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English
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Tags:
time-series
time-series-decomposition
benchmark
component-recovery
symbolic-regression
icml-2026
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17b7ba4 | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 | import numpy as np
from typing import Dict, Any
from ..core import DecompResult
from ..registry import MethodRegistry
def _moving_average(y: np.ndarray, window: int) -> np.ndarray:
window = max(1, int(window))
if window == 1 or len(y) == 0:
return y.copy()
kernel = np.ones(window) / window
return np.convolve(y, kernel, mode="same")
def _estimate_seasonal_indices(detrended: np.ndarray, period: int) -> np.ndarray:
period = max(1, int(period))
season = np.zeros_like(detrended)
for offset in range(period):
idx = np.arange(offset, len(detrended), period)
if idx.size == 0:
continue
mean_val = np.mean(detrended[idx])
season[idx] = mean_val
season -= np.mean(season)
return season
@MethodRegistry.register("MA_BASELINE")
def ma_decompose(
y: np.ndarray,
params: Dict[str, Any],
) -> DecompResult:
"""
Moving-average baseline decomposition.
"""
cfg = params.copy()
default_window = max(3, len(y) // 20)
trend_window = int(cfg.get("trend_window", default_window))
if trend_window % 2 == 0:
trend_window += 1
trend = _moving_average(y, trend_window)
season_period = cfg.get("season_period")
if season_period:
season = _estimate_seasonal_indices(y - trend, int(season_period))
else:
season = np.zeros_like(y)
residual = y - trend - season
return DecompResult(
trend=trend,
season=season,
residual=residual,
meta={"method": "MA_BASELINE", "params": cfg}
)
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