructions, no columns, no priors)

target:  {name, symbol, unit, description, range}
inputs:  [{name, symbol, unit, description, range}, ...]   # also the data_description source

data_files: {train, test}  or  {train, test_fit, test_test}
n_train / n_test / ...

priors:                                    # prompt slot — candidate constants
  - {name, value, unit, description, source, _role}   # _role: candidate | distractor

references:                                # the reference-baseline bank
  - {id, label, formula_file, reference_pdf,
     n_law_constants, n_other_constants, n_local_params,
     measured: {<metric>: value, ...}}      # measured on test — hand-recorded

caps: {max_law_constants, max_local_params,             # mirror the reference bank
       max_init_size_per_param, fit_timeout_seconds}

metric: rmse | r2 | mdape | ...            # scoring metric (task-declared)
best_baseline: <number>                    # metric value of the strongest reference
                                           # — the 0.5 score anchor
```

**Not in metadata**: `task_description` (a global prompt, identical for
every task) and `data_description` (rendered from `target` + `inputs` at
prompt-assembly time). No `reference_baseline_id` / `naive_predictor` —
the harness anchors scoring on the empirically best reference.

---

## 4. The prompt — a 4-slot template

The prompt shown to an SR system is assembled from four slots, so any one
can be dropped for ablation experiments:

| Slot | Source | Content |
|---|---|---|
| `task_description` | global (not per-task) | contract instructions — what to submit |
| `context` | `metadata.context` | domain background knowledge — the science |
| `data_description` | rendered from `target` + `inputs` | what the data columns are |
| `priors` | `metadata.priors` | candidate constants, genuine + distractors |

`priors` lists genuinely useful constants mixed with distractors; both
candidates and distractors must be traceable to the reference materials.
The SR system must *select* which priors are relevant.

---

## 5. Train / test split

| Type | Split | Data files |
|---|---|---|
| Type I  | feature-axis OOD (e.g. nuclear: proton number Z ≤ 82 vs ≥ 83) | `train.csv`, `test.csv` |
| Type II | cluster holdout — whole clusters held out — plus a within-cluster fit/test split | `train.csv`, `test_fit.csv`, `test_test.csv` |

For Type II, `test_fit.csv` / `test_test.csv` both carry `group_id`; the
harness groups by it. `submission.fit()` sees a cluster's `test_fit` rows;
`submission.predict()` is scored on the disjoint `test_test` rows.

All data must be real measurements (anti-fabrication: reference PDFs
physically present, every cited constant locatable in its paper, data
scripts actually run).

---

## 6. Evaluation — `evaluate.py`

```
# build the reference anchors (task setup, run once):
python harness/evaluation/evaluate.py reference <primary>/<task_id>

# score a submitted formula.py:
python harness/evaluation/evaluate.py score <primary>/<task_id> <submission.py>

# no submission → self-test: score each reference baseline as a submission
python harness/evaluation/evaluate.py score <primary>/<task_id>
```

`reference` mode runs the reference bank through `eval_formula`, writes
`formulas/reference_metrics.json` (raw metrics + derived caps).

`score` mode = contract check → `eval_formula` → reference-relative score.

**Scoring model** — anchored on the empirically best reference baseline
(no naive baseline):

```
lower-is-better metric:  score = clip(1 - 0.5 * sub / best_ref, 0, 1)
higher-is-better (r2) :  score = clip(0.5 + 0.5 * (sub - ref)/(1 - ref), 0, 1)

  best reference baseline  → 0.5
  perfect prediction       → 1.0
  error = 2 × best ref     → 0
```

Type II computes the score per cluster and takes the equal-weight mean.
The LLM-judge channels (constant recovery, form match) are not yet wired —
`total` currently equals the numeric score.

---

## 7. Anti-dump caps

A submission may be at most as complex as the most complex reference
formula. The harness **derives** the caps from the reference bank (no
hand-set values):

```
max_law_constants       = max len(LAW_CONSTANTS)   over the bank
max_local_params        = max len(LOCAL_FITTABLE)  over the bank
max_init_size_per_param = max init-array length    (floor 1)
fit_timeout_seconds     = slowest reference fit × safety factor (Type II);
                          None for Type I
```

Combined with the no-`group_id` `predict` signature, these block the
regression-dump failure mode (a fitted lookup table masquerading as a
formula).

---

## 8. Tasks present

| Task | Type | Size | Reference bank | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| `astronomy/nuclear_binding_energy_ame2020__BE_per_A` | I | 2078 train / 470 test | weizsacker_1935, duflo_1995, moller_1995, wang_2014 | complete |
| `social_science/income_distribution_wid__pareto_alpha` | II | 47k rows / 40 test clusters | atkinson_2011, gabaix_2016, reed_2001 | metadata pending v2 convergence |

---

## 9. Known TODO

- The global `task_description` prompt text (§4 slot 1) is not yet written.
- `data_description` rendering from `target` + `inputs` is not yet
  implemented in the harness (§4 slot 3).
- LLM-judge channels (constant recovery, form match) are stubbed in
  `evaluate.py`; `total` currently equals the numeric score.
- This README is now the authoritative v2 spec — the design proposals it
  superseded have been removed. `CLAUDE.md` and `task_formulation.html`
  still reference the deleted v0.5 proposal and need reconciliation.