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| "method": "voter-clustered bootstrap of Bradley-Terry MLE", |
| "n_iterations": 1000, |
| "seed": 42, |
| "prior_sigma": 300.0, |
| "n_voters": 315, |
| "n_votes": 1262, |
| "median_bootstrap_ci_width_elo": 114.2, |
| "median_mcmc_ci_width_elo": 227.5, |
| "rho_vs_llm_judge_likert": { |
| "n_models": 20, |
| "point_estimate": 0.4998, |
| "p_value": 0.0248, |
| "bootstrap_mean": 0.4546, |
| "bootstrap_ci_low_95": 0.2467, |
| "bootstrap_ci_high_95": 0.6451, |
| "fraction_bootstraps_above_zero": 1.0 |
| }, |
| "per_model": [ |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1622.1, |
| "boot_ci_width_95": 116.9, |
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| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1671.4, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 241.5 |
| }, |
| { |
| "model": "claude_opus_4_7", |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1622.2, |
| "boot_ci_width_95": 133.2, |
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| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1679.6, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 260.3 |
| }, |
| { |
| "model": "claude_sonnet_4_5", |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1556.5, |
| "boot_ci_width_95": 99.7, |
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| "mcmc_ci_low_95": 1391.6, |
| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1614.1, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 222.5 |
| }, |
| { |
| "model": "deepseek_v3_2", |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1514.3, |
| "boot_ci_width_95": 107.9, |
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| "mcmc_ci_low_95": 1340.6, |
| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1565.1, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 224.5 |
| }, |
| { |
| "model": "deepseek_v4_flash", |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1545.1, |
| "boot_ci_width_95": 96.9, |
| "elo_mcmc_mean": 1490.7, |
| "mcmc_ci_low_95": 1367.4, |
| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1604.9, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 237.5 |
| }, |
| { |
| "model": "deepseek_v4_pro", |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1650.1, |
| "boot_ci_width_95": 126.8, |
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| "mcmc_ci_low_95": 1461.9, |
| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1700.2, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 238.3 |
| }, |
| { |
| "model": "gemini_2_5_flash", |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1465.8, |
| "boot_ci_width_95": 114.6, |
| "elo_mcmc_mean": 1410.8, |
| "mcmc_ci_low_95": 1296.2, |
| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1522.2, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 226.0 |
| }, |
| { |
| "model": "gemini_3_1_flash_lite", |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1626.1, |
| "boot_ci_width_95": 129.8, |
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| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1682.5, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 265.2 |
| }, |
| { |
| "model": "gemini_3_1_pro", |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1586.3, |
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| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1641.6, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 226.2 |
| }, |
| { |
| "model": "gemma_4_26b", |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1564.2, |
| "boot_ci_width_95": 109.5, |
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| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1594.9, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 202.7 |
| }, |
| { |
| "model": "glm_4_7", |
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| "boot_ci_low_95": 1451.7, |
| "boot_ci_high_95": 1567.4, |
| "boot_ci_width_95": 115.7, |
| "elo_mcmc_mean": 1506.6, |
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| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1610.0, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 210.2 |
| }, |
| { |
| "model": "glm_5_1", |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1506.4, |
| "boot_ci_width_95": 123.5, |
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| "mcmc_ci_low_95": 1318.1, |
| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1562.1, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 244.0 |
| }, |
| { |
| "model": "gpt_4_1", |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1614.8, |
| "boot_ci_width_95": 110.9, |
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| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1670.7, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 229.7 |
| }, |
| { |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1475.2, |
| "boot_ci_width_95": 113.8, |
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| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1522.2, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 228.8 |
| }, |
| { |
| "model": "kimi_k2_5", |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1565.2, |
| "boot_ci_width_95": 109.8, |
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| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1622.3, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 234.2 |
| }, |
| { |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1581.8, |
| "boot_ci_width_95": 120.6, |
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| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1626.3, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 218.1 |
| }, |
| { |
| "model": "llama_4_maverick", |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1504.0, |
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| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 222.5 |
| }, |
| { |
| "model": "minimax_m2_7", |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1530.5, |
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| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1580.9, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 217.8 |
| }, |
| { |
| "model": "mistral_small_creative", |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1587.0, |
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| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 215.9 |
| }, |
| { |
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| "boot_ci_high_95": 1463.5, |
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| "mcmc_ci_high_95": 1511.2, |
| "mcmc_ci_width_95": 232.8 |
| } |
| ] |
| } |
