Datasets:
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README.md
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---
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annotations_creators:
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- expert-generated
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language:
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- en
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license: cc-by-4.0
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multilinguality:
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- monolingual
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size_categories:
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- n<1K
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source_datasets:
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- original
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task_categories:
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- time-series-forecasting
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- tabular-regression
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task_ids:
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- univariate-time-series-forecasting
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pretty_name: Global Warming Prediction 2026 (473 Cities)
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tags:
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- climate
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- weather
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- global-warming
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- cities
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- tourism
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---
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# Global Warming Prediction 2026: The Accelerating Heat of Our Cities
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## Dataset Summary
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This dataset provides a quantitative analysis of warming trends across **473 major global urban centers** and tourist destinations. It contains processed historical weather data spanning 30 years (1996–2025), used to predict temperature baselines for 2026.
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The data was generated by the **30YearWeather** research team using raw input from the NASA POWER Project and Open-Meteo (ERA5 Reanalysis).
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- **Full Research Report:** [Global Warming Prediction 2026: City-by-City Analysis](https://30yearweather.com/research/global-warming-prediction-2026)
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- **Methodology:** Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) linear regression on annual mean temperatures.
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- **Maintainer:** [30YearWeather](https://30yearweather.com)
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## Supported Tasks and Leaderboards
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- **Time Series Forecasting:** Predicting future urban temperatures based on 30-year historical trends.
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- **Climatology Analysis:** Analyzing the rate of warming (degrees per decade) across different continents and latitudes.
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## Data Structure
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The dataset contains 473 rows with the following columns:
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- `City`: Name of the city (e.g., "Paris", "Tokyo").
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- `Country`: Country of the destination.
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- `Continent`: Geographical region.
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- `Avg Temp Start (1996)`: Baseline average temperature (°C) at the start of the analysis period.
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- `Avg Temp End (2025)`: Current average temperature (°C).
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- `Warming Rate (C/Decade)`: The calculated rate of warming per 10 years (slope * 10).
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- `Prediction 2026 (C)`: Projected annual mean temperature for 2026.
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## Citation
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If you use this dataset, please cite the original research:
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```bibtex
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@article{30yearweather2026global,
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title={Global Warming Prediction 2026: The Accelerating Heat of Our Cities},
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author={Vesecký, Michal and 30YearWeather Research Team},
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journal={30YearWeather Research},
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year={2026},
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url={[https://30yearweather.com/research/global-warming-prediction-2026](https://30yearweather.com/research/global-warming-prediction-2026)},
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doi={10.5281/zenodo.18144475}
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}
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