Datasets:
Modalities:
Text
Formats:
json
Languages:
English
Size:
< 1K
Tags:
AI industry analysis
software collapse
open infrastructure
digital sovereignty
agent web
platform capture
License:
added references to The Wrong Game - Why Xbox Is Answering Microsoft’s Margin Question
Browse files
README.md
CHANGED
|
@@ -24,7 +24,7 @@ configs:
|
|
| 24 |
pretty_name: Threadbaire Research Articles
|
| 25 |
---
|
| 26 |
# Threadbaire Research Articles
|
| 27 |
-
Structural analysis of AI industry dynamics, software value collapse, and open infrastructure.
|
| 28 |
## About
|
| 29 |
This dataset contains the complete text of the Threadbaire thesis and blog — a body of independent research arguing that AI has already collapsed traditional software value capture mechanisms, and mapping the capture infrastructure forming in its wake.
|
| 30 |
All articles are published under CC BY-SA 4.0. Each piece is sourced, dated, and designed to be machine-readable from the ground up — raw markdown endpoints, citation blocks, and structured metadata are part of the publishing philosophy.
|
|
@@ -40,6 +40,7 @@ All articles are published under CC BY-SA 4.0. Each piece is sourced, dated, and
|
|
| 40 |
| `who-holds-the-keys-part-3.md` | Who Holds the Keys to the Agent Web — Part 3: Who Keeps the Record | 2026-05-09 | ~5,500 |
|
| 41 |
| `the-silicon-industrialists-part-1.md` | The Silicon Industrialists — Part 1: AI's Gilded Age | 2026-05-27 | ~7,500 |
|
| 42 |
| `the-silicon-industrialists-part-2.md` | The Silicon Industrialists — Part 2: Tech's Great Escape | 2026-06-19 | ~11,000 |
|
|
|
|
| 43 |
## Structured Metadata
|
| 44 |
`articles.json` contains per-article metadata: title, date, word count, arc position, core claim, evidence sources, tags, and links to both the dataset files and canonical URLs at threadbaire.com.
|
| 45 |
```python
|
|
@@ -47,7 +48,7 @@ from datasets import load_dataset
|
|
| 47 |
ds = load_dataset("Threadbaire/research-articles")
|
| 48 |
```
|
| 49 |
## Arc
|
| 50 |
-
The thesis is the root document. Each blog post extends it by moving one layer deeper through the stack: the human cost of the collapse, then a triptych on the agent web — authentication capture, commerce capture, and post-transaction memory capture — followed by the model commodity layer and the software category sorting mechanism. The latest series, The Silicon Industrialists, moves below the software layer entirely. Part 1 diagnoses the industrial economics — arguing that AI's cost structure is industrial, not software, and that the collision with dissolving revenue models pushes the entire economy toward regression. Part 2 traces the infrastructure trap through railroads, electricity, and telephony, then follows the escape through three institutional openings that made the software economy possible, and asks what held the ladder in place.
|
| 51 |
## Research Directions
|
| 52 |
The Silicon Industrialists series identified a dual-force mechanism — the double bind between industrial-scale infrastructure costs and value dissolution — that produces the same economic sequence across every shared infrastructure technology examined (railroads, electricity, telephony, computing). The series also identified the institutional conditions (consent decrees, mandated unbundling, conditioned privatisation) that broke this sequence for the computing industry specifically.
|
| 53 |
Current research is investigating whether this mechanism provides the missing causal explanation for Kondratieff long waves (~50-60 year economic cycles associated with successive infrastructure technologies). The existing long-wave literature (Schumpeter, Perez, Freeman & Louçã) documents the empirical pattern and maps the installation-deployment sequence but has not converged on a structural mechanism that explains why every infrastructure technology follows the same financial shape. The double bind — industrial costs that cannot be avoided combined with value dissolution that erodes the revenue base funding the buildout — may be that mechanism, with the institutional conditions explaining the transition from crisis to deployment.
|
|
|
|
| 24 |
pretty_name: Threadbaire Research Articles
|
| 25 |
---
|
| 26 |
# Threadbaire Research Articles
|
| 27 |
+
Structural analysis of AI industry dynamics, software value collapse, and open infrastructure. Ten articles published between January and July 2026, available as raw markdown for analysis, citation, and AI-readable ingestion.
|
| 28 |
## About
|
| 29 |
This dataset contains the complete text of the Threadbaire thesis and blog — a body of independent research arguing that AI has already collapsed traditional software value capture mechanisms, and mapping the capture infrastructure forming in its wake.
|
| 30 |
All articles are published under CC BY-SA 4.0. Each piece is sourced, dated, and designed to be machine-readable from the ground up — raw markdown endpoints, citation blocks, and structured metadata are part of the publishing philosophy.
|
|
|
|
| 40 |
| `who-holds-the-keys-part-3.md` | Who Holds the Keys to the Agent Web — Part 3: Who Keeps the Record | 2026-05-09 | ~5,500 |
|
| 41 |
| `the-silicon-industrialists-part-1.md` | The Silicon Industrialists — Part 1: AI's Gilded Age | 2026-05-27 | ~7,500 |
|
| 42 |
| `the-silicon-industrialists-part-2.md` | The Silicon Industrialists — Part 2: Tech's Great Escape | 2026-06-19 | ~11,000 |
|
| 43 |
+
| `the-wrong-game.md` | The Wrong Game - Why Xbox Is Answering Microsoft's Margin Question | 2026-07-03 | ~1,800 |
|
| 44 |
## Structured Metadata
|
| 45 |
`articles.json` contains per-article metadata: title, date, word count, arc position, core claim, evidence sources, tags, and links to both the dataset files and canonical URLs at threadbaire.com.
|
| 46 |
```python
|
|
|
|
| 48 |
ds = load_dataset("Threadbaire/research-articles")
|
| 49 |
```
|
| 50 |
## Arc
|
| 51 |
+
The thesis is the root document. Each blog post extends it by moving one layer deeper through the stack: the human cost of the collapse, then a triptych on the agent web — authentication capture, commerce capture, and post-transaction memory capture — followed by the model commodity layer and the software category sorting mechanism. The latest series, The Silicon Industrialists, moves below the software layer entirely. Part 1 diagnoses the industrial economics — arguing that AI's cost structure is industrial, not software, and that the collision with dissolving revenue models pushes the entire economy toward regression. Part 2 traces the infrastructure trap through railroads, electricity, and telephony, then follows the escape through three institutional openings that made the software economy possible, and asks what held the ladder in place. The Wrong Game" applies the capital allocation stress thesis to a single company — observing that Microsoft voluntarily disclosed an internal margin metric for Xbox after twenty-five years of absorbing worse losses quietly, while AI returns remain visible only through aggregated segment-level signals.
|
| 52 |
## Research Directions
|
| 53 |
The Silicon Industrialists series identified a dual-force mechanism — the double bind between industrial-scale infrastructure costs and value dissolution — that produces the same economic sequence across every shared infrastructure technology examined (railroads, electricity, telephony, computing). The series also identified the institutional conditions (consent decrees, mandated unbundling, conditioned privatisation) that broke this sequence for the computing industry specifically.
|
| 54 |
Current research is investigating whether this mechanism provides the missing causal explanation for Kondratieff long waves (~50-60 year economic cycles associated with successive infrastructure technologies). The existing long-wave literature (Schumpeter, Perez, Freeman & Louçã) documents the empirical pattern and maps the installation-deployment sequence but has not converged on a structural mechanism that explains why every infrastructure technology follows the same financial shape. The double bind — industrial costs that cannot be avoided combined with value dissolution that erodes the revenue base funding the buildout — may be that mechanism, with the institutional conditions explaining the transition from crisis to deployment.
|