url stringlengths 52 124 | post_id stringlengths 17 17 | title stringlengths 2 248 | author stringlengths 2 49 | content stringlengths 22 295k ⌀ | date stringclasses 376
values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wRdqbwFmGpgqNsoCD/isomorphisms-don-t-preserve-subjective-experience-right | wRdqbwFmGpgqNsoCD | Isomorphisms don't preserve subjective experience... right? | notfnofn | I've seen a couple discussions about brain/CNS uploads and there seems to be a common assumption that it would be conscious in the way that we are conscious. I've even seen some anthropic principle-esque arguments that we are likely in a simulation because this seems theoretically feasible.
When I think of a simulation... | 2024-07-03 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8jGb5hRGGEcs7Be78/how-predictive-processing-solved-my-wrist-pain | 8jGb5hRGGEcs7Be78 | How predictive processing solved my wrist pain | makoshen | This is a post about a period of major suffering I went through, and how I acquired the knowledge and skill to eventually lift me out of it.
Disclaimer: this is not medical advice — consider it a personal narrative, perhaps a starting point for exploration.
A fire burning
[Note: this section is about my personal experi... | 2024-07-04 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/sQJs5FeyLcCFGYutR/free-will-determinism-and-choice | sQJs5FeyLcCFGYutR | Free Will, Determinism, And Choice | Zero Contradictions | Rough Summary:
Free will is not "free" in the sense of being uncaused. Free will is "free" in the sense that you are the cause. You are free to choose between A or B if your choice will determine the outcome.Free will and determinism are both assumptions that are implicit in everything that we do. They both depend on e... | 2024-07-06 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fEvCxNte6FKSRNFvN/3c-s-a-recipe-for-mathing-concepts | fEvCxNte6FKSRNFvN | 3C's: A Recipe For Mathing Concepts | johnswentworth | Opening Example: Teleology
When people say “the heart’s purpose is to pump blood” or “a pencil’s function is to write”, what does that mean physically? What are “purpose” or “function”, not merely in intuitive terms, but in terms of math and physics? That’s the core question of what philosophers call teleology - the st... | 2024-07-03 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hmnB9zpY5wB7dKMQ3/announcing-the-ai-forecasting-benchmark-series-or-july-8 | hmnB9zpY5wB7dKMQ3 | Announcing the AI Forecasting Benchmark Series | July 8, $120k in Prizes | ChristianWilliams | null | 2024-07-02 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/myBQH6Abp5wa6dEJp/open-sourcing-metaculus | myBQH6Abp5wa6dEJp | Open Sourcing Metaculus | ChristianWilliams | null | 2024-07-02 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/z47EogCDtRNAEJhjw/why-can-t-sub-agi-solve-ai-alignment-or-why-would-sub-agi-ai | z47EogCDtRNAEJhjw | Why Can’t Sub-AGI Solve AI Alignment? Or: Why Would Sub-AGI AI Not be Aligned? | ViktorThink | I believe there are people with far greater knowledge than me that can point out where I am wrong. Cause I do believe my reasoning is wrong, but I can not see why it would be highly unfeasible to train a sub-AGI intelligent AI that most likely will be aligned and able to solve AI alignment.
My assumptions are as follow... | 2024-07-02 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GmDbhdK8ih52WLKg9/ai-development-is-an-act-of-social-revolution | GmDbhdK8ih52WLKg9 | AI development is an act of social revolution | artemiocobb | Assume the goal of AI research is to build superintelligent decision-making systems. If we successfully develop and deploy such systems, it will likely no longer make sense for humans to work many, or even most, jobs. The duties humans must still perform will radically differ from those of today. In this essay, I am co... | 2024-07-03 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WT3u2tK2AJpYKvaZd/an-ai-race-with-china-can-be-better-than-not-racing | WT3u2tK2AJpYKvaZd | An AI Race With China Can Be Better Than Not Racing | niplav | Frustrated by all your bad takes, I write a Monte-Carlo analysis
of whether a transformative-AI-race between the PRC and the USA
would be good. To my surprise, I find that it is better than not
racing. Advocating for an international project to build TAI instead of
racing turns out to be good if the probability of such... | 2024-07-02 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/f3ixrbxRb4Qm2jPLh/why-haven-t-there-been-assassination-attempts-against-high | f3ixrbxRb4Qm2jPLh | Why haven't there been assassination attempts against high profile AI accelerationists like sam altman yet? | louisTrem | Disclaimer: This is *not* a call to action in any form, I neither endorse any form of violence nor the hold the radical anti-AI views that might potentially prescribe assasinations. The question was the result of a philosophical debate I had with my roommate yesterday and we did not come to a conclusion, leading to thi... | 2024-07-02 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vcuBJgfSCvyPmqG7a/list-of-collective-intelligence-projects | vcuBJgfSCvyPmqG7a | List of Collective Intelligence Projects | Chipmonk | During the last Foresight Intelligent Cooperation Workshop I got very curious about what collective intelligence tools currently exist. A list:
Pol.is: "Input Crowd, Output Meaning"Inspired Twitter/X community notesPeople: Colin Megill, et al.Collective Intelligence Projectvibe: democratic AI, “How AI and Democracy Can... | 2024-07-02 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/2ep6FGjTQoGDRnhrq/decomposing-the-qk-circuit-with-bilinear-sparse-dictionary | 2ep6FGjTQoGDRnhrq | Decomposing the QK circuit with Bilinear Sparse Dictionary Learning | keith_wynroe | This work was produced as part of Lee Sharkey's stream in the ML Alignment & Theory Scholars Program - Winter 2023-24 Cohort
Intro and Motivation
Sparse dictionary learning (SDL) has attracted a lot of attention recently as a method for interpreting transformer activations. They demonstrate that model activations can o... | 2024-07-02 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MMtWB8wAu5Buc6sve/economics-roundup-2 | MMtWB8wAu5Buc6sve | Economics Roundup #2 | Zvi | Previously: Economics Roundup #1
Let’s take advantage of the normality while we have it. In all senses.
Insane Tax Proposals
There is Trump’s proposal to replace income taxes with tariffs, but he is not alone.
So here is your periodic reminder, since this is not actually new at core: Biden’s proposed budgets include co... | 2024-07-02 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gFN7hknQwPfKQuEdF/how-congressional-offices-process-constituent-communication | gFN7hknQwPfKQuEdF | How Congressional Offices Process Constituent Communication | tristan-williams | null | 2024-07-02 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/A3yuQzPFmrTn9ru74/blueprint-for-a-brighter-future | A3yuQzPFmrTn9ru74 | Blueprint for a Brighter Future
| alexbeyman | Presumably our shared goal is to make possible a comfortable and dignified life for the maximum number of people while treading lightly on the environment, balancing individual rights and status seeking behaviors against the common good (with a view to preventing tragedy of the commons). Importantly, any solution to th... | 2024-07-02 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/33emJkmw5bMAXZHHt/covert-malicious-finetuning-1 | 33emJkmw5bMAXZHHt | Covert Malicious Finetuning | tw | This post discusses our recent paper Covert Malicious Finetuning: Challenges in Safeguarding LLM Adaptation and comments on its implications for AI safety.
What is Covert Malicious Finetuning?
Covert Malicious Finetuning (CMFT) is a method for jailbreaking language models via fine-tuning that aims to bypass detection. ... | 2024-07-02 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GFeyXGib7DD3ooTEN/introduction-to-french-ai-policy | GFeyXGib7DD3ooTEN | Introduction to French AI Policy | lucie-philippon | This post was written as part of the AI Governance Fundamentals course by BlueDot. I thank Charles Beasley and the students from my cohort for their feedback and encouragements.
Disclaimer: The French policy landscape is in rapid flux, after president Macron called for a snap election on 1st and 7th July. The situation... | 2024-07-04 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MqDoZtMZYckCpZGSS/new-executive-team-and-board-pibbss | MqDoZtMZYckCpZGSS | New Executive Team & Board — PIBBSS | Nora_Ammann | TLDR: PIBBSS is changing its core team. Nora is stepping down as director due to joining ARIA, and Lucas Teixeira and Dusan Nesic are taking over her leadership role. Nora joins the board, alongside Tan Zhi Xuan, Alexander Gietelink Oldenziel, Ben Goldhaber and Gabriel Weil.
I (Nora) have recently accepted an offer to ... | 2024-07-01 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7aJ9vdqjq6HZjomRi/self-censoring-on-ai-x-risk-discussions | 7aJ9vdqjq6HZjomRi | Self-censoring on AI x-risk discussions? | Decaeneus | I catch myself sometimes thinking of ideas / scenarios that support higher p(doom), typically as counter-examples to points folks make for lower p(doom), and I wonder how much self-censorship I should apply, given that AI can read these conversations.
My CoT:
I sure don't want to feed ideas to any bad actor.But it's ar... | 2024-07-01 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dzvnAGDPsisMY8h7b/towards-shutdownable-agents-via-stochastic-choice | dzvnAGDPsisMY8h7b | Towards shutdownable agents via stochastic choice | ElliottThornley | We[1] have a new paper testing the Incomplete Preferences Proposal (IPP). The abstract and main-text is below. Appendices are in the linked PDF.
Abstract
Some worry that advanced artificial agents may resist being shut down.The Incomplete Preferences Proposal (IPP) is an idea for ensuring that doesn’t happen.A key part... | 2024-07-08 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yXkw4nrrTKwQFjzDK/rationalists-as-people-who-build-piles-of-rocks | yXkw4nrrTKwQFjzDK | Rationalists As People Who Build Piles Of Rocks | Sable | I recently attended the LessOnline event at the LightHaven campus.
It was fantastic, and I’ve got plenty of posts coming down the pipeline sparked by conversations or sessions held during the event. I got to meet a lot of my own personal heroes.
It was great.
Something that kept coming up throughout the event, in my mi... | 2024-07-01 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XH463zpuJi75ynMzj/uncursing-civilization | XH463zpuJi75ynMzj | Uncursing Civilization | Lorec | [ Disclaimer: None of the below matters relative to the fact that we are all going to die of AI very soon. Scaling hits a wall, until it doesn't. Or until somebody builds AGI in their basement and runs it on home hardware from 5 years after the present day of people running quantized Llamas on their laptops. ]
[ Cough.... | 2024-07-01 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WtsmwfzedJfSccynt/whirlwind-tour-of-chain-of-thought-literature-relevant-to | WtsmwfzedJfSccynt | Whirlwind Tour of Chain of Thought Literature Relevant to Automating Alignment Research. | sevdeawesome | This post is inspired by a series of comments by Bogdan: initial comment follow-up 1 follow-up 2 the goal of this post is to summarize the relevant literature and expand on these ideas.
Comment 1: “There will likely still be incentives to make architectures more parallelizable (for training efficiency) and parallelizab... | 2024-07-01 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HJp3C3z8XefwBeQcR/important-open-problems-in-voting | HJp3C3z8XefwBeQcR | Important open problems in voting | Closed Limelike Curves | Strategy-resistance
Identify, or prove impossibility, of a voting system which incentivizes—
A strictly sincere ranking of all candidates in the zero-information setting, where it implements a "good" social choice rule such as the relative (normalized) utilitarian rule, a Condorcet social choice rule, or the Borda rule... | 2024-07-01 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7WR3nmHpFj7xiNM7P/anti-circumcision-essay-3-of-3-now-that-i-think-about-it-is | 7WR3nmHpFj7xiNM7P | Anti-Circumcision Essay 3 of 3: Now That I Think About It, Is There Actually a Space Between “Info” and “Hazard”? Isn’t It Just One Word? | Harry Stevenage | Link to Part One
Link to Part Two
[reposting screencap for context]
I think by this point I’ve established enough groundwork that some people will be able to complete what remains in their head. I have described the physical reality. And I have pointed to a category of events where society understands that people will ... | 2024-07-01 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FMKnFxgbtCLxPPS4J/in-defense-of-lawyers-playing-their-part | FMKnFxgbtCLxPPS4J | In Defense of Lawyers Playing Their Part | KingSupernova | This is a linkpost for In Defense of Lawyers Playing Their Part.
Michael Huemer writes about why he believes it’s wrong for lawyers to pursue unjust legal outcomes.
It's a good article, and one of the best defenses of this position I've seen. Still, I think this argument is mistaken. The reason why we require lawyers t... | 2024-07-01 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3FeKf5dFZdJo9rJKY/honest-science-is-spirituality | 3FeKf5dFZdJo9rJKY | Honest science is spirituality | pchvykov | [cross-posted from my blog https://pchvykov.com/blog]
I see a problem with current science. It’s not the reproducibility crisis, nor the toxic work culture, nor the misaligned incentive. But in another sense, it is all of these – or perhaps the root cause behind them. It’s hard to name it exactly, but in a way, it’s th... | 2024-07-01 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7jW63YrnqR8ANfnDf/anti-circumcision-essay-2-of-3-physical-and-psychological | 7jW63YrnqR8ANfnDf | Anti-circumcision Essay 2 of 3: Physical and Psychological Realities | Harry Stevenage | Continuation of Part One
Now in theory I could end the series here. I could say that the evidence Mason provided of men going haywire is the images Karella posted, and since I’ve already made my case that one of those images is one offensive comic one person drew 13 years ago, and the other is just ordinary activism, t... | 2024-06-30 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/kp5h6khwrK47psMaA/transformer-circuit-faithfulness-metrics-are-not-robust | kp5h6khwrK47psMaA | Transformer Circuit Faithfulness Metrics Are Not Robust | Josephm | When you think you've found a circuit in a language model, how do you know if it does what you think it does? Typically, you ablate / resample the activations of the model in order to isolate the circuit. Then you measure if the model can still perform the task you're investigating.
We identify six ways in which ablati... | 2024-07-12 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LmCJnM2w4jaanHwmK/superposition-self-modeling-and-the-path-to-agi-a-new | LmCJnM2w4jaanHwmK | Superposition, Self-Modeling, and the Path to AGI: A New Perspective | Peterpiper | Executive Summary:
Current feed forward AI faces a tradeoff between intelligence and self-modeling capability due to dense superposition in upper layers.
This limitation potentially hinders advanced meta-learning and AGI development.
A proposed solution involves using infinite context length and recursive training loop... | 2024-06-30 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xXqhbiDxjWKZxgbE5/the-xerox-parc-arpa-version-of-the-intellectual-turing-test | xXqhbiDxjWKZxgbE5 | The Xerox Parc/ARPA version of the intellectual Turing test: Class 1 vs Class 2 disagreement | hamishtodd1 | I've been reading the excellent book The Dream Machine about ARPA and PARC, the research communities that invented the personal computer (before them computers were just tools for military research projects).
Xerox PARC was managed by Bob Taylor, a great manager who drew on the management style of many great people bef... | 2024-06-30 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rofQseMb5ojESyASw/llms-universally-learn-a-feature-representing-token | rofQseMb5ojESyASw | LLMs Universally Learn a Feature Representing Token Frequency / Rarity | Sean Osier | Summary
LLMs appear to universally learn a feature in their embeddings representing the frequency / rarity of the tokens they were trained onThis feature is observed across model sizes, in base models, instruction tuned models, regular text models, and code modelsIn models without tied weights, this feature is present ... | 2024-06-30 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Ejt6yHChar5TmxhfP/my-5-step-program-for-losing-weight | Ejt6yHChar5TmxhfP | My 5-step program for losing weight | nikita-sokolsky | I can’t claim to be an expert on the subject of weight loss but wanted to share the steps I’ve followed to get from ~81 kg (178 pounds) to ~70 kg (154 pounds) over a period of 8 months. Several people have asked me for tips, so I’ve figured I might as well write it all down for future reference.
Weight Gurus stats from... | 2024-06-30 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/aDi7CmwCrJ5T3Fabc/anti-circumcision-essay-1-of-3-according-to-their-critics | aDi7CmwCrJ5T3Fabc | Anti-Circumcision Essay 1 of 3: According To Their Critics, Intactivists Are The Best-Behaved Protest Movement In History
| Harry Stevenage | Context section:
Who are you and why are you posting this here?
First time poster on LessWrong, but I've been in the rationalist world since 2015 or so. Usually just participating in discussions and not writing essays. The people who know me know that this issue isn't the only thing I discuss. In fact, I'd say I bring ... | 2024-06-30 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wg6E3oJJrNnmJezNz/a-scaling-monosemanticity-explainer | wg6E3oJJrNnmJezNz | A “Scaling Monosemanticity” Explainer | latterframe | Coauthored by Fedor Ryzhenkov and Dmitrii Volkov (Palisade Research)
At Palisade, we often discuss latest safety results with policymakers and think tanks who seek to understand the state of current technology. This document condenses and streamlines the various internal notes we wrote when discussing Anthropic's "Scal... | 2024-06-29 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gcpNuEZnxAPayaKBY/othellogpt-learned-a-bag-of-heuristics-1 | gcpNuEZnxAPayaKBY | OthelloGPT learned a bag of heuristics | jylin04 | Work performed as a part of Neel Nanda's MATS 6.0 (Summer 2024) training program.
TLDR
This is an interim report on reverse-engineering Othello-GPT, an 8-layer transformer trained to take sequences of Othello moves and predict legal moves. We find evidence that Othello-GPT learns to compute the board state using many i... | 2024-07-02 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/srG2RguMfp6ubGnJa/analysis-of-key-ai-analogies | srG2RguMfp6ubGnJa | Analysis of key AI analogies | KevinKohler | The following is an analysis of seven prominent AI analogies: aliens, the brain, climate change, electricity, the Industrial Revolution, the neocortex, & nuclear fission. You can find longer versions of these as separate blogposts on my substack.
0. Why?
AI analogies have a real-world impact
For better or worse, analog... | 2024-06-29 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GHusbyeLEn45HaM5B/podcast-elizabeth-and-austin-on-what-manifold-was-allowed-to | GHusbyeLEn45HaM5B | Podcast: Elizabeth & Austin on "What Manifold was allowed to do" | austin-chen | null | 2024-06-28 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/TzwMfRArgsNscHocX/the-incredible-fentanyl-detecting-machine | TzwMfRArgsNscHocX | The Incredible Fentanyl-Detecting Machine | sarahconstantin | An NII machine in Nogales, AZ. (Image source)
There’s bound to be a lot of discussion of the Biden-Trump presidential debates last night, but I want to skip all the political prognostication and talk about the real issue: fentanyl-detecting machines.
Joe Biden says:
And I wanted to make sure we use the machinery that c... | 2024-06-28 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ZzT5rGbSCrNbASppZ/activation-pattern-svd-a-proposal-for-sae-interpretability | ZzT5rGbSCrNbASppZ | Activation Pattern SVD: A proposal for SAE Interpretability | dtch1997 | Epistemic status: This is a rough-draft write-up about a thought experiment I did. Reasonably confident about the broad arguments being made here. That said, I haven't spent a lot of time rigorously polishing or reviewing my writing, so minor inaccuracies may be present.
Interpretability Illusions from Max-Activating E... | 2024-06-28 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/n3yRgZYs5JZChpfKp/georgism-crash-course | n3yRgZYs5JZChpfKp | Georgism Crash Course | Zero Contradictions | For my first post on Less Wrong, I was advised to link to an existing blog post of mine. My Georgism Crash Course has been one of my most viewed essays. It aims to explain what Georgism is, why it would boost economic efficiency, and it addresses some of the possible drawbacks of it. All comments, constructive criticis... | 2024-06-29 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/md3HYPkRG9srJzHre/saving-lives-reduces-over-population-a-counter-intuitive-non | md3HYPkRG9srJzHre | Saving Lives Reduces Over-Population—A Counter-Intuitive Non-Zero-Sum Game | james-brown | AN ARGUMENT AGAINST SAVING LIVES
When making the argument for charitable giving, a response I have often received is that saving lives in areas that are already over-populated will perpetuate over-population-solving nothing. It’s a concern I shared when first considered charity.
The logic seems sound on the face of it.... | 2024-06-28 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/RfC4mkYuLksukyzns/datasets-that-change-the-odds-you-exist | RfC4mkYuLksukyzns | Datasets that change the odds you exist | dynomight | 1.
It’s October 1962. The Cuban missile crisis just happened, thankfully without apocalyptic nuclear war. But still:
Apocalyptic nuclear war easily could have happened.Crises as serious as the Cuban missile crisis clearly aren’t that rare, since one just happened.
You estimate (like President Kennedy) that there was a ... | 2024-06-29 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/viRn7Drv9FKcdFpyX/contra-acemoglu-on-ai | viRn7Drv9FKcdFpyX | Contra Acemoglu on AI | maxwell-tabarrok | The Simple Macroeconomics of AI is a 2024 working paper by Daron Acemoglu which models the economic growth effects of AI and predicts them to be small: About a .06% increase in TFP growth annually. This stands in contrast to many predictions which forecast immense impacts on economic growth from AI, including many from... | 2024-06-28 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zrbq6zHsQwrE8cLXJ/five-toy-worlds-to-think-about-heritability | zrbq6zHsQwrE8cLXJ | Five toy worlds to think about heritability
| david-hugh-jones | Just a quick note from a Twitter/X discussion.
It’s an almost-universal scientific rule that empirics is blind without a model. The left picture below shows a bunch of points, and a regression line fitting them. It seems like a good fit. But why should we believe it? The right picture shows the same points with a curve... | 2024-06-28 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/oLRHSb3PbxFoZX6vL/how-do-natural-sciences-prove-causation | oLRHSb3PbxFoZX6vL | How do natural sciences prove causation? | kongo-landwalker | Let's say we have 2 phenomena, A and B, each can be a value of 0 or 1, and we observe, that for them implication table A=>B is always true. (Third column represents whether the combinations of events can happen or cannot.)
A B A=>B
0 0 1
0 1 1
1 0 0
1 1 1
Thing we see is that combination A=1 and B=0 almost never happen... | 2024-06-28 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qbjPGZWZArTjpcKBS/lesswrong-acx-meetup-transilvanya-tour-sibiu | qbjPGZWZArTjpcKBS | LessWrong/ACX meetup Transilvanya tour - Sibiu | Marius Adrian Nicoară | Let's get together at the Shopping City food court and hang out for a while. I'll bring an interesting board game that involves teamwork and Bayesian reasoning; requires 4 players.
As a starting point, we can talk about "The Pyramid And The Garden" by Scott Alexander: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/9HSwh2mE3tX6xvZ2W/t... | 2024-06-28 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/o4RFp7rwfrn9bn6Lo/bayes-theorem-in-search-of-gold-lesson-1 | o4RFp7rwfrn9bn6Lo | Bayes' Theorem: In Search of Gold (Lesson 1) | bayesyatina | [This text is a translation, and my English may not be perfect. I would appreciate any suggestions for stylistic improvements]
The fire crackled in the fireplace, while it was raining heavily outside the window. The young dwarves, soaked from the rain, were sitting in chairs around the older dwarf.
Welcome to the cours... | 2024-06-28 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cruYtDoJuDXnkaPxR/how-a-chip-is-designed | cruYtDoJuDXnkaPxR | How a chip is designed | Yannick_Muehlhaeuser_duplicate0.05902100825326273 | Disclaimer: This is highly incomplete. I am not an expert in the field. There might be some unfamiliar terms. While I will try to explain things, explaining every single term would be beyond this post. You will usually be able to get a sufficient understanding by clicking the links or googling it.
Introduction
I think ... | 2024-06-28 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dxBiq5LpPwtirDTMY/the-wisdom-of-living-for-200-years | dxBiq5LpPwtirDTMY | The Wisdom of Living for 200 Years | sustrik | Scott Sumner writes:
Old people have a sort of double vision about the past — an ability to see the past from the perspective of today, and also from the perspective of the people who lived through those times. When then was now.
This double vision, according to Scott, brings wisdom, something you gain with age, an att... | 2024-06-28 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7LaDvWtymFWtidGxe/corrigibility-tool-ness | 7LaDvWtymFWtidGxe | Corrigibility = Tool-ness? | johnswentworth | Goal of This Post
I have never seen anyone give a satisfying intuitive explanation of what corrigibility (in roughly Eliezer’s sense of the word) is. There’s lists of desiderata, but they sound like scattered wishlists which don’t obviously point to a unified underlying concept at all. There’s also Eliezer’s extremely ... | 2024-06-28 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6evBdZAiT9yxoJBKk/situational-awareness-8 | 6evBdZAiT9yxoJBKk | Situational Awareness | PeterMcCluskey | Nearly a book review: Situational
Awareness, by Leopold Aschenbrenner.
"Situational Awareness" offers an insightful analysis of our proximity
to a critical threshold in AI capabilities. His background in machine
learning and economics lends credibility to his predictions.
The paper left me with a rather different set o... | 2024-06-28 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/REzKbk9reKFvgFkmf/how-big-a-deal-are-matmul-free-transformers | REzKbk9reKFvgFkmf | How Big a Deal are MatMul-Free Transformers? | JustisMills | If you’re already familiar with the technical side of LLMs, you can skip the first section.
The story so far
Modern Large Language Models - your ChatGPTs, your Geminis - are a particular kind of transformer, a deep learning architecture invented about seven years ago. Without getting into the weeds, transformers basica... | 2024-06-27 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WZ2Xug4j3rz2Pe3D2/secondary-forces-of-debt | WZ2Xug4j3rz2Pe3D2 | Secondary forces of debt | KatjaGrace | A general thing I hadn’t noticed about debts until lately:
Whenever Bob owes Alice, then Alice has reason to look after Bob, to the extent that increases the chance he satisfies the debt.
Yet at the same time, Bob has an incentive for Alice to disappear, insofar as it would relieve him.
These might be tiny incentives, ... | 2024-06-27 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Qk6qt5RDDDxnxCoBp/mentorship-in-agi-safety-applications-for-mentorship-are | Qk6qt5RDDDxnxCoBp | Mentorship in AGI Safety: Applications for mentorship are open! | Just Learning | One month ago we called for mentors for MAGIS mentorship program. Today, we are happy to announce that we found enough mentors and invite potential mentees to apply! Please check our list of mentors here, choose two (first choice and second choice), and then fill out this application form.
The application deadline is J... | 2024-06-28 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KoCS6LqJjKhCqDqnX/distillation-of-do-language-models-plan-for-future-tokens | KoCS6LqJjKhCqDqnX | Distillation of 'Do language models plan for future tokens' | TheManxLoiner | Link to arxiv preprint: Do language models plan for future tokens, by Wilson Wu, John X Morris and Lionel Levine.
TLDR
There are two reasons why the computations for the current token are helpful for future tokens’ computation. First, which they call ‘pre-caching’, the network is intentionally helping future tokens’ co... | 2024-06-27 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/AZnF5LNZfeGZRGvid/how-birds-sense-magnetic-fields | AZnF5LNZfeGZRGvid | how birds sense magnetic fields | bhauth | introduction
It is known that many birds are able to sense the direction of Earth's magnetic field. Here's a wikipedia page on that general phenomenon. There have been 2 main theories of how that works.
One theory is that birds have magnets in their beak that act like a compass. We know this is the correct theory becau... | 2024-06-27 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rC3hhZsx2KogoPLqh/ai-70-a-beautiful-sonnet | rC3hhZsx2KogoPLqh | AI #70: A Beautiful Sonnet | Zvi | They said it couldn’t be done.
No, not Claude Sonnet 3.5 becoming the clear best model.
No, not the Claude-Sonnet-empowered automatic meme generators. Those were whipped together in five minutes.
They said I would never get quiet time and catch up. Well, I showed them!
That’s right. Yes, there is a new best model, but ... | 2024-06-27 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hPGw7hWYbYyvDcqYK/evidence-against-learned-search-in-a-chess-playing-neural | hPGw7hWYbYyvDcqYK | Evidence against Learned Search in a Chess-Playing Neural Network | p.b. | Introduction
There is a new paper and lesswrong post about "learned look-ahead in a chess-playing neural network". This has long been a research interest of mine for reasons that are well-stated in the paper:
Can neural networks learn to use algorithms such as look-ahead or search internally? Or are they better thought... | 2024-09-13 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/iaPhjYhhp7PP6BWp9/detecting-genetically-engineered-viruses-with-metagenomic | iaPhjYhhp7PP6BWp9 | Detecting Genetically Engineered Viruses With Metagenomic Sequencing | jkaufman | null | 2024-06-27 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GHEyrHrcpz3T4CumG/toward-a-taxonomy-of-cognitive-benchmarks-for-agentic-agis | GHEyrHrcpz3T4CumG | Toward a taxonomy of cognitive benchmarks for agentic AGIs | ben-smith | Inspired by the sequence on LLM Psychology, I am developing a taxonomy of cognitive benchmarks for measuring intelligent behavior in LLMs. This taxonomy could facilitate understanding of intelligence to identify domains of machine intelligence that have not been adequately tested.
Generally speaking, in order to unders... | 2024-06-27 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gztJxTLvdfAxu7aRz/cross-robin | gztJxTLvdfAxu7aRz | Cross Robin | jkaufman | A common contra dance figure is "right shoulder round": walk around the
opposite-role person on the side of the set while looking at them. A
less common figure is the "mad robin": walk the same path, but instead
look at the opposite-role person across the set. This suggests a third
option, which we can call "cross rob... | 2024-06-27 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mXYdYh6L9odTJZDSm/an-issue-with-training-schemers-with-supervised-fine-tuning | mXYdYh6L9odTJZDSm | An issue with training schemers with supervised fine-tuning | Fabien | This is a rough write-up of ideas by Ryan Greenblatt. The core ideas are his and mistakes are mine. Thanks to him, Buck Shlegeris and to Aghyad Deeb for feedback on the draft of this post.
One way to use scheming AIs is to train them to imitate humans. When does imitation robustly avoid frequent and intentional failure... | 2024-06-27 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/T9i9gX58ZckHx6syw/representation-tuning | T9i9gX58ZckHx6syw | Representation Tuning | christopher-ackerman | Summary
First, I identify activation vectors related to honesty in an RLHF’d LLM (Llama-2-13b-chat). Next, I demonstrate that model output can be made more or less honest by adding positive or negative multiples of these vectors to residual stream activations during generation. Then, I show that a similar effect can be... | 2024-06-27 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WKrcJ22QKjg6DnEdb/instrumental-vs-terminal-desiderata | WKrcJ22QKjg6DnEdb | Instrumental vs Terminal Desiderata | max-harms | Bob: "I want my AGI to make everyone extremely wealthy! I'm going to train that to be its goal."
Cassie: "Stop! You'll doom us all! While wealth is good, it's not everything that's good, and so even if you somehow build a wealth-maximizer (instead of summoning some random shattering of your goal), it will sacrifice all... | 2024-06-26 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KMorqWKG8XyXky3ZB/imbue-generally-intelligent-continue-to-make-progress | KMorqWKG8XyXky3ZB | Imbue (Generally Intelligent) continue to make progress | nathan-helm-burger | I've been following the company Imbue and their podcast Generally Intelligent since they started. They've said thoughtful and creative things in their podcast, and I think they are making impressive progress towards AGI considering their relatively smaller size.
Just wanting to keep people appraised. If they did hit on... | 2024-06-26 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/74GXwwZWAHA9GjxGz/countering-ai-disinformation-and-deep-fakes-with-digital | 74GXwwZWAHA9GjxGz | Countering AI disinformation and deep fakes with digital signatures | dave-lindbergh | According to The Economist, disinformation campaigns (often state-sponsored) use "AI to rewrite real news stories":
In early March a network of websites, dubbed CopyCop, began publishing stories in English and French on a range of contentious issues. They accused Israel of war crimes, amplified divisive political debat... | 2024-06-26 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cyDFZgSS33XrcehhD/progress-conference-2024-toward-abundant-futures | cyDFZgSS33XrcehhD | Progress Conference 2024: Toward Abundant Futures | jasoncrawford | The progress movement has grown a lot in the last few years. We now have progress journals, think tanks, and fellowships. The progress idea has spread and evolved into the “abundance agenda”, “techno-optimism”, “supply-side progressivism”, “American dynamism”. All of us want to see more scientific, technological, and e... | 2024-06-26 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/C84itFwEHcp5tqQCH/tracing-the-steps | C84itFwEHcp5tqQCH | Tracing the steps | englishtea | Musings on the Yudkowsky-Hanson debate from 2011.
After all sorts of interesting technological things happening in some undetermined point in the feature, will we see some small nucleus that control all resources or will we see a civilisation-wide large-scale participation in these things going down? [Robin Hanson, 201... | 2024-06-26 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ozScYoJgenw8TnuBj/bad-lessons-learned-from-the-debate | ozScYoJgenw8TnuBj | Bad lessons learned from the debate | bayesyatina | Debates are life, the rest is just time to prepare.
As a student, I played classic policy Karl Popper debates. The first thing we learned was sparring. The rules are simple: two people are given a topic, such as "an orange is better than an apple", and they randomly determine who supports and who opposes the topic. Aft... | 2024-06-26 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pn5jWW4zcWSAjM9s3/childhood-and-education-roundup-6-college-edition | pn5jWW4zcWSAjM9s3 | Childhood and Education Roundup #6: College Edition | Zvi | Childhood roundup #5 excluded all developments around college. So this time around is all about issues related to college or graduate school, including admissions.
Tuition and Costs
What went wrong with federal student loans? Exactly what you would expect when you don’t check who is a good credit risk. From a performan... | 2024-06-26 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qhpB9NjcCHjdNDsMG/new-fast-transformer-inference-asic-sohu-by-etched | qhpB9NjcCHjdNDsMG | New fast transformer inference ASIC — Sohu by Etched | lcmgcd | I would bet that ASICs will run the roost in a few years and this is only the beginning.
They claim 500k tokens per second with Llama 70B.
Seems to be exactly what it looks like, an ASIC. Curious if this is somehow not what it looks like. | 2024-06-26 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QvFRAEsGv5fEhdH3Q/preliminary-notes-on-llm-forecasting-and-epistemics | QvFRAEsGv5fEhdH3Q | My Current Claims and Cruxes on LLM Forecasting & Epistemics | ozziegooen | null | 2024-06-26 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jhhoks5psG8Dcpgzu/empirical-vs-mathematical-joints-of-nature | jhhoks5psG8Dcpgzu | Empirical vs. Mathematical Joints of Nature | pktechgirl | We (Alex and Elizabeth) are thinking about doing this project where we figure out how paradigm formation happened in chaos theory. Alex has also been thinking about paradigm formation for agent foundations (which people often talk about as being pre-paradigmatic). These are some thoughts on what paradigm formation mean... | 2024-06-26 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4eBLj3TTcypq4ic9v/in-favour-of-exploring-nagging-doubts-about-x-risk | 4eBLj3TTcypq4ic9v | In favour of exploring nagging doubts about x-risk | owencb | null | 2024-06-25 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ajJRyKtwZNnBdmkcv/what-is-a-tool | ajJRyKtwZNnBdmkcv | What is a Tool? | johnswentworth | Throughout this post, we’re going to follow the Cognition -> Convergence -> Corroboration methodology[1]. That means we’ll tackle tool-ness in three main stages, each building on the previous:
Cognition: What does it mean, cognitively, to view or model something as a tool?Convergence: Insofar as different minds (e.g. d... | 2024-06-25 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xgZGtH9WiKdAkWLij/when-do-alignment-researchers-retire | xgZGtH9WiKdAkWLij | When do alignment researchers retire? | Nadroj | At what point will it no longer be useful for humans to be involved in the process of alignment research? After the first slightly-superhuman AGI, well into superintelligence, or somewhere in between?
Feel free to answer differently for different kinds of human involvement:
Humans could be involved as a source of data ... | 2024-06-25 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/JECQZAXWbtGJdBuAC/schelling-points-in-the-agi-policy-space | JECQZAXWbtGJdBuAC | Schelling points in the AGI policy space | mesaoptimizer | I've been thinking about memetically fit Schelling points in the AGI policy space. I'll describe four such "Schelling policies", and use them as pedagogical examples.
Shut it all down
MIRI's new stated objective is the clearest example of a Schelling policy: "Shut it all down". MIRI states that they want governments to... | 2024-06-26 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HxHYPJoaWD8AjaHCk/computational-complexity-as-an-intuition-pump-for-llm | HxHYPJoaWD8AjaHCk | Computational Complexity as an Intuition Pump for LLM Generality
| Particleman | With sufficient scale and scaffolding, LLMs will improve without bound on all tasks to become superhuman AGI, to the extent they haven’t already. No, wait! LLMs are dead-end pattern-matching machines fundamentally incapable of general reasoning and novel problem solving. Which is it?
I’ll call these opposing points of ... | 2024-06-25 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XhywWXDLkqDSB7KjH/failure-modes-of-teaching-ai-safety-1 | XhywWXDLkqDSB7KjH | Failure Modes of Teaching AI Safety | ea-1 | Why I'm writing this
I'm about to teach my AI safety course for the fourth time. As I'm now updating the syllabus for the upcoming semester, I summarize my observations on what can go wrong when teaching AI safety. These have mostly not happened during my teaching but are generally likely to happen - as more AIS course... | 2024-06-25 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bb4D8vbCyPPHtspk7/kingfisher-summer-tour-2024 | bb4D8vbCyPPHtspk7 | Kingfisher Summer Tour 2024 | jkaufman | Kingfisher is going
on tour again:
Thr
2024-06-27
Rochester NY
Fri
2024-06-28
Pittsburgh PA
Sat
2024-06-29
Bloomington IN
Sun
2024-06-30
St Louis MO
Mon
2024-07-01
Cincinnati OH
Tue
2024-07-02
Indianapolis IN
Cecilia made a flyer:
Harris will be calling,
and we'll be driving together. Anna and Lily are coming too, whi... | 2024-06-25 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/YQ4rSTHpHeFcAmhvi/incentive-learning-vs-dead-sea-salt-experiment | YQ4rSTHpHeFcAmhvi | Incentive Learning vs Dead Sea Salt Experiment | steve2152 | (Target audience: People both inside and outside neuroscience & psychology. I tried to avoid jargon.)
1. Background context
One of my interests is the neuroscience of motivation. This is a topic I care about for the same obvious reason as everyone else: to gain insight into how to control the motivations of future supe... | 2024-06-25 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SyeQjjBoEC48MvnQC/formal-verification-heuristic-explanations-and-surprise | SyeQjjBoEC48MvnQC | Formal verification, heuristic explanations and surprise accounting | Jacob_Hilton | ARC's current research focus can be thought of as trying to combine mechanistic interpretability and formal verification. If we had a deep understanding of what was going on inside a neural network, we would hope to be able to use that understanding to verify that the network was not going to behave dangerously in unfo... | 2024-06-25 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Fr6eJkjYWG9Mw6XQc/how-good-are-llms-at-doing-ml-on-an-unknown-dataset | Fr6eJkjYWG9Mw6XQc | How good are LLMs at doing ML on an unknown dataset? | havard-tveit-ihle | I just ran two evaluation tests on each of the three leading LLM chatbots, GPT4o, Claude Sonnet 3.5 and Gemini advanced. In the challenge the models were presented with a novel dataset, and were asked to develop a ML model to do supervised classification of the data into 5 classes. The data was basically 512 points in ... | 2024-07-01 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QvnzEHvodmwfBXu94/live-theory-part-0-taking-intelligence-seriously | QvnzEHvodmwfBXu94 | Live Theory Part 0: Taking Intelligence Seriously | Sahil | Acknowledgements
The vision here was midwifed originally in the wild and gentle radiance that is Abram's company (though essentially none of the content is explicitly his).
The PIBBSS-spirit has been infused in this work from before it began (may it infuse us all), as have meetings with the Agent Foundations team at MI... | 2024-06-26 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/a7HqRKpGchbf2DaK8/labor-participation-is-an-alignment-risk | a7HqRKpGchbf2DaK8 | Labor Participation is an Alignment Risk | alex | TLDR: This paper explores and outlines why AI-related reductions in Labor participation (e.g., real unemployment) is a significant and high-priority alignment risk that the alignment community should more seriously consider as a potential underlying systemic risk factor. Constructive criticism, counter-factuals, and/or... | 2024-06-25 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7LvK6Gw2GdfDMBNNm/monthly-roundup-19-june-2024 | 7LvK6Gw2GdfDMBNNm | Monthly Roundup #19: June 2024 | Zvi | Looks like we made it. Yes, the non-AI world still exists.
Bad Governor
New York Governor Kathy Hochul has gone rogue and betrayed New York City, also humanity, declaring a halt to congestion pricing a month before it was to go into effect. Her explanation was that she spoke to workers at three Manhattan diners who wer... | 2024-06-25 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Mn8BFCZMyvvuTvpWh/regularly-meta-optimization | Mn8BFCZMyvvuTvpWh | Regularly meta-optimization | commissar Yarrick | The usefulness of the different actions differ by orders of magnitude. Sometimes, redirecting efforts can increase your efficiency by an order of magnitude or more.
Imagine that the person who first came up with the idea of sorting charitable foundations by efficiency, instead of implementing it, went to wash the dishe... | 2024-06-25 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5vfSNLb92eyXKkQax/mistakes-people-make-when-thinking-about-units | 5vfSNLb92eyXKkQax | Mistakes people make when thinking about units | KingSupernova | This is a linkpost for Parker Dimensional Analysis. Probably a little elementary for LessWrong, but I think it may still contain a few novel insights, particularly in the last section about Verison's error.
A couple years ago, there was an interesting clip on MSNBC.
A few weeks later, Matt Parker came out with a video ... | 2024-06-25 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cZqNiRd89A92rBPkc/higher-effort-summer-solstice-what-if-we-used-ai-i-e-angel | cZqNiRd89A92rBPkc | Higher-effort summer solstice: What if we used AI (i.e., Angel Island)? | wearsshoes | As the title probably already indicates, this post contains community content rather than rationality content. Alternate, sillier version of this post here.
Motivation
I've been a co-organizer of the Bay Area Rationalist Summer Solstice for the past few years, and I've been thinking about how to make it a more meaningf... | 2024-06-25 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hSeQmkuAwcDLNinM7/being-hella-lost-as-rationality-practice | hSeQmkuAwcDLNinM7 | Being hella lost as rationality practice | wearsshoes | I've had the privilege of knowing where I was only in the sense of "within this quadrangle of an insufficiently detailed map, with impassable terrain not well indicated" several times. Usually by choice. More often while alone than prudence would dictate. I think they've been pretty good informal exercises in applied B... | 2024-06-24 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/D9yYmL6KPq7dcNSKE/i-m-a-bit-skeptical-of-alphafold-3 | D9yYmL6KPq7dcNSKE | I'm a bit skeptical of AlphaFold 3 | oleg-trott | (also on https://olegtrott.substack.com)
So this happened: DeepMind (with 48 authors, including a new member of the British nobility) decided to compete with me. Or rather, with some of my work from 10+ years ago.
Apparently, AlphaFold 3 can now predict how a given drug-like molecule will bind to its target protein. An... | 2024-06-25 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8vXeyxnXAGKgBAS9M/a-basic-economics-style-model-of-ai-existential-risk | 8vXeyxnXAGKgBAS9M | A Basic Economics-Style Model of AI Existential Risk | Rubi | Crossposted with my new blog, Crossing the Rubicon, and primarily aimed at x-risk skeptics from economics backgrounds. If you're interested in novel takes on theoretical AI safety, please consider subscribing! Thanks to Basil Halperin for feedback on a draft of this post.
“So, when it comes to AGI and existential risk,... | 2024-06-24 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vSSrAbbE8RtowRSBZ/the-minority-coalition | vSSrAbbE8RtowRSBZ | The Minority Coalition | ricraz | Hello everybody. Or maybe nobody. I don’t know yet if I’m going to release this stream, I could get in pretty hot water for it. But you guys know that hasn’t stopped me in the past. The backstory this time is that I’ve managed to sign up for one of the red-teaming programs where they test unreleased LLMs. Not going to ... | 2024-06-24 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/piteaGopyWMD7ozSf/sparse-features-through-time | piteaGopyWMD7ozSf | Sparse Features Through Time | rogan | This project explores the use of Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs) to track the development of features in large language models throughout their training. It investigates whether features can be reliably matched between different SAEs trained on various checkpoints of Pythia 70M and characterises the development of these fea... | 2024-06-24 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MFBTjb2qf3ziWmzz6/sae-feature-geometry-is-outside-the-superposition-hypothesis | MFBTjb2qf3ziWmzz6 | SAE feature geometry is outside the superposition hypothesis | jake_mendel | Written at Apollo Research
Summary: Superposition-based interpretations of neural network activation spaces are incomplete. The specific locations of feature vectors contain crucial structural information beyond superposition, as seen in circular arrangements of day-of-the-week features and in the rich structures of fe... | 2024-06-24 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wx4RhFzLbiHoShFjR/on-claude-3-5-sonnet | wx4RhFzLbiHoShFjR | On Claude 3.5 Sonnet | Zvi | There is a new clear best (non-tiny) LLM.
If you want to converse with an LLM, the correct answer is Claude Sonnet 3.5.
It is available for free on Claude.ai and the Claude iOS app, or you can subscribe for higher rate limits. The API cost is $3 per million input tokens and $15 per million output tokens.
This completes... | 2024-06-24 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Th4SeayGQyF6pYmZ6/book-review-righteous-victims-a-history-of-the-zionist-arab-1 | Th4SeayGQyF6pYmZ6 | Book Review: Righteous Victims - A History of the Zionist-Arab Conflict | yair-halberstadt | I originally entered this to the ACX Book Review competition. Since it has not been selected as a finalist I'm now free to post it here. In truth it's a followup to my review of Morris's history of Israel's War of Independence.
In the wake of the October 7th attack on Israel and Israel’s response, everyone seemed to ag... | 2024-06-24 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/nhwMMbi4pmZfErNe2/paying-russians-to-not-invade-ukraine | nhwMMbi4pmZfErNe2 | Paying Russians to not invade Ukraine | djColliderBias | I know nothing about war except that horseback archers were OP for a long time. But from my point of view, which is blatantly uneducated when it comes to war, being a Russian soldier seems like a miserable experience. It therefore makes me wonder why 300,000 Russian soldiers are willing to risk it all in Ukraine.[1] Wh... | 2024-06-24 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/nCdxosAzGw9PKxRcD/the-living-planet-index-a-case-study-in-statistical-pitfalls | nCdxosAzGw9PKxRcD | The Living Planet Index: A Case Study in Statistical Pitfalls | Jan_Kulveit | In case you sometimes read an alarming headline about biodiversity loss, like Global wildlife populations have declined by 69% since 1970 or Researchers Report a Staggering Decline in Wildlife, there is a decent chance it is based on a metric called The Living Planet Index (LPI). My colleagues at CTS looked into how is... | 2024-06-24 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.