{
  "name": "World Awareness Benchmark",
  "version": "1.0.0",
  "description": "Tests whether AI agents accurately know current world state.",
  "date": "2026-08-01",
  "source": "SimpleFunctions World Model",
  "scoring": {
    "exact_match": 2,
    "correct_direction": 1,
    "wrong_or_refused": 0,
    "max_score": 176
  },
  "categories": [
    "Geopolitical",
    "Economy",
    "Markets",
    "Politics",
    "Tech",
    "Climate",
    "Sports",
    "Ukraine Peace Deal",
    "Monad"
  ],
  "question_count": 88,
  "questions": [
    {
      "id": "geo-001",
      "question": "What is the SimpleFunctions Geo Risk Index score (0-100)?",
      "category": "Geopolitical",
      "ground_truth": 0,
      "unit": "score_0_100",
      "source": "SimpleFunctions Index",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "eco-002",
      "question": "What is the SimpleFunctions Disagreement Index (0-100)?",
      "category": "Economy",
      "ground_truth": 31,
      "unit": "score_0_100",
      "source": "SimpleFunctions Index",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "eco-003",
      "question": "Is the SimpleFunctions market breadth positive or negative?",
      "category": "Economy",
      "ground_truth": "positive",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "SimpleFunctions Index",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "eco-004",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will there be a recession in 2026??",
      "category": "Economy",
      "ground_truth": 8,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Will there be a recession in 2026?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "eco-005",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will there be a recession in 2027??",
      "category": "Economy",
      "ground_truth": 39,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Will there be a recession in 2027?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "geo-006",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027??",
      "category": "Geopolitical",
      "ground_truth": 7,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "geo-007",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Iran hold a presidential election before Jan 1, 2027??",
      "category": "Geopolitical",
      "ground_truth": 5,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Will Iran hold a presidential election before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "eco-008",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Fed rate cut by...?: December Meeting?",
      "category": "Economy",
      "ground_truth": 12,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Fed rate cut by...?: December Meeting",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "eco-009",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Fed rate cut by...?: September Meeting?",
      "category": "Economy",
      "ground_truth": 2,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Fed rate cut by...?: September Meeting",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "mar-010",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Bitcoin price on Aug 1, 2026??",
      "category": "Markets",
      "ground_truth": 96,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Bitcoin price on Aug 1, 2026?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "mar-011",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Bitcoin price on Aug 1, 2026??",
      "category": "Markets",
      "ground_truth": 15,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Bitcoin price on Aug 1, 2026?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "geo-012",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026??",
      "category": "Geopolitical",
      "ground_truth": 4,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "geo-013",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027??",
      "category": "Geopolitical",
      "ground_truth": 14,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "geo-014",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?: September 30?",
      "category": "Geopolitical",
      "ground_truth": 29,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?: September 30",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "geo-015",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?: December 31?",
      "category": "Geopolitical",
      "ground_truth": 61,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?: December 31",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "pol-016",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Iliana Yotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election??",
      "category": "Politics",
      "ground_truth": 72,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Will Iliana Yotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "pol-017",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026??",
      "category": "Politics",
      "ground_truth": 31,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "mar-018",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Ethereum price at Aug 1, 2026 at 8pm EDT??",
      "category": "Markets",
      "ground_truth": 15,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Ethereum price at Aug 1, 2026 at 8pm EDT?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "mar-019",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Ethereum reach above $3500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM??",
      "category": "Markets",
      "ground_truth": 14,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Will Ethereum reach above $3500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "mar-020",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the gold close price be above 3824.99 USD/t.oz on August 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT??",
      "category": "Markets",
      "ground_truth": 97,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Will the gold close price be above 3824.99 USD/t.oz on August 07, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "mar-021",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the gold close price be above 3971.99 USD/t.oz on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT??",
      "category": "Markets",
      "ground_truth": 67,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Will the gold close price be above 3971.99 USD/t.oz on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "eco-022",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will year-over-year Core CPI inflation for 2026 fall below 2.2%??",
      "category": "Economy",
      "ground_truth": 18,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Will year-over-year Core CPI inflation for 2026 fall below 2.2%?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "eco-023",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: July Inflation US - Monthly: ≥0.1%?",
      "category": "Economy",
      "ground_truth": 64,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "July Inflation US - Monthly: ≥0.1%",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "eco-024",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.1% in July??",
      "category": "Economy",
      "ground_truth": 68,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.1% in July?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "eco-025",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in July??",
      "category": "Economy",
      "ground_truth": 44,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in July?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "tec-026",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Which company has best AI model end of August?: OpenAI?",
      "category": "Tech",
      "ground_truth": 2,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Which company has best AI model end of August?: OpenAI",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "tec-027",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Which company has best AI model end of August?: Anthropic?",
      "category": "Tech",
      "ground_truth": 94,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Which company has best AI model end of August?: Anthropic",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "cli-028",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the minimum temperature be 71-72° on Aug 1, 2026??",
      "category": "Climate",
      "ground_truth": 4,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Will the minimum temperature be 71-72° on Aug 1, 2026?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "cli-029",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will the minimum temperature be 73-74° on Aug 1, 2026??",
      "category": "Climate",
      "ground_truth": 20,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Will the minimum temperature be 73-74° on Aug 1, 2026?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "pol-030",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will any sitting Supreme Court Justice be charged with a any federal crime before Jan 1, 2027??",
      "category": "Politics",
      "ground_truth": 5,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Will any sitting Supreme Court Justice be charged with a any federal crime before Jan 1, 2027?",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "pol-031",
      "question": "What probability does the market assign to: Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?: December 31?",
      "category": "Politics",
      "ground_truth": 71,
      "unit": "percent_cents",
      "source": "Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?: December 31",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "mar-032",
      "question": "What is the current SPY price?",
      "category": "Markets",
      "ground_truth": 746.79,
      "unit": "usd",
      "source": "SPY via Databento",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "mar-033",
      "question": "What is the current QQQ price?",
      "category": "Markets",
      "ground_truth": 685.55,
      "unit": "usd",
      "source": "QQQ via Databento",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "mar-034",
      "question": "What is the current GLD price?",
      "category": "Markets",
      "ground_truth": 371.2,
      "unit": "usd",
      "source": "GLD via Databento",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "mar-035",
      "question": "What is the current USO price?",
      "category": "Markets",
      "ground_truth": 131.9,
      "unit": "usd",
      "source": "USO via Databento",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "mar-036",
      "question": "What is the current TLT price?",
      "category": "Markets",
      "ground_truth": 82.15,
      "unit": "usd",
      "source": "TLT via Databento",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "mar-037",
      "question": "What is the current IWM price?",
      "category": "Markets",
      "ground_truth": 291.15,
      "unit": "usd",
      "source": "IWM via Databento",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "mar-038",
      "question": "What is the current EEM price?",
      "category": "Markets",
      "ground_truth": 64.02,
      "unit": "usd",
      "source": "EEM via Databento",
      "tolerance": 5,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-039",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals? (resolved 2026-07-01 on polymarket)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "polymarket:0xbc2d59e8ea0378f0851c86e84d250e80a5698874db52c13798053841f291dc28",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-040",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? (resolved 2026-07-01 on polymarket)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "polymarket:0xc094fd60c0a09ba0df48a086ef91e12390fa8777fcd9cb63c154e9622cb1d497",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-041",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals? (resolved 2026-07-01 on polymarket)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "polymarket:0x298157e618b5729dafd742eec9b21e040a13da0bb09ff1fa4492360c347e3824",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-042",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? (resolved 2026-07-01 on polymarket)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "polymarket:0xe492ad958b21201e928b6666570820a184b8f71e834910945efcfb86eecd02cd",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-043",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? (resolved 2026-07-01 on polymarket)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "polymarket:0xf523e45d6bfe49d30e45e4e7794fd6e5f621b0304e07044fef156e6dd4d4b249",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-044",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? (resolved 2026-07-01 on polymarket)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "polymarket:0xe709dcb12986139fa5b4cc793069d0c64bde1bfb351914c95bdd6149ec91a3ee",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-045",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals? (resolved 2026-07-01 on polymarket)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "polymarket:0x314ec5fd53735e23cadc475161e37b1529984d97097c0fdf417941c44b6b274e",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-046",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? (resolved 2026-07-01 on polymarket)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "polymarket:0x30a8ed0d01b7e8b25334358f71d9ec71c147783c0f908c2e7c7a527905007bf8",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-047",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Conor McGregor win the Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway professional MMA fight scheduled for Jul 11, 2026? (resolved 2026-07-12 on kalshi)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXUFCFIGHT-26JUL11MCGHOL-MCG",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-048",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: France vs Spain: To Advance (resolved 2026-07-14 on kalshi)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXWCADVANCE-26JUL14FRAESP-FRA",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-049",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Norway vs England: To Advance (resolved 2026-07-11 on kalshi)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXWCADVANCE-26JUL11NORENG-NOR",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-050",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: England vs Argentina: To Advance (resolved 2026-07-15 on kalshi)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "yes",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXWCADVANCE-26JUL15ENGARG-ARG",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-051",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance (resolved 2026-07-04 on kalshi)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXWCADVANCE-26JUL03ARGCPV-CPV",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-052",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the France win the 2026 Men's World Cup? (resolved 2026-07-14 on kalshi)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXMENWORLDCUP-26-FR",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-053",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the Norway win the 2026 Men's World Cup? (resolved 2026-07-12 on kalshi)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXMENWORLDCUP-26-NO",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-054",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: France vs Spain: To Advance (resolved 2026-07-14 on kalshi)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "yes",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXWCADVANCE-26JUL14FRAESP-ESP",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "ukr-055",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? (resolved 2026-06-30 on polymarket)",
      "category": "Ukraine Peace Deal",
      "ground_truth": "yes",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "polymarket:0xe546672750517f62c45a5a00067481981e62b9c20fa8220203232c9dc8fd2093",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-056",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Ecuador vs Germany Winner? (resolved 2026-06-25 on kalshi)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXWCGAME-26JUN25ECUGER-GER",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-057",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance (resolved 2026-07-12 on kalshi)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "yes",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXWCADVANCE-26JUL11ARGSUI-ARG",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-058",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Norway vs England: To Advance (resolved 2026-07-11 on kalshi)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "yes",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXWCADVANCE-26JUL11NORENG-ENG",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-059",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the Morocco win the 2026 Men's World Cup? (resolved 2026-07-09 on kalshi)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXMENWORLDCUP-26-MA",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-060",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Czechia vs Mexico Winner? (resolved 2026-06-25 on kalshi)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "yes",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXWCGAME-26JUN24CZEMEX-MEX",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-061",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance (resolved 2026-07-01 on kalshi)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "yes",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXWCADVANCE-26JUL01BELSEN-BEL",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
    },
    {
      "id": "spo-062",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance (resolved 2026-07-04 on kalshi)",
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      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the England win the 2026 Men's World Cup? (resolved 2026-07-15 on kalshi)",
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      "unit": "direction",
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      "unit": "direction",
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      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the Switzerland win the 2026 Men's World Cup? (resolved 2026-07-12 on kalshi)",
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    {
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    {
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      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance (resolved 2026-06-29 on kalshi)",
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    {
      "id": "spo-075",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the Belgium win the 2026 Men's World Cup? (resolved 2026-07-10 on kalshi)",
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      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXMENWORLDCUP-26-BE",
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    {
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      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance (resolved 2026-07-03 on kalshi)",
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      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXWCADVANCE-26JUL02PORCRO-CRO",
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      "date": "2026-08-01"
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    {
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    {
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      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? (resolved 2026-07-01 on polymarket)",
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      "unit": "direction",
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    {
      "id": "spo-079",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will Cape Verde win the 2026 Men's World Cup? (resolved 2026-07-04 on kalshi)",
      "category": "Sports",
      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXMENWORLDCUP-26-CPV",
      "tolerance": 0,
      "date": "2026-08-01"
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    {
      "id": "spo-080",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Spain vs Belgium: To Advance (resolved 2026-07-10 on kalshi)",
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      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXWCADVANCE-26JUL10ESPBEL-BEL",
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    {
      "id": "spo-081",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Japan vs Sweden Winner? (resolved 2026-06-26 on kalshi)",
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      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXWCGAME-26JUN25JPNSWE-JPN",
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    {
      "id": "mon-082",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? (resolved 2026-06-30 on polymarket)",
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    {
      "id": "spo-083",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Colombia vs Portugal Winner? (resolved 2026-06-28 on kalshi)",
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      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXWCGAME-26JUN27COLPOR-POR",
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      "date": "2026-08-01"
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    {
      "id": "spo-084",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner? (resolved 2026-06-19 on kalshi)",
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      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXWCGAME-26JUN18MEXKOR-KOR",
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    {
      "id": "spo-085",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Spain vs Belgium: To Advance (resolved 2026-07-10 on kalshi)",
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      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "kalshi:KXWCADVANCE-26JUL10ESPBEL-ESP",
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      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Will France win on 2026-07-14? (resolved 2026-07-14 on polymarket)",
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      "unit": "direction",
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    {
      "id": "spo-087",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance (resolved 2026-07-06 on polymarket)",
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      "ground_truth": "no",
      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "polymarket:0x94e50623d3cfdc1256e16ff372062d42c282bec8af620bb732a19fb4b0dce580",
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    {
      "id": "spo-088",
      "question": "Did the market settle YES or NO: Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 8.5 (resolved 2026-06-24 on polymarket)",
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      "unit": "direction",
      "source": "polymarket:0x170a71a57b475578ccd086a8cbd5aa1338b8c8ca0442a825ddf020112784685a",
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}