from __future__ import annotations import math import polars as pl import pytest from microstructure.config import FeatureConfig from microstructure.research.features import TemporalLeakageError from microstructure.research.trade_only import ( build_trade_only_research_frame, validate_trade_only_temporal_contract, ) SECOND = 1_000_000_000 def _config() -> FeatureConfig: return FeatureConfig( trade_windows=(2,), volatility_window=2, intensity_window=2, label_horizon_events=2, large_trade_quantile=0.9, ) def _trades() -> pl.DataFrame: rows = [ ("segment-a", 1, 0, 100.0, 1.0, "buy"), ("segment-a", 2, 1, 101.0, 2.0, "sell"), ("segment-a", 3, 2, 99.0, 3.0, "buy"), ("segment-a", 4, 3, 102.0, 4.0, "buy"), ("segment-a", 5, 4, 104.0, 5.0, "sell"), ("segment-b", 10, 5, 200.0, 6.0, "buy"), ("segment-b", 11, 6, 201.0, 7.0, "sell"), ("segment-b", 12, 7, 199.0, 8.0, "sell"), ] return pl.DataFrame( { "symbol": ["BTCUSDT"] * len(rows), "continuity_id": [row[0] for row in rows], "trade_id": [row[1] for row in rows], "event_ts_ns": [row[2] * SECOND for row in rows], "available_ts_ns": [row[2] * SECOND for row in rows], "price": [row[3] for row in rows], "quantity": [row[4] for row in rows], "aggressor_side": [row[5] for row in rows], } ) def test_trade_only_features_are_hand_checked_and_causal() -> None: frame = build_trade_only_research_frame(_trades(), _config()) second = frame.filter(pl.col("decision_trade_id") == 2).row(0, named=True) assert second["signed_trade_volume_w2"] == pytest.approx(-1.0) assert second["trade_volume_w2"] == pytest.approx(3.0) assert second["trade_imbalance_w2"] == pytest.approx(-1.0 / 3.0) assert second["trade_count_w2"] == 2.0 assert second["trade_intensity_w2"] == pytest.approx(2.0) assert second["log_trade_return_1"] == pytest.approx(math.log(101.0 / 100.0)) assert second["realized_volatility_w2"] == pytest.approx(abs(math.log(101.0 / 100.0))) assert second["max_feature_source_ts_ns"] == second["decision_ts_ns"] assert second["max_feature_source_trade_id"] == second["decision_trade_id"] def test_future_mutation_cannot_change_past_trade_features() -> None: original = build_trade_only_research_frame(_trades(), _config()) mutated_trades = _trades().with_columns( pl.when(pl.col("available_ts_ns") > SECOND) .then(pl.col("price") * 10.0) .otherwise(pl.col("price")) .alias("price"), pl.when(pl.col("available_ts_ns") > SECOND) .then(pl.col("quantity") * 100.0) .otherwise(pl.col("quantity")) .alias("quantity"), pl.when(pl.col("available_ts_ns") > SECOND) .then(pl.lit("sell")) .otherwise(pl.col("aggressor_side")) .alias("aggressor_side"), ) mutated = build_trade_only_research_frame(mutated_trades, _config()) feature_columns = [ "signed_trade_volume_w2", "trade_volume_w2", "trade_imbalance_w2", "trade_intensity_w2", "log_trade_return_1", "realized_volatility_w2", ] past = pl.col("decision_ts_ns") <= SECOND assert ( original.filter(past) .select(feature_columns) .equals(mutated.filter(past).select(feature_columns)) ) def test_future_trade_labels_are_exact_censored_and_continuity_local() -> None: frame = build_trade_only_research_frame(_trades(), _config()) second = frame.filter(pl.col("decision_trade_id") == 2).row(0, named=True) assert second["future_trade_return"] == pytest.approx(math.log(102.0 / 101.0)) assert second["future_trade_price"] == 102.0 assert second["future_trade_direction"] == 1 assert second["future_trade_up"] == 1 assert second["label_information_end_ts_ns"] == 3 * SECOND assert second["label_information_end_trade_id"] == 4 segment_a_tail = frame.filter( (pl.col("continuity_id") == "segment-a") & pl.col("decision_trade_id").is_in([4, 5]) ) assert segment_a_tail.get_column("right_censored").to_list() == [True, True] assert segment_a_tail.get_column("future_trade_return").null_count() == 2 first_b = frame.filter(pl.col("decision_trade_id") == 10).row(0, named=True) assert first_b["signed_trade_volume_w2"] == pytest.approx(6.0) assert first_b["trade_imbalance_w2"] == pytest.approx(1.0) assert first_b["log_trade_return_1"] == 0.0 assert first_b["future_trade_price"] == 199.0 assert first_b["label_information_end_trade_id"] == 12 audit = validate_trade_only_temporal_contract(frame) assert audit.rows == 8 assert audit.labeled_rows == 4 assert audit.right_censored_rows == 4 assert audit.continuity_segments == 2 def test_trade_only_lineage_guard_rejects_future_source() -> None: frame = build_trade_only_research_frame(_trades(), _config()) leaked = frame.with_columns( (pl.col("feature_cutoff_ts_ns") + 1).alias("max_feature_source_ts_ns") ) with pytest.raises(TemporalLeakageError, match="feature lineage"): validate_trade_only_temporal_contract(leaked)