Input: works with states to address the challenges of irregular and mixed movements at Europe’s borders through a comprehensive [route-based approach. This strategy focuses on](https://www.refworld.org/policy/strategy/unhcr/2024/en/148087) coordinated actions to protect refugees and migrants, uphold their rights and reduce dangerous journeys. It emphasizes cooperation among states, UN agencies and civil society to manage irregular movements and ensure responses align with international obligations. 2 Mediterranean Situation [Operational Data Portal](https://data.unhcr.org/en/situations/mediterranean) 3 8,500 arrivals to Italy; 6,900 to Greece; 6,500 arrivals to Spain (4,095 of whom arrived in the Canary Islands); and 216 to Cyprus. 4 As of 30 September 2024. Page 4 **U N H C R R E G I O N A L B U R E A U F O R E U R O P E,** O C T O B E R 2 0 2 4

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Input: vulnerable communities, including refugees and host communities. By linking safety nets with livelihood opportunities and broader socio-economic development, the project aims to foster resilience, inclusion, and sustainable economic growth in target areas. These include underserved regions such as Dikhil and refugee-hosting locations facing pressures from population inflows, strained public services, and climaterelated vulnerabilities. Additionally, the social protection support will be expanded across all regions to ensure broader coverage. **B. Theory of Change and PDO Indicators** 19 World Bank, 2025, Djibouti Climate Change Development Report (CCDR) 20 Project’s activities are exposed to identified climate risks (extreme heat, droughts, floods), but each activity financed under this operation will integrate climate-resilient design to reduce material risks to an acceptable level. Page 7

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Input: gain from having full ownership as compared to only occupancy rights on customary land is expected to amount to 3.5% for coffee, 16.3% for fruits, and 20.0% for banana with correspondingly larger gains of 9.3%, 31.9%, and 39.1%, respectively, on freehold or _mailo_ land. To interpret these figures, note that they are very conservative estimates as they completely neglect the value of soil fertility investment which can be very large according to recent studies valuing annual nutrient loss due to lack of soil conservation at 20% of average household income (Pender _et al._ 2004). Given that in addition we also exclude any credit-related investment incentives due to clear land ownership, the coefficients estimated here points towards substantial economic effects of overlapping property rights. **4.3 Options to increase tenure security** Our results thus far imply that, despite legal provisions aiming to strengthen property rights to land that is only occupied but not owned, significant and quantitatively large investment disincentives persist and cause productivity losses of considerable magnitude. This makes it important to explore other ways of bringing investment levels on such land closer to the social optimum. To explore this, our survey asked households who occupied land under usufruct about their

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Input: members’ labor supply to farm or off-farm activities, migration, income from different sources, and an account of agricultural output and inputs. We also have data on key village characteristics including total working age population, agricultural land, and distance to public health and education facilities to control for village level time-varying effects. With 9-13 villages per county and a sample size of 10 households per village, the pre-reform sample comprises a total of 310 and 470 households inside and outside Chengdu, respectively. [11] The post-reform sample similarly includes 280 and 390 households inside and outside the prefecture boundary. After dropping some 5% of sample households who neither engaged in productive activities nor participated in labor markets due to old age or disability, we end up with a sample of 285 pre- and 259 post-reform 9 The NBS sample is drawn from a fixed set of counties. We compare outcomes of NBS households in counties from both sides of the Chengdu prefecture border with three counties in Chengdu and four counties in Meishan and Ziyang. 10 We use the years of 2005 and 2006 for the pre-reform and of 2011 and 2012 for the post-reform period. To avoid contamination as land reform

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Input: resilience: learning from the ecological wisdom of living with floods in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta. Landsc Urban Plan 155:69–78 McElwee P et al (2017) Flood vulnerability among rural households in the red River Delta of Vietnam: implications for future climate change risk and adaptation. Nat Hazards 86(1):465–492 Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment (2009) Climate Change, Sea Level Rise Scenarios for Vietnam Patankar A (2015) The Exposure, Vulnerability and Adaptive Capacity of Households to Floods in Mumbai. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 7481 PUMA (2013) Interim Report Version 1.0.^ Platform for Urban Management and Analysis (PUMA) Software Development and Satellite Imagery Processing Consultants Rozenberg J, Hallegatte S (2016). Modeling the impacts of climate change on future Vietnamese households: a micro-simulation approach Scussolini, P., Aerts, J. C., Jongman, B., Bouwer, L. M., Winsemius, H. C., de Moel, H., & Ward, P. J. (2016). FLOPROS: an evolving global database of flood protection standards. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci, 16(5), 1049–1061 Smith A, Freer J, Bates P, Sampson C (2014) Comparing ensemble projections of flooding against flood estimation by continuous simulation. J Hydrol 511:205–219 Thoai TQ et al (2018) Determinants of farmers’ adaptation to climate change in agricultural production in the

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Input: provided protection, access to services, and inclusion into national systems. However, host governments and communities need support to guarantee access to rights and services, provide dedicated support for the most vulnerable, foster greater inclusion and ensure social cohesion. UNHCR leads the **[Regional Refugee Response Plan](https://data.unhcr.org/en/documents/details/105903)** (RRP) for the Ukraine Situation in these efforts along with more than 300 partners. In 2024, UNHCR aims to assist over **850,000 refugees with protection support** including information and counselling, targeted cash for protection and socio-economic activities, including livelihoods support. For more on UNHCR's 2024 plans and financial requirements for the Ukraine Situation, see **[here.](https://data.unhcr.org/en/documents/details/106081)** **UNHCR’S 2024 FINANCIAL REQUIREMENTS** **FOR UKRAINE SITUATION COUNTRIES** US$ million # 993.3 **TOTAL FUNDED (as of 30 Sept 2024)** % # 52 **COUNTRY** **TOTAL** **BUDGET** **(USD)** **TOTAL FUNDED** **(%)** Bulgaria **$17.0M** 71% Czech Republic **$11.9M** 44% Estonia **$4.2M** 50% Hungary **$14.2M** 60% Latvia **$4.2M** 50% Lithuania **$4.2M** 50% Poland **$85.0M** 38% Rep. of Moldova **$102.8M** 60% Romania **$54.3M** 45% Slovakia **$20.3M** 53% Ukraine **$598.9M** 52% [1 IOM DTM - Ukraine](https://dtm.iom.int/ukraine) Page 3 **U N H C R R E G I O N A L B U R E A U F O R E U R O P E,**

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Input: Some instances, such as when prescribed medications conflicted with known conditions, illustrated a disconnect between patient backgrounds and treatment approaches in the Czech healthcare system. This forced some refugees to rely on bringing medications from Ukraine, exacerbated by difficulties obtaining longterm prescriptions. Language barriers also hinder effective communication of health needs. Many focus group discussion respondents highlighted the need to rely on assistance during medical appointments. It was also observed that participants face uncertainty about obtaining disability certificates, with most participants unaware of the process. Notably, healthcare emerged as the fourth most important information need during protection monitoring. _2 UNHCR Focus Group Discussion with 10 Ukrainian refugee women 25-59 years of age in January 2024 in Prague._ _3 UNHCR Focus Group Discussions with 28 Ukrainian elderly refugees aged 60-79 (26 women, 2 men) in Prague and Plzen in March -_ _April 2024._ UNHCR / March 2024 4

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Input: of buyers 6,425 10,074 3,375 19,874 Total number of buyers (for whom insurance is available in following year) 5,579 5,418 NA 10,997 Total number of buyers (in villages where there was at least one buyer the following year) 2,462 1,739 NA 4,201 Number of buyers who repurchase in following year 453 364 NA 817 Buyers receiving payouts 351 1,346 529 2,226 Average Average sum insured (Rs) 3,055 1,612 3,547 2,738 Average payout (Rs) 11 60 88 53 Average payout (Rs, if payout _>_ 0) 195 360 553 370 _Notes_ : This table lists summary statistics for the individual sample. The sample only includes people who purchased rainfall insurance from BASIX in a given year. _Source_ : Authors’ analysis based on data from BASIX. For rainfall data, I use a historical daily grid of rainfall, which is interpolated based on readings from thousands of rainfall stations throughout India. The data are provided by the Asian Precipitation Highly 3 The states are, in descending order of number of buyers, Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra, Jharkand, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, and Orissa. 4 Note that BASIX also sold many policies in the district of Deogarh in Jarkhand, and those buyers are omitted from this analysis. The

historical daily grid of rainfall
data from BASIX

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Input: the OECD, a highly skilled workforce, and a transformative digitalization and management agenda. **Foundational Learning** 5. **National assessments show weakness in foundational learning, and learning outcomes are strongly correlated** **to socioeconomic conditions, which points to the need for foundational learning with deeper attention to the education** **outcomes of students from poorer families.** Costa Rica reactivated standardized national assessments in 2023; the first results from 2023 were released in March 2024 and indicated that about a third of the students at the end of Primary schooling are at the “basic” level of learning. Internationally comparable Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) data for Costa Rica for 2018 shows that while 28 percent of children from families in the top quintile of the PISA index for economic, social and cultural status were below Level 2 on Reading in PISA (considered the minimum of adequate performance), 72 percent of children from families from the lowest quintile of the PISA index were below level 2. Foundational learning (literacy and numeracy) in early grades paves the way for future learning, and differences in educational attainment become magnified through youth and adult life in the acquisition of human capital. Without any claims regarding causation, it is

Internationally comparable Programme for International Student Assessment

PISA index for economic, social and cultural status

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Input: **The World Bank** Uganda Development Response to Displacement Impacts Project Phase II (P510476) **I.** **STRATEGIC CONTEXT** PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT **A.** **Project Strategic Context** 1. **The Government of Uganda’s (GoU’s) progressive refugee response model has generated a development** **dividend for hosting districts, but they still face major development challenges and refugees are well short of achieving** **self-reliance.** Increasing refugee inflows continue to place a strain on host communities at a time of declining humanitarian aid. Since Phase I of the Development Response to Displacement Impacts Project (DRDIP) in the Horn of Africa was approved in May 2016, the refugee population in Uganda has increased markedly from 220,000 to over 1.8 million. [1] More inflows are expected given the ongoing instability in the region. Most refugees are hosted in rural communities that are struggling with poverty and unemployment, human capital and service delivery deficits, limited basic infrastructure, and a degraded natural resource base. Despite the opportunities and rights afforded them, refugees in Uganda lack employment opportunities and suffer from poverty rates almost three times higher than Ugandan nationals. Given the huge population, self-reliance of refugees and host communities is an important development priority for Uganda. As a regional and global example of

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Input: MEP reforms are geared towards sustainability** . [22] An important consideration of the reform program is that the planned interventions do not require a level of investment that would put inordinate fiscal pressure regarding the MEP budget. Expenditures such as the investments planned for the digitalization agenda of the MEP are expected to be absorbed into the MEP budget at the end of the proposed Project. Efficiency enhancement under the reform would enable enhancement of the quality of service delivery as well as aid sustainability overall - an example is the reform of the functioning of local school councils, supported better by MEP through modernized information systems. These reforms would result in better maintenance of the physical plant and enhance sustainability of investments. **C. Relevance to Higher Level Objectives** 17. **This Project is aligned with High-Level Outcome 2 (Strengthened and Preserved Human Capital) of the World** **Bank Group’s Country Partnership Framework (CPF) for Costa Rica (FY24-FY28), discussed by the Board on April 30,** 22 [https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2024/04/12/pr-24112-costa-rica-6th-review-of-eff-arrangement-and-3rd-review-of-rsf-arrangement](https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2024/04/12/pr-24112-costa-rica-6th-review-of-eff-arrangement-and-3rd-review-of-rsf-arrangement) Page 6

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Input: weather station level. ***p _<_ 0.01, **p _<_ 0.05, *p _<_ 0.1. _Source_ : Authors’ analysis based on data from BASIX and APHRODITE. Column 1 presents the baseline regression, which shows that villages that experienced a rainfall shock in 2004 actually had an average of 3.8 _fewer_ purchasers in 2005. One worry with this regression may be that because the insurance policies and rainfall patterns of each location are different, the definition of a 11 The APHRODITE weather data provides information about how many local weather stations contributed to a certain rainfall reading. Since some of the rainfall observations are likely to be more accurate than others, I weight them according to accuracy. If there are no rainfall stations contributing to the APHRODITE data in 2004 within a .75°×.75° grid around the desired BASIX weather station, the observation is given a weight of 1. If there is a least one weather station in this .75°×.75° grid, the observation is given a weight of 1.5. If there is a rainfall station within the .25°×.25°grid, the observation is given a weight of 2. The weighted results do not differ significantly from the unweighted results. 12 Note that while it is reasonable to

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Input: The World Bank Economic Review 693 low rates of rainfall insurance uptake in Andhra Pradesh, India, Giné, Townsend, and Vickery (2008) suggest that “over time, lessons learned by insurance ‘early adopters’ will filter through to other households, generating higher penetration rates among poor households.” This paper seeks to understand how previous insurance payouts can affect future insurance purchasing decisions, and what mechanisms can explain this behavior. Using data on three years of insurance purchasers from the Indian microfinance institution BASIX, I find that customers who received an insurance payout are 9 to 22 percent more likely to repurchase in the following year than customers who did not receive any insurance payments. I show that this effect cannot be accounted for by neo-classical explanations, such as wealth effects, changing expectations about weather, or trust in the insurance company. Instead, I argue that it is caused by the behavioral effects of receiving an insurance payout. I test two main hypotheses as to why receiving payouts could increase insurance demand the following year. First, several studies have shown that weather shocks themselves could have an effect on insurance demand (Kunreuther, Sanderson, and Vetschera 1985; Eling, Pradhan, and Schmit 2014; Turner, Said, and Afzal

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Input: exposure and vulnerability towards natural hazards: the Disaster Risk Index. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science. Vol. 9, pp. 1149–1159, Rentschler, J, de Vries Robbé, S, Braese, J, Huy Nguyen, D, van Ledden, M, and Pozueta Mayo, B. 2020. Resilient Shores: Safeguarding Vietnam’s Coastal Development in the Face of Disaster Risks. Washington, DC: The World Bank. Smith, A., C. Sampson, P. Bates (2015) Regional flood frequency analysis at the global scale. Water Resources Research. Vol.51, 539–553 Smith, A., P. Bates, O. Wing, C. Sampson, N. Quinn, J. Neal (2019) New estimates of flood exposure in developing countries using high-resolution population data. Nature Communications Vol.10, pp. 1814 UNDRR (2017) Global Assessment Report 2017. Geneva: United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction World Bank and Australian AID, 2014. “’Where Are We During Flooding?’ A Qualitative Assessment of Poverty and Social Impacts of Flooding in Selected Neighborhoods of HCMC.” Washington, DC. 26

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Input: process. 60. **The Inspectorate of Government (IG) will remain engaged in implementation arrangements** at the national and local government level to strengthen transparency and accountability and to prevent and respond to corruption. **B. Results Monitoring, Evaluation, and Verification Arrangements** 61. **M&E System.** OPM will have overall responsibility for M&E, including the preparation of consolidated quarterly progress reports and an Annual Report to the World Bank. The PIST will have a dedicated M&E specialist responsible for collecting and collating data on project outputs and outcomes. Reporting templates will be reviewed for Phase II and included in an updated M&E section in the PIM. The existing Project MIS will continue to be utilized, including use of the Page 16

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Input: During pre-testing of the survey instrument [4], it was determined that some African farmers cultivated at least two plots of land. Subsequently, the survey data collected crop data, including production quantities, amount sold, and sale receipts from crops for the largest single plot of cultivated land (referred to hereafter as the main plot) and all others (referred to as the secondary plot). In the following analysis we therefore contend with two plots. In the first stage of the analysis, we estimated a probit model of whether to irrigate or not (Table 2). We relied on the 10880 plots (out of a total of 10933) for which we have complete information for the regression. The explanatory variables in the first stage included seasonal climate variables, various soils, and flow (millions of m [3] ). We included only the linear climate variables in the first stage. We tested the inclusion of quadratic climate variables but found the linear model to be more reliable. (Log pseudolikelihood = -2340.59 and r-squared 0.51 versus -2187.4434 and 0.54, respectively, for the quadratic probit model.) The Chow test for determining the null hypothesis that the estimated parameters are jointly the same is rejected (chi [2] (30) =

crop data, including production quantities, amount sold, and sale receipts from crops

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Input: Phase II. A minimum of US$50 million under the sub-component will be allocated to economic infrastructure, such as roads, bridges, markets, and storage facilities to support income generation and deepen integration with economic opportunity activities under Component 3. Economic infrastructure will also include the construction, upgrading, and/or rehabilitation of TVET centers and secondary schools to address limited access to job skills training and low school transition rates. DRDIP II will strengthen the administrative capacity and protection role of the Department of Refugees (DoR) by financing a new office building in Kampala, and the rehabilitation or upgrading of Refugee Settlement Commandant offices will also be included in the menu of options. Based on experience from DRDIP Phase I, investments in socioeconomic infrastructure are expected to account for approximately 80 percent of the sub-component's financing, while 20 percent will finance equipment. 26. **Subproject budget ceiling.** Sixty percent of the budget will be allocated to Community Investment Fund (CIF) subprojects, with a budget ceiling of US$300,000, an increase of US$50,000 over Phase I. The remaining 40 percent will be for larger Strategic Investment Fund (SIF) subprojects, the budget for which will range from US$300,000-US$900,000, compared to US$250,000-US$600,00 under Phase I. [20] The budget

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Input: we would expect accelerated outmigration from newly-impacted communities and, perhaps, deceleration in communities where cyclone strikes have declined. These changes would reflect both damage from actual impacts and revised expectations about future impacts. In this context, robust tests of expectations formation have two requirements. The first is a georeferenced panel database of the type assembled for this exercise. The second is significant temporal and spatial variation in cyclone impacts, which enable them to serve as effective statistical controls in multivariate analyses of household and community changes over time. To determine whether our data meet the second requirement, we perform an intertemporal assessment using the seven previously-defined periods for 1877-2016. Within each period, we consider the full set of spatially-ordered coastline points numbered 0 (the southernmost coastal point of Odisha) to 11,327 (the southernmost coastal point of Bangladesh). We register each coastal landfall at the closest point of initial strike and compute distribution statistics for spatial order numbers. Figures 3 and 4 display our results for the landfalls of 178 cyclonic storms from 1877 to 2016. Figure 3 provides a geographical perspective by mapping median landfall points for each period. Two conclusions are immediately clear. First, the locus of cyclone landfalls

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Input: or extension process. In line with previous reports, the main challenges related to applying for Temporary Protection were long waiting times to receive a decision (44%), a lack of required documents (such as ID or proof of address) to complete the registration process (40%), and, despite its overall decrease in prevalence, a lack of interpretation (20%). Awareness of the process continues to be relatively high with only 16% of respondents reporting lack of information on the registration or extension of their status. **Access to documentation:** With respect to identity documents, 24% of respondents reported at least one household member not having documentation or holding expired documents. The main type of missing document was an international passport (88%) and the most common reason for the inability to renew or replace the missing or expired document was the unavailability of service (70%). 47% of households with missing documents indicated being impacted by this, most often by not being able to move freely or to access basic services. #### Protection Risk II **Access to adequate housing:** As for Q3 findings from Protection Monitoring interviews highlighted accommodation as the highest priority need for respondents (147 respondents, 34%). ## 34% reported accommodation as their highest

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Input: participation, few disputes, and at reasonable cost. Coverage was almost complete, allowing issuance of long-term or permanent contracts for most of the land. **3.1 Descriptive statistics** Table 1 reports descriptive statistics on household characteristics, welfare, agricultural production, and time use for the pre- and post-reform periods inside and outside Chengdu (col. 1-4), estimated pre-reform trends (cols. 5 and 6), and a test of the significance of differences in such trends between households inside and outside the Chengdu border. We note that households in the treatment and control are comparable with respect to basic characteristics: they comprise 3-4adults, had a head born in the late 1950s, education between junior high and high school, some 8% of female heads. At the same time, three sets of differences emerge. First, households in Chengdu had higher levels of assets, income, and consumption (Y16,063 and Y40,025, Y4,928 and Y8,549, and Y3,150 and Y6,078 in pre- and post-reform periods, respectively) than those outside (Y11,564 and Y29,752, Y3,770 and Y8,069, and Y2,668 and Y4,997). They also allocated labor differently across sectors, presumably due to proximity to urban income earning opportunities: with a time commitment of 43% and 50% in 2005/06, farming was the most important activity for

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Input: traditional _mailo_ areas as well. The 1998 Land Act includes far-reaching steps to increase tenure security for occupants who had only use rights, customary land users, and women. Regarding the latter, the Land Act provides for formal recognition of customary land ownership and establishes procedures for customary owners to obtain a “certificate of customary ownership” that can be transferred through sale, rent, gift, or mortgage, and converted into freehold titles in an administrative process. It also aims to significantly strengthen women’s land rights. However, effectiveness of these progressive features, many of which are effective without any formal process or survey, is hampered by flaws in the institutional designs for implementation (Hunt 2004). As a consequence, almost a decade after the Act’s passage, hardly any implementation has happened, despite considerable grassroots demand (Rugadya _et al._ 2004). Inability to resist political demands for reinstating _mailo_ as a separate land ownership category or to abandoni _kibanjas_ outside of _mailo_ areas precluded award of full ownership to tenants, thus leaving overlapping land ownership structures intact. At the same time, attempts were made to attenuate disincentive effects from overlapping rights by granting far-reaching protection to tenants. _Bona fide_ occupants, defined as those who had peacefully

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Input: of the Table 2 Hazard map scenarios for which the modeling was conducted for Vietnam Scenario Coastal Fluvial/Pluvial 1 in 25 1 in 25 1 in 25 1 in 25 Future – Low 1 in 25 + 28 cm 1 in 50 1 in 25 Future – Medium 1 in 25 + 6 cm 1 in 75 1 in 25 Future – High 1 in 25 + 98 cm 1 in 100 1 in 50 1 in 50 1 in 50 1 in 50 Future – Low 1 in 50 + 28 cm 1 in 75 1 in 50 Future – Medium 1 in 50 + 6 cm 1 in 100 1 in 50 Future – High 1 in 50 + 98 cm 1 in 200 1 in 100 1 in 100 1 in 100 1 in 100 Future – Low 1 in 100 + 28 cm 1 in 200 1 in 100 Future – Medium 1 in 100 + 6 cm 1 in 250 1 in 100 Future – High 1 in 100 + 98 cm 1 in 500 1 in 200 1 in 200 1 in 200 1 in 200 Future – Low 1 in 200 + 28

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Input: 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 **Share of population with flood exposure (percent)** _Figure 22. Scatterplot of share of population exposed by income (2011 PPP USD/day)_ **5.5.** **From global aggregates towards local flood risk assessments** The results in previous subsections that are presented at the subnational, national, regional and global scales are aggregates of flood exposure maps that were generated as part of this study for all countries. These exposure maps with higher spatial resolutions have been retained and can be used to derive more granular insights at the local level. [2] For illustration, Figure 23 shows the population flood exposure estimates for Vietnam in an aggregate form at the national and subnational scales, as well as in its high-resolution raster format for example areas. The raster displays the number of people exposed to flood risk of each 90m x 90m pixel. The map shows a high concentration of flood-exposed populations in Hanoi, as well as urbanized areas along the Red River. The granularity offered by these pre-processed population exposure maps could be valuable for various applications; e.g. for the development of disaster mitigation plans prior to a

flood exposure maps
population flood exposure estimates
population exposure maps

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Input: rapid coastal urbanization, and climate change are bound to result in increasing exposure of people and their livelihoods. In this study we estimate the number of people who are directly exposed to the risk of intense flooding in 189 countries. We do so by using high-resolution flood and population data that enable a global yet detailed analysis of flood risks. We find that 2.2 billion people, or 29 percent of the world population live in areas that would experience some level of inundation during a 1-in-100 year flood event. About 1.47 billion people, or 19 percent of the world population, are directly exposed to inundation depths of over 0.15 meter, which would pose significant risk to lives, especially of vulnerable population groups. While the largest number of exposed people live in East and South Asia (1.36 billion people), subnational poverty estimates highlight another regional hotspot of risk: At least 71 million people in Sub-Saharan Africa are estimated to live in both extreme poverty (using a $1.9 a day definition) and significant flood risk – thus making them particularly vulnerable to prolonged adverse impacts on livelihoods and well-being. The remainder of this study is structured as follows. Section 2 offers an

high-resolution flood and population data

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Input: average historical payout, the total number of historical payouts, and the standard deviation of rainfall. Historical variables are calculated for the period 1962-2004. Observations are weighted by the quality of rainfall data. If there are no rainfall stations contributing to the APHRODITE data in 2004 within a .75°x.75° grid around the desired BASIX weather station, the observation is given a weight of 1. If there is a least one weather station in this .75°x.75°, the observation is given a weight of 1.5. If there is a rainfall station within the .25°x.25° grid, the observation is given a weight of 2. The weighted results to not differ significantly from the unweighted results. The number of observations is 733 out of a total of 949 villages in the sample in 2005, as APHRODITE data was available for only a subset of locations. All specifications include state fixed effects. Errors clustered at the weather station level. ***p _<_ 0.01, **p _<_ 0.05, *p _<_ 0.1. _Source_ : Authors’ analysis based on data from BASIX and APHRODITE. Column 1 presents the baseline regression, which shows that villages that experienced a rainfall shock in 2004 actually had an average of 3.8 _fewer_ purchasers in 2005.

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Input: or _gold_period_district_, which equals total production for the years before the survey. For the 1993 survey, the period is 1990–93, for 1998 it is 1994–98, and so on. Using production levels instead of an indicator of having any production in the district has the advantage of capturing the intensity of mining production. Since it is somewhat unclear when mining production spills over to other types of employment, we use two measures of mining production. Panel A of table 13 shows the results of mining production in the period before the survey, including the survey year, on female employment, and we see that mining production leads to less agricultural employment but more employment in services and sales, as well as in professional work. Panel B shows that the effects are larger but not as precisely estimated for the yearly measure. That they are larger is not surprising, since a 10-ton increase one year is much more than a 10-ton increase over a longer time period. The precision is also probably lower since it is unclear what year the production spills over to other activities. In any case, we see that the effects are similar across these two specifications. [18] 18 The

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Input: old age was available (Ong 2014). Failure to capture the gains in land value from changing from rural to urban land use in a more sustainable way also undermines local governments’ ability to provide social services. A tax on land or capital gains could help to do so but can only be implemented if institutional preconditions are met, in particular if a proper cadastral database is in place (Nitikin _et al._ 2012). This suggests that viable reforms would need to pursue a multi-pronged approach, including (i) registration of all rural land; (ii) a possibility for migrants to get an urban _hukou_ that provides access to social services, especially if they give up part or all of their rural land rights; (iii) allowing rural collectives or individuals to enter into direct land transactions at freely negotiated prices, subject to compliance with planning standards; and (iv) taxation of land so as to generate the revenue to support urban welfare packages while also contributing to more efficient land use (Tao and Xu 2007). Several experiments were undertaken to explore available options. These include integration of construction and collective land markets in Shenzen, land security development in Chongqing, urban fringe redevelopment in Beijing, land

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Input: experience into composite strike intensities for 1877 2016. Over 140 years, the highest-intensity zones have been in West Bengal and northern Odisha, with a relatively clear pattern of incremental intensity decline in both directions. **5.4 Mean Maximum Wind Speed** Assessing the significance of a cyclone strike requires information about the storm’s power, which is measured by maximum wind speed in our database. Figure 6 shows that mean maximum wind speeds are generally highest in sections of the mid-coastal region during 1877-1900 and 1901-1920. Conditions vary considerably during the next three periods. During 1921-1940, higher wind speeds appear in Odisha, the mid-coastal region and Bangladesh’s eastern coast. Wind speeds generally decline in 1941-1960, with notable cyclone-free areas in southern Odisha, the central coastal region, and eastern Bangladesh. Conditions reverse during 14

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Input: should direct short- and long-term assistance to both the displaced and host communities. This can help reduce real and perceived inequalities and prevent host communities from forming negative attitudes about newly arriving displaced persons. Phase II of Jya Mbere continues the area-based approach of Phase I, providing multi-sectoral support to respond to the impacts of forced displacement, covering refugees and host communities. The mid-term survey for Phase I indicated positive results from this approach for social relations between refugees and local residents, mirroring results from independent impact evaluations of the Development Response to Displacement Impacts Project (DRDIP) in Ethiopia (P152822) and Kenya (P161067). 47. **By creating new challenges and new opportunities, the presence of refugees transforms the environment** **in which host communities are pursuing their own development efforts.** This requires an approach that supports hosting areas rather than focusing on refugees alone. Investments are needed to mitigate the downside of hosting refugees – overcrowded basic services, environmental degradation, competition over natural resources and, sometimes, over employment opportunities – while taking advantage of the benefits their presence may generate through their human capital, financial resources and the humanitarian and development assistance they can Page 13

Development Response to Displacement Impacts Project (DRDIP)

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Input: place for the proposed project implementation). 51. **The PIU to be established at the MEP is expected to undertake the FM aspects of the proposed Project.** These encompass the following main tasks: (i) budget formulation and monitoring; (ii) cash flow management (including processing payments and submitting loan withdrawal applications to the Bank); (iii) maintenance of accounting records, including an inventory of fixed assets for the Project, (iv) administration of adequate information systems; (v) preparation of in-year and year-end financial reports; and (vi) contracting the external audit. The FM arrangements for the project will rely on country systems for budgeting, accounting and treasury, which are considered adequate [30] will be used as the project’s FM arrangements. Loan proceeds will be disbursed to an account in the Central Bank of Costa Rica named General Fund. Unaudited semi-annual financial statements will be submitted 45 days after the end of each calendar semester. Annual financial statements which will be audited under terms of reference and by an external firm, both acceptable to the World Bank, will be produced for the project. Basic arrangements to ensure control, recording, and reporting are further described in Annex 1. 52. **Procurement** . Procurement for the Project will be

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Input: take-up the following year. There is some evidence for this happening in developed markets; for example, Kunreuther, Sanderson, and Vetschera (1985) note that purchases of flood and earthquake insurance in the United States spike after a recent event, even if people were not insurance customers before. There are a number of theories that could explain this behavior. First, recent experiences with rainfall could change subjects’ beliefs about the probability of a rainfall shock the following year (this is proposed as “recency bias”in Karlan et al. [2014]). If there is actual autocorrelation of rainfall events or if the subject has limited knowledge about the effects of rainfall shocks, people may update their beliefs about shocks and therefore have more desire for insurance the following year. Alternatively, recently experiencing a rainfall shock could make shocks more salient, increasing the chance they will buy insurance the following year. Also, rainfall shocks may affect the wealth of the farmers. If farmers become poorer because of bad rainfall, CRRA utility would suggest that they would be even more risk averse the next year as a second shock would cause greater disutility. I start by examining whether there is actual autocorrelation in the rainfall data. To

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Input: will include enhancing its operational framework, providing staff training on risk management and financial advisory services, and equipping CPEC with digital tools, building on multi-year technical assistance from the World Bank and other donors, to leverage CPECs proven capabilities and streamline advisory services to the C4N beneficiaries as well as those that will benefit from the FISs. **Sub-component 1.3: Strengthening the Social Registry (total IDA US$2 Million equivalent, including WHR US$0.3** **Million)** 38. **This sub-component will finance the scale-up of the SR among all Djiboutians, refugees and host communities,** **toward full coverage which will be a critical foundation for coordinating support across ministries and development** **partners.** The social registry will play a crucial role in coordinating existing funding and mobilizing additional resources to 22 Malaeb, B.; Duplantier, A., Maarraoui, G., Fluet, E. (2023). Towards a More Equitable Development: Constraints and Opportunities of Women in Djibouti. The World Bank, Washington Page 11

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Input: and concludes the paper. **2. Georeferenced Database Construction** We combine data from BMD, IMD and IBTrACS to document all recorded cyclonic storms in the Indian Ocean region from 1877 to 2016. We construct a panel database; the component for each storm includes a unique identification number; year and month of occurrence [1] ; maximum wind speed (kt); radial distance (km) from storm center to zone of maximum wind speed; IMD storm classification derived from wind speed; time indices for successive observation points [2] ; and latitude/longitude for each point. We use ArcGIS to construct individual storm-track polylines by interpolation from time indexed latitude/longitude observations for each storm. Then we determine maximum-impact 1 The first month for storms that occur in two months. 2 Incommensurate day/time tracking in the three databases (BMD, IMD, IBTrACS) could be addressed in a more complete exercise. For our purposes, identifying successive observations by cardinal units [1,2,3, ...] is sufficient for constructing GIS polylines that trace individual storm tracks. 4

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Input: have a stronger focus on all households’ members, rather than focusing only on women and young children. In addition, they provide more detailed information on labor market participation, such as exact profession (where, for example, being a miner is a possible outcome), hours worked, and a wage indicator. The data estimate household expenditure and household income. Wages, income, and expenditure can, however, be difficult to measure in economies where nonmonetary compensation for labor and subsistence farming are common practices. **4 Empirical Strategies** **4.1 Individual-level difference-in-differences** Time-varying data on production and repeated survey data allow us to use a difference-in differences approach. [7] However, due to the spatial nature of our data and the fact that some mines are spatially clustered, we use a strategy developed by Benshaul-Tolonen (2018). The difference-in-difference model compares the treatment group (close to mines) before and after the mine opening, while removing the change that happens in the control group (far away from mines) over time under the assumption that such changes reflect underlying temporal variation common to both treatment and control areas. We limit the data to include households within 100 km of a mine location and estimate the following: _Yivt = β0 + β1

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Input: use, a shift in crop composition towards higher-value crops, and more active rental markets to transfer land from less to more productive users. This suggests removal of earlier threats of expropriation encouraged more effective use of highly productive peri-urban land to intensify agricultural production and, by doing so, increased job opportunities and resulted in changes of labor supply. Young individuals shifted from migration to agricultural activities while the old shifted from farming to off-farm activities. The paper is structured as follows. Section two provides context, discusses some of the salient features of the Chengdu experiment, and introduces analytical methodology and data sources. Section three presents descriptive statistics from the household survey as well the nature and cost of the land certification process in Chengdu. Section four discusses impacts on household welfare, individual labor supply, and agricultural productivity and crop composition. Section five concludes with implications for policy and future research. **2. Motivation and background** Between 2000 and 2010, rural-urban land conversion in China expanded at rates that are among the highest in East Asia. As such changes are not easily reversed, this poses vast challenges for China’s development for decades to come. While piecemeal efforts to change this pattern had

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Input: households inside Chengdu and 453 and 382 households in neighboring counties (Meishan and Ziyang) in the pre-and post-reform sample, respectively. Using a triple-difference approach, reform effects are identified based on difference between (i) years one and two within the same household; (ii) pre- and post-reform periods; and (iii) treated and non-treated households. The basic equation of interest can be written as ���� ��������� ���������� ������� ���������� ����������� ��������������� ������� ������� ��� �����(1) where _Yijt_ is the outcome of interest for household _I_ in village _j_ in year _t_ ; [12] _Xijt_ is a vector of time-varying household characteristics including the number of children, adults and old people, highest education, the head’s gender and age, and the amount from pension and medical schemes as well as crop subsidies received; _Vijt_ is a vector of time-varying village characteristics including total working age population, land area used for agriculture, distances to educational, health, and administrative institutions; _δij_ is a household fixed effect, _εijt_ is an error term; _Rijt_ is a binary indicator taking a value of 1 if the observation is post-reform (2011/12) and 0 otherwise; _Cij_ is an indicator that is 1 for households within Chengdu prefecture and 0 otherwise; _Tijt_ is

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Input: communities close to mines that have not started producing, evidenced by the fact that infant mortality is 8 percent compared to 7 percent farther away, and 6 percent in communities with active mines. The anthropometrics height-for-age (stunting or chronic malnutrition), weight-for-age (wasting or acute malnutrition), and weight-for-height (underweight) show that the children living in mining communities before the mine started operating have the lowest scores of all four groups. The outcomes seem to improve with mining, although not enough to offset the initial adverse situation. To test for exogeneity, we run regressions using baseline individual-level data to explore changes in observable characteristics among women (the main part of the sample). Table 3 shows that there are no significant effects of the mine opening on the age structure, migration history, marital status, fertility, or education, using the difference-in-difference specification with a full set of controls. If anything, it seems that women in active mining communities are marginally older, more likely to never have moved, and more likely to be or have been in a cohabiting relationship or married. Given the women’s slightly higher age, it is not surprising to find that they have higher fertility and lower schooling (assuming that schooling

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Input: on industrial transformation and value-chain production. In 2023, the GRZ launched its National Adaptation Plan (NAP), a long-term strategic plan formulated to address identified risks and vulnerabilities in various sectors to enhance Zambia’s resilience to the impacts of climate change. **B. Sectoral and Institutional Context** 6. **Zambia has a long history of hosting refugees lasting over six decades.** Between 1985 and 2007, the country hosted more than 100,000 refugees and asylum seekers. The largest portion fled to Zambia from Angola during the longrunning civil war that occurred after the country’s achievement of independence in 1975. Other significant refugee populations have arrived following the civil conflicts in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Rwanda, and Burundi. Following the end of Angola’s 27-year civil war in 2002, more than 74,000 Angolan refugees returned home under a voluntary repatriation program that concluded in 2007. 7. **There are currently approximately** **101,837 refugees, asylum seekers, and former refugees in Zambia.** **[10]** The majority of refugees and asylum seekers originate from the Democratic Republic of Congo; other significant refugee populations are from Burundi, Somalia, Angola, and Rwanda. Zambia continues to receive new arrivals of refugees and asylum seekers—approximately 600–800 refugees arrive each month from the South Kivu,

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Input: **The World Bank** Integrated Community Resilience Project (P506969) PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT enhance Djibouti’s responsiveness to shocks, such as economic crises and natural disasters. To achieve this, the project will expand interoperability between the social registry and other essential databases, including civil registries and public health systems, thereby improving the accuracy and efficiency of targeting vulnerable households while reducing errors of exclusion and inclusion. Based on the piloting undertaken under the PITCH and the Social Protection Emergency Crisis Response Project, inclusion of refugees will be enhanced with the objective of enrolling more refugees, facilitating their access to services. The MASS in collaboration with ANSIE are undertaking a comprehensive audit of the SR that will result into a comprehensive plan for revising its operational manual, a plan of action of which will inform key stakeholders. This initiative will also support better coordination with United Nations humanitarian agencies and development partners, ensuring that refugee populations are better documented and ascertained so that they can benefit from a wider range of integrated services. Interoperability with other databases will also enhance responsiveness in the event of a natural disaster. 39. **In addition to reinforcing the social registry, the sub-component will support enhancing the operational capacity**

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Input: ## Background ## OBJECTIVES Study a select number of protracted refugee populations in Tanzania, Uganda, Rwanda and DRC and assess their risk of statelessness arising from prolonged exile. Develop recommendations for local integration pathways that mitigate risks of statelessness and ensure the realization of the right to a nationality, including access to legal identity documentation, in support of durable solutions. Inform the development of a comprehensive durable solutions strategy for forcibly displaced persons, including refugees in the Great Lakes region. The Great Lakes sub-region is characterized by a number of protracted refugee situations. In some situations, several generations of refugees have been born in exile in their country of asylum. Statelessness canaarise as both a cause and consequence of displacement, particularly for forcibly displaced populations who have spent a prolonged time in exile. In some instances, refugees have lost their ties with their country of origin, are unable to prove their legal ties to their country of origin, or might no longer be considered citizens by their country of origin, and remain without guaranteed access to the citizenship of their country of asylum and thus might be at risk of statelessness. In the spirit of the 2019 Munyonyo Outcome Document

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Input: Conversely, NGOs, the media and Israeli officials have held Israel accountable to the high standards of its international commitments. Thus, in parallel to employing harsh deterrence measures, Israel has also offered limited and differing degrees of protection. Over time, the government has issued a few thousand work permits to Sudanese and Eritreans, exercising a degree of tolerance and recognition of their needs, although these were exceptional permits that had to be renewed. But the majority of asylum seekers have not received such permits and have been forced to work illegally to survive. Such uneven, contradictory action exempts the state from declaring its allegiance either to deterrence or tolerance. 7UNHCR made the initial identification and interview of the asylum seeker. On the basis this process, a recommendation was given to the National Status Granting Body (NSGB), an inter-ministerial committee responsible for considering UNHCR recommendations. The final decision was taken by the MOI. 5

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Input: percent of students from lower secondary to short-cycle tertiary enroll in vocational education and training, compared to 32 percent 9 [https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/64e578cbeaa522631f08f0cafba8960e-0140062023/related/HCI-AM23-CRI.pdf](https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/64e578cbeaa522631f08f0cafba8960e-0140062023/related/HCI-AM23-CRI.pdf) 10 OECD Education at A Glance, 2023, Table A4.2. The correlation (not causation) between socio-economic conditions, academic achievement and labor market outcomes is a global phenomenon. For the OECD countries as a whole in 2018, the percentage of below Level 2 performers from the top quintile of the PISA index for economic, social and cultural status, was 8%; while for the bottom quintile, the figure was 49%. For the labor market figures quoted in the text, 30% of 25-64 year olds for the OECD countries correspond to the 32% mentioned in the text for Costa Rica. [11 Encuesta de expectativas de empleo, Q1 2024, ManpowerGroup: https://go.manpowergroupcca.com/meos-cr.](https://go.manpowergroupcca.com/meos-cr) 12 OECD Economic Surveys - Costa Rica, February 2023. Page 2

PISA index for economic, social and cultural status

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Input: **The World Bank** Uganda Development Response to Displacement Impacts Project Phase II (P510476) PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT interventions on anti-corruption and accountability, which will continue to play (as in DRDIP I) an important role in mitigating political and governance risks. 94. **Institutional capacity for implementation and sustainability (Substantial).** OPM implemented DRDIP I to a high standard, but the long gap between the closure of Phase I and commencement of Phase II means many project staff have moved on to new positions. The main project delivery mechanism is CDD, which means communities lead on planning, subproject identification, procurement, and FM. While this approach has proven effective, it requires extensive technical support to succeed. The success of the project also depends on intensive coordination across line agencies, districts, and humanitarian agencies, adding to complexity. The World Bank will provide hand-on support to the government teams on core project management functions, such as FM, procurement, and E&S management. At the community level, the project will contract partner organizations to build local implementation capacity. 95. **Fiduciary (Substantial).** The FM risk is Substantial and the procurement risk is Moderate. The major risks are delays in disbursing to communities and making payments as well as accounting for

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Input: policies, including a large-scale governmental deportation campaign targeted at authorised workers who overstayed their visas and became unauthorised (Willen 2007). The third transformation is the ongoing influx of African migrants. Against this backdrop, the 2006 refugee influx met heightened anxiety over the transforming ethnonational character of the Israeli nation-state. The idea that mass influx involves demographic change has deep roots and was tactically used by Jews themselves prior to establishment of the state and during the British mandate (Neuman 1999). This language was engaged again, intensified by these changing patterns of migration and the ongoing focus on state security, to represent asylum seekers as a serious threat to both social cohesiveness and security - conveyed through the transportable, easy-to-use refugee template. Politicians and public officials further inflamed the debate by releasing controversial statements. PM Netanyahu employed rejectionist rhetoric: ―infiltrators cause cultural, social and economic damage, and pull us towards the Third World‖ and, in a slip of tongue, he later referred to the infiltrators as ―surge of refugees who threaten to wash away our achievements and damage our existence as a Jewish democratic state‖ (Goldstein 2010). The head of the SCPFW has called for a stop to the ―illegal infiltration‖

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Input: ##### **Introduction** Coastal wetlands, which are comprised of marshes, swamps, mangroves and other coastal plant communities, provide a large number of goods and services that contribute to the economic welfare of the local and global communities (Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005). [4] Examples of ecosystem services include the protection of shorelines from erosion, storm buffering, sediment retention, water quality maintenance, nutrient recycling, preservation of biodiversity, provision of natural environmental amenities, climate regulation, carbon sequestration, as well as cultural heritage and spiritual benefits (Larson et al., 1989; Barbier, 1991; Williams, 1990; Barbier et al., 1997; Brouwer et al., 1999; Woodward and Wui, 2001; McLeod et al., 2005; Brander et al., 2006). However, coastal wetlands are declining rapidly. Recent estimates indicate that approximately 1% of the global coastal wetland stock was lost each year in the late 20 [th] century (Nicholls, 2004; Hoozemans et al., 1993). The causes of wetland loss are numerous and often complex. [5] The rapid loss of the global coastal wetland stock in the 20 [th] century was primarily caused by direct land reclamation. While significant losses due to human actions are likely to continue in the future, it is projected that stresses on wetland areas may be further

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Input: Ukraine Emergency](https://www.unhcr.org/emergencies/ukraine-emergency) webpage **Operational data portals:** - [Ukraine Refugee Situation](https://data.unhcr.org/en/situations/ukraine) - [Europe Sea Arrivals](https://data.unhcr.org/en/situations/europe-sea-arrivals) webpage **Contact:** UNHCR Regional Bureau for Europe [rbeext@unhcr.org](mailto:rbeext%40unhcr.org?subject=) **[Join our mailing list](https://manage.kmail-lists.com/subscriptions/subscribe?a=VYAYG5&g=QZGRtb)** www.unhcr.org/europe Page 7 **U N H C R R E G I O N A L B U R E A U F O R E U R O P E,** O C T O B E R 2 0 2 4

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Input: robust results for Africa. This assumption in turn implies that the next three months would be spring, the three months after that would be summer, and August, September and October would be fall (in the north). These seasonal definitions were chosen because they provided the best fit with the data and reflected the mid-point for key rainy seasons in the sample. We adjusted for the fact that seasons in the southern and northern hemispheres occur at exactly the opposite months of the year. Soil data was obtained from FAO (2003). The FAO data provides information about the major and minor soils in each location. Data concerning the hydrology was predicted from a hydrological model for Africa (Strzepek & McCluskey 2006). The model calculated the water flow through each district in the surveyed countries. Data on elevation at the centroid of each district was obtained through GIS manipulation using data from the United States Geological Survey (USGS, 2004). The USGS data are derived from a global digital elevation model with a horizontal grid spacing of 30 arc seconds (approximately one kilometer). 7

data from the United States Geological Survey

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Input: of 510 million square kilometers, which implies the processing of 63 billion pixels. **3.** **Assign flood risk categories to population headcounts at the pixel level and aggregate to the** **administrative unit:** As the flood hazard and population density maps are converted into the same spatial resolution, each population map cell can be assigned a unique flood risk classification – these cells can then be aggregated to the administrative unit level (e.g. province or district level). This allows the calculation of population headcounts for each flood risk category and for each (sub-)national administrative unit. A detailed description of how this process is implemented in practice is provided in Section 4.2. This process yields an estimate of the number and share of people exposed to no-, low, moderate, high, and very high flood risk during an intense flood event. These estimates are available globally with a resolution of 90 meters, but they are also aggregated to administrative units, including for each country and subnational unit. These estimates are also aggregated to yield regional and global estimates. **4.** **Compute the number of poor people exposed to flood risk:** While poverty estimates are not available at the pixel level, the World Bank’s GMD database

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Input: in particular that of venturing into areas affected by ED in search of means of subsistence or even collecting scrap metal found on explosive remnants of war for resale. In the face of a growing threat from ED, mine action capacities remain limited in Niger. Considerable challenges exist both in programmatic actions and in the coordination of interventions. No mine action coordination mechanism is functional either at the national level or in the regions affected by ED. This makes it difficult to strategically harmonize, target and prioritize mine action interventions. The objective of this note is to strengthen advocacy with state authorities, the various technical and donor partners in order to support mine action in Niger, protect communities and humanitarian actors against the risks associated with ED and enable them to enjoy their fundamental rights and freedoms. ## **II. Analysis of the evolution of ED incidents and their impact** From the last quarter of 2022 to the 2nd reported mainly in the regions of Tillabery **2023, which indicates a worrying increase** **in the threat of ED in Niger.** This threat 1 UNHCR Niger montlhy PoC statistics, Juin 2023 2 Population displacement statistics, Ministry of Humanitarian Action and Disaster Management, july

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Input: region – which is itself a region of emigration. # 30.7 % 5 Non-Ukrainian nationals; of these, 52 per cent were in Bosnia and Herzegovina; 25 per cent in Serbia; 7 per cent in Kosovo; 6 per cent each in Albania and Montenegro; and 4 per cent in North Macedonia. In North Macedonia, this number includes individuals outside government-run centres, with forcibly displaced and stateless people accommodated in government or IOM-run centres, asylum centres, and transit facilities. UNHCR utilises arrival data to estimate the numbers involved. Note: References to Kosovo shall be understood to be in the context of Security Council Resolution 1244 (1999). Page 5 **U N H C R R E G I O N A L B U R E A U F O R E U R O P E,** O C T O B E R 2 0 2 4

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Input: **The World Bank** Uganda Development Response to Displacement Impacts Project Phase II (P510476) PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT Knowledge and technology transfer from TSPs to CRPs will be crucial for long-term sustainability at scale. Training content for CRPs and project beneficiaries will focus on climate resilience through adoption of improved inputs, technologies, and practices, while ensuring availability of information services on soil, weather, and markets for risk mitigation. Building on global lessons from World Bank-financed CDD projects, two-three specialized CRPs will be developed in each village in line with priority value chains under implementation. CRP networks will include refugees in the settlements. 44. **Collaboration with other World Bank-financed projects will be prioritized to maximize impacts.** DRDIP II will collaborate with INVITE and NUSAF IV to identify common economic infrastructure development and job creation opportunities. Several strategies will be implemented to prevent beneficiary overlap between NUSAF IV and DRDIP II in RHDs: (a) NUSAF IV will focus on the poorest individuals, while DRDIP II will target ‘active individuals’ identified through national wealth ranking data; (b) DRDIP II will concentrate on regions with a high refugee population, freeing up NUSAF IV to operate in other areas; (c) data sharing will be facilitated through interoperability

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Input: in the country live in flood hazard zones. In other words, high-income provinces and districts tend to be more exposed to flood risks. However, a different study finds that in Ho Chi Minh City, the poor are disproportionally exposed to flooding (Narloch and Bangalore 2018). How do these results fit together? Indeed, at the local level the relationship between poverty and flood exposure can be inversed. Flood hazards tend to be highly localized, with some neighborhoods being at risk from frequent inundation, while other nearby neighborhoods may benefit from higher elevation or better drainage systems. Hallegatte et al. (2017) review the literature and conclude that land and housing markets often push poorer people to settle in these riskier areas, especially where land is scarce. Indeed, a meta-analysis of the literature suggests that a 1 percentage point increase in the yearly probability of flooding is associated with a 0.6 percent decrease in housing prices (Daniel, Florax, and Rietveld 2009). In Ho Chi Minh City, for instance, qualitative surveys suggest flood-prone areas can be much cheaper than non-flood-prone areas for the same quality of accommodation (World Bank and Australian AID 2014). Using a household survey in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, Erman et

household survey in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania

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Input: # **PROTECTION** **BRIEF** **CZECHIA** ## Operational Context Based on the number of refugees who applied for an extension of Temporary Protection in 2024 (320,000), the figures of Temporary Protection holders in Czechia, including new arrivals, were updated to **338,736** people as of 31 March 2024, compared to 373,745 at the end of 2023 (source: Ministry of the Interior). In January 2024, _Lex Ukraine_ was amended to extend Temporary Protection until March 2025. Changes introduced include an adjustment of the initial level of humanitarian benefits, maintaining support for the most vulnerable individuals, and the reduction of cost-free accommodation for all new arrivals from 150 to 90 days. This report presents an overview of refugees’ demographic profiles and displacement patterns as well as main findings regarding protection risks, priority needs and intentions of refugees from Ukraine in Czechia. The analysis is based on 480 Protection Monitoring interviews and findings from focus group discussions with refugees from Ukraine across the country in the first quarter of 2024. ## Key Figures 338,736 320,000 ## 338,736 320,000 Temporary Protection holders in Czechia among whom have registered for an extension ## 92% of Protection Monitoring respondents are Temporary Protection holders ## 32% of respondents have at

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Input: are found in the Mekong Delta, the Red River Delta, and the Southeast Coast (Figs. 5, 6, and 7). But the relative exposure (that is, the percent of the district population which is exposed to floods) shows a larger spread (Figs. 8, 9, 10). Most areas in the country – including the North Central Coast and the Northeast – have high percentages of their populations residing in flood-prone areas (Fig. 8). Flood Exposure and Poverty To examine the question of how many poor people in Vietnam are exposed to flooding, we multiply the population exposure estimates by the district’s poverty headcount rate (the percentage of people living below USD 1.25 per day), as calculated in (Lanjouw et al. 2013). For a 25-year historical flood, 30% of today’s poor population is exposed. This number increases by between 16 and 28% given climate change impacts. For a 50-year return period under a high climate scenario, 40% of today’s poor people in Vietnam are exposed to flooding. For a 200-year return period under a high climate scenario, more than half of today’s poor are exposed. Similar to the population analysis, the impact of climate change on the number of poor people exposed is

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Input: will be biased (Heckman 1979; Lee 1983). In Section 2 we develop a theoretical model that improves on past efforts to model irrigation with the Ricardian approach by explicitly addressing farmer choice and selection bias. We tested this model empirically using a sample of over 8400 farmers from across 11 African countries. The results reveal that the choice of irrigation is endogenous. Farmers select irrigation rather than dryland to maximize profits. As temperatures warm or precipitation declines, farmers turn to irrigation to keep their farms viable. As long as there is a sufficient flow of water, irrigation is an important adaptation strategy. We then used this empirical model to examine the welfare impacts of climate change on African agriculture. Using a mild and a severe climate scenario, we examined how irrigation and net revenues will be affected. We compared the results of our model with endogenous irrigation with a model that assumes irrigation is exogenous. We found evidence of selection bias but, more importantly, we found that treating irrigation as though it is exogenous leads to biased welfare estimates. The paper concludes by summarizing the results and discussing some policy implications. 4

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Input: **REFERENCES** Basist A et al., 2001. Using the Special Sensor Microwave Imager to monitor surface wetness. _Journal of Hydrometeorology_ 2: 297–308. Cline WR, 1996. The impact of global warming on agriculture: Comment. _American_ _Economic Review_ 86: 1309–1312. Darwin R, 1999. The impacts of global warming on agriculture: A Ricardian analysis: Comment. _American Economic Review_ 89: 1049–1052. Dubin JA & McFadden DL, 1984. An econometric analysis of residential electric appliance holdings and consumption. _Econometrica_ 52(2): 345–362. FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization), 1997. Irrigation potential in Africa: A basin approach. _FAO Land and Water Bulletin,_ 4, FAO Land and Water Development Division, Rome. FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization), 2003. The digital soil map of the world: Version 3.6 (January), Rome, Italy. Heckman JJ, 1979. Sample selection bias as a specification error. _Econometrica_ 47: 153–161. Heltberg R & Tarp F, 2002. Agricultural supply response and poverty in Mozambique. _Food_ _Policy_ 27: 103–124. Kurukulasuriya P & Mendelsohn R, 2005. A regional analysis of the impact of climate change on African agriculture, Mimeo, Yale University. Lee LF, 1983. Generalized econometric models with selectivity. _Econometrica_ 51: 507–512. Mendelsohn R & Dinar A, 2003. Climate, water, and agriculture. _Land Economics_ 79(3): 328–341. Mendelsohn R & Nordhaus W,

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Input: period hazard maps used for each of the future scenarios are outlined in Table 2. Although simplistic, this method allows areas that may be impacted by increasing riverine and extreme rainfall driven flooding to be identified. Clearly there are some significant assumptions and uncertainties arising from this method. However, given the impracticalities of modeling future flood hazard in Vietnam, this approach provides a plausible and practical attempt to estimate changing flood hazard at the national scale. For each of the four return periods, four scenarios are modeled (historical, future with low sea level rise, future with medium sea level rise, and future with high sea level rise), combining the coastal and fluvial/pluvial hazard layers (Table 2). For full details on the methodology used to produce these hazard maps, see the online supplementary materials. Importantly, the flood hazard models do not include flood protection (such as dikes and drainage systems), which can make a large difference in the flood hazard particularly in well-protected areas. In these wellprotected areas, our flood maps may overestimate the flood hazard. This is a data limitation that affects many studies of flood exposure: even in high-income countries like the US, flood protection databases are incomplete and

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Input: prevalence of ED incidents related also leads to restrictions on the mobility of civilian populations on the roads to weekly markets, and the main cities of communities/departments. About 36% of those interviewed [6] say they encounter mobility constraints due to the activities of the NSAGs and military operations. This indicator varies from one region to another. In the regions of Diffa and Tillabery, 56% of respondents say they encounter mobility constraints, one of the main reasons being the presence of ED. This considerably limits the periodic supply of households with means of subsistence and necessities in addition to the fear and psychological distress that the unpredictable presence of ED inflicts on communities. It is also important to highlight that of the 11 affected departments in the Diffa and Tillabéry regions, 9 (82%) are also affected by the food insecurity [7] . This could exacerbate 4 CNCCAI: The disaggregation by sex and age of the 2023 data for victims is not yet available. However, according to the Child Protection Sub-cluster, the Child Protection Working Group of the Diffa region recorded 18 child victims of ED in 2022, the majority of whom (74%) are girls who went to look for firewood. 5

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Input: the last quarter of 2022 to the 2nd reported mainly in the regions of Tillabery **2023, which indicates a worrying increase** **in the threat of ED in Niger.** This threat 1 UNHCR Niger montlhy PoC statistics, Juin 2023 2 Population displacement statistics, Ministry of Humanitarian Action and Disaster Management, july 2023 3 Source : National Commission for the Collection and Control of Illicit Weapons (CNCCAI in french)

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