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What's next for the stock? We take a look at earnings estimates for some clues.\n\nArticle Content:\n\nUPS Quick QuoteUPS\nYou follow Realtime BLOG - edit\nRealtime BLOG\nIt has been about a month since the last earnings report for United Parcel Service (UPS Quick QuoteUPS - Free Report) . Shares have added about 8.2% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.\nWill the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is UPS due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.\nUnited Parcel Service's earnings (third-quarter 2022 earnings (excluding 3 cents from non-recurring items) of $2.99 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.84. The earnings beat was primarily owing to higher delivery prices. Favorable pricing more than offset the downside caused by declining shipping volumes. The bottom line increased 10.33% year over year.Quarterly revenues of $24,161 million, however, fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $24,319.8 million. The top line increased 4.2% year over year, driven by the uptick in revenue per piece shipped.Shipping volumes declined 2.1% year over year to 22.9 million. The decline in the volume of packages shipped indicates weakening demand due to the economic slowdown.Overall adjusted operating profit rose 8.6% year over year to $3,224 million in the third quarter, boosted by growth in the adjusted operating profit in the U.S. domestic package segment. In the first nine months of 2022, UPS generated a free cash flow of $8,472 million compared with $9,265 million in the first nine months of 2021. UPS\u2019 capital expenditures were $2,278 million in the first nine months of 2022.\nU.S. Domestic Package revenues increased 8.2% year over year to $15,374 million in the third quarter, driven by a 9.8% increase in revenue per piece. Segmental operating profit (adjusted) jumped 19.2% year over year to $1,686 million in the quarter. Adjusted operating margin for the segment was 11% in the September quarter. Average daily volume in the segment declined 1.5% year over year in the reported quarter.Revenues at the International Package division summed $4,799 million, up 1.7% year over year. The segment\u2019s performance was driven by a 6.4% increase in revenue per piece. Segmental operating profit (adjusted) totaled $1,004 million in the reported quarter, down 2% year over year. Consolidated average daily volume in the segment declined 5.2% year over year in the reported quarter. On the domestic front, average daily volume fell 9.4%. Average daily volume (export) was down 0.6%Supply Chain and Freight revenues declined 6.3% to $3,988 million due to softness in the air and ocean freight forwarding operations. Operating profit (on an adjusted basis) inched up 0.9% to $459 million in the September quarter.\nUPS still expects consolidated revenues of about $102 billion, an adjusted operating margin of 13.7% and an adjusted return on invested capital to be above 30%.\nHow Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?\nIt turns out, estimates review have trended downward during the past month.\nVGM Scores\nAt this time, UPS has a nice Growth Score of B, though it is lagging a lot on the Momentum Score front with an F. However, the stock was allocated a grade of B on the value side, putting it in the second quintile for this investment strategy.\nOverall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of B. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.\nOutlook\nEstimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. Notably, UPS has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.\nUnited Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) - free report >>\nOur experts picked 7 Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buy stocks with the best chance to skyrocket within the next 30-90 days.\nRecent stocks from this report have soared up to +178.7% in 3 months - this month's picks could be even better. See our report's 7 new picks today - it's really free!\nThis page has not been authorized, sponsored, or otherwise approved or endorsed by the companies represented herein. Each of the company logos represented herein are trademarks of Microsoft Corporation; Dow Jones & Company; Nasdaq, Inc.; Forbes Media, LLC; Investor's Business Daily, Inc.; and Morningstar, Inc.\nAt the center of everything we do is a strong commitment to independent research and sharing its profitable discoveries with investors. This dedication to giving investors a trading advantage led to the creation of our proven Zacks Rank stock-rating system. Since 1988 it has more than doubled the S&P 500 with an average gain of +23.96% per year. These returns cover a period from January 1, 1988 through October 2, 2023. Zacks Rank stock-rating system returns are computed monthly based on the beginning of the month and end of the month Zacks Rank stock prices plus any dividends received during that particular month. A simple, equally-weighted average return of all Zacks Rank stocks is calculated to determine the monthly return. The monthly returns are then compounded to arrive at the annual return. Only Zacks Rank stocks included in Zacks hypothetical portfolios at the beginning of each month are included in the return calculations. Zacks Ranks stocks can, and often do, change throughout the month. Certain Zacks Rank stocks for which no month-end price was available, pricing information was not collected, or for certain other reasons have been excluded from these return calculations.\n\nSource: Zacks Investment Research\n", + "timestamp_ms": 1669307463000, + "published_utc": "2022-11-24T16:31:03Z", + "article_url": "https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2021976/ups-ups-up-82-since-last-earnings-report-can-it-continue", + "label_type": [ + "[2][c] Stock Recommendations", + "[1][c] Company-Specific News", + "[1][b] Stock Market Updates" + ], + "label_time": [ + "[2][b] Recent Trends (Past Few Weeks \u2013 Ongoing)", + "[1][a] Short-Term Retrospective (\u2264 3 months)" + ], + "label_sentiment": [ + "[2][b] Mixed Outlook" + ] + }, + "trend": { + "input_percentage_change": 1.450400003364906, + "input_bin_label": "-2% ~ +2%", + "output_percentage_change": 0.2267697168285654, + "output_bin_label": "-2% ~ +2%", + "overall_percentage_change": 11.841950300317992, + "overall_bin_label": ">+4%" 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