Regenerate benchmark for 2026-05-01

benchmark_2026-05-01.json

@@ -0,0 +1,895 @@
+{
+  "name": "World Awareness Benchmark",
+  "version": "1.0.0",
+  "description": "Tests whether AI agents accurately know current world state.",
+  "date": "2026-05-01",
+  "source": "SimpleFunctions World Model",
+  "scoring": {
+    "exact_match": 2,
+    "correct_direction": 1,
+    "wrong_or_refused": 0,
+    "max_score": 174
+  },
+  "categories": [
+    "Geopolitical",
+    "Economy",
+    "Markets",
+    "Politics",
+    "Tech",
+    "Climate",
+    "Sports"
+  ],
+  "question_count": 87,
+  "questions": [
+    {
+      "id": "geo-001",
+      "question": "What is the SF Geo Risk Index score (0-100)?",
+      "category": "Geopolitical",
+      "ground_truth": 29,
+      "unit": "score_0_100",
+      "source": "SF Index",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "eco-002",
+      "question": "What is the SF Disagreement Index (0-100)?",
+      "category": "Economy",
+      "ground_truth": 49,
+      "unit": "score_0_100",
+      "source": "SF Index",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "eco-003",
+      "question": "Is the SF market breadth positive or negative?",
+      "category": "Economy",
+      "ground_truth": "positive",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "SF Index",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "eco-004",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: When will the next U.S. recession start??",
+      "category": "Economy",
+      "ground_truth": 3,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "When will the next U.S. recession start?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "eco-005",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: When will the next U.S. recession start??",
+      "category": "Economy",
+      "ground_truth": 13,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "When will the next U.S. recession start?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "geo-006",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition??",
+      "category": "Geopolitical",
+      "ground_truth": 6,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "geo-007",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026??",
+      "category": "Geopolitical",
+      "ground_truth": 14,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "eco-008",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Fed rate cut by...?: June Meeting?",
+      "category": "Economy",
+      "ground_truth": 5,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Fed rate cut by...?: June Meeting",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "eco-009",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Fed rate cut by...?: December Meeting?",
+      "category": "Economy",
+      "ground_truth": 46,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Fed rate cut by...?: December Meeting",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "mar-010",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Bitcoin price  on May 2, 2026??",
+      "category": "Markets",
+      "ground_truth": 93,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Bitcoin price  on May 2, 2026?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "mar-011",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Bitcoin price  on May 2, 2026??",
+      "category": "Markets",
+      "ground_truth": 82,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Bitcoin price  on May 2, 2026?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "geo-012",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026??",
+      "category": "Geopolitical",
+      "ground_truth": 7,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "geo-013",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026??",
+      "category": "Geopolitical",
+      "ground_truth": 2,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "geo-014",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: What will happen before GTA VI?: Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire?",
+      "category": "Geopolitical",
+      "ground_truth": 56,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "What will happen before GTA VI?: Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "geo-015",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the Bank of Russia Maintain current rate at the June Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting??",
+      "category": "Geopolitical",
+      "ground_truth": 20,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Will the Bank of Russia Maintain current rate at the June Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "pol-016",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026??",
+      "category": "Politics",
+      "ground_truth": 45,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "pol-017",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Iliana Yotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election??",
+      "category": "Politics",
+      "ground_truth": 57,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Will Iliana Yotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "mar-018",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Ethereum reach above $3500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM??",
+      "category": "Markets",
+      "ground_truth": 38,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Will Ethereum reach above $3500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "mar-019",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Ethereum reach above $3750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM??",
+      "category": "Markets",
+      "ground_truth": 30,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Will Ethereum reach above $3750.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "mar-020",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the gold close price be above 4613.99  USD/t.oz on May 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT??",
+      "category": "Markets",
+      "ground_truth": 43,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Will the gold close price be above 4613.99  USD/t.oz on May 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "eco-021",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: April Inflation US - Annual: 3.8%?",
+      "category": "Economy",
+      "ground_truth": 27,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "April Inflation US - Annual: 3.8%",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "eco-022",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: April Inflation US - Annual: 3.7%?",
+      "category": "Economy",
+      "ground_truth": 36,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "April Inflation US - Annual: 3.7%",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "eco-023",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.4% in Q1 2026??",
+      "category": "Economy",
+      "ground_truth": 3,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.4% in Q1 2026?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "eco-024",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: How high will unemployment get before 2027??",
+      "category": "Economy",
+      "ground_truth": 34,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "How high will unemployment get before 2027?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "tec-025",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Which company has the best AI model end of May?: OpenAI?",
+      "category": "Tech",
+      "ground_truth": 3,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Which company has the best AI model end of May?: OpenAI",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "tec-026",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Which company has the best AI model end of May?: Anthropic?",
+      "category": "Tech",
+      "ground_truth": 80,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Which company has the best AI model end of May?: Anthropic",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "cli-027",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the maximum temperature be  <64° on May 1, 2026??",
+      "category": "Climate",
+      "ground_truth": 97,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Will the maximum temperature be  <64° on May 1, 2026?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "cli-028",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the maximum temperature be  59-60° on May 2, 2026??",
+      "category": "Climate",
+      "ground_truth": 23,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Will the maximum temperature be  59-60° on May 2, 2026?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "pol-029",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by Dec 31, 2026??",
+      "category": "Politics",
+      "ground_truth": 44,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by Dec 31, 2026?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "pol-030",
+      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will any sitting Supreme Court Justice be charged with a any federal crime before Jan 1, 2027??",
+      "category": "Politics",
+      "ground_truth": 2,
+      "unit": "percent_cents",
+      "source": "Will any sitting Supreme Court Justice be charged with a any federal crime before Jan 1, 2027?",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "mar-031",
+      "question": "What is the current SPY price?",
+      "category": "Markets",
+      "ground_truth": 720.1,
+      "unit": "usd",
+      "source": "SPY via Databento",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "mar-032",
+      "question": "What is the current QQQ price?",
+      "category": "Markets",
+      "ground_truth": 667.48,
+      "unit": "usd",
+      "source": "QQQ via Databento",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "mar-033",
+      "question": "What is the current GLD price?",
+      "category": "Markets",
+      "ground_truth": 423.57,
+      "unit": "usd",
+      "source": "GLD via Databento",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "mar-034",
+      "question": "What is the current USO price?",
+      "category": "Markets",
+      "ground_truth": 147.09,
+      "unit": "usd",
+      "source": "USO via Databento",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "mar-035",
+      "question": "What is the current TLT price?",
+      "category": "Markets",
+      "ground_truth": 85.93,
+      "unit": "usd",
+      "source": "TLT via Databento",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "mar-036",
+      "question": "What is the current IWM price?",
+      "category": "Markets",
+      "ground_truth": 278.53,
+      "unit": "usd",
+      "source": "IWM via Databento",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "mar-037",
+      "question": "What is the current EEM price?",
+      "category": "Markets",
+      "ground_truth": 63.97,
+      "unit": "usd",
+      "source": "EEM via Databento",
+      "tolerance": 5,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-038",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will UConn win the College Basketball National Championship? (resolved 2026-04-07 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXMARMAD-26-CONN",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-039",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Scottie Scheffler win the Masters Tournament? (resolved 2026-04-12 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SSCH",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-040",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Rory McIlroy win the Masters Tournament? (resolved 2026-04-12 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RMCI",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-041",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Michigan win the College Basketball National Championship? (resolved 2026-04-07 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXMARMAD-26-MICH",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-042",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Justin Rose win the Masters Tournament? (resolved 2026-04-12 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JROS",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-043",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Cameron Young win the Masters Tournament? (resolved 2026-04-12 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXPGATOUR-MAST26-CYOU",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-044",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Michigan at Arizona Winner? (resolved 2026-04-05 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNCAAMBGAME-26APR04MICHARIZ-ARIZ",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-045",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Golden State at Los Angeles C Winner? (resolved 2026-04-16 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR15GSWLAC-GSW",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-046",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Arizona win the College Basketball National Championship? (resolved 2026-04-05 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXMARMAD-26-ARIZ",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-047",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Illinois at UConn Winner? (resolved 2026-04-05 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNCAAMBGAME-26APR04ILLCONN-ILL",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-048",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Bryson DeChambeau win the Masters Tournament? (resolved 2026-04-10 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BDEC",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-049",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: UConn at Duke Winner? (resolved 2026-03-29 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNCAAMBGAME-26MAR29CONNDUKE-CONN",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-050",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Portland at Phoenix Winner? (resolved 2026-04-15 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR14PORPHX-PHX",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-051",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Michigan at Arizona Winner? (resolved 2026-04-05 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNCAAMBGAME-26APR04MICHARIZ-MICH",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-052",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Illinois at UConn Winner? (resolved 2026-04-05 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNCAAMBGAME-26APR04ILLCONN-CONN",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-053",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Miami at Charlotte Winner? (resolved 2026-04-15 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR14MIACHA-MIA",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-054",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Sam Burns win the Masters Tournament? (resolved 2026-04-12 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SBUR",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-055",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: UConn at Duke Winner? (resolved 2026-03-29 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNCAAMBGAME-26MAR29CONNDUKE-DUKE",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-056",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Illinois at Houston Winner? (resolved 2026-03-27 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNCAAMBGAME-26MAR26ILLHOU-HOU",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-057",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Purdue at Arizona Winner? (resolved 2026-03-29 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNCAAMBGAME-26MAR28PURARIZ-ARIZ",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-058",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Miami at Charlotte Winner? (resolved 2026-04-15 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR14MIACHA-CHA",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-059",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Patrick Reed win the Masters Tournament? (resolved 2026-04-12 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXPGATOUR-MAST26-PREE",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-060",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Duke win the College Basketball National Championship? (resolved 2026-03-30 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXMARMAD-26-DUKE",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-061",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: St. John's at Duke Winner? (resolved 2026-03-28 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNCAAMBGAME-26MAR27SJUDUKE-SJU",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-062",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Portland at Denver Winner? (resolved 2026-04-07 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR06PORDEN-DEN",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-063",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will UCLA win the College Basketball National Championship? (resolved 2026-03-23 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXMARMAD-26-UCLA",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-064",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Orlando at Boston Winner? (resolved 2026-04-13 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR12ORLBOS-BOS",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-065",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Golden State at Los Angeles C Winner? (resolved 2026-04-16 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR15GSWLAC-LAC",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-066",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Portland at Phoenix Winner? (resolved 2026-04-15 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR14PORPHX-POR",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-067",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Michigan St. at UConn Winner? (resolved 2026-03-28 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNCAAMBGAME-26MAR27MSUCONN-MSU",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-068",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Houston at Minnesota Winner? (resolved 2026-03-26 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26MAR25HOUMIN-HOU",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-069",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Purdue at Arizona Winner? (resolved 2026-03-29 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNCAAMBGAME-26MAR28PURARIZ-PUR",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-070",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Xander Schauffele win the Masters Tournament? (resolved 2026-04-12 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXPGATOUR-MAST26-XSCH",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-071",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: St. John's at Duke Winner? (resolved 2026-03-28 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNCAAMBGAME-26MAR27SJUDUKE-DUKE",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-072",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Illinois win the College Basketball National Championship? (resolved 2026-04-05 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXMARMAD-26-ILL",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-073",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Texas at Purdue Winner? (resolved 2026-03-27 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNCAAMBGAME-26MAR26TEXPUR-TEX",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-074",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Houston at Phoenix Winner? (resolved 2026-04-08 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR07HOUPHX-HOU",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-075",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Portland at San Antonio Winner? (resolved 2026-04-09 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR08PORSAS-SAS",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-076",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Denver at San Antonio Winner? (resolved 2026-04-13 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR12DENSAS-DEN",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-077",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Los Angeles L at Oklahoma City Winner? (resolved 2026-04-03 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR02LALOKC-LAL",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-078",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Orlando at Philadelphia Winner? (resolved 2026-04-16 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR15ORLPHI-ORL",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-079",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Arkansas win the College Basketball National Championship? (resolved 2026-03-27 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXMARMAD-26-ARK",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-080",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Los Angeles L at Golden State Winner? (resolved 2026-04-10 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR09LALGSW-LAL",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-081",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Ludvig Aberg win the Masters Tournament? (resolved 2026-04-12 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXPGATOUR-MAST26-LABE",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-082",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Michigan St. at UConn Winner? (resolved 2026-03-28 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNCAAMBGAME-26MAR27MSUCONN-CONN",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-083",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: San Antonio at Denver Winner? (resolved 2026-04-04 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR04SASDEN-SAS",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-084",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Iowa at Illinois Winner? (resolved 2026-03-29 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNCAAMBGAME-26MAR28IOWAILL-IOWA",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-085",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Tennessee at Iowa St. Winner? (resolved 2026-03-28 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNCAAMBGAME-26MAR27TENNISU-ISU",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-086",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Shane Lowry win the Masters Tournament? (resolved 2026-04-12 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "no",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SLOW",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    },
+    {
+      "id": "spo-087",
+      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Orlando at Philadelphia Winner? (resolved 2026-04-16 on kalshi)",
+      "category": "Sports",
+      "ground_truth": "yes",
+      "unit": "direction",
+      "source": "kalshi:KXNBAGAME-26APR15ORLPHI-PHI",
+      "tolerance": 0,
+      "date": "2026-05-01"
+    }
+  ]
+}