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  ---
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  license: cc-by-4.0
 
 
 
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  task_categories:
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- - tabular-regression
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  tags:
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- - finance
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- - quantitative-finance
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- - derivatives
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- - autocallable
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- - option-pricing
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- - synthetic
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- ---
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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  ---
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  license: cc-by-4.0
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+ language:
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+ - en
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+ pretty_name: Autocallable Notes Pricing (Synthetic)
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  task_categories:
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+ - tabular-regression
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  tags:
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+ - finance
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+ - quantitative-finance
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+ - derivatives
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+ - structured-products
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+ - autocallable
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+ - option-pricing
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+ - monte-carlo
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+ - heston
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+ - synthetic
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+ size_categories:
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+ - n<1K
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+ configs:
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+ - config_name: default
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+ data_files:
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+ - split: train
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+ path: data/*/dataset.csv
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+ ---
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+
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+ # Autocallable Notes Pricing (Synthetic)
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+
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+ A fully **synthetic** dataset of autocallable structured-note scenarios paired with their
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+ **fair value (`PV`)**, computed by Monte Carlo simulation under several stochastic models for
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+ the underlying asset dynamics. It is designed for **derivative pricing with machine learning**:
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+ training surrogate pricers, benchmarking tabular regressors, and studying how product terms and
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+ market conditions map to price.
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+
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+ > All data is generated from first-principles simulation. It contains **no real market data, no
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+ > proprietary quotes, and no scraped content** — every row is produced by the open-source pipeline
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+ > at [VegaInstitute/RG-ML-Autocall-Dataset](https://github.com/VegaInstitute/RG-ML-Autocall-Dataset).
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+
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+ ## TL;DR
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+
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+ - **Task:** tabular regression — predict `PV` (fair value of the note) from product terms + market state.
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+ - **Underlying models:** Bachelier, Black–Scholes, CEV, and Heston (stochastic volatility).
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+ - **Pricing engine:** Monte Carlo, up to 1,000,000 paths per scenario, with a reported MC standard error (`PV_std`).
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+ - **Scope:** single- and multi-asset baskets (1–4 assets), worst-of / min-basket payoffs, optional memory coupons.
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+
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+ ## Supported tasks
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+
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+ - **Tabular regression (primary):** learn a fast surrogate that maps `(product terms, spots, correlations, implied-vol surfaces)` → `PV`.
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+ - **Pricing acceleration / model distillation:** approximate the Monte Carlo pricer with a neural or gradient-boosted model.
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+ - **Sensitivity & calibration studies:** analyze how `PV` responds to coupons, barriers, correlations, and the volatility surface.
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+
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+ ## Underlying models
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+
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+ | Model | Dynamics | Notes |
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+ |-------|----------|-------|
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+ | **Heston** | Stochastic volatility | Produces a volatility smile; parameters sampled from ranges |
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+
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+ ## Generation parameters
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+
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+ Defaults used by the reference pipeline (see `configs/` in the source repo):
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+
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+ | Parameter | Value / range |
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+ |-----------|---------------|
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+ | Trading days per year | 252 |
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+ | Tenors (years) | {1, 2, 3} |
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+ | Fixings per year | {1, 2, 4} |
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+ | Assets per basket | 1–4 |
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+ | Coupon | [0.01, 0.50] |
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+ | Coupon barrier | [0.80, 1.00] |
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+ | Autocall barrier | [1.00, 1.30] |
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+ | Put strike | [0.70, 1.30] |
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+ | Inter-asset correlation | [-0.80, 0.80] |
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+ | Risk-free rate | 0.0 |
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+ | Spot / notional | 1.0 |
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+ | Monte Carlo paths | up to 1,000,000 |
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+ | Basket convention | worst-of / min-basket |
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+ | MC quality filter | scenarios kept when `PV_std` ≤ 0.01 |
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+ | Heston: mean-reversion κ | [1.0, 10.0] |
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+ | Heston: vol-of-vol ν | [0.01, 1.0] |
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+ | Heston: price/var corr ρ | [-0.95, -0.10] |
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+ | Heston: long-run var θ | [0.01, 0.20] |
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+ | Heston: initial var V₀ | [0.0001, 0.04] |
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+
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+ Each model family is sampled over multiple parameter draws (`n_models`) and several product
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+ draws per model (`n_observations`), so the total row count depends on the generation settings
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+ you run. The published files are produced by re-running the pipeline; regenerate or extend them
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+ with the CLI documented in the source repository.
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+
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+ ## Data structure
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+
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+ The data is **wide tabular CSV**, one row per priced scenario, with **~1,531 columns** in the
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+ full multi-asset configuration. Columns fall into the following groups.
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+
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+ ### Identifiers & metadata
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+
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+ | Column | Description |
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+ |--------|-------------|
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+ | `value_date` | Valuation (pricing) date as a year-fraction |
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+ | `value_date_memory` | Valuation date for the memory-coupon feature |
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+ | `model_idx` | Index of the sampled model parameter set |
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+ | `observation_idx` | Index of the product draw within a model |
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+ | `frequency` | Observation/fixing frequency |
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+ | `use_min_basket` | Whether the worst-of / min-basket convention applies |
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+
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+ ### Product terms
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+
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+ | Column | Description |
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+ |--------|-------------|
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+ | `tenor` | Maturity in years |
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+ | `coupon` | Coupon rate |
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+ | `coupon_barrier` | Coupon barrier (fraction of spot) |
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+ | `autocall_barrier` | Autocall (early-redemption) barrier |
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+ | `is_put` | Whether a down-and-in put applies at maturity |
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+ | `has_memory` | Whether unpaid coupons accumulate (memory effect) |
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+ | `strike_put` | Put strike (fraction of spot) |
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+
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+ ### Market state
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+
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+ | Column | Description |
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+ |--------|-------------|
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+ | `rate` | Risk-free rate |
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+ | `num_assets` | Number of underlying assets (1–4) |
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+ | `spot_asset_{1..4}` | Initial spot of each asset |
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+ | `value_date_spot_asset_{1..4}` | Spot at valuation date for each asset |
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+ | `corr_asset_i_j` | Pairwise correlations between assets |
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+
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+ ### Fixing schedule & implied-volatility surfaces
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+
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+ | Column | Description |
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+ |--------|-------------|
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+ | `Date{1..12}` | Fixing/observation dates (year-fractions) |
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+ | `Asset{a}_Date{d}_vol_{k}` | Implied volatility for asset `a`, fixing date `d`, strike index `k` (1–31) |
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+
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+ The `Asset{a}_Date{d}_vol_{1..31}` block encodes a **discretized implied-volatility surface**:
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+ 31 strikes per asset, per fixing date, for up to 4 assets and 12 dates.
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+
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+ ### Target
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+
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+ | Column | Description |
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+ |--------|-------------|
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+ | **`PV`** | **Fair value of the note (regression target)** |
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+ | `PV_std` | Monte Carlo standard error of `PV` (uncertainty of the label) |
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+
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+ > **Tip:** treat `PV` as the label and `PV_std` as a per-row noise estimate. Drop `model_idx` /
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+ > `observation_idx` before training — they are bookkeeping indices, not features. Unused asset
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+ > slots (when `num_assets < 4`) are zero-filled.
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+
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+ ## Usage
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+
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+ ```python
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+ from datasets import load_dataset
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+
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+ ds = load_dataset("VegaInstitute/autocallable-notes-pricing", split="train")
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+ print(ds.features) # columns
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+ print(ds[0]["PV"]) # target for the first scenario
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+ ```
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+
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+ With pandas:
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+
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+ ```python
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+ import pandas as pd
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+
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+ df = pd.read_csv("hf://datasets/VegaInstitute/autocallable-notes-pricing/data/heston/dataset.csv")
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+ y = df["PV"]
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+ X = df.drop(columns=["PV", "PV_std", "model_idx", "observation_idx"])
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+ ```
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+
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+ ## Limitations & biases
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+
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+ - **Synthetic, not observed.** Prices and volatility surfaces come from model assumptions, not
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+ traded quotes; a model trained here learns *the simulated pricer*, not real-market mispricings.
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+ - **Label noise.** `PV` carries Monte Carlo error; use `PV_std` to weight or filter rows.
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+ - **Model coverage.** Limited to Bachelier, Black–Scholes, CEV, and Heston with the parameter
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+ ranges above; out-of-range terms are out of distribution.
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+ - **Wide and sparse.** The volatility-surface block dominates the column count; for `num_assets < 4`
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+ many columns are zero-filled.
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+ - **Rate = 0.** Generated with a zero risk-free rate by default.
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+
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+ ## Source code & reproduction
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+
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+ Generation pipeline, configs, and CLI:
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+ **https://github.com/VegaInstitute/RG-ML-Autocall-Dataset**
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+
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+ ```bash
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+ python gen.py --model heston
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+ ```
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+
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+ ## License
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+
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+ Released under **Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC-BY-4.0)**.
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+ You may share and adapt the data, including commercially, with appropriate attribution.
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+
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+ ## Citation
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+
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+ ```bibtex
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+ @misc{vegainstitute_autocall_synthetic,
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+ title = {Autocallable Notes Pricing (Synthetic)},
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+ author = {Vega Institute},
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+ year = {2026},
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+ howpublished = {Hugging Face Datasets},
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+ url = {https://huggingface.co/datasets/VegaInstitute/autocallable-notes-pricing},
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+ note = {Synthetic Monte Carlo dataset for pricing autocallable structured notes}
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+ }
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+ ```