Datasets:
Tasks:
Tabular Classification
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parquet
Languages:
English
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< 1K
Tags:
economics
quantitative-finance
causal-inference
macroeconomics
housing-economics
market-microstructure
License:
| from __future__ import annotations | |
| import math | |
| import polars as pl | |
| import pytest | |
| from microstructure.config import FeatureConfig | |
| from microstructure.research.features import ( | |
| ResearchDataError, | |
| TemporalLeakageError, | |
| build_research_features, | |
| build_research_frame, | |
| model_feature_columns, | |
| validate_temporal_contract, | |
| ) | |
| SECOND = 1_000_000_000 | |
| def _feature_config() -> FeatureConfig: | |
| return FeatureConfig( | |
| trade_windows=(2,), | |
| volatility_window=2, | |
| intensity_window=2, | |
| label_horizon_events=2, | |
| large_trade_quantile=0.9, | |
| ) | |
| def _books() -> pl.DataFrame: | |
| rows = [ | |
| (0, "segment-a", 1, 100.0, 10.0, 102.0, 10.0), | |
| (1, "segment-a", 2, 100.0, 12.0, 102.0, 8.0), | |
| (2, "segment-a", 3, 101.0, 5.0, 102.0, 5.0), | |
| (3, "segment-a", 4, 101.0, 4.0, 103.0, 6.0), | |
| (4, "segment-a", 5, 102.0, 8.0, 103.0, 4.0), | |
| (5, "segment-a", 6, 102.0, 6.0, 104.0, 6.0), | |
| (6, "segment-b", 20, 110.0, 5.0, 112.0, 5.0), | |
| (7, "segment-b", 21, 110.0, 7.0, 112.0, 3.0), | |
| (8, "segment-b", 22, 111.0, 5.0, 112.0, 5.0), | |
| ] | |
| return pl.DataFrame( | |
| { | |
| "symbol": ["BTCUSDT"] * len(rows), | |
| "event_ts_ns": [row[0] * SECOND for row in rows], | |
| "available_ts_ns": [row[0] * SECOND for row in rows], | |
| "continuity_id": [row[1] for row in rows], | |
| "sequence_end": [row[2] for row in rows], | |
| "is_valid": [True] * len(rows), | |
| "best_bid": [row[3] for row in rows], | |
| "bid_quantity": [row[4] for row in rows], | |
| "best_ask": [row[5] for row in rows], | |
| "ask_quantity": [row[6] for row in rows], | |
| } | |
| ) | |
| def _trades() -> pl.DataFrame: | |
| return pl.DataFrame( | |
| { | |
| "symbol": ["BTCUSDT", "BTCUSDT", "BTCUSDT", "BTCUSDT"], | |
| "continuity_id": ["segment-a", "segment-a", "segment-a", "segment-b"], | |
| "trade_id": [1, 2, 3, 4], | |
| "available_ts_ns": [SECOND // 2, SECOND, 3 * SECOND // 2, 7 * SECOND], | |
| "quantity": [2.0, 7.0, 3.0, 100.0], | |
| "aggressor_side": ["buy", "sell", "sell", "buy"], | |
| } | |
| ) | |
| def test_hand_checked_causal_features_and_strict_trade_tie() -> None: | |
| frame = build_research_frame(_books(), _trades(), _feature_config()) | |
| at_one = frame.filter(pl.col("decision_ts_ns") == SECOND).row(0, named=True) | |
| assert at_one["mid_price"] == 101.0 | |
| assert at_one["spread"] == 2.0 | |
| assert at_one["queue_imbalance_l1"] == pytest.approx(0.2) | |
| assert at_one["causal_microprice"] == pytest.approx(101.2) | |
| assert at_one["ofi_l1"] == pytest.approx(4.0) | |
| # The buy at 0.5 seconds is known. The sell timestamped exactly at this | |
| # book decision is from a separately ordered archive stream and is excluded. | |
| assert at_one["signed_trade_volume_w2"] == pytest.approx(2.0) | |
| assert at_one["trade_feature_max_source_ts_ns"] == SECOND // 2 | |
| assert at_one["trade_feature_max_source_ts_ns"] < at_one["decision_ts_ns"] | |
| assert at_one["realized_price_impact_bps_1"] == pytest.approx(0.0) | |
| assert at_one["spread_recovery_bps_1"] == pytest.approx(0.0) | |
| assert at_one["depth_recovery_l1_1"] == pytest.approx(0.0) | |
| def test_feature_stage_can_be_reused_before_any_label_horizon_is_opened() -> None: | |
| features = build_research_features(_books(), _trades(), _feature_config()) | |
| labeled = build_research_frame(_books(), _trades(), _feature_config()) | |
| assert "future_mid_return" not in features.columns | |
| assert features.select("symbol", "continuity_id", "decision_sequence").equals( | |
| labeled.select("symbol", "continuity_id", "decision_sequence") | |
| ) | |
| assert ( | |
| features.get_column("max_feature_source_ts_ns").to_list() | |
| == labeled.get_column("max_feature_source_ts_ns").to_list() | |
| ) | |
| def test_optional_multilevel_depth_and_cancellation_enter_canonical_frame() -> None: | |
| books = _books().with_columns( | |
| pl.lit("binance_spot").alias("venue"), | |
| (pl.col("bid_quantity") + 4.0).alias("depth_bid_5"), | |
| (pl.col("ask_quantity") + 6.0).alias("depth_ask_5"), | |
| (pl.col("bid_quantity") + 14.0).alias("depth_bid_10"), | |
| (pl.col("ask_quantity") + 16.0).alias("depth_ask_10"), | |
| ) | |
| depth_deltas = pl.DataFrame( | |
| { | |
| "venue": ["binance_spot"] * books.height, | |
| "symbol": ["BTCUSDT"] * books.height, | |
| "event_ts_ns": books.get_column("event_ts_ns"), | |
| "available_ts_ns": books.get_column("available_ts_ns"), | |
| "continuity_id": books.get_column("continuity_id"), | |
| "first_update_id": books.get_column("sequence_end"), | |
| "last_update_id": books.get_column("sequence_end"), | |
| "bids": [ | |
| [{"price_ticks": 10_000, "quantity_lots": 0 if index == 1 else 10}] | |
| for index in range(books.height) | |
| ], | |
| "asks": [[{"price_ticks": 10_200, "quantity_lots": 10}] for _ in range(books.height)], | |
| } | |
| ) | |
| frame = build_research_frame( | |
| books, | |
| _trades(), | |
| _feature_config(), | |
| depth_deltas=depth_deltas, | |
| ) | |
| at_one = frame.filter(pl.col("decision_ts_ns") == SECOND).row(0, named=True) | |
| assert at_one["depth_total_l5"] == pytest.approx(30.0) | |
| assert at_one["queue_imbalance_l5"] == pytest.approx(2.0 / 30.0) | |
| assert at_one["cancellation_deletes_w2"] == 1 | |
| assert at_one["cancellation_intensity_w2"] == pytest.approx(0.25) | |
| assert at_one["cancellation_feature_max_source_ts_ns"] == SECOND | |
| assert "cancellation_intensity_w2" in model_feature_columns(frame) | |
| validate_temporal_contract(frame) | |
| def test_future_event_label_is_exact_right_censored_and_gap_local() -> None: | |
| frame = build_research_frame(_books(), _trades(), _feature_config()) | |
| at_two = frame.filter(pl.col("decision_ts_ns") == 2 * SECOND).row(0, named=True) | |
| assert at_two["future_mid_return"] == pytest.approx(math.log(102.5 / 101.5)) | |
| assert at_two["future_mid_direction"] == 1 | |
| assert at_two["future_mid_up"] == 1 | |
| assert at_two["label_information_end_ts_ns"] == 4 * SECOND | |
| # The final two rows of segment A may not look into segment B even though | |
| # later book observations exist globally. | |
| segment_a_tail = frame.filter( | |
| (pl.col("continuity_id") == "segment-a") & (pl.col("decision_ts_ns") >= 4 * SECOND) | |
| ) | |
| assert segment_a_tail.get_column("right_censored").to_list() == [True, True] | |
| assert segment_a_tail.get_column("future_mid_return").null_count() == 2 | |
| first_b = ( | |
| frame.filter(pl.col("continuity_id") == "segment-b") | |
| .sort("decision_sequence") | |
| .row(0, named=True) | |
| ) | |
| assert first_b["ofi_l1"] == 0.0 | |
| assert first_b["signed_trade_volume_w2"] == 0.0 | |
| audit = validate_temporal_contract(frame) | |
| assert audit.rows == 9 | |
| assert audit.right_censored_rows == 4 | |
| assert audit.continuity_segments == 2 | |
| def test_delayed_old_continuity_trade_cannot_enter_new_segment_features() -> None: | |
| trades = pl.DataFrame( | |
| { | |
| "symbol": ["BTCUSDT", "BTCUSDT"], | |
| "continuity_id": ["segment-b", "segment-a"], | |
| "trade_id": [20, 21], | |
| "available_ts_ns": [6 * SECOND + SECOND // 4, 6 * SECOND + SECOND // 2], | |
| "quantity": [3.0, 100.0], | |
| "aggressor_side": ["sell", "buy"], | |
| } | |
| ) | |
| frame = build_research_frame(_books(), trades, _feature_config()) | |
| second_b = frame.filter( | |
| (pl.col("continuity_id") == "segment-b") & (pl.col("decision_ts_ns") == 7 * SECOND) | |
| ).row(0, named=True) | |
| assert second_b["signed_trade_volume_w2"] == pytest.approx(-3.0) | |
| assert second_b["trade_volume_w2"] == pytest.approx(3.0) | |
| assert second_b["trade_feature_max_source_ts_ns"] == 6 * SECOND + SECOND // 4 | |
| def test_unsegmented_trades_fail_closed_for_multi_segment_books() -> None: | |
| trades_without_continuity = _trades().drop("continuity_id") | |
| with pytest.raises(ResearchDataError, match="require continuity_id"): | |
| build_research_frame(_books(), trades_without_continuity, _feature_config()) | |
| def test_mutating_the_future_cannot_change_past_features() -> None: | |
| original_books = _books() | |
| original = build_research_frame(original_books, _trades(), _feature_config()) | |
| mutated_books = original_books.with_columns( | |
| pl.when(pl.col("available_ts_ns") > 2 * SECOND) | |
| .then(pl.col("best_bid") + 10_000.0) | |
| .otherwise(pl.col("best_bid")) | |
| .alias("best_bid"), | |
| pl.when(pl.col("available_ts_ns") > 2 * SECOND) | |
| .then(pl.col("best_ask") + 10_000.0) | |
| .otherwise(pl.col("best_ask")) | |
| .alias("best_ask"), | |
| ) | |
| mutated_trades = pl.concat( | |
| [ | |
| _trades(), | |
| pl.DataFrame( | |
| { | |
| "symbol": ["BTCUSDT"], | |
| "continuity_id": ["segment-a"], | |
| "trade_id": [99], | |
| "available_ts_ns": [3 * SECOND], | |
| "quantity": [1_000_000.0], | |
| "aggressor_side": ["buy"], | |
| } | |
| ), | |
| ] | |
| ) | |
| mutated = build_research_frame(mutated_books, mutated_trades, _feature_config()) | |
| feature_columns = [ | |
| "mid_price", | |
| "spread_bps", | |
| "queue_imbalance_l1", | |
| "causal_microprice", | |
| "ofi_l1", | |
| "signed_trade_volume_w2", | |
| "trade_volume_w2", | |
| "realized_volatility_w2", | |
| ] | |
| cutoff = pl.col("decision_ts_ns") <= 2 * SECOND | |
| assert ( | |
| original.filter(cutoff) | |
| .select(feature_columns) | |
| .equals(mutated.filter(cutoff).select(feature_columns)) | |
| ) | |
| def test_lineage_guard_rejects_deliberate_future_source() -> None: | |
| frame = build_research_frame(_books(), _trades(), _feature_config()) | |
| leaked = frame.with_columns( | |
| (pl.col("feature_cutoff_ts_ns") + 1).alias("max_feature_source_ts_ns") | |
| ) | |
| with pytest.raises(TemporalLeakageError, match="feature lineage"): | |
| validate_temporal_contract(leaked) | |