| { |
| "name": "World Awareness Benchmark", |
| "version": "1.0.0", |
| "description": "Tests whether AI agents accurately know current world state.", |
| "date": "2026-07-01", |
| "source": "SimpleFunctions World Model", |
| "scoring": { |
| "exact_match": 2, |
| "correct_direction": 1, |
| "wrong_or_refused": 0, |
| "max_score": 180 |
| }, |
| "categories": [ |
| "Geopolitical", |
| "Economy", |
| "Markets", |
| "Energy", |
| "Politics", |
| "Tech", |
| "Climate", |
| "Sports", |
| "Soccer", |
| "Trump" |
| ], |
| "question_count": 90, |
| "questions": [ |
| { |
| "id": "geo-001", |
| "question": "What is the SimpleFunctions Geo Risk Index score (0-100)?", |
| "category": "Geopolitical", |
| "ground_truth": 0, |
| "unit": "score_0_100", |
| "source": "SimpleFunctions Index", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-002", |
| "question": "What is the SimpleFunctions Disagreement Index (0-100)?", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 57, |
| "unit": "score_0_100", |
| "source": "SimpleFunctions Index", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-003", |
| "question": "Is the SimpleFunctions market breadth positive or negative?", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": "positive", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "SimpleFunctions Index", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-004", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: When will the next U.S. recession start??", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 2, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "When will the next U.S. recession start?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-005", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: When will the next U.S. recession start??", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 8, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "When will the next U.S. recession start?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "geo-006", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Donald Trump meet in person the Supreme Leader of Iran before Aug 1, 2026??", |
| "category": "Geopolitical", |
| "ground_truth": 2, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will Donald Trump meet in person the Supreme Leader of Iran before Aug 1, 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "geo-007", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Donald Trump meet in person the Supreme Leader of Iran before Sep 1, 2026??", |
| "category": "Geopolitical", |
| "ground_truth": 2, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will Donald Trump meet in person the Supreme Leader of Iran before Sep 1, 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-008", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Fed rate cut by...?: December Meeting?", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 19, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Fed rate cut by...?: December Meeting", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-009", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Fed rate cut by...?: September Meeting?", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 6, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Fed rate cut by...?: September Meeting", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-010", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Bitcoin price on Jul 3, 2026??", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 96, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Bitcoin price on Jul 3, 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-011", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Bitcoin price on Jul 3, 2026??", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 98, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Bitcoin price on Jul 3, 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "ene-012", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the price of WTI oil be above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST??", |
| "category": "Energy", |
| "ground_truth": 61, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will the price of WTI oil be above 75 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "ene-013", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the price of WTI oil be above 80 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST??", |
| "category": "Energy", |
| "ground_truth": 24, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will the price of WTI oil be above 80 on December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "geo-014", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026??", |
| "category": "Geopolitical", |
| "ground_truth": 4, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "geo-015", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027??", |
| "category": "Geopolitical", |
| "ground_truth": 13, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "geo-016", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?: December 31?", |
| "category": "Geopolitical", |
| "ground_truth": 51, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?: December 31", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "geo-017", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?: September 30?", |
| "category": "Geopolitical", |
| "ground_truth": 36, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?: September 30", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "pol-018", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026??", |
| "category": "Politics", |
| "ground_truth": 35, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "pol-019", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner: PL?", |
| "category": "Politics", |
| "ground_truth": 78, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner: PL", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-020", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Ethereum reach above $3500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM??", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 13, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will Ethereum reach above $3500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-021", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Ethereum reach above $3750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM??", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 12, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will Ethereum reach above $3750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-022", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the gold close price be above 3837.99 USD/t.oz on July 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT??", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 96, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will the gold close price be above 3837.99 USD/t.oz on July 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-023", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the gold close price be above 3857.99 USD/t.oz on July 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT??", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 93, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will the gold close price be above 3857.99 USD/t.oz on July 02, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-024", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: June Inflation US - Annual: 4.0%?", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 6, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "June Inflation US - Annual: 4.0%", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-025", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: June Inflation US - Annual: 3.8%?", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 45, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "June Inflation US - Annual: 3.8%", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-026", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.8% in Q4 2026??", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 55, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.8% in Q4 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "eco-027", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the unemployment rate for ages 16 to 24 (seasonally adjusted) for 2026 fall below 7.5%??", |
| "category": "Economy", |
| "ground_truth": 17, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will the unemployment rate for ages 16 to 24 (seasonally adjusted) for 2026 fall below 7.5%?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "tec-028", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Which company has best AI model end of July?: OpenAI?", |
| "category": "Tech", |
| "ground_truth": 2, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Which company has best AI model end of July?: OpenAI", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "tec-029", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Which company has best AI model end of July?: Anthropic?", |
| "category": "Tech", |
| "ground_truth": 88, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Which company has best AI model end of July?: Anthropic", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "cli-030", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the minimum temperature be 72-73° on Jul 1, 2026??", |
| "category": "Climate", |
| "ground_truth": 3, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will the minimum temperature be 72-73° on Jul 1, 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "cli-031", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the maximum temperature be 96-97° on Jul 2, 2026??", |
| "category": "Climate", |
| "ground_truth": 45, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will the maximum temperature be 96-97° on Jul 2, 2026?", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "pol-032", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?: December 31?", |
| "category": "Politics", |
| "ground_truth": 75, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?: December 31", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "pol-033", |
| "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?: September 30?", |
| "category": "Politics", |
| "ground_truth": 55, |
| "unit": "percent_cents", |
| "source": "Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?: September 30", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-034", |
| "question": "What is the current SPY price?", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 746.65, |
| "unit": "usd", |
| "source": "SPY via Databento", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-035", |
| "question": "What is the current QQQ price?", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 735.54, |
| "unit": "usd", |
| "source": "QQQ via Databento", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-036", |
| "question": "What is the current GLD price?", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 368.6, |
| "unit": "usd", |
| "source": "GLD via Databento", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-037", |
| "question": "What is the current USO price?", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 106.45, |
| "unit": "usd", |
| "source": "USO via Databento", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-038", |
| "question": "What is the current TLT price?", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 86.27, |
| "unit": "usd", |
| "source": "TLT via Databento", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-039", |
| "question": "What is the current IWM price?", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 299.96, |
| "unit": "usd", |
| "source": "IWM via Databento", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "mar-040", |
| "question": "What is the current EEM price?", |
| "category": "Markets", |
| "ground_truth": 68.38, |
| "unit": "usd", |
| "source": "EEM via Databento", |
| "tolerance": 5, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-041", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Club A win the 2025–26 English Premier League? (resolved 2026-05-27 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x1e27c4400c652e3f9597a3f55217f1125b9c39084b40198035901eb0974e016b", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-042", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Any Other Club win the 2025–26 English Premier League? (resolved 2026-05-27 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x8dc041e9f69f7b9723a22faa6e9d4b02f3ea5079320aed44ae9ccc89a25f4983", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-043", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Club C win the 2025–26 English Premier League? (resolved 2026-05-27 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x78658a14420ebee5770196fbbe11d93ca3f23d9b4c871cd4288e6f9b441e3da4", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-044", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Club D win the 2025–26 English Premier League? (resolved 2026-05-27 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0xcab41ca4e0309454d049f04bd33626a8d11700dce9000ddb141db4d9b13d3a4d", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-045", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League? (resolved 2026-05-27 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0xede5bd35327ea3d3c4ec164df7dd85de41a6c7de5419457281b6ad2d98d15086", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-046", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League? (resolved 2026-05-27 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x819503ca15508ed1ecee519edba1666e8d789ac989590fbb03eda3abaff43e06", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-047", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? (resolved 2026-05-27 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x8c5699dd31e0782b3bff9d3aaf4a0f4077a1449cfa8d2e821c6e881e033c4afb", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-048", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Club B win the 2025–26 English Premier League? (resolved 2026-05-27 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0xb1b66058ce9e4e193549496fec388ded6c1aa8f2760fb9899b17892c19949cbd", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-049", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? (resolved 2026-05-27 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0xcbb6f3d8c0443114ce3c151a1dbcc5b73d34444b0be0e44c42272a1653c3f1f8", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-050", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League? (resolved 2026-05-27 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x5974071cfbede55c04c1e44963c872de571a9286904c8edb1ded240e597a8011", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "soc-051", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League? (resolved 2026-05-31 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Soccer", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x453e4a52fd6e889f4895320475971bc8ed0bc427dba6108341be6abea5660c6e", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "soc-052", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? (resolved 2026-05-31 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Soccer", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0xc2ecc146cbbc8f24186766ef0b2cd56a1757227aee4cc9f951920538769a3490", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "soc-053", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? (resolved 2026-05-31 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Soccer", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x03ea417a6e1705498427bbe8fd89b922664db3020f196595d5c2a88826c7434c", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "soc-054", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? (resolved 2026-05-31 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Soccer", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0xe64a95a022a9012b0e5cba0c4c3c8e81caf10f7dd5a091c24714ed154e02c13c", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "soc-055", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? (resolved 2026-05-31 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Soccer", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0xf9d58b904a94f0431d5bee7070650a305566927b3f7bf00f8529e20c9a99a6d4", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "soc-056", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? (resolved 2026-05-31 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Soccer", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
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| "date": "2026-07-01" |
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| { |
| "id": "soc-057", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? (resolved 2026-05-31 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Soccer", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x2571face33de8d5c3541fb569c10af59bb80fa909e1469af1c35919803943ea6", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "soc-058", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? (resolved 2026-05-31 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Soccer", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x04b1198c2a888f4d162cc5eea844b2f67a80e684d37d8e75bbcde2fc2d06755b", |
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| "date": "2026-07-01" |
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| { |
| "id": "tru-059", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? (resolved 2026-05-31 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Trump", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0xa93b28a6384aefff4e7d5adb2061c444e4a0e95b8ad17755f9cee123c7099b35", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
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| { |
| "id": "spo-060", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner? (resolved 2026-06-11 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
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| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
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| { |
| "id": "spo-061", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Club A win the 2025–26 La Liga? (resolved 2026-05-30 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x6a989864485636ef02a0abc6804fc7f135709ba9679fa48aa68a35fd596cad7a", |
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| "date": "2026-07-01" |
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| { |
| "id": "spo-062", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Club C win the 2025–26 La Liga? (resolved 2026-05-30 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
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| { |
| "id": "spo-063", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Any Other Club win the 2025–26 La Liga? (resolved 2026-05-30 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
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| { |
| "id": "spo-064", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga? (resolved 2026-05-30 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
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| "source": "polymarket:0xefe3a05506e08fefb8c1998aa607fcce31e32a6852ef60bee4c71d0935c97950", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
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| { |
| "id": "spo-065", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga? (resolved 2026-05-30 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
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| "source": "polymarket:0xdb4541feb3b6226ff37f506f7786407e4190e43c51937cc857e01294f5e48dd2", |
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| { |
| "id": "spo-066", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga? (resolved 2026-05-30 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
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| "source": "polymarket:0x3318eb8ca655b3e9be7d3c44b0a0f0533c2c806f33111d8c85c4f5ac73a5d4bf", |
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| { |
| "id": "spo-067", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga? (resolved 2026-05-30 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x42300049e0d90f49cb2e7504dae57a636750f668d6c2c713004b586327ce8abb", |
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| { |
| "id": "spo-068", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Club B win the 2025–26 La Liga? (resolved 2026-05-30 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x6c984fce20a387fdd1a856736ac90cdca8c3323e554a471f638a3c849f4e5767", |
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| "date": "2026-07-01" |
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| { |
| "id": "spo-069", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga? (resolved 2026-05-30 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x0a417e314c60d4221af45fad3ca308ebc060532d8f057da93743163388d20c10", |
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| { |
| "id": "spo-070", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga? (resolved 2026-05-30 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x5e67d2599f32e6cd86a760bf28796da2e796377e5d711b739a1686b0d17dc31c", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
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| { |
| "id": "spo-071", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga? (resolved 2026-05-30 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0xa6a324f5aed32ad2b72b68d276ed4c25a6ca628caf70b602bb2dc2f5e4b4be92", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-072", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Club D win the 2025–26 La Liga? (resolved 2026-05-30 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0xc560dd1b41c82435ceee229e42637195f87ef0d0ccefa575151ae1eb6c9e386e", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-073", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga? (resolved 2026-05-30 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x71b8d91bf97c72da36b0383410c70600a6282928a0c9694f047f9a41d73e73a2", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-074", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga? (resolved 2026-05-30 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x10bcde172545dce79b25b75cf2e9b7b65d673b872dd9727bc320cbeb408a5ffd", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-075", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga? (resolved 2026-05-30 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0xc3d9deeb6a32be1d084651a5d55aba34bc54bc18fabf2af8bc94b30849d70033", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-076", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner? (resolved 2026-06-14 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26JUN13NYKSAS-NYK", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-077", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Player C win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? (resolved 2026-06-10 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0xb6df86f773ab7e783415ea27b2ba1d218276208de2b2c7ca73b4c8a18a2d2b8e", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-078", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Player G win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? (resolved 2026-06-10 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x8da282ebee37dc3b343c698c671f2abdcd751787bbd4c76eb2f700cac604072e", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-079", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Player F win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? (resolved 2026-06-10 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0xe6407bce223e61466e59d9a9cf940ced4ad68341f1b00bb4d187e1d67516ff59", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-080", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Player D win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? (resolved 2026-06-10 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0xbfff74671d9faf128a481e830207bc1a488bac29c0c90025df33efc1d30c4c66", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-081", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Player B win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? (resolved 2026-06-10 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x15ddd7c1a8c15b0bdda5247e95abeb11cd454d7f2a4aad7fe588b6b089837bd4", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-082", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Player J win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? (resolved 2026-06-10 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x35d93e2bee3519ca04d20f450999d1d50ca7ae852b76d8f5c70851d27a320a1b", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-083", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Player I win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? (resolved 2026-06-10 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x5e192a6c82e0f5a09e77d7d5e699919186709740779e88c9acd3c3510e61f094", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-084", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Player K win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? (resolved 2026-06-10 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x2492295395f1613031e4fd26844ca20ea8a925470df692f9e2615d66f770f4dc", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-085", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will any other player win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? (resolved 2026-06-10 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0xc941721468494cba7bb67abf9101394ca22b31589e2f9ec89df8a33a2f39a31b", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-086", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Player E win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? (resolved 2026-06-10 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x9839c59a84dc69420b3ac0578186cd7a814d8a41dc9d92015d963ca8e0ba8837", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-087", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Player H win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? (resolved 2026-06-10 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0x6d1257215cb487af1901d26b1ce8b02db5d3bdca138d47129131ffbe88dc8a3b", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-088", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? (resolved 2026-05-27 on polymarket)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "polymarket:0xd02f8e3b72040d933427396f9f0a9cb740a0adefcec46e345211fa0fc5b975e9", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-089", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the San Antonio win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals? (resolved 2026-06-14 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "no", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBA-26-SAS", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| }, |
| { |
| "id": "spo-090", |
| "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals? (resolved 2026-06-14 on kalshi)", |
| "category": "Sports", |
| "ground_truth": "yes", |
| "unit": "direction", |
| "source": "kalshi:KXNBA-26-NYK", |
| "tolerance": 0, |
| "date": "2026-07-01" |
| } |
| ] |
| } |
