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Tabular Classification
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economics
quantitative-finance
causal-inference
macroeconomics
housing-economics
market-microstructure
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2ed92a1 | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 | {
"all_treated_budget_scale": 1.0,
"analysis_rows": 192,
"analysis_share": 1.0,
"assignment_seed": 202503,
"budget": 5000.0,
"budget_feasible": true,
"budget_scale": 1.0,
"config": {
"base_demand": 2.8677823154776916,
"base_fare": 22.475,
"base_supply": 2.222531294495211,
"base_wait_minutes": 5.0,
"budget": 5000.0,
"capacity_per_driver": 1.35,
"demand_noise_sd": 0.06,
"design": {
"budget": 5000.0,
"cluster_size": 2,
"n_clusters": 2,
"name": "geo_cluster",
"seed": 202503,
"treatment_duration": 4,
"treatment_probability": 0.5,
"treatment_saturation": 1.0,
"washout_periods": 0
},
"direct_demand_effect": 0.16,
"direct_supply_effect": 0.1,
"discount_rate": 0.1,
"driver_mobility": 0.06,
"incentive_per_driver": 1.5,
"individuals_per_cell": 100,
"matching_efficiency": 0.94,
"n_periods": 48,
"n_zones": 4,
"operating_cost_per_trip": 8.0,
"periods_per_day": 24,
"persistence": 0.25,
"reference_incentive_per_driver": 1.5,
"rider_substitution": 0.04,
"rider_value": 28.0,
"seed": 202503,
"spillover_strength": 0.15,
"supply_noise_sd": 0.05,
"time_pattern_strength": 0.22,
"treatment_version": "bundled",
"wait_disutility_per_minute": 0.25,
"zone_heterogeneity_sd": 0.12
},
"design": "geo_cluster",
"driver_incentive_response_scale": 1.0,
"estimation_population_id": "full_horizon",
"evidence_type": "semi_synthetic_known_ground_truth",
"exposure_mapping": "row-normalized ring adjacency",
"full_policy_spend": 1826.7715877060323,
"ground_truth": {
"all_treated_market_total_effect": 0.6197162193591356,
"analysis_horizon_cumulative_effect": 118.98551411695404,
"analysis_population_controlled_zone_direct_effect": 0.45825276469632636,
"analysis_population_market_total_effect": 0.6197162193591356,
"analysis_population_persistent_effect": 0.16772801805209328,
"analysis_population_short_run_effect": 0.45198820130704237,
"analysis_population_spillover_effect": 0.12081058552246828,
"analysis_rows": 192.0,
"analysis_share": 1.0,
"assignment_first_stage": null,
"average_treatment_effect": 0.6197162193591356,
"controlled_zone_direct_effect": 0.45825276469632636,
"cumulative_effect": 118.98551411695404,
"direct_effect": null,
"first_stage": null,
"full_horizon_incremental_trips": 118.98551411695404,
"full_horizon_incremental_welfare": 1885.077339926111,
"full_horizon_market_total_effect": 0.6197162193591356,
"full_policy_mean_exposure": 1.0,
"full_policy_spend": 1826.7715877060323,
"incremental_trips": 118.98551411695404,
"incremental_trips_per_dollar": 0.06513431395458151,
"incremental_welfare": 1885.077339926111,
"incremental_welfare_per_dollar": 1.0319173741328527,
"intent_to_treat": null,
"itt_available": 0.0,
"market_total_effect": 0.6197162193591356,
"persistent_effect": 0.16772801805209328,
"realized_schedule_assigned_mean_effect": 0.5180194764229592,
"realized_schedule_cumulative_effect": 55.81395520453171,
"realized_schedule_mean_effect": 0.29069768335693597,
"realized_schedule_mechanism_direct_component": 0.15197658921616639,
"realized_schedule_mechanism_spillover_component": 0.13872109414076964,
"realized_schedule_persistent_component": 0.07617902718266502,
"realized_schedule_short_run_component": 0.21451865617427102,
"short_run_effect": 0.45198820130704237,
"spillover_effect": 0.12081058552246828,
"treatment_on_treated": null
},
"ground_truth_availability": {
"controlled_zone_direct_effect": {
"available": true,
"reason": null
},
"direct_effect": {
"available": false,
"reason": "individual rider outcomes are not represented in the aggregate panel"
},
"intent_to_treat": {
"available": false,
"reason": "assignment contrast differs from the structural full-policy contrast"
}
},
"ground_truth_definitions": {
"analysis_population_market_total_effect": "the same policy contrast restricted to assignment-specific analysis_eligible rows",
"controlled_zone_direct_effect": "unconstrained focal-zone saturation policy versus zone control with mapped neighbors at zero; the shared market budget is not re-scaled separately for each focal contrast",
"direct_effect": "individual rider direct effect is unavailable in this aggregate zone-time simulator",
"full_horizon_incremental_trips": "sum of all-zone policy versus zero effects over every configured zone-period",
"full_policy_spend": "treatment spend for the feasible all-zone policy path",
"intent_to_treat": "randomized-arm assignment contrast when no interference, carryover, or shared-budget coupling is configured; unavailable (NaN) otherwise",
"market_total_effect": "all-zone treatment policy versus all-zero, averaged per zone-period over the fixed configured horizon",
"persistent_effect": "all-zone total effect minus its no-persistence path",
"short_run_effect": "all-zone policy with persistence disabled versus all-zero",
"spillover_effect": "untreated focal zone with mapped neighbors treated at configured saturation versus all-zero; the shared market budget is not applied to this controlled exposure contrast",
"true_effect_panel_column": "realized mixed-schedule effect versus all-zero"
},
"itt_available": false,
"n_periods": 48,
"n_zones": 4,
"realized_spend": 856.732542389379,
"reference_incentive_per_driver": 1.5,
"simulation_seed": 202503,
"target_population_id": "all_4_zones_x_48_periods_equal_cell_weight",
"treatment_version": "bundled",
"treatment_version_description": "rider discount and driver incentive delivered at one common intensity",
"treatment_version_limitation": "each experiment has one selected treatment version; simultaneous factorial rider-versus-driver arms require separate randomized assignments"
}
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