Datasets:
Tasks:
Tabular Classification
Formats:
parquet
Languages:
English
Size:
< 1K
Tags:
economics
quantitative-finance
causal-inference
macroeconomics
housing-economics
market-microstructure
License:
| """Read and verify immutable research run bundles. | |
| Reporting is deliberately downstream of research computation. A completed run | |
| bundle contains frozen JSON/CSV/Parquet artifacts, a checksum manifest, and an | |
| ``_SUCCESS`` marker written only after every other file. The dashboard and | |
| report renderer use this module rather than importing modeling code. | |
| """ | |
| from __future__ import annotations | |
| import csv | |
| import hmac | |
| import json | |
| import os | |
| import re | |
| import tempfile | |
| from collections.abc import Mapping, Sequence | |
| from dataclasses import dataclass | |
| from datetime import UTC, datetime | |
| from pathlib import Path, PurePosixPath | |
| from typing import Any, cast | |
| from microstructure.provenance import sha256_file | |
| EvidenceTier = str | |
| EVIDENCE_TIERS = frozenset({"SYNTHETIC_SMOKE", "PUBLIC_SAMPLE_PARTIAL", "FULL_DATA"}) | |
| SYNTHETIC_WATERMARK = ( | |
| "SYNTHETIC SMOKE — SOFTWARE VALIDATION ONLY; NOT EMPIRICAL OR INVESTMENT EVIDENCE" | |
| ) | |
| PUBLIC_SAMPLE_WATERMARK = ( | |
| "PUBLIC SAMPLE / PARTIAL EVIDENCE — RESULTS ARE SAMPLE-SPECIFIC AND RESEARCH-ONLY" | |
| ) | |
| FULL_DATA_WATERMARK = "FULL-DATA RESEARCH RUN — SIMULATED RESULTS ARE NOT LIVE-TRADING PERFORMANCE" | |
| _HEX_64 = re.compile(r"^[0-9a-f]{64}$") | |
| _GIT_REVISION = re.compile(r"^[0-9a-f]{40}(?:[0-9a-f]{24})?$") | |
| _CHECKSUM_LINE = re.compile(r"^([0-9a-f]{64}) ([^\n]+)$") | |
| _CHECKSUM_EXCLUSIONS = frozenset({"checksums.sha256", "_SUCCESS", "INSUFFICIENT_DATA"}) | |
| class RunBundleError(ValueError): | |
| """Base error for an unusable research run bundle.""" | |
| class IncompleteRunError(RunBundleError): | |
| """Raised when the producer has not finalized a run bundle.""" | |
| class RunBundleValidationError(RunBundleError): | |
| """Raised when provenance or artifact structure is internally inconsistent.""" | |
| class ChecksumMismatchError(RunBundleError): | |
| """Raised when frozen bundle bytes no longer match their manifest.""" | |
| def evidence_watermark(evidence_tier: str) -> str: | |
| """Return the mandatory, user-visible evidence label for a run.""" | |
| labels = { | |
| "SYNTHETIC_SMOKE": SYNTHETIC_WATERMARK, | |
| "PUBLIC_SAMPLE_PARTIAL": PUBLIC_SAMPLE_WATERMARK, | |
| "FULL_DATA": FULL_DATA_WATERMARK, | |
| } | |
| try: | |
| return labels[evidence_tier] | |
| except KeyError as error: | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError(f"unsupported evidence tier {evidence_tier!r}") from error | |
| class RunBundle: | |
| """Validated, read-only view of a completed run directory.""" | |
| root: Path | |
| manifest: Mapping[str, Any] | |
| provenance: Mapping[str, Any] | |
| quality: Mapping[str, Any] | |
| hypothesis_evaluation: Mapping[str, Any] | |
| predictive_metrics: tuple[Mapping[str, Any], ...] | |
| execution_metrics: tuple[Mapping[str, Any], ...] | |
| execution_sensitivity: tuple[Mapping[str, Any], ...] | |
| market_state: tuple[Mapping[str, Any], ...] | |
| def run_id(self) -> str: | |
| return cast(str, self.manifest["run_id"]) | |
| def evidence_tier(self) -> str: | |
| return cast(str, self.manifest["evidence_tier"]) | |
| def watermark(self) -> str: | |
| return evidence_watermark(self.evidence_tier) | |
| def data(self) -> Mapping[str, Any]: | |
| return cast(Mapping[str, Any], self.manifest["data"]) | |
| def symbols(self) -> tuple[str, ...]: | |
| return tuple(str(value) for value in cast(Sequence[Any], self.data["symbols"])) | |
| def observed_start_utc(self) -> str: | |
| return cast(str, self.data["observed_start_utc"]) | |
| def observed_end_utc(self) -> str: | |
| return cast(str, self.data["observed_end_utc"]) | |
| def _read_json(path: Path) -> Any: | |
| try: | |
| with path.open(encoding="utf-8") as handle: | |
| return json.load(handle) | |
| except (OSError, json.JSONDecodeError) as error: | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError( | |
| f"cannot read valid JSON from {path.name}: {error}" | |
| ) from error | |
| def _read_json_object(path: Path) -> dict[str, Any]: | |
| payload = _read_json(path) | |
| if not isinstance(payload, dict): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError(f"{path.name} must contain a JSON object") | |
| return cast(dict[str, Any], payload) | |
| def _utc(value: Any, field: str) -> datetime: | |
| if not isinstance(value, str): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError(f"{field} must be a UTC timestamp string") | |
| try: | |
| parsed = datetime.fromisoformat(value.replace("Z", "+00:00")) | |
| except ValueError as error: | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError(f"{field} is not an ISO-8601 timestamp") from error | |
| if parsed.tzinfo is None or parsed.utcoffset() != UTC.utcoffset(parsed): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError(f"{field} must be explicitly UTC") | |
| return parsed | |
| def _require_sha256(value: Any, field: str) -> str: | |
| if not isinstance(value, str) or _HEX_64.fullmatch(value) is None: | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError(f"{field} must be a lowercase SHA-256 digest") | |
| return value | |
| def _validate_manifest(manifest: Mapping[str, Any], provenance: Mapping[str, Any]) -> None: | |
| run_id = manifest.get("run_id") | |
| if not isinstance(run_id, str) or not run_id.strip(): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError("run_manifest.json requires a non-empty run_id") | |
| if manifest.get("status") != "complete": | |
| raise IncompleteRunError("run_manifest.json status must be 'complete'") | |
| tier = manifest.get("evidence_tier") | |
| if not isinstance(tier, str) or tier not in EVIDENCE_TIERS: | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError(f"unsupported evidence tier {tier!r}") | |
| if provenance.get("evidence_tier") != tier: | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError("run manifest and provenance evidence tiers do not match") | |
| data = manifest.get("data") | |
| if not isinstance(data, Mapping): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError("run_manifest.json requires a data object") | |
| mode = data.get("mode") | |
| source = data.get("source") | |
| if not isinstance(mode, str) or not isinstance(source, str): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError("data.mode and data.source must be strings") | |
| synthetic_source = "synthetic" in mode.lower() or "synthetic" in source.lower() | |
| if tier == "SYNTHETIC_SMOKE" and not synthetic_source: | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError( | |
| "SYNTHETIC_SMOKE requires a clearly identified synthetic data source" | |
| ) | |
| if tier != "SYNTHETIC_SMOKE" and synthetic_source: | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError( | |
| "synthetic data cannot be promoted to public-sample or full-data evidence" | |
| ) | |
| if tier == "FULL_DATA" and data.get("all_requested_ranges_complete") is not True: | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError( | |
| "FULL_DATA requires manifested complete coverage for every requested range" | |
| ) | |
| symbols = data.get("symbols") | |
| if ( | |
| not isinstance(symbols, Sequence) | |
| or isinstance(symbols, str) | |
| or not symbols | |
| or not all(isinstance(symbol, str) and symbol for symbol in symbols) | |
| ): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError("data.symbols must be a non-empty string list") | |
| observed_start = _utc(data.get("observed_start_utc"), "data.observed_start_utc") | |
| observed_end = _utc(data.get("observed_end_utc"), "data.observed_end_utc") | |
| if observed_end < observed_start: | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError("observed data period ends before it starts") | |
| _utc(provenance.get("generated_at_utc"), "provenance.generated_at_utc") | |
| _require_sha256(provenance.get("config_sha256"), "provenance.config_sha256") | |
| input_hashes = provenance.get("input_manifest_sha256") | |
| if not isinstance(input_hashes, list): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError("provenance.input_manifest_sha256 must be a list") | |
| if tier != "SYNTHETIC_SMOKE" and not input_hashes: | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError( | |
| "public-sample and full-data runs require at least one input manifest SHA-256" | |
| ) | |
| for index, digest in enumerate(input_hashes): | |
| _require_sha256(digest, f"provenance.input_manifest_sha256[{index}]") | |
| manifest_run_key = manifest.get("run_key") | |
| provenance_run_key = provenance.get("run_key") | |
| if manifest_run_key is not None or provenance_run_key is not None: | |
| manifest_digest = _require_sha256(manifest_run_key, "run_manifest.run_key") | |
| provenance_digest = _require_sha256(provenance_run_key, "provenance.run_key") | |
| if not hmac.compare_digest(manifest_digest, provenance_digest): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError("run manifest and provenance run keys do not match") | |
| git = provenance.get("git") | |
| if not isinstance(git, Mapping): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError("provenance.git must be an object") | |
| commit = git.get("commit") | |
| if commit != "UNBORN" and ( | |
| not isinstance(commit, str) or _GIT_REVISION.fullmatch(commit) is None | |
| ): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError( | |
| "provenance.git.commit must be UNBORN or a 40/64-character revision" | |
| ) | |
| if not isinstance(git.get("dirty"), bool): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError("provenance.git.dirty must be boolean") | |
| def _safe_relative_path(root: Path, value: Any, field: str) -> Path: | |
| if not isinstance(value, str) or not value: | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError(f"{field} must be a relative path") | |
| relative = PurePosixPath(value) | |
| if relative.is_absolute() or ".." in relative.parts: | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError(f"{field} cannot escape the run directory") | |
| destination = root.joinpath(*relative.parts) | |
| if not destination.is_relative_to(root): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError(f"{field} cannot escape the run directory") | |
| return destination | |
| def _artifact_path( | |
| root: Path, | |
| manifest: Mapping[str, Any], | |
| name: str, | |
| fallbacks: Sequence[str], | |
| ) -> Path | None: | |
| artifacts = manifest.get("artifacts", {}) | |
| if not isinstance(artifacts, Mapping): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError("run_manifest.json artifacts must be an object") | |
| declared = artifacts.get(name) | |
| if declared is not None: | |
| path = _safe_relative_path(root, declared, f"artifacts.{name}") | |
| if not path.is_file(): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError( | |
| f"declared artifact {name!r} does not exist: {path.relative_to(root)}" | |
| ) | |
| return path | |
| for fallback in fallbacks: | |
| candidate = root / fallback | |
| if candidate.is_file(): | |
| return candidate | |
| return None | |
| def _records_from_json(path: Path) -> tuple[Mapping[str, Any], ...]: | |
| payload = _read_json(path) | |
| if isinstance(payload, Mapping): | |
| for key in ("rows", "records"): | |
| if key in payload: | |
| payload = payload[key] | |
| break | |
| if not isinstance(payload, list) or not all(isinstance(row, Mapping) for row in payload): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError(f"{path.name} must contain a list of row objects") | |
| return tuple(cast(Mapping[str, Any], row) for row in payload) | |
| def _read_records(path: Path | None) -> tuple[Mapping[str, Any], ...]: | |
| if path is None: | |
| return () | |
| suffix = path.suffix.lower() | |
| if suffix == ".json": | |
| return _records_from_json(path) | |
| if suffix == ".csv": | |
| try: | |
| with path.open(newline="", encoding="utf-8") as handle: | |
| return tuple(dict(row) for row in csv.DictReader(handle)) | |
| except OSError as error: | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError(f"cannot read {path.name}: {error}") from error | |
| if suffix == ".parquet": | |
| try: | |
| import polars as pl | |
| return tuple(pl.read_parquet(path).to_dicts()) | |
| except Exception as error: | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError(f"cannot read {path.name}: {error}") from error | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError(f"unsupported artifact format for {path.name}") | |
| def _read_quality(path: Path | None) -> Mapping[str, Any]: | |
| if path is None: | |
| return {} | |
| payload = _read_json(path) | |
| if not isinstance(payload, Mapping): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError(f"{path.name} must contain a JSON object") | |
| return cast(Mapping[str, Any], payload) | |
| def _bundle_files(root: Path) -> tuple[Path, ...]: | |
| files: list[Path] = [] | |
| for path in root.rglob("*"): | |
| if path.is_symlink(): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError( | |
| f"run bundles may not contain symlinks: {path.relative_to(root)}" | |
| ) | |
| if path.is_file() and path.relative_to(root).as_posix() not in _CHECKSUM_EXCLUSIONS: | |
| files.append(path) | |
| return tuple(sorted(files, key=lambda item: item.relative_to(root).as_posix())) | |
| def _atomic_write_text(path: Path, content: str) -> None: | |
| path.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) | |
| descriptor, temporary_name = tempfile.mkstemp( | |
| dir=path.parent, | |
| prefix=f".{path.name}.", | |
| suffix=".tmp", | |
| text=True, | |
| ) | |
| try: | |
| with os.fdopen(descriptor, "w", encoding="utf-8", newline="\n") as handle: | |
| handle.write(content) | |
| handle.flush() | |
| os.fsync(handle.fileno()) | |
| os.replace(temporary_name, path) | |
| directory_descriptor = os.open(path.parent, os.O_RDONLY) | |
| try: | |
| os.fsync(directory_descriptor) | |
| finally: | |
| os.close(directory_descriptor) | |
| except BaseException: | |
| Path(temporary_name).unlink(missing_ok=True) | |
| raise | |
| def write_checksum_manifest(run_dir: str | Path) -> Path: | |
| """Write deterministic checksums for all current run files. | |
| Call this only while staging a run, before creating ``_SUCCESS``. The | |
| checksum file and completion marker are intentionally excluded. | |
| """ | |
| root = Path(run_dir).resolve() | |
| if not root.is_dir(): | |
| raise IncompleteRunError(f"run directory does not exist: {root}") | |
| if (root / "_SUCCESS").exists() and (root / "INSUFFICIENT_DATA").exists(): | |
| raise IncompleteRunError("run has conflicting completion and insufficient-data markers") | |
| if (root / "_SUCCESS").exists(): | |
| raise RunBundleValidationError( | |
| "cannot rewrite checksums for a completed run; create a new run bundle" | |
| ) | |
| lines = [ | |
| f"{sha256_file(path)} {path.relative_to(root).as_posix()}" for path in _bundle_files(root) | |
| ] | |
| if not lines: | |
| raise IncompleteRunError("cannot checksum an empty run directory") | |
| destination = root / "checksums.sha256" | |
| _atomic_write_text(destination, "\n".join(lines) + "\n") | |
| return destination | |
| def verify_checksums(run_dir: str | Path) -> int: | |
| """Verify checksum coverage and return the number of protected files.""" | |
| root = Path(run_dir).resolve() | |
| checksum_path = root / "checksums.sha256" | |
| if not checksum_path.is_file(): | |
| raise IncompleteRunError("missing checksums.sha256") | |
| try: | |
| lines = checksum_path.read_text(encoding="utf-8").splitlines() | |
| except OSError as error: | |
| raise ChecksumMismatchError(f"cannot read checksums.sha256: {error}") from error | |
| if not lines: | |
| raise ChecksumMismatchError("checksums.sha256 is empty") | |
| declared: dict[str, str] = {} | |
| for line_number, line in enumerate(lines, start=1): | |
| match = _CHECKSUM_LINE.fullmatch(line) | |
| if match is None: | |
| raise ChecksumMismatchError(f"invalid checksums.sha256 line {line_number}") | |
| digest, relative_name = match.groups() | |
| if relative_name in declared: | |
| raise ChecksumMismatchError(f"duplicate checksum entry: {relative_name}") | |
| path = _safe_relative_path(root, relative_name, "checksum path") | |
| if not path.is_file() or path.is_symlink(): | |
| raise ChecksumMismatchError(f"checksummed file is missing: {relative_name}") | |
| actual = sha256_file(path) | |
| if not hmac.compare_digest(actual, digest): | |
| raise ChecksumMismatchError(f"checksum mismatch: {relative_name}") | |
| declared[relative_name] = digest | |
| actual_files = {path.relative_to(root).as_posix() for path in _bundle_files(root)} | |
| declared_files = set(declared) | |
| missing = sorted(actual_files - declared_files) | |
| extra = sorted(declared_files - actual_files) | |
| if missing: | |
| raise ChecksumMismatchError("files absent from checksum manifest: " + ", ".join(missing)) | |
| if extra: | |
| raise ChecksumMismatchError("checksum entries without files: " + ", ".join(extra)) | |
| return len(declared) | |
| def load_run_bundle( | |
| run_dir: str | Path, | |
| *, | |
| require_complete: bool = True, | |
| verify_integrity: bool = True, | |
| ) -> RunBundle: | |
| """Load a run after validating provenance, evidence tier, and integrity.""" | |
| root = Path(run_dir).resolve() | |
| if not root.is_dir(): | |
| raise IncompleteRunError(f"run directory does not exist: {root}") | |
| if (root / "_SUCCESS").exists() and (root / "INSUFFICIENT_DATA").exists(): | |
| raise IncompleteRunError("run has conflicting completion and insufficient-data markers") | |
| if require_complete and not (root / "_SUCCESS").is_file(): | |
| raise IncompleteRunError("missing _SUCCESS completion marker") | |
| if require_complete and verify_integrity: | |
| verify_checksums(root) | |
| manifest_path = root / "run_manifest.json" | |
| provenance_path = root / "provenance.json" | |
| if not manifest_path.is_file(): | |
| raise IncompleteRunError("missing run_manifest.json") | |
| if not provenance_path.is_file(): | |
| raise IncompleteRunError("missing provenance.json") | |
| manifest = _read_json_object(manifest_path) | |
| provenance = _read_json_object(provenance_path) | |
| _validate_manifest(manifest, provenance) | |
| predictive = _artifact_path( | |
| root, | |
| manifest, | |
| "predictive_metrics", | |
| ( | |
| "metrics/predictive_metrics.json", | |
| "metrics/predictive_metrics.csv", | |
| "metrics/predictive_metrics.parquet", | |
| ), | |
| ) | |
| execution = _artifact_path( | |
| root, | |
| manifest, | |
| "execution_metrics", | |
| ( | |
| "metrics/execution_metrics.json", | |
| "metrics/execution_metrics.csv", | |
| "metrics/execution_metrics.parquet", | |
| ), | |
| ) | |
| execution_sensitivity = _artifact_path( | |
| root, | |
| manifest, | |
| "execution_sensitivity", | |
| ( | |
| "metrics/execution_sensitivity.json", | |
| "metrics/execution_sensitivity.csv", | |
| "metrics/execution_sensitivity.parquet", | |
| ), | |
| ) | |
| market_state = _artifact_path( | |
| root, | |
| manifest, | |
| "market_state", | |
| ( | |
| "dashboard/market_state.json", | |
| "dashboard/market_state.csv", | |
| "dashboard/market_state.parquet", | |
| ), | |
| ) | |
| quality_path = _artifact_path( | |
| root, | |
| manifest, | |
| "quality_summary", | |
| ("quality/summary.json",), | |
| ) | |
| hypothesis_path = _artifact_path( | |
| root, | |
| manifest, | |
| "hypothesis_evaluation", | |
| (), | |
| ) | |
| return RunBundle( | |
| root=root, | |
| manifest=manifest, | |
| provenance=provenance, | |
| quality=_read_quality(quality_path), | |
| hypothesis_evaluation=_read_quality(hypothesis_path), | |
| predictive_metrics=_read_records(predictive), | |
| execution_metrics=_read_records(execution), | |
| execution_sensitivity=_read_records(execution_sensitivity), | |
| market_state=_read_records(market_state), | |
| ) | |