date,p_hat,y_true,r_t_plus_1,position,ret_strategy,equity
2021-02-18,0.5452831759548746,1,0.0433923872800945,1,0.0432923872800945,1.0432923872800945
2021-02-19,0.6749424014507356,1,0.0163119867588161,1,0.0163119867588161,1.0603105588869812
2021-02-22,0.45998229417798003,1,0.0090150258959236,-1,-0.009215025895923601,1.0505397696291165
2021-02-23,0.5374045321287158,1,0.0273828037647887,1,0.0271828037647887,1.0790963860340512
2021-02-24,0.6919094949067605,0,-0.0072447150241754,1,-0.0072447150241754,1.071278640233617
2021-02-25,0.6655353577434125,0,-0.0409343889368141,1,-0.0409343889368141,1.0274265037145927
2021-02-26,0.5819378796633115,1,0.0049966589851342,1,0.0049966589851342,1.0325602035859431
2021-03-01,0.7261596834447487,1,0.0261562601778417,1,0.0261562601778417,1.0595681169202222
2021-03-02,0.5953749261891396,0,-0.0191301864527364,1,-0.0191301864527364,1.0392983812841636
2021-03-03,0.6215796323414616,0,-0.0402738991379401,1,-0.0402738991379401,0.9974417831021009
2021-03-04,0.6591826263318266,1,0.0240885747169226,1,0.0240885747169226,1.0214687340201363
2021-03-05,0.6414046010950485,1,0.0042847589578909,1,0.0042847589578909,1.0258454813284346
2021-03-08,0.6097837735348987,0,-0.0208610910093967,1,-0.0208610910093967,1.0044452253808638
2021-03-09,0.5855536457551126,1,0.0059694245163575,1,0.0059694245163575,1.0104411853345905
2021-03-10,0.5258945137636479,1,0.0260676817493685,1,0.0260676817493685,1.0367810445803474
2021-03-11,0.5649762785766401,1,0.0002415750706274,1,0.0002415750706274,1.0370315050344172
2021-03-12,0.6940407859802923,1,0.0001207656543948,1,0.0001207656543948,1.0371567428227508
2021-03-15,0.6776973567817653,0,-0.0168050715665686,1,-0.0168050715665686,1.0197272495338654
2021-03-16,0.6572396296339301,1,0.0115989335288946,1,0.0115989335288946,1.0315549981188112
2021-03-17,0.683897087890957,0,-0.0026741233876319,1,-0.0026741233876319,1.0287964927727131
2021-03-18,0.6758681418837309,1,0.0012163971819754,1,0.0012163971819754,1.030047917927348
2021-03-19,0.6053282273324744,1,0.0064223183484362,1,0.0064223183484362,1.0366632135704215
2021-03-22,0.4887802622313821,0,-0.0146005757100053,-1,0.0144005757100053,1.0515917606632197
2021-03-23,0.5916193492026101,0,-0.0038067216105373,1,-0.0040067216105373,1.0473783252303075
2021-03-24,0.6488133614355417,0,-0.0213885298444,1,-0.0213885298444,1.0249764426627415
2021-03-25,0.6251580818849071,1,0.0223722977545328,1,0.0223722977545328,1.0479075208293742
2021-03-26,0.6855118041458762,0,-0.0082690998798891,1,-0.0082690998798891,1.0392422688747491
2021-03-29,0.6453618042298125,0,-0.0139775144709719,1,-0.0139775144709719,1.0247162450227065
2021-03-30,0.7273380908671281,1,0.0042638639969279,1,0.0042638639969279,1.029085495726926
2021-03-31,0.6799880438090289,0,-0.0012521914984537,1,-0.0012521914984537,1.0277968836179947
2021-04-01,0.5963218858224012,1,0.0361752043692547,1,0.0361752043692547,1.0649776459329587
2021-04-05,0.5888579599215051,0,-0.0050884529468375,1,-0.0050884529468375,1.059558557292195
2021-04-06,0.6558279969761782,0,-0.0151759123538686,1,-0.0151759123538686,1.0434787894929372
2021-04-07,0.5987170124635197,1,0.0098172343256308,1,0.0098172343256308,1.053722865283215
2021-04-08,0.6705466701698809,0,-0.0133999177550472,1,-0.0133999177550472,1.0396030655518071
2021-04-09,0.7964250257712434,0,-0.0053359933024224,1,-0.0053359933024224,1.0340557505568448
2021-04-12,0.6629492727890687,1,0.0032298164723034,1,0.0032298164723034,1.0373955608532734
2021-04-13,0.5469542895674734,1,0.0237756297324063,1,0.0237756297324063,1.0620602935941628
2021-04-14,0.5679919342214091,1,0.0215654697481981,1,0.0215654697481981,1.0849641227264302
2021-04-15,0.6192440388878813,0,-0.0120433101724783,1,-0.0120433101724783,1.071897563270425
2021-04-16,0.599351354178302,1,0.0166551553950415,1,0.0166551553950415,1.0897501837542605
2021-04-19,0.6472083636590517,0,-0.0059164768492279,1,-0.0059164768492279,1.0833027020206365
2021-04-20,0.5797000829770571,1,0.0155443544378002,1,0.0155443544378002,1.100141943184272
2021-04-21,0.6058993102432059,0,-0.0014031807727918,1,-0.0014031807727918,1.098598245162254
2021-04-22,0.5374937199345287,1,0.0146361074754572,1,0.0146361074754572,1.1146774471507976
2021-04-23,0.5637797953835071,1,0.02392731217262,1,0.02392731217262,1.1413486824005539
2021-04-26,0.6160667279583827,1,0.0105275919104301,1,0.0105275919104301,1.153364335556374
2021-04-27,0.6382724576160586,1,0.0022256853167286,1,0.0022256853167286,1.1559313616228604
2021-04-28,0.584047273298945,0,-0.0025599657811485,1,-0.0025599657811485,1.1529722168917496
2021-04-29,0.653092609290286,0,-0.0041320065490211,1,-0.0041320065490211,1.1482081281407135
2021-04-30,0.6250910816303541,1,0.0134498776259119,1,0.0134498776259119,1.1636513869532836
2021-05-03,0.560545379471029,0,-0.0015469616344685,1,-0.0015469616344685,1.1618512629017708
2021-05-04,0.6262803750774646,1,0.0005527610554763,1,0.0005527610554763,1.1624934890321588
2021-05-05,0.7023214478038711,1,0.0172030758712218,1,0.0172030758712218,1.1824919527237803
2021-05-06,0.6602326797392966,1,0.0312291445757744,1,0.0312291445757744,1.219420164875081
2021-05-07,0.6519102457701456,0,-0.0068677960257457,1,-0.0068677960257457,1.2110454359130378
2021-05-10,0.6532464970725548,1,0.0097067653895464,1,0.0097067653895464,1.2228007698355265
2021-05-11,0.7029931373526153,0,-0.0054748504829664,1,-0.0054748504829664,1.2161061184502209
2021-05-12,0.6168211522011466,0,-0.0096537109978358,1,-0.0096537109978358,1.2043661814400024
2021-05-13,0.6243531250495502,0,-0.007704693009461,1,-0.007704693009461,1.1950869097410304
2021-05-14,0.5550283412220615,1,0.0121718350902664,1,0.0121718350902664,1.2096333105249344
2021-05-17,0.6622297344444236,1,0.0029670467882998,1,0.0029670467882998,1.213222349153948
2021-05-18,0.6614151481911403,0,-0.0320388616102766,1,-0.0320388616102766,1.17435208620691
2021-05-19,0.7190123625356505,0,-0.001859041488988,1,-0.001859041488988,1.1721689169559717
2021-05-20,0.5941763869579259,0,-0.0192292365497031,1,-0.0192292365497031,1.149629003575616
2021-05-21,0.5935572403433174,1,0.0098818324810825,1,0.0098818324810825,1.160989444804344
2021-05-24,0.6250788494133221,0,-0.004207269270761,1,-0.004207269270761,1.156104849589541
2021-05-25,0.6512440891209662,1,0.0050907591128779,1,0.0050907591128779,1.1619903008880312
2021-05-26,0.6071684946618499,1,0.0290474596989787,1,0.0290474596989787,1.1957431673236805
2021-05-27,0.6412017145424361,1,0.0031047613399237,1,0.0031047613399237,1.199455664482065
2021-05-28,0.5531572550835311,0,-0.0051441545224795,1,-0.0051441545224795,1.193285479201106
2021-06-01,0.6135107071594564,0,-0.0134128565721884,1,-0.0134128565721884,1.1772801122189065
2021-06-02,0.5325214618365092,0,-0.0283855824243068,1,-0.0283855824243068,1.1438623305570197
2021-06-03,0.6494052437530033,1,0.014679978926944,1,0.014679978926944,1.1606542054649218
2021-06-04,0.551993634010725,0,-0.0005521506407188,1,-0.0005521506407188,1.1600133495017213
2021-06-07,0.5170992108375178,1,0.0064960316515776,1,0.0064960316515776,1.167548832936337
2021-06-08,0.5950452565055099,0,-0.0055023798999345,1,-0.0055023798999345,1.1611245357057962
2021-06-09,0.6636741665252025,0,-0.0102041701742416,1,-0.0102041701742416,1.149276223349967
2021-06-10,0.6433329864479175,1,0.0116377040802095,1,0.0116377040802095,1.1626511599437348
2021-06-11,0.736484620150251,0,-0.0023167311371474,1,-0.0023167311371474,1.1599576097998527
2021-06-14,0.5916435614088855,0,-0.0437993256960491,1,-0.0437993256960491,1.1091522486546184
2021-06-15,0.6148063997887958,1,0.0119294830663738,1,0.0119294830663738,1.1223838616229742
2021-06-16,0.6677585313640155,0,-0.0483569626897721,1,-0.0483569626897721,1.0681087871028698
2021-06-17,0.5492408109952381,0,-0.0050390028638735,1,-0.0050390028638735,1.06272658386573
2021-06-18,0.5845043304231413,1,0.0064740664921212,1,0.0064740664921212,1.0696067464326215
2021-06-21,0.5733587800402578,1,0.0109342662955649,1,0.0109342662955649,1.0813021114296486
2021-06-22,0.5648659012390319,1,0.0234810157307756,1,0.0234810157307756,1.1066921833178491
2021-06-23,0.46796106105179847,0,-0.0045131130239648,-1,0.0043131130239648,1.1114654717872374
2021-06-24,0.6206529513949609,0,-0.0044170709965454,1,-0.0046170709965454,1.106333756793787
2021-06-25,0.62469365397955,0,-0.0032672141082381,1,-0.0032672141082381,1.1027191275351704
2021-06-28,0.5198819110921683,0,-0.0031606698831867,1,-0.0031606698831867,1.099233796399156
2021-06-29,0.4949026143157398,1,0.0057286647577161,-1,-0.0059286647577161,1.0927168077299538
2021-06-30,0.7016108703102517,0,-0.0124341777955832,1,-0.0126341777955832,1.0789112293008716
2021-07-01,0.5959307828142485,1,0.0093985654236385,1,0.0093985654236385,1.0890514470757542
2021-07-02,0.722181645571043,0,-0.0058637437861455,1,-0.0058637437861455,1.082665528420171
2021-07-06,0.5350778603880846,1,0.0166796891986553,1,0.0166796891986553,1.1007240529403173
2021-07-07,0.7113023204173684,0,-0.0135089977982814,1,-0.0135089977982814,1.0858543741326312
2021-07-08,0.6942401942997467,1,0.0188158861183507,1,0.0188158861183507,1.1062856863774237
2021-07-09,0.5875122018752429,0,-0.0068117794994897,1,-0.0068117794994897,1.098749912218379
2021-07-12,0.5566120179266046,0,-0.0020874413239144,1,-0.0020874413239144,1.096456336246967
2021-07-13,0.5770526418267163,0,-0.0092134303855149,1,-0.0092134303855149,1.086354212122199
2021-07-14,0.6420460610001758,1,0.0129214299990361,1,0.0129214299990361,1.100391462028294
2021-07-15,0.5521954787554476,0,0.0,1,0.0,1.100391462028294
2021-07-16,0.6618041867897418,0,-0.0285080012993588,1,-0.0285080012993588,1.069021500798988
2021-07-19,0.5892960334508134,1,0.0145315333969373,1,0.0145315333969373,1.0845560224398927
2021-07-20,0.7206814853381485,1,0.0021089638748204,1,0.0021089638748204,1.0868433119114373
2021-07-21,0.618105869406311,1,0.0152160436150838,1,0.0152160436150838,1.103380767148244
2021-07-22,0.6225753724159793,1,0.0143063956512379,1,0.0143063956512379,1.1191661689570334
2021-07-23,0.5662279466213469,1,0.0411855647842125,1,0.0411855647842125,1.1652596597129121
2021-07-26,0.5576465470850704,0,-0.0088723951317399,1,-0.0088723951317399,1.1549210155808625
2021-07-27,0.6590140088157617,0,-0.0138483351979528,1,-0.0138483351979528,1.1389272822299386
2021-07-28,0.5421281229138835,1,0.0092166551049239,1,0.0092166551049239,1.1494243821798402
2021-07-29,0.6001521116964205,0,-0.0091051039865084,1,-0.0091051039865084,1.1389587536554646
2021-07-30,0.6196662146358868,0,-0.0111043707342344,1,-0.0111043707342344,1.1263113334038728
2021-08-02,0.5825398040648553,0,-0.0106589057672199,1,-0.0106589057672199,1.114306087036569
2021-08-03,0.6063366358217716,0,-0.0122729073880725,1,-0.0122729073880725,1.1006303116284037
2021-08-04,0.5878445826921125,1,0.003571226651339,1,0.003571226651339,1.1045609119305626
2021-08-05,0.6263950236345702,0,0.0,1,0.0,1.1045609119305626
2021-08-06,0.6132163504382029,0,-0.01354579322808,1,-0.01354579322808,1.0895987582097317
2021-08-09,0.6081566858889426,1,0.0149247867814727,1,0.0149247867814727,1.1058607873533695
2021-08-10,0.563269305502048,1,0.0030958002137186,1,0.0030958002137186,1.1092843114152011
2021-08-11,0.5275692184275734,0,-0.0017187056651313,1,-0.0017187056651313,1.1073777781849306
2021-08-12,0.633349328194345,1,0.0071987970140918,1,0.0071987970140918,1.115349566028
2021-08-13,0.5676075055591661,0,-0.0147963931322872,1,-0.0147963931322872,1.0988464153691238
2021-08-16,0.44332235486728444,0,-0.0283623839622395,-1,0.028162383962239503,1.1297925500342796
2021-08-17,0.5262467512236821,0,-0.0206589139190731,1,-0.0208589139190731,1.1062263044867044
2021-08-18,0.45974052981703767,0,-0.0193609772650984,-1,0.0191609772650984,1.127422681557028
2021-08-19,0.5879731880174485,1,0.0234787013829376,1,0.0232787013829376,1.153667617493345
2021-08-20,0.596072239553438,1,0.023884584165148,1,0.023884584165148,1.1812224888019704
2021-08-23,0.6492270526037545,1,0.0049440948268655,1,0.0049440948268655,1.1870625647982336
2021-08-24,0.6713577630855151,1,0.0022286092151708,1,0.0022286092151708,1.1897080633691273
2021-08-25,0.554963996418312,0,-0.0046976011225088,1,-0.0046976011225088,1.1841192894351866
2021-08-26,0.6205124589793252,1,0.0165775451742533,1,0.0165775451742533,1.2037490804475033
2021-08-27,0.5868042087955946,1,0.0131126792555453,1,0.0131126792555453,1.219533456043569
2021-08-30,0.5702464384684469,0,-0.0001142791841708,1,-0.0001142791841708,1.2193940887551433
2021-08-31,0.524489667793228,0,-0.0224209091493639,1,-0.0224209091493639,1.192054164673893
2021-09-01,0.5287734256692088,1,0.0060592121992695,1,0.0060592121992695,1.199277073810675
2021-09-02,0.4667190778537635,1,0.0069460802546839,-1,-0.0071460802546839,1.1907069435936215
2021-09-03,0.6854214094910246,0,-0.0121874876300576,1,-0.0123874876300576,1.1759570760588318
2021-09-07,0.7062351268845839,0,-0.0113924539453231,1,-0.0113924539453231,1.1625600392281548
2021-09-08,0.6489227503216696,1,0.0123262698180137,1,0.0123262698180137,1.1768900679513217
2021-09-09,0.6174223870144331,1,0.038116202056498,1,0.038116202056498,1.22174864757964
2021-09-10,0.588525220141243,0,-0.0192771589098743,1,-0.0192771589098743,1.1981968047523233
2021-09-13,0.5912731975752509,0,-0.0105894175536278,1,-0.0105894175536278,1.1855085984753782
2021-09-14,0.6599581456516878,1,0.0195938666077821,1,0.0195938666077821,1.2087372958162834
2021-09-15,0.5764387780936657,0,-0.0287773080734685,1,-0.0287773080734685,1.173953090274687
2021-09-16,0.5836547406746385,0,-0.0083260522030452,1,-0.0083260522030452,1.1641786955611337
2021-09-17,0.5587199758106908,0,-0.0314600432174339,1,-0.0314600432174339,1.1275535834859647
2021-09-20,0.6049363651405976,1,0.0027910945854296,1,0.0027910945854296,1.1307006921876142
2021-09-21,0.5194700415866271,1,0.0300810458306413,1,0.0300810458306413,1.1647133515300476
2021-09-22,0.6584583159919778,0,-0.0049510887417711,1,-0.0049510887417711,1.1589467523678967
2021-09-23,0.6441042486111724,1,0.0127988596188699,1,0.0127988596188699,1.1737799491571985
2021-09-24,0.5821232451161611,1,0.0009329446740826,1,0.0009329446740826,1.1748750209093097
2021-09-27,0.6393118409362103,0,-0.0100750617929559,1,-0.0100750617929559,1.163038082474648
2021-09-28,0.5900036030309501,0,-0.0112487125358708,1,-0.0112487125358708,1.1499554014166202
2021-09-29,0.6848573572131452,0,-0.0265459603195508,1,-0.0265459603195508,1.1194287309613615
2021-09-30,0.6612150117602152,1,0.0240422332292218,1,0.0240422332292218,1.1463422975946265
2021-10-01,0.6396442395737848,1,0.0118667584545961,1,0.0118667584545961,1.1599456647464688
2021-10-04,0.6028282692545481,0,-0.0109122183510965,1,-0.0109122183510965,1.1472880843773476
2021-10-05,0.561532512410164,0,-0.0107914716327641,1,-0.0107914716327641,1.1349071575601812
2021-10-06,0.5608383610343085,1,0.0228826573451319,1,0.0228826573451319,1.1608768491651686
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