| { |
| "name": "World Awareness Benchmark", |
| "version": "1.0.0", |
| "description": "Tests whether AI agents accurately know current world state.", |
| "date": "2026-06-01", |
| "source": "SimpleFunctions World Model", |
| "scoring": { |
| "exact_match": 2, |
| "correct_direction": 1, |
| "wrong_or_refused": 0, |
| "max_score": 176 |
| }, |
| "categories": [ |
| "Geopolitical", |
| "Economy", |
| "Markets", |
| "Politics", |
| "Tech", |
| "Climate", |
| "Sports", |
| "Middle East" |
| ], |
| "question_count": 88, |
| "questions": [ |
| { |
| "id": "geo-001", |
| "question": "What is the SimpleFunctions Geo Risk Index score (0-100)?", |
| "category": "Geopolitical", |
| "ground_truth": 22, |
| "unit": "score_0_100", |
| "source": "SimpleFunctions Index", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-002", |
| "question": "What is the SimpleFunctions Disagreement Index (0-100)?", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 48, |
| "unit": "score_0_100", |
| "source": "SimpleFunctions Index", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-003", |
| "question": "Is the SimpleFunctions market breadth positive or negative?", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": "positive", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "SimpleFunctions Index", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-004", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: When will the next U.S. recession start??", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 2, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "When will the next U.S. recession start?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-005", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: When will the next U.S. recession start??", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 2, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "When will the next U.S. recession start?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "geo-006", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Donald Trump visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027??", |
| "category": "Geopolitical", |
| "ground_truth": 7, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will Donald Trump visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "geo-007", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Donald Trump visit Iran before Aug 1, 2026??", |
| "category": "Geopolitical", |
| "ground_truth": 2, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will Donald Trump visit Iran before Aug 1, 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-008", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Fed rate cut by...?: December Meeting?", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 28, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Fed rate cut by...?: December Meeting", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-009", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Fed rate cut by...?: September Meeting?", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 13, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Fed rate cut by...?: September Meeting", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-010", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Bitcoin price on Jun 5, 2026??", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 95, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Bitcoin price on Jun 5, 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-011", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Bitcoin price on Jun 5, 2026??", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 92, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Bitcoin price on Jun 5, 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "geo-012", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026??", |
| "category": "Geopolitical", |
| "ground_truth": 7, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "geo-013", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jul 1, 2026??", |
| "category": "Geopolitical", |
| "ground_truth": 2, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jul 1, 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "geo-014", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy leave President of Ukraine before Jul 1, 2026??", |
| "category": "Geopolitical", |
| "ground_truth": 4, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy leave President of Ukraine before Jul 1, 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "geo-015", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy leave President of Ukraine before Oct 1, 2026??", |
| "category": "Geopolitical", |
| "ground_truth": 6, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy leave President of Ukraine before Oct 1, 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "pol-016", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Iliana Yotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election??", |
| "category": "Politics", |
| "ground_truth": 43, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will Iliana Yotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "pol-017", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026??", |
| "category": "Politics", |
| "ground_truth": 40, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-018", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Ethereum reach above $3500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM??", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 21, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will Ethereum reach above $3500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-019", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Ethereum reach above $3750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM??", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 16, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will Ethereum reach above $3750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-020", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the gold close price be above 4494.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT??", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 55, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will the gold close price be above 4494.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-021", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the gold close price be above 4514.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT??", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 51, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will the gold close price be above 4514.99 USD/t.oz on June 05, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-022", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in May 2026??", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 92, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in May 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-023", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in May 2026??", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 82, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in May 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-024", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the unemployment rate for ages 16 to 24 (seasonally adjusted) for 2026 fall below 7.5%??", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 17, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will the unemployment rate for ages 16 to 24 (seasonally adjusted) for 2026 fall below 7.5%?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-025", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: How high will unemployment get before 2027??", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 27, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "How high will unemployment get before 2027?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "tec-026", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Which company has best AI model end of June?: OpenAI?", |
| "category": "Tech", |
| "ground_truth": 4, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Which company has best AI model end of June?: OpenAI", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "tec-027", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Which company has best AI model end of June?: Anthropic?", |
| "category": "Tech", |
| "ground_truth": 82, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Which company has best AI model end of June?: Anthropic", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "cli-028", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the maximum temperature be 95-96° on Jun 2, 2026??", |
| "category": "Climate", |
| "ground_truth": 2, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will the maximum temperature be 95-96° on Jun 2, 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "cli-029", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the maximum temperature be 94-95° on Jun 1, 2026??", |
| "category": "Climate", |
| "ground_truth": 2, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will the maximum temperature be 94-95° on Jun 1, 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "pol-030", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) any sitting Supreme Court justice before Aug 1, 2026??", |
| "category": "Politics", |
| "ground_truth": 6, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) any sitting Supreme Court justice before Aug 1, 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "pol-031", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) any sitting Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027??", |
| "category": "Politics", |
| "ground_truth": 65, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) any sitting Supreme Court justice before Jan 1, 2027?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-032", |
| "question": "What is the current SPY price?", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 755.95, |
| "unit": "usd", |
| "source": "SPY via Databento", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-033", |
| "question": "What is the current QQQ price?", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 738.05, |
| "unit": "usd", |
| "source": "QQQ via Databento", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-034", |
| "question": "What is the current GLD price?", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 417.07, |
| "unit": "usd", |
| "source": "GLD via Databento", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-035", |
| "question": "What is the current USO price?", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 128.79, |
| "unit": "usd", |
| "source": "USO via Databento", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-036", |
| "question": "What is the current TLT price?", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 85.85, |
| "unit": "usd", |
| "source": "TLT via Databento", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-037", |
| "question": "What is the current IWM price?", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 290.62, |
| "unit": "usd", |
| "source": "IWM via Databento", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-038", |
| "question": "What is the current EEM price?", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 68.64, |
| "unit": "usd", |
| "source": "EEM via Databento", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-039", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 4: Oklahoma City at Los Angeles L Winner? (resolved 2026-05-12 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-040", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 3: Los Angeles L at Houston Winner? (resolved 2026-04-25 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR24LALHOU-LAL", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-041", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Sean Strickland win the Chimaev vs Strickland professional MMA fight scheduled for May 9, 2026? (resolved 2026-05-10 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY09CHISTR-STR", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-042", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 4: Los Angeles L at Houston Winner? (resolved 2026-04-27 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR26LALHOU-LAL", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-043", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 2: Los Angeles L at Oklahoma City Winner? (resolved 2026-05-08 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY07LALOKC-LAL", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-044", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Philadelphia vs Boston 2026 1st Round series winner? (resolved 2026-05-03 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBASERIES-26PHIBOSR1-PHI", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mid-045", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? (resolved 2026-04-30 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Middle East", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x813451b970c8aae23a9b2441fd9be8367e8691a636323ced76f6fd1914c1e0a8", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-046", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Philadelphia vs Boston 2026 1st Round series winner? (resolved 2026-05-03 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBASERIES-26PHIBOSR1-BOS", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-047", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 1: Los Angeles L at Oklahoma City Winner? (resolved 2026-05-06 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY05LALOKC-LAL", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-048", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 4: San Antonio at Portland Winner? (resolved 2026-04-26 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR26SASPOR-SAS", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-049", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 4: San Antonio at Minnesota Winner? (resolved 2026-05-11 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY10SASMIN-MIN", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-050", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 5: Minnesota at San Antonio Winner? (resolved 2026-05-13 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY12MINSAS-MIN", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-051", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 1: Minnesota at San Antonio Winner? (resolved 2026-05-05 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY04MINSAS-MIN", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-052", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 4: San Antonio at Minnesota Winner? (resolved 2026-05-11 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY10SASMIN-SAS", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-053", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Toronto vs Cleveland 2026 1st Round series winner? (resolved 2026-05-04 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBASERIES-26TORCLER1-TOR", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-054", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 3: New York at Atlanta Winner? (resolved 2026-04-24 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR23NYKATL-NYK", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-055", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 5: Houston at Los Angeles L Winner? (resolved 2026-04-30 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR29HOULAL-LAL", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-056", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 4: Denver at Minnesota Winner? (resolved 2026-04-26 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR25DENMIN-MIN", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-057", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the Minnesota win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals? (resolved 2026-05-16 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBA-26-MIN", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-058", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 3: Oklahoma City at Los Angeles L Winner? (resolved 2026-05-10 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY09OKCLAL-LAL", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-059", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Golden State at Phoenix Winner? (resolved 2026-04-18 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR17GSWPHX-GSW", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-060", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the Los Angeles L win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals? (resolved 2026-05-12 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBA-26-LAL", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-061", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 2: Phoenix at Oklahoma City Winner? (resolved 2026-04-23 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR22PHXOKC-PHX", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-062", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 6: San Antonio at Minnesota Winner? (resolved 2026-05-16 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY15SASMIN-MIN", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-063", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 3: San Antonio at Minnesota Winner? (resolved 2026-05-09 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY08SASMIN-MIN", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-064", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 5: Cleveland at Detroit Winner? (resolved 2026-05-14 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-065", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series winner? (resolved 2026-05-18 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBASERIES-26CLEDETR2-DET", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-066", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 4: Detroit at Cleveland Winner? (resolved 2026-05-12 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY11DETCLE-DET", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-067", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Orlando vs Detroit 2026 1st Round series winner? (resolved 2026-05-03 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBASERIES-26ORLDETR1-ORL", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-068", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 5: Cleveland at Detroit Winner? (resolved 2026-05-14 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY13CLEDET-DET", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-069", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 5: Minnesota at Denver Winner? (resolved 2026-04-28 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR27MINDEN-MIN", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-070", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 2: Houston at Los Angeles L Winner? (resolved 2026-04-22 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR21HOULAL-LAL", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-071", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 4: Denver at Minnesota Winner? (resolved 2026-04-26 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR25DENMIN-DEN", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-072", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 3: Denver at Minnesota Winner? (resolved 2026-04-24 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR23DENMIN-DEN", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-073", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Scottie Scheffler win the PGA Championship? (resolved 2026-05-17 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXPGATOUR-PGC26-SSCH", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-074", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 3: Detroit at Cleveland Winner? (resolved 2026-05-09 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY09DETCLE-DET", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-075", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 2: Minnesota at Denver Winner? (resolved 2026-04-21 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR20MINDEN-MIN", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-076", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series winner? (resolved 2026-05-18 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBASERIES-26CLEDETR2-CLE", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-077", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 2: Portland at San Antonio Winner? (resolved 2026-04-22 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR21PORSAS-POR", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-078", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 3: San Antonio at Portland Winner? (resolved 2026-04-25 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR24SASPOR-SAS", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-079", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 6: Los Angeles L at Houston Winner? (resolved 2026-05-02 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY01LALHOU-LAL", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-080", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 4: Oklahoma City at Los Angeles L Winner? (resolved 2026-05-12 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-081", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 6: Denver at Minnesota Winner? (resolved 2026-05-01 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR30DENMIN-MIN", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-082", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 3: Detroit at Orlando Winner? (resolved 2026-04-25 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR25DETORL-DET", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-083", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 5: Orlando at Detroit Winner? (resolved 2026-04-30 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR29ORLDET-ORL", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-084", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 3: Los Angeles L at Houston Winner? (resolved 2026-04-25 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR24LALHOU-HOU", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-085", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 4: Boston at Philadelphia Winner? (resolved 2026-04-27 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR26BOSPHI-PHI", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-086", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 2: Philadelphia at New York Winner? (resolved 2026-05-07 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY06PHINYK-PHI", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-087", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 2: Los Angeles L at Oklahoma City Winner? (resolved 2026-05-08 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAY07LALOKC-OKC", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-088", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 4: Detroit at Orlando Winner? (resolved 2026-04-28 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR27DETORL-DET", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-06-01" |
| } |
| ] |
| } |
