{
  "benchmark_id": "future-ts-v1",
  "name": "FUTURE-TS v0.1.0 strict surface",
  "version": "0.1.0",
  "description": "FUTURE-TS v0.1.0 — the strict public-preview benchmark surface. Submissions must declare a pretraining_data_manifest, sealed execution is enforced on blind_archive and live tiers, paired MASE and CRPS metrics are reported on every forecasting task, adaptation AUC is computed over a real multi-budget curve when submissions cover multiple budgets, and the capability vector covers all six dimensions F/U/R/A/E/D (the inventory newsvendor task gives D substance).",
  "adaptation_budgets": [
    "zero_shot",
    "few_shot",
    "peft"
  ],
  "tier_weights": {
    "public_dev": 0.25,
    "blind_archive": 0.35,
    "live": 0.4
  },
  "tracks": [
    "forecasting_core",
    "covariate_aware",
    "multivariate_relational",
    "data_quality",
    "event",
    "transfer",
    "multimodal_context"
  ],
  "task_paths": [
    "../v0/tasks/blind_archive_bls_payroll_revision.json",
    "../v0/tasks/blind_archive_cdc_ili_revision.json",
    "../v0/tasks/blind_archive_global_shipping_graph.json",
    "../v0/tasks/blind_archive_hospital_ed_arrivals.json",
    "../v0/tasks/blind_archive_policy_transfer_fred.json",
    "../v0/tasks/blind_archive_port_throughput.json",
    "../v0/tasks/blind_archive_power_grid_nodes.json",
    "../v0/tasks/blind_archive_transfer_cross_region_load.json",
    "../v0/tasks/blind_archive_usgs_sensor_gaps.json",
    "../v0/tasks/live_noaa_wind_ramp_event.json",
    "../v0/tasks/live_open311_incident_spike_public.json",
    "../v0/tasks/live_policy_text_macro_context.json",
    "../v0/tasks/live_satellite_cloud_cover_context.json",
    "../v0/tasks/live_solar_generation.json",
    "../v0/tasks/live_support_incident_spike.json",
    "../v0/tasks/live_transfer_demand_response.json",
    "../v0/tasks/live_transfer_new_region_traffic.json",
    "../v0/tasks/public_dev_energy_load_day_ahead.json",
    "../v0/tasks/public_dev_fred_yield_curve_shift.json",
    "../v0/tasks/public_dev_inventory_holding_cost.json",
    "../v0/tasks/public_dev_noaa_temperature_station.json",
    "../v0/tasks/public_dev_openweather_heat_index.json",
    "../v0/tasks/public_dev_retail_promo_sales.json",
    "../v0/tasks/public_dev_transit_turnstile_entries.json",
    "../v0/tasks/public_dev_usda_feed_cost_index.json"
  ],
  "require_pretraining_manifest": true
}