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b/hbi_output/1239/300_360_extreme/hbi.pkl @@ -1,3 +1,3 @@ version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1 -oid sha256:5db4f707d4cc0e668d9616628ff78583a866abe7ea505c78c99f8389fb7eeafb +oid sha256:bdda50b8427ed6da8b2e383c6a24aa9d481d7aa92038b740c2079737c9663dd4 size 169450 diff --git a/hbi_output/1242/150_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1242/150_180_equal/hbi.log index 79071cd4ef7a91956267906b857512fa8d31f3e3..e2bb88a15142dcd5735f06a2aa1f3d08b04efceb 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1242/150_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1242/150_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-26 20:54:09 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 00:56:48 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,76 +17,76 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 35.0| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 16.5| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.1| - dL: 178.15 - dm: 65.04 + model 1: 34.7| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 17.2| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.1| + dL: 158.49 + dm: 65.27 dx: 9.53 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 29.4| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 11.1| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 8.6| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 4.6| - dL: 43.73 - dm: 5.61 + model 1: 29.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 11.3| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 8.6| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 4.6| + dL: 61.15 + dm: 5.42 dx: 0.75 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.3| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 10.7| model 6: 15.4| model 7: 8.9| - dL: 52.97 - dm: 3.75 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 21.3| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 10.7| model 6: 15.4| model 7: 8.9| + dL: 53.02 + dm: 3.73 + dx: 0.40 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 16.2| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 27.7| model 5: 11.8| model 6: 17.1| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 43.77 - dm: 1.13 + dL: 43.96 + dm: 1.27 dx: 0.39 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 15.9| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.1| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 12.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 14.5| - dL: 15.61 - dm: 0.89 - dx: 0.40 + dL: 15.68 + dm: 0.87 + dx: 0.45 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 16.7| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 12.7| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 18.31 - dm: 1.11 - dx: 0.99 + dL: 18.39 + dm: 1.12 + dx: 1.38 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.1| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 12.9| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 3.05 - dm: 1.12 - dx: 4.70 + dL: 2.89 + dm: 1.09 + dx: 4.43 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.4| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 12.9| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 0.33 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 1.15 + dL: 0.30 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 1.13 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.6| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 12.9| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 0.11 + dL: 0.10 dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.85 + dx: 0.80 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.7| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.0| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 0.04 + dL: 0.03 dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.52 + dx: 0.49 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.7| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.0| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 0.02 + dL: 0.01 dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.29 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.8| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.0| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 14.7| dL: 0.01 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.15 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.8| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.0| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 14.7| @@ -96,9 +96,9 @@ Iteration 14 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.9| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.0| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 0.01 + dL: 0.00 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.03 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.9| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.0| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 14.7| diff --git a/hbi_output/1242/150_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1242/150_180_extreme/hbi.log index 46bd6cd95ef6a7df1ec4bcfbcde362009a010249..2cdae07a1fbd5f85d325abf8134aca7c3686207e 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1242/150_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1242/150_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-26 20:56:33 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 01:00:33 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.7| model 2: 17.5| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 0.8| model 7: 0.8| - dL: 244.79 - dm: 41.26 + model 1: 58.1| model 2: 17.5| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.8| + dL: 248.89 + dm: 41.89 dx: 10.17 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 7.7| model 5: 6.6| model 6: 1.5| model 7: 1.4| - dL: 23.73 - dm: 2.39 - dx: 0.56 + model 1: 59.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 7.8| model 5: 6.6| model 6: 1.4| model 7: 1.4| + dL: 14.87 + dm: 1.77 + dx: 0.59 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.7| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 6.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 1.9| model 7: 1.8| - dL: 9.02 - dm: 0.61 - dx: 0.40 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 6.8| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 1.8| model 7: 1.8| + dL: 17.52 + dm: 1.51 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 6.4| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 3.52 - dm: 0.35 + model 1: 61.2| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 7.0| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 3.40 + dm: 0.15 dx: 0.34 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.3| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 6.5| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 12.13 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 61.7| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 6.4| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.59 + dm: 0.49 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 6.6| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.58 - dm: 0.56 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 62.0| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 5.42 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.5| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 6.4| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.92 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.90 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.5| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.64 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 4.03 dm: 0.04 dx: 0.12 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -5.58 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 5.6| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 10.34 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.76 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 61.9| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 6.0| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -10.50 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 6.0| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.45 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 6.1| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.71 + dm: 0.35 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.5| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -4.51 + model 1: 62.4| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.10 dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.13 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 6.0| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 12.47 - dm: 0.52 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 3.92 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.7| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 6.1| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -9.58 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 61.9| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.81 + dm: 0.67 + dx: 0.49 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.6| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 5.9| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 5.91 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 61.6| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 5.56 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.3| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 6.0| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.74 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.9| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.22 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 6.1| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.73 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -4.42 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -2.00 - dm: 0.47 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 6.4| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 4.14 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 5.7| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.10 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 5.9| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.02 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 5.7| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.38 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.06 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 5.7| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.16 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.09 + dL: 0.02 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 5.7| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.29 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.04 + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 5.7| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.49 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 5.7| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.77 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 5.7| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.27 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 5.6| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.30 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 5.7| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.48 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 5.6| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -2.35 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 5.6| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.22 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 5.7| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 2.55 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 5.6| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -2.37 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.04 + dL: 0.25 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 5.7| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.13 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 5.6| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.04 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.05 - dm: 0.06 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 5.6| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.03 + dm: 0.02 dx: 0.04 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.16 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 5.6| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.02 dm: 0.01 dx: 0.04 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.15 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 5.6| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.10 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.07 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 5.6| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.15 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.47 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 5.6| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.18 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.42 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 5.6| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -2.51 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 5.7| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.34 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.01 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 5.7| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.09 + dm: 0.00 dx: 0.05 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.00 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.44 + dm: 0.03 dx: 0.05 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.02 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.52 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.16 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.53 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.05 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.03 - dm: 0.01 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -13.58 + dm: 0.00 dx: 0.08 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.50 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 61.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 6.0| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.90 + dm: 0.62 + dx: 0.41 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 62.3| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 6.1| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.06 + dm: 0.58 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -4.50 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 62.4| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.41 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.34 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.5| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 6.0| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.15 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.27 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.3| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 5.9| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -8.98 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.19 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.6| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 5.8| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -3.54 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.13 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.3| model 2: 17.4| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 6.0| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.23 - dm: 0.71 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.09 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 6.1| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.18 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.07 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.5| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.39 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.44 + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.16 diff --git a/hbi_output/1242/150_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1242/150_360_equal/hbi.log index d63ff900591cd63b736251b33d60b61e5c3bc47d..2a5181e879cb6ea60031006f39d68257176d444c 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1242/150_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1242/150_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-26 21:00:50 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 01:04:07 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 29.2| model 2: 15.4| model 3: 16.6| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 3.5| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 133.35 - dm: 70.75 - dx: 12.71 + model 1: 29.7| model 2: 15.4| model 3: 16.8| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 3.5| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 139.87 + dm: 70.34 + dx: 12.72 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 23.3| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 7.9| model 4: 29.8| model 5: 8.6| model 6: 9.0| model 7: 8.3| - dL: 63.04 - dm: 3.43 + model 1: 23.4| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 8.7| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 8.5| model 6: 9.0| model 7: 8.3| + dL: 75.35 + dm: 3.19 dx: 0.54 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 32.6| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 14.5| model 7: 11.9| - dL: 34.69 - dm: 2.77 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 31.1| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 14.5| model 7: 11.9| + dL: 25.80 + dm: 2.22 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.2| model 4: 33.2| model 5: 10.7| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.1| - dL: 39.94 - dm: 0.67 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 33.0| model 5: 10.7| model 6: 16.9| model 7: 13.1| + dL: 30.81 + dm: 1.82 + dx: 0.34 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.5| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 30.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 32.65 - dm: 2.32 - dx: 0.69 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 31.1| model 5: 11.1| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 19.42 + dm: 1.84 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 27.5| model 5: 11.1| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 17.05 - dm: 3.46 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 13.9| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 29.7| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 19.89 + dm: 1.44 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 12.11 - dm: 1.09 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 2.09 + dm: 2.88 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 2.13 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 27.2| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -3.86 + dm: 0.42 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 9.20 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 13.9| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 27.5| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 4.79 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 11.20 - dm: 0.51 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 14.0| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 3.67 + dm: 0.52 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -14.42 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 2.95 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -17.90 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 0.21 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.1| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 27.1| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 20.29 - dm: 1.66 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -0.63 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.0| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 27.3| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 4.70 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 9.18 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 27.1| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -7.46 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -22.04 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 9.94 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 13.9| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 27.5| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 9.24 + dm: 0.92 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 6.53 - dm: 0.68 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 13.9| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 27.6| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -3.09 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 2.99 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 13.9| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -4.68 + dm: 0.68 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -18.04 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 14.0| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 27.5| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 15.17 + dm: 0.59 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 2.44 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 14.0| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 7.43 + dm: 0.54 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -0.05 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 13.9| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 6.56 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 0.13 - dm: 0.04 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -3.22 + dm: 1.06 dx: 0.11 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -0.29 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -8.93 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -0.28 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 3.21 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 6.8| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 0.11 - dm: 0.21 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 17.32 + dm: 0.05 dx: 0.04 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 4.15 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 11.54 + dm: 0.50 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -9.26 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 0.59 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -5.73 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 0.75 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -3.99 - dm: 0.09 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 0.07 + dm: 0.15 dx: 0.04 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 6.3| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 24.40 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -7.72 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -20.74 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -8.60 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -5.27 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -4.35 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 0.50 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 20.29 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 16.93 - dm: 0.10 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 0.11 + dm: 0.08 dx: 0.14 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 5.48 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 6.8| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -1.45 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -12.25 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -5.24 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 0.12 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 6.3| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 13.05 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 0.43 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 6.50 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 1.34 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 5.45 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -1.14 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 6.8| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 6.42 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -0.00 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -4.17 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 3.68 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 13.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -0.04 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.03 + dL: -15.79 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -0.51 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -2.99 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -14.58 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -1.63 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 1.63 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 14.32 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 8.67 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -15.01 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 2.27 - dm: 0.11 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -2.79 + dm: 0.14 dx: 0.09 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 1.76 - dm: 0.04 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -2.86 + dm: 0.21 dx: 0.06 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 1.18 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 10.69 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.05 diff --git a/hbi_output/1242/150_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1242/150_360_extreme/hbi.log index f13671ee6ede264c94f79a956ac4c65d075b8cac..e7b5f9048b4d6a2fefda92263352b8c1f76ef187 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1242/150_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1242/150_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-26 21:03:51 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 01:17:20 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.8| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 3.0| model 6: 0.6| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 196.94 - dm: 39.16 - dx: 10.34 + model 1: 61.8| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 3.0| model 6: 0.6| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 220.19 + dm: 38.18 + dx: 10.35 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 16.6| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 7.9| model 5: 3.9| model 6: 1.1| model 7: 2.4| - dL: -16.57 - dm: 2.62 - dx: 0.40 + model 1: 63.8| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 6.8| model 5: 3.9| model 6: 1.1| model 7: 2.5| + dL: -21.40 + dm: 1.95 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 17.99 - dm: 1.02 + model 1: 64.1| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 7.6| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 1.2| model 7: 2.9| + dL: 27.97 + dm: 0.38 dx: 0.43 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 16.0| model 3: 0.2| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.2| - dL: 30.59 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.39 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 9.4| model 5: 4.7| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.1| + dL: 27.47 + dm: 0.91 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 4.7| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 15.60 - dm: 0.99 - dx: 0.73 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 18.96 + dm: 1.06 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 13.97 - dm: 0.45 - dx: 0.50 + model 1: 62.0| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -3.89 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.78 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.67 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -5.45 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 8.46 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.46 + model 1: 62.3| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 12.91 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 9.5| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -5.30 - dm: 0.50 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 6.51 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.72 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 62.7| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -13.00 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 4.17 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 13.98 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.1| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 9.4| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.24 - dm: 0.38 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 9.5| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -9.39 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.45 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.4| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 9.3| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -7.09 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 62.7| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 8.45 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 9.5| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 9.24 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 62.7| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -7.78 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -1.53 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.50 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -10.62 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 9.5| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 1.05 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -2.37 - dm: 0.02 + model 1: 62.4| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 7.27 + dm: 0.05 dx: 0.13 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 9.5| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 4.52 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.49 + model 1: 62.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 2.97 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 9.3| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 16.76 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 9.2| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -2.13 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.4| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.39 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 9.4| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.68 + dm: 0.41 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.4| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -10.86 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 9.4| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -1.52 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 9.24 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 9.5| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -11.08 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.55 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -1.40 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 3.24 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 9.5| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 15.99 + dm: 0.37 + dx: 0.66 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -4.18 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 62.4| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 9.2| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 1.34 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 4.37 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 62.4| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.02 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 14.21 - dm: 0.42 + model 1: 62.4| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.37 + dm: 0.04 dx: 0.08 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.7| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 8.0| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -13.25 - dm: 0.48 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 1.05 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.1| model 2: 15.9| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 7.8| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.22 - dm: 0.42 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.13 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.9| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -3.08 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.54 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -1.45 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 1.11 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 3.19 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -3.59 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.09 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -3.98 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 15.77 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 3.81 - dm: 0.40 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 61.7| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -17.81 + dm: 0.89 + dx: 0.34 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.40 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.9| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 7.9| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -1.15 + dm: 0.46 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -5.75 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 1.96 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.1| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 16.97 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.46 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.1| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -16.51 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -2.48 + dm: 0.44 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.9| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.31 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.07 + dm: 0.37 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -4.73 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -2.80 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 3.52 - dm: 0.42 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 2.93 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 3.29 - dm: 0.38 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 14.03 + dm: 0.36 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 16.26 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 61.7| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -13.57 + dm: 0.50 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.7| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -13.24 - dm: 0.84 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 62.1| model 2: 15.9| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 7.9| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -3.42 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.1| model 2: 15.9| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 2.13 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.34 + dm: 0.48 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -3.80 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 48 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -1.39 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.51 dm: 0.38 dx: 0.03 +Iteration 48 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 8.0| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -4.04 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 2.29 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.14 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -3.07 - dm: 0.40 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -3.06 + dm: 0.41 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 16.14 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 2.12 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.04 diff --git a/hbi_output/1242/300_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1242/300_180_equal/hbi.log index 259690d33394a42d12faa978f1d9dd168dde0ed2..d0056583c13046d8f4a4e95e765d66507014f155 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1242/300_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1242/300_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-26 21:15:22 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 01:23:46 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 33.6| model 2: 16.6| model 3: 17.5| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 3.1| model 7: 2.8| - dL: 254.18 - dm: 66.41 - dx: 7.52 + model 1: 33.5| model 2: 16.6| model 3: 17.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 3.1| model 7: 2.8| + dL: 283.29 + dm: 66.53 + dx: 7.53 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 29.9| model 2: 15.9| model 3: 12.2| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 4.2| model 6: 8.4| model 7: 7.0| - dL: 117.07 - dm: 3.73 + model 1: 30.1| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 12.4| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 4.2| model 6: 8.5| model 7: 7.1| + dL: 117.32 + dm: 3.36 dx: 1.87 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.1| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 13.9| model 7: 11.4| - dL: 119.57 - dm: 3.04 + model 1: 20.1| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 6.8| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 14.0| model 7: 11.4| + dL: 91.35 + dm: 3.38 dx: 1.23 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 9.6| model 6: 16.6| model 7: 13.9| - dL: 103.67 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.56 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 9.6| model 6: 16.6| model 7: 13.9| + dL: 100.18 + dm: 0.54 + dx: 0.55 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.1| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 10.7| model 6: 17.4| model 7: 14.8| - dL: 20.19 - dm: 2.06 + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 10.7| model 6: 17.4| model 7: 14.9| + dL: 34.21 + dm: 1.82 dx: 0.40 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.6| model 7: 15.0| - dL: -24.49 - dm: 1.03 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.5| model 7: 15.1| + dL: 22.81 + dm: 0.71 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.6| model 7: 15.1| - dL: -14.80 - dm: 0.84 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 14.1| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.5| model 7: 15.2| + dL: -1.15 + dm: 1.62 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.6| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 5.84 - dm: 1.18 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 14.5| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.6| model 7: 15.1| + dL: 2.22 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 24.07 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.6| model 7: 15.2| + dL: -2.13 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 5.19 - dm: 1.18 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.6| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 18.62 + dm: 0.67 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -1.54 - dm: 0.49 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 2.39 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 16.45 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -1.91 + dm: 0.49 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 10.76 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -21.63 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -1.10 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 13.07 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 1.72 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.15 + dm: 0.51 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 4.63 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.01 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 5.64 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 2.64 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -7.31 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 8.81 - dm: 0.04 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 3.40 + dm: 0.02 dx: 0.08 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -1.23 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 6.85 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -3.87 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 29.71 + dm: 0.72 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 14.53 - dm: 0.44 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -44.77 + dm: 1.44 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -5.94 - dm: 0.58 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 47.38 + dm: 1.16 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 10.31 - dm: 0.61 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 14.90 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 6.3| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -16.81 - dm: 0.45 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.2| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -36.09 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 6.3| model 4: 21.0| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 19.49 - dm: 0.09 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 5.73 + dm: 0.34 dx: 0.05 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -2.87 - dm: 0.09 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 8.64 + dm: 0.11 dx: 0.03 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -6.99 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -4.71 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -11.63 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -10.63 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -19.75 - dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 21.2| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -7.77 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 23.64 - dm: 0.76 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 2.53 + dm: 0.37 dx: 0.08 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 9.33 - dm: 1.11 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 5.67 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 6.3| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -2.33 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 5.62 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -8.42 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 2.42 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.2| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 3.99 - dm: 0.43 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -14.82 + dm: 0.45 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -10.26 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 5.45 + dm: 0.76 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 9.38 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.87 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -6.62 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 1.75 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 11.92 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -10.28 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -6.97 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 4.00 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -13.10 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -3.80 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 7.40 - dm: 0.54 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -9.74 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -6.56 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 17.99 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 3.71 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 21.0| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -4.99 + dm: 0.53 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -0.17 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -13.55 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 4.71 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 21.2| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 17.72 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.48 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -9.42 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -16.38 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 21.0| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.58 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -2.06 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -4.29 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 14.88 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 14.6| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -4.31 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -6.38 - dm: 0.22 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 4.07 + dm: 0.43 dx: 0.07 diff --git a/hbi_output/1242/300_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1242/300_180_extreme/hbi.log index 1b7c63b37df7d382fa40b240dd481ef45f1133e2..04f88bafd586486b1786a80e24ced349c8c83de4 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1242/300_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1242/300_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-26 21:20:28 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 01:42:42 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.2| model 2: 17.6| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 4.1| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.8| - dL: 419.04 - dm: 40.82 - dx: 8.84 + model 1: 59.8| model 2: 17.4| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 4.1| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.8| + dL: 411.36 + dm: 40.23 + dx: 8.85 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.4| - dL: 36.88 - dm: 3.44 - dx: 0.79 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 1.4| model 7: 1.4| + dL: 24.35 + dm: 3.22 + dx: 0.80 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 6.1| model 6: 1.6| model 7: 1.9| - dL: 18.10 - dm: 0.66 - dx: 0.55 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 6.1| model 6: 1.6| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 30.25 + dm: 0.92 + dx: 0.58 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 9.3| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 39.26 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.49 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 0.1| model 4: 9.3| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 40.10 + dm: 0.41 + dx: 0.64 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.1| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 9.3| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 9.69 - dm: 1.06 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 62.4| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 9.3| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 9.02 + dm: 1.09 + dx: 0.89 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.6| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 9.2| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 15.48 - dm: 0.53 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 62.0| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 9.4| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 18.09 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 0.49 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.6| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 9.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -7.55 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 61.6| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 9.5| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -11.00 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.5| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 9.5| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 10.66 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 61.7| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 10.82 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.5| model 2: 16.6| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.04 + model 1: 61.7| model 2: 16.6| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 3.44 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.05 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.3| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -17.93 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.17 + dL: -11.71 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 18.85 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 61.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 10.17 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -2.43 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 61.6| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 1.86 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.3| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -10.26 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 61.2| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -13.68 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 11.73 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 61.3| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 12.41 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -2.16 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -1.35 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.3| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -5.77 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 61.2| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -9.40 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 8.95 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 61.2| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 11.65 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -0.21 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -2.42 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.3| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -7.91 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 61.2| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -8.97 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 8.06 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 61.3| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 11.88 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.12 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -6.77 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.3| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -6.93 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -10.03 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 7.90 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 10.25 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.45 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -1.74 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -8.89 - dm: 0.05 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -10.44 + dm: 0.17 dx: 0.08 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 8.66 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 61.2| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 12.07 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.29 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -2.15 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.3| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -7.92 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -6.79 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 7.77 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 6.71 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.42 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 2.00 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -7.86 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -12.22 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 8.63 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 11.88 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -4.89 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -0.25 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -8.70 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -8.16 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 7.73 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 6.55 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 2.65 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 3.92 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -10.79 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -13.66 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 7.72 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 11.59 dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.63 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -1.61 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -9.01 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -7.85 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 8.27 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 7.37 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.73 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 4.23 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -8.03 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 60.7| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -13.47 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 6.79 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 11.93 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -1.11 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 60.7| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -2.23 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -7.78 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -7.66 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 12.94 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 60.7| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 7.79 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -1.81 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 3.65 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -11.30 + model 1: 60.7| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -13.78 dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.05 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 11.24 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 11.99 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.15 diff --git a/hbi_output/1242/300_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1242/300_360_equal/hbi.log index 9ecf45da754027bca69a0da7651c5f1af882a316..f9cf1fe9621d4b1ca18b278e530ff64c9f5aacc0 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1242/300_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1242/300_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-26 21:21:21 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 01:25:50 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 30.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 15.8| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 4.1| model 7: 3.2| - dL: 327.17 + model 1: 30.6| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 15.4| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 4.1| model 7: 3.2| + dL: 282.67 dm: 69.42 dx: 10.70 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.8| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 9.2| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 8.9| model 6: 11.8| model 7: 8.8| - dL: 159.46 - dm: 1.77 + model 1: 20.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 8.6| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 8.9| model 6: 11.9| model 7: 8.9| + dL: 183.22 + dm: 1.58 dx: 1.17 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.5| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 28.1| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 98.57 - dm: 2.24 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 28.4| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 74.52 + dm: 2.22 dx: 0.74 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.3| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 57.00 - dm: 1.25 - dx: 0.50 + model 1: 12.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 17.1| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 54.90 + dm: 1.75 + dx: 0.49 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.1| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.1| model 7: 14.4| - dL: -29.84 - dm: 1.28 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.1| model 7: 14.4| + dL: -29.45 + dm: 1.30 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.2| model 7: 14.5| - dL: -24.32 - dm: 0.54 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.2| model 7: 14.5| + dL: -15.15 + dm: 0.45 dx: 0.11 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 14.6| - dL: -2.84 - dm: 0.82 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 14.1| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 27.7| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.2| model 7: 14.6| + dL: 8.98 + dm: 1.93 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.0| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 27.6| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.4| model 7: 14.6| - dL: -1.05 - dm: 0.69 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 14.0| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 28.1| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.5| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -5.70 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.40 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.0| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 27.9| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.5| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 4.93 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 14.0| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 28.1| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.6| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 26.60 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.1| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 28.1| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.6| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 23.94 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 7.72 + dm: 1.45 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.6| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 35.98 - dm: 1.24 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.6| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 4.59 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.6| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 2.92 - dm: 0.61 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.6| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 17.80 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 3.66 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 10.07 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 12.14 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -3.82 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -25.05 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 6.92 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 1.16 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 18.08 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 11.08 - dm: 0.49 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 9.90 + dm: 0.60 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 7.46 - dm: 0.53 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 10.77 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -13.12 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -50.34 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 6.60 - dm: 0.63 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 27.38 + dm: 0.79 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -5.88 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 6.16 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -21.71 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -8.95 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 10.71 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 3.97 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -2.74 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -10.71 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -1.97 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -7.78 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 7.65 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -6.23 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -12.72 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 17.10 + dm: 0.48 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 27.2| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 8.72 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -13.59 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 2.72 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 9.53 + dm: 0.54 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 5.06 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -4.50 + dm: 0.61 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 3.01 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -0.86 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -3.53 - dm: 0.65 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 4.15 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 12.99 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 9.01 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 1.36 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 7.80 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -0.80 - dm: 0.60 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -8.39 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 1.15 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -6.00 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 2.81 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -6.62 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 17.42 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 3.20 + dm: 0.45 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -15.35 - dm: 0.60 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -4.33 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 0.94 - dm: 0.53 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 10.49 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -14.23 - dm: 0.56 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 4.01 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 9.42 - dm: 0.43 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -3.34 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -3.83 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -0.20 + dm: 0.57 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 20.47 - dm: 0.69 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 8.03 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 5.32 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 5.75 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -9.48 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -2.33 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 1.52 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -0.33 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 1.93 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -14.64 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 0.37 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -0.07 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -9.20 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 14.16 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.04 diff --git a/hbi_output/1242/300_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1242/300_360_extreme/hbi.log index 957b5123b278ef99db891dd9c35faa62ef0c92c9..a45fcfb435bd16a950a43d8e197c72929818b638 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1242/300_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1242/300_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-26 21:28:10 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 03:29:19 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 0.6| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 456.76 - dm: 40.41 - dx: 10.42 + model 1: 60.4| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 0.6| model 7: 0.7| + dL: 470.39 + dm: 39.64 + dx: 10.43 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.1| model 2: 15.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 1.2| model 7: 1.4| - dL: 36.87 - dm: 0.50 - dx: 0.81 + model 1: 60.1| model 2: 15.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.4| + dL: 33.26 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.79 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.5| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.6| model 7: 1.6| - dL: 23.76 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.36 + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.6| + dL: 16.15 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.34 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.0| model 2: 15.4| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 29.76 - dm: 0.55 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 59.9| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.1| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 27.03 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 18.42 - dm: 0.72 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 5.85 + dm: 0.55 + dx: 0.61 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.1| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 14.83 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 16.77 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.54 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 15.45 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 59.2| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 3.61 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 1.36 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.5| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 11.16 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 59.2| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 3.90 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.4| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -7.42 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.40 + model 1: 59.1| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 5.96 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.52 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.5| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -32.27 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.34 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.5| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 7.41 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 7.57 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.2| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -8.32 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 59.2| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -8.06 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.1| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 9.48 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 59.4| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 1.68 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -9.09 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 59.4| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -2.08 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 4.79 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 59.5| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 4.91 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.35 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 15.3| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 5.28 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.39 + model 1: 59.4| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -2.92 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.2| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 7.34 + model 1: 59.5| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 1.30 dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.26 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.2| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -6.68 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 5.39 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 9.63 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 59.4| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -1.62 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.5| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -4.23 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 59.2| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 2.40 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -4.17 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 59.4| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -14.21 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.5| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 1.88 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 59.4| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 4.56 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -0.29 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 59.5| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 1.20 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -3.56 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 6.95 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.4| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 3.91 + model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -13.64 dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.20 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.34 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 5.96 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 2.50 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 59.1| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -7.85 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.2| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 7.78 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 8.42 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.2| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -6.48 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 59.0| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.56 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.2| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.34 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 59.2| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -3.36 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -0.04 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 59.2| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 2.61 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 2.84 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 59.2| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 7.99 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -8.91 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 59.0| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -10.79 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.4| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 4.84 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 5.78 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.4| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 4.74 - dm: 0.07 + model 1: 59.0| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -6.08 + dm: 0.29 dx: 0.17 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -7.57 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 5.40 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.4| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 1.41 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 59.0| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -7.63 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.06 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 59.1| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 8.62 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.2| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -11.42 - dm: 0.15 + model 1: 59.0| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -10.34 + dm: 0.18 dx: 0.08 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.4| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.57 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 59.1| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 12.17 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.4| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 6.77 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 59.0| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -16.35 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.0| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -12.12 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 59.2| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 16.10 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.2| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 12.62 - dm: 0.19 + model 1: 58.9| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -9.26 + dm: 0.30 dx: 0.14 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -8.52 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 59.2| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 5.92 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.1| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 12.48 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 59.0| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -5.27 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.0| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -4.38 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 2.82 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.2| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 4.20 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 59.2| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -4.72 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -7.48 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 59.1| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -6.10 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 7.08 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 59.3| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 3.71 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.0| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -7.68 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 59.1| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.09 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.12 diff --git a/hbi_output/1245/150_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1245/150_180_equal/hbi.log index e68c72b5019eeb5072fe7fd2352209f734e7d907..76020f71fc45266fe118ae2f7b96be726acd86a9 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1245/150_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1245/150_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-26 23:40:28 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 08:40:02 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,278 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 31.7| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 12.8| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.5| model 7: 2.4| - dL: 145.47 - dm: 68.29 - dx: 8.19 + model 1: 31.1| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 14.6| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.4| model 7: 2.4| + dL: 155.08 + dm: 68.91 + dx: 8.18 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 27.1| model 2: 18.6| model 3: 8.3| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 9.1| model 6: 6.7| model 7: 6.5| - dL: 52.80 - dm: 4.56 + model 1: 26.5| model 2: 18.6| model 3: 10.1| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 9.1| model 6: 6.5| model 7: 6.2| + dL: 66.53 + dm: 4.62 dx: 1.95 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.3| model 2: 17.6| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 10.5| model 7: 10.1| - dL: 45.06 - dm: 1.50 + model 1: 20.2| model 2: 17.7| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 10.2| model 7: 9.8| + dL: 31.93 + dm: 1.13 dx: 0.93 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 14.3| model 6: 11.8| model 7: 11.2| - dL: 16.93 - dm: 0.21 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 14.4| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 11.1| + dL: 13.04 + dm: 0.33 dx: 0.49 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.1| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 0.1| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 15.0| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 16.06 - dm: 0.44 - dx: 1.11 + model 1: 19.0| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 15.1| model 6: 11.9| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 25.66 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.8| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 15.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 4.80 - dm: 0.57 - dx: 1.69 + model 1: 18.9| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -10.56 + dm: 0.45 + dx: 0.68 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.33 - dm: 0.59 - dx: 0.98 + model 1: 18.8| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 30.28 + dm: 0.74 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 2.25 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.63 + model 1: 18.0| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -21.24 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.66 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.56 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 5.36 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.1| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 4.09 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.42 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -3.23 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 3.26 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.88 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.55 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.4| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 2.53 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.73 + model 1: 18.7| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 2.39 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.4| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 1.98 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.61 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -1.86 + dm: 0.37 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.4| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 2.47 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.53 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -3.63 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.3| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 1.14 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 3.40 dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.43 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.3| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -0.23 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 13.34 + dm: 0.52 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.2| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.36 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 17.7| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -11.83 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.64 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.1| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 1.62 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.45 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.0| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 9.10 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 7.05 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -5.55 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.34 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 7.16 + model 1: 17.7| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -4.56 dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.04 + dx: 0.35 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -5.75 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 7.55 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 6.14 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 17.6| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 7.24 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -5.83 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 1.70 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -0.12 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.96 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -0.23 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -7.30 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 6.09 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 7.71 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -5.54 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.28 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -0.25 - dm: 0.02 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.60 + dm: 0.06 dx: 0.05 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 6.17 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -6.50 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.02 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.22 - dm: 0.02 + model 1: 17.5| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.25 + dm: 0.13 dx: 0.07 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -5.37 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 6.57 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 5.17 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -5.61 dm: 0.01 dx: 0.07 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -5.00 - dm: 0.00 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.61 + dm: 0.06 dx: 0.05 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 2.19 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 6.11 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -2.70 - dm: 0.62 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.00 + dm: 0.05 dx: 0.08 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -0.37 - dm: 0.46 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.10 + dm: 0.03 dx: 0.05 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 5.86 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -3.87 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -5.16 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 4.10 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 5.21 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -4.95 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -5.50 - dm: 0.01 + dL: -0.65 + dm: 0.03 dx: 0.08 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 5.45 - dm: 0.01 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 2.74 + dm: 0.00 dx: 0.06 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -0.04 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -2.93 + dm: 0.64 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -0.12 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.31 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -0.09 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.01 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 6.07 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -0.04 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.00 - Converged :] + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.09 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.08 +Iteration 48 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -4.25 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.05 +Iteration 49 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 4.30 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.07 +Iteration 50 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.19 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.06 +Iteration 51 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -4.52 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.02 diff --git a/hbi_output/1245/150_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1245/150_180_extreme/hbi.log index 4df2b500c157d1893d2c7701eafab1a4c316dd20..d377eb7a9c01ce3640e2940809b66b5cac793c73 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1245/150_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1245/150_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-27 00:00:31 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 08:40:53 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.9| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 1.4| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 199.94 - dm: 38.08 + model 1: 61.9| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 1.4| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 208.81 + dm: 38.11 dx: 0.88 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 3.1| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 36.34 - dm: 3.70 - dx: 2.50 + model 1: 64.6| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 4.7| model 6: 3.2| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 35.63 + dm: 2.72 + dx: 2.51 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.3| model 2: 10.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 3.9| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 32.41 - dm: 1.33 - dx: 0.44 + model 1: 63.7| model 2: 10.5| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 3.9| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 27.22 + dm: 0.86 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.3| model 2: 9.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 8.7| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 9.64 - dm: 2.00 - dx: 0.71 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 9.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 8.7| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 13.64 + dm: 1.52 + dx: 0.45 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.9| model 2: 8.5| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 9.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 6.17 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 61.9| model 2: 8.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 9.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: -5.09 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.9| model 2: 8.1| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 10.2| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -2.98 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 62.0| model 2: 8.1| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 10.2| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 9.38 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.0| model 2: 7.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 9.77 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 62.0| model 2: 7.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 15.82 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.62 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 8.5| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 10.7| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 5.28 - dm: 0.53 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 61.3| model 2: 8.4| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 10.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 2.46 + dm: 0.66 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 8.7| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 10.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -3.49 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 61.3| model 2: 8.6| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 10.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: -7.31 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.55 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 8.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 10.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 4.72 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 8.7| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 10.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 0.79 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 8.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -0.29 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 8.8| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 2.47 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.44 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 8.9| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 1.64 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.10 + dL: 1.56 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 8.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -0.06 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 8.9| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: -1.18 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 8.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 0.15 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 8.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 9.38 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 0.12 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: -9.66 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 0.27 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 61.5| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 1.12 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -0.15 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 0.24 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 0.14 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 0.31 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 0.09 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.07 + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 0.12 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 0.09 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.09 + dL: 0.22 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -0.16 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: -0.02 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.12 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 1.15 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.12 + dL: -0.06 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -0.12 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 1.01 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 0.30 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: -0.96 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -0.29 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 0.92 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -0.02 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 0.07 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 0.26 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: -0.15 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 30 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -1.37 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.21 -Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 1.62 + dL: 0.25 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.23 + dx: 0.08 +Iteration 31 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: -0.26 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -1.57 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 0.54 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.22 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 1.53 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 61.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: -0.65 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -0.43 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 0.19 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 0.58 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.12 + dL: 0.36 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -0.78 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: -0.43 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 0.29 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.17 + dL: 0.76 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 0.48 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 61.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: -0.80 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -0.57 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 0.20 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -0.92 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 0.56 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 1.29 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: -0.73 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 0.79 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.2| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -2.85 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 61.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.2| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: -0.02 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.1| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 2.64 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.34 + dL: 0.25 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.2| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -1.02 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 0.55 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.1| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 0.19 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: -0.64 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 0.47 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 0.95 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -0.75 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 61.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.2| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: -1.29 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 1.11 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 0.38 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.2| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -1.13 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: 0.53 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 9.1| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 0.37 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 61.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 0.0| + dL: -1.98 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.24 diff --git a/hbi_output/1245/150_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1245/150_360_equal/hbi.log index 27267dbf744cf65e7a89ad2bfa57c5c616cc5a9d..8c68a1ad12738843073d254e48218d980392b5a9 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1245/150_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1245/150_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-27 02:05:36 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 08:54:26 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,188 +17,230 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 33.8| model 2: 19.6| model 3: 10.1| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 8.9| model 6: 2.9| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 199.16 - dm: 66.15 + model 1: 33.9| model 2: 19.6| model 3: 10.3| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 9.0| model 6: 2.9| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 182.10 + dm: 66.11 dx: 2.88 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 28.8| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 8.2| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 14.4| model 6: 7.2| model 7: 1.8| - dL: 37.56 - dm: 5.07 + model 1: 28.9| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 8.1| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 14.4| model 6: 7.2| model 7: 1.8| + dL: 54.44 + dm: 4.97 dx: 0.63 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.2| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 9.3| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 16.5| model 6: 9.1| model 7: 1.1| - dL: 38.29 - dm: 4.55 + model 1: 24.2| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 9.5| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 16.5| model 6: 9.1| model 7: 1.2| + dL: 58.66 + dm: 4.67 dx: 14.13 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.5| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 10.0| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 1.9| - dL: 28.97 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.56 + model 1: 22.4| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 10.8| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 2.4| + dL: 12.76 + dm: 1.13 + dx: 0.44 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 23.3| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 10.1| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 17.7| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 2.6| - dL: 5.24 - dm: 0.72 - dx: 0.44 + model 1: 23.3| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 8.4| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 17.7| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 4.3| + dL: -9.45 + dm: 0.87 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 23.8| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 8.9| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 17.9| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 3.8| - dL: -0.26 - dm: 0.57 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 23.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 17.9| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 6.3| + dL: 4.58 + dm: 0.63 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.1| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 17.9| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 5.7| - dL: -6.76 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 24.2| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 17.9| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 8.3| + dL: 3.96 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.3| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 17.9| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 7.8| - dL: 4.32 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 24.3| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 17.9| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 9.9| + dL: 3.83 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.4| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 17.9| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 9.6| - dL: 3.90 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 24.4| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 17.9| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 10.9| + dL: 2.60 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.4| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 10.8| - dL: 2.97 + model 1: 24.4| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 1.29 dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.10 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.2| - dL: 1.50 + model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.93 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.16 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.97 + dL: 0.85 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.22 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.87 + dL: 0.80 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.30 + dx: 0.44 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.81 + dL: 0.74 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.41 + dx: 0.58 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.75 + dL: 0.63 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.55 + dx: 0.74 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.65 + dL: 0.50 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.70 + dx: 0.86 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| dL: 0.52 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.84 + dx: 0.90 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.39 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.90 + model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.25 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 1.13 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.28 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.87 + model 1: 24.4| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.14 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.73 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.34 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.82 + model 1: 24.4| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.13 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.65 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.12 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 1.06 + model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.28 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 1.02 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -0.16 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.64 + dL: -0.13 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.96 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.09 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.97 + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.86 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.49 + dL: 0.03 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.35 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.01 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.34 + dL: 0.12 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.37 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.44 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.19 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.07 + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.79 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 + dL: 0.13 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.71 +Iteration 32 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.19 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.06 +Iteration 33 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.18 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.79 +Iteration 34 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.73 +Iteration 35 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.19 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.06 +Iteration 36 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.79 +Iteration 37 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 +Iteration 38 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 24.6| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.02 -Iteration 32 +Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -0.00 + model 1: 24.6| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.01 Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1245/150_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1245/150_360_extreme/hbi.log index e4923d91a86341f2c3346761af15a7c0f9eb99fd..8b22ec60fc991c4e8cdc0f546ff600dd9891dc8c 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1245/150_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1245/150_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-27 02:23:22 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 08:55:21 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.2| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 1.1| model 7: 1.1| - dL: 255.55 - dm: 37.77 + model 1: 61.2| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 1.1| model 7: 1.1| + dL: 234.91 + dm: 38.81 dx: 15.92 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.8| - dL: 34.61 - dm: 0.87 - dx: 0.66 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.2| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 10.75 + dm: 1.82 + dx: 0.65 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 2.6| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 21.22 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 2.6| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 35.18 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.34 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 21.98 - dm: 0.65 - dx: 0.36 + model 1: 64.3| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -12.05 + dm: 0.86 + dx: 1.10 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.8| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 7.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.95 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 7.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 20.07 + dm: 0.50 + dx: 0.59 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.9| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -23.21 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 65.1| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.58 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.64 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.7| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -8.62 - dm: 0.82 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -17.71 + dm: 0.42 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -3.35 - dm: 0.70 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 65.2| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.65 + dm: 0.45 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.5| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.74 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 65.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.32 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.5| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 2.40 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 1.07 + model 1: 65.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 10.82 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.74 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -4.04 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.45 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -17.11 + dm: 0.70 + dx: 0.87 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.3| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 3.18 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 1.72 + model 1: 65.3| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.35 + dm: 0.61 + dx: 0.48 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -6.47 - dm: 1.16 - dx: 1.36 + model 1: 65.3| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 9.19 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.68 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.1| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 10.90 - dm: 1.04 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 64.6| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -8.47 + dm: 0.69 + dx: 0.38 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.7| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.72 - dm: 0.45 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 65.3| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.60 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.1| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -5.50 - dm: 0.45 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 65.3| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 24.31 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.51 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.2| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 14.71 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.77 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -16.89 + dm: 1.35 + dx: 0.49 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -9.38 - dm: 0.64 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -8.34 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.7| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -7.14 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 65.1| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.06 + dm: 1.16 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.1| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 13.24 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 65.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 10.20 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 3.93 - dm: 0.72 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 5.38 + dm: 0.71 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.7| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -11.01 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 64.6| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 6.91 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.49 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -4.56 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 64.1| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -10.78 + dm: 0.44 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -2.86 - dm: 0.58 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 64.2| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -7.26 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 15.25 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 65.2| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.55 + dm: 1.06 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.7| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.77 - dm: 0.69 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 65.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 10.40 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.52 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 2.73 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 64.8| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -10.74 + dm: 0.63 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.46 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 65.1| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.23 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.3| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 2.10 + model 1: 65.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 10.55 dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.34 + dx: 0.42 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.02 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 64.8| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -8.32 + dm: 0.62 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -5.53 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 65.1| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 11.11 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.65 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -11.70 + dm: 0.37 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -7.22 - dm: 0.59 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 64.9| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.07 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 7.17 - dm: 0.53 - dx: 0.48 + model 1: 65.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.51 + dm: 0.48 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.06 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 65.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -3.12 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -6.99 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 65.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -2.20 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 5.45 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 65.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 22.70 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.44 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -5.55 + dm: 1.42 + dx: 0.64 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 3.24 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -9.99 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.77 - dm: 0.25 + model 1: 64.1| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 9.25 + dm: 0.13 dx: 0.16 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.9| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.13 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -1.87 + dm: 0.56 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.0| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -5.32 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 64.2| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -7.25 + dm: 0.51 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.0| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -10.34 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -3.81 + dm: 0.56 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -5.14 - dm: 0.61 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 65.2| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.17 + dm: 0.44 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 10.74 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.40 + model 1: 65.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -3.00 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.59 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 65.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -1.70 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.7| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -8.26 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.47 + model 1: 65.4| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 13.69 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.37 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -7.54 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -16.25 + dm: 0.74 + dx: 1.07 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.0| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -3.10 - dm: 0.56 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 65.3| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 2.15 + dm: 0.60 + dx: 0.48 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.3| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 10.16 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 65.3| model 2: 9.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.96 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.28 diff --git a/hbi_output/1245/300_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1245/300_180_extreme/hbi.log index 143b194f103c39b2029a7fab0f9a4f8dfacb557c..8b867bf4f671a67ad1d8ad68eb1f7bd35f0b9ce9 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1245/300_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1245/300_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-27 03:16:18 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 09:01:02 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,86 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 4.2| model 6: 0.9| model 7: 0.5| - dL: 429.08 - dm: 35.61 + model 1: 64.5| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 4.2| model 6: 0.9| model 7: 0.5| + dL: 436.66 + dm: 35.48 dx: 6.79 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 67.5| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 0.8| - dL: 44.21 - dm: 3.14 + model 1: 67.4| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 0.8| + dL: 39.31 + dm: 2.91 dx: 0.58 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 67.1| model 2: 9.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 2.4| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 26.76 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 67.3| model 2: 9.6| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 2.4| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 27.90 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.38 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.6| model 2: 9.3| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.8| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 23.50 - dm: 0.53 - dx: 0.39 + model 1: 66.9| model 2: 9.3| model 3: 0.2| model 4: 12.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 2.8| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 24.54 + dm: 0.42 + dx: 0.44 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 9.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 12.0| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 23.06 - dm: 0.56 - dx: 0.40 + model 1: 66.3| model 2: 9.1| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 10.85 + dm: 0.61 + dx: 0.61 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 9.1| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 11.2| model 5: 8.1| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 18.28 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 66.2| model 2: 9.1| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 8.0| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 3.44 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 2.52 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.6| model 2: 9.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 8.1| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 10.60 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 66.2| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 8.1| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 0.68 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 4.28 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -8.58 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 66.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 8.1| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 0.24 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 1.64 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -5.30 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 11 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.1| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -2.48 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.08 -Iteration 12 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.2| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 19.80 + model 1: 66.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 0.13 dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.15 -Iteration 13 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.1| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -13.61 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.10 -Iteration 14 + dx: 0.27 +Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.2| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -18.99 + model 1: 66.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 0.34 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 15 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.1| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 13.48 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 16 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.2| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -2.29 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 17 + dx: 0.27 +Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.2| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 6.54 + model 1: 66.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 0.1| model 4: 12.3| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -0.41 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.12 -Iteration 18 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.1| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -0.66 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 19 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.2| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -4.48 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 20 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.2| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -0.50 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 21 + dx: 0.23 +Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.2| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 2.14 + model 1: 66.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 0.20 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.08 -Iteration 22 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.2| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 3.32 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 23 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.2| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -5.40 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 24 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.2| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 5.50 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 25 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.1| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -2.72 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 26 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.1| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -2.25 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 27 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -1.51 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.13 -Iteration 28 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.2| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 0.77 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.18 -Iteration 29 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -0.50 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.08 -Iteration 30 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -2.83 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 31 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 2.18 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.11 -Iteration 32 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -1.49 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 33 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -0.63 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 34 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -0.23 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 35 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 2.46 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 36 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.1| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 0.76 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.24 -Iteration 37 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -0.50 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.13 -Iteration 38 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -0.44 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.11 -Iteration 39 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 0.04 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 40 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 0.25 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 41 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 0.12 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 42 + dx: 0.75 +Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 0.47 + model 1: 66.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 0.01 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 43 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -3.82 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 44 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 0.08 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.13 -Iteration 45 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -0.86 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.13 -Iteration 46 + dx: 0.64 +Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 2.57 + model 1: 66.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 0.01 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 47 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.1| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.14 -Iteration 48 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -0.12 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 49 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -0.09 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 50 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -0.05 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 51 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -0.02 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 + dx: 0.01 + Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1245/300_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1245/300_360_extreme/hbi.log index 9b71996839df6a4f372c6d756c0f79d67f0a8910..77d0077c8f03924334ef05e97f5844b25d26d64e 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1245/300_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1245/300_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-27 04:55:02 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 09:51:43 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -18,300 +18,300 @@ Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 3.8| model 6: 0.6| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 400.73 - dm: 36.47 + dL: 421.80 + dm: 36.49 dx: 15.95 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.3| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.2| - dL: 28.29 - dm: 0.76 - dx: 0.71 + model 1: 64.9| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.1| + dL: 33.52 + dm: 1.35 + dx: 0.70 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.0| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 44.07 - dm: 0.76 - dx: 0.57 + model 1: 65.1| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 36.38 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.42 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 58.95 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.43 + model 1: 64.6| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 47.80 + dm: 0.51 + dx: 0.54 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.7| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 22.48 - dm: 1.07 - dx: 1.84 + model 1: 63.7| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 21.92 + dm: 0.84 + dx: 0.56 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 6.72 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.44 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 8.18 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.52 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 1.12 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 3.87 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -2.29 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.47 + dL: -3.29 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.38 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.39 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.51 + dL: 4.67 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.38 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -3.53 + dL: 0.70 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.35 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 5.94 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.42 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.13 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.45 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.15 + dL: 0.03 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.44 + dx: 0.48 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.19 + dL: 0.15 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.56 + dx: 0.38 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.57 + dL: 0.10 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.53 + dx: 0.40 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.95 + dL: 0.11 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.37 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.14 + dL: 0.01 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.38 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.11 + dL: 0.02 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.35 + dx: 0.46 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.00 + dL: 0.03 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.39 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.01 + dL: 0.03 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.34 + dx: 0.40 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 1.59 + dL: 0.03 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.27 + dx: 0.38 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.82 + dL: 2.57 dm: 0.00 - dx: 1.27 + dx: 0.35 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 1.87 + dL: -1.39 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.19 + dx: 0.89 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 1.14 + dL: 2.46 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.99 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 4.15 + dL: -1.77 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.79 + dx: 0.71 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -2.60 + dL: -0.43 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.58 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.32 + dL: 3.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.37 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.16 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 2.50 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.23 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -1.47 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -2.16 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.14 + dx: 0.69 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 1.50 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.64 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.12 + dx: 0.48 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.09 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -1.99 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.06 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -0.69 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.06 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.85 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 5.90 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.54 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -2.94 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.17 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 1.35 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.18 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.11 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.08 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -1.51 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.02 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.05 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 1.54 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.44 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.10 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.46 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.06 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.19 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.36 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.05 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 3.62 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.04 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.21 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -3.44 + dL: 0.04 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.07 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.26 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -9.66 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.19 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.16 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.12 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.69 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 9.64 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.15 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.17 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.10 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.09 + dL: -0.23 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.12 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.53 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.19 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.18 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 3.64 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.10 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -3.03 - dm: 0.02 + dL: -0.43 + dm: 0.00 dx: 0.16 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.17 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| + 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--- a/parameter_estimates/hbi/1239/150_180_extreme_params_3.csv +++ b/parameter_estimates/hbi/1239/150_180_extreme_params_3.csv @@ -1,151 +1,151 @@ 0,1,2,3 --0.7396463765860476,2.364176252140438,3.0000101349828863,0.8500000532553883 --0.05981158463911996,2.4880525220066114,2.9156095241625724,0.8500000424607164 --0.05751113798399921,2.997041270460572,3.0000101367548937,0.8500000554511228 --0.08564328559918738,3.0264708448436863,3.0000101367548937,0.8500000554511228 -0.08165931837898328,2.8886851196213668,2.6435692917358304,0.8500000558507118 -0.13287162974963707,2.7959476369448404,2.3954886022098516,0.8500001126080777 -0.05576305566975373,2.9644106323035677,3.000010104632158,0.8500000540580075 --0.008743623151010226,2.7211792691936996,2.9891416272932285,0.8500000423345903 --0.13722968818254985,2.9038097881246157,2.3431204565389003,0.8500000903526852 --0.03561643057510782,2.1934512385172433,3.00001012819526,0.85000002484561 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a/parameter_estimates/hbi/1239/300_180_equal_params_4.csv b/parameter_estimates/hbi/1239/300_180_equal_params_4.csv index 8f1a918c9f662e5a916109e1679fbfd5ff06a817..f7f918ba8c4626d25d1a6c09a31402d3d9ad77b3 100644 --- a/parameter_estimates/hbi/1239/300_180_equal_params_4.csv +++ b/parameter_estimates/hbi/1239/300_180_equal_params_4.csv @@ -1,301 +1,301 @@ 0,1,2 --0.4163459042983796,2.5028728228659927,1.797251594098761 --0.0019903723717983827,1.9661208908607661,1.797251594098761 --0.0019903723717983827,1.9661208908607661,1.797251594098761 --0.00037145210865601076,0.2501500821058116,1.7972515494020886 --0.024523354890360276,2.315909029166786,1.702416427569756 --0.0862124990568215,0.1294908234607044,1.458661250263438 -0.09083293284893897,0.1805587690727843,1.797251594098761 --0.0019903723717983827,1.9661208908607661,1.797251594098761 --0.2642157751682454,1.7098410308844338,1.8120625383161633 --0.07769238884674828,3.424580976859792,1.7972516398640306 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