Input: 14 3. ANALYSIS Has the increase in Syrian refugees impacted the welfare and socioeconomic conditions of the host community? Summary statistics in the previous section showed clear trends of increasing poverty among recent migrants throughout the country, both near the Syrian border and across rest of the country. While the poverty rates of recent migrant households spiked in 2013, poverty of host community households maintained a relatively constant level in the whole country. From these trends, it appears that there at least has not been an increasing trend in poverty among the host community over the latest years. The empirical model is shown in Equation 1. Regressions are estimated at the NUTS2-year level and using data from only the years 2011 and 2013. The dependent variable of interest is the host community poverty rate by region and year, where the poverty rate is based on spatially deflated imputed household income. Unlike the computation of the poverty rates, “ recent migrant ” information is not used for the analysis. Only the host community poverty rates are calculated using the LFS and the number of Syrians are taken from government sources. Usage context: primary mention, background mention, supporting mention.

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Input: 17 Revealingly, in Betts et al. ’ s (2013) survey of refugees in Uganda, 96 % of all interviewed households in the capital and 70 % outside the capital said they owned and used a mobile phone. They use this mobile phone to communicate with customers and suppliers, to get market information and to transfer money. Half of the urban refugees and 11 % of rural refugees also have access to the Internet. 4. Refugees As a Burden? As pointed in Section 2, most refugees in SSA are hosted in neighboring countries. Most of these hosting countries are likely among the least developed countries. It has been argued that these refugees may constitute an additional burden in terms of economic development in hosting countries (Mabiso et al. 2014). UNHCR (2014: 17) implicitly recognizes that potential burden by suggesting that the ratio of the size of the country ’ s hosted refugee population to its average income level can provide a proxy measure of the burden of hosting refugees.

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Input: The paper extends the GTAP 8 database by separating Lebanon, Jordan, Syria, Iraq, and West Bank and Gaza from the rest of the Western Asia aggregate and Algeria and Libya from the rest of North Africa. Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Oman are aggregated into a GCC composite group. In addition, the 57 sectors in the GTAP 8 database are aggregated into 22 sectors based on their importance for the countries in the MENA region (Table 1). The resulting MENA-specific database contains 26 countries, among which are the six Levant economies of interest in this paper (Turkey, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Jordan, and Egypt) and the rest of the developing MENA countries (Table 1). The procedure used to construct the individual country information employs data from several sources. The UN Statistics Division data for 2007 is the source for the six components of GDP – agriculture, hunting, forestry, and fishing (ISIC A-B); mining, manufacturing, and utilities (ISIC C-E); construction (ISIC-F); transport, storage, and communication (ISIC I); wholesale, retail trade, restaurants and hotels (ISIC G-H); and other activities (ISIC J-P). Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input: 15 Source: Authors ’ calculations based on data from the High Frequency Surveys of Ethiopia (2017), Nigeria (2018), Somalia (2017), South Sudan (2017) and Sudan (2017). As the Sudanese sample surveys IDPs living in the Abu Shouk and El Salam camps, we must understand these deprivations with the background that these settlements were created as emergency and crisis responses rather than durable, long-term solutions (Sudanese Government ’ s Joint Mechanism for Durable Solutions 2019). Although Sudan does have a national electric grid that supplies electricity to the urban and peri-urban areas of the nearby city El Fasher, IDP communities living in the camps report limited connection to the city ’ s electricity supply, reflected in the high deprivations in the electricity and cooking fuel indicators. The ad-hoc construction of dwellings in the two camps explains why 71 % of the IDP households in Abu Shouk and 65 % in El Salam live in tukuls or other permanent mud or wood structures (Sudanese Government ’ s Joint Mechanism for Durable Solutions 2019: p. 50), both of which register as unimproved housing types. Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input: 21 Table 6: Percentage of displaced individuals deprived in selected indicators by gender Ethiopia South Sudan Sudan Male Female Male Female Male Female Years of schooling 55 78 * * * 36 63 * * * 32 46 * * * School attendance 16 19 * * 21 29 23 23 Early marriage 3 13 * * * 8 75 * * * 6 50 * * * Unemployment 7 5 * * * 2 0 * 3 3 Legal id 45 46 48 74 * * * 10 10 Source: Authors ’ calculations based on data from the High Frequency Surveys of Ethiopia (2017), Nigeria (2018), Somalia (2017), South Sudan (2017) and Sudan (2017). Asterisks indicate statistical significance of mean differences between male and female at 1 % * * *, 5 % * * and 10 % * levels. Returning to patterns of household headship, Figure 5 breaks down the variation in censored headcount ratios among refugee households in Ethiopia, depending on the gender of the household head. Usage context: primary mention, background mention, supporting mention.

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Input: Page 12 of 51 Figure 6: Temporary employment by age group. (Mid-1990s / Mid-2010s) Source: Own calculations based on Household surveys. In the case of temporary employment, there is evidence of increasing female participation in the five countries analyzed, with large variations in several cases. Indeed, in the five countries for which we identified temporary workers, while temporary employment was predominantly male in the 1990s, today women show a participation higher than 50 % in all cases. Figure 7: Temporary employment by age group. (Mid-1990s / Mid-2010s) employment by gender (Mid-1990s / Mid-2010s) Source: Own calculations based on Household surveys 0 % 10 % 20 % 30 % 40 % 50 % 60 % 70 % 80 % 90 % 100 % 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s Argentina Brazil Chile Mexico El Salvador > 64 years old 50 ‐ 64 40 ‐ 49 25 ‐ 39 15 ‐ 24 0 % 10 % 20 % 30 % 40 % 50 % 60 % 70 % 80 % 90 % 100 % 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s 1990s 2010s Argentina Uruguay Brazil Chile Peru Bolivia Dominican Republic Mexico El Salvador Female Male

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Input: 15 resulting in government forces recapturing rebel held territory, establishment of a rebel base or headquarters, rebel activity that is not battle related (e. g. presence or the killing of civilians), and territorial transfers. The dataset consists of 4, 145 battle events for the 1960 – 2004 period. In the present analysis, we use 2, 530 of these. The remaining events were dropped as they either were in countries not included in the analysis, or because information was missing for one of the key variables. Each conflict event is associated with geographic coordinates and a date of occurrence. This information allows for spatial and temporal modeling of conflict events. The dataset used in this article covers 14 countries in Central Africa. 6 of them had a conflict in the 1960 – 2004 period according to the Uppsala / PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset (Gleditsch et al., 2002): Angola, Burundi, Republic of Congo (Brazzaville), Democratic Republic of Congo (Zaire), Rwanda, and Uganda. Usage context: supporting mention, primary mention, background mention.

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Input:
NASA EOSDIS Land Processes DAAC. World Bank, 2018. Somalia drought impact and needs assessment: synthesis report (English). World Bank Group, Washington, D.C.

I consider 10 years of daily data for US Treasury zero rates (provided by Bloomberg):

In addition to the return matrix, some model versions presented here augment the returns data with cross-sectional data. These models are referred to in this document as 'mixed' models. The basic data used in these cases are presented in table 3.

**Keywords:** CO2 emissions, OCO-2, Urban pollution, Emissions tracking

High-resolution observations of atmospheric GHG concentrations are now available from several platforms, including NASA's OCO-2 and OCO-3 instruments, the European Space Agency's METOP-A and TROPOMI (Sentinel-5P) platforms, China's TANSAT and the Japan Space Exploration Agency's GOSAT and GOSAT-2.

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Input:
Notes: The graph plots local means of post-secondary school outcomes by ENLACE test
score ventile in grade 12. The solid line shows a linear fit estimated using the grouped data.
Panel (a) reports the probability of college enrollment; (b) reports the probability of being
employed conditional on not being enrolled in college; and (c) and (d) report, respectively,
the logarithm of the hourly wage and the probability of working in a formal firm conditional
in both cases on being employed. Outcomes are measured in the ENILEMS survey at ages
18 to 20 in the third quarter of 2010. ENLACE test scores come from the years 2008, 2009
and 2010. Data: ENILEMS-ENLACE panel.

Table A.1: ENLACE Twins and Non-twins: Means and Standard Deviations

(1) (2) T-test
0 1 Difference
Variable N Mean/SE N Mean/SE (1)-(2)
Enlace Score Spanish Grade 6 1942306 512.842 20982 515.377 -2.536***
(0.075) (0.719)

Enlace Score Math Grade 6 1942246 514.237 20982 516.474 -2.238***
(0.079) (0.762)

Enlace Score Math Grade 6 1942246 514.237 20982 516.474 -2.238***
(0.079) (0.762)

Enlace taker Grade 9 1943583 0.702 20995 0.742 -0.040***
(0.000) (0.003)

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Input:
Using data from the Armenia Land Tenure and Area study - a study designed specifically for this analysis - we compare the implications of the use of a proxy respondent versus the recommended self-respondent approach and the use of aggregated land data versus parcel-level land data (recommended).

The ALTA study was implemented with the technical guidance of the lead author by the International Centre for Agribusiness Research and Education (ICARE) in partnership with the Statistical Committee of the Republic of Armenia (ArmStat) and with the financial support of the 50x2030 Initiative.

The paper is organized as follows: section II describes the land tenure system in Armenia, providing context for the results that follow; Section III describes the ALTA study design and data; Section IV discusses SDG indicator computation and methods; Section V presents the results; and Section VI concludes.

The sample of the ALTA study consists of 1,200 households, scientifically selected from 100 urban and rural enumeration areas (EAs) covering both agricultural and non-agricultural households.

In addition to the module on land tenure, the ALTA questionnaire included a brief set of modules capturing
individual socio-demographic characteristics, educational attainment, employment status, and agricultural activity. [6]
An additional focus of the ALTA study was the validation of measurement approaches to land area estimation. To
this end, both Arms 1 and 3 included a module on land area measurement that incorporated GPS and satellite
imagery-based parcel-level area measurement. A series of cognitive interviews were conducted to ensure that the
land tenure questions were translated as intended from English to Armenian, as well as to understand how the
interpretation of questions varied across individuals, with a view to understanding male versus female

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Input: 20 Future prospects There are now a wide variety of survey instruments that are being designed for or adapted to measure income or consumption among FDP populations. Home visits initially designed by the UNHCR to question FDPs for protection purposes are being revised to ask questions on income and consumption, becoming in this way viable instruments for poverty measurement. Large home visit exercises are conducted every year in countries such as Jordan and Lebanon and these data have been used to conduct poverty assessments of Syrian refugees (Verme et al., 2016). The WFP conducts vulnerability assessments that have been used by the WFP, UNHCR and World Bank to make gross poverty estimates using the consumption modules of these surveys, even if these modules are typically very short, with few items. The UNHCR conducts Multi- sector Needs Assessment such as the one conducted in Cox ’ s Bazar, Bangladesh, in 2018, Socio-economic assessments such as the one conducted in Zimbabwe in 2017, or nutrition surveys such as the one conducted in Tanzania in 2017. 12 All these surveys contain some information on income, consumption, or expenditure that is being used to assess the well-being of FDPs. The World Bank has conducted welfare assessments of Venezuelans in various Latin American countries including Colombia, Peru and Ecuador, with a forthcoming study expected for Chile. Usage context: background mention, supporting mention, primary mention.

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Input: reason to believe that the provision of services by donors and non-state actors could either strengthen or weaken citizens ’ deference to government. I will identify the conditions under which these two scenarios are likely to occur. On the one hand, citizens may be less likely to support the government with deference to its laws and regulations when they credit non-state actors or donors for service provision. The provision of services by donors and non- state actors is likely to prompt citizens to question why they should pay taxes to a government that is not providing them with anything in exchange. On the other hand, the provision of goods and services by donors and non-state actors might strengthen citizens ’ legitimating beliefs and their willingness to defer to governmental laws and regulations if citizens view their government as essential to leveraging and managing these external resources. I assess these competing hypotheses using multi-level analyses of Afro- barometer survey data. The sample, drawn from a continuum of developing societies in Africa, allows us to analyze associations between donor and non- state actor service provision and the sense of obligation to comply with the tax authorities. Third, I assess the relationship between the provision of ser- vices by donors and non-state actors and citizens ’ willingness to defer to two additional authorities, the police and courts. Usage context: primary mention, supporting mention, background mention.

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Input: 1 POST-CONFLICT TRANSITIONS WORKING PAPER NO. 16 Population Size, Concentration, and Civil War. A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis * Håvard Hegre Centre for the Study of Civil War, PRIO (CSCW) Clionadh Raleigh CSCW, PRIO & University of Colorado at Boulder Abstract Why do larger countries have more armed conflict? This paper surveys three sets of hypotheses forwarded in the conflict literature regarding the relationship between the size and location of population groups: Hypotheses based on pure population mass, on distances, on population concentrations, and some residual state-level characteristics. The hypotheses are tested on a new dataset – ACLED (Armed Conflict Location and Events Dataset) – which disaggregates internal conflicts into individual events. The analysis covers 14 countries in Central Africa. The conflict event data are juxtaposed with geographically disaggregated data on populations, distance to capitals, borders, and road networks. The paper develops a statistical method to analyze this type of data. The analysis confirms several of the hypotheses. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 4243, June 2007 The Post-Conflict Transitions Working Paper Series disseminates the findings of work in progress to encourage the exchange of ideas about post-conflict development (more information about the Post- Conflict Transitions Project can be found at http: / / econ. worldbank. org / programs / conflict). Usage context: background mention, supporting mention, primary mention.

Armed Conflict Location and Events Dataset

conflict event data
geographically disaggregated data

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Input: They have also been piloted ahead of data collection to test their validity and reliability. Results in table 4 indicate that assignment to NVSP has no impact on the three indicators for soft skills among selected youth for specifications 1 & 2 (see the 𝛿 estimate for columns 1, 2, & 3). The leadership skills measure appears to have worsened for both selected and non-selected youth over time, which is somewhat puzzling given that both groups are active volunteers and members in their communities (see the 𝛽 ൅ 𝛿 estimate and the 𝛽 estimate for column 1). Any changes for the communication and confidence scores one year following NVSP were not statistically 15 The selection of the indicator for this study was based on its extensive utilization (to maximize the chance for the scale to be reliable when calculating Cronbach ’ s Alpha with the data of the pilot), on the availability of detailed information regarding how the indicator was designed, and of how the scales should be interpreted once data have been collected. 16 This scale had been tested with youth aged 12-18 showing high levels of internal consistency. Additionally, it was a relatively simple scale with no need for special training to administer it or to analyze the results of the scale. 17 These skills include: awareness of one ’ s own styles of communication; understanding and valuing different styles of communication; practicing empathy; adjusting one ’ s own styles of communication to match others'styles. (communicative adaptability); and communication of essential information; Interaction management. 18 This scale has been used extensively in the psycho-social / soft skills literature, ensuring possible comparability with other studies of the soft skills literature.

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Input: 29 evaluations have been conducted (Renton et al., 2000; Shaw, 2000; Shaw, 2002a; Shaw, 2002b; Paine et al., 2002; White, Greene and Murphy, 2003; Interagency working Group, 2003). For example, the Medical Research Council (from the United Kingdom) conducted an external evaluation of program effectiveness in the Gambia using key informant interviews, focus groups, and a KAP (knowledge, attitudes and practices) survey in four villages, including two program sites and two controls. That study found that the Gambia program improved self-reported attitudes and behaviors related to violence against women. Specifically, the program reduced the social acceptability of wife-beating at the community level and appeared to produce a corresponding drop in that behavior. Qualitative findings from other Stepping Stones sites suggest similar benefits. Program H (Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, Jamaica, Mexico and Peru) is being carried out by four NGOs. It aims to change gender norms and sexual behaviors in Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, Jamaica, Mexico and Peru (Barker, 2003; White, Green and Murphy, 2003; Guedes, 2004).

KAP (knowledge, attitudes and practices) survey

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Input: The most recent labor force survey from Liberia mirrors these statistics: there are roughly 1. 1 million people in the workforce, of whom 195, 000 (about 18 percent) are engaged in wage employment; the remaining 900, 000-plus workers (82 percent) are considered in vulnerable employment, working for themselves or working unpaid for their own households (LISGIS 2010). Among young women (15-24) in Liberia, the unemployment rate is 8 percent, double the rate among young men (LISGIS 2010). Most of these gaps can be explained by differences across individuals, especially in educational attainment, skills training, and years of experience. But segregation, market segmentation, and discrimination do play a role in determining these individual characteristics. Women have fewer opportunities for education or training, less access to credit, a larger share of domestic responsibilities, and less independence and control over their own lives. In Liberia, women comprise half of the employed, but only about one-quarter of paid employment (LISGIS 2011). Fourteen years of civil war in Liberia devastated the country ’ s infrastructure and institutions, and left a generation of young people with very low levels of education and training. Girls were particularly disadvantaged.

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Input: No data on religiosity was collected as part of the census and a more recent and detailed household survey that includes information on time-use elicits little variation — everyone reports high mosque attendance and regular prayers. An alternative, suggested by David Evans at Harvard University, which we pursue here, is to use recent developments in the use of “ names. ” Research by Fryer and Leavitt (2004) demonstrates the increasing use of names to define race identity in the United States. We postulate that households who named (at least) one child “ Osama ” (also spelt Usamah, Usamma or Usama) are more likely to favor a radical brand of Islam. The use of the name Osama was minimal until 1998, and then peaks in 1998 and 2001, following disruptive events. Of course, the naming of the child may reflect name recognition rather Usage context: background mention, primary mention, supporting mention.

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Input: 10 Finally, we divide the communities based on land scarcity before the 1993 conflict in order to explore the possible role of posterior rules regarding land provision to returnees. Respondents in communities that had more and less pre-war land available have broadly similar attitudes towards return. 4. Research design 4. 1 The survey We collected the data for this project during January to March 2015 as part of a nationwide survey on issues related to migration for the Labour Market Impacts of Forced Migration (LAMFOR) project. The survey had two components. First, a household survey in which 15 households were interviewed in 100 communities (i. e. sous-collines) across the 17 provinces of the country. Second, a community survey in which a local leader was interviewed in each of the 100 communities. The number of communities selected in each province was based on information from the 2008 Census. Figure 4 indicates the location of the communities surveyed. Figure 4 – Location of communities surveyed in Burundi Note: Geolocation of the 100 communities (i. e. sous-collines) sampled in the survey. Each community corresponds to a dot. Fifteen households and a local leader were interviewed in each community. The number of communities selected in each province was based on information from the 2008 Census. In the analysis below we focus on rural areas.

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Input: This allowed for consistent ranking the households into welfare quintiles and cross- tabulation of welfare status with household characteristics and indicators derived from the survey data. The imputation was carried out using s2sc algorithm in STATA.

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Input: in December 2022 values. 61% 58% 59% 68% 56% 65% In Camp Addis Ababa Total Hosts Refugees Figure 5.4: Shares of food expenditure Refugees’ Aspirations 45 Expenditures for in-camp refugees is almost half that of hosts, despite the sizeable food aid and cash transfers (in selected camps) the WFP and UNHCR provide. The significantly lower expenditures (food and non-food) among refugees compared to host populations led to higher poverty rates. The team cross-checked the food aid received by in-camp refugees based on administrative data from the UNHCR and WFP and food consumption data from SESRE. The information received from UNHCR on food aid provided to refugees in each camp includes quantities per food item per month and cash transfers per person per month for each camp and period. The food items include cereal, wheat, maize, rice, sorghum, CSB/famex (CSB+), pulse, biscuit, date biscuit, dates, oil, vegetable oil, salt, and cash (see Annex E for detailed information). Food aid information received from WFP includes five food items and their quantities distributed to refugees: cereal (mainly wheat but in some camps rice), pulses (mostly yellow split peas), CSB+, vegetable oil, and salt. We have computed the per person, per month in-kind aid

administrative data from the UNHCR
food consumption data from SESRE

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Input: These tariff rate modifications are essential for this analysis as suggested by the substantial differences between the tariff rates available in the GTAP 8 database, especially those implied for Jordan, Iraq, Lebanon, and Syria (Figure 1), and the updated tariff rates, presented by country, product, and source in Appendix Tables B1-B6. Since the GTAP tariffs attributed to Jordan, Iraq, Lebanon, and Syria are composite rates, they do not correspond to the actual trade profile of these countries. Therefore, the new tariff rates differ from the GTAP ones both because of differences in the tariff lines and trade composition. By contrast, the tariff information on Egypt and Turkey in the GTAP 8 database represents relatively accurately existing preferences (Figure 1). 3. Simulation design The pre-war efforts for deeper trade integration in the Levant are reflected in the pre-simulation analysis. Starting from the newly constructed database, the pre-simulation analysis implements the deep trade initiatives discussed by the Levant countries prior to the onset of the Syrian war in 2011. The context for these reforms and the shocks associated with each of these reforms are presented in section 3. 1. Usage context: primary mention, supporting mention, background mention.

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Input: by the migration episode. These include the minors age and sex, the parent ’ s and grand- parent ’ s education pre-migration, and a wealth index constructed with retrospective in- formation on the household conditions pre-migration. 14 Grandparent ’ s education is used a proxy for living standards that is unaffected by the migration episode from Venezuela to Colombia and the Venezuelan crisis, which intensified in 2016. ϵij depict the standard errors clustered at the household level to correct for intra-household correlation. For robustness, we will present the estimates of equation 1 with and without controls. As further robustness, we use propensity-score weights (Hirano and Imbens 2001, Hirano, Imbens and Ridder 2003). 15 V. A Physical development: Body Mass Index and health status In our study, we examine disparities in nutritional and health status among Colombian and Venezuelan children aged 5 to 10 years, focusing on standardized body mass index (BMI), instances of overweight and underweight, and overall health status. The BMI serves as an indicator of nutritional status for both adults and children, calculated as an individual ’ s weight in kilograms divided by their height in meters squared, according to World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines. Usage context: background mention, primary mention, supporting mention.

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Input: Language barriers, mental health challenges, and uncertain futures are identified as major obstacles to integration. The study highlights the importance of tailored interventions, such as psychological support and more dedicated teaching time, to foster refugee students ’ academic and social inclusion. This paper is a product of the Development Data Group, Development Economics and the Social Protection and Labor Global Department. It is part of a larger effort by the World Bank to provide open access to its research and make a contribution to development policy discussions around the world. Policy Research Working Papers are also posted on the Web at http: / / www. worldbank. org / prwp. The authors may be contacted at michela_carlana @ hks. harvard. edu; pcastaing @ worldbank. org; mtestaverde @ worldbank. org; and mtiberti @ worldbank. org.

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Input:
Macro International, Demographic and Health Surveys, Beltsville, MD.

<!-- PAGE 33 -->
8. **Comparison with Monitoring Results for India**

A recent monitoring study for Indian households (World Bank, 2002; Balakrishnan,

et al., 2002; Parikh, et al., 2001) has provided useful comparative information about

survey suggests that progress has been quite limited. Of 686 biofuel-using households in

our 7-region survey (including Dhaka), only 9 (1.3%) report using an improved stove: 4

In this paper, we investigate individuals' exposure to indoor air pollution (IAP). Using new survey data from Bangladesh, we analyze exposure at two levels: differences within households attributable

In this paper, we use our survey data to estimate the incidence of IAP exposure for family

monitoring study for Indian households
7-region survey
new survey data from Bangladesh

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Input: 14 Source: Authors ’ calculations based on data from the High Frequency Surveys of Ethiopia (2017), Nigeria (2018), Somalia (2017), South Sudan (2017) and Sudan (2017). 5. 2 Composition of poverty Unpacking the headline numbers further, important patterns emerge about the composition of multidimensional poverty among forcibly displaced and host communities in these countries. Overall, the censored headcount ratios (proportion of people who are poor and deprived in a given indicator) are lower among non-displaced communities than among refugees and IDPs, but there are large differences in which indicators are the most salient in different countries. The indicators with the largest difference between the two populations are bank account and cooking fuel in Ethiopia, years of schooling in Somalia, electricity in Sudan, drinking water in South Sudan, and legal identification in Nigeria. These findings reinforce the need for policies and programming that take into account the measured experiences of IDPs and refugees. In this way, the MPI can function both as tool to monitor, track, and bear witness to the lived experiences of forcibly displaced communities, as well as advise on evidence-based interventions that address the needs of the local population. Figure 1 shows the censored headcounts of each indicator in Sudan ’ s MPI, with large differences appearing by displacement.

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Input:
_UNHCR
 Discussion
 Paper
 –15
 June
 2013_

humanitarian
 mine
 action
 programme
 with
 local
 and
 international
 humanitarian
agencies.
 Despite
 these
 positive
 developments
 there
 are
 still
 no
 activities
 related
 to
survey
 and
 clearance,
 marking,
 or
 fencing
 being
 undertaken.
 Mine
 risk
 education
programmes
 and
 assistance
 to
 mine
 victims
 remain
 still
 limited
 in
 scope.

Land
 registration
 documents
 are
 held
 by
 township
 authorities
 in
 Myanmar.
 Land
 tenure
documents
 and
 deeds
 are
 not
 always
 recorded
 or
 respected
 and
 there
 are
 frequent
reports
 of
 land
 expropriation
 (or
 “land
 grabbing”)
 by
 the
 Government,
 the
 Myanmar
Army,
 non-‐state
 armed
 groups,
 and
 private
 companies,
 often
 resulting
 in
 internal
displacement
 without
 appropriate
 guarantees
 of
 compensation.
 Although
 the
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introduced
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 the
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 in
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 provide
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they
 still
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 widely
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 rights.

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Input: Many detainees are facing ill ‐ treatment. Females are subjected to sexual harassment by security officers. According to UNHCR, there are 2. 7 million people of concern in Sudan (includes refugees, asylum ‐ seekers, IDPs, returned refugees, returned IDPs, stateless persons, and other concern), a lower number than 2015. About 37, 000 refugees returned to Sudan in 2016. At the same time, there were over 2 million IDPs, over 420, 000 refugees and over 16, 000 asylum ‐ seekers in other countries. Economic Opportunity Oil output in Sudan has been low due to civil war, poor infrastructure, and low productivity. Compared to South Sudan, Sudan also has fewer oil resources; nevertheless, it still has abundant resources72. Sudan ranks 186th of 190 states in the World Bank ’ s Doing Business 67 CIA Factbook, South Sudan, https: / / www. cia. gov / library / publications / the ‐ world ‐ factbook / geos / od. html 68 UNHCR, South Sudan http: / / reporting. unhcr. org / node / 2553 69 CIA Factbook, South Sudan, https: / / www. cia. gov / library / publications / the ‐ world ‐ factbook / geos / od. html 70 UNHCR, Sudan, http: / / reporting. unhcr. org / node / 2535 71 Human Rights Watch, https: / / www. hrw. org / world ‐ report / 2017 / country ‐ chapters / sudan 72 EIU Country Outlook, Sudan, June 19th 2017 Usage context: primary mention, background mention, supporting mention.

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Input:
##### **September/ October 2023 report**

###### Venezuela

**trafficking networks.** After bilateral

meeting between the Protection Cluster,

the WGTiP and the FSL Cluster, a focal

group was organized on October 10th.

A total of 7 participants from UN Agen
cies, AoRs, and local NGOs participated.

WG members actively participated by

sharing field experiences and proposing

recommendations to address challenges

raised during the discussion.

**VIII. Monthly Meetings of the**

**WGTiP**

**The WGTiP convenes monthly to**

**review its working plan and provide**

**a platform for members to discuss**

**trends and activities related to TiP. In**

**the last meeting, the WG collectively**

**decided to establish a Task Force to**

**draft a guide on security for orga-**

**nizations working with Victims of**

**Trafficking (VoT).** Additionally, members

have developed standardized training

and sensitization activities/workshops to

implement in communities on the topic of

TiP. These trainings will be beneficial to

other organizations addressing human

trafficking issues. In October’s monthly

meeting, the WG hosted the office of UN

Special Rapporteur for Trafficking in Per
sons. The meeting involved discussions

on potential collaboration with WG mem
bers and how the UN Rapporteur's office

can support advocacy efforts.

Member organizations also shared infor
mation on available services for victims

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Input: Due to the variations in weight and height ratios among children and adolescents according to gender and age, the benchmarks for determining nutritional status are specifically tailored to these factors. We adhere to WHO guidelines to calculate the standardized BMI values for minors. A BMI exceeding one standard deviation (SD) from the mean suggests overweight, while a BMI less than minus one SD indicates underweight. 16 Health status is assessed through a binary variable, assigned a value of one if the caregiver has reported any health issues such as disease or chronic pain, accidents, dental pain, surgical interventions, or preg- 14For the Colombian households the wealth index is measured with contemporaneous data. 15This procedure restricts the sample to the common support of the propensity score for being a forced migrant and weights observations for Colombian kids by a non-parametric function of the propensity score. This procedure has been shown to increase the estimate ’ s efficiency. 16Furthermore, a BMI greater than 2SD is indicative of obesity risk, and less than- 2SD signals a risk of severe thinness. 33 Usage context: background mention, primary mention, supporting mention.

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Input: Some data sources (such as registration systems and population censuses) are more appropriate for estimating stocks of asylum-seekers, refugees and IDPs at a particular point in time, while other data sources (such as population tracking systems and border crossings) are more appropriate for estimating flows over a specific period. In general, there is a lack of comprehensive and up-to-date data available on all stocks and flows for a particular displacement situation (see Table 4). Consequently, data on flows might be used to estimate stocks, for example in the absence of government data, the stock of refugees in many industrialized countries is estimated by UNHCR based on 10 years of individual asylum-seeker recognition. And, especially in the case of IDPs, changes in the total population combined with some contextual analysis, may be used to deduce estimates of new internal displacement or returns. However, these approximations are flawed unless data on all other flows (births, deaths, repatriation etc.) are also available, which is not usually the case. Even a static figure for the stock of IDPs in a particular location might obscure substantial flows including new displacement and returns. Moreover, there are no common definitions of the various stocks and flows, and therefore the risk of double counting or gaps cannot be discounted. Usage context: primary mention, background mention, supporting mention.

population censuses
population tracking systems

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Input:
### 4.1 Operational Risk: Financial Management

The CAT DDO facility will be the sole financing instrument for this operation. Disbursement is contingent on the government declaring a state of emergency following a qualifying natural hazard event and on the existence of an adequate crisis preparedness program. The CAT DDO does not require activity-level reporting; instead, the borrower is required to maintain a satisfactory macroeconomic policy framework assessed through the annual IMF Article IV consultation process. A program document update will trigger a new three-year drawdown period.

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Input: As we theorize, the positive externalities for local communities (in the form of improved service delivery), generated by Uganda ’ s integrative approach to hosting refugees, generally balance out these fears, which do not generate a backlash against refugees and inclusive migration policies. Improving basic services is of the utmost importance to host communities in developing contexts regardless of who is providing them (Sacks, 2012). All the results reported here use our main speciﬁcation of the Nearest + 20km exposure measure (which takes into account not only the nearest settlements, but also all settlements within 20km) and the subset of parishes that are within 150km of a settlement. In SI Section S4, we present the regression tables for all of the results shown in Figures 5 and 6, along with their robustness speciﬁcations. These tables display the eﬀects across all three measures of exposure (Nearest, Nearest + 20km, Nearest + 50km) and across the various radius cutoﬀs for parishes (within 100km, 150km, 200km, and all parishes). These results demonstrate that our main results are robust across speciﬁcations. In additional robustness checks, we also conduct formal sensitivity analyses and address concerns about multiple hypothesis testing by adjusting for the false discovery rate and showing Benjamini-Hochberg-adjusted p-values in SI Sections S5 and S6. An alternative explanation is that our results are driven by a change in the composition of host citizens. It is possible that the positive eﬀects we observe are due to the internal migration of Ugandans: those who move to refugee settlement areas may be positively disposed toward refugees, while those who leave are more likely to be anti-migrants. While there is no data to test 23 Usage context: primary mention, supporting mention, background mention.

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Input: 26 percent of refugees and their host children are too short for their age. Children in Addis Ababa have lower shares of stunting, but stunting rates are still high for OCP refugees (27 percent) and their hosts (24 percent) (Annex D, Table D.3). Overall, stunting rates are higher for boys than girls among both refugees and hosts (Annex D, Figure D.9), which is also confirmed by studies using the demographic and health survey in Ethiopia (Tasic et al., 2020; Gebreegziabher and Regassa, 2019; Gebru et al., 2019). Being underweight is another large challenge related to nutrition among children under age five in Ethiopia. In-camp refugees and hosts have a higher percentage of underweight children (25 and 29 percent) compared to OCP refugees and hosts (2 and 11 percent). Across refugees, the proportion of underweight children is higher among Eritrean and Somali refugees compared to their hosts. At the same time, it is lower among South Sudanese and OCP refugees compared to hosts. In-camp refugee and host children also suffer from wasting. The percentage of wasted in-camp refugee children (14 percent) is higher compared to OCP refugee children (6 percent). Somali and OCP refugees have a higher proportion of wasted children

demographic and health survey in Ethiopia

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Input: The cooperative medical scheme's claims database was accessed under a data-sharing agreement with the Ministry of Health to assess hospitalization rates and out-of-pocket expenditure patterns for the target population before the project intervention. These administrative records provided a cost baseline used in the economic analysis. The analysis found that average annual out-of-pocket health expenditure per enrolled household under the cooperative medical scheme was 22 percent lower than among non-enrolled households in comparable income deciles, justifying the enrollment subsidy approach.

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Input: 20 between 1948 and 1965, with increases in the percentage of adults with religious education in the cohorts born after this date. There is also wide geographical dispersion in the prevalence of madrassa education in Pakistan. Although all districts report that less than 2. 5 percent of children in the relevant age group (children between the ages of 5 and 19) are going to madrassas, the Pashto speaking belt that borders Afghanistan stands out in terms of the popularity of madrassas as an educational choice. The notion that the madrassa movement coincided with resistance to the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan is supported by the 1998 data from the population census. The increase in the stock of religiously educated individuals starts with the cohort that came of age in 1979 (the year of the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan) and the largest increase is for the cohort co-terminus with the rise of the Taliban. Combined with the fact that the largest enrollment percentage in Pakistan is in the Pashtun belt bordering Afghanistan, this suggests events in neighboring Afghanistan influence madrassa enrollment. Is there something intrinsic about Pashtun sensibility or tribal culture that leads to higher madrassa enrollment? The differentiation of the Pashtun and non-Pashtun districts does not extend to Pashtun and non-Pashtun households in the LEAPS data.

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Input:
lending operations database in each fiscal year.

In sections 2 and 3 all operations that are IDA financed are considered. This includes development policy

of outcome ratings provided by the World Bank's Independent Evaluation Group (IEG). The portfolio review

examines how the IDA portfolio has evolved since 2001, in terms of the number of projects, size of the portfolio,

Regression analysis comparing IEG outcome ratings of projects in FCS and non-FCS countries shows that

come rating from IEG (see Table 2). There are also no differential time series trends for this measure of outcome

stated project development objectives, as well as macro level factors, such as GDP growth and country policy and institutional assessment (CPIA) ratings.

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Input:
sanitation including a lack of latrines, and fragile livelihood strategies; others reside in shared and
overcrowded rental accommodation, or with relatives.

**Returnees** : In 2016, more than 600,000 documented and undocumented Afghans returned from
Pakistan and Iran including 372,577 registered refugees who returned under UNHCR’s facilitated
return program and were provided with UNHCR cash grants as part of their repatriation assistance
package. The majority of returnees have indicated Kabul, Nangarhar, Kandahar, Herat, Balkh, Ghazni,
Baghlan and Kunduz provinces as their intended destination for return, including areas subject to
attacks by armed groups. Returnees report a lack of land and adequate shelter, insufficient livelihoods,
insecurity, and poor access to services as obstacles to sustainable return and reintegration. These and
other factors have forced many returnees to undertake secondary movement to locations, particularly
in urban centers, other than their place of origin.

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Input: due to armed conﬂict but for more idiosyncratic reasons. We check robustness of this approach in two ways: (i) using all of the refugee stock observations available in the data set, and (ii) computing refugee ﬂows as the positive time diﬀerences in refugee stocks from year to year (setting negative time diﬀerences to zero). The results are robust to these two alternatives. 5 10 15 20 Number of refugees (million) 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017 Year Figure 1: Global refugee population, 1987-2017 Note: This ﬁgure plots the global stock of refugees. The data on bilateral distance and contiguity come from CEPII. The distance vari- able refers to the great circle distance between the most populated cities of each country in the pair. The contiguity indicator is equal to one if the two countries share a land border. Figure 1 charts the global refugee population over time. The sharp increase in the number of refugees over the past decade is evident. Such refugee movements can have signiﬁcant impacts on the destination countries. Usage context: primary mention, supporting mention, background mention.

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Input: such as education and caste. We also construct measures of social proximity between a migrant ’ s place of birth and each possible destination, using detailed available data on ethnicity, caste, language, and religion. We also investigate a number of factors that may inﬂuence the choice of migration destination but have not received much attention in the existing literature. Fafchamps and Shilpi (2009) have shown that the subjective welfare cost of geographical isolation is high. To investigate this issue, we include regressors controlling for population density and for the average distance to various amenities. Fafchamps and Shilpi (2008) have further shown that migrants are concerned with their welfare relative to that of their birth district as well as to that in their destination location. We examine whether relative welfare considerations inﬂuence the choice of migration destination. Additional controls include distance and prices. The empirical analysis is conducted using LSMS survey data as well as the 2001 population Census data from Nepal. The diverse terrain of Nepal along with geographical variation in amenities makes it ideal for our study. The mountainous nature of Nepal means that the country faces daunting challenges in the provision of transport and energy infrastructure. These challenges are unique to Nepal, however. Similar constraints are faced by many developing countries — or regions within such countries. Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input: This study aims to assess the consequences of forced migration on ethnic diversity and conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa. We combine a unique dataset on refugee camps with individual data from the Afrobarometer Surveys across 23 African countries for the 2005 — 2016 period. We construct two standard measures of ethnic diversity: indices of ethnic fractionalization (EF) and ethnic polarization (EP). Ethnic fractionalization measures the probability that two individuals drawn from the society at random will belong to two different ethnic groups and thus increases with the number of ethnic groups present. Ethnic polarization captures antagonism between individuals and is maximized when the society is divided into two equally sized and distant ethnic groups. Although these indices have been widely used, little variation over time has been found, making causal inference difficult. The innovative aspect of our analysis is that we use data on the precise locations of refugee camps, their yearly size, and — most importantly — their annual composition in terms of countries of origin. Combined with the Ethnic Power Relations- Ethnicity of Refugees 2019 dataset, we are able to predict changes in ethnic diversity induced by refugee inflows. We then assess the relationship between refugee diversity and the likelihood of conflict. In an additional analysis, we also assess how refugee-induced changes in diversity affect the incidence of theft and violence, participation in protests, and perceptions of ethnic attachment, inter-personal trust, and institutional trust. Other studies have investigated the links between displacement and social conflict or social co- 3 Usage context: supporting mention, primary mention, background mention.

Ethnic Power Relations- Ethnicity of Refugees 2019

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Input: community sampling were listed, and 12 households were randomly chosen and surveyed per EA. SESRE also selected 12 refugee and host households per EA, treating EAs as the Primary Sampling Unit and households as the Secondary Sampling Unit. (i) The distinct sampling designs and objectives of the two surveys render challenges in comparing findings from the two surveys. Moreover, the two surveys are not comparable in other ways, including: (ii) Surveyed population: SESRE includes out-of-camp refugees living in Addis Ababa, while SPS does not. (iii) Survey scope: The methodology to sample and definitions of host communities varied between the two surveys. (iv) Survey design: SESRE’s questionnaire aimed at comparability with the national poverty survey, while SPS aimed at comparability across countries. This rendered differences in the contents of the surveys, where the SESRE employed the same survey instrument as the national poverty survey, while the SPS used an instrument specific to the survey. (v) Differences in consumption: SESRE includes a full consumption module while SPS relied on the Rapid Consumption methodology. Moreover, there are differences in the recall period for food consumption data collection. While SPS used the past 7 days recall period, SESRE collects food consumption data through two

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Input: 4 Internal Conﬂicts and Refugees A particularly serious aspect of internal conﬂicts is the human suﬀering they generate. This is not only those who are killed or injured in conﬂict but the large number of people who are forced to leave their homes. The issue of refugees has received particular attention in Western media in recent years as refugee ﬂows from Northern Africa, the Middle East and Afghanistan are increasingly reaching Europe. These refugee streams are linked to a severe humanitarian crisis with considerable funding needs for international donors and heavy strains on host countries. 21 The current refugee crisis, however, is in no way unique. Civil war has always been closely linked to humanitarian crisis and refugee streams are one way to capture this. In this section we provide a cross-country analysis aimed at investigating how the stock of refugees evolves when a civil conﬂict hits a country. In the analysis we will focus entirely on showing changes in the stock of refugees across time to illustrate the dimensions involved. We will base our later analysis on these population movements. We exploit country-level data gathered from several sources. Data about refugees is provided by the UNHCR Population Statistics Database. The database provides in- formation about UNHCR ’ s populations of concern from the year 1951 up to 2014.

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Input: problems. Previous literature has shown that immigrants are more likely to move to locations where they have a network of peers from the same country. We show below that this is true among Venezuelans in Peru as well. Our main interest is on β1, which represent the impact of the labor market conditions in centro poblado j on the discrimination experienced by Venezuelans. Venezuelans who arrive to the country clearly evaluate where to settle based on the labor market opportunities (among other reasons), and therefore to causally identify β1 we need a source of exogenous variation for the labor market at the local level. We use an instrumental variable strategy that exploits variation in the share of workers employed in diﬀerent industries in 2007, along with national level shocks to trade in speciﬁc industries between Oct 2016 and Oct 2017 when the census was collected. More precisely, the ﬁrst stage regression is given by: lnEmpj = α + νSharejk (2007) × ∆ lnExportk + ηXij + νZj + αo + ϵj (2) where Sharejk (t − 1) is the share of workers in centro poblado j employed in industry k in 2007, and ∆ Exportk represents the log change in national level exports in industry k between 2016 and 2017. The remaining control variables are similar to those in Equation 1. Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input: Maps of soil salinity and waterlogging risk were produced by the national agricultural research institute using a combination of soil profile data from the national soil database and satellite-derived vegetation stress indicators. These maps were reviewed during site selection to identify agricultural plots within the project area that were unsuitable for the proposed irrigation investments due to soil degradation risks. Maps were updated with ground-truth observations collected by agronomists during field missions conducted in January and February.

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Input: seekers. 81 There are several challenges associated with using central population registers to estimate refugee and asylum-seeker populations, including: consistency of the definition of refugees with the definition in the 1951 Convention and 1967 Protocol; difficulty and cost of establishing and maintaining a population register (UNSD 2014); and confidentiality safeguards. Compilation of statistics on forcibly displaced populations Several international organizations are involved in the compilation, analysis and dissemination of statistics on forced displacement including UNHCR, 82 Eurostat, IDMC, OCHA, International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC), 83 WFP84 and IOM. Each of these actors has their own thematic focus and specific objectives, and applies their own methodologies. Asylum-seekers and refugees UNHCR is the principal organization responsible for the compilation, analysis and dissemination of data on asylum-seekers and refugees. UNHCR maintains a publicly available statistical online database85 with data for the period 1951-2014 on refugees (including people in refugee-like situations), asylum-seekers (pending cases), returned refugees, IDPs protected or assisted by UNHCR, returned IDPs previously protected or assisted by UNHCR, stateless persons and others of concern to UNHCR, disaggregated by country of origin and asylum. 86 Data are also provided on demographics, location, asylum-seekers (refugee status determination and monthly data) and resettlement. Usage context: primary mention, supporting mention, background mention.

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Input: The employment arm also signiﬁcantly improves cognitive function as measured through an index of memory and basic arithmetic tests, a ﬁnding consistent with a large psychol- ogy literature documenting the relationship between cognitive processes and depression (Semkovska et al., 2019). As with physical health, improvements to cognitive function are unlikely to be a direct product of the employment task itself, which was speciﬁcally de- signed to require no literacy or mathematical skill. Rather, these results are suggestive of a downstream impact to reducing depression through the experience of employment. Finally, we ﬁnd no change in time preferences: treated individuals are no more or less likely to discount the future relative to control counterparts, although results may have diﬀered had we engaged participants in an eﬀort or consumption-based time preference game rather than a ﬁnancial one. However, we ﬁnd a substantial increase in risk tolerance among the employed. A greater preference for risk-taking may be indicative of employment serving as a form of psychological ‘ insurance ’ that allows participants the mental bandwidth to exercise greater risk. This is consistent with the positive impacts of employment on stability as well as with a key motive underlying universal basic income (UBI) in the developing world (Banerjee, Niehaus, and Suri, 2019). Interestingly, however, we document no parallel increase in risk tolerance in the cash transfer arm. Our result on risk preference also echoes a potential consequence of depression and anxiety described in Ridley et al. (2020), although empirical 15 Usage context: background mention, supporting mention, primary mention.

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Input: countries covered in this study. We next turn to analyzing the factors that helped or hindered the return of Syrian refugees until early 2018. 3 Data and Empirical Strategy Return migration decisions are potentially inﬂuenced by expected payoﬀs in both the country of origin and country of asylum, as well as the individual characteristics of refugees. To analyze these factors, we need a comprehensive data set, which is often not available especially in active conﬂict situations. In what follows, we describe the strategy we followed in exploiting the available information. 3. 1 Data With an active conﬂict situation in Syria, a complete longitudinal data set for conditions in countries of asylum and origin was not available. Thus, we adopt a pragmatic approach that combines diﬀerent sources and types of data. Refugee attributes: We use the Proﬁle Global Registration System (ProGres) database, which is compiled by UNHCR to record each person of concern who ap- proaches it. 7 Our version comprised about 2. 16 million Syrian refugees in the Middle East and North Africa region (Turkey and European countries are not included), with a cutoﬀdate of March 2018. The ProGres database is a limited administrative database, which functions like a civil register. Usage context: background mention, primary mention, supporting mention.

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Input: Programs designed to enhance employment among young people can focus on the supply side of the labor market, including skills training programs for both wage employment and entrepreneurship training; or programs to augment demand, such as wage subsidies, public works, and community service programs; or programs to help the labor market clear, such as job search assistance and placement services. In addition, it may be that the constraints facing young people are not in the labor market itself, but in other markets, such as for credit. The vast majority of jobs programs have focused on the supply side: training programs make up about 79 percent of over 600 cases included in the World Bank ’ s Youth Employment Inventory database. 3 Although rigorous and general evidence of success is limited, it seems that successful skills training programs share a few key features: they are responsive to local market conditions, they provide more than just technical skills in a specific area (including, for example, “ life skills ”), and they include ancillary services that alleviate other constraints preventing successful labor market integration (e. g., access to credit). Among the most celebrated are the Jovenes programs that provide demand-driven technical training, plus social skills that help in the labor market, plus internships.

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Input:
Table 2 reports average daily hours in the three locations for a representative sample of 4,612 individuals drawn from 600 households in rural, peri-urban and urban areas of seven Bangladeshi regions

A previous paper by the authors (Dasgupta, et al., 2004) has documented extensive indoor air-quality monitoring in the peri-urban area of Narshingdi (Dhaka region).

Drawing on information from continuous, 24-hour monitoring of PM10 in 27 households in Narshingdi, Figure 2 displays a typical daily pollution cycle as

closer to cooking-area concentrations, and our 24-hour monitoring data indicate that daily pollution

monitoring of PM10
24-hour monitoring data

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Input: 14 displacement. 55 % of the returnees reported to have been employed before the crisis and 36 % in June 2014. Over time the employment situation among the displaced has improved steadily and by December 2014 more people reported being employed than prior to the crisis. All the returnees were able to regain employment after returning. The employment situation of IDPs, returnees, and refugees in Niger is steadily improving; only for refugees in Mauritania does one notice a steady decrease, with 100 % reporting no employment during January and February. Source: Listening to Displaced People Survey, 2014 and 2015. The ownership of livestock and consumer durables was reduced significantly as a consequence of the crisis. Table 7 demonstrates this by showing the Tropical Livestock Units (TLU) 12 owned prior to the crisis and in June 2014 as well as the percentage of ‘ yes ’ responses on a question whether a given asset was owned by the household. 13 The loss on livestock has been enormous particularly amongst IDPs and refugees who lost respectively more than 90 % and 75 % of their animals. 12 TLU is a common unit to describe livestock numbers of various species as a single figure that expresses the total amount of livestock present – irrespective of the specific composition. 13 This was a ‘ yes / no ’ question meaning that if 56 % of the Usage context: supporting mention, primary mention, background mention.

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Input:
WDI data on electricity consumption only encompass output from power plants and hence may underestimate the intensity and volume of night lights in countries with a strong reliance on private generators.

What about the economy of Somalia? National accounts data for Somalia have been non-existing since 1991, when the country sunk into chaos following the toppling of the Badre regime.

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Input: 9 this oversubscribed list. Selection into the training group was based on a “ vulnerability score ” that gave priority to younger, female and unemployed individuals. Despite this approach, intake was “ fuzzy ”- participants were ordered by their vulnerability score, with the most vulnerable entering up until capacity. In some intakes, individuals with comparatively high scores were not taken into the program. In others, individuals with comparatively low scores were included. We construct our treatment and control groups from these intake decisions. Data were collected from members of the host and refugee communities in each country. 4 In both Jordan and Lebanon, the intervention was implemented on a rolling basis. As soon as one training cycle was completed, another would begin. Data were collected in three waves during each training cycle. First, during an “ outreach ” phase, where data were collected in order to assign treatment status. Second, at “ baseline ”, which occurred before the training had begun but after treatment assignment was known. Third, data were collected at “ endline ”, immediately following the end of the training. Data collection for those assigned to the treatment and control followed the same pattern. 5 Outreach and baseline data collection took place less than a week apart and were collected between July 2018 and September 2019. Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input: 6. Robustness Checks 6. 1. Sample attrition Many challenges were encountered during survey implementation, due to the context – the densely populated and impoverished communities in and around Monrovia are difficult settings in which to find and track respondents — as well as the transience of a young study population. Despite vigorous efforts to track and interview each individual in the sample, a certain amount of survey attrition was expected. As the survey response rates in Table 1 show, 1622 (or 80 %) of the individuals in the study sample were successfully interviewed in both the baseline and midline surveys. Another 305 respondents were interviewed at baseline but not at midline and hence are not in the panel used for the analysis in this paper. 27 This survey attrition, while not much higher than other program evaluations in Africa, may cause concern that the results of this evaluation are biased, especially if the loss to follow up is correlated with individual characteristics that might affect the outcomes. To address this concern, Table 10 presents regressions on the likelihood of panel inclusion, that is, the likelihood of being interviewed at both baseline and midline. The first column indicates that treated individuals are significantly more likely than control to have been interviewed twice. This result persists even after controlling for individual characteristics and community dummies. Usage context: supporting mention, primary mention, background mention.

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Input: For the remaining one-to-many relations, we keep these ethnicities in the Afrobarometer as such and consider them as a single ethnic group. Some manual treatment can even further improve 4

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Input: Do people run away from their home country when a conﬂict breaks out? Does the seriousness of the conﬂict matter in this decision? In which phase of the conﬂict do they leave? When do refugees come back to their home country? In order to answer these questions, we look at the impact of conﬂict incidence on 21We will return to these issues in the policy section. 22According to the UNHCR deﬁnition, this category includes “ individuals recognized under the 1951 Convention relating to the Status of Refugees; its 1967 Protocol; the 1969 OAU Convention Governing the Speciﬁc Aspects of Refugee Problems in Africa; those recognized in accordance with the UNHCR Statute; individuals granted complementary forms of protection; or those enjoying temporary protection; and people in a refugee-like situation ”. 23The UNHCR Global Trends Report 2014 provides evidence that conﬁrms this hypothesis. About 59. 5 million people were forcibly displaced worldwide by the end of year 2014. Among them, 19. 5 million were refugees and 38. 2 million were IDPs. 28

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Input: education. In addition, information on their registration status is recorded, including refugee status, arrival and, where applicable, return date, and sub-district-level location information for last residence in Syria and current residence in the country of asylum. It also identiﬁes kinship of individuals within each “ case"(e. g., familial relationships of everyone within a case to the principal applicant, ranging from members of the nuclear family to extended family, such as in-laws and aunts). Following the initial registration, entries are updated in subsequent contacts. Up- date frequencies vary from one operation to another, with at least 5 percent of all observations being updated in a given month. 8 Therefore, although information on single-shot events like arrival and return dates is ﬁxed, other information like occupa- tion, education and marital status may change over time. In the case of education and marital status, these changes are largely driven by the aging of the refugee. However, the occupation variable is more problematic, since it could refer to current employ- ment or past employment (including in Syria) depending on when it was last updated. Therefore, while we are able to use all of the demographic and registration information of the ProGres database, we exclude the occupation variable from the main analysis. Usage context: primary mention, background mention, supporting mention.

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Input: Table 5: Coverage of Published Data on Location, Accommodation and Demographics 2015 Population end- 2015 (millions) Urban or Rural Location Accommodatio n Age Sex Refugees and people in refugee-like situations 16. 1 85 % 83 % 58 % 68 % Other people of concern to UNHCR 47. 8 (including 37. 5 IDPs) 70 % 47 % 25 % 39 % UNHCR ’ s total population of concern 63. 994 73 % 56 % 33 % 46 % IDPs monitored by IDMC but not included in UNHCR's data 3. 3 0 % 0 % 0 % 0 % Source: UNHCR Global Trends 2015 Note: Other people of concern to UNHCR include asylum-seekers, IDPs and people in IDP-like situations protected or assisted by UNHCR, stateless persons, and ‘ other ’. Overall robustness of current data The robustness of data is difficult to estimate. A review of data collection and compilation methodologies shows broad variations in terms of the accuracy and reliability of the global estimates of forced displacement that are widely used. Headline figures on forced displacement are significant in shaping public opinion and are critical for sound decision making, both to inform the allocation of resources and to design effective humanitarian and development responses. However, the available estimates are potentially misleading and should not be referred to without appropriate caveats and qualifiers. Usage context: supporting mention, background mention, primary mention.

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Input: The observations of positive events contain more information than the non-event observations We therefore sample asymmetrically: We sample all of the transition events and 1. 0 % of the non-transition events. 3. 4 Disaggregated Independent Variables Local level data on land, population, and elevation is available in the geospatial format of raster files with a resolution of 1km. Using Geographic Information systems (GIS), attributes from raster and point data are associated with the grid square in which they lie. In this way, spatial data is georeferenced to a location that is defined by the grid cell. This process results in a data structure in which each row has within it combined information on a square defined by the grid, the national level information in which is it located, and () () () ⎟ ⎠ ⎞ ⎜ ⎝ ⎛ ∑ ∑ ⎟ ⎠ ⎞ ⎜ ⎝ ⎛ ∑ = = ∉ = t X t X t d d j j p j R i d j j p j w w t β β 1 1 exp exp at out breaks war a | square a in war Pr

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Input:
Existing research shows that due to the number of factors involved, no climatic or
environmental hazards inevitably result in migrations. Many authors note that even if
disasters become more frequent in the future, political efforts and measures of
protection will be able to lessen the need to emigrate provided that the necessary
financial means are made available. Even rising sea levels could be partially
counteracted by the erection of dykes or the filling in of threatened zones. The Stern
report is clear in this respect and states that "the exact number who will actually be
displaced or forced to migrate will depend on the level of investment, planning and
resources" (112), before estimating the cost of mitigation to be several billion dollars.

The overview we have carried out also shows that the very concept of climate or
environmental refugees, because of its connotations of urgency and unavoidability, is
to be handled with care. It actually evokes fantasies of uncontrollable waves of
migration that run the risk of stoking xenophobic reactions or serving as justification
for generalized policies of restriction for people seeking asylum.

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Input: 17 Figure 10: Children aged 7-12 attending school (%) Source: Listening to Displaced People Survey, 2014 and 2015. 5. Challenges Faced by Returnees The results suggest that returnees were less affected by the crisis than IDPs and refugees. This is reflected in data on asset and livestock ownership, but also in the information pertaining to exposure to violence. Returnees reported fewer victims; fewer returnees reported to have lost income as a consequence of the crisis; more of their children were able to continue schooling; and relative to IDPs and refugees, fewer perceived being poorer in June 2014 than before the crisis. Returnees are also the group that feels most secure, that has high levels of trust in the Malian army and police and that has a positive attitude towards most government policies. 88 88 97 79 76 78 99 88 92 55 74 72 91 98 92 96 100 85 90 91 96 90 86 87 87 95 89 76 75 90 94 92 97 86 73 98 Bamako Gao Timbuktu Kidal Niger Mauritania IDPs Returnees Refugees 14-Aug 14-Oct 14-Nov 14-Dec 15-Jan 15-Feb Usage context: supporting mention, primary mention, background mention.

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Input: UNHCR (2021a) projects that the number of returnees will reach 141, 000 in 2021, up from 41, 000 in 2020. There are no datasets such as the one used in this study to explore the impact of post-2015 returnees on social cohesion and it is not possible to determine the degree to which our findings our applicable to this new context. However, it is possible to explore similarities and differences between the two contexts. Looking at a UNHCR report about the latest wave of returnees, it states that “ almost all returnee households rely on food obtained from their own gardens (93 %) and / or fields- households struggle to get food during the period they do not produce. 81 % of households declared that they are not satisfied with their level of food security because of the low dietary diversity ” (UNHCR 2021a). The report also suggests that “ 88 % of returnee heads of households are subsistence farmers, but most of them declared not having the adequate resources to produce their land. ” This high level of dependence on agriculture and prevalence of food insecurity are similar to the ones in our dataset for returnees and suggests that tensions related to access to agricultural land could also be present for post-2015 returnees. There are also signs of potential differences between current dynamics and the pre-2015 period. Usage context: primary mention, supporting mention, background mention.

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Input: Survey instruments enable detailed questions to be asked about the characteristics and situations of households, and if they identify displaced populations based on self-reported migration history (including patterns and causes) they can enable the disaggregation of detailed data by displacement status. Additionally, more innovative tools and technologies for data collection, analysis and compilation should be explored and leveraged. For example, new methodologies (such as high resolution satellite imagery and unmanned drones) may expand the coverage of data collection efforts in insecure or inaccessible areas. Additionally, new techniques could be explored to improve the collection of robust data on flows of refugees and IDPs. Organizations such as the World Bank, UNHCR, IOM and IDMC are already exploring and in some cases are beginning to use more innovative data collection tools. These techniques include: 99 Several standardized international sample surveys have been designed for special purposes including Living Standards Measurement Studies, Labor Force Surveys, Demographic and Health Surveys, and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys. The advantage of these surveys is that they cover a wide range of countries and are conducted in a regular or systematic manner

Labor Force Surveys
Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys
Demographic and Health Surveys
Living Standards Measurement Studies

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Input: List of acronyms CAR Central African Republic DHS Demographic and Health Surveys DRC Democratic Republic of Congo DTM Displacement Tracking Matrix FCS Fragile and Conflict-affected Situations GIDD Global Internal Displacement Database GIS Geographic Information Systems IASC Inter-Agency Standing Committee ICRC International Committee of the Red Cross IDMC Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre IDPs Internally Displaced Persons ILO IOM International Labour Organization International Organization for Migration IRRS International Recommendations for Refugee Statistics JIPs Joint IDP Profiling Service LSMS Living Standards Measurement Study MICS Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys NGOs Non-Governmental Organizations NRC Norwegian Refugee Council OCHA Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat OAU Organization of African Unity ODA Official Development Assistance OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development SDG Sustainable Development Goal SKOPE Somalia Knowledge for Operations and Political Economy SuTPs Syrians under Temporary Protection UAV Unmanned Aerial Vehicle UNDP United Nations Development Programme UNHCR United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees UNITAR United Nations Institute for Training and Research UNOSAT UNITAR ’ s Operational Satellite Applications Programme UNRWA United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East UNSD United Nations Statistical Commission WFP World Food Programme Usage context: supporting mention, primary mention, background mention.

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Input: Introducing the UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset. Journal of Peace Research. 1989-2019. 50 (4). Taylor, J., M. Filipski, and M. Alloush (2016). Economic impact of refugees. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113 (27), 7449 – 53. United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (2020). Global Trends: Forced Displacement in 2019. Geneva. Verme, P. and K. Schuettler (2021). The impact of forced displacement on host communities a review of the empirical literature in economics. Journal of Development Economics 102606. Verwimp, P. and J. Maystadt (2015, December). Forced Displacement and Refugees in Sub-Saharan Africa. An Economic Inquiry. World Bank Policy Research Working paper 7517. Vogt, Manuel, N.- C. B. S. R. L.- E. C. P. H. and L. Girardin (2015). Integrating Data on Ethnicity, Geography, and Conflict: The Ethnic Power Relations Data Set Family. 51 Usage context: supporting mention, primary mention, background mention.

Ethnic Power Relations Data Set Family
UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset

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Input: assignment process was conducted to assign the trainees to the first or second round of training. 9 Of those entered into the random selection, 1273 young women were assigned to the first round of training, with the remaining 808 to serve as a control group (the control group would participate in the second round of training starting in July 2011). Of the 1273 assigned to treatment, 118 women were not found or chose not to participate after they were selected. 10 In order to fill at least some of these slots, 39 young women from the control group were randomly issued as replacements, resulting in a modified control group of 769 individuals. In the end, 1191 young women entered the first round of training. 11 The assignment process and all post-randomization modifications are summarized in Figure 2. Table 1 reports the baseline and midline survey response rates leading to the sample used for the analysis in this paper. The target sample for both the baseline and midline survey consisted of the original 2106 EPAG recruits, of which 1989 were successfully interviewed during the baseline survey. 12 At midline, 1736 were interviewed, including 56 who were not interviewed at baseline. For our analysis, we drop individuals who were excluded from the randomization or who were manually re-assigned from control to treatment as replacements after the randomization. Usage context: background mention, supporting mention, primary mention.

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Input: 27 Source: Listening to Displaced People Survey, 2014. 7. Conclusion The 2012 crisis in northern Mali led to widespread displacement. The welfare of the displaced – and those who returned – is monitored by combining a baseline survey with structured monthly follow-up interviews carried out by mobile phone. This innovative approach allows tracking changes in welfare with high frequency – even for those who returned to areas that are insecure and inaccessible to enumerators. After 6 rounds of follow-up interviews attrition rates are very low (more than 99 % response rate), demonstrating that it is possible to collect robust and representative data from hard-to-reach, conflict-affected populations. The results show that those who fled were better educated, better off and less affected by violence than the average population in the North. Those who fled lost significant amounts of durable goods (20-60 %) and livestock (50-90 %); many of their children ended up being taken out of school and their welfare (measured subjectively and by the number of meals consumed) declined considerably. Over time, the impact of the crisis on welfare has lessened and by February 2015 the majority of eligible children of the displaced were going to school and levels of employment and number of meals consumed were at pre-crisis levels.

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