| { |
| "method": "Bayesian Bradley-Terry MCMC (Metropolis-Hastings)", |
| "prior_sigma": 300.0, |
| "scale": 173.71779276130073, |
| "n_chains": 4, |
| "n_samples_per_chain": 12000, |
| "n_votes": 1943, |
| "n_voters": null, |
| "n_votes_not_scored": 30, |
| "n_pairs": 190, |
| "winner_distribution": { |
| "A": 786, |
| "B": 867, |
| "tie": 290 |
| }, |
| "correlations": { |
| "vs_community_arena_singlemsg": { |
| "rho": -0.23636363636363636, |
| "p": 0.4840911622253974, |
| "n": 11 |
| }, |
| "vs_llm_judge_multiturn": { |
| "rho": 0.5674137555430587, |
| "p": 0.011282816736518732, |
| "n": 19 |
| } |
| }, |
| "leaderboard": [ |
| { |
| "rank": 1, |
| "model": "claude_opus_4_7", |
| "elo_mean": 1575.2, |
| "elo_std": 47.5, |
| "ci_low_95": 1477.7, |
| "ci_high_95": 1671.4, |
| "n_votes": 146 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 2, |
| "model": "deepseek_v4_pro", |
| "elo_mean": 1545.9, |
| "elo_std": 48.8, |
| "ci_low_95": 1449.2, |
| "ci_high_95": 1632.4, |
| "n_votes": 166 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 3, |
| "model": "gemini_3_1_flash_lite", |
| "elo_mean": 1532.7, |
| "elo_std": 46.5, |
| "ci_low_95": 1434.4, |
| "ci_high_95": 1621.0, |
| "n_votes": 151 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 4, |
| "model": "claude_opus_4_6", |
| "elo_mean": 1532.2, |
| "elo_std": 44.0, |
| "ci_low_95": 1447.8, |
| "ci_high_95": 1610.1, |
| "n_votes": 224 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 5, |
| "model": "gpt_4_1", |
| "elo_mean": 1524.7, |
| "elo_std": 42.8, |
| "ci_low_95": 1437.5, |
| "ci_high_95": 1605.4, |
| "n_votes": 212 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 6, |
| "model": "mistral_small_creative", |
| "elo_mean": 1519.2, |
| "elo_std": 45.8, |
| "ci_low_95": 1437.9, |
| "ci_high_95": 1598.9, |
| "n_votes": 229 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 7, |
| "model": "gemini_3_1_pro", |
| "elo_mean": 1512.8, |
| "elo_std": 45.7, |
| "ci_low_95": 1422.2, |
| "ci_high_95": 1595.7, |
| "n_votes": 161 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 8, |
| "model": "glm_4_7", |
| "elo_mean": 1509.6, |
| "elo_std": 43.5, |
| "ci_low_95": 1417.8, |
| "ci_high_95": 1587.3, |
| "n_votes": 227 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 9, |
| "model": "kimi_k2_6", |
| "elo_mean": 1505.0, |
| "elo_std": 45.3, |
| "ci_low_95": 1417.0, |
| "ci_high_95": 1588.5, |
| "n_votes": 156 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 10, |
| "model": "deepseek_v4_flash", |
| "elo_mean": 1491.7, |
| "elo_std": 48.2, |
| "ci_low_95": 1395.6, |
| "ci_high_95": 1575.2, |
| "n_votes": 153 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 11, |
| "model": "kimi_k2_5", |
| "elo_mean": 1488.7, |
| "elo_std": 48.0, |
| "ci_low_95": 1391.3, |
| "ci_high_95": 1580.4, |
| "n_votes": 155 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 12, |
| "model": "minimax_m2_7", |
| "elo_mean": 1486.9, |
| "elo_std": 44.8, |
| "ci_low_95": 1397.9, |
| "ci_high_95": 1560.5, |
| "n_votes": 220 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 13, |
| "model": "claude_sonnet_4_5", |
| "elo_mean": 1479.3, |
| "elo_std": 44.5, |
| "ci_low_95": 1395.9, |
| "ci_high_95": 1559.2, |
| "n_votes": 220 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 14, |
| "model": "deepseek_v3_2", |
| "elo_mean": 1471.7, |
| "elo_std": 45.5, |
| "ci_low_95": 1376.5, |
| "ci_high_95": 1553.1, |
| "n_votes": 229 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 15, |
| "model": "gemma_4_26b", |
| "elo_mean": 1466.1, |
| "elo_std": 43.6, |
| "ci_low_95": 1381.6, |
| "ci_high_95": 1543.2, |
| "n_votes": 213 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 16, |
| "model": "llama_4_maverick", |
| "elo_mean": 1457.5, |
| "elo_std": 45.0, |
| "ci_low_95": 1367.8, |
| "ci_high_95": 1535.2, |
| "n_votes": 214 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 17, |
| "model": "glm_5_1", |
| "elo_mean": 1445.5, |
| "elo_std": 45.9, |
| "ci_low_95": 1359.2, |
| "ci_high_95": 1529.3, |
| "n_votes": 154 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 18, |
| "model": "grok_4_1", |
| "elo_mean": 1432.3, |
| "elo_std": 43.5, |
| "ci_low_95": 1348.8, |
| "ci_high_95": 1511.6, |
| "n_votes": 230 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 19, |
| "model": "gemini_2_5_flash", |
| "elo_mean": 1417.6, |
| "elo_std": 45.4, |
| "ci_low_95": 1327.3, |
| "ci_high_95": 1499.8, |
| "n_votes": 210 |
| }, |
| { |
| "rank": 20, |
| "model": "qwen3_5_flash", |
| "elo_mean": 1412.1, |
| "elo_std": 46.6, |
| "ci_low_95": 1314.9, |
| "ci_high_95": 1493.6, |
| "n_votes": 216 |
| } |
| ] |
| } |
