diff --git a/hbi_output/1243/150_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1243/150_180_equal/hbi.log index 33438aafb716271ecc0ca9f0f5b6de0eddfd3281..0c2200abc2409edc40b436809e8300fc12888248 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1243/150_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1243/150_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 03:11:05 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 02:07:17 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,266 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 33.4| model 2: 20.4| model 3: 14.3| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.8| - dL: 169.95 - dm: 66.56 - dx: 9.21 + model 1: 19.4| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.4| model 6: 8.7| model 7: 15.4| + dL: 114.16 + dm: 77.28 + dx: 6.07 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 28.2| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 10.8| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 8.7| model 6: 4.7| model 7: 7.3| - dL: 50.68 - dm: 5.22 - dx: 1.03 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.2| + dL: 19.33 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 1.17 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.0| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 7.7| model 7: 13.2| - dL: 60.65 - dm: 2.68 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 18.7| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -3.41 + dm: 0.54 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 17.4| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 9.1| model 7: 16.4| - dL: 24.08 - dm: 0.52 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 12.12 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.2| - dL: 8.41 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -5.30 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.3| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: -1.56 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -2.51 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.4| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 5.06 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 1.51 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.3| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 4.75 - dm: 0.69 - dx: 0.42 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -0.99 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 0.71 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 18.9| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 9.40 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.1| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 4.82 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -9.26 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: -5.77 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.54 + model 1: 18.7| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 10.65 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.9| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 0.30 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 2.80 + dm: 0.35 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.0| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 0.56 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 0.32 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.0| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 0.55 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 1.49 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.0| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: -0.71 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -9.00 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.8| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: -1.00 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 18.0| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 7.37 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.0| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 9.00 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 1.09 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 3.43 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.44 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 2.98 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 1.79 - dm: 0.50 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 17.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -0.16 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.3| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 0.63 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -0.95 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.1| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: -1.79 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 17.5| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -0.95 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.0| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 2.31 - dm: 0.53 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 17.5| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 2.16 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.8| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: -1.95 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -1.77 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.9| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 1.77 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -5.50 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.9| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 2.56 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 17.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -3.10 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 0.13 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 17.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 8.20 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 0.94 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -1.15 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: -1.59 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -0.77 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: -0.23 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 1.21 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 0.77 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 17.8| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 1.95 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: -5.78 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 17.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -3.05 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 0.58 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 17.8| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 1.98 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.1| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 0.41 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 17.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -1.53 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 4.21 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 2.99 + dm: 0.52 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.9| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: -2.82 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 1.26 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.2| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 2.53 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -2.20 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.8| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 0.10 - dm: 0.17 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 0.16 + dm: 0.06 dx: 0.06 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: -4.97 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 0.36 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 6.10 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -0.39 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: -0.18 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 0.49 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: -1.49 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 0.83 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: -4.70 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 17.1| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -0.77 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 4.43 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: -0.03 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 1.24 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.11 -Iteration 46 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 0.39 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 47 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 0.60 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 48 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: -0.04 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| + dL: 0.75 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 49 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: -2.91 - dm: 0.01 dx: 0.01 -Iteration 50 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 2.06 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.08 -Iteration 51 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 9.3| model 7: 17.3| - dL: 0.75 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.02 + Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1243/150_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1243/150_180_extreme/hbi.log index 6d21ed549baa0f11f744a860d40b6f3f535c275d..c86c92d692ae5e8f6175abdbb885883ed4b2aa39 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1243/150_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1243/150_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 03:45:16 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 02:16:15 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,110 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 9.5| model 3: 8.0| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.2| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 211.65 - dm: 38.90 - dx: 9.64 + model 1: 52.6| model 2: 8.1| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 154.84 + dm: 47.41 + dx: 7.18 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 8.7| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 1.0| model 7: 1.9| - dL: 6.67 - dm: 1.53 - dx: 0.81 + model 1: 59.1| model 2: 8.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 12.70 + dm: 6.53 + dx: 0.58 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 8.4| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 16.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 1.2| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 14.58 - dm: 0.58 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 8.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 16.9| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 11.89 + dm: 1.66 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 16.8| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 15.06 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.53 + model 1: 60.7| model 2: 8.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 16.4| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 7.95 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.9| model 2: 8.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 13.15 - dm: 0.94 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 60.6| model 2: 8.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 16.2| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.45 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.7| model 2: 8.2| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 15.3| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 18.72 - dm: 1.24 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 60.5| model 2: 8.1| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 16.2| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.33 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 8.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -7.83 - dm: 0.48 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 60.3| model 2: 8.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.14 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.7| model 2: 8.0| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -7.26 - dm: 0.51 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 59.6| model 2: 7.9| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 16.2| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 4.49 + dm: 0.72 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.9| model 2: 7.9| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 3.45 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 59.1| model 2: 7.8| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 1.97 + dm: 0.56 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 7.9| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 8.07 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 59.0| model 2: 7.8| model 3: 6.3| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.46 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.9| model 2: 7.8| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.06 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 58.7| model 2: 7.7| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.95 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.6| model 2: 7.8| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 15.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -6.90 - dm: 0.31 + model 1: 58.8| model 2: 7.7| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.23 + dm: 0.06 dx: 0.04 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.9| model 2: 7.8| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 11.79 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 58.8| model 2: 7.7| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.27 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.0| model 2: 7.7| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 2.62 + model 1: 58.8| model 2: 7.7| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.71 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.05 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.5| model 2: 7.7| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 10.74 - dm: 0.49 + model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.6| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -1.50 + dm: 0.09 dx: 0.03 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.0| model 2: 7.7| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 15.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.80 - dm: 0.47 - dx: 0.10 -Iteration 18 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.1| model 2: 7.7| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 2.78 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 19 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.0| model 2: 7.6| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 10.17 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 20 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.6| model 3: 6.8| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -7.80 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 21 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.0| model 2: 7.6| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 4.75 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 22 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.0| model 2: 7.6| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 15.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.91 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 23 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.0| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 6.8| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.35 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 24 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.8| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -3.26 - dm: 0.25 + model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.6| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.30 + dm: 0.03 dx: 0.02 -Iteration 25 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.6| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.17 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 26 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.5| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -8.86 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 27 +Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.6| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.59 + model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.6| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.07 dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.11 -Iteration 28 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.8| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.51 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 29 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.4| model 3: 6.3| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -1.25 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 30 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.4| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 16.2| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.60 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 31 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.4| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.21 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 32 + dx: 0.01 +Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.4| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 6.68 + model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.6| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 1.51 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 33 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.1| model 2: 7.4| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.99 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 34 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.1| model 2: 7.4| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -5.41 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 35 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.1| model 2: 7.4| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -3.22 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 36 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.1| model 2: 7.4| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 16.3| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 4.12 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 37 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.7| model 2: 7.3| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 3.61 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.13 -Iteration 38 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.7| model 2: 7.4| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.33 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 39 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.7| model 2: 7.4| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.95 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 40 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.8| model 2: 7.4| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -3.29 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 41 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -1.46 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 42 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.39 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 43 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 4.21 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 44 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -6.08 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 45 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.24 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 46 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.14 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 47 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.12 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 48 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.83 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 49 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.8| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.22 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 50 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.8| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 4.97 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 51 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -3.40 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.04 + dx: 0.01 + Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1243/150_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1243/150_360_equal/hbi.log index 122030c73043962a800ee15847e2e1f98fd4a0ef..59748df88934c1c0e60be8d89ffcbb3e9ceb8719 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1243/150_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1243/150_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 06:29:59 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 02:21:44 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 32.1| model 2: 21.0| model 3: 11.3| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 4.1| model 6: 3.4| model 7: 4.3| - dL: 174.30 - dm: 67.91 - dx: 12.09 + model 1: 20.1| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 10.8| model 7: 14.1| + dL: 123.63 + dm: 75.27 + dx: 9.26 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.2| model 2: 19.6| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 8.6| model 7: 11.4| - dL: 69.32 - dm: 7.93 - dx: 0.69 + model 1: 19.9| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 11.1| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 24.98 + dm: 0.84 + dx: 1.09 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.0| model 2: 18.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 24.9| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 14.9| - dL: 47.98 - dm: 0.73 - dx: 0.59 + model 1: 20.3| model 2: 16.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 5.43 + dm: 0.51 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.9| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 9.70 - dm: 0.83 - dx: 0.46 + model 1: 20.0| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 4.69 + dm: 0.37 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.8| model 2: 17.5| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 6.36 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 19.9| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.75 + dm: 0.66 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.1| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -1.02 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 19.7| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -1.59 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 10.7| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 6.56 - dm: 1.12 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 3.82 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.7| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 10.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -0.25 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.55 + model 1: 19.2| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 1.34 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.4| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -0.27 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.43 + model 1: 19.0| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.83 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.1| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -2.00 - dm: 0.52 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 18.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.55 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.4| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 24.9| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 5.10 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 18.8| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 2.79 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.4| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 24.9| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 6.98 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.80 + dm: 0.51 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 1.87 - dm: 0.66 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 18.8| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -1.12 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.0| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.69 + model 1: 19.0| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 5.89 dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.11 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.36 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 18.8| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -8.40 + dm: 0.48 + dx: 0.49 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.8| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.55 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 19.0| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -2.25 + dm: 0.41 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.66 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 6.77 + dm: 0.44 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.4| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -2.12 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 19.4| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -6.60 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.42 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -3.36 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.37 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.4| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 2.82 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 6.15 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.08 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -6.45 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 5.27 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.34 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 2.23 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.60 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 6.12 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 19.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -7.74 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.18 + dL: -6.45 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 7.35 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.34 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -7.32 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 6.11 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.37 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -6.45 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 6.25 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.34 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -9.99 - dm: 0.40 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 7.97 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 3.73 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -8.79 + dm: 0.97 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 6.52 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.68 + dm: 0.64 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -6.82 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 6.21 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.35 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -6.44 + dm: 0.35 + dx: 0.41 Iteration 35 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.35 + dm: 0.35 + dx: 0.23 +Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 6.16 + dL: 6.12 dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.17 -Iteration 36 + dx: 0.16 +Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 19.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -6.50 - dm: 0.41 + dL: -6.45 + dm: 0.40 dx: 0.39 -Iteration 37 +Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -1.84 + dL: 0.34 dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.24 -Iteration 38 + dx: 0.23 +Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 8.23 + dL: 6.12 dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.43 -Iteration 39 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 1.45 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.60 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 19.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -7.84 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.16 + dL: -6.45 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.29 - dm: 0.30 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.64 + dm: 0.33 dx: 0.23 Iteration 42 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.08 +Iteration 43 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 19.4| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -0.38 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.08 +Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 6.35 - dm: 0.15 + dL: 6.31 + dm: 0.12 dx: 0.19 -Iteration 43 +Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 19.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -6.64 - dm: 0.39 + dL: -6.62 + dm: 0.40 dx: 0.36 -Iteration 44 +Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.35 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.34 dm: 0.33 dx: 0.24 -Iteration 45 +Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| dL: 6.14 - dm: 0.08 + dm: 0.07 dx: 0.17 -Iteration 46 +Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 19.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -6.48 + dL: -6.47 dm: 0.40 dx: 0.39 -Iteration 47 +Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| dL: 0.34 dm: 0.33 dx: 0.23 -Iteration 48 +Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 6.12 + dL: 6.11 dm: 0.07 dx: 0.16 -Iteration 49 +Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 19.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| dL: -6.46 dm: 0.40 dx: 0.39 -Iteration 50 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.34 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.23 -Iteration 51 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 7.97 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.16 diff --git a/hbi_output/1243/150_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1243/150_360_extreme/hbi.log index 9e39f95fbf75ac5e9e984fe728f7dc4af42582d3..7680102ce8dc9b3fb845044256caf8618be9cdad 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1243/150_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1243/150_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 06:47:16 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 02:32:55 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,131 +17,113 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 0.6| model 7: 0.8| - dL: 238.24 - dm: 36.95 - dx: 11.94 + model 1: 53.2| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 161.55 + dm: 46.79 + dx: 9.12 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.2| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 20.42 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.70 + model 1: 59.0| model 2: 13.0| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 17.3| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 19.41 + dm: 5.82 + dx: 0.46 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 31.68 - dm: 0.58 - dx: 0.43 + model 1: 61.2| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 3.17 + dm: 2.20 + dx: 0.57 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 13.32 - dm: 0.72 - dx: 0.44 + model 1: 62.0| model 2: 13.0| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 4.12 + dm: 0.76 + dx: 0.76 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 13.0| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| dL: 1.06 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.40 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.94 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 13.0| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 3.51 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.49 -Iteration 08 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 13.0| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 1.17 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.65 -Iteration 09 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.91 + model 1: 62.3| model 2: 13.0| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.66 dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.84 -Iteration 10 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.76 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 1.03 -Iteration 11 + dx: 1.07 +Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -1.24 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 1.45 -Iteration 12 + dL: -1.38 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 1.39 +Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 1.92 + dL: 1.89 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.98 -Iteration 13 + dx: 0.67 +Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.05 + dL: 0.07 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.65 -Iteration 14 + dx: 0.86 +Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.04 + dL: 0.01 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.80 -Iteration 15 + dx: 0.30 +Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.29 -Iteration 16 + dx: 0.15 +Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.00 + dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.14 -Iteration 17 + dx: 0.10 +Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.00 + dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 18 + dx: 0.06 +Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 19 + dx: 0.04 +Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 20 + dx: 0.03 +Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.00 + dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.02 -Iteration 21 +Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.00 + dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.02 -Iteration 22 +Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.01 -Iteration 23 +Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.3| dL: -0.00 diff --git a/hbi_output/1243/300_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1243/300_180_equal/hbi.log index a8219759680494fb291b106b9dc1359bb10201eb..7a4091ab86c28f12d37b384064cb7a21a935eb6e 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1243/300_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1243/300_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 07:13:40 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 02:40:45 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,164 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 33.6| model 2: 19.8| model 3: 13.4| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 5.2| model 6: 1.9| model 7: 3.4| - dL: 243.20 - dm: 66.44 - dx: 8.09 + model 1: 19.1| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 12.4| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 14.9| + dL: 174.24 + dm: 76.35 + dx: 5.43 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 29.2| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 8.4| model 6: 4.6| model 7: 9.1| - dL: 133.05 - dm: 4.31 - dx: 1.14 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 12.5| model 6: 10.8| model 7: 16.6| + dL: 49.69 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 1.41 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.1| model 2: 15.5| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 10.1| model 6: 8.2| model 7: 14.1| - dL: 100.83 - dm: 0.92 - dx: 0.71 + model 1: 17.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 12.9| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 16.9| + dL: 16.32 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 9.9| model 7: 16.1| - dL: 53.79 - dm: 0.86 - dx: 0.49 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.2| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: 16.43 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.6| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 12.5| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 16.7| - dL: 37.07 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 17.1| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.3| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: -2.56 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 13.0| model 6: 10.9| model 7: 16.9| - dL: 12.56 - dm: 1.06 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 17.1| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: 1.01 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 13.3| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 16.9| - dL: -1.30 - dm: 0.77 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: 8.86 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 3.72 + model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: -7.02 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.23 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.3| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 7.04 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 16.9| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: 7.56 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: -16.17 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: 4.67 + dm: 0.44 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 12.37 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: -0.04 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: -6.52 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: 3.04 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 9.41 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: 0.62 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 14.59 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: -6.03 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: -11.94 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: -0.56 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 5.16 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 0.15 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: 0.34 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 1.36 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: -0.58 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: -10.69 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: -0.21 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 15.45 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: -0.10 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: -13.87 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: -0.06 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: -2.32 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: -0.62 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: -5.15 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: 7.76 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 3.14 - dm: 0.02 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: -5.87 + dm: 0.01 dx: 0.04 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 4.52 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: -0.58 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 0.15 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.08 -Iteration 28 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: -4.63 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 29 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 16.11 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.10 -Iteration 30 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: -4.05 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.13 -Iteration 31 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 0.85 - dm: 0.05 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: -0.98 + dm: 0.02 dx: 0.02 -Iteration 32 +Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: -10.52 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| + dL: 0.41 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.12 -Iteration 33 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: -3.63 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 34 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 2.41 - dm: 0.40 - dx: 0.08 -Iteration 35 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: -0.08 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.12 -Iteration 36 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 0.27 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 37 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 0.31 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 38 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 1.89 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 39 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 1.87 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.16 -Iteration 40 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 9.87 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.12 -Iteration 41 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: -2.19 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.10 -Iteration 42 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 2.53 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 43 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 1.26 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 44 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 1.50 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 45 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.6| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: -0.19 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 46 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: -1.08 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 47 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 1.04 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 48 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: -5.92 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 49 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 0.27 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 50 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 1.02 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 51 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 17.0| - dL: 0.84 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.04 + dx: 0.01 + Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1243/300_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1243/300_180_extreme/hbi.log index 0a5efdda768f72f27deb7d38311aa4746a91f9be..a22fd5655c305f915556e0f1fd89ca5b535247ff 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1243/300_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1243/300_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 07:31:43 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 02:54:39 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.5| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.8| - dL: 453.03 - dm: 39.48 - dx: 7.79 + model 1: 50.6| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 9.0| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 286.70 + dm: 49.40 + dx: 7.07 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 5.2| model 6: 1.2| model 7: 1.6| - dL: 56.29 - dm: 2.63 - dx: 2.07 + model 1: 57.2| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 8.9| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 25.16 + dm: 6.55 + dx: 0.76 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.5| model 7: 2.2| - dL: 34.56 - dm: 0.65 - dx: 1.20 + model 1: 59.1| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 9.1| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 11.08 + dm: 1.97 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.6| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 8.1| model 6: 1.6| model 7: 2.6| - dL: 25.60 - dm: 0.87 - dx: 0.63 + model 1: 60.0| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 9.1| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 3.17 + dm: 0.92 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 8.8| model 6: 1.6| model 7: 2.6| - dL: 11.73 - dm: 0.79 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 60.5| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 1.79 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.7| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 9.1| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.92 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 60.7| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 1.52 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 12.2| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -14.07 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 60.7| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 6.00 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 13.95 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -5.23 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.40 - dm: 0.19 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.36 + dm: 0.07 dx: 0.09 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 3.16 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.80 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -8.68 - dm: 0.14 + model 1: 60.7| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 5.62 + dm: 0.07 dx: 0.20 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 15.20 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 9.1| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -7.23 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -13.91 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -2.54 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 10.87 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -0.42 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -8.65 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -0.43 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 3.21 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.37 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -2.27 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.31 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.11 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -3.05 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.27 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 2.47 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -1.02 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 6.14 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.87 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.35 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.51 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -0.82 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -4.15 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.65 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.37 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 6.45 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 6.46 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.22 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.40 + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -6.84 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.7| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -3.40 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 10.68 dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.24 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 9.1| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -1.84 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 9.0| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 7.06 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -3.53 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 8.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 9.31 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 2.37 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 60.6| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 8.6| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -4.40 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.56 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 60.7| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 8.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 1.42 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.89 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 60.6| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 12.2| model 5: 8.9| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -8.30 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 9.0| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.23 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 9.0| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 3.05 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 9.1| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -6.24 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 9.0| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -3.09 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 2.60 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 9.0| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 1.42 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 9.1| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -3.31 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 9.0| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.75 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 4.98 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 9.0| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -0.84 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 9.1| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -2.70 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 9.0| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -1.12 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -2.34 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 9.0| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.90 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 3.23 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 9.0| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -6.34 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 3.47 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 4.85 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.35 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.7| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 9.0| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -5.38 - dm: 0.28 + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -1.81 + dm: 0.20 dx: 0.28 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -3.78 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 9.1| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -3.93 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.46 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 2.73 dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.21 + dx: 0.34 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 9.0| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.91 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.43 + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 1.74 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -1.87 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -3.99 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -2.28 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -0.94 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.52 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 1.03 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 9.1| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.00 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -0.15 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 9.0| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.02 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 9.1| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -2.02 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 9.0| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 5.47 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 6.50 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 8.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -2.73 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -0.67 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.21 diff --git a/hbi_output/1243/300_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1243/300_360_equal/hbi.log index 991c560c4c1b78f21a7ae349a0695b4dd84e6bff..9fd994df5ce6cf78e08dd81ee09c8ee780d7da39 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1243/300_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1243/300_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 07:32:36 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 03:15:18 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 33.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 13.9| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.9| model 7: 3.6| - dL: 237.47 - dm: 66.90 - dx: 3.25 + model 1: 19.4| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 12.5| model 6: 10.5| model 7: 14.1| + dL: 199.23 + dm: 76.78 + dx: 9.16 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 30.9| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 9.8| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 10.2| model 6: 7.2| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 108.02 - dm: 2.17 - dx: 0.82 + model 1: 17.7| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.6| + dL: -16.32 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 1.59 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 26.6| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 8.5| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 10.1| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 40.58 - dm: 2.58 - dx: 10.34 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 11.4| model 7: 15.8| + dL: 0.20 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.4| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 27.3| model 5: 12.7| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 6.3| - dL: 57.11 - dm: 0.60 - dx: 0.86 + model 1: 19.2| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 15.9| + dL: 20.99 + dm: 0.72 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.1| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 27.6| model 5: 13.2| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 12.6| - dL: 72.66 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.77 + model 1: 19.1| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 11.32 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 11.4| model 7: 15.6| - dL: 30.52 - dm: 0.74 - dx: 0.60 + model 1: 18.7| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 11.20 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 15.9| - dL: 13.41 - dm: 1.49 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 8.32 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.8| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 19.37 - dm: 0.89 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -1.35 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 2.39 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 3.64 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 0.79 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 0.11 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 2.71 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -3.58 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 1.49 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -5.63 + dm: 0.42 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.3| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 1.46 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 10.59 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -1.02 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 11.95 + dm: 0.54 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.8| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -26.13 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -7.75 + dm: 0.48 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.0| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 39.48 - dm: 0.59 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 18.0| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -14.35 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.44 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.9| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -27.53 - dm: 0.61 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -0.15 + dm: 0.60 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.1| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -23.21 - dm: 0.64 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -6.40 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.1| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 0.58 - dm: 0.50 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 6.28 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.1| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 2.14 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 5.72 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.1| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 27.90 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 5.64 + dm: 0.50 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.0| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -6.78 - dm: 0.63 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -3.26 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.1| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 10.40 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -13.43 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.0| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -12.88 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -0.90 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 0.52 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 9.92 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -17.27 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 8.53 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.3| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 9.58 - dm: 0.43 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -6.63 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.0| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -12.71 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -2.97 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 15.47 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 1.08 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.0| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 1.39 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -0.08 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.9| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -0.93 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 3.32 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.9| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 4.12 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 7.38 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.0| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 0.32 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -10.52 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.9| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 2.96 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.86 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 3.48 + dm: 0.53 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.8| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 4.78 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.51 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -12.01 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.8| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -2.27 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -1.09 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.7| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 9.36 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 16.50 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -2.88 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -8.89 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 2.26 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -2.00 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -1.63 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.8| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 2.20 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -5.39 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.7| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 0.46 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -9.16 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.7| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 0.75 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 4.73 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 7.48 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 9.78 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 7.31 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -1.57 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 0.70 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -1.30 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.3| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 2.45 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 0.85 dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.13 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.3| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 1.70 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 2.01 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -6.27 - dm: 0.43 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -5.27 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.3| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 4.66 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -9.17 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.08 diff --git a/hbi_output/1243/300_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1243/300_360_extreme/hbi.log index 89cbe8a7048e86174eb3ef1d6e66ce2644da323b..c08dc379c2e8b79668391321be6839af80b1463c 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1243/300_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1243/300_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 07:39:42 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 03:38:35 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.1| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 0.8| - dL: 445.84 - dm: 40.86 - dx: 12.27 + model 1: 50.4| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 8.3| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 306.35 + dm: 49.61 + dx: 9.21 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.6| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 6.1| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 1.6| - dL: 41.76 - dm: 0.51 - dx: 0.61 + model 1: 56.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 43.72 + dm: 6.03 + dx: 0.67 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.8| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 3.9| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.29 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 58.2| model 2: 13.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 43.20 + dm: 1.77 + dx: 0.34 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.9| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 29.17 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 58.8| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -2.51 + dm: 0.65 + dx: 0.46 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 34.16 - dm: 0.50 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 59.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 10.96 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 0.45 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.51 - dm: 0.67 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 59.4| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -2.12 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.35 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.2| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 15.53 - dm: 0.50 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 59.5| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 1.68 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -0.33 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 59.2| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 22.88 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.68 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 5.18 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 58.9| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -9.03 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.74 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.5| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -9.89 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 58.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 0.47 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.0| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 3.97 - dm: 0.57 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 58.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -18.98 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 7.34 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 59.1| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 27.49 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.8| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -1.58 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 59.0| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -1.16 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.8| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 40.34 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 58.0| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 19.72 + dm: 0.98 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.5| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -8.27 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 57.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 3.41 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.4| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -0.73 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 57.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -3.94 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.5| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -38.67 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 57.8| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -6.57 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 20.33 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 57.8| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -9.84 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 5.11 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 58.2| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -5.56 + dm: 0.35 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 51.80 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 58.4| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 6.25 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 3.71 - dm: 0.64 + model 1: 58.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 8.03 + dm: 0.12 dx: 0.07 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.8| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 11.66 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 58.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -5.29 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -42.73 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 58.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 1.38 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.9| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -18.00 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 58.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 0.78 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.0| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.81 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 58.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -5.90 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.0| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.84 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 58.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 13.15 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.1| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 12.06 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 58.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -13.96 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.2| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -12.14 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 58.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -5.06 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 6.67 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 58.5| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 5.59 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 2.77 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 58.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 11.36 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -8.20 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.72 + model 1: 58.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -5.88 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.5| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 6.49 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 58.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 2.23 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.1| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.37 - dm: 0.49 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 58.2| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -8.77 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.0| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.41 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.01 + model 1: 58.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 6.20 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.9| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -13.04 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 58.4| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -7.22 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.0| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 2.33 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 58.4| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 7.04 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.1| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -5.04 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 58.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 1.16 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.5| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 9.27 - dm: 0.40 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 58.4| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 8.22 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.4| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 1.35 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 58.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -5.62 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.4| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.13 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 58.1| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 0.65 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -0.59 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 58.1| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -12.97 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 3.10 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 58.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 6.16 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.3| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -12.90 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 58.5| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -5.54 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.4| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -7.29 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 58.5| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 2.34 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.56 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 58.5| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -5.33 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.8| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 11.25 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 58.4| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 8.64 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -5.75 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 58.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -0.18 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -0.64 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 58.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -0.83 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 8.05 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 58.4| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -5.84 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -6.61 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 58.6| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -5.65 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.13 diff --git a/hbi_output/1244/150_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1244/150_180_equal/hbi.log index 67ce3f1a347732cbc4a23e297682824170b02011..ab49932b90c4e6505266c2eb47f4a22905692526 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1244/150_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1244/150_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 07:37:31 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 03:57:57 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 33.2| model 2: 18.8| model 3: 16.4| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.5| - dL: 148.99 - dm: 66.76 - dx: 9.24 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 21.0| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 13.8| model 7: 14.4| + dL: 90.78 + dm: 78.97 + dx: 6.75 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 28.9| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 11.4| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 8.8| - dL: 60.95 - dm: 4.36 - dx: 0.82 + model 1: 15.6| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 15.6| model 7: 15.8| + dL: 24.81 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 1.30 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.8| model 2: 15.5| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 9.7| model 6: 9.8| model 7: 13.6| - dL: 40.74 - dm: 1.41 - dx: 0.66 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 15.9| model 7: 15.9| + dL: 8.06 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 13.8| model 7: 15.5| - dL: 19.24 - dm: 1.45 - dx: 0.52 + model 1: 15.1| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 12.5| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 3.20 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 11.7| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.9| - dL: 18.69 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.43 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 12.6| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 5.21 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.5| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 15.21 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 12.7| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 1.74 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.1| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 12.5| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -0.63 - dm: 1.17 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 12.7| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 9.43 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.0| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.7| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 5.12 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -8.29 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 4.30 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 14.6| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 4.29 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 5.80 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 5.57 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 0.23 - dm: 0.36 + model 1: 14.4| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 2.35 + dm: 0.27 dx: 0.27 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.1| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 12.9| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -7.40 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -8.59 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 12.9| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 4.86 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 14.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 9.53 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 12.9| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 8.64 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 0.95 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 12.9| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -4.96 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 14.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -7.65 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.0| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 13.0| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -0.75 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 14.4| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 7.43 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.0| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 12.9| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -4.52 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 14.4| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -8.01 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 12.9| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -1.90 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 14.4| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 7.85 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 12.9| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -0.43 + model 1: 14.4| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -16.71 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.18 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 13.0| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 0.36 - dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 14.4| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 16.84 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.9| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 8.74 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -8.19 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.9| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -4.47 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 8.09 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 1.08 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -9.98 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 8.71 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 9.70 + dm: 0.51 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.1| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -0.83 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -7.51 + dm: 0.36 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 0.17 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.20 + dL: 0.28 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 0.09 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 0.63 + dm: 0.36 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -5.04 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 7.60 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -0.75 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 1.39 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 5.87 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -6.31 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 0.93 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 5.69 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -3.71 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -8.01 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 5.86 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 7.99 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -7.05 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -10.46 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 7.11 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 3.98 + dm: 0.93 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -1.16 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 6.30 + dm: 0.70 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -5.59 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -5.86 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -1.65 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -2.56 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 6.93 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 1.43 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -7.71 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 6.96 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 7.22 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 0.24 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -8.08 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 1.18 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 7.81 - dm: 0.01 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -7.38 + dm: 0.14 dx: 0.08 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -8.95 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 6.01 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 8.96 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 0.20 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 0.87 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 1.10 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -7.43 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -7.29 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 7.53 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 6.28 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -8.04 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -7.49 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 8.82 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 7.67 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 diff --git a/hbi_output/1244/150_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1244/150_180_extreme/hbi.log index 4ae633489ed728ce0ae2cdae735b9257db2c5e70..fd0eb49d81571447c29e371de14e0924bbf1ea17 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1244/150_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1244/150_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 07:40:53 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 04:07:26 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,260 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.6| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 16.4| model 5: 2.9| model 6: 1.0| model 7: 0.8| - dL: 219.31 - dm: 44.44 - dx: 12.27 + model 1: 48.4| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.6| + dL: 145.89 + dm: 51.60 + dx: 9.28 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 3.8| model 6: 1.9| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 22.53 - dm: 1.38 - dx: 0.51 + model 1: 53.6| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 11.87 + dm: 5.18 + dx: 0.46 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.0| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 16.4| model 5: 4.3| model 6: 2.4| model 7: 2.4| - dL: 13.44 - dm: 0.91 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 55.2| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 5.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 3.47 + dm: 1.62 + dx: 0.40 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.1| model 2: 15.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 16.3| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 2.6| model 7: 2.6| - dL: 5.55 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 56.2| model 2: 15.5| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 2.20 + dm: 0.96 + dx: 0.38 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.4| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 16.4| model 5: 4.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 7.46 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.40 + model 1: 56.4| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.1| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 16.2| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.64 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 16.3| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.84 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.3| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 16.4| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.17 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 16.3| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.25 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.2| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 16.4| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.99 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 16.3| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.15 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.2| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.14 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 16.3| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.55 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 16.3| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.03 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.4| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.09 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 16.3| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.3| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -1.02 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 16.3| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.6| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.37 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 16.4| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.25 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 16.4| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.15 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.35 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.32 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.11 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.42 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.6| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.03 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.10 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.6| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.13 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.6| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.07 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.6| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.08 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.6| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.05 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.11 + dx: 0.42 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.6| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.22 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.6| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.03 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.11 + dx: 0.35 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.6| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.04 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.6| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.02 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.6| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.11 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.06 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.02 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.14 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.07 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.6| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.05 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 dx: 0.08 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.6| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.03 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.17 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.04 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.30 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.6| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.30 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.18 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.17 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.02 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.17 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.01 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.17 - dm: 0.01 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 dx: 0.02 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.01 + dm: 0.00 dx: 0.02 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.00 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.01 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.29 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.6| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.07 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.6| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.38 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.21 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 44 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.19 + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 45 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 46 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 47 + dx: 0.01 +Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + model 1: 56.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: -0.00 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 48 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.16 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 49 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.16 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 50 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 51 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.16 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.01 + Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1244/150_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1244/150_360_equal/hbi.log index 5a764a55e56bbfbba892cc3a659d44e86f56f9d0..1ccd5b0c4a500f15a49f8da4226d070a8d618beb 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1244/150_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1244/150_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 08:22:56 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 04:14:15 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,212 +17,236 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 32.2| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 12.5| model 4: 20.0| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.9| - dL: 193.55 - dm: 67.77 - dx: 9.58 + model 1: 19.2| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 11.1| + dL: 117.34 + dm: 79.44 + dx: 6.13 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.3| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 7.6| model 4: 17.1| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 7.9| - dL: 64.98 - dm: 7.92 - dx: 0.67 + model 1: 19.2| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 19.7| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 15.9| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 28.00 + dm: 0.88 + dx: 0.65 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 16.2| model 6: 15.1| model 7: 11.2| - dL: 32.91 - dm: 5.14 - dx: 0.47 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 15.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 17.2| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 3.79 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.42 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.1| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 18.2| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 15.9| model 7: 11.9| - dL: 14.66 - dm: 0.94 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 19.7| model 2: 15.4| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 17.3| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -10.11 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.56 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.9| model 2: 15.5| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 17.2| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 20.36 - dm: 0.75 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 20.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 6.21 + dm: 0.61 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.9| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 17.3| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -13.68 - dm: 0.92 - dx: 0.44 + model 1: 20.2| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 6.49 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.83 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.5| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.1| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 8.49 - dm: 0.55 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 6.71 + dm: 0.68 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.0| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 11.28 - dm: 0.48 - dx: 0.82 + model 1: 19.4| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -13.35 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -15.82 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 20.0| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 5.44 + dm: 0.64 + dx: 0.89 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 15.38 - dm: 0.66 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 8.07 + dm: 0.59 + dx: 0.49 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 2.49 - dm: 0.69 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 19.4| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.53 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.37 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.4| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -13.63 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -14.28 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.1| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -1.06 - dm: 0.63 - dx: 0.82 + model 1: 20.0| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -0.92 + dm: 0.65 + dx: 0.69 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 20.1| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 12.19 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.34 + dL: 12.43 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 2.59 - dm: 0.67 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 19.4| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 2.42 + dm: 0.66 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 19.4| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 0.48 + dL: 0.46 dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.23 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.4| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -14.40 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.23 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.0| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 8.47 - dm: 0.64 - dx: 0.76 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -19.69 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.4| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 5.89 - dm: 0.59 - dx: 0.55 + model 1: 20.1| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 17.43 + dm: 0.75 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.4| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -14.19 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 19.4| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 2.04 + dm: 0.68 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.0| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 1.31 - dm: 0.65 - dx: 0.78 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.24 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.1| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -2.05 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.59 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -4.80 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.1| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 10.73 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.77 + model 1: 19.4| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.4| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 3.71 - dm: 0.67 - dx: 0.50 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 3.48 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 1.40 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 0.53 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 1.44 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 1.74 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 0.25 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -5.10 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -19.63 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.56 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.45 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.1| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 17.35 - dm: 0.75 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 3.17 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 1.41 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.4| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -2.44 - dm: 0.68 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -3.73 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 1.77 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.4| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 4.33 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 4.09 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.85 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 0.50 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.56 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 1.03 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.86 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 0.15 + dL: 0.07 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 0.03 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -5.20 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.02 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.01 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 4.49 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.44 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -5.14 - dm: 0.00 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -4.47 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.43 +Iteration 37 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 1.23 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.76 +Iteration 38 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 1.70 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.87 +Iteration 39 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 19.4| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 1.04 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.15 +Iteration 40 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.88 + dm: 0.10 dx: 0.01 Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1244/150_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1244/150_360_extreme/hbi.log index 578de27174b10bb52edbb229ba350c2059fc79a1..7006053c6a49a4630ccdbb4900328639d6c8941a 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1244/150_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1244/150_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 08:25:32 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 04:23:36 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.8| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 4.1| model 6: 0.8| model 7: 1.2| - dL: 265.09 - dm: 38.24 - dx: 17.39 + model 1: 55.0| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 8.8| model 6: 2.6| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 170.97 + dm: 44.99 + dx: 12.24 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.4| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 6.1| model 6: 1.4| model 7: 2.1| - dL: -0.63 - dm: 0.69 - dx: 1.02 + model 1: 61.2| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 8.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 10.11 + dm: 6.22 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 1.9| model 7: 2.6| - dL: 6.89 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.64 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 0.2| model 4: 9.2| model 5: 8.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 7.65 + dm: 2.39 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 2.2| model 7: 2.9| - dL: 9.64 - dm: 0.56 - dx: 0.42 + model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.88 + dm: 0.67 + dx: 1.30 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 8.0| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 2.4| model 7: 3.1| - dL: 6.13 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 2.03 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 5.76 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 7.9| model 5: 8.1| model 6: 2.5| model 7: 3.2| - dL: -1.36 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -1.26 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 13.0| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 8.0| model 5: 8.1| model 6: 2.5| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.89 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.05 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 1.28 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 13.0| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 8.1| model 6: 2.6| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -10.58 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 64.1| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.69 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.53 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.7| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 8.1| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 5.65 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 1.31 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.73 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 11.68 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -1.56 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.38 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.89 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.61 + model 1: 63.7| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 5.88 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 1.27 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.43 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 1.13 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -6.21 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.63 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.03 - dm: 0.43 - dx: 1.51 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.37 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 3.14 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 2.78 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.44 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 7.07 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.80 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -4.73 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.54 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.29 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -6.35 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.58 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 7.96 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 6.29 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.61 + model 1: 63.1| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -11.29 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -6.22 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 1.49 + model 1: 63.1| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 5.08 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.72 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 6.38 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 1.63 + model 1: 63.1| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 2.83 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -6.08 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 1.47 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -10.93 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -1.91 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 1.55 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -3.97 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 15.43 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.98 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -10.80 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.50 + model 1: 63.8| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.39 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.51 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -4.19 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.60 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -1.76 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 3.53 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 3.27 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.43 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 1.22 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 5.32 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 63.8| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 9.2| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.69 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 1.43 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -1.10 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 63.8| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 9.2| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.02 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 2.40 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.49 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.36 + model 1: 63.8| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 9.2| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 1.23 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.65 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.17 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.51 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -1.59 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.38 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -1.96 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.55 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 5.84 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 1.27 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -8.26 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -6.22 dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.38 + dx: 0.63 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 5.72 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.56 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 3.14 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.05 - dm: 0.30 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 7.42 + dm: 0.19 dx: 0.33 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 5.19 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 2.93 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 1.13 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -8.37 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -6.75 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 15.45 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 2.15 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 1.32 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -11.72 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.57 + model 1: 63.1| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 1.59 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.65 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -4.83 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.62 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 6.25 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -3.62 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -5.28 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 9.51 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 5.19 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -5.80 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 1.41 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -11.31 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 2.69 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 1.21 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.55 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -6.43 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.55 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 2.38 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 9.92 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 5.67 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.28 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 1.00 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 2.81 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.1| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 11.43 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 1.15 + dL: -8.90 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.1| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -11.79 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.65 + dL: 6.56 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 3.31 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.65 + model 1: 63.3| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -7.76 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -8.73 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 10.09 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 6.43 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -1.29 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.05 + dx: 1.19 diff --git a/hbi_output/1244/300_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1244/300_180_equal/hbi.log index adc2961a36cefcff6f0e3737e2ee680065e7d571..5c6398cad231e12b825753613c6c23ac3f6b27a5 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1244/300_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1244/300_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 08:28:44 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 04:35:34 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 31.1| model 2: 18.6| model 3: 18.1| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.9| - dL: 234.60 - dm: 68.95 - dx: 0.78 + model 1: 17.6| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 8.3| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 14.6| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 11.6| + dL: 175.29 + dm: 79.82 + dx: 6.06 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 29.3| model 2: 17.6| model 3: 15.5| model 4: 19.7| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 7.4| model 7: 1.4| - dL: 65.75 - dm: 1.80 - dx: 1.95 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 12.5| + dL: 52.33 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 1.49 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.5| model 2: 16.0| model 3: 10.4| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 49.31 - dm: 4.77 - dx: 8.01 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 19.9| model 5: 15.7| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -10.60 + dm: 0.50 + dx: 0.41 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.8| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 14.4| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 61.91 - dm: 2.52 - dx: 0.64 + model 1: 16.5| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 20.1| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 14.9| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -34.32 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 15.1| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 6.0| - dL: 31.94 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.49 + model 1: 16.5| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 16.0| model 6: 14.9| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -0.91 + dm: 2.45 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.6| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 9.4| - dL: 33.23 - dm: 0.80 - dx: 0.49 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 16.0| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 12.8| + dL: 0.98 + dm: 1.78 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 15.8| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 11.4| - dL: -9.47 - dm: 0.74 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 12.9| + dL: -1.86 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 12.4| - dL: 10.88 - dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 12.9| + dL: 5.58 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 16.0| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 12.8| - dL: -1.32 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 24.9| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -1.98 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 16.0| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 12.9| - dL: 1.20 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -3.00 + dm: 0.45 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 16.0| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 12.9| - dL: 5.59 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 1.70 + dm: 0.44 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 13.74 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 6.57 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -11.17 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -1.32 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -3.83 - dm: 0.60 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -4.92 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 24.9| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 11.10 - dm: 0.51 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 5.07 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -21.71 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -1.87 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 12.38 - dm: 0.74 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 3.37 + dm: 0.60 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 10.97 - dm: 0.44 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -2.48 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -7.99 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -1.93 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -7.43 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 1.82 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 9.19 - dm: 0.54 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 24.9| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -0.99 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 9.12 - dm: 0.95 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -6.65 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -1.58 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 4.32 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 2.29 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 2.10 + dm: 0.58 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -13.66 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -4.63 + dm: 0.49 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 24.9| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 0.65 - dm: 0.53 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -2.06 + dm: 0.45 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 4.83 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 24.9| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 5.72 + dm: 0.51 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 7.85 - dm: 0.47 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 1.42 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -12.00 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -0.21 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 16.2| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -0.91 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 1.67 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 16.2| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -0.33 - dm: 0.38 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 1.79 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -4.20 - dm: 0.17 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 24.9| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -5.42 + dm: 0.20 dx: 0.15 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 24.9| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 6.90 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 16.2| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -4.34 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -3.53 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 8.97 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -0.57 - dm: 0.38 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 2.83 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -4.07 - dm: 0.79 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 0.83 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 6.37 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -6.97 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -4.86 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 24.9| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -1.27 + dm: 0.59 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 7.63 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -8.82 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -0.75 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 2.18 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -7.73 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 4.54 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 4.08 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -4.34 + dm: 0.36 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -1.26 - dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 2.79 + dm: 0.44 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 5.52 - dm: 0.67 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 5.54 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 24.9| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -9.35 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -4.82 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 0.30 - dm: 0.75 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 6.60 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 2.33 - dm: 0.53 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -5.62 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -5.00 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 3.67 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 9.42 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 0.13 + dm: 0.35 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: -5.25 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.0| + dL: -5.05 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.06 diff --git a/hbi_output/1244/300_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1244/300_180_extreme/hbi.log index 663799aa149f307111cf92f3e3eadf231df5ccba..c74cdc38efca39fe8eefbbd8a190789321f3c662 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1244/300_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1244/300_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 08:34:42 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 04:57:26 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,182 +17,152 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 11.2| model 5: 3.1| model 6: 1.2| model 7: 1.2| - dL: 425.06 - dm: 37.43 - dx: 0.89 + model 1: 56.0| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 16.8| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.6| + dL: 294.78 + dm: 44.03 + dx: 6.86 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.3| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 9.2| model 5: 3.2| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 24.22 - dm: 2.70 - dx: 1.94 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.6| + dL: 23.17 + dm: 6.54 + dx: 0.72 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.3| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 2.6| model 7: 0.6| - dL: 23.36 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.65 + model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.6| + dL: 12.75 + dm: 1.83 + dx: 0.34 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.0| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 5.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 0.3| - dL: 5.70 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 7.56 + model 1: 64.6| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.6| + dL: 4.76 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.0| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 0.6| - dL: 20.30 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.66 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 13.0| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.6| + dL: 2.62 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.58 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.2| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 0.9| - dL: 11.68 - dm: 0.88 - dx: 0.39 + model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.0| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.92 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.53 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.5| - dL: -9.56 - dm: 0.59 - dx: 0.39 + model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.60 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.65 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.9| - dL: 4.39 - dm: 0.53 - dx: 0.51 + model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.48 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.78 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 2.14 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.38 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.79 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.5| - dL: 1.48 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.34 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.71 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.6| - dL: 1.05 + model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.29 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.29 + dx: 0.61 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.90 + dL: 0.25 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.37 + dx: 0.59 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.73 + dL: 0.19 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.46 + dx: 0.66 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.72 + dL: 0.13 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.64 + dx: 0.72 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.60 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.76 + dL: 0.07 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.70 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.49 + dL: 0.03 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.84 + dx: 0.55 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.38 + dL: 0.02 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.80 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.30 + dL: 0.02 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.69 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.25 + dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.62 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.19 + dL: 0.01 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.64 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.14 + dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.71 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 23 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.07 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.72 -Iteration 24 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.04 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.64 -Iteration 25 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.01 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.49 -Iteration 26 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.01 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.33 -Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.18 -Iteration 28 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.12 -Iteration 29 + dx: 0.04 +Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 30 + dx: 0.03 +Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 31 + dx: 0.03 +Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.01 + dx: 0.00 Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1244/300_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1244/300_360_equal/hbi.log index bcb578e42aa910b62373aa1f380385e7aa06d1bc..4bd46c898cabe4721dec06a581fe3937b22f3b0a 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1244/300_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1244/300_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 08:36:44 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 05:12:38 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 31.9| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 10.8| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 7.8| model 6: 3.2| model 7: 3.4| - dL: 417.25 - dm: 68.08 - dx: 10.85 + model 1: 19.8| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 14.3| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 263.19 + dm: 77.06 + dx: 8.03 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 23.5| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 12.5| model 6: 8.9| model 7: 9.9| - dL: 166.14 - dm: 8.41 - dx: 1.07 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 14.9| model 6: 12.9| model 7: 13.6| + dL: 40.35 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 1.30 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.8| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 14.3| model 6: 12.3| model 7: 13.2| - dL: 73.09 - dm: 0.61 - dx: 0.65 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 15.2| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 17.10 + dm: 0.89 + dx: 0.37 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.4| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 15.0| model 6: 12.9| model 7: 13.6| - dL: 24.95 - dm: 0.78 - dx: 0.43 + model 1: 20.0| model 2: 15.4| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -0.54 + dm: 0.35 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 15.5| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -2.21 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.70 + model 1: 20.2| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 1.08 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.38 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.0| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 3.90 - dm: 0.65 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 20.2| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 7.19 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.41 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.4| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 21.0| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 10.23 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 20.1| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 15.77 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.4| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -3.48 - dm: 0.57 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 19.9| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 1.91 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.6| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 17.25 - dm: 0.49 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 19.9| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 21.0| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 5.41 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -14.42 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -0.52 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.6| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 1.47 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 19.8| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -17.05 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.5| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 19.09 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 20.2| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 1.62 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -17.36 + model 1: 20.0| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -1.07 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.20 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 21.0| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 0.12 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 20.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 0.80 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.4| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 2.66 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 20.0| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 3.86 + dm: 0.50 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -3.90 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 19.7| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 3.29 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.1| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 8.91 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 0.50 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.7| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 7.43 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -0.30 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -6.10 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -4.44 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 7.38 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 19.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 5.91 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 6.91 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -0.07 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -2.14 - dm: 0.04 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -3.14 + dm: 0.15 dx: 0.05 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 19.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -4.38 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.10 + dL: -1.77 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 20.1| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -0.43 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 19.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 3.91 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 19.9| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -23.71 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -1.26 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.3| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 19.58 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 1.21 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.7| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -8.64 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 5.25 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 0.95 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -6.02 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 0.22 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 19.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 4.57 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -0.01 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -6.92 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 0.87 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 19.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 9.77 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 6.46 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -11.45 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -5.13 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 19.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -2.05 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 4.79 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 19.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 0.73 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 0.78 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 19.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 10.08 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -0.98 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 19.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -0.92 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -3.53 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 19.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 2.11 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 1.34 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -2.36 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -2.83 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -3.76 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 4.18 - dm: 0.01 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -0.38 + dm: 0.19 dx: 0.06 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -5.90 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 3.09 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 4.01 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 19.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 3.24 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -5.98 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -1.02 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 2.32 - dm: 0.29 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 3.39 + dm: 0.07 dx: 0.05 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -1.96 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -2.29 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 0.89 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -6.21 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 5.82 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 21.0| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 4.91 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -1.48 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 19.4| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -5.42 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 4.64 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 19.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 4.46 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -0.46 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -0.36 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.16 diff --git a/hbi_output/1244/300_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1244/300_360_extreme/hbi.log index e73b9acdf2c1ae5c61157cf9f27df29bc96d9879..b2bfe12fcffe6854c0bb6166f6de0b1c6881dd8d 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1244/300_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1244/300_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 08:39:38 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 05:34:47 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.0| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 0.8| model 7: 1.5| - dL: 472.87 - dm: 37.95 - dx: 16.13 + model 1: 54.7| model 2: 10.5| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 326.14 + dm: 45.30 + dx: 10.96 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.6| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 44.10 - dm: 0.84 - dx: 0.82 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 20.33 + dm: 6.13 + dx: 0.58 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.2| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.6| - dL: 3.41 - dm: 0.65 - dx: 0.71 + model 1: 62.3| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 15.68 + dm: 1.43 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 6.1| model 6: 2.2| model 7: 3.7| - dL: 58.80 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 10.35 + dm: 0.74 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.0| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.8| - dL: -3.93 - dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -6.49 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.9| - dL: 37.62 - dm: 0.79 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 5.79 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 9.59 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -5.95 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -25.36 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 4.60 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -4.67 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 2.30 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -0.44 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 7.44 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -14.04 - dm: 0.38 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -1.31 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 14.28 - dm: 0.37 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 9.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -10.34 + dm: 0.12 dx: 0.14 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 9.3| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -17.71 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -1.83 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -1.67 - dm: 0.24 + model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 12.29 + dm: 0.14 dx: 0.17 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -21.50 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -2.66 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 6.36 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 2.59 dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.19 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 14.56 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.49 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -3.61 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 32.37 - dm: 0.48 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -0.28 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -29.58 - dm: 0.13 + model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -0.66 + dm: 0.03 dx: 0.11 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 25.60 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 2.87 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 9.3| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -18.62 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -6.42 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 9.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -1.54 - dm: 0.18 + model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 5.60 + dm: 0.14 dx: 0.06 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 9.5| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -3.97 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 3.18 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -15.13 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -3.52 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 11.79 - dm: 0.48 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 3.40 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 9.5| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -7.96 - dm: 0.34 + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 2.86 + dm: 0.20 dx: 0.08 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 9.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 6.20 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -3.33 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -10.98 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 1.60 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 2.02 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -6.33 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 3.93 - dm: 0.08 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -0.59 + dm: 0.11 dx: 0.09 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -8.64 - dm: 0.03 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -2.25 + dm: 0.05 dx: 0.11 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -10.12 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 7.86 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 3.30 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -12.58 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 5.46 - dm: 0.13 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 0.85 + dm: 0.04 dx: 0.29 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 0.57 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 2.53 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 8.45 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 4.53 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 2.71 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -6.82 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 1.27 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 9.5| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -0.49 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 3.06 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -0.34 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -0.23 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -7.54 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 1.98 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -5.70 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 0.39 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -1.37 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 2.34 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 1.51 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 0.02 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -3.31 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 0.21 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 4.64 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -4.71 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 2.70 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -1.82 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -7.44 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 1.50 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -2.93 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: 2.96 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| - dL: -1.46 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 4.0| + dL: -0.53 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.11 diff --git a/hbi_output/1250/150_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1250/150_180_equal/hbi.log index d1a37b90379f08c8bfc5231ca217b9ed32ac5fac..edc26aff507c75f4eeff4b48da28bfde6e746e3d 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1250/150_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1250/150_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 11:46:18 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 14:59:28 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,170 +17,158 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 36.4| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 13.9| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 8.0| model 6: 2.8| model 7: 2.5| - dL: 149.27 - dm: 63.56 - dx: 0.78 + model 1: 23.5| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 28.5| model 5: 14.8| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 6.4| + dL: 112.01 + dm: 71.54 + dx: 4.18 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 35.9| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 10.9| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 7.7| model 7: 1.6| - dL: 109.72 - dm: 0.58 - dx: 0.94 + model 1: 23.1| model 2: 10.4| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 15.6| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.6| + dL: 19.36 + dm: 1.63 + dx: 0.56 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 27.7| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 13.2| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 10.7| model 6: 10.4| model 7: 1.1| - dL: 14.40 - dm: 8.14 - dx: 6.22 + model 1: 22.9| model 2: 9.6| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 31.7| model 5: 16.0| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.6| + dL: 6.12 + dm: 1.62 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 26.3| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 28.5| model 5: 13.9| model 6: 10.9| model 7: 2.4| - dL: 14.45 - dm: 2.98 - dx: 0.65 + model 1: 22.7| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 33.1| model 5: 16.2| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.6| + dL: 4.68 + dm: 1.36 + dx: 0.34 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.6| model 2: 9.7| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 31.1| model 5: 15.2| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 4.4| - dL: 15.80 - dm: 2.57 + model 1: 22.3| model 2: 8.9| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 33.2| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| + dL: -0.66 + dm: 0.19 dx: 0.32 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 23.3| model 2: 9.3| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 32.2| model 5: 15.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 5.9| - dL: -1.15 - dm: 1.13 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 22.1| model 2: 8.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 33.9| model 5: 16.5| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| + dL: 1.99 + dm: 0.70 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.8| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 33.4| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.5| - dL: 3.35 - dm: 1.16 - dx: 0.49 + model 1: 21.9| model 2: 8.6| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 33.9| model 5: 16.5| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| + dL: -0.99 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.62 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.3| model 2: 8.8| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 33.8| model 5: 16.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.6| - dL: 1.87 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 21.8| model 2: 8.5| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 34.4| model 5: 16.6| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| + dL: 0.87 + dm: 0.51 + dx: 0.70 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.0| model 2: 8.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 33.8| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| - dL: 1.23 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 21.7| model 2: 8.4| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 34.6| model 5: 16.6| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| + dL: 0.49 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.66 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.8| model 2: 8.6| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 33.7| model 5: 16.5| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| - dL: 0.82 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.30 -Iteration 12 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.7| model 2: 8.5| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 33.7| model 5: 16.6| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| - dL: -1.86 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.27 -Iteration 13 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.7| model 2: 8.5| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 34.2| model 5: 16.6| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| - dL: 1.02 - dm: 0.55 - dx: 0.20 -Iteration 14 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.7| model 2: 8.4| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 34.6| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| - dL: 1.08 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.72 -Iteration 15 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.6| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 34.7| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| - dL: 0.75 + model 1: 21.6| model 2: 8.4| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 34.7| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| + dL: 0.39 dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.65 -Iteration 16 + dx: 0.80 +Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 21.5| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 34.8| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| - dL: 0.60 + dL: 0.31 dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.83 -Iteration 17 + dx: 0.87 +Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 21.4| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 34.9| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| - dL: 0.40 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.97 -Iteration 18 + dL: 0.23 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.85 +Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.4| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 34.9| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| - dL: 0.25 + model 1: 21.4| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 34.9| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| + dL: 0.16 dm: 0.05 - dx: 1.00 -Iteration 19 + dx: 0.81 +Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 21.3| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.0| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| - dL: 0.13 + dL: 0.10 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.94 -Iteration 20 + dx: 0.78 +Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 21.3| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.0| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| - dL: 0.06 + dL: 0.04 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.80 -Iteration 21 + dx: 0.71 +Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 21.3| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.0| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| dL: 0.03 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.61 -Iteration 22 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.56 +Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 21.3| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.0| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.39 +Iteration 19 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 21.2| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.0| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| dL: -0.00 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.42 -Iteration 23 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.38 +Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.3| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.0| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| - dL: 0.01 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.27 -Iteration 24 + model 1: 21.2| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.0| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| + dL: -0.00 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.14 +Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 21.2| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.0| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| - dL: 0.00 + dL: -0.05 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.18 -Iteration 25 + dx: 0.07 +Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 21.2| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.1| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.08 -Iteration 26 + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.32 +Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.2| model 2: 8.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.1| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| + model 1: 21.2| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.1| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| dL: -0.01 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 27 + dx: 0.02 +Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.2| model 2: 8.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.1| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| - dL: 0.00 + model 1: 21.2| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.1| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| + dL: 0.05 dm: 0.01 dx: 0.11 -Iteration 28 +Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.2| model 2: 8.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.1| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.01 -Iteration 29 + model 1: 21.2| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.1| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| + dL: -0.05 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.41 +Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.2| model 2: 8.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.1| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| + model 1: 21.2| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.1| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.29 +Iteration 27 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 21.2| model 2: 8.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 35.1| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 6.7| + dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.01 Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1250/150_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1250/150_180_extreme/hbi.log index 554391560da4f7687ffddb1e04d9599df44f0910..4b0a77c9ecc3f462496e1aff615c3cf8ad06b55d 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1250/150_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1250/150_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 11:48:37 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 15:07:25 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,98 +17,98 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.9| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 5.2| model 6: 0.2| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 225.84 - dm: 35.13 - dx: 9.62 + model 1: 56.6| model 2: 10.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 171.39 + dm: 43.39 + dx: 8.20 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.3| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 8.0| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 0.4| model 7: 1.9| - dL: 27.44 - dm: 3.48 - dx: 2.17 + model 1: 64.2| model 2: 10.6| model 3: 0.1| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 13.83 + dm: 7.57 + dx: 0.61 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.1| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 7.9| model 5: 8.1| model 6: 0.6| model 7: 2.8| - dL: 13.44 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.63 + model 1: 66.2| model 2: 10.7| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.39 + dm: 2.02 + dx: 2.19 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 67.7| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 8.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 9.60 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.47 + model 1: 66.8| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 1.43 + dm: 0.65 + dx: 5.00 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 67.5| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 4.77 + model 1: 66.6| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -1.10 dm: 0.21 - dx: 2.82 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.9| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.93 - dm: 0.55 - dx: 5.14 + model 1: 67.0| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 1.21 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 67.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.22 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.08 -Iteration 09 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.8| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| + model 1: 66.7| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| dL: 0.06 - dm: 0.39 + dm: 0.33 dx: 0.04 -Iteration 10 +Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 66.6| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| dL: -1.35 - dm: 0.16 + dm: 0.13 dx: 0.02 -Iteration 11 +Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 67.0| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.30 - dm: 0.43 + model 1: 67.0| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 1.32 + dm: 0.44 dx: 0.03 -Iteration 12 +Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 66.7| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -1.26 - dm: 0.33 + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.32 dx: 0.02 +Iteration 12 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 66.6| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -1.36 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 67.1| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.25 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 67.0| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 1.33 + dm: 0.45 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.7| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -1.24 - dm: 0.34 + model 1: 66.7| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -1.27 + dm: 0.32 dx: 0.02 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 67.1| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.24 - dm: 0.35 + dL: 1.26 + dm: 0.36 dx: 0.02 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 66.7| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -1.23 + dL: -1.24 dm: 0.34 dx: 0.02 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 67.1| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.23 + dL: 1.24 dm: 0.35 dx: 0.02 Iteration 18 @@ -133,7 +133,7 @@ Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 67.1| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| dL: 1.23 - dm: 0.34 + dm: 0.35 dx: 0.02 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) @@ -162,13 +162,13 @@ Iteration 25 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 66.7| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -1.22 + dL: -1.23 dm: 0.34 dx: 0.02 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 67.1| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 9.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.22 + dL: 1.23 dm: 0.34 dx: 0.02 Iteration 28 diff --git a/hbi_output/1250/150_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1250/150_360_equal/hbi.log index 13b3511a94baea16bd4a4b31fd17cc26b8ba1da2..72459f9530db23e73bcdca97a582b81d88a0fd00 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1250/150_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1250/150_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 11:58:15 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 15:14:47 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 32.5| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 13.0| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 8.6| model 6: 4.4| model 7: 3.2| - dL: 191.69 - dm: 67.55 - dx: 9.39 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 14.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 10.6| + dL: 106.15 + dm: 73.71 + dx: 6.13 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 23.5| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 13.8| model 6: 11.9| model 7: 7.5| - dL: 120.53 - dm: 1.52 - dx: 0.68 + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 28.6| model 5: 16.0| model 6: 18.5| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 48.02 + dm: 2.31 + dx: 0.87 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 28.2| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 10.2| - dL: 28.24 - dm: 2.28 - dx: 0.44 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 16.5| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 1.56 + dm: 1.89 + dx: 0.38 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.4| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 28.2| model 5: 16.6| model 6: 18.6| model 7: 11.2| - dL: 60.13 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.45 + model 1: 14.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.6| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 4.33 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.1| model 2: 10.7| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 27.2| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 5.54 - dm: 1.01 - dx: 0.36 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.98 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -1.44 - dm: 0.94 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -7.77 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 5.30 - dm: 0.29 + model 1: 14.1| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 6.61 + dm: 0.54 dx: 0.18 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.13 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 14.1| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -1.65 + dm: 0.35 + dx: 0.40 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 3.26 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 4.09 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -5.83 - dm: 0.06 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.24 + dm: 0.10 dx: 0.14 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.0| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 4.61 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 13.9| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -6.73 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 2.48 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 14.1| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 3.05 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.1| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -1.97 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.35 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.57 + model 1: 14.1| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -2.39 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 3.99 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.44 + model 1: 14.1| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 7.39 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -3.46 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.67 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -3.68 - dm: 0.77 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -1.00 + dm: 0.56 + dx: 0.66 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.5| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -1.76 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 4.42 + dm: 0.51 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.5| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 2.68 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -9.03 + dm: 0.49 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.5| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.68 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 11.34 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.49 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.4| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.38 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -2.43 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.4| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -3.99 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -3.50 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.0| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -0.87 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -9.97 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.41 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -1.23 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 9.27 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.1| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.51 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 1.02 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -0.83 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -9.81 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -1.27 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 8.82 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -0.22 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 2.19 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.42 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -0.30 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.94 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.0| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.46 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -1.43 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.1| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 3.42 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -2.43 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -1.02 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.50 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 3.94 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -1.64 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.43 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 0.30 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -0.62 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.62 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.06 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -0.20 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.76 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -2.95 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 2.03 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.79 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 8.41 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 2.00 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.99 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 3.98 + dm: 0.87 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 1.55 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.78 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -1.53 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 0.47 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.44 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -1.19 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 4.02 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.29 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 8.39 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -6.74 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 4.16 - dm: 0.92 - dx: 0.68 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.72 + dm: 0.67 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.9| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -6.47 - dm: 0.45 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 8.62 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -3.90 - dm: 1.05 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 14.1| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.15 + dm: 0.86 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -2.31 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -7.49 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 7.06 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 1.30 + dm: 0.66 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 2.18 - dm: 0.69 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 4.13 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -7.97 - dm: 0.61 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 1.65 + dm: 0.62 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: 7.77 - dm: 1.05 - dx: 0.44 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -0.23 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| - dL: -1.23 - dm: 0.53 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 14.2| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 11.3| + dL: -5.05 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.04 diff --git a/hbi_output/1250/150_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1250/150_360_extreme/hbi.log index 41c69a6db8eb121a76ee87a546c75be56c4904c6..9723fbc2067f735d67285eaaeb9e2e6f45816427 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1250/150_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1250/150_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 12:01:27 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 15:25:44 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,74 +17,62 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.4| model 2: 21.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 2.9| model 6: 0.4| model 7: 1.5| - dL: 220.07 - dm: 41.56 - dx: 15.63 + model 1: 52.3| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 172.75 + dm: 47.70 + dx: 12.96 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.9| model 2: 21.2| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 3.7| model 6: 0.6| model 7: 2.5| - dL: 24.41 - dm: 1.42 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 57.2| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 12.49 + dm: 4.95 + dx: 0.45 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.3| model 2: 20.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 4.2| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 17.63 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 59.3| model 2: 20.0| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 12.0| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 5.82 + dm: 2.01 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.7| model 2: 20.7| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 5.46 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 7.13 + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 20.4| model 3: 0.1| model 4: 11.2| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 2.82 + dm: 0.95 + dx: 0.99 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 20.7| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 2.66 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 1.10 + model 1: 60.7| model 2: 20.5| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 4.7| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 1.65 + dm: 0.48 + dx: 2.27 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.0| model 2: 20.6| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.24 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 20.6| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.37 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 2.81 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 20.6| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.51 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 20.6| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.07 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 2.09 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 20.6| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.19 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 20.6| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.03 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.2| model 2: 20.6| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.07 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.05 + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 11 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 20.6| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.2| model 2: 20.6| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.01 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 13 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 20.6| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.01 + dm: 0.03 dx: 0.01 Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1250/300_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1250/300_360_extreme/hbi.log index 0c0e74a77d6eba4da806795565e740dddcacf682..00427ba0839e715f2360ca434fcad27ded89cb52 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1250/300_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1250/300_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 12:42:58 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-23 16:23:58 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,80 +17,128 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 18.5| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 2.5| model 6: 0.6| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 432.94 - dm: 39.80 - dx: 10.88 + model 1: 54.0| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.6| + dL: 325.93 + dm: 45.98 + dx: 8.29 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.7| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 3.2| model 6: 1.1| model 7: 1.8| - dL: 43.62 - dm: 1.46 - dx: 0.46 + model 1: 58.9| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 20.83 + dm: 4.90 + dx: 0.49 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.3| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 3.7| model 6: 1.5| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 21.18 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 60.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 8.66 + dm: 1.37 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.3| model 2: 17.6| model 3: 0.1| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 1.6| model 7: 2.6| - dL: 13.80 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 60.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 5.04 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.59 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 17.5| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 4.1| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 19.34 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.50 + model 1: 60.6| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -4.63 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.41 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 17.4| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 3.81 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 6.90 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 2.94 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.91 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 17.4| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.60 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.69 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 1.13 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.80 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.19 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 60.7| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -1.35 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.65 Iteration 10 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.7| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -0.97 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.62 +Iteration 11 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -0.24 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 1.43 +Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.06 + dL: 2.23 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.16 -Iteration 11 + dx: 1.49 +Iteration 13 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.58 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.85 +Iteration 14 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 4.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -0.96 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 1.11 +Iteration 15 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.33 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 1.00 +Iteration 16 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.95 +Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.01 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 12 + dx: 0.58 +Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.00 + dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 13 + dx: 0.28 +Iteration 19 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.12 +Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.01 -Iteration 14 + dx: 0.05 +Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 +Iteration 22 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 dx: 0.01 Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1259/150_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1259/150_180_equal/hbi.log index baf3b39393cfdd3dea709f98362961a732f31342..9c28d1081049c6ca0b9cdb0470d912accd724446 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1259/150_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1259/150_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 20:49:07 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 07:27:00 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 35.6| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 17.7| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.4| - dL: 135.18 - dm: 64.42 - dx: 7.62 + model 1: 20.9| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 13.8| model 6: 9.9| model 7: 12.6| + dL: 98.85 + dm: 76.78 + dx: 5.09 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 30.4| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 12.3| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 5.4| model 7: 5.5| - dL: 34.67 - dm: 5.17 - dx: 0.75 + model 1: 20.4| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 13.8| + dL: 22.89 + dm: 0.85 + dx: 0.87 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.7| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 8.8| model 7: 9.8| - dL: 56.28 - dm: 4.38 - dx: 0.51 + model 1: 20.6| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 15.0| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 6.18 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.2| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 27.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 10.5| model 7: 12.9| - dL: 25.77 - dm: 0.57 - dx: 0.39 + model 1: 20.2| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 15.2| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 2.66 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.6| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 14.8| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 13.9| - dL: 20.56 - dm: 0.95 - dx: 0.57 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.52 + dm: 0.37 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.8| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 15.1| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 31.68 - dm: 0.78 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 19.4| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.07 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.4| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -33.81 - dm: 2.36 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 12.71 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.7| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.02 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 2.07 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.7| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 6.89 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 3.02 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.4| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 16.95 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 18.0| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -5.16 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -15.32 - dm: 0.70 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 19.0| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 15.6| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 11.28 + dm: 0.37 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.7| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 2.01 + model 1: 18.9| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -7.94 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.07 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.9| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 1.36 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 18.9| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -10.53 + dm: 1.05 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.8| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 21.2| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 8.52 - dm: 0.02 + model 1: 19.4| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 4.74 + dm: 0.26 dx: 0.07 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 6.8| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 12.32 - dm: 0.42 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 19.4| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 16.06 + dm: 0.70 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -10.60 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.94 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.0| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -5.10 - dm: 0.50 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 18.9| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 6.3| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -9.20 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.0| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.09 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 19.1| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 6.8| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 6.16 + dm: 0.58 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.4| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.97 - dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -2.11 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.0| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 12.77 - dm: 0.53 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 18.9| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 7.6| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 6.36 + dm: 0.75 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.1| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 19.7| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 2.55 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 18.9| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 7.8| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -4.32 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 2.73 - dm: 0.54 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 19.1| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 7.74 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.3| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.9| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -8.14 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.8| model 4: 20.0| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -6.14 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.0| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.0| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.49 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 19.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 5.60 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.0| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.2| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -1.17 - dm: 0.01 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.4| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.91 + dm: 0.73 dx: 0.07 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.1| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.9| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 2.25 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.5| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.82 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.8| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.3| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -7.30 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.9| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.93 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -1.44 - dm: 0.69 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.9| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -6.37 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.3| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.6| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 1.56 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 20.1| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.6| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 6.41 + dm: 0.90 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.3| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.5| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.22 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 20.4| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.79 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.4| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.5| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.71 - dm: 0.14 + model 1: 20.2| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.0| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.30 + dm: 0.16 dx: 0.04 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.4| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -2.52 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 20.3| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.0| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.21 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 19.8| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.09 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 20.1| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.3| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.49 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 19.6| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -7.17 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 20.0| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.5| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.13 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.0| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 6.60 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 20.2| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.3| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 3.53 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 6.8| model 4: 19.8| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -8.54 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 20.4| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.1| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.78 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.8| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 20.19 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 20.4| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.3| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 15.2| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -4.98 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.8| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -1.52 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 20.4| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.3| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 15.2| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.56 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.6| model 4: 19.9| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -12.01 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 20.7| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.8| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 15.2| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.45 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 19.7| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 7.98 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 20.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.0| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 15.2| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 4.49 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.0| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 3.30 - dm: 0.44 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 20.1| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.9| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 15.2| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -2.40 + dm: 0.48 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.1| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 20.0| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -7.86 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 20.1| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.7| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.46 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 19.9| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 6.61 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 20.3| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.4| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.08 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.1| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 19.7| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -14.00 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 20.3| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.4| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.89 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 20.1| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 17.99 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 20.8| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.56 + dm: 0.44 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 19.7| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.93 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 20.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.1| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.64 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.0| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.8| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 3.80 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 20.9| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.6| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.12 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.8| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.2| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.64 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 20.8| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 15.2| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -2.69 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.7| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.5| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -1.10 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 20.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.4| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 15.2| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 3.85 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.7| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.6| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 11.35 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 20.7| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.9| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -9.46 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.09 diff --git a/hbi_output/1259/150_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1259/150_180_extreme/hbi.log index 5a435fb2d29e050af3f08fc4f6599c47066315c0..5d7e4522a33020c054f510c5f23a8a62bc48d91c 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1259/150_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1259/150_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 20:51:03 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 07:37:39 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,122 +17,98 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 1.8| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 207.76 - dm: 36.62 - dx: 13.56 + model 1: 55.2| model 2: 9.4| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.5| + dL: 164.36 + dm: 44.75 + dx: 10.96 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.9| model 2: 10.4| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 3.5| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 26.48 - dm: 3.51 - dx: 0.47 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 9.5| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.3| + dL: 4.26 + dm: 7.26 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.9| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 4.7| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 31.69 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 65.4| model 2: 9.5| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| + dL: 5.92 + dm: 2.92 + dx: 0.89 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.9| model 2: 9.6| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.2| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.0| - dL: -16.83 - dm: 1.03 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 66.2| model 2: 9.4| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| + dL: 1.87 + dm: 0.76 + dx: 1.21 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.8| model 2: 9.4| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 12.3| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 4.71 - dm: 0.89 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 66.4| model 2: 9.3| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| + dL: 0.80 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.68 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.7| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.0| - dL: 1.25 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 1.42 + model 1: 66.4| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| + dL: 0.39 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.82 Iteration 08 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.5| model 2: 9.1| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| - dL: 0.87 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.40 -Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 66.4| model 2: 9.1| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| - dL: 0.75 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.44 -Iteration 10 + dL: 0.20 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.87 +Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 66.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| - dL: 0.63 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.61 -Iteration 11 + dL: 0.10 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.76 +Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 66.4| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| - dL: 0.47 + dL: 0.06 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.78 + dx: 0.55 +Iteration 11 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 66.3| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 66.3| model 2: 8.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| - dL: 0.29 + dL: 0.02 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.89 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 66.3| model 2: 8.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| - dL: 0.14 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.86 + dL: 0.02 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 66.3| model 2: 8.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| - dL: 0.05 + dL: 0.01 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.67 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 66.3| model 2: 8.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| - dL: 0.02 + dL: 0.01 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.43 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 66.3| model 2: 8.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| dL: 0.01 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.26 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 66.3| model 2: 8.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.17 -Iteration 18 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.3| model 2: 8.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 19 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.3| model 2: 8.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 20 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.3| model 2: 8.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.11 -Iteration 21 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.3| model 2: 8.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 0.1| - dL: -0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.01 + dx: 0.00 Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1259/150_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1259/150_360_equal/hbi.log index e6e790104638787d01f086dbd9a98026410153f4..9880b83cf6563b6d22974949169f832e8d26fa4c 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1259/150_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1259/150_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 21:01:07 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 07:43:24 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 32.8| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 11.3| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 9.6| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.6| - dL: 220.47 - dm: 67.21 - dx: 3.73 + model 1: 18.8| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 17.5| model 6: 10.4| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 125.23 + dm: 75.99 + dx: 7.43 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 28.0| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 10.0| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 16.0| model 6: 6.6| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 56.79 - dm: 4.80 - dx: 0.63 + model 1: 15.6| model 2: 10.7| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 19.6| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 14.9| + dL: 34.36 + dm: 1.68 + dx: 0.94 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.6| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 8.8| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 18.8| model 6: 9.5| model 7: 1.4| - dL: -4.92 - dm: 1.73 - dx: 9.97 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 20.6| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 15.2| + dL: 3.85 + dm: 0.89 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.6| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 20.0| model 6: 10.5| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 17.12 - dm: 0.97 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 9.5| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 21.0| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 15.2| + dL: 12.64 + dm: 0.55 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 9.6| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 20.5| model 6: 10.8| model 7: 9.5| - dL: 21.47 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 15.5| model 2: 9.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 21.2| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 15.2| + dL: 0.53 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.34 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 9.4| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 20.9| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 41.96 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 15.3| model 2: 9.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 15.2| + dL: 2.48 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.2| model 2: 9.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 21.2| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 15.1| - dL: 2.38 - dm: 1.53 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 15.3| model 2: 9.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 15.2| + dL: 1.16 + dm: 0.63 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 15.2| - dL: -6.30 - dm: 0.92 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 15.3| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 15.2| + dL: -2.25 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 9.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 15.2| - dL: 15.17 - dm: 0.57 + model 1: 15.2| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 15.2| + dL: 0.70 + dm: 0.30 dx: 0.06 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.5| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 15.2| - dL: -3.20 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 15.2| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -7.51 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.4| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.1| model 7: 15.2| - dL: 4.54 - dm: 0.69 + model 1: 15.2| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -2.15 + dm: 0.00 dx: 0.05 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.3| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 15.2| - dL: 1.86 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 15.2| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -3.05 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.3| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -2.36 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 15.4| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -0.93 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.2| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -7.19 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.33 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.2| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -3.10 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.29 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.2| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -2.65 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.23 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.4| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -0.84 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.18 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.51 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.14 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.72 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.12 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.41 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.16 + dL: 10.68 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.31 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 15.3| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -10.19 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.85 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.27 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -0.86 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.23 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.14 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.21 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.17 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.18 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 1.95 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 1.50 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.03 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.41 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.38 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -1.52 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 16.1| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -1.41 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.30 + dL: -0.11 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.04 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.13 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.15 - dm: 0.13 + dL: 2.27 + dm: 0.02 dx: 0.38 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 2.01 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.36 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -0.50 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.46 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -0.03 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.47 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.40 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.45 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -1.57 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -0.06 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.64 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -0.20 + model 1: 15.5| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -2.88 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.33 + dx: 1.47 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.08 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.36 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.30 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 2.26 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.33 + dL: 0.14 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -0.31 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.40 + dL: 0.11 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -2.00 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.09 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 2.39 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 2.42 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -0.35 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 2.55 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.29 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 15.4| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 9.23 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 1.42 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -0.30 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 15.3| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 1.66 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.44 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.31 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 15.3| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.19 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -0.31 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 15.3| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 24.9| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -1.56 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.31 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 15.3| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -8.74 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -0.46 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 15.2| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 8.68 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.10 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 15.2| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -5.95 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -1.64 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 15.3| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 7.77 + dm: 0.35 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -0.31 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 15.2| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -0.01 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 0.05 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 15.3| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 21.3| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.07 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.10 diff --git a/hbi_output/1259/150_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1259/150_360_extreme/hbi.log index e77d37767afbd488d62d40402474d9cb1560354d..f4672f4b4f107431683b00da96bd2fff78555d80 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1259/150_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1259/150_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 21:06:00 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 07:55:40 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.0| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.2| model 7: 1.2| - dL: 197.22 - dm: 39.95 - dx: 11.79 + model 1: 52.3| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 5.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 179.59 + dm: 47.66 + dx: 9.58 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.9| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 4.1| model 6: 2.5| model 7: 2.2| - dL: 41.34 - dm: 1.87 - dx: 0.99 + model 1: 58.1| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 17.1| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 15.60 + dm: 5.74 + dx: 0.59 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 3.2| model 7: 2.6| - dL: 0.50 - dm: 0.79 - dx: 0.67 + model 1: 59.9| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 15.3| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 15.11 + dm: 1.83 + dx: 0.55 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.0| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 26.38 - dm: 0.83 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 59.9| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -16.77 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.84 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.5| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 21.38 - dm: 0.49 - dx: 2.48 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 9.07 + dm: 0.91 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -4.78 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.68 + model 1: 61.1| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.66 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.38 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.2| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.30 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.45 + model 1: 61.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 3.76 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.3| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 3.18 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 61.3| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 2.36 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.37 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.7| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -1.61 - dm: 0.60 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 61.3| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -0.13 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.3| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 6.57 - dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.37 + dL: 2.43 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.7| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -6.64 - dm: 0.61 - dx: 0.36 + model 1: 61.3| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -0.70 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.50 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.3| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 5.67 - dm: 0.65 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 60.7| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -2.28 + dm: 0.62 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.7| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -5.62 + model 1: 61.3| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 5.12 dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.23 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 15 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 5.85 - dm: 0.64 - dx: 0.38 -Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -9.02 + dL: -5.67 dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.23 -Iteration 17 + dx: 0.19 +Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 9.11 + dL: 5.85 dm: 0.64 - dx: 0.36 -Iteration 18 + dx: 0.40 +Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -8.90 + dL: -5.86 dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.24 -Iteration 19 + dx: 0.18 +Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 7.13 + dL: 5.91 dm: 0.64 - dx: 0.31 -Iteration 20 + dx: 0.38 +Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.33 + dL: -9.11 dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.08 + dx: 0.20 +Iteration 20 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 9.12 + dm: 0.64 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -7.95 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -9.35 + dm: 0.63 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 8.01 - dm: 0.65 - dx: 0.47 + dL: 9.35 + dm: 0.63 + dx: 0.35 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -7.96 - dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.08 + dL: -8.95 + dm: 0.63 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 4.26 + dL: 8.84 dm: 0.63 - dx: 0.32 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 4.99 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -9.13 + dm: 0.63 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -5.74 - dm: 0.65 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 9.28 + dm: 0.64 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.90 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -9.29 dm: 0.63 - dx: 0.33 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 4.15 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.26 + dL: 4.16 + dm: 0.63 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -5.11 - dm: 0.64 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 4.77 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 5.94 - dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -5.50 + dm: 0.65 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -2.61 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 5.68 dm: 0.63 - dx: 0.21 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -6.19 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.08 + dL: 0.88 + dm: 0.63 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 6.33 - dm: 0.63 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -9.61 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -6.94 - dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 3.33 + dm: 0.65 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 3.96 - dm: 0.64 - dx: 0.47 + dL: 5.16 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 36 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 5.67 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.34 -Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -1.24 + dL: 1.04 dm: 0.65 - dx: 0.20 -Iteration 38 + dx: 0.34 +Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -8.45 + dL: -10.18 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 39 + dx: 0.05 +Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 3.41 + dL: 4.29 dm: 0.63 - dx: 0.31 -Iteration 40 + dx: 0.27 +Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 6.29 + dL: 0.24 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.21 + dx: 0.36 +Iteration 40 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 61.5| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 3.62 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -6.13 - dm: 0.65 - dx: 0.27 + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.64 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.86 - dm: 0.63 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -8.08 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.17 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.34 + dL: 4.25 + dm: 0.64 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.5| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 3.79 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 4.92 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.59 + dL: -5.63 dm: 0.65 dx: 0.24 Iteration 46 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -9.89 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.24 -Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 9.49 - dm: 0.64 - dx: 0.33 -Iteration 48 + dL: 5.78 + dm: 0.63 + dx: 0.32 +Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -9.45 - dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.23 -Iteration 49 + dL: -9.02 + dm: 0.63 + dx: 0.24 +Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 9.38 + dL: 9.05 dm: 0.63 - dx: 0.33 -Iteration 50 + dx: 0.32 +Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -8.95 + dL: -2.58 dm: 0.63 dx: 0.25 +Iteration 50 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -6.37 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 7.39 + dL: 3.35 dm: 0.63 - dx: 0.28 + dx: 0.27 diff --git a/hbi_output/1259/300_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1259/300_180_equal/hbi.log index 96092e9232536c98eeef60c97ad10864e1b2705b..fdfb4ec5cfd824bcdc1aea61ee699c2119501d46 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1259/300_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1259/300_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 21:12:19 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 08:09:00 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 32.4| model 2: 18.4| model 3: 16.2| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 1.9| model 7: 2.8| - dL: 270.77 - dm: 67.62 - dx: 2.40 + model 1: 18.7| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 15.0| model 6: 9.7| model 7: 12.6| + dL: 178.58 + dm: 77.56 + dx: 6.67 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 28.9| model 2: 16.0| model 3: 13.9| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 4.6| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 83.81 - dm: 3.44 - dx: 0.78 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 10.3| model 7: 13.6| + dL: 42.78 + dm: 1.88 + dx: 1.56 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.2| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 11.8| model 4: 27.1| model 5: 14.3| model 6: 7.6| model 7: 0.9| - dL: 57.14 - dm: 4.23 - dx: 8.05 + model 1: 17.1| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 10.4| model 7: 13.8| + dL: 19.86 + dm: 1.71 + dx: 0.44 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.0| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 10.5| model 4: 28.7| model 5: 15.6| model 6: 9.2| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 37.45 - dm: 1.63 - dx: 0.62 + model 1: 17.5| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 10.5| model 7: 13.9| + dL: 5.88 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 9.4| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 9.8| model 7: 5.6| - dL: 47.69 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.59 + model 1: 17.6| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 2.18 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 28.5| model 5: 16.5| model 6: 10.1| model 7: 9.8| - dL: 38.68 - dm: 0.45 - dx: 0.65 + model 1: 17.5| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.8| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.61 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 27.3| model 5: 16.7| model 6: 10.2| model 7: 12.5| - dL: 18.45 - dm: 1.16 - dx: 0.46 + model 1: 17.5| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.27 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.5| model 6: 10.4| model 7: 13.6| - dL: -5.53 - dm: 1.08 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 17.5| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.15 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.3| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.4| model 7: 13.8| - dL: 3.66 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.3| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 13.9| - dL: 1.25 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.10 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 7.51 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.09 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.3| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -3.92 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.09 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.57 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.10 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.38 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.09 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.29 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.08 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.25 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.10 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.05 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.23 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.12 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.66 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.07 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.19 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.07 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.6| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 2.09 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -1.32 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.17 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -4.80 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.01 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.18 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.00 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.74 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.10 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.28 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 3.64 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.07 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -4.52 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.03 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 1.35 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.02 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.20 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.17 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.17 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.16 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.16 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.15 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.14 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.14 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.07 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.14 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.14 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.16 + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.84 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.17 + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.96 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.19 - dm: 0.11 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.09 + dm: 0.00 dx: 0.13 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.10 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.16 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.17 + dL: 0.09 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.64 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.20 + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.76 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.17 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.13 - dm: 0.03 + dL: 0.15 + dm: 0.00 dx: 0.19 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.11 - dm: 0.01 + dL: -0.07 + dm: 0.03 dx: 0.21 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.12 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.23 + dL: 0.08 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 17.4| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 16.9| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.10 + dL: 0.05 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.24 + dx: 0.21 diff --git a/hbi_output/1259/300_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1259/300_180_extreme/hbi.log index 4e5bc2593ba04e5f84c4a6b049692bfb4b73241d..07d60e508075a3410f01e668478d04c22fa2a685 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1259/300_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1259/300_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 21:18:02 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 08:31:10 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,176 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.0| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 3.2| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 0.9| - dL: 447.86 - dm: 40.03 - dx: 11.20 + model 1: 50.9| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 3.6| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 308.65 + dm: 49.07 + dx: 7.42 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.1| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 2.5| model 6: 2.5| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 74.85 - dm: 2.12 - dx: 1.64 + model 1: 57.0| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 19.93 + dm: 6.03 + dx: 0.59 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 3.2| model 7: 2.1| - dL: 23.24 - dm: 1.03 - dx: 0.60 + model 1: 58.9| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 16.4| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 6.28 + dm: 1.90 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.5| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 4.2| model 6: 3.5| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.79 - dm: 0.51 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 59.5| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 2.48 + dm: 0.65 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.8| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 3.6| model 7: 2.4| - dL: 7.29 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 59.8| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -1.46 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.7| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 0.1| model 4: 16.2| model 5: 4.7| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.6| - dL: 4.59 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.65 + model 1: 60.1| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 1.01 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 16.3| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 9.77 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.56 + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 3.58 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.3| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 5.95 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 4.81 + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.03 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 3.02 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.59 + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.15 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.0| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -2.46 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.56 + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.39 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -0.19 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.10 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.39 + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.19 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.06 + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.09 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.32 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.04 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.02 + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.01 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.15 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.01 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.12 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.01 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.10 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.00 + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.03 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.00 + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -0.02 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.02 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.00 + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.02 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.01 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.01 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 30 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 +Iteration 31 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 +Iteration 32 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 +Iteration 33 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.03 +Iteration 34 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.03 +Iteration 35 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.03 +Iteration 36 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.04 +Iteration 37 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.05 +Iteration 38 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.05 +Iteration 39 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -0.14 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.06 +Iteration 40 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.21 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.28 +Iteration 41 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.13 +Iteration 42 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.15 +Iteration 43 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.17 +Iteration 44 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.20 +Iteration 45 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.08 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.24 +Iteration 46 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.08 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.27 +Iteration 47 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.09 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.31 +Iteration 48 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.09 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.35 +Iteration 49 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.08 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.37 +Iteration 50 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.38 +Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 60.2| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.00 + dL: 0.05 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.01 - Converged :] + dx: 0.37 diff --git a/hbi_output/1259/300_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1259/300_360_equal/hbi.log index 8f8f289d17defa2c0edd603d62f0bac2207ae3d8..9b99e4578f5882c6d7981af6b94b3fefc3aa4dbf 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1259/300_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1259/300_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-28 21:20:32 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 08:48:59 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 31.0| model 2: 20.5| model 3: 12.8| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 8.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 3.5| - dL: 274.37 - dm: 69.00 - dx: 12.22 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 16.3| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 243.92 + dm: 77.65 + dx: 8.56 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.2| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 14.1| model 6: 6.9| model 7: 10.1| - dL: 199.34 - dm: 2.08 - dx: 0.89 + model 1: 14.1| model 2: 15.4| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 11.8| model 7: 15.2| + dL: 41.88 + dm: 0.68 + dx: 1.20 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.0| model 2: 15.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 16.6| model 6: 10.5| model 7: 14.2| - dL: 91.06 - dm: 2.06 - dx: 0.54 + model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 18.0| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 17.69 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 17.7| model 6: 11.9| model 7: 15.2| - dL: 65.58 - dm: 1.11 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 18.3| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 6.44 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 18.3| model 6: 11.9| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 23.87 - dm: 1.36 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 18.5| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -0.95 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 18.5| model 6: 11.9| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 3.08 - dm: 0.78 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.6| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 9.20 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 18.6| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 15.83 - dm: 0.49 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 14.6| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 18.6| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -9.50 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 18.6| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -32.50 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 18.6| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 7.85 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 18.6| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -11.03 - dm: 0.89 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 14.6| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 18.6| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -14.62 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 18.6| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -9.87 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 28.88 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 18.6| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 2.45 - dm: 0.66 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 14.6| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -10.13 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 5.39 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -1.28 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 4.36 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 3.20 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 65.83 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 0.12 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -1.94 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 14.6| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -9.93 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.6| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 1.04 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.43 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 25.41 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -18.17 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -10.92 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 16.79 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 9.23 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -10.84 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -7.58 + dm: 0.58 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 16.61 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 6.86 + dm: 0.53 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -17.72 - dm: 0.51 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -6.84 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 10.27 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 9.56 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -7.04 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 14.6| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -14.79 + dm: 0.48 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 9.37 - dm: 0.26 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 5.36 + dm: 0.22 dx: 0.03 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 5.03 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 14.6| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -7.21 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 3.53 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 5.95 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -14.91 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -5.34 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -2.69 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 19.89 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -5.49 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 14.6| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -8.14 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 9.70 - dm: 0.40 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 5.14 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -4.79 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -18.63 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 4.20 - dm: 0.20 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 2.54 + dm: 0.07 dx: 0.09 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -17.11 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -9.81 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 12.62 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 3.89 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -14.52 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -8.46 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 13.07 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 19.91 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -25.07 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.08 + dL: -9.06 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 10.86 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 3.97 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 7.08 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -10.07 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 17.00 - dm: 0.58 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 3.74 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -16.22 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -8.56 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 10.09 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 4.96 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -10.79 - dm: 0.58 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -7.67 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 12.55 - dm: 0.47 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 5.62 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -13.30 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 14.6| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -7.11 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 6.90 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 14.46 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -6.79 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 14.6| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -9.17 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -4.12 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 5.50 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -4.43 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 14.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -5.22 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 6.24 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 18.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 4.63 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.08 diff --git a/hbi_output/1259/300_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1259/300_360_extreme/hbi.log index e884a5c267e3b4629b5c889dde502d8ecdbc0d50..93c90eeb60ee9e9a577717146c574e1da99a50f9 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1259/300_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1259/300_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 09:04:55 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 09:11:24 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.4| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 0.8| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 419.11 - dm: 37.63 - dx: 9.64 + model 1: 55.3| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 324.70 + dm: 44.70 + dx: 6.98 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 9.5| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 1.4| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 18.22 - dm: 2.27 - dx: 0.54 + model 1: 61.4| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 37.60 + dm: 6.11 + dx: 0.45 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.8| model 7: 2.6| - dL: 42.95 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 63.3| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 13.72 + dm: 1.87 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.9| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.1| model 7: 2.8| - dL: 21.94 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 63.7| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 26.88 + dm: 0.37 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.7| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.2| model 7: 2.9| - dL: 12.84 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -10.15 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.2| model 7: 2.9| - dL: -15.92 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 63.8| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -2.76 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.0| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.2| model 7: 2.9| - dL: 11.40 - dm: 0.46 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -1.41 + dm: 0.17 dx: 0.06 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.7| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 11.2| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 16.66 - dm: 0.23 + model 1: 63.8| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 10.84 + dm: 0.18 dx: 0.07 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -11.31 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 63.8| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 7.40 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 13.48 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 5.72 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.7| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -16.22 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 9.5| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 6.81 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.8| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 11.2| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 27.65 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 64.2| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 9.3| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 2.78 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.8| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 21.10 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 64.2| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -0.57 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.7| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 7.72 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 64.2| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 0.43 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.0| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 7.65 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 0.50 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.0| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 13.71 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 4.15 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.0| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -2.54 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 1.29 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.8| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -2.11 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 1.52 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.8| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 9.3| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -4.80 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -11.62 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 9.3| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 10.59 - dm: 0.44 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 1.78 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.2| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 5.47 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -5.28 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.2| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 2.07 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 0.63 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -4.50 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -8.41 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -0.37 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 7.03 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -4.36 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -5.91 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 3.69 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 1.17 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.03 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -5.29 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -7.96 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 8.13 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 3.93 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 13.16 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 9.2| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 8.78 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -3.82 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 9.3| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -4.04 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 1.60 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 64.2| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 5.86 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.74 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -5.98 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 2.11 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 0.16 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.94 - dm: 0.04 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -2.30 + dm: 0.02 dx: 0.03 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 3.43 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 2.52 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -18.51 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 3.62 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.2| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 4.61 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 9.2| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -10.22 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.2| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 16.41 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 9.2| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -0.61 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -1.60 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 3.27 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -1.96 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 9.2| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 8.10 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -11.03 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 9.2| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -1.34 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 7.31 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -2.99 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.62 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 10.14 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -0.19 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -8.33 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -0.70 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 3.57 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -6.91 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -0.49 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 3.82 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -3.32 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -21.82 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 2.79 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.2| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 1.10 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 1.42 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 4.51 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 3.0| + dL: -3.37 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.03 diff --git a/hbi_output/1261/150_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1261/150_180_equal/hbi.log index 0eccc6ea0f1944749ebd235f52203a16312a1b81..b5d5a303932b4cee4e6f460ebe0baa73f5ea5c98 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1261/150_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1261/150_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 08:59:11 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 11:04:38 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 29.3| model 2: 21.5| model 3: 16.6| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 1.9| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 107.15 - dm: 70.66 - dx: 12.47 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 12.4| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 10.3| + dL: 118.36 + dm: 74.92 + dx: 9.79 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 25.5| model 2: 20.1| model 3: 12.3| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 8.8| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 4.0| - dL: 31.11 - dm: 3.82 - dx: 0.69 + model 1: 14.4| model 2: 18.6| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 11.5| + dL: 23.84 + dm: 0.62 + dx: 1.31 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.1| model 2: 19.8| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 28.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 6.9| model 7: 6.5| - dL: 22.27 - dm: 3.28 - dx: 0.42 + model 1: 14.0| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.1| model 7: 11.8| + dL: 6.08 + dm: 0.52 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 19.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 30.0| model 5: 11.1| model 6: 10.2| model 7: 9.4| - dL: 32.74 - dm: 1.36 - dx: 0.43 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.1| model 7: 11.8| + dL: 1.66 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 11.5| model 6: 12.5| model 7: 11.4| - dL: 27.18 - dm: 0.96 - dx: 0.51 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.2| model 7: 11.8| + dL: 0.38 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 28.5| model 5: 11.7| model 6: 13.2| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 33.09 - dm: 0.55 - dx: 0.58 + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.2| model 7: 11.8| + dL: -2.98 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.0| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 5.30 - dm: 1.93 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.2| model 7: 11.8| + dL: -0.31 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 4.95 - dm: 0.73 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.2| model 7: 11.9| + dL: 1.94 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -0.96 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 11.9| + dL: 2.25 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.5| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 6.61 - dm: 0.65 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -1.96 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.5| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -0.44 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 1.96 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 7.98 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -0.74 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 1.28 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.09 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -10.56 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 13.0| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -0.77 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.4| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 14.68 - dm: 0.59 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 1.25 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -11.76 - dm: 0.84 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 2.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 6.19 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 13.0| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -2.37 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -8.25 + model 1: 13.0| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -2.05 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.18 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -13.28 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 2.90 + dm: 0.53 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 8.97 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -4.02 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -2.30 - dm: 0.67 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -0.45 + dm: 0.61 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -0.82 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 2.09 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -0.04 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -5.37 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 1.35 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 27.5| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 5.03 + dm: 0.49 + dx: 0.60 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -1.41 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.42 + dm: 0.44 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -0.57 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.09 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -0.15 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -1.13 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.02 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.17 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 0.63 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -1.55 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 2.72 - dm: 0.42 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -2.20 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.20 + dL: 0.90 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.4| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 2.21 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.36 + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -0.85 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.4| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -0.25 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -0.02 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.4| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -1.63 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 1.07 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.4| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 2.97 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.59 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -1.11 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.45 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 1.02 - dm: 0.23 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 2.03 + dm: 0.19 dx: 0.08 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 2.54 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 13.0| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -1.05 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -0.92 - dm: 0.54 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 13.0| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -1.70 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -0.54 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.63 + dm: 0.50 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 0.47 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -1.77 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -2.06 - dm: 0.23 + model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -0.20 + dm: 0.31 dx: 0.10 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -0.30 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -0.32 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 1.47 + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 1.39 dm: 0.25 dx: 0.14 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 2.37 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.60 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.0| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -4.81 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.28 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.3| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 2.74 - dm: 0.71 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: -1.72 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.1| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: -1.60 - dm: 0.42 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 1.39 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 1.52 - dm: 0.26 + model 1: 13.2| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 0.45 + dm: 0.24 dx: 0.12 diff --git a/hbi_output/1261/150_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1261/150_180_extreme/hbi.log index df13119d15946e96e3908d9e448d36769eb195e0..b39f0478812a4784dfb63f2c45b071e8194a88bc 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1261/150_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1261/150_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 09:12:44 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 11:14:23 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,242 +17,218 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.4| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 15.3| model 5: 1.8| model 6: 0.5| model 7: 0.4| - dL: 210.27 - dm: 39.56 - dx: 11.84 + model 1: 54.2| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 169.39 + dm: 45.81 + dx: 9.31 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 2.1| model 6: 0.6| model 7: 0.8| - dL: 7.86 - dm: 2.92 - dx: 0.50 + model 1: 60.6| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 18.2| model 5: 2.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 12.88 + dm: 6.41 + dx: 0.54 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.2| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 1.2| - dL: 16.47 - dm: 0.84 - dx: 0.39 + model 1: 62.7| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 16.3| model 5: 2.4| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 7.16 + dm: 2.13 + dx: 0.59 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 2.05 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 63.1| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 2.14 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.52 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.4| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.44 - dm: 0.55 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 63.3| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 1.08 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.56 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.0| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 4.34 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.59 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.61 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.67 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.0| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 0.1| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.6| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 11.24 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.25 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.73 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.7| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 4.79 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 2.13 + model 1: 63.7| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.32 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.75 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.7| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.96 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.79 + model 1: 63.8| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.64 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.8| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.51 + dL: 0.09 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.82 + dx: 0.48 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.8| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.35 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.80 + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.8| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.13 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.67 + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.8| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.04 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.47 + model 1: 63.8| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.03 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.05 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.36 + model 1: 63.8| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.02 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.03 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.15 + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| dL: 0.01 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.12 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| dL: 0.01 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.10 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| dL: 0.01 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.09 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.01 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.09 + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.07 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.07 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 31 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 32 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 33 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.02 -Iteration 35 +Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.02 -Iteration 36 +Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.02 -Iteration 37 +Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 38 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 dx: 0.01 -Iteration 39 +Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.00 + dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.01 -Iteration 40 +Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.01 -Iteration 41 +Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.9| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.00 + dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.01 Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1261/150_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1261/150_360_equal/hbi.log index 22ecb33dd8ba2203085eadb1e0d9bf65094e39df..d385d3b1863c2f3767781057f0c4e9afa0943065 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1261/150_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1261/150_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 09:23:02 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 11:20:51 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 30.6| model 2: 18.8| model 3: 12.7| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 2.2| model 7: 3.4| - dL: 172.68 - dm: 69.37 - dx: 12.22 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 9.2| model 7: 15.8| + dL: 106.21 + dm: 73.69 + dx: 8.83 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 23.7| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 6.8| model 4: 27.5| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 4.9| model 7: 9.3| - dL: 94.19 - dm: 2.29 - dx: 0.65 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 28.2| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 9.9| model 7: 17.8| + dL: 46.32 + dm: 1.94 + dx: 0.94 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 28.8| model 5: 11.6| model 6: 8.0| model 7: 15.2| - dL: 34.22 - dm: 1.30 - dx: 0.39 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 27.6| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 14.00 + dm: 0.64 + dx: 0.42 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 29.4| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 9.7| model 7: 17.6| - dL: 32.15 - dm: 0.61 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 15.1| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 27.6| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 6.19 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.40 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 27.5| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 18.13 - dm: 1.92 - dx: 0.40 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 27.9| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 10.88 + dm: 0.35 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 10.11 - dm: 0.96 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 8.51 + dm: 1.46 + dx: 0.42 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 27.2| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 1.89 - dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 7.86 + dm: 0.70 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 27.7| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 13.29 - dm: 0.54 - dx: 1.12 + model 1: 14.4| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -5.58 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.34 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 27.5| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 2.69 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.75 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -0.11 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 1.17 - dm: 0.51 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -3.57 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 0.97 - dm: 0.43 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 7.51 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.34 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 1.51 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -4.76 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.44 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -0.33 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -10.80 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -1.08 - dm: 0.40 - dx: 0.78 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 11.79 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 3.51 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -1.44 + dm: 0.56 + dx: 0.46 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 10.21 - dm: 0.51 - dx: 0.62 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.0| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -0.71 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -1.22 - dm: 0.79 - dx: 0.46 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.0| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 2.37 + dm: 0.37 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 15.56 - dm: 0.92 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 1.43 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.38 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.1| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -16.29 - dm: 0.73 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 4.55 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.2| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -0.27 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 15.9| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 7.79 + dm: 1.12 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.2| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 8.11 - dm: 1.20 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 15.5| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -15.24 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.1| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -6.36 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 15.1| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 16.26 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.1| model 2: 15.5| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -14.72 - dm: 0.38 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 15.1| model 2: 15.5| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -8.33 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 29.24 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 15.5| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -0.87 + dm: 0.63 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -22.51 - dm: 0.42 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 10.78 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 4.35 - dm: 0.61 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 1.36 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 6.83 - dm: 0.84 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 0.08 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 0.87 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -7.43 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -7.83 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -1.03 dm: 0.09 dx: 0.15 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -8.47 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 15.1| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -0.93 + dm: 0.95 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 4.85 - dm: 0.97 - dx: 0.54 + model 1: 15.1| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -2.51 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 17.15 - dm: 1.47 - dx: 0.82 + model 1: 15.1| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -10.38 + dm: 0.83 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -12.53 - dm: 1.08 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 15.1| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 6.84 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 10.60 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 0.07 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -1.84 - dm: 0.65 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 15.5| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 5.28 + dm: 0.60 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.1| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 13.14 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 16.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 4.43 + dm: 0.58 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -0.44 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -11.04 + dm: 1.19 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 1.50 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -2.58 + dm: 0.73 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -11.49 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 15.1| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -5.48 + dm: 0.93 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -1.40 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 14.08 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 8.01 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 8.28 + dm: 0.60 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.4| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -11.95 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 4.00 + dm: 0.79 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 11.59 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -9.51 + dm: 0.63 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.4| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 4.46 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -11.45 + dm: 0.62 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -15.54 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 15.1| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 15.20 + dm: 0.55 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 16.6| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 9.85 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -17.90 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 16.6| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 4.72 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 24.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 2.58 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.1| model 2: 15.9| model 3: 6.3| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 11.01 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 2.52 + dm: 0.72 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.0| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: -6.55 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: 20.04 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.0| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 6.8| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| - dL: 6.08 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 14.4| model 2: 15.4| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 18.0| + dL: -8.48 + dm: 0.87 + dx: 0.20 diff --git a/hbi_output/1261/150_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1261/150_360_extreme/hbi.log index 194f505f55aba832961aa4052a9e2c98d5290e43..76627bec6ce888e096c72e5bdca99f727b627f30 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1261/150_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1261/150_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 09:28:27 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 11:32:00 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.3| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 2.9| model 6: 1.5| model 7: 0.4| - dL: 215.97 - dm: 37.73 - dx: 8.70 + model 1: 56.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 4.1| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 179.60 + dm: 43.89 + dx: 5.06 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.9| model 7: 0.8| - dL: 42.46 - dm: 0.69 - dx: 0.88 + model 1: 61.6| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 16.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 17.06 + dm: 5.46 + dx: 0.62 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.0| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 7.8| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 3.2| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 36.90 - dm: 0.98 - dx: 0.45 + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 15.87 + dm: 1.19 + dx: 0.40 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.2| model 7: 1.1| - dL: 21.95 - dm: 0.48 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.94 + dm: 0.53 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.2| - dL: -20.68 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -3.43 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -3.70 - dm: 0.44 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 63.7| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 2.62 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -25.87 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 5.32 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 3.24 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -1.86 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.8| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -15.06 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -0.53 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.8| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 12.3| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 6.44 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 12.39 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.7| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -7.91 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 12.0| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -0.44 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.7| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 2.57 - dm: 0.01 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -2.36 + dm: 0.13 dx: 0.06 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 12.3| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 16.57 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -5.77 + dm: 0.58 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 2.20 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 63.7| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 3.23 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.22 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 6.55 + dm: 0.44 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.63 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -8.16 + dm: 0.71 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -1.02 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 12.0| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -3.88 + dm: 0.86 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -7.63 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 18.04 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.7| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 20.42 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 62.3| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -16.43 + dm: 1.35 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -10.82 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 16.60 + dm: 0.91 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.0| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.3| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -4.08 - dm: 0.57 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -8.16 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.2| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 11.2| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -10.95 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 1.11 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -3.17 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -4.27 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.8| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 5.88 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 10.74 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 1.65 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -17.17 + dm: 0.54 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.90 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 63.8| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.24 + dm: 0.81 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 7.49 - dm: 0.40 - dx: 0.40 + model 1: 64.1| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 12.3| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 15.17 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 7.27 - dm: 0.42 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -3.23 + dm: 1.34 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 7.9| model 4: 9.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.57 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.59 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 7.8| model 4: 9.4| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -8.25 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 11.2| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -5.58 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.10 - dm: 0.44 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 5.57 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.7| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 4.80 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -2.18 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.35 - dm: 0.48 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 7.65 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 6.8| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 12.82 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -17.29 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.1| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 8.4| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.33 - dm: 1.02 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 63.6| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 7.72 + dm: 0.58 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 7.8| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -15.76 - dm: 0.63 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 63.5| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 1.22 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -1.08 - dm: 0.73 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.88 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.7| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -3.01 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 3.37 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.7| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.99 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -6.62 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 1.49 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 63.7| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 5.88 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 2.98 - dm: 0.38 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -1.45 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -13.33 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 2.95 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 11.2| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 1.42 - dm: 0.52 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 3.68 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 8.67 - dm: 0.51 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -12.14 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 11.2| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -8.58 - dm: 0.80 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 8.75 + dm: 0.44 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -1.32 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -0.00 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.8| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -1.06 - dm: 0.48 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -0.03 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.2| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 12.3| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -7.97 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -9.77 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 5.37 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 63.7| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 10.75 + dm: 0.37 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -4.53 - dm: 0.55 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -5.79 + dm: 0.64 + dx: 0.15 diff --git a/hbi_output/1261/300_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1261/300_180_equal/hbi.log index 2f4482dacaea8d5ec653fa4c78b6c17a958213df..f5c3ab1c683cf631173f99d462d716bb98c25cce 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1261/300_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1261/300_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 09:32:31 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 11:45:01 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 30.6| model 2: 20.5| model 3: 15.6| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 6.2| model 6: 2.2| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 330.81 - dm: 69.37 - dx: 8.08 + model 1: 18.0| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 12.7| model 6: 10.7| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 178.29 + dm: 76.49 + dx: 5.89 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.7| model 2: 19.6| model 3: 14.2| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 5.1| model 7: 5.9| - dL: 90.87 - dm: 5.92 - dx: 1.94 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 12.7| model 6: 11.4| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 41.20 + dm: 0.94 + dx: 1.41 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.9| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 10.8| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 8.2| model 7: 10.1| - dL: 54.39 - dm: 1.33 - dx: 0.83 + model 1: 16.9| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.4| model 7: 14.2| + dL: 13.26 + dm: 0.37 + dx: 0.40 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 17.6| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 10.0| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 41.76 - dm: 1.31 - dx: 0.52 + model 1: 17.1| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.4| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 8.60 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 12.4| model 6: 10.8| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 24.80 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.4| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 18.88 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 12.7| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 14.1| - dL: -3.20 - dm: 0.66 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.4| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -1.44 + dm: 0.62 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.3| model 7: 14.2| - dL: 19.49 - dm: 1.13 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 12.7| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -0.04 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.4| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 12.7| model 6: 11.4| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -3.21 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 12.7| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 3.43 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 12.7| model 6: 11.4| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 5.26 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 12.7| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 0.50 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 12.7| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -1.63 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -1.59 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.4| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -7.33 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -8.98 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.6| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 11.44 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 9.75 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -12.48 - dm: 0.42 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -3.14 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 3.51 - dm: 0.60 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 12.7| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -2.54 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 27.2| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 6.61 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 5.19 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.4| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -8.53 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -5.04 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 27.1| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 2.42 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 4.95 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.4| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 0.38 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -12.83 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.4| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 9.33 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 2.81 + dm: 0.44 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.4| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 5.41 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 3.25 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 4.31 - dm: 0.59 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 1.44 + dm: 0.52 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -11.00 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 1.79 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 7.28 - dm: 0.64 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -1.81 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -3.23 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -4.53 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 3.41 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 4.97 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -4.67 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -4.21 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 5.03 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 3.70 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.6| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -3.62 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 0.03 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 4.75 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 5.17 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -0.47 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -5.42 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 0.15 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 0.12 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.4| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 1.68 - dm: 0.03 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 1.34 + dm: 0.32 dx: 0.05 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 3.64 - dm: 0.24 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 3.73 + dm: 0.07 dx: 0.05 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -11.95 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -10.31 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -1.33 - dm: 0.47 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 5.52 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 3.92 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -4.77 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 5.88 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 0.03 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -3.68 - dm: 0.49 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 7.55 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -3.67 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -3.40 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -7.68 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 5.54 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 12.81 - dm: 0.43 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 1.48 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 4.83 - dm: 0.67 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -5.49 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -4.24 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 4.00 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -5.18 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -4.16 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 4.61 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 4.35 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -8.40 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -4.46 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 8.02 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 5.87 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -5.14 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -6.61 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 1.56 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 1.74 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -0.26 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 0.19 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.05 diff --git a/hbi_output/1261/300_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1261/300_180_extreme/hbi.log index 5ce7df62c96692e6dc74ce0e0535b498a5ef58fb..cc05407d54a021b6248e3a80f749b2b0e678d5c9 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1261/300_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1261/300_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 09:35:18 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 12:07:12 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,128 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.1| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 7.6| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 2.8| model 6: 1.4| model 7: 0.4| - dL: 377.59 - dm: 38.95 - dx: 14.10 + model 1: 53.6| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 306.50 + dm: 46.36 + dx: 11.52 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.1| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 2.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 66.24 - dm: 4.03 - dx: 1.84 + model 1: 60.3| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 4.2| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 25.84 + dm: 6.66 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.2| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 3.8| model 7: 1.1| - dL: 12.90 - dm: 0.91 - dx: 0.39 + model 1: 61.9| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 18.93 + dm: 1.65 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 3.7| model 6: 3.9| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 26.56 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 62.0| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 3.9| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -3.21 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 3.8| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 2.47 - dm: 0.89 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 3.9| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 7.48 + dm: 0.48 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 3.9| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 4.53 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 62.3| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 3.9| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -2.44 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 3.9| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 13.35 + model 1: 62.3| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 3.72 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.07 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 12.3| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -16.69 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 62.3| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 9.47 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 4.33 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -5.98 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.95 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 4.60 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -3.40 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.69 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 13.33 - dm: 0.43 + model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -1.84 + dm: 0.00 dx: 0.09 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -13.85 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 2.15 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.39 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.66 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -5.52 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.84 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 18.98 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -1.23 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 12.3| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 2.34 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.47 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -3.69 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: -1.91 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.7| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -4.16 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.70 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -9.12 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 2.67 dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 22 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 2.46 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 23 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 15.97 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.21 -Iteration 24 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -28.26 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.29 -Iteration 25 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.7| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 21.71 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 26 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -26.31 - dm: 0.38 - dx: 0.18 -Iteration 27 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 31.12 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.28 -Iteration 28 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 12.3| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -15.97 - dm: 0.47 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 29 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 6.86 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 30 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -2.14 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 31 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -4.21 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 32 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 12.2| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -10.15 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.12 -Iteration 33 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 8.10 - dm: 0.04 dx: 0.04 -Iteration 34 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 12.3| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 7.93 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 35 +Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -4.04 + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| + dL: 0.76 dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.14 -Iteration 36 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -6.26 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.13 -Iteration 37 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 12.0| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 6.47 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 38 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -10.44 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.21 -Iteration 39 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -3.48 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.27 -Iteration 40 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 5.70 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 41 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 3.51 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.32 -Iteration 42 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.98 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.29 -Iteration 43 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 9.09 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 44 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.35 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 45 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -1.50 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 46 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 1.52 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.14 -Iteration 47 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -0.02 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.08 -Iteration 48 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 0.42 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.13 -Iteration 49 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 2.44 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 50 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -1.34 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.14 -Iteration 51 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 1.79 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.04 + dx: 0.01 + Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1261/300_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1261/300_360_equal/hbi.log index 49907d6cf020e414fd194b2ac65675ecaf3a2469..448995235ca8f395d88d96fbd011941e948d7ff1 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1261/300_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1261/300_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 09:38:24 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 12:19:12 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 33.9| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 14.2| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 3.4| model 7: 3.8| - dL: 335.57 - dm: 66.09 - dx: 13.39 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 21.0| model 5: 11.7| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 16.8| + dL: 189.50 + dm: 79.04 + dx: 9.91 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 26.1| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 8.9| model 7: 11.8| - dL: 172.89 - dm: 7.81 - dx: 0.98 + model 1: 17.9| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 12.6| model 7: 18.8| + dL: 82.16 + dm: 0.93 + dx: 1.44 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 11.6| model 6: 11.9| model 7: 17.4| - dL: 73.56 - dm: 2.10 - dx: 0.60 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 20.0| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 21.13 + dm: 1.93 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 12.6| model 7: 18.8| - dL: 31.92 - dm: 0.45 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 18.8| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 2.74 + dm: 0.64 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.1| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 50.07 - dm: 0.49 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 18.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 2.22 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.8| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 18.70 - dm: 1.65 - dx: 1.26 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -6.98 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 9.53 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 20.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -1.81 dm: 0.61 - dx: 0.16 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.7| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 9.93 - dm: 0.06 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 20.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 9.73 + dm: 0.00 dx: 0.07 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.4| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 20.0| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -9.88 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.45 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 3.80 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.7| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 5.60 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -2.28 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 5.29 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 18.0| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 20.0| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 2.51 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.1| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 19.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -1.57 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 20.0| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 1.31 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 19.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 5.40 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 19.7| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 3.44 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.4| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 19.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -2.32 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 20.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -5.23 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 19.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -1.91 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -14.59 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.0| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 14.16 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 8.36 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 14.75 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -0.36 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -7.75 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -2.44 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 19.7| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -12.85 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 5.38 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.7| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 18.16 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -11.09 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 19.7| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -8.32 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 7.60 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.7| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 19.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 17.16 - dm: 0.13 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 11.05 + dm: 0.01 dx: 0.03 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -18.84 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -5.70 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 19.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 16.59 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 20.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 3.85 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -11.47 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 20.0| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -2.19 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.8| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 9.42 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 20.0| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 13.58 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -11.56 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 20.0| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -4.84 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.9| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 3.95 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 20.0| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 5.69 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 1.60 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 19.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -5.69 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 0.30 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 19.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 5.72 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 5.64 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 19.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -0.35 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -1.65 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 19.7| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 5.37 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -8.65 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 19.6| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -5.31 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.7| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 15.32 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 19.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 1.12 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -24.05 - dm: 0.07 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 19.8| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -3.11 + dm: 0.08 dx: 0.05 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.7| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 15.98 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 18.0| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 19.7| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -2.42 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 6.11 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 17.9| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 19.7| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -17.25 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.6| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -6.04 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 8.63 + dm: 0.50 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -7.54 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 19.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -2.98 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.7| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 8.80 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 19.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 4.67 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.8| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -3.07 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 19.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -0.18 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.7| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 10.30 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 20.1| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 6.47 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -13.10 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -9.04 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.7| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 2.40 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 1.11 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.7| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 3.94 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 4.77 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.8| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 2.15 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 20.0| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 17.46 dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.03 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -3.14 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 20.0| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -6.01 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.6| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 0.01 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 19.9| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -7.61 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: -17.94 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 20.0| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: 2.95 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.8| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| - dL: 18.46 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 17.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 19.7| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 19.0| + dL: -11.21 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.07 diff --git a/hbi_output/1261/300_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1261/300_360_extreme/hbi.log index 7cf7bbb96ee4f21fa6a6ce991ed0bb1f3ebec0f6..188b89f439638a53fee1b67d449f9be0ed8d0652 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1261/300_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1261/300_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 09:59:34 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 12:41:51 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.8| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 4.2| model 6: 1.0| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 428.11 - dm: 41.17 - dx: 13.68 + model 1: 51.2| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 306.74 + dm: 48.75 + dx: 11.02 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.4| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.2| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 33.03 - dm: 1.60 - dx: 0.74 + model 1: 55.8| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 16.8| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 21.33 + dm: 4.56 + dx: 0.59 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.7| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 6.1| model 6: 2.8| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 47.60 - dm: 0.76 - dx: 0.46 + model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 20.14 + dm: 1.30 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.3| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 26.19 - dm: 1.35 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 57.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 23.33 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.7| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 29.49 - dm: 0.64 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 56.7| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 9.06 + dm: 0.56 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 3.41 - dm: 0.58 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 56.6| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -18.71 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.5| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 21.52 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -2.62 + dm: 0.49 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -12.54 - dm: 0.38 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 57.0| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -7.03 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.3| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -8.74 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 15.3| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 3.88 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.3| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 9.22 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 57.3| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 7.40 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.0| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -9.28 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 57.3| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 1.14 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 26.57 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 57.3| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 5.20 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 15.3| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -19.92 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 57.3| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 8.58 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 18.46 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -4.97 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.9| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 9.08 - dm: 0.56 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -6.35 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.9| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -9.19 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 56.8| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 3.74 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.0| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -5.92 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 57.0| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -7.29 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 2.72 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 5.35 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -3.55 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 57.1| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -8.39 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.2| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 7.55 - dm: 0.03 + model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 35.25 + dm: 0.02 dx: 0.02 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.2| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 17.22 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 56.7| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -23.89 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.9| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -9.39 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 57.0| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 8.45 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -10.05 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 57.0| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -11.43 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.0| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -11.30 + model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -3.12 dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.18 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.0| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.52 + model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 3.55 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.07 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 17.52 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 9.52 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.9| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -11.73 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 56.7| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -12.68 + dm: 0.36 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -3.77 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 56.8| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -5.20 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 13.48 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 57.2| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 10.04 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.9| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 7.49 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -11.25 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.8| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -2.50 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 57.2| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 12.35 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.8| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -19.26 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 56.9| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 15.3| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -12.98 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.9| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 5.58 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 56.9| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 5.90 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.2| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -4.19 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 56.8| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -12.90 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.2| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 5.85 + model 1: 56.8| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 27.42 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.18 + dx: 0.49 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.0| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -0.91 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 56.7| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -3.08 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.0| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -21.72 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 56.7| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 6.01 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.9| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 19.38 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 56.7| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -0.08 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.1| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 1.22 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 57.0| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -10.41 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.9| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -5.19 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 56.8| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -2.91 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.2| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -4.15 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 57.1| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -8.01 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.4| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 12.46 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 56.9| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 16.11 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.9| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -3.85 - dm: 0.53 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 56.6| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -8.75 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.56 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.8| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -10.46 - dm: 0.06 + model 1: 56.8| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -10.19 + dm: 0.20 dx: 0.21 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.8| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 1.75 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 56.9| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 5.75 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.8| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.83 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 56.8| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 12.81 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.8| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 1.26 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 56.7| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -13.82 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.7| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -4.18 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 56.9| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -2.47 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.8| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -5.96 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 57.1| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 8.01 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.1| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 2.48 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 56.9| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -18.23 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.15 diff --git a/hbi_output/1266/150_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1266/150_180_equal/hbi.log index b74231809dcf8dc9ebb7146f7172c26f40ed49ba..c0cff52488e3d54d084d08450898773c8e3d71d6 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1266/150_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1266/150_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 17:17:23 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 20:53:10 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,98 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 32.0| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 18.0| model 4: 27.2| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 2.6| model 7: 3.1| - dL: 150.03 - dm: 67.96 - dx: 9.37 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 9.2| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 14.1| model 7: 12.9| + dL: 86.73 + dm: 70.96 + dx: 6.78 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 27.4| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 11.3| model 4: 29.5| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 6.2| model 7: 7.9| - dL: 97.50 - dm: 2.28 - dx: 0.77 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 8.4| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 31.9| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 15.8| model 7: 13.8| + dL: 19.68 + dm: 2.84 + dx: 1.15 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.9| model 2: 9.0| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 31.5| model 5: 9.3| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 12.2| - dL: -0.56 - dm: 2.07 - dx: 0.55 + model 1: 15.3| model 2: 7.9| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 33.4| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.03 + dm: 1.50 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 8.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 34.8| model 5: 10.6| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 36.16 - dm: 3.32 - dx: 0.45 + model 1: 15.6| model 2: 7.5| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 34.1| model 5: 11.7| model 6: 16.6| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 16.20 + dm: 0.71 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 7.6| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 33.7| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 9.65 - dm: 1.17 - dx: 0.61 + model 1: 15.4| model 2: 7.2| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 33.0| model 5: 11.8| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 7.78 + dm: 1.14 + dx: 0.50 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.4| model 2: 7.3| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 33.3| model 5: 11.7| model 6: 16.6| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 31.87 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 31.9| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 10.94 + dm: 1.06 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.3| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 31.0| model 5: 11.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 16.22 - dm: 2.29 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 31.2| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -2.05 + dm: 0.67 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 31.1| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 6.87 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 14.5| model 2: 6.9| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 31.1| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 9.99 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 6.9| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.02 - dm: 1.72 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 15.0| model 2: 6.9| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 29.7| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 5.10 + dm: 1.37 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 6.9| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 29.6| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 9.66 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 15.1| model 2: 6.9| model 3: 6.8| model 4: 28.5| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -2.24 + dm: 1.21 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 6.9| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 29.4| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.65 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 14.6| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 6.25 + dm: 0.58 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 6.9| model 3: 8.6| model 4: 28.0| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -7.80 - dm: 1.40 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 14 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.4| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 6.8| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 19.03 - dm: 1.05 - dx: 0.12 -Iteration 15 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 6.8| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 4.82 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 16 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 28.0| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 8.20 - dm: 1.05 - dx: 0.19 -Iteration 17 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.0| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 8.6| model 4: 27.6| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -5.27 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 18 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.1| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 8.4| model 4: 27.7| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -4.51 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 19 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 8.5| model 4: 27.8| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 6.14 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.17 -Iteration 20 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.1| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 8.0| model 4: 28.0| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -12.89 - dm: 0.25 + model 1: 14.4| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.68 + dm: 0.18 dx: 0.06 -Iteration 21 +Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 7.2| model 3: 8.4| model 4: 27.5| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -14.67 - dm: 0.52 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 28.7| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 2.93 + dm: 0.18 dx: 0.03 -Iteration 22 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.4| model 2: 7.2| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 28.5| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.91 - dm: 1.00 - dx: 0.12 -Iteration 23 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.4| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 5.52 - dm: 0.38 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 24 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.4| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 28.6| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.69 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.19 -Iteration 25 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.4| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 28.5| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -1.18 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.23 -Iteration 26 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.4| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 28.2| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.77 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.29 -Iteration 27 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 28.1| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -3.74 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.12 -Iteration 28 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 28.4| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 6.25 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 29 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 28.1| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -6.88 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.15 -Iteration 30 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 7.6| model 4: 28.1| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -5.55 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 31 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 28.7| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 7.96 - dm: 0.63 - dx: 0.21 -Iteration 32 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 28.3| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.54 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.12 -Iteration 33 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.1| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 28.2| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 1.50 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 34 +Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.1| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 6.8| model 4: 28.3| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 3.72 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 7.8| model 4: 28.7| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.75 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 35 + dx: 0.05 +Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.0| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 7.9| model 4: 28.3| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -8.17 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 8.0| model 4: 28.6| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.42 dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.14 -Iteration 36 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.2| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.92 - dm: 0.69 - dx: 0.22 -Iteration 37 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.3| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 29.4| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -7.08 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.21 -Iteration 38 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.4| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 6.3| model 4: 29.6| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -2.67 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.21 -Iteration 39 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.0| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 29.7| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 1.47 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.18 -Iteration 40 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.1| model 2: 6.9| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 29.8| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -1.75 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.19 -Iteration 41 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.2| model 2: 6.9| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 30.0| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 4.37 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.20 -Iteration 42 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 6.9| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 9.80 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.23 -Iteration 43 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 6.9| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 29.9| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 1.45 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.20 -Iteration 44 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 6.9| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 29.6| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.89 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.12 -Iteration 45 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 6.9| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 29.4| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -2.39 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.08 -Iteration 46 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 6.9| model 3: 7.8| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 1.73 - dm: 0.55 - dx: 0.29 -Iteration 47 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 6.9| model 3: 7.5| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 2.29 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 48 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 6.9| model 3: 7.6| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -2.24 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.08 -Iteration 49 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.06 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 50 + dx: 0.02 +Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -2.01 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 7.1| model 3: 8.0| model 4: 28.6| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.94 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 51 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 7.0| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 29.4| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.40 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.03 + dx: 0.01 + Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1266/150_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1266/150_180_extreme/hbi.log index 7f621b23a3c82b4835db9d3967b357e9d4abf79f..7034793f77fcb2ca41eacfa6897fd6619e4750e6 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1266/150_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1266/150_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 17:23:44 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 20:58:40 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,236 +17,236 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.2| model 2: 17.6| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 4.1| model 6: 1.0| model 7: 0.9| - dL: 215.18 - dm: 42.84 - dx: 9.57 + model 1: 52.3| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 8.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 171.83 + dm: 47.66 + dx: 7.38 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.2| model 7: 2.1| - dL: 28.99 - dm: 1.93 - dx: 0.87 + model 1: 57.3| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 10.82 + dm: 4.97 + dx: 0.60 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.0| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 6.2| model 6: 2.6| model 7: 2.5| - dL: 15.02 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.46 + model 1: 58.6| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 3.17 + dm: 1.31 + dx: 0.59 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.5| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.4| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 4.44 - dm: 0.44 - dx: 0.51 + model 1: 59.1| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 6.6| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 1.47 + dm: 0.49 + dx: 0.76 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.7| model 2: 16.6| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 2.02 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 59.3| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 6.6| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.54 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.69 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.8| model 2: 16.6| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -4.87 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 59.5| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 6.6| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.21 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.61 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.8| model 2: 16.6| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + model 1: 59.5| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 2.01 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.19 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.54 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.7| model 2: 16.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 2.62 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.83 + model 1: 59.5| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.40 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.5| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 11.2| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.02 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.98 + model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -1.85 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.5| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.56 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.78 + model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 1.81 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.5| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.34 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.60 + model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -1.80 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.23 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.45 + dL: 1.81 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.17 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.33 + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.13 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.24 + dL: 0.00 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.99 + dL: -1.82 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.19 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.03 + dL: -8.05 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.14 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.09 + dL: 8.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.15 + dx: 0.75 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -1.83 + dL: 1.84 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.12 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.83 + dL: 0.01 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.11 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -1.84 + dL: 0.05 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.10 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.01 + dL: -0.04 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.07 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.89 + dL: 0.05 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.05 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -1.86 + dL: -0.04 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.05 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.81 + dL: -9.85 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.04 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -1.81 + dL: 9.84 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + dx: 0.75 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.81 + dL: -1.82 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 + dx: 0.37 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.00 + dL: 1.83 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -1.81 + dL: 0.01 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -8.05 + dL: 0.05 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 8.00 + dL: -1.86 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.75 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.03 + dL: 1.81 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.36 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.82 + dL: -1.81 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.17 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -1.81 + dL: 1.81 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.10 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.81 + dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -1.85 + dL: -1.81 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.00 + dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.00 + dL: 1.81 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.90 + dL: -1.81 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.04 + dL: 1.81 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.04 Iteration 41 @@ -258,60 +258,60 @@ Iteration 41 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -1.81 + dL: -9.87 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.00 + dL: 8.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.75 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.81 + dL: 0.03 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -1.81 + dL: 1.82 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.81 + dL: -1.81 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.00 + dL: 1.81 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -1.81 + dL: 0.00 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -0.00 + dL: 0.04 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.81 + dL: -1.86 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -1.81 + dL: 1.82 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.04 diff --git a/hbi_output/1266/150_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1266/150_360_equal/hbi.log index 8ea3e1c32fbc55f1e2a05039c88e5acc6deeb592..df23b2ee96aa40e4712e147e7c2ab0974c453401 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1266/150_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1266/150_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 17:32:35 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 21:06:50 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.0| model 2: 23.0| model 3: 14.9| model 4: 29.7| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 3.4| model 7: 3.1| - dL: 204.13 - dm: 70.31 - dx: 10.49 + model 1: 11.0| model 2: 19.2| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 9.0| model 6: 14.0| model 7: 11.3| + dL: 127.71 + dm: 71.01 + dx: 7.71 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.8| model 2: 22.2| model 3: 10.3| model 4: 30.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 8.8| model 7: 7.4| - dL: 86.36 - dm: 0.99 - dx: 0.61 + model 1: 7.7| model 2: 20.9| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 30.5| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 15.2| model 7: 12.4| + dL: 10.65 + dm: 1.49 + dx: 0.92 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 9.6| model 2: 22.0| model 3: 8.1| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 10.5| - dL: 33.19 - dm: 0.56 - dx: 0.51 + model 1: 7.5| model 2: 21.5| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 30.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.6| + dL: -0.32 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.8| model 2: 22.0| model 3: 6.3| model 4: 30.3| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 11.9| - dL: 9.60 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.46 + model 1: 7.9| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 30.8| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 5.60 + dm: 0.51 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.5| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 30.8| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 15.2| model 7: 12.5| - dL: 13.05 - dm: 0.53 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 8.0| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 17.41 + dm: 0.66 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.3| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 31.0| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.6| - dL: -0.37 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 7.3| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 30.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -3.96 + dm: 0.58 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.1| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 30.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.6| - dL: 1.87 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 7.7| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 30.5| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -4.54 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.6| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 30.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 18.52 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 8.0| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 25.37 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.4| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 30.9| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -34.72 - dm: 0.20 + model 1: 7.2| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 29.6| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -25.33 + dm: 0.46 dx: 0.18 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 8.0| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 31.1| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 28.38 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 7.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 30.4| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -4.85 + dm: 0.76 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.8| model 2: 21.6| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 29.4| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 26.30 - dm: 1.72 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 7.8| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 29.9| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 27.86 + dm: 0.46 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.0| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -22.28 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 7.2| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 30.2| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -13.63 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.5| model 2: 21.9| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 10.23 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 7.6| model 2: 21.9| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 29.9| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 2.99 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.7| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -3.89 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 7.9| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 29.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 15.39 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.5| model 2: 22.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 30.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -12.96 - dm: 1.52 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 7.4| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 30.2| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -26.48 + dm: 0.51 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.5| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 29.4| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -24.64 - dm: 1.24 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 7.9| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 30.5| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -0.82 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 8.1| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 30.9| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 68.40 - dm: 1.50 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 8.1| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 30.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 26.76 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.2| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -53.70 - dm: 0.90 + model 1: 7.3| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 30.2| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -7.16 + dm: 0.46 dx: 0.19 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.7| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 30.2| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 19.11 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 7.7| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 29.9| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -12.74 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.5| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 29.70 - dm: 1.10 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 8.0| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 30.3| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 24.41 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 6.8| model 2: 22.5| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -28.39 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 7.3| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 29.8| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -29.62 + dm: 0.52 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.5| model 2: 21.9| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 29.4| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -24.01 - dm: 0.51 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 7.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 30.4| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -19.48 + dm: 0.65 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 29.8| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 46.45 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 8.0| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 30.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 46.89 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.0| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 29.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -23.68 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 7.1| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 29.9| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -22.66 + dm: 0.79 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.4| model 2: 21.9| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 29.5| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -19.58 - dm: 0.15 + model 1: 7.6| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 29.9| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 5.55 + dm: 0.02 dx: 0.13 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.9| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 30.3| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 17.48 - dm: 0.80 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 7.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 29.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 33.34 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.4| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 30.6| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -24.73 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 6.8| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 28.8| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -37.80 + dm: 0.93 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 30.8| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 1.42 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 7.5| model 2: 21.9| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 29.4| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -0.15 + dm: 0.63 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 30.6| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 39.64 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 7.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 29.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 31.30 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.2| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -23.22 + model 1: 7.0| model 2: 22.5| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -31.68 dm: 0.47 - dx: 0.25 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.6| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 30.0| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -10.08 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 7.6| model 2: 21.9| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 29.8| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 7.89 + dm: 0.56 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.9| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 30.3| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 21.17 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 7.7| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 10.73 + dm: 0.52 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.4| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 30.4| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -25.65 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 7.5| model 2: 22.5| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -32.10 + dm: 0.85 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 30.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 0.40 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 8.0| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 30.9| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 17.58 + dm: 0.78 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 8.0| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 30.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 21.69 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 7.3| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 30.4| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 7.46 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 0.53 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.3| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 30.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -20.14 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 7.2| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 30.5| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -4.81 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 30.9| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -3.24 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 7.4| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 29.4| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -10.73 + dm: 1.15 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 8.1| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 30.9| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 30.04 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 7.7| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 29.5| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 27.28 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.2| model 2: 22.3| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -12.55 - dm: 0.83 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 7.2| model 2: 22.5| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 29.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -20.58 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.6| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 29.9| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 8.98 + model 1: 7.7| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 29.8| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 0.31 dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.13 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.6| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 8.83 - dm: 0.61 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 7.7| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 18.14 + dm: 0.54 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.3| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 29.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -11.53 + model 1: 7.2| model 2: 22.5| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 29.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -17.03 dm: 0.45 - dx: 0.17 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.5| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 29.4| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -6.04 + model 1: 7.6| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 29.4| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 0.70 dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.14 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.7| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 14.28 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 7.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 29.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 18.33 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.3| model 2: 22.5| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 29.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -31.68 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 7.2| model 2: 22.5| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 29.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -28.82 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.9| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 30.4| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 4.78 - dm: 0.71 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 7.9| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 30.4| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 7.84 + dm: 0.66 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 8.0| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 30.3| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 27.91 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 7.9| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 29.8| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 25.76 + dm: 0.54 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.3| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 30.2| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -23.37 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 7.0| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -23.51 + dm: 0.61 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 7.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 30.4| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: -10.60 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 7.6| model 2: 21.9| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 29.8| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: -6.23 + dm: 0.55 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 8.1| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 30.9| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 24.28 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 7.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 29.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 25.89 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.09 diff --git a/hbi_output/1266/150_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1266/150_360_extreme/hbi.log index 39694f268436c03241d92f9faa043eb1ef418c52..98b5a8bf3fa281885f1d34b2bfc04d9f07093479 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1266/150_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1266/150_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 17:36:05 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 21:17:32 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,134 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 7.7| model 5: 4.3| model 6: 0.3| model 7: 0.2| - dL: 254.96 - dm: 33.99 - dx: 21.85 + model 1: 60.3| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 8.3| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: 224.44 + dm: 39.69 + dx: 19.18 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 67.7| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 4.3| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 0.6| model 7: 0.5| - dL: 23.90 - dm: 1.67 - dx: 0.51 + model 1: 64.9| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 6.1| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: 12.40 + dm: 4.55 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 67.5| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 3.4| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 0.6| model 7: 0.6| - dL: -4.90 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 66.8| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 4.0| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: 8.99 + dm: 1.91 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 67.8| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 3.0| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.6| - dL: 17.79 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 67.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 3.2| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: 8.79 + dm: 0.82 + dx: 0.34 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.2| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.6| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 8.03 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 68.1| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.7| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: -6.69 + dm: 0.46 + dx: 0.49 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 6.70 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.51 + model 1: 68.3| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 2.2| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: -0.17 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.41 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 3.34 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 68.4| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 1.7| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: 20.10 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.65 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 1.43 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 1.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: -9.16 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.49 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 2.2| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -3.10 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 1.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: -15.45 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 2.1| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 10.62 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.51 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 1.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: 11.07 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 2.1| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -0.05 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 1.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: -1.14 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 7.89 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 1.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: 0.15 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -17.94 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 1.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: 10.15 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 1.7| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 27.53 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.51 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 1.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: 0.58 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.2| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -6.63 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.51 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 1.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: 1.12 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.38 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -12.63 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.23 -Iteration 18 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 0.61 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.22 -Iteration 19 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 1.24 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.14 -Iteration 20 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -2.71 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.10 -Iteration 21 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 2.2| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 7.03 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 22 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 67.8| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -14.96 - dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.22 -Iteration 23 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -3.75 - dm: 0.57 - dx: 0.16 -Iteration 24 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 5.68 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.22 -Iteration 25 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 4.78 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.17 -Iteration 26 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -7.42 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 27 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 11.07 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.28 -Iteration 28 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 4.94 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.14 -Iteration 29 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.2| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -2.34 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 1.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: 0.47 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.21 -Iteration 30 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 1.7| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -6.66 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.54 -Iteration 31 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 1.8| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -5.01 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.27 -Iteration 32 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 2.0| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 1.26 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.22 -Iteration 33 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 2.1| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -1.94 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.16 -Iteration 34 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 2.1| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 9.48 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.15 -Iteration 35 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 2.2| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -2.56 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.16 -Iteration 36 +Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 2.1| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -4.36 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 1.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: 0.19 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.14 -Iteration 37 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 2.1| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 0.53 - dm: 0.01 dx: 0.12 -Iteration 38 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 2.1| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -5.63 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 39 +Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 2.1| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -0.38 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 1.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: -2.64 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 40 + dx: 0.06 +Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 2.2| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 1.53 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 1.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: 2.62 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.08 -Iteration 41 +Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 1.6| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -3.73 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 1.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: 0.13 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.56 -Iteration 42 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 1.8| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 1.21 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.29 -Iteration 43 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 1.6| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -13.66 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.53 -Iteration 44 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 1.7| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -9.71 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.33 -Iteration 45 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 2.0| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -9.13 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.40 -Iteration 46 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.2| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -8.02 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.14 -Iteration 47 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -2.30 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 48 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.7| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 6.87 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 49 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.3| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 7.69 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.16 -Iteration 50 + dx: 0.04 +Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 1.7| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 12.87 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.50 -Iteration 51 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 1.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.01 +Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 2.2| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 14.42 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 1.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| + dL: 0.02 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.01 + Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1266/300_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1266/300_180_equal/hbi.log index 679c6b5a5002bc3cc27c67f572b4da67b8520be7..39100a6ffbc5826be92035416e89f152b64b4ff0 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1266/300_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1266/300_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 17:38:46 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 21:26:26 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 29.1| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 17.1| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 2.4| model 7: 2.8| - dL: 278.38 - dm: 70.87 - dx: 9.20 + model 1: 16.6| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 12.7| + dL: 198.96 + dm: 73.28 + dx: 6.17 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 23.2| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 10.5| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 6.5| model 7: 7.6| - dL: 152.69 - dm: 2.85 - dx: 0.96 + model 1: 14.3| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 28.7| model 5: 10.1| model 6: 14.0| model 7: 13.8| + dL: 36.07 + dm: 1.99 + dx: 1.34 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 31.7| model 5: 8.7| model 6: 11.1| model 7: 11.8| - dL: 84.58 - dm: 2.80 - dx: 0.53 + model 1: 13.9| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 29.8| model 5: 10.2| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 14.54 + dm: 1.12 + dx: 0.37 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 31.6| model 5: 9.6| model 6: 13.4| model 7: 13.5| - dL: 47.73 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.42 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 30.0| model 5: 10.2| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 19.03 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 30.6| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 14.1| model 7: 13.9| - dL: 21.72 - dm: 1.02 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 29.9| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -9.63 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.4| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 29.7| model 5: 10.2| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 26.26 - dm: 0.84 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 2.96 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.1| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 29.4| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.40 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.18 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.1| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -17.15 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 13.2| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 30.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 10.55 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 29.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 12.09 - dm: 0.49 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 13.2| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 3.33 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.4| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 29.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -13.32 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 29.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.46 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.59 - dm: 0.59 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 29.9| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 5.83 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 30.4| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 5.20 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 29.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -5.23 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 30.2| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 10.65 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 29.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -7.91 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.4| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 29.9| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -11.18 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 29.9| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.59 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 30.2| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -2.34 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 30.0| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -8.79 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 30.9| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 7.97 - dm: 0.69 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 30.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 8.75 + dm: 0.48 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 30.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 10.74 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 30.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.93 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 29.9| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -16.73 - dm: 0.57 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 30.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -11.40 + dm: 0.00 dx: 0.14 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 31.08 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 30.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 10.92 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 29.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.69 - dm: 0.44 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 30.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 3.19 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.38 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 30.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -2.70 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 29.4| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -9.09 - dm: 0.12 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 30.2| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 2.74 + dm: 0.04 dx: 0.11 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 29.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 19.12 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 30.4| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -6.71 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 2.21 - dm: 0.57 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 30.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 10.13 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -10.71 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 30.0| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -2.33 + dm: 0.55 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 29.4| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 6.95 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -3.47 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.14 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 30.2| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 2.93 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.23 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 30.2| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -3.10 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -11.01 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 30.2| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.46 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.11 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -4.60 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 30.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 12.84 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 29.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 15.97 - dm: 0.40 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 29.9| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -10.79 + dm: 0.45 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.31 - dm: 0.43 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.74 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -16.56 - dm: 0.11 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 30.4| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -12.03 + dm: 0.23 dx: 0.13 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 29.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 3.65 - dm: 0.57 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 30.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 10.02 + dm: 0.45 dx: 0.09 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 29.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 14.66 - dm: 0.13 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 30.4| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 2.25 + dm: 0.40 dx: 0.13 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -5.90 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 30.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.68 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.04 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 30.4| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -6.03 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -6.13 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 30.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 4.84 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.13 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 30.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -6.40 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -1.51 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 30.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.65 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 29.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 1.38 - dm: 0.40 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 30.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 14.54 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 29.4| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -1.53 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -4.74 + dm: 0.67 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 29.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -12.02 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 30.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.82 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 29.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -5.11 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 30.4| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -3.24 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 30.0| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 2.14 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 30.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.50 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 30.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -2.85 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 30.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 16.11 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 30.2| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 8.37 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 30.4| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -2.21 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 29.9| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.49 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 30.0| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -10.20 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 29.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -1.99 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 30.4| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 10.90 + dm: 0.37 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 29.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 1.09 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 30.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.40 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.06 diff --git a/hbi_output/1266/300_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1266/300_180_extreme/hbi.log index b5a13586ba96123a0770a187734c5f8b0df0c295..bf3eb0e0ffe05c679dbaf39c9554518ec7f02634 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1266/300_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1266/300_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 17:48:00 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 21:49:11 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,290 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.6| model 2: 15.6| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 3.9| model 6: 0.6| model 7: 0.4| - dL: 453.81 - dm: 38.41 - dx: 4.46 + model 1: 55.8| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 16.4| model 5: 7.9| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 302.75 + dm: 44.23 + dx: 6.16 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.0| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 7.7| model 5: 5.2| model 6: 1.2| model 7: 0.7| - dL: -12.64 - dm: 2.36 - dx: 4.54 + model 1: 62.0| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 39.90 + dm: 6.26 + dx: 0.46 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 1.5| model 7: 1.1| - dL: -35.95 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 13.72 + dm: 1.35 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 1.6| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 21.34 - dm: 0.65 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 63.8| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 2.78 + dm: 0.44 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 6.6| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.5| - dL: 9.14 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -9.05 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 21.86 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 0.56 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 5.03 - dm: 0.45 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 14.92 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 9.4| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 17.75 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 7.8| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -11.80 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.24 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.2| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -6.20 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 7.9| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -2.60 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.29 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 0.39 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.2| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 7.9| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -1.79 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -2.60 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 7.7| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -9.10 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 0.07 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 8.0| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 8.01 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -3.23 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 7.8| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -1.89 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 64.1| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 2.71 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 7.8| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 1.64 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.21 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.7| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 7.7| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 4.09 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 1.24 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 7.7| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 2.02 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.67 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 7.6| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -4.21 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 64.1| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 0.76 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 7.9| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -7.46 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 0.11 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.12 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -1.41 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 1.17 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -4.97 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.58 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.74 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 64.0| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 0.45 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.11 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 1.38 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.7| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.06 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 63.8| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 0.02 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.7| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.01 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 7.9| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 0.44 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.7| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.06 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 7.9| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -1.70 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.7| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -1.96 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 8.0| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 1.69 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.7| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 9.3| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.31 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 7.9| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -1.66 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 9.4| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.40 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 8.0| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 0.21 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 9.4| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.18 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 8.0| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 1.51 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 9.4| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.22 + model 1: 63.8| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 7.9| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.17 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.17 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 9.3| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.19 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 7.8| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -1.50 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 9.3| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.31 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 7.9| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 1.65 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 9.2| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -0.82 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 7.8| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -1.61 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 9.3| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.07 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 7.9| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 1.62 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 9.3| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 2.22 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 7.8| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.12 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.10 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.3| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -2.24 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 7.8| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -1.49 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.37 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 7.9| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 1.68 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.63 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 7.8| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.12 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.17 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 9.0| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -0.88 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 7.7| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.06 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 1.12 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 7.7| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.98 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 8.9| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.31 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 7.8| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 1.72 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.17 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.29 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 7.7| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.07 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.22 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 7.7| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.15 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 7.7| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.05 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -2.01 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 7.6| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.26 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -1.06 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 7.6| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.10 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 9.2| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 1.67 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.11 -Iteration 50 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -0.09 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.29 -Iteration 51 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 9.1| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -0.85 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 63.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 7.6| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.01 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.01 + Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1266/300_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1266/300_360_equal/hbi.log index 3343778e607e573cca49a903925b98e368b4d95c..1b6d6015bcd796b4bbd8d9db48c1d3d209010cdd 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1266/300_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1266/300_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 17:51:09 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 22:08:09 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 29.6| model 2: 20.5| model 3: 12.8| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 4.7| model 6: 3.1| model 7: 2.9| - dL: 351.63 - dm: 70.41 - dx: 11.54 + model 1: 16.6| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 14.1| model 7: 12.1| + dL: 272.51 + dm: 73.69 + dx: 8.28 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.5| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 6.3| model 4: 27.7| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 8.7| model 7: 8.2| - dL: 181.47 - dm: 1.36 - dx: 0.77 + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 17.4| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 28.2| model 5: 10.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: 35.18 + dm: 1.92 + dx: 1.25 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.3| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 8.9| model 6: 13.7| model 7: 12.1| - dL: 60.38 - dm: 1.50 - dx: 0.47 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 17.5| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 28.0| model 5: 10.1| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.6| + dL: 5.67 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.0| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 29.5| model 5: 9.6| model 6: 15.8| model 7: 13.4| - dL: 46.64 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 17.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 28.0| model 5: 10.1| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 19.50 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.9| model 2: 17.7| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 28.7| model 5: 9.9| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 27.26 - dm: 0.78 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 17.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 28.1| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 11.02 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.46 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 17.7| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 27.9| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 4.39 - dm: 0.78 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 13.0| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 0.40 + dm: 1.08 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 27.7| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 18.07 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -2.18 + dm: 0.56 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.9| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 27.4| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -25.51 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 17.40 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 27.6| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -10.10 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 11.00 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 27.1| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -5.20 - dm: 0.47 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 13.0| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -1.38 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.7| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 20.61 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 12.9| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -19.07 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.5| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 27.1| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -14.77 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 12.9| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -4.95 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 6.77 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 12.9| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 16.69 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 9.9| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 20.85 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 12.8| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -19.14 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.4| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -0.96 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 12.8| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 0.87 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.0| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -21.61 - dm: 0.04 + model 1: 12.7| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 0.86 + dm: 0.45 dx: 0.09 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -6.53 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 12.8| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 0.62 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.4| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -4.12 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 12.9| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -7.16 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 8.93 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 13.0| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 27.1| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 9.69 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 9.9| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -0.85 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 12.9| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -2.08 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.8| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 27.1| model 5: 9.9| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -7.58 - dm: 0.38 - dx: 0.71 + model 1: 12.8| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 0.39 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 27.2| model 5: 9.9| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 9.76 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 12.6| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -4.46 + dm: 0.61 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.9| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 27.3| model 5: 9.9| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 13.35 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 12.7| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -8.36 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.6| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 27.3| model 5: 9.9| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 9.21 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.65 + model 1: 12.9| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -0.26 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.1| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 18.46 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.45 + model 1: 13.0| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 7.77 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.9| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -4.66 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -14.32 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.8| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -21.02 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 10.57 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.9| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 9.78 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 13.2| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -11.72 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.9| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -7.35 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 10.44 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.9| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -18.01 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -0.76 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.0| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 2.97 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 0.08 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.2| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 9.75 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 13.2| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -11.33 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.3| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -9.49 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 4.54 + dm: 0.41 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.4| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 3.53 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -4.09 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.4| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 1.65 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 8.18 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.4| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -3.35 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 13.8| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 4.05 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.4| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 9.9| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 4.74 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.51 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 9.9| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 1.41 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.3| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 0.78 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 27.1| model 5: 9.9| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 6.67 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.38 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.3| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 9.35 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 9.9| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -13.13 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.41 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.4| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 10.95 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -0.68 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 0.77 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 0.48 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.0| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 1.46 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -7.98 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.9| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -10.06 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 13.5| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 10.78 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.9| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -7.10 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 13.7| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -11.14 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.0| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 15.21 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 13.6| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 24.67 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.0| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 1.73 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -5.26 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.0| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 0.52 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 12.9| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -1.66 + dm: 0.42 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.0| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 4.28 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 12.8| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -2.17 + dm: 0.45 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.9| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -4.60 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 12.9| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -9.28 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.9| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -4.72 - dm: 0.08 + model 1: 13.1| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 16.3| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 8.96 + dm: 0.12 dx: 0.10 diff --git a/hbi_output/1266/300_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1266/300_360_extreme/hbi.log index 01e009b9bc565e08fc4d1e0e0eb21d31dd3d0fd5..2a38fe0f477a92e4760002511c1f4f9edf864c0d 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1266/300_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1266/300_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 17:56:58 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-24 22:30:15 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.8| model 6: 0.8| model 7: 0.4| - dL: 435.78 - dm: 36.99 - dx: 13.86 + model 1: 56.2| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 16.3| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 335.16 + dm: 43.78 + dx: 7.99 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.6| model 2: 17.7| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 7.5| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.8| model 7: 0.8| - dL: 52.97 - dm: 2.60 - dx: 2.66 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 16.6| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 6.1| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 9.25 + dm: 5.96 + dx: 0.37 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.4| model 2: 17.4| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 7.3| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 2.2| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 34.88 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.56 + model 1: 64.3| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 15.05 + dm: 2.11 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 7.5| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 41.34 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 64.8| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 7.8| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 13.78 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 7.0| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -0.72 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 64.6| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 7.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 4.06 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 6.8| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -17.28 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 64.6| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 7.8| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -6.54 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 7.3| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 1.55 - dm: 0.04 + model 1: 64.5| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -0.12 + dm: 0.07 dx: 0.19 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 7.5| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 2.41 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 0.03 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 7.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 17.73 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 64.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 0.74 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.2| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 7.5| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -1.50 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -1.48 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.45 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.2| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 7.4| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 20.78 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -2.44 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.35 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 7.3| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -34.06 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 64.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 2.17 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.66 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 7.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 1.99 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 3.29 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 7.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -2.20 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 64.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 0.63 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 7.9| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 14.49 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 64.5| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 0.38 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.9| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -6.25 - dm: 0.48 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 64.8| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -0.10 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.9| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -0.03 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 0.25 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.57 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 8.0| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -6.97 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -0.13 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.37 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -2.75 - dm: 0.80 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -4.26 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.53 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 7.86 - dm: 0.18 + model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 5.44 + dm: 0.01 dx: 0.20 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -7.77 - dm: 0.54 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 8.0| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -6.47 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.96 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 6.40 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 9.65 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -1.37 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 64.5| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -4.64 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.71 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 0.73 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -3.03 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.2| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -1.66 + model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -3.24 dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.14 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.8| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -0.46 - dm: 0.40 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 65.0| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 3.69 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.45 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.2| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -6.51 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 64.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -1.33 + dm: 0.35 + dx: 0.86 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.2| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -3.38 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 64.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 3.95 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 1.01 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 2.00 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 64.8| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 0.35 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.56 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -2.41 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.95 + model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -4.84 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.37 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 3.32 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -0.35 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 0.01 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.76 + model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 3.87 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.61 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -3.01 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.60 + model 1: 64.5| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -4.39 + dm: 0.41 + dx: 1.04 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 2.57 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 3.21 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -2.63 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.83 + model 1: 64.5| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -2.32 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.98 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 1.14 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 5.06 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 4.04 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 1.13 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -5.62 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.69 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 0.44 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 64.5| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -0.87 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 0.08 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.48 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 5.27 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.44 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 0.06 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.43 + model 1: 64.4| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -4.09 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.61 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 0.04 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 64.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 0.13 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -1.90 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 64.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.56 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.1| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -2.50 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.43 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 4.77 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.42 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 8.2| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -1.40 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 64.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -4.69 + dm: 0.44 + dx: 0.84 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.9| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.4| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 3.16 - dm: 0.02 + model 1: 64.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -1.19 + dm: 0.33 dx: 0.12 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -2.55 - dm: 0.42 - dx: 0.87 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 5.83 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -0.41 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 64.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -4.60 + dm: 0.36 + dx: 0.51 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 0.55 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.42 + model 1: 64.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 2.40 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.7| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 1.57 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 64.5| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: -2.40 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.94 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| - dL: -2.01 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.83 + model 1: 64.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.0| + dL: 3.84 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.15 diff --git a/hbi_output/1272/150_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1272/150_180_equal/hbi.log index bd82c008b7127c9bf9651fff6d887db000386d0d..ed72ce1a19f4bdb2075beb4fcaf37cae651b9e44 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1272/150_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1272/150_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 23:51:52 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-25 08:14:53 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,166 +17,166 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 36.2| model 2: 15.8| model 3: 16.4| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 3.1| model 6: 2.4| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 174.91 - dm: 63.80 - dx: 8.61 + model 1: 22.6| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 119.55 + dm: 75.98 + dx: 5.67 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 32.2| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 11.4| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 4.1| model 6: 5.7| model 7: 7.9| - dL: 65.54 - dm: 4.01 - dx: 0.58 + model 1: 20.7| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.1| model 7: 15.1| + dL: 25.46 + dm: 2.68 + dx: 0.99 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.3| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 27.2| model 5: 4.8| model 6: 10.3| model 7: 12.8| - dL: 46.38 - dm: 3.15 - dx: 0.49 + model 1: 21.6| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 27.1| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 8.51 + dm: 0.44 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.8| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 27.9| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 13.2| model 7: 14.8| - dL: 21.25 - dm: 0.76 - dx: 0.43 + model 1: 22.2| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 14.4| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 8.87 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.1| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 27.5| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 14.1| model 7: 15.2| - dL: 8.05 - dm: 0.47 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 22.0| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 14.5| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -6.20 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.8| model 2: 13.5| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 14.5| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 10.50 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 22.6| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 8.23 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.2| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -7.47 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 22.1| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -7.90 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 23.1| model 2: 13.4| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 9.19 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.51 + model 1: 22.7| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 8.14 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.6| model 2: 13.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -7.29 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 22.3| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -7.96 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 23.2| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 8.73 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 22.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 8.09 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.7| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -7.18 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.51 + model 1: 22.4| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -7.96 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 23.2| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 8.62 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.67 + model 1: 23.0| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 8.12 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.7| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -7.31 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.94 + model 1: 22.5| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -7.98 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 23.3| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 8.35 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 1.08 + model 1: 23.2| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: 8.60 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.49 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.8| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -7.69 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 1.12 + model 1: 22.7| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -7.49 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.46 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 23.3| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 8.06 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 1.03 + dL: 8.48 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.69 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 22.8| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -7.89 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.85 + dL: -7.47 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.91 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 23.3| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 7.96 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.62 + dL: 8.22 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 1.05 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 22.8| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -7.94 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.39 + dL: -7.72 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 1.09 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 23.3| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 7.95 + dL: 8.07 dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.23 + dx: 1.00 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 22.8| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -7.95 + dL: -7.90 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.13 + dx: 0.86 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 23.3| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 7.95 + dL: 7.97 dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.10 + dx: 0.64 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 22.8| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -7.95 + dL: -7.94 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.08 + dx: 0.41 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 23.3| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| dL: 7.95 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.08 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 22.8| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| dL: -7.95 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.08 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 23.3| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| dL: 7.95 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.08 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 22.8| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| dL: -7.95 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.08 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 23.3| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| @@ -204,21 +204,21 @@ Iteration 32 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 23.3| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 7.99 + dL: 7.95 dm: 0.04 dx: 0.08 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.8| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| - dL: -7.99 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 22.8| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| + dL: -7.95 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 23.3| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 7.96 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.29 + dL: 7.95 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 22.8| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 15.3| diff --git a/hbi_output/1272/150_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1272/150_180_extreme/hbi.log index 7ee5826d1e94112cfe64776d3570315f5971cff1..c41ad26e7046c505534d30b96e889ffddfd00b0d 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1272/150_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1272/150_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-29 23:59:10 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-25 08:27:05 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,275 +17,251 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.0| model 2: 19.7| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 4.6| model 6: 0.6| model 7: 0.4| - dL: 214.89 - dm: 44.97 - dx: 10.50 + model 1: 48.8| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 8.5| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 158.00 + dm: 51.16 + dx: 7.21 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.1| model 2: 19.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 1.1| model 7: 1.1| - dL: 32.53 - dm: 2.05 - dx: 0.66 + model 1: 53.2| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 11.39 + dm: 4.39 + dx: 0.40 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.6| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.9| - dL: 17.86 - dm: 0.52 - dx: 0.48 + model 1: 54.2| model 2: 18.4| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 7.32 + dm: 0.99 + dx: 0.35 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.0| model 2: 18.7| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 6.9| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 6.59 - dm: 1.56 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 53.9| model 2: 18.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.33 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.7| model 2: 18.5| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -4.97 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 53.9| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.62 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.5| model 2: 18.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -5.54 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 53.9| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -6.75 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 5.64 - dm: 0.64 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 54.3| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.52 + dm: 0.36 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.3| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.26 - dm: 0.83 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 54.3| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.13 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.1| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.07 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 54.2| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.19 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.1| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.05 + model 1: 54.2| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.12 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.11 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.0| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 2.33 + model 1: 54.1| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.09 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.18 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.0| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.62 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 54.1| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.94 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.6| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.58 - dm: 0.55 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 54.1| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -1.81 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.2| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.28 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 54.1| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -1.24 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.1| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.19 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 54.6| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.20 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.1| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.71 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 54.2| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.1| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.12 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 54.2| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -1.06 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.6| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.30 - dm: 0.47 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 54.6| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.95 + dm: 0.41 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 54.3| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.15 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.14 + dL: 1.98 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 54.2| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.97 + dL: -1.84 dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.09 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.6| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.04 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 54.2| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -1.02 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.3| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.14 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 54.6| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.89 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.2| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.81 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 54.3| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.67 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.6| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.87 - dm: 0.36 + model 1: 54.6| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 2.54 + dm: 0.27 dx: 0.18 Iteration 26 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.4| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.10 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 27 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.3| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.66 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 28 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.6| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.70 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.19 -Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 54.4| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 2.02 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 30 + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.12 +Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 54.4| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.83 + dL: -1.85 dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.15 -Iteration 31 + dx: 0.05 +Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 54.3| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.03 + dL: 1.90 dm: 0.03 dx: 0.13 -Iteration 32 +Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 54.3| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -4.42 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.10 -Iteration 33 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.8| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.22 - dm: 0.49 - dx: 0.17 -Iteration 34 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.8| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 5.93 + dL: -1.84 dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.08 -Iteration 35 + dx: 0.07 +Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.3| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.53 - dm: 0.56 - dx: 0.25 -Iteration 36 + model 1: 54.3| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.91 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.11 +Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 54.2| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.93 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.12 -Iteration 37 + dL: -1.85 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.07 +Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 54.2| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.87 + dL: -0.00 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 38 + dx: 0.10 +Iteration 33 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 54.2| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.01 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.05 +Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 54.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.02 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.11 -Iteration 39 + dL: -0.01 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.02 +Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 54.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| dL: -0.01 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 40 + dx: 0.02 +Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 54.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.01 + dL: -0.00 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 41 + dx: 0.02 +Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 54.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| dL: -0.01 dm: 0.01 dx: 0.02 -Iteration 42 +Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 54.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| dL: -0.01 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 43 + dx: 0.01 +Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 54.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.00 + dL: -0.01 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 44 + dx: 0.01 +Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.00 + model 1: 54.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.01 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.01 -Iteration 45 +Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| + model 1: 54.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.01 -Iteration 46 +Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 54.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| dL: -0.00 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.01 -Iteration 47 +Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 54.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.0| dL: -0.00 diff --git a/hbi_output/1272/150_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1272/150_360_equal/hbi.log index 1f41037d2d67bd499a2c3e00b3ccdc291779a837..3f596c277690a4ab1b43e1b8bf7c26ca05f07818 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1272/150_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1272/150_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 00:04:38 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-25 08:35:11 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,188 +17,74 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 37.7| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 12.8| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 3.6| model 7: 4.3| - dL: 192.39 - dm: 62.27 - dx: 2.45 + model 1: 20.8| model 2: 10.6| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 10.8| model 6: 13.0| model 7: 16.9| + dL: 117.32 + dm: 77.29 + dx: 9.31 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 34.8| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 11.5| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 8.3| model 6: 9.0| model 7: 2.4| - dL: 45.87 - dm: 2.93 - dx: 0.47 + model 1: 17.7| model 2: 10.7| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 11.1| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 19.3| + dL: 25.32 + dm: 1.61 + dx: 0.71 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 28.5| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 12.0| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 9.7| model 6: 12.8| model 7: 1.5| - dL: 21.67 - dm: 6.33 - dx: 13.23 + model 1: 18.7| model 2: 10.6| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 14.5| model 7: 19.7| + dL: 11.09 + dm: 1.00 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 23.5| model 2: 10.5| model 3: 11.9| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 14.0| model 7: 3.7| - dL: 18.51 - dm: 1.38 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 19.7| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 19.8| + dL: 6.80 + dm: 1.14 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 10.9| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 10.8| model 6: 14.4| model 7: 7.8| - dL: 26.23 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.45 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 11.1| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 19.9| + dL: 2.03 + dm: 0.76 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 8.1| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 12.5| - dL: 27.73 - dm: 0.50 - dx: 0.43 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 19.8| + dL: 0.84 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 16.1| - dL: 15.28 - dm: 1.76 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 19.4| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 19.8| + dL: 0.46 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.4| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 18.6| - dL: 2.57 - dm: 1.58 - dx: 0.58 + model 1: 19.4| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 19.8| + dL: -4.45 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.0| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 19.6| - dL: 4.44 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 19.4| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 11.1| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 19.8| + dL: 0.91 + dm: 0.62 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.1| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 19.9| - dL: 1.63 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 22.1| model 5: 11.1| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 19.9| + dL: 0.15 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: 5.70 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 11.1| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 19.9| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.0| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: -7.92 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.74 -Iteration 14 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.1| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 19.9| - dL: 2.90 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.47 -Iteration 15 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: 1.46 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.42 -Iteration 16 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: 1.04 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.43 -Iteration 17 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: 0.81 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.56 -Iteration 18 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: 0.64 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.71 -Iteration 19 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: 0.48 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.86 -Iteration 20 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: 0.32 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.95 -Iteration 21 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: 0.21 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.96 -Iteration 22 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: 0.12 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.90 -Iteration 23 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: 0.06 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.78 -Iteration 24 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| + model 1: 19.3| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.1| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 19.9| dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.61 -Iteration 25 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: 0.01 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.43 -Iteration 26 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.27 -Iteration 27 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.16 -Iteration 28 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 29 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 30 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: -0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 31 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.01 -Iteration 32 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.2| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.7| model 7: 20.0| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 + dm: 0.04 dx: 0.01 Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1272/150_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1272/150_360_extreme/hbi.log index a194af559ef53b2bbd47e12a9028dc8cc9850b7f..99543dafb780d4703a9510e1f15daef9e49e79a1 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1272/150_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1272/150_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 00:09:03 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-25 08:40:45 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.7| model 2: 22.3| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 1.8| model 6: 1.1| model 7: 0.8| - dL: 248.73 - dm: 46.34 - dx: 10.60 + model 1: 47.2| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 4.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 191.72 + dm: 52.83 + dx: 6.74 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.8| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 2.0| model 6: 2.5| model 7: 1.6| - dL: 24.96 - dm: 2.18 - dx: 0.78 + model 1: 52.0| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 16.9| model 5: 2.6| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 11.39 + dm: 4.80 + dx: 0.38 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.6| model 2: 22.3| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 2.1| model 6: 3.2| model 7: 1.9| - dL: 24.91 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.54 + model 1: 53.8| model 2: 22.0| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 16.47 + dm: 1.85 + dx: 0.35 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.3| model 2: 22.2| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 2.1| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 14.42 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.36 + model 1: 52.8| model 2: 21.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 16.35 + dm: 0.99 + dx: 0.53 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.7| model 2: 22.0| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.98 - dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 53.5| model 2: 21.9| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -3.40 + dm: 0.63 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.7| model 2: 21.9| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.12 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 54.3| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 15.0| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 9.18 + dm: 0.88 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.7| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 18.63 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 53.6| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -15.35 + dm: 0.70 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.1| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.67 - dm: 0.61 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 54.5| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -1.78 + dm: 0.86 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.6| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 6.45 - dm: 0.49 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 54.0| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -5.76 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.2| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -10.84 - dm: 0.38 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 54.7| model 2: 21.2| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 9.43 + dm: 0.66 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.0| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.24 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 54.0| model 2: 21.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -5.89 + dm: 0.73 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.9| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.68 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 54.0| model 2: 21.6| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -1.77 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.9| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -4.60 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 54.6| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 4.65 + dm: 0.59 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.9| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.31 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 54.6| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.84 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.0| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.98 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 54.5| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 7.19 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.0| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.81 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 54.3| model 2: 21.2| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -1.25 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.1| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.62 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 53.7| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -2.84 + dm: 0.59 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.1| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.45 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 53.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -2.04 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.2| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.25 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 53.9| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 7.58 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.2| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 14.9| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.03 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 53.7| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -4.80 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.3| model 2: 21.6| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.23 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 53.8| model 2: 21.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.14 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.3| model 2: 21.6| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 15.2| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.66 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 53.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -4.02 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.3| model 2: 21.6| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 15.3| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.67 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.93 + model 1: 54.4| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.55 + dm: 0.63 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.3| model 2: 21.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 15.3| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 3.92 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.72 + model 1: 54.4| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -2.29 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.8| model 2: 21.5| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.50 - dm: 0.45 - dx: 1.63 + model 1: 54.5| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 11.49 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.2| model 2: 21.1| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.14 - dm: 0.63 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 53.9| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -7.45 + dm: 0.57 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.0| model 2: 21.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -4.84 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 54.0| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 6.47 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.1| model 2: 21.6| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.70 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 53.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -2.87 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.6| model 2: 21.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 3.72 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 53.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -2.79 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.9| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 5.50 - dm: 0.70 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 54.4| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -4.27 + dm: 0.62 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.9| model 2: 21.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 2.29 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 54.5| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -1.46 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.7| model 2: 21.2| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -5.64 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 54.6| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 3.84 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.7| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.97 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 54.2| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 2.69 + dm: 0.37 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.8| model 2: 21.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 12.65 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 54.0| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -10.11 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.6| model 2: 21.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -4.50 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 54.8| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.72 + dm: 0.78 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.6| model 2: 21.2| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -8.30 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 54.9| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 2.24 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.4| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 9.76 - dm: 0.76 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 54.4| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 4.26 + dm: 0.48 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.7| model 2: 21.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.68 - dm: 0.70 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 54.2| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.96 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.6| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -7.14 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 54.6| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 8.32 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.8| model 2: 21.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -2.83 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 53.9| model 2: 21.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -7.21 + dm: 0.62 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.9| model 2: 21.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -4.20 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 54.6| model 2: 21.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 9.99 + dm: 0.67 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.7| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.39 - dm: 0.73 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 53.8| model 2: 21.1| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -6.87 + dm: 0.83 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.0| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 6.68 - dm: 0.65 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 53.8| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 2.23 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -3.72 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 54.4| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -3.64 + dm: 0.59 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -3.11 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 54.4| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 2.81 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 2.15 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 54.5| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 16.69 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.1| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 3.53 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 53.8| model 2: 21.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -11.41 + dm: 0.69 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.5| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -9.90 - dm: 0.43 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 53.8| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -10.66 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.1| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.51 - dm: 0.42 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 54.5| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.44 + dm: 0.74 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.5| model 2: 21.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 11.21 - dm: 0.43 + model 1: 54.5| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.72 + dm: 0.01 dx: 0.08 diff --git a/hbi_output/1272/300_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1272/300_180_equal/hbi.log index 54bfa7a4c0085a4882a966f000572efb5a7864ea..05ce06b13f8d2555473994ce4a8dbdcacdeb5fed 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1272/300_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1272/300_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 01:26:31 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-25 08:53:36 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 32.9| model 2: 16.0| model 3: 18.6| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.6| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 294.63 - dm: 67.10 - dx: 9.13 + model 1: 19.1| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 8.4| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 12.5| model 7: 13.9| + dL: 168.94 + dm: 77.52 + dx: 6.49 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 28.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 13.5| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 8.4| model 6: 6.4| model 7: 6.0| - dL: 113.66 - dm: 4.20 - dx: 1.04 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 10.5| model 6: 13.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 32.48 + dm: 1.88 + dx: 1.58 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.1| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 9.9| model 4: 24.9| model 5: 9.7| model 6: 10.4| model 7: 10.9| - dL: 89.17 - dm: 2.02 - dx: 0.68 + model 1: 17.5| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 10.7| model 6: 13.8| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 11.81 + dm: 1.30 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 7.5| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 12.6| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 31.69 - dm: 0.62 - dx: 0.58 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 10.8| model 6: 14.0| model 7: 16.2| + dL: 13.66 + dm: 0.45 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 10.7| model 6: 13.4| model 7: 15.5| - dL: 10.11 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 14.1| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 0.43 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.2| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 10.8| model 6: 13.8| model 7: 15.9| - dL: 22.13 - dm: 0.64 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 4.72 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.3| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 14.0| model 7: 16.1| - dL: -2.54 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 3.12 + dm: 0.41 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 14.1| model 7: 16.2| - dL: -3.94 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -4.42 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.1| model 7: 16.2| - dL: -5.83 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 12.10 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.4| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 27.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.1| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -1.62 - dm: 1.46 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -0.28 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.7| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 19.39 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -10.73 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.1| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -17.68 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.2| + dL: -1.87 + dm: 0.68 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 4.89 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 2.31 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -3.39 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 27.1| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -1.81 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.8| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 16.54 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 4.98 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -0.39 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 2.72 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 0.13 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -1.96 + dm: 0.78 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 3.40 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -5.47 + dm: 0.36 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 0.53 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 3.93 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -10.41 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -0.61 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 1.99 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -3.09 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -0.26 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 18.7| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 2.22 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -0.73 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 1.06 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 2.84 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 0.33 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.3| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -3.37 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 1.25 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 3.38 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -1.35 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -5.16 - dm: 0.45 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -1.85 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -2.62 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 1.68 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 27.2| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 0.30 - dm: 0.75 - dx: 0.39 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 0.18 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 8.92 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -4.46 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 0.49 - dm: 0.80 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 18.8| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 1.53 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -5.99 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 1.48 + dm: 0.42 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 1.48 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 18.7| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -2.11 + dm: 0.57 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -1.95 - dm: 0.59 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 18.7| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 0.91 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 0.75 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 18.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 11.00 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -0.52 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 26.1| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -13.32 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 1.19 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 18.7| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 1.31 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 1.12 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 18.8| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 2.16 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -6.23 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -2.33 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 2.68 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 18.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 1.30 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -1.63 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 18.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -1.04 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 26.8| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 1.93 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 18.9| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 2.08 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 3.27 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -0.91 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -2.51 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 18.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -1.17 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -0.36 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 18.9| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 5.49 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 2.16 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -0.03 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -0.50 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 18.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -5.36 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -0.84 - dm: 0.42 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 18.9| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 4.63 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: 8.16 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 26.7| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| + dL: -0.61 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 26.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| - dL: -8.35 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 18.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 26.2| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 14.3| model 7: 16.3| + dL: 4.92 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 0.11 diff --git a/hbi_output/1272/300_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1272/300_180_extreme/hbi.log index 2dc8547fe6c853f032e52d6ea9d4ecf54aa421ec..9373531881b3ab46954e1bc619ddca3d8a12bc7f 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1272/300_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1272/300_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 02:09:48 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-25 09:15:34 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,272 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.1| model 2: 18.6| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 15.3| model 5: 2.9| model 6: 0.5| model 7: 0.5| - dL: 389.55 - dm: 44.89 - dx: 8.00 + model 1: 49.2| model 2: 16.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 19.8| model 5: 6.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 271.28 + dm: 50.79 + dx: 5.34 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.4| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 0.8| model 7: 0.9| - dL: 47.88 - dm: 2.29 - dx: 0.50 + model 1: 54.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 16.4| model 5: 5.2| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 10.94 + dm: 4.95 + dx: 0.44 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.1| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 3.8| model 6: 1.1| model 7: 1.2| - dL: 21.91 - dm: 1.26 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.7| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.7| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 4.98 + dm: 1.05 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 4.1| model 6: 1.2| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 3.77 - dm: 0.99 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 55.4| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.59 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.9| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 4.3| model 6: 1.2| model 7: 1.3| - dL: -6.69 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 55.5| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 2.78 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.0| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 1.2| model 7: 1.4| - dL: -5.14 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 3.81 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.5| - dL: 6.14 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 2.32 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 1.6| - dL: 1.36 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 3.20 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.5| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 1.4| model 7: 1.8| - dL: -12.37 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -4.71 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.8| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 16.3| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 1.6| model 7: 1.9| - dL: -13.06 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.43 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.2| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 16.6| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 1.8| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 2.27 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 2.52 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.4| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 16.8| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.57 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.15 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.5| model 2: 17.7| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 16.8| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 2.2| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 2.79 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.08 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.6| model 2: 17.7| model 3: 0.1| model 4: 16.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 24.72 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.60 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.49 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.9| model 2: 17.7| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 16.6| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 13.00 - dm: 0.64 - dx: 0.93 + model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.4| model 2: 17.7| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 16.2| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.59 - dm: 0.56 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -3.16 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 16.2| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.72 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 54.9| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.54 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.4| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 16.2| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.02 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.49 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.4| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 16.3| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.16 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.00 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.4| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 16.3| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.08 + model 1: 54.9| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -3.27 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.25 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.5| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 16.3| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.79 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 4.10 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 16.2| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.08 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -3.21 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.38 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 3.03 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -3.07 - dm: 0.09 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -2.90 + dm: 0.16 dx: 0.10 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.4| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 16.2| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 2.90 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 2.52 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -4.81 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.81 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.4| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 5.20 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 54.9| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -3.64 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.39 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 3.19 + dm: 0.35 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -3.64 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.82 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.4| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 3.71 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -5.68 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -4.47 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 55.4| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 4.95 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.5| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 3.93 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -1.10 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 16.1| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.09 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 6.05 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -2.82 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -6.01 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 2.34 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 3.29 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.52 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 54.9| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -1.27 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.4| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.99 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 54.7| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.55 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.5| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.19 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 54.6| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -3.86 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.5| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 16.0| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.76 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 54.8| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.73 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.71 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 54.9| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.80 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -3.09 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.40 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.95 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 3.85 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 15.9| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.03 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 6.57 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 54.9| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.21 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.5| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -8.07 - dm: 0.45 - dx: 0.24 -Iteration 47 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.8| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.75 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.21 -Iteration 48 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.7| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 15.7| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 9.38 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.10 -Iteration 49 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.3| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -4.40 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.11 -Iteration 50 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.3| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 15.4| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -3.82 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 51 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.5| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 2.18 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 54.8| model 2: 17.8| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 4.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -5.25 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.01 + Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1272/300_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1272/300_360_equal/hbi.log index b74c6e284eafb753648075b8db341bd9f33f8a02..e0cebc9b873afacd5321052c6f9e4766da1bbd6f 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1272/300_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1272/300_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 02:43:21 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-25 09:34:01 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,272 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 30.7| model 2: 17.7| model 3: 14.5| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 3.6| - dL: 369.08 - dm: 69.33 - dx: 8.45 + model 1: 16.9| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 12.6| model 6: 13.7| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 244.70 + dm: 75.89 + dx: 6.03 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.7| model 2: 16.0| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 10.8| model 7: 9.9| - dL: 149.57 - dm: 1.66 - dx: 1.46 + model 1: 14.9| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 13.0| model 6: 14.9| model 7: 13.9| + dL: 38.25 + dm: 0.49 + dx: 1.13 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.9| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 12.5| model 6: 14.4| model 7: 13.2| - dL: 84.80 - dm: 1.61 - dx: 0.63 + model 1: 15.3| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 13.2| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 2.73 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.0| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 24.9| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 14.9| model 7: 13.8| - dL: 32.97 - dm: 1.12 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 15.4| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.3| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -7.39 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.6| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.2| model 6: 14.9| model 7: 13.9| - dL: 5.83 - dm: 0.90 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 15.6| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.3| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 20.87 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.3| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 13.9| - dL: 0.84 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 15.6| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.3| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -5.90 + dm: 0.37 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.6| model 5: 13.3| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 1.11 - dm: 0.56 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 6.97 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 13.3| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 4.54 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -14.57 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 20.62 - dm: 0.78 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 13.21 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -4.11 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -13.71 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -11.50 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 3.77 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 14.00 - dm: 0.85 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 9.34 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -12.28 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 3.48 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 19.75 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.99 + dm: 0.59 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -14.19 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 4.79 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -18.38 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 5.01 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.64 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 4.50 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 10.12 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -13.80 - dm: 0.42 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.90 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 13.44 - dm: 0.07 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.34 + dm: 0.01 dx: 0.10 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -25.29 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.62 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 24.81 - dm: 0.81 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.24 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -35.22 - dm: 0.92 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 24.4| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.53 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 7.85 - dm: 0.66 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.21 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 21.42 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.11 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -16.93 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 3.78 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 3.71 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -15.87 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 17.06 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 6.03 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -12.32 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 8.55 + dm: 0.65 + dx: 0.41 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -9.56 - dm: 0.71 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -12.97 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 1.26 - dm: 0.38 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.94 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 11.39 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -4.18 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -12.85 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.77 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 3.20 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 17.32 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -4.02 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -8.69 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.68 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 2.30 + dm: 0.53 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -3.10 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -11.59 + dm: 0.78 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 2.33 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.40 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 3.34 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 3.64 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.44 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -4.79 + dm: 0.36 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -2.03 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.66 + model 1: 16.0| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 4.50 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 1.13 - dm: 0.45 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.97 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 5.86 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.36 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -8.77 - dm: 0.61 - dx: 0.48 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.56 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 4.01 - dm: 0.56 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.38 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -2.54 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.08 -Iteration 47 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 16.91 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.17 -Iteration 48 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -3.89 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.25 -Iteration 49 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -10.22 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.18 -Iteration 50 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -2.60 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 51 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.33 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 8.81 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.01 + Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1272/300_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1272/300_360_extreme/hbi.log index 64a9667a4a384b8429d75283a95517f6f9424327..02c0b0ddc7a634b64ac7856fd8226b20f22935f8 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1272/300_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1272/300_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 02:49:16 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-25 09:54:36 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.8| model 2: 17.5| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 2.5| model 6: 0.6| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 445.45 - dm: 40.21 - dx: 14.46 + model 1: 53.7| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 329.04 + dm: 46.34 + dx: 9.67 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.4| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.0| model 6: 1.2| model 7: 1.4| - dL: -2.62 - dm: 1.63 - dx: 1.26 + model 1: 58.5| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 19.53 + dm: 4.82 + dx: 0.33 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.0| model 2: 17.4| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.5| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 30.74 - dm: 0.54 - dx: 0.58 + model 1: 60.0| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 16.68 + dm: 1.55 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.3| model 2: 17.4| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 1.8| model 7: 1.9| - dL: 28.75 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 60.5| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 11.2| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.81 + dm: 0.49 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 12.3| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.1| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.59 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 60.8| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -4.05 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.9| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 15.95 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.46 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -20.27 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.3| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -11.35 - dm: 0.61 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 61.5| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.76 + dm: 0.51 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.5| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 16.97 + model 1: 61.6| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 4.33 dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.13 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.7| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -6.38 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 61.6| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -1.03 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.0| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -10.24 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 61.7| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -4.47 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.0| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 16.64 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 61.7| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 14.99 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.8| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.34 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 61.3| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.51 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.6| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -2.55 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 61.0| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -6.15 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.6| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.90 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 61.3| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 6.03 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.5| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -3.05 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 61.3| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -8.55 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.6| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 5.24 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 61.6| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 8.07 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.7| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.84 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 61.6| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.96 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.0| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -10.94 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 61.5| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -12.05 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.35 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.8| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 13.77 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 61.8| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -5.02 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.0| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -5.45 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 61.8| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 3.51 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.6| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.66 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.42 + model 1: 61.6| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -2.68 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.8| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.32 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 61.7| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.51 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 7.83 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.45 + model 1: 61.7| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 2.10 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.8| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -4.43 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 61.7| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -2.97 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.0| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -9.22 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 61.7| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 9.66 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -2.86 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 61.5| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -1.32 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 8.65 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 61.5| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.18 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -8.19 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 61.8| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 9.63 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.2| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.80 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.40 + model 1: 61.6| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -5.01 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.20 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.39 + model 1: 61.5| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -5.19 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -9.58 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 61.9| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -3.01 + dm: 0.36 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.4| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 2.61 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.36 + model 1: 62.1| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -3.34 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.03 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 62.1| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -4.93 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.2| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 9.46 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.80 + model 1: 62.2| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.11 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 2.89 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.62 + dL: 17.43 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -6.16 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.44 + model 1: 62.0| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -8.57 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 8.60 + model 1: 62.0| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 7.66 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.44 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -6.59 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 61.7| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -1.31 + dm: 0.36 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.3| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 7.54 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 61.9| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -2.25 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.40 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 62.1| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -5.36 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.58 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 62.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.03 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.9| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 3.94 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 62.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.92 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.5| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -14.52 - dm: 0.40 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 62.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.68 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.8| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 3.27 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 62.1| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 9.92 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.7| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 6.53 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 62.0| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -4.60 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.8| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -2.01 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 61.9| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 6.68 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.0| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.88 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 61.8| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.62 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.0| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 8.97 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 61.5| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.39 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.8| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -3.34 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 61.6| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 3.79 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.8| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -11.84 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 61.6| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -7.40 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 diff --git a/hbi_output/1275/150_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1275/150_180_equal/hbi.log index 54dce8acf641afda73df96be9e47742afebadd84..2a3baebd045c400bea55713ca9c2ab46b3d3373d 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1275/150_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1275/150_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 04:21:46 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-25 13:44:45 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 32.5| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 18.0| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 8.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.6| - dL: 165.05 - dm: 67.53 - dx: 8.43 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 12.9| model 3: 8.3| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 17.4| model 6: 11.0| model 7: 12.6| + dL: 95.47 + dm: 79.55 + dx: 5.86 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 26.1| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 13.9| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 14.9| model 6: 6.3| model 7: 5.8| - dL: 26.54 - dm: 6.41 - dx: 0.95 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 19.0| model 6: 11.9| model 7: 13.8| + dL: 17.83 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 1.11 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.7| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 8.6| model 4: 21.2| model 5: 17.9| model 6: 9.8| model 7: 9.9| - dL: 20.53 - dm: 2.52 - dx: 0.56 + model 1: 17.1| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 19.9| model 5: 19.7| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 7.52 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 19.2| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 39.51 - dm: 1.61 - dx: 0.42 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 20.0| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.60 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 21.0| model 5: 19.8| model 6: 11.8| model 7: 13.8| - dL: 30.44 - dm: 1.83 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 20.1| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.33 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.6| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 20.0| model 6: 11.9| model 7: 13.9| - dL: 3.51 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.56 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 11.9| model 7: 13.9| - dL: 13.35 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.76 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -17.76 - dm: 0.01 + model 1: 17.5| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 19.8| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.40 + dm: 0.00 dx: 0.10 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 4.87 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 17.6| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 20.1| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.34 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 10.18 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 17.7| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 5.61 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 8.82 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 17.1| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 19.7| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.82 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.3| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -16.72 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 19.8| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.05 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.3| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 23.29 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.92 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.8| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -1.61 - dm: 0.00 + model 1: 16.5| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.27 + dm: 0.01 dx: 0.10 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.76 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.62 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 17.6| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 8.29 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 4.80 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.9| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -9.06 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 7.9| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -4.47 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.3| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 17.6| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 6.77 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 4.17 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.18 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 8.3| model 4: 17.7| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -4.06 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 8.0| model 4: 17.8| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.32 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 8.2| model 4: 17.8| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -6.22 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.8| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.52 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.8| model 4: 17.7| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -3.47 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 17.8| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.42 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.9| model 4: 17.5| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -6.76 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.09 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 17.6| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 3.05 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -7.64 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.5| model 4: 17.7| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 1.46 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.58 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -9.44 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 4.70 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 6.3| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 20.1| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 4.98 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 16.6| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.48 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -7.57 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.5| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -6.51 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -1.44 + model 1: 16.6| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 8.0| model 4: 17.6| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 8.54 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.15 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.0| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 20.1| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 1.96 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.9| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -5.29 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.7| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 20.1| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -5.29 + model 1: 16.9| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 3.41 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.16 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.9| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -4.36 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.48 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.1| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 19.9| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 11.34 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.5| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.24 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.6| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 1.32 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 18.2| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.73 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 2.11 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 18.2| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -3.13 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -1.08 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.91 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -10.12 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 7.5| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.82 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.8| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 8.30 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.6| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -4.22 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -2.56 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -8.55 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.4| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 3.50 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 7.5| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 5.49 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.11 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 1.17 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 17.0| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 4.92 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.3| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -4.24 + model 1: 17.0| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.02 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.04 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.7| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 2.33 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 16.9| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.90 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.8| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 3.50 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 16.5| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.75 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.47 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.6| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.98 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.2| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.71 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.76 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.60 + model 1: 16.6| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -1.92 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -5.54 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 7.5| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -10.73 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.3| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 10.50 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 6.3| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 2.60 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -4.17 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 17.5| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 8.03 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -5.06 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 7.6| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 20.2| model 6: 12.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 3.45 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.14 diff --git a/hbi_output/1275/150_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1275/150_180_extreme/hbi.log index 1d3305e30e566c052fd218d29b7a8643ed1548a6..0d57c39e4909de83208bb4711efe81f931f6ba04 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1275/150_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1275/150_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 04:27:51 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-25 13:55:00 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,74 +17,62 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 17.5| model 5: 3.8| model 6: 0.5| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 222.21 - dm: 41.63 - dx: 15.28 + model 1: 51.6| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 2.6| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 174.78 + dm: 48.44 + dx: 12.49 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.8| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 15.5| model 5: 4.1| model 6: 1.0| model 7: 1.5| - dL: 21.24 - dm: 1.47 - dx: 1.41 + model 1: 57.0| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 6.1| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 12.84 + dm: 5.43 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.8| model 2: 13.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 16.8| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 1.6| model 7: 1.8| - dL: 15.77 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.71 + model 1: 58.4| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 17.6| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 4.16 + dm: 1.40 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.5| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 17.2| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 7.35 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 58.8| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 17.3| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.75 + dm: 0.42 + dx: 0.65 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.5| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 17.3| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 7.29 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.53 + model 1: 58.9| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 17.2| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -2.72 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.84 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.1| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 17.3| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 2.63 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 2.63 + model 1: 59.4| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 0.1| model 4: 17.3| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 2.02 + dm: 0.45 + dx: 0.78 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.0| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 17.2| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.81 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 1.46 + model 1: 59.4| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.12 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 2.87 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.9| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 17.2| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -3.18 + model 1: 59.4| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.02 dm: 0.01 - dx: 1.13 + dx: 1.47 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.4| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.1| model 4: 17.3| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.43 - dm: 0.43 - dx: 0.84 + model 1: 59.4| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.01 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 11 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.4| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.04 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 1.32 -Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 59.4| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| dL: -0.01 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.27 -Iteration 13 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.4| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 6.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.00 - dm: 0.00 dx: 0.00 Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1275/150_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1275/150_360_equal/hbi.log index a4f700dea0b41271ee04da37384159c9a0fbdcef..f648fceef459a6339837cbced69c3e3edf50ad16 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1275/150_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1275/150_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 04:33:57 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-25 13:58:57 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,188 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 38.1| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 15.3| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 4.3| model 7: 3.6| - dL: 181.63 - dm: 61.89 - dx: 10.67 + model 1: 19.2| model 2: 11.2| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 21.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 15.8| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 68.65 + dm: 78.36 + dx: 7.30 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 30.7| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 8.6| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 8.5| model 6: 11.2| model 7: 9.4| - dL: 79.49 - dm: 7.42 - dx: 0.58 + model 1: 17.8| model 2: 10.9| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 21.0| model 5: 10.8| model 6: 17.2| model 7: 18.2| + dL: 24.32 + dm: 0.63 + dx: 0.84 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.6| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 9.9| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 36.78 - dm: 9.07 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 18.0| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.6| + dL: 6.41 + dm: 1.57 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.7| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 10.6| model 6: 17.2| model 7: 18.1| - dL: 42.53 - dm: 0.91 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 18.7| model 2: 10.7| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 11.1| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.6| + dL: 25.51 + dm: 0.73 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.1| model 2: 10.8| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 11.0| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.6| - dL: 12.91 - dm: 1.05 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 19.1| model 2: 10.6| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: 0.89 + dm: 0.42 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.9| model 2: 10.7| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 11.1| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -7.96 - dm: 0.77 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 19.5| model 2: 10.5| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: -5.47 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 10.6| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -3.59 - dm: 0.61 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 19.8| model 2: 10.5| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: 19.24 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.7| model 2: 10.5| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 11.2| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 19.7| model 2: 10.4| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: -5.31 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.9| model 2: 10.4| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 18.2| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -4.52 - dm: 0.19 + model 1: 19.8| model 2: 10.4| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 17.8| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: -7.23 + dm: 0.09 dx: 0.21 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.0| model 2: 10.4| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 18.2| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -4.29 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 20.1| model 2: 10.4| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: -18.28 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.1| model 2: 10.4| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -3.42 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: -14.00 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -2.62 + model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: -13.65 dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.10 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -1.96 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 20.4| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 18.2| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: -10.70 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 11.39 - dm: 0.04 + model 1: 20.9| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: 9.29 + dm: 0.42 dx: 0.09 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -27.70 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 20.3| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: 19.63 + dm: 0.60 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.3| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 6.28 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 20.0| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: 10.17 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.3| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 12.94 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 20.0| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: 5.19 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.3| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 2.35 - dm: 0.00 + model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.2| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: 3.84 + dm: 0.12 dx: 0.14 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.3| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 0.73 - dm: 0.00 + model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: 2.40 + dm: 0.06 dx: 0.03 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.3| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 1.05 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: -9.18 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.3| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -21.99 + model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: 3.34 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.3| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 14.84 + model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: 2.88 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.3| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 3.64 + model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: 9.91 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.11 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 1.48 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.07 + dL: -9.74 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 0.89 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + dL: 12.97 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 0.74 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 20.3| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: -8.74 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -1.99 + model 1: 20.3| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| + dL: -4.46 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.04 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 29 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -3.71 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.14 -Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 1.63 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 31 + dL: 0.23 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.12 +Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -0.90 + dL: 2.00 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 32 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -2.96 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 33 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -2.25 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 34 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -4.84 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 35 + dx: 0.03 +Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -8.32 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 36 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -12.26 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 37 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -10.40 + dL: 1.51 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 38 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -6.10 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 39 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 19.4| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 17.04 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 40 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.5| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 19.8| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -0.59 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.24 -Iteration 41 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.0| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 19.6| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -6.22 - dm: 0.51 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 42 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.9| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 11.70 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.11 -Iteration 43 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.9| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 13.48 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 44 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.0| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 2.49 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 45 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.1| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 18.2| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -0.58 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 46 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -0.43 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 47 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 5.75 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 48 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 0.83 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 49 + dx: 0.01 +Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 2.82 + dL: 0.70 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 50 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.2| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: -0.19 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 -Iteration 51 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.1| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 11.4| model 6: 17.3| model 7: 18.7| - dL: 1.70 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.08 + dx: 0.01 + Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1275/150_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1275/150_360_extreme/hbi.log index 334b72bced444a215d187706e62e4becd070b991..8d00ff01bcf9a21cb069002bee83e61853b43fac 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1275/150_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1275/150_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 04:36:26 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-25 14:07:00 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,236 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.8| model 2: 17.9| model 3: 6.3| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 1.6| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 198.05 - dm: 47.23 - dx: 15.73 + model 1: 46.0| model 2: 16.1| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 8.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 169.89 + dm: 54.04 + dx: 11.54 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.3| model 2: 17.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 12.2| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 4.3| model 7: 1.1| - dL: 49.30 - dm: 1.55 - dx: 0.83 + model 1: 51.2| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 14.30 + dm: 5.26 + dx: 0.40 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 5.2| model 7: 1.6| - dL: 10.34 - dm: 1.43 - dx: 0.52 + model 1: 52.3| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -4.46 + dm: 1.03 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 17.0| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 12.2| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 1.8| - dL: 4.69 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 52.7| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 3.73 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.8| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 1.9| - dL: -10.00 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 52.7| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 5.13 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.0| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.40 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 53.0| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 2.56 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.50 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 53.0| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.52 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.13 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 53.1| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 6.70 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 5.46 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 52.8| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -13.44 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.7| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -5.55 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 53.0| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 10.80 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.7| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.15 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -5.43 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.4| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 13.00 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 53.1| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 2.38 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.1| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -9.88 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 53.2| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 3.17 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.50 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.3| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 5.08 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 52.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.85 + dm: 0.64 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.3| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -10.61 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 52.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -5.01 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.7| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 23.38 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 4.73 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.5| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -12.65 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 52.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 4.72 + dm: 0.33 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.71 - dm: 0.59 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 52.4| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -2.16 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.2| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -5.12 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -2.72 + dm: 0.53 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 3.49 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.89 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.94 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 53.0| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.76 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.94 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 53.0| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -2.67 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.8| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -8.30 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 53.0| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.08 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 7.84 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.08 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.38 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 3.69 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -2.47 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 52.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 7.50 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 2.20 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 52.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -6.85 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.48 + model 1: 52.6| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -6.38 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.26 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.48 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 5.68 + dm: 0.36 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.01 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 52.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.23 + dm: 0.36 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -4.36 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 52.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -1.45 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.78 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 52.6| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -10.80 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 8.21 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 53.1| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 12.19 + dm: 0.53 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.6| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -7.24 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 52.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.64 + dm: 0.54 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.6| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -5.42 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 52.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -14.13 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.31 - dm: 0.55 - dx: 0.36 + model 1: 52.8| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 3.48 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.3| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.04 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 52.8| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 3.71 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.68 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 5.03 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.10 -Iteration 41 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.13 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 -Iteration 42 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -10.50 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 43 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.65 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.25 -Iteration 44 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 13.04 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 45 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.6| model 2: 16.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 9.38 - dm: 0.56 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 46 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.4| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -9.16 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 47 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.6| model 2: 16.4| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -1.72 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 48 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.6| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.74 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 49 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.5| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -4.90 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 50 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 16.5| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.01 - dm: 0.58 - dx: 0.29 -Iteration 51 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.2| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 4.27 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 52.9| model 2: 16.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 5.3| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 2.12 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.01 + Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1275/300_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1275/300_180_equal/hbi.log index 94b6cb8323d8fe59af9c0c6e5a50905afa79f158..d8d5511e5f958e35ac3f0c57d810693351d5d043 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1275/300_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1275/300_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 04:38:50 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-25 14:17:58 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 35.8| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 16.0| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 3.1| model 7: 2.6| - dL: 291.44 - dm: 64.16 - dx: 2.61 + model 1: 19.0| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 12.8| model 6: 13.6| model 7: 13.0| + dL: 156.39 + dm: 77.12 + dx: 7.09 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 32.7| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 13.3| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 8.1| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 91.51 - dm: 3.19 - dx: 0.79 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 13.7| model 6: 15.0| model 7: 14.8| + dL: 38.76 + dm: 0.92 + dx: 1.92 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 27.1| model 2: 11.8| model 3: 10.4| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 12.5| model 6: 12.4| model 7: 0.5| - dL: 48.60 - dm: 5.51 - dx: 7.71 + model 1: 17.0| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 14.4| model 6: 15.4| model 7: 15.2| + dL: 5.29 + dm: 0.50 + dx: 0.59 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 23.7| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 9.4| model 4: 27.2| model 5: 13.5| model 6: 14.4| model 7: 0.9| - dL: 26.28 - dm: 1.92 - dx: 0.57 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 10.7| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 24.8| model 5: 14.8| model 6: 15.5| model 7: 15.4| + dL: 9.03 + dm: 0.48 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 20.8| model 2: 10.6| model 3: 9.6| model 4: 28.2| model 5: 14.0| model 6: 15.1| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 18.73 - dm: 1.03 - dx: 0.48 + model 1: 17.4| model 2: 10.5| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 15.0| model 6: 15.6| model 7: 15.6| + dL: 17.71 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.8| model 2: 10.4| model 3: 10.6| model 4: 28.5| model 5: 14.4| model 6: 15.4| model 7: 2.9| - dL: 29.79 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.78 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.4| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 15.2| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -7.94 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.4| model 3: 12.1| model 4: 27.8| model 5: 14.7| model 6: 15.6| model 7: 3.8| - dL: 30.30 - dm: 0.69 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 17.1| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.6| + dL: 3.53 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 10.4| model 3: 12.1| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 14.9| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 4.3| - dL: 8.47 - dm: 1.16 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -1.07 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.4| model 2: 10.4| model 3: 11.7| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 15.1| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 4.9| - dL: -2.35 - dm: 0.78 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 16.9| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 1.04 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 10.4| model 3: 10.4| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 5.7| - dL: 2.61 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.44 + model 1: 16.9| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 4.58 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 9.8| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 6.3| - dL: 2.83 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 16.9| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -2.27 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.42 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 9.0| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 7.3| - dL: 4.48 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 2.57 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.55 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 8.6| - dL: 11.47 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -2.20 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.57 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.6| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 15.1| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 10.2| - dL: -11.49 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.44 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 2.70 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.78 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 12.0| - dL: 15.54 - dm: 0.58 - dx: 0.49 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -2.49 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.86 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 13.4| - dL: -7.38 - dm: 0.66 - dx: 0.58 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 8.28 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 1.02 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 14.6| - dL: 3.12 - dm: 0.63 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -1.51 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.72 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.3| - dL: 5.23 - dm: 0.12 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 2.67 + dm: 0.28 dx: 0.35 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.6| - dL: -1.03 - dm: 0.19 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -4.10 + dm: 0.01 dx: 0.15 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: 6.32 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.29 + model 1: 16.6| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -1.23 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: 0.18 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 0.71 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: -3.69 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 6.09 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.6| - dL: -1.23 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -13.85 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: 2.93 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 6.92 + dm: 0.49 + dx: 0.69 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: -2.30 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.18 + dL: -5.18 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.61 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: 4.16 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 5.01 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.81 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: 2.58 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 25.7| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -4.77 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.78 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: -2.94 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.50 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 4.68 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 1.07 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: 3.20 - dm: 0.36 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -2.98 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 1.02 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: -4.20 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.56 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 8.39 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: 8.20 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -3.03 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: -7.81 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.40 + model 1: 16.6| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 10.43 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: 7.80 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.48 + model 1: 16.6| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -11.02 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: -3.43 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.50 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 2.51 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: 5.99 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.49 + dL: -0.66 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: -6.27 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 0.57 dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.47 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: 11.49 - dm: 0.19 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 5.70 + dm: 0.27 dx: 0.23 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: -19.75 - dm: 0.37 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -8.68 + dm: 0.54 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: 8.55 - dm: 0.64 - dx: 0.49 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -0.63 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: -0.52 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.75 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 4.07 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: 4.28 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.25 + dL: -3.49 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.6| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: 10.32 - dm: 0.40 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 6.68 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: -13.26 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -7.59 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: 2.13 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 4.42 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: 6.18 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -0.32 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: -4.86 - dm: 0.50 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 25.1| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 7.00 + dm: 0.43 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: -12.00 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 16.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 25.2| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -7.37 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: 11.69 - dm: 0.52 - dx: 1.34 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 25.4| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: -3.94 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 1.35 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: -2.94 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| - dL: 3.81 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 25.6| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 15.7| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 3.65 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.08 diff --git a/hbi_output/1275/300_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1275/300_180_extreme/hbi.log index f805b1fbe107c72f5f6bd247559a72283bf742c5..6b862d3b5d463e70440723acad30d824c2b2eb7b 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1275/300_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1275/300_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 05:21:54 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-25 14:41:33 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,242 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.9| model 2: 17.5| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 15.6| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 396.60 - dm: 45.13 - dx: 7.38 + model 1: 47.6| model 2: 15.5| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 6.6| model 6: 3.6| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 306.02 + dm: 52.38 + dx: 4.67 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 4.2| model 6: 1.6| model 7: 1.2| - dL: 52.93 - dm: 1.91 - dx: 0.72 + model 1: 52.4| model 2: 16.7| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 16.6| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 26.00 + dm: 4.80 + dx: 0.56 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.2| model 2: 17.4| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 2.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 46.24 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 53.9| model 2: 17.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 14.8| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -4.17 + dm: 1.53 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.6| model 2: 17.4| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 3.1| model 7: 2.1| - dL: 10.83 - dm: 0.69 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 54.7| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 7.63 + dm: 0.73 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 56.3| model 2: 17.4| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 3.5| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 8.36 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 54.9| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -1.06 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.8| model 2: 17.4| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 5.3| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 5.62 - dm: 0.51 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 2.98 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.6| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -1.17 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -1.45 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 5.4| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -3.99 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -2.63 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -0.94 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 2.51 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 3.13 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 8.29 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.77 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 54.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -1.13 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -1.55 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 6.77 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -2.36 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 54.7| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -3.69 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 3.72 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 54.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 0.49 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 10.18 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -6.42 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 14.6| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -15.22 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -1.83 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 14.7| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 6.27 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -1.13 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 1.35 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 6.47 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 3.41 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 54.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 5.63 + dm: 0.28 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 1.76 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 54.6| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -3.28 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 4.29 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 54.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 3.27 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.8| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -1.18 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 54.8| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -7.36 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 1.55 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 54.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -2.47 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 7.48 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -0.63 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 54.9| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -7.39 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 2.40 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -4.24 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 1.15 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 13.4| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 9.47 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -3.11 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -6.85 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 0.67 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.52 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 4.42 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -0.88 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -3.26 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.4| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.46 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 0.41 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.4| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -2.12 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -0.13 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.5| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 2.68 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -1.67 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 6.78 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 1.34 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -6.61 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -2.21 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -1.38 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 9.80 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 2.50 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -7.75 + dm: 0.34 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -0.12 - dm: 0.03 + model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: -1.49 + dm: 0.33 dx: 0.06 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -0.31 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 41 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 2.93 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 42 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -2.34 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 43 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.3| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 8.13 + model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| + dL: 1.95 dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 44 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.0| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -9.56 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.16 -Iteration 45 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 2.73 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 46 + dx: 0.02 +Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.12 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 47 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -2.96 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 48 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.66 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 49 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.1| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 1.16 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 50 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 12.9| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: 0.69 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 51 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 55.2| model 2: 17.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 2.3| - dL: -0.47 + dL: 8.02 dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.01 + Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1275/300_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1275/300_360_equal/hbi.log index 2834b03c95a8e62c1d06b003d8fcdacb08e632b2..6728f879b3141a9b1a0d6cfe21bb959d0fc86d5c 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1275/300_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1275/300_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 05:06:19 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-25 14:58:27 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 33.8| model 2: 15.4| model 3: 15.0| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 4.0| model 7: 3.4| - dL: 336.40 - dm: 66.17 - dx: 11.50 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 9.9| model 6: 16.5| model 7: 14.1| + dL: 216.76 + dm: 75.50 + dx: 7.91 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 24.4| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 9.3| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 7.8| model 6: 11.4| model 7: 9.4| - dL: 129.62 - dm: 9.39 - dx: 0.70 + model 1: 15.5| model 2: 12.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 10.0| model 6: 18.4| model 7: 15.7| + dL: 76.25 + dm: 0.35 + dx: 1.12 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 26.0| model 5: 9.2| model 6: 16.9| model 7: 13.9| - dL: 70.44 - dm: 2.12 - dx: 0.40 + model 1: 16.6| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 10.2| model 6: 18.6| model 7: 15.9| + dL: 53.05 + dm: 1.64 + dx: 0.34 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.5| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 25.9| model 5: 9.8| model 6: 18.4| model 7: 15.5| - dL: 51.05 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 18.6| model 7: 15.9| + dL: 20.52 + dm: 1.11 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 24.2| model 5: 10.1| model 6: 18.6| model 7: 15.9| - dL: 81.41 - dm: 1.68 - dx: 0.48 + model 1: 17.6| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 21.2| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 3.41 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.5| model 2: 13.0| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 10.2| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 10.81 - dm: 2.49 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 17.9| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 21.0| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 12.92 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.0| model 2: 12.7| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 21.0| model 5: 10.2| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 0.18 - dm: 0.69 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 18.1| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 21.0| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -2.86 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.3| model 2: 12.6| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 10.2| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 17.62 - dm: 0.55 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -0.01 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 48.49 - dm: 0.64 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 18.3| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -0.30 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 29.14 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -6.63 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -38.81 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -2.93 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 4.17 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 1.98 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 13.38 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 0.62 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 20.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 8.35 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 18.57 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.01 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 20.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -0.66 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -5.87 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -0.13 - dm: 0.51 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 13.14 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -3.73 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 4.65 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 20.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 2.81 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -6.50 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 20.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 5.48 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 15.11 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -7.37 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 20.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -9.84 + dm: 0.76 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -5.69 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -4.10 + dm: 0.67 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 10.93 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.3| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 12.27 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -13.31 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 18.4| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -5.79 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 3.30 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -2.53 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -5.90 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 8.64 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -2.65 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -2.08 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 14.34 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -0.78 + dm: 0.46 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -9.46 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -1.53 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -2.87 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 5.38 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -2.58 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -11.77 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -2.73 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.27 + dL: 1.91 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 0.74 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -0.17 + dm: 0.30 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -3.16 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -3.87 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -1.04 - dm: 0.30 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -5.47 + dm: 0.18 dx: 0.04 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -10.97 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 6.26 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 2.73 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 15.32 + dm: 0.52 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 4.12 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 1.28 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 10.59 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -2.15 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 20.8| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -6.38 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 2.84 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 32.04 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -11.77 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -13.36 - dm: 0.60 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 0.72 + dm: 0.48 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -8.00 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 3.00 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -2.33 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 9.15 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -2.30 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -5.14 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: -1.43 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -2.80 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 4.74 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 4.86 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.08 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 2.89 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -2.76 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 1.80 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 20.5| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: 0.26 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 1.05 - dm: 0.15 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -4.58 + dm: 0.23 dx: 0.09 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| - dL: 2.50 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 18.5| model 2: 12.0| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 18.7| model 7: 16.0| + dL: -9.54 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.06 diff --git a/hbi_output/1275/300_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1275/300_360_extreme/hbi.log index eca7fd5dd69b417db4a602f3d5b591424f0049a4..9d8202a529c1bbd8317e903c05aa1e2d11603268 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1275/300_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1275/300_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 06:00:34 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-25 15:20:14 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.4| model 2: 21.0| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 15.8| model 5: 3.9| model 6: 1.2| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 374.02 - dm: 47.60 - dx: 10.82 + model 1: 45.8| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 295.09 + dm: 54.20 + dx: 6.24 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.6| model 2: 20.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.5| model 5: 5.1| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.3| - dL: 112.17 - dm: 1.23 - dx: 1.19 + model 1: 50.2| model 2: 19.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 16.5| model 5: 6.2| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 14.47 + dm: 4.40 + dx: 0.54 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.5| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 3.2| model 7: 1.6| - dL: 82.47 - dm: 0.39 - dx: 0.63 + model 1: 52.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 15.1| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 17.85 + dm: 1.91 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.7| model 2: 20.4| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.6| - dL: 17.24 - dm: 0.50 - dx: 0.35 + model 1: 52.6| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 21.00 + dm: 0.53 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.8| model 2: 20.4| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -4.62 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 52.6| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -2.11 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 20.4| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -0.39 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 52.7| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -4.13 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 6.15 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 52.7| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -1.99 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 1.82 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 52.8| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 14.0| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -5.86 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 20.27 + model 1: 52.9| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 13.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 17.98 dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.12 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 12.2| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 5.54 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 52.9| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 13.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -8.20 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 9.04 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 52.7| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 13.9| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 11.97 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.63 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -2.02 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 52.8| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 2.37 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.26 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -39.49 - dm: 0.03 + model 1: 53.0| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.92 + dm: 0.23 dx: 0.12 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 15.36 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 53.0| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 0.25 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -1.19 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 0.85 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -30.42 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -6.96 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -1.17 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 10.90 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 12.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 54.06 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 12.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -9.73 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 52.9| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 5.06 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -1.64 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 10.39 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 53.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 2.06 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -17.35 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 53.4| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 12.5| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -1.52 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.4| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 6.87 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 53.4| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 12.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 3.84 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -11.57 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 53.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 9.64 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -19.26 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -5.04 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 12.64 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 12.0| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.49 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 6.42 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 53.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 1.16 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 7.19 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 53.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -1.35 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -13.62 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 53.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 12.0| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -1.09 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -9.33 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 53.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 1.01 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -0.04 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 53.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -6.12 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.0| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -21.71 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 53.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 12.2| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 4.54 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 14.33 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 53.4| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 12.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 0.89 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -6.62 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 53.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 12.2| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 9.47 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -6.30 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -5.10 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.0| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 2.68 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.31 + model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -1.68 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 2.26 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 53.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -1.06 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -1.98 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 53.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.96 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -9.74 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 53.4| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 7.40 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -15.60 + model 1: 53.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 1.09 dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.37 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 12.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.48 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -5.19 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 9.26 - dm: 0.02 + model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -1.78 + dm: 0.01 dx: 0.04 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -5.52 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 53.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.30 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.0| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -2.32 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 53.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -0.01 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.0| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 0.27 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 53.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 2.56 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.0| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -6.16 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -3.22 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.0| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 5.56 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 53.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 5.83 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: 4.97 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -1.88 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 12.3| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -1.46 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 53.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 7.05 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -4.09 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.36 + model 1: 53.4| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: -9.20 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 53.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 12.2| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| - dL: -10.11 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 53.4| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 3.3| model 7: 1.7| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.12 diff --git a/hbi_output/1280/300_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1280/300_180_equal/hbi.log index a4cad7947cb29b72c34adca084675ea632841e10..e933924e9c1b42fbeb1dd1c3aff08395213e4950 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1280/300_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1280/300_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 11:23:33 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-26 00:04:28 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 32.0| model 2: 16.6| model 3: 17.2| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 3.0| model 7: 2.8| - dL: 279.45 - dm: 68.04 - dx: 2.74 + model 1: 18.6| model 2: 12.8| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 12.1| model 6: 15.2| model 7: 12.0| + dL: 206.86 + dm: 77.40 + dx: 6.68 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 28.3| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 15.4| model 4: 23.9| model 5: 8.8| model 6: 8.3| model 7: 1.4| - dL: 89.31 - dm: 3.68 - dx: 0.81 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 24.0| model 5: 12.6| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 13.1| + dL: 40.89 + dm: 1.43 + dx: 1.58 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 23.2| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 13.2| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 10.9| model 6: 13.6| model 7: 1.1| - dL: 43.98 - dm: 1.92 - dx: 8.23 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 13.2| model 6: 16.9| model 7: 13.1| + dL: 1.22 + dm: 1.01 + dx: 0.46 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 19.5| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 9.6| model 4: 28.4| model 5: 12.2| model 6: 15.8| model 7: 2.9| - dL: 54.56 - dm: 2.57 - dx: 0.63 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 11.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 26.5| model 5: 13.6| model 6: 16.9| model 7: 13.1| + dL: 3.05 + dm: 1.47 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 10.6| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 12.9| model 6: 16.8| model 7: 6.9| - dL: 41.75 - dm: 0.96 - dx: 0.61 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 11.0| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 27.4| model 5: 13.8| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.2| + dL: 6.06 + dm: 0.88 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 13.4| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 10.1| - dL: 39.38 - dm: 0.38 - dx: 0.59 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 10.7| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 28.3| model 5: 14.0| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 2.01 + dm: 0.87 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 28.5| model 5: 13.8| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 12.1| - dL: -2.59 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.39 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.5| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 28.6| model 5: 14.0| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 1.19 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 14.0| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.0| - dL: 6.71 - dm: 0.43 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 28.8| model 5: 14.1| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 2.63 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.22 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 14.1| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 3.69 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.5| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 28.8| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 1.30 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.34 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 28.7| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 8.14 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.22 + model 1: 15.6| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 14.1| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -0.69 + dm: 0.20 + dx: 0.59 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 28.4| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 3.69 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 1.78 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.50 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.6| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 28.3| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -5.65 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -0.02 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.54 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.6| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 0.37 - dm: 0.67 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 15.6| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -0.75 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.80 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 28.6| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: 15.13 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| + dL: 1.12 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.50 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.5| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 27.9| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -10.35 - dm: 0.76 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| + dL: -1.66 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.56 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.6| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 27.8| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: 7.71 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -1.09 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.62 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.6| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 27.4| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: 2.78 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: 4.15 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.50 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.6| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 27.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: 8.42 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -2.28 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.53 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.6| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: 1.12 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -1.18 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.64 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.6| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: -0.39 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: 4.68 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.75 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.6| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: 2.76 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -2.12 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 1.05 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.6| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: -12.27 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -2.98 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.6| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: 1.31 - dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: 5.15 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 1.06 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.6| model 2: 10.4| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 26.9| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: -12.71 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -3.49 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 1.01 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.6| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 27.4| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: 8.87 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -0.38 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 1.00 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 27.0| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: -8.29 - dm: 0.38 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: 4.15 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.98 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.4| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 27.8| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: -5.16 - dm: 0.76 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -2.41 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.6| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 1.3| model 4: 28.4| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: -5.52 - dm: 0.61 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -1.36 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.6| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 3.27 - dm: 0.76 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: 3.86 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.3| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: 1.57 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -4.32 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: -0.96 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -0.65 + dm: 0.41 + dx: 1.05 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: 4.14 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: 3.91 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.35 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -2.30 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -1.84 dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.33 + dx: 0.40 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -1.19 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -1.07 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.92 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 4.04 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: 3.92 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -2.41 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -4.09 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -1.29 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.46 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -0.78 + dm: 0.39 + dx: 1.00 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 1.07 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.47 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: 4.49 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| - dL: -1.47 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.76 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -2.15 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.94 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.4| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: -1.08 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.75 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -1.31 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: 4.99 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.66 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: 3.86 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: -1.96 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 1.07 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -4.19 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: -3.44 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -0.72 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 1.04 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.3| - dL: 4.62 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.99 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: 3.88 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.27 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: -1.59 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.53 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -1.85 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: -1.00 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 1.06 + dL: -1.08 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.91 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: 2.17 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: 3.92 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.2| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: -1.12 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 1.03 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 10.1| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 28.9| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -2.43 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 29.2| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: -2.40 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.99 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 10.0| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 29.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: -1.37 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 29.3| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| - dL: 4.17 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.98 + model 1: 15.9| model 2: 9.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 29.0| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 17.0| model 7: 13.4| + dL: 3.85 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.21 diff --git a/hbi_output/1280/300_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1280/300_180_extreme/hbi.log index ab9ffc48d4ec86e15a13fface5f70b5c6a4ba7f3..3f2353ea9d85c19b5b4763468188260498587e9a 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1280/300_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1280/300_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 11:25:27 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-26 00:28:09 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,206 +17,188 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 12.7| model 5: 3.0| model 6: 1.0| model 7: 1.1| - dL: 395.01 - dm: 40.11 - dx: 0.78 + model 1: 52.3| model 2: 12.3| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 7.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 294.79 + dm: 47.70 + dx: 3.76 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 1.9| model 6: 2.1| model 7: 0.7| - dL: 12.27 - dm: 3.30 - dx: 0.77 + model 1: 59.0| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 6.3| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.47 + dm: 6.68 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 2.4| model 6: 2.4| model 7: 0.6| - dL: 22.15 - dm: 1.33 - dx: 1.44 + model 1: 61.7| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 6.1| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.9| + dL: 13.53 + dm: 2.75 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.6| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 3.8| model 6: 2.6| model 7: 0.5| - dL: 19.83 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 5.32 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.9| + dL: 8.48 + dm: 0.92 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.9| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 4.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 12.10 - dm: 0.72 - dx: 0.44 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 5.9| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -5.20 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.6| - dL: 4.66 - dm: 0.65 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 5.65 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.34 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 1.9| - dL: 2.49 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.23 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 7.59 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.6| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.25 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -11.33 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.09 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.68 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.19 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 13.07 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.41 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.34 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.7| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -7.64 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 12.73 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.34 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -4.18 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.71 + model 1: 62.7| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -12.59 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.43 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 5.32 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 1.06 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.97 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.7| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 13.23 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.77 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.12 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.93 Iteration 16 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -17.65 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.38 -Iteration 17 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 1.22 - dm: 0.38 - dx: 0.62 -Iteration 18 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.42 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.81 -Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 12.57 + dL: 12.79 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.85 -Iteration 20 + dx: 1.03 +Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.7| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -12.09 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.85 -Iteration 21 + dL: -12.05 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.94 +Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.10 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.79 -Iteration 22 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: 0.17 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.85 +Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.05 + dL: 0.11 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.69 -Iteration 23 + dx: 0.83 +Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 12.32 + dL: 12.36 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.54 -Iteration 24 + dx: 0.79 +Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -12.26 + model 1: 62.7| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -12.24 dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.37 -Iteration 25 + dx: 0.59 +Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.00 + dL: 0.01 dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.22 -Iteration 26 + dx: 0.40 +Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| dL: 0.01 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.13 -Iteration 27 + dx: 0.24 +Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.0| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 12.28 + dL: 12.29 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 28 + dx: 0.14 +Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -12.26 + dL: -12.27 dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 29 + dx: 0.10 +Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: -0.00 + dL: 0.04 dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 30 + dx: 0.05 +Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 0.00 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + dL: -0.05 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 31 + dx: 0.26 +Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.0| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| dL: 12.29 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.01 -Iteration 32 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.26 +Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| dL: -12.27 dm: 0.19 dx: 0.06 -Iteration 33 +Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| dL: -0.00 dm: 0.15 dx: 0.03 -Iteration 34 +Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| dL: 0.00 dm: 0.03 dx: 0.02 -Iteration 35 +Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 63.0| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 5.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 12.28 + dL: 12.29 dm: 0.01 dx: 0.01 Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1280/300_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1280/300_360_equal/hbi.log index e78247973a3fb9da20ba9cd9135b622a2ffcbf4e..87d99ebcd2185fb5f3b023dd0c21353c909ae012 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1280/300_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1280/300_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 11:32:37 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-26 00:45:23 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,182 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 30.8| model 2: 16.9| model 3: 14.8| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 3.9| model 7: 3.5| - dL: 255.65 - dm: 69.21 - dx: 9.85 + model 1: 18.2| model 2: 13.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 23.8| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 15.2| model 7: 11.6| + dL: 241.12 + dm: 76.21 + dx: 6.68 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 23.2| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 6.0| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 12.3| model 6: 11.4| model 7: 9.2| - dL: 179.35 - dm: 0.74 - dx: 1.01 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 15.2| model 6: 16.5| model 7: 12.2| + dL: 50.07 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 1.07 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.9| model 2: 12.5| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 25.5| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.8| model 7: 11.8| - dL: 113.28 - dm: 2.06 - dx: 0.44 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 15.8| model 6: 16.6| model 7: 12.3| + dL: 26.25 + dm: 0.48 + dx: 0.29 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 23.7| model 5: 15.4| model 6: 16.6| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 77.11 - dm: 1.81 - dx: 0.32 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 16.0| model 6: 16.6| model 7: 12.3| + dL: -12.53 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 15.7| model 6: 16.6| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 9.67 - dm: 0.72 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 16.0| model 6: 16.6| model 7: 12.3| + dL: 6.50 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.6| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -6.26 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 17.2| model 2: 11.5| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 16.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: 12.19 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.6| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -16.05 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 16.9| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 16.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: -2.75 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.7| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 23.70 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: 1.18 dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.07 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -1.95 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: -3.60 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -11.90 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 16.9| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: -0.93 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 2.98 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 17.1| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: 0.10 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 24.94 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 17.1| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: -10.24 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 4.03 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 17.1| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: -2.77 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 11.4| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -17.12 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: 12.34 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 16.0| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 2.91 - dm: 0.48 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 17.3| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 23.6| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: 4.07 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -32.89 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 17.0| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: 14.74 + dm: 0.37 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.3| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 58.53 - dm: 0.44 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 16.6| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: 11.69 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.0| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -31.04 - dm: 0.77 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: 3.06 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 17.1| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 47.54 - dm: 0.54 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: 8.63 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -37.74 - dm: 0.06 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: -14.32 + dm: 0.25 dx: 0.04 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 3.72 - dm: 0.53 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: 12.06 + dm: 0.32 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 12.72 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: 5.16 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -14.22 - dm: 0.43 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: -12.87 + dm: 0.00 dx: 0.04 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -1.90 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: 10.95 + dm: 0.18 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 26.41 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 16.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: -13.41 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -28.57 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: 16.98 + dm: 0.36 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -14.38 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: 2.57 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 7.97 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: 0.55 + dm: 0.40 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 9.16 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.10 -Iteration 31 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -9.14 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 32 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -5.60 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 33 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -2.56 - dm: 0.21 - dx: 0.20 -Iteration 34 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 15.55 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 35 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -7.02 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 36 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.9| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 3.93 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.18 -Iteration 37 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.6| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 2.03 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 38 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.8| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 23.2| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 15.44 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 39 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 2.60 - dm: 0.09 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| + dL: -2.57 + dm: 0.07 dx: 0.04 -Iteration 40 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -20.61 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.12 -Iteration 41 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.6| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 23.3| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 5.16 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.09 -Iteration 42 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 11.28 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.07 -Iteration 43 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -8.58 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 44 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 11.6| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 23.1| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 5.87 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.03 -Iteration 45 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 12.00 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 46 +Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -1.86 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.06 -Iteration 47 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -9.88 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 48 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 2.04 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.04 -Iteration 49 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.4| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 22.8| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 6.85 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 50 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: -19.54 + dL: -1.95 dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 51 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 11.7| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 16.7| model 7: 12.3| - dL: 8.35 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.03 + dx: 0.01 + Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1281/150_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1281/150_180_equal/hbi.log index 217f104ed0b8cc16cc62c7eb2a18946fb009a9be..0d934f2eb346d32ee7e2cf7a50255a25ef5fe47d 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1281/150_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1281/150_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 11:32:50 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-26 01:19:15 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 29.6| model 2: 22.5| model 3: 15.3| model 4: 21.2| model 5: 6.6| model 6: 1.9| model 7: 2.9| - dL: 153.96 - dm: 70.39 - dx: 6.52 + model 1: 14.7| model 2: 17.7| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 21.2| model 5: 15.3| model 6: 11.1| model 7: 12.8| + dL: 90.49 + dm: 78.77 + dx: 4.93 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 25.6| model 2: 21.4| model 3: 12.1| model 4: 22.4| model 5: 8.3| model 6: 3.8| model 7: 6.4| - dL: 58.29 - dm: 4.01 - dx: 2.03 + model 1: 11.1| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 23.0| model 5: 15.7| model 6: 12.3| model 7: 14.2| + dL: 34.98 + dm: 1.76 + dx: 1.12 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.6| model 2: 19.8| model 3: 7.6| model 4: 25.0| model 5: 12.4| model 6: 6.2| model 7: 10.3| - dL: 39.86 - dm: 2.61 - dx: 0.75 + model 1: 10.8| model 2: 18.4| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 12.6| model 7: 14.6| + dL: 5.89 + dm: 1.11 + dx: 0.31 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.0| model 2: 18.6| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 8.9| model 7: 13.1| - dL: 8.15 - dm: 0.79 - dx: 0.48 + model 1: 10.9| model 2: 18.5| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 16.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.6| + dL: -6.54 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.2| model 2: 18.5| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 26.6| model 5: 15.5| model 6: 11.1| model 7: 14.4| - dL: 20.30 - dm: 0.82 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 11.0| model 2: 18.5| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 23.4| model 5: 16.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 3.43 + dm: 1.58 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.3| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.8| model 5: 15.9| model 6: 12.4| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 16.29 - dm: 0.86 - dx: 0.36 + model 1: 11.4| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -1.41 + dm: 1.13 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.3| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 25.3| model 5: 16.1| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -1.19 - dm: 0.45 - dx: 0.74 + model 1: 11.5| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 9.18 + dm: 0.62 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.1| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 1.6| model 4: 24.7| model 5: 16.2| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 5.50 - dm: 0.69 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 11.2| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 22.2| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -4.33 + dm: 0.68 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 11.9| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 24.5| model 5: 16.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 5.40 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 11.2| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 22.6| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -0.17 + dm: 0.36 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 11.8| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 24.3| model 5: 16.3| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 1.85 + model 1: 11.3| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 22.9| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 2.42 dm: 0.27 - dx: 0.14 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 11.8| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 24.1| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 2.42 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 11.3| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 22.5| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -7.16 + dm: 0.38 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 11.7| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 23.5| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 11.86 - dm: 0.64 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 11.6| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 2.19 + dm: 0.47 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 11.0| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 22.7| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -4.76 - dm: 0.78 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 11.6| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 22.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 8.05 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 11.1| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 5.3| model 4: 21.8| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 2.56 - dm: 0.95 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 11.4| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 5.8| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 9.86 + dm: 1.55 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 11.0| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 6.3| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 16.5| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 2.60 - dm: 1.15 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 10.9| model 2: 18.5| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 16.5| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 0.38 + dm: 0.54 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 11.0| model 2: 18.5| model 3: 5.6| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 16.5| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -7.72 - dm: 0.52 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 10.7| model 2: 18.7| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 19.7| model 5: 16.5| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -3.70 + dm: 0.48 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.9| model 2: 18.6| model 3: 6.1| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -2.53 - dm: 0.48 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 10.7| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 16.5| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 4.74 + dm: 0.45 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 11.1| model 2: 18.6| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 20.6| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -3.40 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 10.7| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -0.71 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 11.5| model 2: 18.6| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -2.41 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 10.7| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 2.96 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 11.9| model 2: 18.6| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 6.20 - dm: 0.03 + model 1: 10.7| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 6.6| model 4: 20.1| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -1.09 + dm: 0.12 dx: 0.07 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 11.4| model 2: 18.6| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -4.63 - dm: 0.52 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 10.7| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 0.19 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 11.6| model 2: 18.6| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 14.31 - dm: 0.53 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 10.7| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 6.4| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 1.66 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 11.0| model 2: 18.6| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -4.94 - dm: 0.30 + model 1: 10.6| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 19.6| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -1.42 + dm: 0.61 dx: 0.08 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 11.0| model 2: 18.6| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 5.81 - dm: 0.99 + model 1: 10.6| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 1.47 + dm: 0.65 dx: 0.09 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.9| model 2: 18.7| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 19.7| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 3.12 - dm: 0.46 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 10.7| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -1.23 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.8| model 2: 18.8| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 19.5| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 0.67 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 1.04 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.8| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -0.58 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -1.91 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.8| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 3.66 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 10.9| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 1.85 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.9| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 1.58 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 10.8| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 0.75 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.9| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 0.34 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.9| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 0.48 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.9| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -0.35 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 8.0| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -0.74 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.9| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 1.16 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 10.9| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -1.02 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.8| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -0.62 + model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -0.27 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.06 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.9| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 0.98 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 10.9| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 0.73 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.9| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -0.61 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 1.26 + dm: 0.11 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.5| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 0.47 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 10.9| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -0.72 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.9| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -0.55 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 10.9| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 0.94 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 1.88 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 10.9| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 1.12 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.9| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 0.77 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 10.9| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 0.68 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 8.0| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -0.33 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 10.8| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.7| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -1.70 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 8.1| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -2.23 - dm: 0.04 + model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.5| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -1.82 + dm: 0.06 dx: 0.05 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 7.5| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 0.44 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -1.43 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.1| model 3: 7.5| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -0.81 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 10.9| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 0.66 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.5| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -1.62 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 10.9| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 2.67 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -6.59 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 10.9| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -0.42 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.9| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 6.5| model 4: 19.9| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 5.89 - dm: 0.88 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 10.8| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.4| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 0.37 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.9| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 6.9| model 4: 19.6| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 2.35 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 10.9| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.6| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 1.11 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.8| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.2| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 0.34 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.9| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: -0.95 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.9| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: 0.45 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.5| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 10.8| model 2: 18.9| model 3: 7.3| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| - dL: -0.46 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 10.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 7.9| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 16.4| model 6: 12.7| model 7: 14.7| + dL: 0.90 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.06 diff --git a/hbi_output/1281/150_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1281/150_180_extreme/hbi.log index 2e4893839f00c7cd3dc03091ec7f3ca583d760f5..d70a97811c9da50203155d282a47589077fa5eda 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1281/150_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1281/150_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 11:37:26 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-26 01:28:53 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.8| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 5.5| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 1.8| model 6: 0.5| model 7: 0.9| - dL: 253.97 - dm: 33.24 - dx: 14.07 + model 1: 59.4| model 2: 12.2| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 191.75 + dm: 40.57 + dx: 10.48 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 71.1| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 7.7| model 5: 2.0| model 6: 0.8| model 7: 1.8| - dL: 18.34 - dm: 4.32 - dx: 0.65 + model 1: 66.6| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 2.5| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 27.84 + dm: 7.17 + dx: 0.69 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 71.4| model 2: 13.8| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 8.0| model 5: 2.1| model 6: 1.2| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 14.85 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.39 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 4.11 + dm: 1.95 + dx: 0.28 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 71.0| model 2: 13.6| model 3: 0.1| model 4: 8.5| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 19.23 - dm: 0.38 - dx: 0.39 + model 1: 69.4| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 7.3| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 4.01 + dm: 0.82 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 70.2| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 8.3| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 8.47 - dm: 0.83 - dx: 1.93 + model 1: 68.9| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 6.8| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.84 + dm: 0.50 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 70.0| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 7.7| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 3.43 - dm: 0.20 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 68.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -3.88 + dm: 0.41 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 69.6| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 7.5| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.13 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.39 + model 1: 68.5| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -2.61 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 69.4| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 7.5| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.70 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 68.7| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 6.1| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.90 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 69.2| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 7.5| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.47 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.37 + model 1: 68.8| model 2: 14.2| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 6.1| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.56 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.9| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 7.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.63 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 69.0| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.42 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.7| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 7.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.36 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 69.1| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.82 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.6| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 6.8| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -4.09 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 69.1| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 6.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.80 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.7| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 6.6| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 2.16 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 69.0| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -1.02 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.14 - dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 69.1| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 6.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.15 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.42 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 69.0| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 6.7| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.63 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 3.95 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 69.0| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 6.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -5.89 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -3.56 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 69.0| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 6.7| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.28 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -1.17 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 69.0| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 6.8| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 5.35 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.27 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 68.9| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 6.6| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.04 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.01 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 69.0| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 6.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -6.07 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -2.48 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 69.1| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 6.7| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 5.78 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.89 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 69.0| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 6.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.59 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -3.60 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 69.0| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 6.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 2.86 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.6| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 2.95 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 68.5| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 6.6| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -1.47 + dm: 0.60 + dx: 0.16 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.60 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 68.7| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 6.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 2.81 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.3| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -3.89 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -3.50 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 2.45 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 68.7| model 2: 14.0| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.35 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.3| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 1.10 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 1.25 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.00 - dm: 0.04 + model 1: 68.3| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.02 + dm: 0.03 dx: 0.09 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -2.55 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 68.3| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -3.75 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -1.17 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 68.5| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.43 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.7| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.78 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -2.66 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.9| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.33 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 68.5| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 2.31 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.9| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.34 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -2.77 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 69.0| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -2.55 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.76 + dm: 0.24 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.5| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 6.5| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 2.90 - dm: 0.54 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 68.8| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 2.88 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.8| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 6.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.71 + model 1: 68.5| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -3.29 dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.10 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.9| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 2.98 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 68.7| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.93 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -2.62 - dm: 0.44 - dx: 0.07 + dL: -2.68 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.7| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.55 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 68.6| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 2.55 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.9| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -6.39 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -2.77 + dm: 0.21 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 69.0| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 6.4| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 5.73 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 68.7| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.70 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.9| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 3.87 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 68.8| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.54 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.58 - dm: 0.50 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 69.0| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.20 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -2.82 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 69.0| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 8.10 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.6| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -1.47 - dm: 0.23 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 68.5| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.59 + dm: 0.51 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.8| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 8.34 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.64 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -3.69 - dm: 0.33 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 68.3| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -4.07 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.3| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.12 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 68.3| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 6.2| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -2.73 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 68.3| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -3.88 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 68.5| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 6.3| model 5: 2.3| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 2.02 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.11 diff --git a/hbi_output/1281/150_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1281/150_360_equal/hbi.log index 5f585145e257f569a26e9a3d48d81954269254cb..ccf0ac7278760590c143099a23a32ddcfcf667de 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1281/150_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1281/150_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 11:47:28 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-26 01:37:52 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,122 +17,50 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 29.5| model 2: 27.6| model 3: 9.9| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 4.4| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 209.71 - dm: 70.53 - dx: 9.43 + model 1: 15.5| model 2: 24.0| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 9.1| model 6: 16.1| model 7: 12.5| + dL: 132.10 + dm: 76.03 + dx: 6.27 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 21.2| model 2: 26.6| model 3: 7.0| model 4: 20.7| model 5: 5.7| model 6: 11.7| model 7: 7.2| - dL: 66.26 - dm: 1.02 - dx: 0.76 + model 1: 12.6| model 2: 25.8| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 7.7| model 6: 17.9| model 7: 13.9| + dL: 19.86 + dm: 1.86 + dx: 0.74 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.4| model 2: 26.8| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 21.9| model 5: 6.6| model 6: 16.6| model 7: 11.0| - dL: 36.51 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 13.2| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 21.2| model 5: 7.4| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 8.12 + dm: 0.48 + dx: 0.42 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.5| model 2: 26.6| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 7.0| model 6: 17.9| model 7: 13.4| - dL: 22.29 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.42 + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 26.4| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 21.0| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 1.47 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 2.75 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.0| model 2: 26.5| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 7.1| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 9.55 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.28 + model 1: 13.4| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: 0.06 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 3.60 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.1| model 2: 26.4| model 3: 0.2| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 8.32 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 3.40 + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| + dL: -0.00 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.6| model 2: 26.4| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 2.30 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 2.04 -Iteration 09 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.5| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.2| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.16 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.83 -Iteration 10 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.5| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.05 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.38 -Iteration 11 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.5| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.20 -Iteration 12 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.5| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -6.98 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.12 -Iteration 13 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.5| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 6.23 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 1.08 -Iteration 14 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.5| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.33 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 1.47 -Iteration 15 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.5| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| dL: -0.01 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.15 -Iteration 16 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.5| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.30 -Iteration 17 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.5| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: 0.01 - dm: 0.00 + dm: 0.01 dx: 0.01 -Iteration 18 +Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.5| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| + model 1: 13.3| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 21.1| model 5: 7.3| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| dL: -0.01 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.29 -Iteration 19 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.5| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.30 -Iteration 20 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.5| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.00 - dm: 0.00 + dm: 0.01 dx: 0.01 -Iteration 21 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.5| model 2: 26.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 7.2| model 6: 18.0| model 7: 14.0| - dL: -0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.00 Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1281/150_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1281/150_360_extreme/hbi.log index af2b48d1f865845b39db2173d2341ff5f80bfa34..48f6d185aa7de4a28a47afba41b3f44ec9f9c45b 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1281/150_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1281/150_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 11:50:11 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-26 01:42:36 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 150 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,86 +17,98 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.0| model 2: 19.6| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 0.7| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 247.26 - dm: 42.04 - dx: 15.29 + model 1: 50.9| model 2: 16.8| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 6.8| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 181.82 + dm: 49.14 + dx: 12.00 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 60.0| model 2: 19.3| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 8.8| model 5: 4.5| model 6: 1.0| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 22.48 - dm: 2.08 - dx: 0.63 + model 1: 55.4| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 5.5| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 18.65 + dm: 4.56 + dx: 0.41 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 59.8| model 2: 19.0| model 3: 1.9| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 4.9| model 6: 1.4| model 7: 2.5| - dL: 15.87 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 56.7| model 2: 18.4| model 3: 1.1| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 5.2| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 6.16 + dm: 1.26 + dx: 1.22 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.8| model 2: 18.6| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.2| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 8.01 - dm: 0.98 - dx: 0.27 + model 1: 57.0| model 2: 18.4| model 3: 1.4| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 2.36 + dm: 0.35 + dx: 0.30 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 58.3| model 2: 18.4| model 3: 0.2| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.6| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 11.27 - dm: 0.53 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 57.0| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 12.6| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -4.02 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.75 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.6| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 4.10 - dm: 0.66 - dx: 1.86 + model 1: 57.1| model 2: 18.3| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -1.74 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.4| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 13.3| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 1.01 - dm: 0.22 + model 1: 57.3| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 1.2| model 4: 13.0| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -0.73 + dm: 0.24 dx: 0.42 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.3| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 13.5| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: -6.85 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.62 + model 1: 57.4| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 0.9| model 4: 13.2| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: -1.16 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.4| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 0.1| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 3.10 - dm: 0.12 - dx: 0.78 + model 1: 57.5| model 2: 18.2| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 13.6| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 1.74 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.40 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.3| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.75 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 2.52 + model 1: 57.5| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 14.1| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 2.52 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.45 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.2| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.06 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 4.58 + model 1: 57.3| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 14.2| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.48 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 3.75 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 57.2| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.04 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 57.3| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 14.3| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.07 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 3.23 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 57.2| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| - dL: 0.03 - dm: 0.01 + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.04 dx: 0.09 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 57.2| model 2: 18.1| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.03 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.09 +Iteration 16 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 57.2| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| dL: 0.02 dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.09 +Iteration 17 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 57.2| model 2: 18.0| model 3: 0.0| model 4: 14.4| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 2.7| model 7: 2.7| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.01 dx: 0.00 Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1281/300_180_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1281/300_180_equal/hbi.log index 1a9a26e655c5b0ae3f613e55fce5fac2fa6d8c79..f26605ab36844692ab55a85ae901da3969672196 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1281/300_180_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1281/300_180_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 11:54:27 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-26 01:50:00 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,152 +17,164 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 29.7| model 2: 22.4| model 3: 17.4| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 6.5| model 6: 2.6| model 7: 2.1| - dL: 220.71 - dm: 70.26 - dx: 8.11 + model 1: 15.2| model 2: 19.7| model 3: 7.1| model 4: 18.2| model 5: 14.0| model 6: 13.3| model 7: 12.5| + dL: 188.46 + dm: 80.34 + dx: 5.92 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 26.6| model 2: 22.1| model 3: 12.6| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 7.6| model 6: 6.7| model 7: 5.2| - dL: 110.35 - dm: 3.16 - dx: 2.11 + model 1: 12.5| model 2: 20.4| model 3: 5.7| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 13.9| model 6: 14.9| model 7: 13.9| + dL: 51.90 + dm: 0.74 + dx: 1.46 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 18.8| model 2: 21.1| model 3: 7.9| model 4: 20.2| model 5: 11.3| model 6: 11.5| model 7: 9.3| - dL: 61.42 - dm: 0.97 - dx: 0.97 + model 1: 12.6| model 2: 20.5| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 14.1| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.2| + dL: 13.88 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.39 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.5| model 2: 20.1| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 21.3| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 14.2| model 7: 12.4| - dL: 67.06 - dm: 1.18 - dx: 0.56 + model 1: 12.5| model 2: 20.5| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -4.69 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 13.0| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 20.4| model 5: 13.8| model 6: 15.1| model 7: 13.9| - dL: 42.81 - dm: 0.91 - dx: 0.38 + model 1: 12.5| model 2: 20.5| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 14.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 3.06 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.8| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 14.1| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.2| - dL: 20.84 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 12.4| model 2: 20.4| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 14.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -6.43 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.2| model 2: 20.4| model 3: 4.4| model 4: 19.2| model 5: 14.2| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 15.11 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 12.3| model 2: 20.4| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 14.4| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -3.57 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.3| model 2: 20.4| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 14.3| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -3.42 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 12.2| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 14.4| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 1.09 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.6| model 2: 20.4| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 14.4| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -4.17 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 12.3| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -0.77 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.8| model 2: 20.4| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 14.4| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 17.60 + model 1: 12.3| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.5| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 2.22 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.08 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.6| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.2| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 14.4| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -0.14 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 12.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 19.0| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -0.03 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.14 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.3| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 18.2| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 7.46 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 12.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.3| model 4: 19.1| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 1.67 + dm: 0.04 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.6| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 18.2| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 12.50 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 12.2| model 2: 20.1| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 2.53 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.6| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -12.94 + model 1: 12.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -0.70 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.08 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 5.4| model 4: 17.8| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -1.17 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 12.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -0.04 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.2| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -3.87 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 12.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 0.04 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 11.9| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 5.1| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -4.49 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 12.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 0.01 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.4| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 12.62 + model 1: 12.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.7| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 1.20 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.03 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -2.74 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 12.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 0.61 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 5.0| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -8.15 + model 1: 12.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 0.75 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.12 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 12.24 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 12.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 0.26 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.6| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -1.23 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 12.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 0.86 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 12.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.8| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 4.00 + model 1: 12.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 3.49 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.09 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 12.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: 0.26 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.02 + dL: 1.33 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 26 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 12.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: 0.34 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 +Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 12.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| - dL: -5.36 - dm: 0.01 + dL: -0.34 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 +Iteration 28 + model frequencies (percent) + model 1: 12.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 4.9| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 14.5| model 6: 15.3| model 7: 14.3| + dL: -3.52 + dm: 0.00 dx: 0.01 Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1281/300_180_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1281/300_180_extreme/hbi.log index 513f08f5c96655be2b05e0e80f82d070ddf79db9..34bf5fe810ec411bc53cb36061cd0f19165c2c6c 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1281/300_180_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1281/300_180_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 11:57:23 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-26 02:03:44 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,188 +17,152 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 6.7| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 2.4| model 6: 0.6| model 7: 1.0| - dL: 431.87 - dm: 37.37 - dx: 6.84 + model 1: 56.0| model 2: 13.2| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 5.2| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 328.94 + dm: 44.00 + dx: 4.69 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.8| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 5.2| model 4: 8.6| model 5: 2.7| model 6: 0.9| model 7: 2.0| - dL: 68.11 - dm: 3.13 - dx: 0.87 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 14.1| model 3: 0.8| model 4: 12.8| model 5: 4.0| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 37.63 + dm: 7.38 + dx: 0.60 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.3| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 8.7| model 5: 3.1| model 6: 1.2| model 7: 2.6| - dL: 22.90 - dm: 0.57 - dx: 0.47 + model 1: 65.2| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 21.12 + dm: 1.81 + dx: 0.42 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.0| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 9.2| model 5: 3.2| model 6: 1.4| model 7: 2.9| - dL: -14.45 - dm: 0.34 - dx: 0.34 + model 1: 65.1| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 3.89 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 66.3| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.6| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 19.44 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 65.1| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.2| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 1.85 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.47 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.6| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 1.8| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 3.09 - dm: 0.72 - dx: 0.43 + model 1: 65.1| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 1.10 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.59 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.2| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 1.9| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 1.46 - dm: 0.32 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 65.0| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 0.97 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.73 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.1| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 1.53 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.30 + model 1: 64.9| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 0.27 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.98 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 65.0| model 2: 14.7| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.48 - dm: 0.13 - dx: 0.56 + model 1: 64.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 0.75 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 1.00 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.6| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 1.05 + model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 0.40 dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.57 + dx: 0.99 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.9| model 2: 14.6| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.88 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.54 + model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 0.30 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.59 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 2.03 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.67 + model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 0.22 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.59 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.7| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -0.76 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 1.12 + model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 0.16 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.61 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.5| model 3: 0.5| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.08 - dm: 0.15 - dx: 0.52 + model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 0.11 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.61 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.3| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.98 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 1.01 + model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 0.07 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.57 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.33 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.98 + dL: 0.05 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.48 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.23 + dL: 0.03 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.67 + dx: 0.36 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 3.5| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.15 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.65 + model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| + dL: 0.02 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.11 + dL: 0.02 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.64 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.04 + dL: 0.02 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.60 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.03 + dL: 0.02 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.50 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.04 + dL: 0.01 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.39 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 24 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.4| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: -0.01 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.28 -Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.8| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| dL: 0.01 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.18 -Iteration 26 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.02 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.12 -Iteration 27 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.01 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 -Iteration 28 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 -Iteration 29 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 dx: 0.03 -Iteration 30 - model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.00 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.02 -Iteration 31 +Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.00 + dL: 0.01 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.01 -Iteration 32 +Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) model 1: 64.8| model 2: 14.3| model 3: 0.4| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 3.6| model 6: 2.0| model 7: 3.0| - dL: 0.00 + dL: 0.02 dm: 0.00 dx: 0.01 Converged :] diff --git a/hbi_output/1281/300_360_equal/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1281/300_360_equal/hbi.log index 160f95dd2c7680508bd8b8d2f5107616b7d6411b..6314ac991b01c83ee4eed6b0b34b8c3fdfa9c4b4 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1281/300_360_equal/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1281/300_360_equal/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 11:59:51 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-26 02:18:30 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 30.0| model 2: 23.3| model 3: 12.3| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 6.7| model 6: 3.7| model 7: 3.2| - dL: 344.18 - dm: 69.95 - dx: 11.41 + model 1: 15.7| model 2: 19.6| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 21.5| model 5: 13.0| model 6: 14.6| model 7: 12.4| + dL: 219.72 + dm: 78.51 + dx: 8.84 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 22.0| model 2: 21.8| model 3: 5.9| model 4: 20.9| model 5: 10.4| model 6: 10.2| model 7: 8.8| - dL: 148.17 - dm: 8.09 - dx: 1.00 + model 1: 14.0| model 2: 20.1| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 21.4| model 5: 12.9| model 6: 15.9| model 7: 13.6| + dL: 42.14 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 1.33 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.3| model 2: 20.9| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 22.0| model 5: 12.0| model 6: 14.8| model 7: 12.7| - dL: 73.47 - dm: 1.18 - dx: 0.73 + model 1: 14.8| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 20.3| model 5: 13.0| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 0.92 + dm: 1.03 + dx: 0.32 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 14.7| model 2: 20.5| model 3: 1.0| model 4: 21.7| model 5: 12.7| model 6: 15.9| model 7: 13.6| - dL: 53.29 - dm: 0.35 - dx: 0.49 + model 1: 15.5| model 2: 20.1| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 19.6| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 2.48 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.6| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 19.7| model 5: 12.9| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 8.92 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.24 + model 1: 15.8| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -1.83 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 19.3| model 5: 13.0| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 20.46 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 2.99 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 15.9| model 2: 20.1| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -6.16 - dm: 0.11 - dx: 0.17 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -2.39 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.0| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -0.56 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 20.1| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 18.2| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -8.76 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 17.7| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 9.90 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 18.2| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 1.00 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 17.7| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -4.00 + model 1: 16.5| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.1| model 4: 18.5| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 0.03 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.14 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -6.15 + model 1: 16.5| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 1.7| model 4: 18.8| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 9.97 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.07 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 13.0| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -21.53 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 18.9| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 2.79 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.08 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 2.4| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 25.53 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.2| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -5.56 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 20.0| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -7.89 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.3| model 4: 18.6| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 12.71 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.20 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 0.37 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 18.2| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -3.41 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 17.6| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -1.66 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.18 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -0.76 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 8.03 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -4.11 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 0.73 + model 1: 16.4| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 13.0| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 9.43 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.21 + dx: 0.25 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 17.8| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 10.31 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 17.5| model 5: 13.0| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -11.58 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 17.8| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -6.27 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 17.8| model 5: 13.0| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 0.55 dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.22 + dx: 0.21 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 20.0| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 17.8| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 6.19 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 20.0| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 8.33 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 17.3| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 3.38 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 17.6| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -0.49 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 17.1| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -0.98 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 17.7| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 7.55 dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.07 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 17.1| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -7.10 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -13.94 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 20.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 17.2| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -6.94 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 17.6| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -7.76 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -0.25 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 18.1| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -4.52 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 3.12 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 18.4| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 2.26 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 17.3| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -11.21 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 18.3| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 4.34 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 17.5| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -1.73 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -2.24 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.10 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 1.98 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 0.46 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.3| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 17.7| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -11.76 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 4.49 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.4| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 6.21 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 17.8| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 6.07 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.13 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.4| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 2.82 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -5.54 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.14 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.5| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -2.04 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 17.8| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 2.98 dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.09 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.4| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 13.10 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 13.72 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -3.62 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 17.5| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -7.85 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 20.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 17.6| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 0.50 - dm: 0.26 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 2.10 + dm: 0.05 dx: 0.12 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 7.95 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 16.2| model 2: 20.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 17.5| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -15.45 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 2.17 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 21.43 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 17.8| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 10.26 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 17.5| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 5.17 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -7.66 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -5.25 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 2.18 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 17.2| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -24.88 dm: 0.31 - dx: 0.20 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 4.88 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 18.2| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 12.94 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.3| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 17.2| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -8.73 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 17.6| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -7.69 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 20.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 0.58 - dm: 0.29 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 18.0| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -4.46 + dm: 0.01 dx: 0.03 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 17.8| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 13.06 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.14 + model 1: 16.3| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 18.2| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 19.36 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -10.34 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 17.6| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -1.99 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -10.09 - dm: 0.30 - dx: 0.19 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 17.8| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: 6.71 + dm: 0.00 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 20.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 17.5| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: -7.20 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 20.2| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 17.3| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -2.38 + dm: 0.31 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 16.2| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 17.9| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| - dL: 16.78 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 16.1| model 2: 19.9| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 17.4| model 5: 13.1| model 6: 16.0| model 7: 13.7| + dL: -0.91 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.04 diff --git a/hbi_output/1281/300_360_extreme/hbi.log b/hbi_output/1281/300_360_extreme/hbi.log index c7e6890b2ab62d8fee2838a19b53691bb7672266..cd31157fce04db7fcb7319352b23cbecf65e9b31 100644 --- a/hbi_output/1281/300_360_extreme/hbi.log +++ b/hbi_output/1281/300_360_extreme/hbi.log @@ -1,5 +1,5 @@ ====================================================================== -Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-03-30 12:03:18 +Hierarchical Bayesian Inference 2026-05-26 02:40:41 ====================================================================== Number of samples: 300 Number of models: 7 @@ -17,301 +17,301 @@ Initialized from: Iteration 01 Iteration 02 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 61.3| model 2: 16.0| model 3: 6.2| model 4: 12.4| model 5: 2.2| model 6: 0.8| model 7: 1.1| - dL: 404.75 - dm: 38.72 - dx: 9.89 + model 1: 55.2| model 2: 13.7| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 18.7| model 5: 5.0| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 338.89 + dm: 44.77 + dx: 8.57 Iteration 03 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.5| model 2: 15.7| model 3: 2.0| model 4: 11.7| model 5: 2.8| model 6: 1.3| model 7: 2.1| - dL: 34.57 - dm: 3.17 - dx: 1.04 + model 1: 60.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 13.1| model 5: 3.8| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 24.85 + dm: 5.65 + dx: 0.51 Iteration 04 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 64.4| model 2: 15.5| model 3: 0.6| model 4: 12.0| model 5: 3.0| model 6: 1.6| model 7: 2.9| - dL: 55.74 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.67 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 3.4| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 15.05 + dm: 1.60 + dx: 0.24 Iteration 05 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.7| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 0.7| model 4: 12.1| model 5: 3.1| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 62.69 - dm: 0.66 - dx: 0.80 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 15.37 + dm: 0.70 + dx: 0.23 Iteration 06 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.3| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 11.2| model 5: 3.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 15.24 - dm: 1.18 - dx: 0.26 + model 1: 63.1| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -2.42 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 07 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 3.2| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.20 - dm: 0.48 - dx: 0.21 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 15.1| model 3: 2.9| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -22.40 + dm: 0.23 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 08 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 3.16 - dm: 0.41 - dx: 0.20 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 1.8| model 4: 11.5| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.97 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 09 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 15.2| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 21.54 - dm: 0.22 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 63.4| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 1.5| model 4: 11.9| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 45.50 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 10 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -40.78 - dm: 0.29 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -1.19 + dm: 0.84 + dx: 0.17 Iteration 11 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 6.76 - dm: 0.25 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -15.81 + dm: 0.08 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 12 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 27.12 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.5| model 4: 11.4| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 11.62 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.18 Iteration 13 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 24.10 - dm: 0.00 - dx: 0.11 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.6| model 4: 11.3| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.62 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.12 Iteration 14 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -46.86 - dm: 0.24 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 18.89 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 15 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -7.44 - dm: 0.28 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -6.11 + dm: 0.19 + dx: 0.07 Iteration 16 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.5| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.7| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 8.00 - dm: 0.19 - dx: 0.13 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 11.1| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 5.65 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 17 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.4| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 29.85 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.25 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -3.54 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 18 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -10.69 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.33 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 11.0| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 11.85 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 19 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -20.85 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -5.29 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.15 Iteration 20 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.3| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 29.37 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 1.08 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 21 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 3.08 - dm: 0.48 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.69 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 22 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.7| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -5.81 - dm: 0.14 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 62.7| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 4.05 + dm: 0.26 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 23 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 9.02 - dm: 0.16 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 4.68 + dm: 0.15 + dx: 0.13 Iteration 24 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -15.32 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -1.95 + dm: 0.01 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 25 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 3.26 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -3.51 + dm: 0.03 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 26 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 6.63 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -1.59 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 27 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -23.45 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -9.38 + dm: 0.13 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 28 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 30.61 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -2.46 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.09 Iteration 29 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.25 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 62.6| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.45 + dm: 0.07 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 30 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -5.39 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.16 + model 1: 62.5| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 4.0| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -6.97 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 31 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 0.45 - dm: 0.08 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -4.97 + dm: 0.25 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 32 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -5.93 - dm: 0.03 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 7.62 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 33 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -10.90 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 0.26 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 34 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.31 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 9.9| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -6.71 + dm: 0.06 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 35 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -23.78 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.15 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 10.1| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 8.06 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.02 Iteration 36 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 10.9| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.69 - dm: 0.01 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 9.7| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -10.97 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 37 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.0| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.7| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -9.77 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 63.1| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 3.22 + dm: 0.22 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 38 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.2| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 2.8| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -1.64 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 63.1| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 2.85 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 39 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 5.60 - dm: 0.18 - dx: 0.10 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -8.20 + dm: 0.17 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 40 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 63.1| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 21.36 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.12 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -3.25 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 41 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -2.32 - dm: 0.26 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 63.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 9.07 + dm: 0.05 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 42 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -0.33 - dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.02 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.9| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 7.03 + dm: 0.29 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 43 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 6.66 - dm: 0.07 - dx: 0.04 + model 1: 63.1| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 7.11 + dm: 0.14 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 44 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 14.8| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -3.40 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 62.8| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 4.1| model 4: 9.8| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -7.53 + dm: 0.27 + dx: 0.04 Iteration 45 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.7| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 9.33 - dm: 0.04 - dx: 0.06 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -5.93 + dm: 0.12 + dx: 0.08 Iteration 46 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.7| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.7| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -7.58 - dm: 0.06 - dx: 0.08 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.4| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 11.38 + dm: 0.02 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 47 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.7| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.6| model 4: 10.4| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -3.23 + model 1: 63.0| model 2: 15.0| model 3: 3.8| model 4: 10.0| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -12.64 dm: 0.02 - dx: 0.05 + dx: 0.06 Iteration 48 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.7| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: -8.70 - dm: 0.05 - dx: 0.03 + model 1: 63.1| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 10.2| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -2.44 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.05 Iteration 49 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.9| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.1| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 4.57 - dm: 0.17 - dx: 0.09 + model 1: 63.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -0.02 + dm: 0.16 + dx: 0.11 Iteration 50 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.8| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.2| model 4: 10.8| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 10.60 - dm: 0.10 - dx: 0.05 + model 1: 63.2| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.3| model 4: 10.3| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: -6.41 + dm: 0.09 + dx: 0.03 Iteration 51 model frequencies (percent) - model 1: 62.7| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.5| model 4: 10.6| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| - dL: 3.47 - dm: 0.09 - dx: 0.07 + model 1: 63.3| model 2: 14.9| model 3: 3.0| model 4: 10.5| model 5: 3.3| model 6: 1.7| model 7: 3.3| + dL: 2.17 + dm: 0.10 + dx: 0.03