---
license: apache-2.0
tags:
- agi-forecast
- pac-bayes
- governance
- agentic-ai
- formal-verification
- ai-governance
- alignment
- bekenstein
- bayesian
- lean4
size_categories:
- n<1K
task_categories:
- other
language:
- en
pretty_name: AGI Forecast — Safety Forecasting Gauges Source
---

# agi-forecast — FG-01..FG-12 AI Safety Forecasting Gauges

[![License: Apache 2.0](https://img.shields.io/badge/License-Apache_2.0-0B1F3A.svg?style=flat-square&logo=apache)](https://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0)
[![DOI](https://zenodo.org/badge/DOI/10.5281/zenodo.20434276.svg)](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20434276)

Source mirror of [github.com/szl-holdings/agi-forecast](https://github.com/szl-holdings/agi-forecast). Forecasting models and scenario libraries for AI governance trajectories, grounded in PAC-Bayes stability bounds and Bekenstein information limits.

| Signal | Value |
|--------|-------|
| Forecast gauges | FG-01 through FG-12 |
| Scenarios | FG-S1 → FG-S4 |
| Grounding | PAC-Bayes + Bekenstein |
| Benchmark | Putnam 2026-05-27 |
| License | Apache-2.0 |

## Cross-links

- **Live viewer:** [SZLHOLDINGS/agi-forecast-viewer](https://huggingface.co/spaces/SZLHOLDINGS/agi-forecast-viewer)
- **Platform:** [SZLHOLDINGS/agi-forecast-platform](https://huggingface.co/spaces/SZLHOLDINGS/agi-forecast-platform)
- **Source:** [github.com/szl-holdings/agi-forecast](https://github.com/szl-holdings/agi-forecast)

## Citation (BibTeX)

```bibtex
@misc{lutar2026ouroboros,
  title  = {Ouroboros: Formal Verification of Agentic AI Governance — v18.0},
  author = {Lutar, Stephen P.},
  year   = {2026},
  doi    = {10.5281/zenodo.20434276},
  url    = {https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20434276}
}
```

## Contact

**Stephen P. Lutar** · stephen@szlholdings.com  
[![ORCID](https://img.shields.io/badge/ORCID-0009--0001--0110--4173-A6CE39?logo=orcid&logoColor=white)](https://orcid.org/0009-0001-0110-4173)  
[github.com/szl-holdings](https://github.com/szl-holdings) · [huggingface.co/SZLHOLDINGS](https://huggingface.co/SZLHOLDINGS)

---
*Doctrine v6 strict — no marketing superlatives — every claim verifiable.*