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- ---
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- license: cc-by-4.0
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- ---
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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+ ---
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+ annotations_creators:
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+ - expert-generated
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+ language:
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+ - en
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+ license: cc-by-4.0
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+ multilinguality:
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+ - monolingual
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+ size_categories:
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+ - n<1K
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+ source_datasets:
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+ - original
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+ task_categories:
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+ - time-series-forecasting
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+ - tabular-regression
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+ task_ids:
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+ - univariate-time-series-forecasting
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+ pretty_name: Global Warming Prediction 2026 (473 Cities)
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+ tags:
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+ - climate
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+ - weather
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+ - global-warming
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+ - cities
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+ - tourism
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+ ---
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+
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+ # Global Warming Prediction 2026: The Accelerating Heat of Our Cities
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+
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+ ## Dataset Summary
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+
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+ This dataset provides a quantitative analysis of warming trends across **473 major global urban centers** and tourist destinations. It contains processed historical weather data spanning 30 years (1996–2025), used to predict temperature baselines for 2026.
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+
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+ The data was generated by the **30YearWeather** research team using raw input from the NASA POWER Project and Open-Meteo (ERA5 Reanalysis).
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+ - **Full Research Report:** [Global Warming Prediction 2026: City-by-City Analysis](https://30yearweather.com/research/global-warming-prediction-2026)
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+ - **Methodology:** Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) linear regression on annual mean temperatures.
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+ - **Maintainer:** [30YearWeather](https://30yearweather.com)
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+
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+ ## Supported Tasks and Leaderboards
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+ - **Time Series Forecasting:** Predicting future urban temperatures based on 30-year historical trends.
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+ - **Climatology Analysis:** Analyzing the rate of warming (degrees per decade) across different continents and latitudes.
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+
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+ ## Data Structure
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+
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+ The dataset contains 473 rows with the following columns:
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+
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+ - `City`: Name of the city (e.g., "Paris", "Tokyo").
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+ - `Country`: Country of the destination.
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+ - `Continent`: Geographical region.
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+ - `Avg Temp Start (1996)`: Baseline average temperature (°C) at the start of the analysis period.
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+ - `Avg Temp End (2025)`: Current average temperature (°C).
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+ - `Warming Rate (C/Decade)`: The calculated rate of warming per 10 years (slope * 10).
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+ - `Prediction 2026 (C)`: Projected annual mean temperature for 2026.
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+
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+ ## Citation
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+
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+ If you use this dataset, please cite the original research:
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+
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+ ```bibtex
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+ @article{30yearweather2026global,
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+ title={Global Warming Prediction 2026: The Accelerating Heat of Our Cities},
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+ author={Vesecký, Michal and 30YearWeather Research Team},
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+ journal={30YearWeather Research},
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+ year={2026},
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+ url={[https://30yearweather.com/research/global-warming-prediction-2026](https://30yearweather.com/research/global-warming-prediction-2026)},
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+ doi={10.5281/zenodo.18144475}
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+ }