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| """Fail-closed parser for the frozen M8 multi-date trade study. | |
| This module intentionally does not reuse the exploratory sample configuration. | |
| Protocol version 1.0.2 is a fixed, outcome-blind study contract: changing any | |
| date, role, source, feature, model, safety ceiling, or claim permission requires | |
| a new protocol version and corresponding parser review. | |
| """ | |
| from __future__ import annotations | |
| import hashlib | |
| import json | |
| import math | |
| import tomllib | |
| from collections.abc import Mapping | |
| from dataclasses import dataclass | |
| from datetime import date as Date | |
| from pathlib import Path | |
| from typing import Any, Literal, cast | |
| M8PeriodRole = Literal["train", "validation", "primary_test", "replication_test"] | |
| _TOP_LEVEL_KEYS = frozenset({"study", "periods", "features", "models", "quality", "claims"}) | |
| _STUDY_KEYS = frozenset( | |
| { | |
| "name", | |
| "protocol_version", | |
| "evidence_tier", | |
| "seed", | |
| "source", | |
| "symbols", | |
| "selection_metric", | |
| "target", | |
| "label_horizon_events", | |
| "calibration_fraction", | |
| "bootstrap_samples", | |
| "bootstrap_block_events", | |
| "feature_stability_bins", | |
| "max_archive_compressed_bytes", | |
| "max_archive_uncompressed_bytes", | |
| "max_total_download_bytes", | |
| } | |
| ) | |
| _PERIOD_KEYS = frozenset({"date", "role"}) | |
| _FEATURE_KEYS = frozenset( | |
| {"trade_windows", "volatility_window", "intensity_window", "large_trade_quantile"} | |
| ) | |
| _MODEL_KEYS = frozenset({"logistic_c_values", "tree_max_depth_values", "tree_min_samples_leaf"}) | |
| _QUALITY_KEYS = frozenset( | |
| { | |
| "fail_on_error", | |
| "require_complete_daily_archive", | |
| "require_contiguous_trade_ids_within_symbol_date", | |
| "require_nondecreasing_event_time", | |
| "allow_quality_warnings", | |
| } | |
| ) | |
| _CLAIM_KEYS = frozenset( | |
| { | |
| "allow_p_values", | |
| "allow_significance_claim", | |
| "allow_cross_instrument_pooling", | |
| "allow_execution_claim", | |
| "allow_profitability_claim", | |
| } | |
| ) | |
| _FROZEN_PERIODS: tuple[tuple[str, M8PeriodRole], ...] = ( | |
| ("2024-01-03", "train"), | |
| ("2024-01-04", "validation"), | |
| ("2024-01-05", "primary_test"), | |
| ("2024-01-06", "replication_test"), | |
| ) | |
| _FROZEN_SYMBOLS = ("BTCUSDT", "ETHUSDT") | |
| class M8ConfigError(ValueError): | |
| """Raised when an M8 study file violates its frozen protocol contract.""" | |
| class M8Study: | |
| name: str | |
| protocol_version: str | |
| evidence_tier: str | |
| seed: int | |
| source: str | |
| symbols: tuple[str, ...] | |
| selection_metric: str | |
| target: str | |
| label_horizon_events: int | |
| calibration_fraction: float | |
| bootstrap_samples: int | |
| bootstrap_block_events: int | |
| feature_stability_bins: int | |
| max_archive_compressed_bytes: int | |
| max_archive_uncompressed_bytes: int | |
| max_total_download_bytes: int | |
| class M8Period: | |
| date: Date | |
| role: M8PeriodRole | |
| class M8Features: | |
| trade_windows: tuple[int, ...] | |
| volatility_window: int | |
| intensity_window: int | |
| large_trade_quantile: float | |
| class M8Models: | |
| logistic_c_values: tuple[float, ...] | |
| tree_max_depth_values: tuple[int, ...] | |
| tree_min_samples_leaf: int | |
| class M8Quality: | |
| fail_on_error: bool | |
| require_complete_daily_archive: bool | |
| require_contiguous_trade_ids_within_symbol_date: bool | |
| require_nondecreasing_event_time: bool | |
| allow_quality_warnings: bool | |
| class M8Claims: | |
| allow_p_values: bool | |
| allow_significance_claim: bool | |
| allow_cross_instrument_pooling: bool | |
| allow_execution_claim: bool | |
| allow_profitability_claim: bool | |
| class M8StudyConfig: | |
| """Typed, immutable representation of the frozen M8 study specification.""" | |
| path: Path | |
| source_sha256: str | |
| study: M8Study | |
| periods: tuple[M8Period, ...] | |
| features: M8Features | |
| models: M8Models | |
| quality: M8Quality | |
| claims: M8Claims | |
| def _semantic_payload(self) -> dict[str, object]: | |
| return { | |
| "study": { | |
| "name": self.study.name, | |
| "protocol_version": self.study.protocol_version, | |
| "evidence_tier": self.study.evidence_tier, | |
| "seed": self.study.seed, | |
| "source": self.study.source, | |
| "symbols": list(self.study.symbols), | |
| "selection_metric": self.study.selection_metric, | |
| "target": self.study.target, | |
| "label_horizon_events": self.study.label_horizon_events, | |
| "calibration_fraction": self.study.calibration_fraction, | |
| "bootstrap_samples": self.study.bootstrap_samples, | |
| "bootstrap_block_events": self.study.bootstrap_block_events, | |
| "feature_stability_bins": self.study.feature_stability_bins, | |
| "max_archive_compressed_bytes": self.study.max_archive_compressed_bytes, | |
| "max_archive_uncompressed_bytes": self.study.max_archive_uncompressed_bytes, | |
| "max_total_download_bytes": self.study.max_total_download_bytes, | |
| }, | |
| "periods": [ | |
| {"date": period.date.isoformat(), "role": period.role} for period in self.periods | |
| ], | |
| "features": { | |
| "trade_windows": list(self.features.trade_windows), | |
| "volatility_window": self.features.volatility_window, | |
| "intensity_window": self.features.intensity_window, | |
| "large_trade_quantile": self.features.large_trade_quantile, | |
| }, | |
| "models": { | |
| "logistic_c_values": list(self.models.logistic_c_values), | |
| "tree_max_depth_values": list(self.models.tree_max_depth_values), | |
| "tree_min_samples_leaf": self.models.tree_min_samples_leaf, | |
| }, | |
| "quality": { | |
| "fail_on_error": self.quality.fail_on_error, | |
| "require_complete_daily_archive": self.quality.require_complete_daily_archive, | |
| "require_contiguous_trade_ids_within_symbol_date": ( | |
| self.quality.require_contiguous_trade_ids_within_symbol_date | |
| ), | |
| "require_nondecreasing_event_time": self.quality.require_nondecreasing_event_time, | |
| "allow_quality_warnings": self.quality.allow_quality_warnings, | |
| }, | |
| "claims": { | |
| "allow_p_values": self.claims.allow_p_values, | |
| "allow_significance_claim": self.claims.allow_significance_claim, | |
| "allow_cross_instrument_pooling": self.claims.allow_cross_instrument_pooling, | |
| "allow_execution_claim": self.claims.allow_execution_claim, | |
| "allow_profitability_claim": self.claims.allow_profitability_claim, | |
| }, | |
| } | |
| def hash(self) -> str: | |
| """Return a location- and formatting-independent semantic SHA-256.""" | |
| encoded = json.dumps( | |
| self._semantic_payload(), | |
| sort_keys=True, | |
| separators=(",", ":"), | |
| allow_nan=False, | |
| ).encode("utf-8") | |
| return hashlib.sha256(encoded).hexdigest() | |
| def public_dict(self) -> dict[str, object]: | |
| """Return a JSON-safe representation with both semantic and byte hashes.""" | |
| return { | |
| "path": str(self.path), | |
| "config_sha256": self.hash, | |
| "source_sha256": self.source_sha256, | |
| **self._semantic_payload(), | |
| } | |
| def _mapping(value: object, label: str) -> Mapping[str, Any]: | |
| if not isinstance(value, Mapping): | |
| raise M8ConfigError(f"{label} must be a TOML table") | |
| if not all(isinstance(key, str) for key in value): | |
| raise M8ConfigError(f"{label} contains a non-string key") | |
| return cast(Mapping[str, Any], value) | |
| def _exact_keys(value: Mapping[str, Any], expected: frozenset[str], label: str) -> None: | |
| observed = frozenset(value) | |
| missing = sorted(expected - observed) | |
| unknown = sorted(observed - expected) | |
| if missing or unknown: | |
| details: list[str] = [] | |
| if missing: | |
| details.append("missing=" + ",".join(missing)) | |
| if unknown: | |
| details.append("unknown=" + ",".join(unknown)) | |
| raise M8ConfigError(f"{label} keys do not match the frozen contract ({'; '.join(details)})") | |
| def _text(value: object, label: str) -> str: | |
| if type(value) is not str: | |
| raise M8ConfigError(f"{label} must be a string") | |
| return value | |
| def _integer(value: object, label: str) -> int: | |
| if type(value) is not int: | |
| raise M8ConfigError(f"{label} must be an integer") | |
| return value | |
| def _number(value: object, label: str) -> float: | |
| if type(value) not in {int, float}: | |
| raise M8ConfigError(f"{label} must be a finite number") | |
| result = float(cast(int | float, value)) | |
| if not math.isfinite(result): | |
| raise M8ConfigError(f"{label} must be a finite number") | |
| return result | |
| def _boolean(value: object, label: str) -> bool: | |
| if type(value) is not bool: | |
| raise M8ConfigError(f"{label} must be a boolean") | |
| return value | |
| def _list(value: object, label: str) -> list[Any]: | |
| if not isinstance(value, list): | |
| raise M8ConfigError(f"{label} must be an array") | |
| return value | |
| def _text_tuple(value: object, label: str) -> tuple[str, ...]: | |
| return tuple(_text(item, f"{label}[{index}]") for index, item in enumerate(_list(value, label))) | |
| def _integer_tuple(value: object, label: str) -> tuple[int, ...]: | |
| return tuple( | |
| _integer(item, f"{label}[{index}]") for index, item in enumerate(_list(value, label)) | |
| ) | |
| def _number_tuple(value: object, label: str) -> tuple[float, ...]: | |
| return tuple( | |
| _number(item, f"{label}[{index}]") for index, item in enumerate(_list(value, label)) | |
| ) | |
| def _require_equal(observed: object, expected: object, label: str) -> None: | |
| if observed != expected: | |
| raise M8ConfigError(f"{label} is frozen at {expected!r}, observed {observed!r}") | |
| def _parse_study(raw: object) -> M8Study: | |
| table = _mapping(raw, "study") | |
| _exact_keys(table, _STUDY_KEYS, "study") | |
| study = M8Study( | |
| name=_text(table["name"], "study.name"), | |
| protocol_version=_text(table["protocol_version"], "study.protocol_version"), | |
| evidence_tier=_text(table["evidence_tier"], "study.evidence_tier"), | |
| seed=_integer(table["seed"], "study.seed"), | |
| source=_text(table["source"], "study.source"), | |
| symbols=_text_tuple(table["symbols"], "study.symbols"), | |
| selection_metric=_text(table["selection_metric"], "study.selection_metric"), | |
| target=_text(table["target"], "study.target"), | |
| label_horizon_events=_integer(table["label_horizon_events"], "study.label_horizon_events"), | |
| calibration_fraction=_number(table["calibration_fraction"], "study.calibration_fraction"), | |
| bootstrap_samples=_integer(table["bootstrap_samples"], "study.bootstrap_samples"), | |
| bootstrap_block_events=_integer( | |
| table["bootstrap_block_events"], "study.bootstrap_block_events" | |
| ), | |
| feature_stability_bins=_integer( | |
| table["feature_stability_bins"], "study.feature_stability_bins" | |
| ), | |
| max_archive_compressed_bytes=_integer( | |
| table["max_archive_compressed_bytes"], "study.max_archive_compressed_bytes" | |
| ), | |
| max_archive_uncompressed_bytes=_integer( | |
| table["max_archive_uncompressed_bytes"], "study.max_archive_uncompressed_bytes" | |
| ), | |
| max_total_download_bytes=_integer( | |
| table["max_total_download_bytes"], "study.max_total_download_bytes" | |
| ), | |
| ) | |
| if len(set(study.symbols)) != len(study.symbols): | |
| raise M8ConfigError("study.symbols must be unique") | |
| expected: dict[str, object] = { | |
| "name": "binance-m8-multidate-trades", | |
| "protocol_version": "1.0.2", | |
| "evidence_tier": "FULL_DATA", | |
| "seed": 20260807, | |
| "source": "binance_spot_daily_aggtrades_archive", | |
| "symbols": _FROZEN_SYMBOLS, | |
| "selection_metric": "log_loss", | |
| "target": "future_trade_up", | |
| "label_horizon_events": 20, | |
| "calibration_fraction": 0.20, | |
| "bootstrap_samples": 2000, | |
| "bootstrap_block_events": 40, | |
| "feature_stability_bins": 10, | |
| "max_archive_compressed_bytes": 268_435_456, | |
| "max_archive_uncompressed_bytes": 2_147_483_648, | |
| "max_total_download_bytes": 8_589_934_592, | |
| } | |
| for field, frozen in expected.items(): | |
| _require_equal(getattr(study, field), frozen, f"study.{field}") | |
| if not ( | |
| study.max_archive_compressed_bytes | |
| < study.max_archive_uncompressed_bytes | |
| < study.max_total_download_bytes | |
| ): | |
| raise M8ConfigError("study byte ceilings must increase from compressed to total") | |
| return study | |
| def _parse_periods(raw: object) -> tuple[M8Period, ...]: | |
| items = _list(raw, "periods") | |
| periods: list[M8Period] = [] | |
| for index, item in enumerate(items): | |
| table = _mapping(item, f"periods[{index}]") | |
| _exact_keys(table, _PERIOD_KEYS, f"periods[{index}]") | |
| raw_date = _text(table["date"], f"periods[{index}].date") | |
| try: | |
| parsed_date = Date.fromisoformat(raw_date) | |
| except ValueError as exc: | |
| raise M8ConfigError(f"periods[{index}].date must be an ISO UTC date") from exc | |
| if parsed_date.isoformat() != raw_date: | |
| raise M8ConfigError(f"periods[{index}].date must use canonical YYYY-MM-DD form") | |
| raw_role = _text(table["role"], f"periods[{index}].role") | |
| if raw_role not in {"train", "validation", "primary_test", "replication_test"}: | |
| raise M8ConfigError(f"periods[{index}].role is unsupported: {raw_role!r}") | |
| periods.append(M8Period(date=parsed_date, role=cast(M8PeriodRole, raw_role))) | |
| if len({period.date for period in periods}) != len(periods): | |
| raise M8ConfigError("period dates must be unique") | |
| observed = tuple((period.date.isoformat(), period.role) for period in periods) | |
| _require_equal(observed, _FROZEN_PERIODS, "period date/role order") | |
| return tuple(periods) | |
| def _parse_features(raw: object) -> M8Features: | |
| table = _mapping(raw, "features") | |
| _exact_keys(table, _FEATURE_KEYS, "features") | |
| features = M8Features( | |
| trade_windows=_integer_tuple(table["trade_windows"], "features.trade_windows"), | |
| volatility_window=_integer(table["volatility_window"], "features.volatility_window"), | |
| intensity_window=_integer(table["intensity_window"], "features.intensity_window"), | |
| large_trade_quantile=_number( | |
| table["large_trade_quantile"], "features.large_trade_quantile" | |
| ), | |
| ) | |
| expected: dict[str, object] = { | |
| "trade_windows": (5, 20, 100), | |
| "volatility_window": 100, | |
| "intensity_window": 50, | |
| "large_trade_quantile": 0.95, | |
| } | |
| for field, frozen in expected.items(): | |
| _require_equal(getattr(features, field), frozen, f"features.{field}") | |
| return features | |
| def _parse_models(raw: object) -> M8Models: | |
| table = _mapping(raw, "models") | |
| _exact_keys(table, _MODEL_KEYS, "models") | |
| models = M8Models( | |
| logistic_c_values=_number_tuple(table["logistic_c_values"], "models.logistic_c_values"), | |
| tree_max_depth_values=_integer_tuple( | |
| table["tree_max_depth_values"], "models.tree_max_depth_values" | |
| ), | |
| tree_min_samples_leaf=_integer( | |
| table["tree_min_samples_leaf"], "models.tree_min_samples_leaf" | |
| ), | |
| ) | |
| expected: dict[str, object] = { | |
| "logistic_c_values": (0.1, 1.0, 10.0), | |
| "tree_max_depth_values": (2, 4, 6), | |
| "tree_min_samples_leaf": 40, | |
| } | |
| for field, frozen in expected.items(): | |
| _require_equal(getattr(models, field), frozen, f"models.{field}") | |
| return models | |
| def _parse_quality(raw: object) -> M8Quality: | |
| table = _mapping(raw, "quality") | |
| _exact_keys(table, _QUALITY_KEYS, "quality") | |
| quality = M8Quality( | |
| fail_on_error=_boolean(table["fail_on_error"], "quality.fail_on_error"), | |
| require_complete_daily_archive=_boolean( | |
| table["require_complete_daily_archive"], | |
| "quality.require_complete_daily_archive", | |
| ), | |
| require_contiguous_trade_ids_within_symbol_date=_boolean( | |
| table["require_contiguous_trade_ids_within_symbol_date"], | |
| "quality.require_contiguous_trade_ids_within_symbol_date", | |
| ), | |
| require_nondecreasing_event_time=_boolean( | |
| table["require_nondecreasing_event_time"], | |
| "quality.require_nondecreasing_event_time", | |
| ), | |
| allow_quality_warnings=_boolean( | |
| table["allow_quality_warnings"], "quality.allow_quality_warnings" | |
| ), | |
| ) | |
| expected = { | |
| "fail_on_error": True, | |
| "require_complete_daily_archive": True, | |
| "require_contiguous_trade_ids_within_symbol_date": True, | |
| "require_nondecreasing_event_time": True, | |
| "allow_quality_warnings": False, | |
| } | |
| for field, frozen in expected.items(): | |
| _require_equal(getattr(quality, field), frozen, f"quality.{field}") | |
| return quality | |
| def _parse_claims(raw: object) -> M8Claims: | |
| table = _mapping(raw, "claims") | |
| _exact_keys(table, _CLAIM_KEYS, "claims") | |
| claims = M8Claims( | |
| allow_p_values=_boolean(table["allow_p_values"], "claims.allow_p_values"), | |
| allow_significance_claim=_boolean( | |
| table["allow_significance_claim"], "claims.allow_significance_claim" | |
| ), | |
| allow_cross_instrument_pooling=_boolean( | |
| table["allow_cross_instrument_pooling"], | |
| "claims.allow_cross_instrument_pooling", | |
| ), | |
| allow_execution_claim=_boolean( | |
| table["allow_execution_claim"], "claims.allow_execution_claim" | |
| ), | |
| allow_profitability_claim=_boolean( | |
| table["allow_profitability_claim"], "claims.allow_profitability_claim" | |
| ), | |
| ) | |
| for field in _CLAIM_KEYS: | |
| _require_equal(getattr(claims, field), False, f"claims.{field}") | |
| return claims | |
| def load_m8_config(path: str | Path) -> M8StudyConfig: | |
| """Load and validate the exact M8 protocol-v1.0.2 machine specification.""" | |
| config_path = Path(path).resolve() | |
| source_bytes = config_path.read_bytes() | |
| try: | |
| decoded = source_bytes.decode("utf-8") | |
| raw = tomllib.loads(decoded) | |
| except (UnicodeDecodeError, tomllib.TOMLDecodeError) as exc: | |
| raise M8ConfigError(f"cannot parse M8 TOML configuration: {exc}") from exc | |
| root = _mapping(raw, "configuration") | |
| _exact_keys(root, _TOP_LEVEL_KEYS, "configuration") | |
| return M8StudyConfig( | |
| path=config_path, | |
| source_sha256=hashlib.sha256(source_bytes).hexdigest(), | |
| study=_parse_study(root["study"]), | |
| periods=_parse_periods(root["periods"]), | |
| features=_parse_features(root["features"]), | |
| models=_parse_models(root["models"]), | |
| quality=_parse_quality(root["quality"]), | |
| claims=_parse_claims(root["claims"]), | |
| ) | |
| __all__ = [ | |
| "M8Claims", | |
| "M8ConfigError", | |
| "M8Features", | |
| "M8Models", | |
| "M8Period", | |
| "M8PeriodRole", | |
| "M8Quality", | |
| "M8Study", | |
| "M8StudyConfig", | |
| "load_m8_config", | |
| ] | |