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My Conversation with Elijah Millgram
divpelijah is one of my favorite contemporary philosophers here is a relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodeselijahmillgram target_blankthe audio video and transcripta  here is part of the summaryp blockquotepelijah joined tyler to discuss newcombs paradox the reason he doesnt have an opinion about everyt...
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My Conversation with the very very smart David Deutsch
divpi think this episode came off as weird and testy as i described it to one friend but i like weird and testy  here is a relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesdaviddeutsch target_blankthe audio video and transcripta  here is one excerptp blockquote pstrongcowen stronghow do you think the manyworlds in...
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My Conversation with Richard Prum
divpprum is an ornithologist at yale here is a relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesrichardprum target_blankthe audio video and transcripta here is part of the summaryp blockquoteprichard joined tyler to discuss the infidelity of australian birds the debate on the origins of avian flight how the lack o...
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My Conversation with Alexander the Grate
phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesalexanderthegrate target_blankthe audio video and transcripta recorded outside in sw washington dc  and no that is not a typo he does call himself alexander the grate his real name shall remain a secret  here is the event summaryp blockquote palexander th...
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My Conversation with Andrew Sullivan
phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesandrewsullivan target_blankthe audio video and transcripta  here is part of the overviewp blockquotepandrew joined tyler to discuss the role of the aids epidemic in achieving marriage equality the difficulty of devoutness in everyday life why public intel...
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That was then, this is now, climate change edition the median voter theorem remains underrated
blockquotephigher gasoline costs if left unchecked risk harming the ongoing global recovery the price of crude oil has been higher than it was at the end of 2019 before the onset of the pandemic while opec recently agreed to production increases these increases will not fully offset previous production cuts that opec i...
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Fluvoxamine seems to work against Covid-19
blockquote datawidth500 classtwittertweet datadnttrue p langen dirltrinterim results of a hrefhttpstwittercomtogethertrialref_srctwsrc5etfwtogethertriala of ivermectin and fluvoxamine for early treatment of a hrefhttpstwittercomhashtagcovid_19srchashref_srctwsrc5etfwcovid_19a a hrefhttpstwittercomhashtagivermectinsrcha...
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The TGA is Worse than the FDA, and the Australian Lockdown
pi have been highly critical of the fda but in australia the fda is almost a model to be emulated steven hamilton and richard holden a hrefhttpswwwafrcompolicyhealthandeducationoncovid19themedicalregulatorycomplexhasfailedus20210809p58hawdo not mince wordsap blockquotepat the end of 2020 as vaccines were rolling out en...
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Biden’s most heartless betrayal
pive been clear president joe biden a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210816uspoliticsbidentalibanafghanistanspeechhtmltolda the american people on monday that human rights must be the centre of our foreign policy not the periphery but the way to do it is not through endless military deployments its with our diplomacy our econ...
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More reasons to use #NewRoaring20s unironically
pi hope new roaring twenties becomes a hashtag more like greatstagnation rather than infrastructureweek and by that i mean newroaring20s becomes sincere shorthand for describing something real and important rather than something that could have been important but turned into a joke well until recently that isp psome e...
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What should I ask Ed Glaeser?
phe has a new book out with david cutler namely a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomsurvivalcitylivingthrivingisolationebookdpb08v896zd6refsr_1_1dchild1keywordsdavidcutleredglaeserqid1629204629sr81 target_blanksurvival of the city living and thriving in an age of isolationap pi will be doing a joint cwt with them sequen...
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What should I ask David Cutler?
phe has a new book out with ed glaeser namely a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomsurvivalcitylivingthrivingisolationebookdpb08v896zd6refsr_1_1dchild1keywordsdavidcutleredglaeserqid1629204629sr81 target_blanksurvival of the city living and thriving in an age of isolationap pi will be doing a joint cwt with them sequenti...
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A reader’s wishes for Covid coverage
pfrom my emailp pin the last 1819 months why have these stories not been writtenbr        why no stories on hospice care in the united states relating to covid19 statistics hospice has been removed from our common lexicon ive asked you this before i knowbr        why no stories on the earnings of publicly held life ins...
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Those new service sector jobs? — drive your own kid to school
blockquotepbus drivers are in such short supply that eastside charter school in wilmington del is offering parents 700 to drop off and pick up their children for the school yearpblockquote pa relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcombusiness20210816schoolshortagesbusdriverscounselorscomputer target_blankthe articlea is...
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Slow economists, crowding each other out
blockquoteppublishing in economics proceeds much more slowly on average than in the natural sciences and more slowly than in other social sciences and finance it is even relatively slower at the extremes we demonstrate that much of the lag especially at the extremes arises from authors dilatory behavior in revising the...
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Who Wrecked Afghanistan?
hrimg altwho wrecked afghanistan srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202108desertjpgphtml herepphow did it all go wrong jennifer brick murtazashvili a leading scholar of afghanistan joins damir and shadi to dissect the talibans victory and discuss what it tells us about the failures of americas nationbuilding effort...
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How to think about third doses
pthe immediate topic is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcoviddatasciencecompostisraelidatahowcanefficacyvsseverediseasebestrongwhen60ofhospitalizedarevaccinated target_blankhow to interpret the israeli dataa  important and mostly good news relatively speaking that is  i am reluctant to excerpt for fear of misleading you plea...
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Who are the most rational people?
pa relnoopener hrefhttpslinkspringercomarticle101007s11109019095790 target_blankfrom john a doces and amy wolaverap blockquotepwe examine the question of rationality replicating two core experiments used to establish that people deviate from the rational actor model our analysis extends existing research to a developin...
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Don’t blame testosterone for male violence
pwhen he appeared on channel 4s emafter darkem to discuss do men have to be violent with radical feminist kate millett actor oliver reed was drunk a woman will never ever forgive a man if he fucks her he explained you are the receivers you take our seed look after our babies and well go do the hunting for youp pit was ...
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*Against White Feminism*
blockquotepin emzero dark thirtyem and the truish story behind it american feminism once a movement that existed in opposition to the state as a critique of its institutions and mores was recast as one that served the states interests through any means imaginable this identification with state interests and the idea ...
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The Most Impressive AI Demo I Have Ever Seen
pthis is jawdropping it starts slow but watch the whole thing i dont think i would have been more amazed had i witnessed the first flight of the wright brothersp piframe allowfullscreentrue srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedsguccjhtmgyversion3rel1showsearch0showinfo1iv_load_policy1fs1hlenusautohide2wmodetransparent width640 he...
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U.S.A. fact of the day
blockquotepaccording to one recent measure ninetythree of the top one hundred american television programs watched live across a single year have been sports related  more people watched the super bowl than the oscars emmys grammys golden globes and tonys emcombinedempblockquote pit is for this reason that i find it pu...
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They had better hurry up and distribute those AstraZeneca doses
blockquotepmovement data from last weekend show melburnians engaging in what experts have called thousands of small transgressions with the potential to drive covid19 infections higher as the effect of 200 days of lockdown takes an emotional tollp pgoogle mobility data compiled by ithe age ireveals that across the stat...
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How sad that our regulatory state is still failing us
div section div div dataqadropcapletter blockquote p dataeltextwhen pfizer representatives met with senior us government health officials on july 12 they laid out why they thought a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomhealth20210817boostershotsbidenadministrationitidlk_inline_manual_2 target_blankbooster shotsa wo...
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The economics of Taliban finance
blockquotepan example of islamist governance can be found on the stretch of road from kabul to the mile 78 border crossing in southwest farah province that borders iranp pthe road has more than 25 government checkpoints and a fee is charged at multiple points on the journey by contrast the taliban who police the same r...
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Covid markets in everything, certified air ambulance regulatory arbitrage edition
div blockquotepwe werent sure what was going to happen if they were going to separate us or put us in a hospital said mcelroy i didnt know if i was going to need a respiratorp pnone of that happened within 72 hours the couple was on a learjet back to arizonapblockquote div div blockquotepbefore they left underwood pur...
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What is going on with productivity? (from my email)
blockquotepvarious web sources but none of this seems controversialp p1 us gdp is now higher in fact a fair bit higher then when the pandemic beganp p2 us labor force participation is about 15 lower than when the pandemic beganp pwas there really slack to the tune of a few million people in jan of 2020p phas inflation ...
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The problem with fitting third doses into a regulatory structure
pthat is a key theme of a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20210822firstcovidimmobilizedusnowgovernmentsarecmpid3dsocialflowtwitterviewutm_contentviewutm_campaignsocialfloworganicutm_mediumsocialutm_sourcetwittersrefhtohjx5y target_blankmy latest bloomberg columna here is one excerptp blockquote pin t...
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The Afghani dollar
pa relattachment wpatt81773 hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202108theafghanidollarhtmlzafghaniimg sizesmaxwidth 1600px 100vw 1600px srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202108zafghanijpg alt width1600 srcsethttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202108zafghanijpg 1600w httpmarginalrevolutioncom...
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Ashish Kulkarni interviews me
piframe allowfullscreentrue srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedzyfxi4frqjwversion3rel1showsearch0showinfo1iv_load_policy1fs1hlenusautohide2wmodetransparent width640 height360iframep pabout half is about india including on how to construct an ideal india trip and also on the legacy of british colonialism  the other half is his v...
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Quillette's Best on Critical Social Justice
figureimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202108wilfridlaurierpng altquillettes best on critical social justice width1200 height800figureimg altquillettes best on critical social justice srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202108criticalsocialjusticepngpstronga hrefhttpsquillettecom201...
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Fortschritt
blockquote p datatestidparagraph0germany has decided to stop using the coronavirus infection rate as its yardstick for deciding if restrictions should be in force to contain the spread of the virus chancellor angela merkel said on mondayp p datatestidparagraph1the sevenday incidence rate was a key measure in determinin...
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The Rise (and Fall) of the Modern Bank of England
pthe notion of an essentially contestable concept means an issue which by its very nature can never be definitively settled no matter how much brilliance is expended on it and about which no logic or evidence can ever force disputing parties to agree thus they are in the words of stuart hampshire permanently and essent...
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Simple facts about Afghanistan
blockquoteptrade will be a particular source of difficulty the last a hrefhttpswwwimforgenpublicationscrissues20210628islamicrepublicofafghanistanfirstreviewundertheundertheextendedcreditfacility461288imf reporta on the country prior to the collapse of the government counted imports at about 7 billion annually a huge f...
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Data-Driven Parenting: A Conversation with Emily Oster
pimg sizesmaxwidth 1430px 100vw 1430px srchttpsbehavioralscientistorgwpcontentuploads202108oster_holzwarthsalzer1430x794jpg width1430 alt srcsethttpsbehavioralscientistorgwpcontentuploads202108oster_holzwarthsalzerjpg 1430w httpsbehavioralscientistorgwpcontentuploads202108oster_holzwarthsalzer300x167jpg 300w httpsbehav...
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The cultural life extension query
pa relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomrebeccamakkaistatus1428925599914016769 target_blankrebecca makkai asksap blockquotepyou have the power to grant fifty more productive years to an artist of any discipline writer musician painter etc who died too young who do you pickpblockquote pmy answer was schubert and here is whyp ...
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More on Australia, from an MR reader
pa random observation in four sentencesp ol lii continue to see huge numbers of australians eg politicians like dan andrews the victorian premier and also huge numbers of random people on my facebook say if we dont continue to lockdown the health system will be overwhelmed we have no choiceli limost of the atrisk popul...
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Thailand and The WHO on Fractional Dosing
pthailand will a hrefhttpswwwreuterscomworldasiapacificthailandexploreinjectingcoronavirusvaccinesunderskin20210819study fractional dosingap blockquote p datatestidparagraph0thailand is studying the possibility of injecting coronavirus vaccines under the skin to try to stretch its limited supply a health official said ...
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How to tell when you are reading a truly great history book
pwhen it treatment of secondary topics is better than what you can find anywhere else  for instance i am reading alexander mikaberidzes a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomnapoleonicwarsglobalhistorydp0199951063refsr_1_2dchild1keywordsnapoleonicwarsqid1629751822sr82 target_blankthe napoleonic wars a global historya  jus...
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A temporary equilibrium only?
blockquotepthe tax policy center estimates that last year nearly 107 million households or about 61 percent owed no income tax or even received tax credits from the government howard gleckman a senior fellow at the tax policy center a hrefhttpswwwtaxpolicycenterorgtaxvoxcovid19pandemicdrovehugetemporaryincreasehousehol...
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Why I became trans
ptranssexuals like me never asked to be at the centre of one of the most toxic debates in society we just wanted to transition and get on with our lives but what was once a niche medical condition has become a civil rights issue so big that it now challenges our understanding of what it means to be a emmanem or emwoman...
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Is this the end of white America?
pfor years the idea of a great replacement that white americans and europeans are purposefully being replaced through immigration has obsessed many on the extreme right its a fringe belief but concerns will doubtless have been exacerbated by a recent a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomdcmdva20210812censusdata...
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The Delta Variant and Vaccine Protection
divimg sizesmaxwidth 600px 100vw 600px srchttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1jpg width600 alt srcsethttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1jpg 600w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaret...
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My Conversation with Zeynep Tufekci
phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodeszeyneptufekci target_blankthe audio video and transcripta  here is part of the summaryp blockquotepzeynep joined tyler to discuss problems with the media and the scientific establishment what made the lableak hypothesis unacceptable to talk about how her ...
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Why Doesn’t the United States Have Test Abundance?!
pwe have vaccine abundance in the united states but not test abundance germany has test abundance tests are easily available at the supermarket or the corner store and they are cheap a hrefhttpstwittercomoverseasdemstatus1429326478903291914five tests for 375 euroa or less than a dollar each billiger in great britain yo...
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Is the scolding equilibrium shifting, and if so why?
pas the pandemic evolves so is the tendency of people to take moral positions they would not normally endorse most notably many leftwing commentators are becoming moral scolds stressing ideals of individual responsibilityp pconsider these wordsp pso its time to stop being diffident and call out destructive behavior for...
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My emails to Arnold Kling about the correct inflation model
pafter i cited low tenyear securities yields arnold asked for my basic model of inflation here was my first emailp ul liprice level dynamics and money supply processes are murky at least in recent timesli lithe median voter hates inflationli lithe fed wont let inflation happenli ul pis my modelp pi would add a dose of ...
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Crypto-Volcano Sentence of the Day
blockquotepthe 40yearold president also wants to lure foreign investors to develop geothermal power from volcanoes to supply the large amounts of electricity needed for mining the cryptocurrencypblockquote pthis is from the wsjs article on a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleselsalvadorgetsreadyforariskybitcoinexperiment1162996...
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*Smashing the Liquor Machine*
pthe subtitle is ema global history of prohibitionem and the author is mark lawrence schrad  i blurbed the book with thisp blockquotepthe best book on prohibition period it is a revelation on the causes and nature of the prohibition movement and takes a properly international perspective considering colonies and indige...
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Does Jordan Peterson believe in God?
pjordan peterson is not known for being shy about his opinions yet a hrefhttpswwwthepublicdiscoursecom20180421281the most influential biblical interpreter in the world todaya is very coy about saying whether or not he believes in godp pi dont like the question peterson always replies when put on the spot acknowledging ...
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Never trust a scientist
pin 2002 a harvard professor named marc hauser made an exciting discovery about monkeys cottontop tamarins to be specific the monkeys just like human infants were able to generalise rules that theyd learned across different patterns this was a big deal if monkeys had this capacity it would provide key insights into how...
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How is nursing evolving? (from my email)
pfrom andrew k stein strongmrstrong readerp blockquoteptheres a massive and massively underreported shift going on right now in hospital nurse staffing that is interesting from a health and labor economics povp pin normal times hospitals pride themselves on having little or no use of agency nurses ie not relying on nu...
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*The Money Illusion*, the new Scott Sumner book
pthe subtitle is market monetarism the great recession and the future of monetary policy  i just got my copy selfrecommending of course  in fact hard to think of a better example of selfrecommending than this onep pyou can buy it a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncommoneyillusionmonetarismrecessionmonetarydp022677368xref...
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‘The Genetic Lottery: Why DNA Matters for Social Equality‘—A Review
img altthe genetic lottery why dna matters for social equalitya review srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202109geneticlottery1pngpis a leftwing author allowed to believe in genetics the question is only partially sarcastic doctrinaire progressives are inclined to cringe at least for public consumption ...
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Why Afghan women are fighting back
pi was a defiant little girl one afternoon i came home with my nails painted a grave sin my mother took one look and told me to get the filth off of my nails before she chopped off each fingerp pmy mother could be fierce and she punished me frequently but even then i knew that her threat was bluster she might smack me...
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Quillette's Best on “Gender Identity”
figureimg srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202109screenshot20210405at111707ampng altquillettes best on gender identity width1200 height800figureimg altquillettes best on gender identity srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202109gender1pngpstronga hrefhttpsquillettecomtagwhensonsbecomeda...
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Auction markets where you most expect them
pat christies adam smiths emwealth of nationsem first edition estimate is in the 80k120k range bid a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwchristiescomenlotlot6332206cosid41196479ciddm462329bid278629690 target_blankhereap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202109auctionmarketswhereyoumostexpectthe...
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The next attack on the Affordable Care Act may cost you free preventive health care
divimg sizesmaxwidth 600px 100vw 600px srchttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202109cdcvqt9v7v6g44unsplashscaledjpg width600 altthis photograph showed a young child being cradled by her mother while she was receiving an intramuscular vaccination in her left thigh muscle notice that the nurse had immo...
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Is this proof of a lab leak cover-up?
pthere are many things we still do not know about the origins of this pandemic  including the central issue of whether it began with natural spillover from animals or some kind of laboratory incident but we do know one thing now beyond debate speculative gainoffunction experiments on mutant bat viruses were taking plac...
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A photo from my email
pa relattachment wpatt81902 hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncomattachment_id81902img srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202109ztyrone1jpg alt width640 classwpimage81902 height850ap pthat is from brad h from a starbucks in nashvillep pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202109aphoto...
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Mexico won’t pay for this one
blockquotepanalysts said that the fact that pakistan had nearly completed construction of a metal fence running along its once unregulated 2600km border with afghanistan reflected tensions in islamabads relationship with the talibanpblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwftcomcontent55fce3c4e0db4c4a8d2fd6168b902...
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My Conversation with Ed Glaeser
pi did david cutler and ed sequentially based on a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomesedwardglaeserebookdpb08v896zd6refsr_1_2__mk_es_usc385mc385c5bdc395c391dchild1keywordsdavidcutlerqid1631115800sr82 target_blanktheir new coauthored booka here is a relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesedwardglaeserandd...
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My Conversation with David Cutler
pi did cutler and ed glaeser sequentially based on a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomesedwardglaeserebookdpb08v896zd6refsr_1_2__mk_es_usc385mc385c5bdc395c391dchild1keywordsdavidcutlerqid1631115800sr82 target_blanktheir new coauthored booka here is a relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesedwardglaeseran...
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How bin Laden’s prophecies came true
pin joe bidens a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwhitehousegovbriefingroomspeechesremarks20210831remarksbypresidentbidenontheendofthewarinafghanistan target_blankkeynote speecha following the bloody debacle at kabul airport the american president presented a sober vision of the countrys new foreign policy realities that both l...
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Secret Danish markets in everything
blockquotepdenmark has paid the uk an undisclosed sum to accept 23 afghan refugees who worked as interpreters for the danish state for eight yearsp paccording to a a hrefhttpswwwsvdsedanmarkbetaladebritternaforatttaemottolkarreporta by swedish broadsheeti svenska dagbladeti the interpreters were granted a residence per...
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A new hurdle for vaccine development
blockquotepunless countries that have purchased vaccine doses and companies that have already brought vaccines into use agree to find ways to resolve the problem manufacturers that trail the first wave of producers may not be able to prove that their vaccines work not only will that slow efforts to vaccinate the planet...
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Emergent Ventures winners, sixteenth cohort
pa relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomphoebexyaolangen target_blankphoebe yaoa a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwlinkedincominphoebexyao target_blankfounder and ceo of paretoa a human api delivering the business functions startups desperately need  she was born in china formerly of stanford and a relnoopener hrefhttpsphoebeyaocom ...
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The Research on Ivermectin and Covid-19
divimg sizesmaxwidth 600px 100vw 600px srchttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1jpg width600 alt srcsethttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1jpg 600w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaret...
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*Beautiful World, Where Are You?* — the new Sally Rooney novel
pit is really good and more subtle than one might have expected  imagine irelands 1 leftwing writer imbibing the brew of ross douthat over the last few years and putting it all into fictional form and convincingly at that  i dont just mean the mass scene and the pornography discussion it is the consistent theme running...
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My appearance on the Ezra Klein Show
ptalking with ezra is always both fun and enlightening for me here is his partial summary of the episodep blockquotepso we begin this conversation by discussing the case for and against economic growth but we also get into lots of other things why cowen thinks the great stagnation in technology is coming to an end the ...
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Street-Level Responsiveness of City Governments in China, Germany, and the United States
blockquotepthis paper presents evidence from parallel field experiments in china germany and the united states we contacted the mayors office in over 6000 cities asking for information about procedures for starting a new business chinese and german cities responded to 3637 percent requests american cities responded to ...
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The Ig Nobel Prizes
pimg srchttpsbiooneorgcontentimagesjournalsjwdi572201908202graphicwebimagesimgz21_357jpg altimgz21_357jpg width278 height324the ig nobel prize in economics this year went to spanpavlo blavatskyy forspan a hrefhttpsonlinelibrarywileycomdoi101111ecot12259obesity of politicians and corruption in postsoviet countriesap blo...
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Why are American talk shows so much worse than British ones?
pa relnoopener hrefhttpssamenrightcom target_blanksam enrighta emails mep blockquotepmy girlfriend is american and shes been struck by how the uk panel shows qi would i lie to you 8 out of 10 cats are so much better than the american ones and play to the lowest common denominator less there dont seem to be a lot of p...
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OnlySubs: The Woke Won’t Let Go of Power
pemonlysubs episode 60 the woke wont let go of powerspan datatagposttitle spanemis now available exclusively for new discourses contributors on the following platformsbr a relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscourseslocalscompost1044080thewokewontletgoofpoweronlysubswithjameslindsayep60 target_blanklocalsabr a relnoopener hrefht...
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US economy is being undermined by supply-side struggles
pstrongby james pethokoukisstrongp pthe us isnt a simple machine where government spending is the input and easily predictable economic growth is the output if washington policymakers doubted that reality its truth is becoming all too clear during this pandemic you can try to boost growth by increasing demand but there...
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Seven Possible Causes of the Next Financial Crisis
pthe great financial historian charles kindleberger pointed out in the 1970s that over several centuries history showed there was a financial crisis about once every ten years his observation still holds in every decade since his classic emmanias panics and crashesem of 1978 such crises have indeed continued to erupt i...
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Why I am reluctant to endorse preschool
pa few of you asked for followups given a relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202109myappearanceontheezrakleinshowhtml target_blankmy discussion with ezra kleina  here is one paper that makes me skepticalp blockquotepexploiting admission thresholds in a regression discontinuity design we study t...
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Operation Warp Speed: A Story Yet to be Told
poperation warp speed was by far the most successful government program against covid but as of yet there is very little discussion or history of the program as just an indication i looked for references in a bunch of pandemic books to general perna who coled ows with moncef slaoui michael lewis in a hrefhttpsmarginalr...
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Immigration to the U.S. is correlated with quite high life expectancy
blockquotepwe find that immigration increases us life expectancy by 15 years for men and 14 years for women over half of these contributions occur at the prime working ages of 2564 the difference between foreignborn and usborn mortality has grown substantially since 1990 with the ratio of usborn to foreignborn mortalit...
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Podcast #165: Peter Boghossian on Why He Quit Portland State University
iframe width500 srchttpswebplayerwhooshkaacomplayerepisodeid902828themelightenablevolumetrueiframeheight190 height200iframeimg altpodcast 165 peter boghossian on why he quit portland state university srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202109podcast2pngpgrievance studies hoaxster and philosophy professor...
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Understanding the onset of hot streaks in careers
pa relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnaturecomarticless41467021254778 target_blankby lu liu etal in natureap blockquotepacross a range of creative domains individual careers are characterized by hot streaks which are bursts of highimpact works clustered together in close succession yet it remains unclear if there are any regular...
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The future of the American city: My long-read Q&A with Ed Glaeser
pstrongby james pethokoukis and ed glaeserstrongp pamericas cities have been hit hard by the covid19 pandemic fueling predictions of prolonged urban flight and decline cities are over we are being told but cities are hubs of productivity and opportunity that have endured plagues for thousands of years will americas cit...
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Derry notes, Northern Ireland’s second largest city
ppeople in derry are still talking about the 1680sit is bad to be a a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikirobert_lundy target_blanklundya namely a traitor to your cause but the bar here has become a high one  you are either with them or against themp pthe 17th century city wall seems fully intact the buildings are s...
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Are the deep fundamentals of the US economy actually pretty strong?
pstrongby james pethokoukisstrongp psome pessimists write off the rising american stock market the sampp 500 is up 20 percent so far this year as reflecting little more than easy money dont fight the fed now im not going to give a definitive answer as to why the stock market does this or that but what if wall streets...
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What’s the Right Dose for Boosters?
blockquotepthe biden administration says a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwmedpagetodaycominfectiousdiseasecovid19vaccine94098 target_blankbooster shots are cominga but the fda hasnt decided on the dose moderna wants a a relnoopener hrefhttpsinvestorsmodernatxcomnewsreleasesnewsreleasedetailsmodernaannouncessubmissioninitialda...
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China campaign of the day
blockquotepbut a shift in investor sentiment suggests the days of chinas youth going under the knife in pursuit of perfection might be numbered as president xi jinping tries to reshape the countrys cultural and business landscape as part of a common prosperity drive sp pince the start of july the market value of the co...
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Covid and intertemporal substitution
pthat is the topic of a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20210914seeminglyirrationalcovidbehaviorcanbeexplainedbyeconomicssrefhtohjx5y target_blankmy latest bloomberg columna here is one bitp blockquotepbefore the vaccines came along it made great sense to enforce masking norms if infections could be ...
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Gavin Newsom’s hollow victory
pcanada and california might be more than 4000km apart but their respective electorates have been forced to endure strikingly similar political torments in both cases seemingly glamorous progressive leaders now find themselves under assault from electorates who remain in a highly surly and volatile mood both canadian ...
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5 questions for Ed Glaeser on the survival of cities
pstrongby james pethokoukis and ed glaeserstrongp peven before the covid19 pandemic americas major cities faced rising housing prices congestion and inequality but since the outbreak of coronavirus cities have been hit hard with an economic downturn and rise in violent crime on top of the spread of a viral disease wil...
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Scott Gottlieb’s Uncontrolled Spread
pscott gottliebs a hrefhttpswwwamazoncompreparinginevitablenormalsurviveepidemicdp006308001xrefsr_1_2tagmarginalrevol20uncontrolled spreada is superb i a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesuncontrolledspreadreviewtestedandfoundwanting11631657876modopinion_reviews_pos1reviewed it for the wsja heres one bitp div blockquotepimg da...
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Covid markets in everything
div section div div dataqadropcapletter blockquote p dataeltexta pastor is encouraging people to donate to his tulsa church so they can become an online member and get his signature on a religious exemption from coronavirus vaccine mandates the pastor jackson lahmeyer is a 29yearold smallbusiness owner running in the r...
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My January 2020 Bloomberg column on Covid
pi thought a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20200127coronavirusfromchinawillchallengeusinstitutionstoosrefhtohjx5y target_blankthis onea worthy of a redux here are a few segmentsp blockquotepfirst most emergency rooms are not equipped to handle a very high volume of cases especially infectious disea...
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Lessons for Big Tech from Ralph Nader’s ‘Sack of Detroit’
img altlessons for big tech from ralph naders sack of detroit srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202109nader_in_1966jpgpppuntil recently silicon valley enjoyed a relatively high degree of freedom from us government regulation that was a deliberate policy choice responding to public enthusiasm for the po...
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Maybe the last sentence here is wrong?
blockquotepbarbarism is perhaps best understood as a recurring syndrome among peripheral societies in response to the threats and opportunities presented by more developed neighbors this article develops a mathematical model of embarbarigenesisemthe formation of barbarian societies adjacent to more complex societiesand...
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Ireland during World War II
pthe republic of ireland of course was neutral  i had not known these factsp p1 irish were allowed to emigrate to britain to work but with assurances they would not be conscriptedp p2 ireland engaged in heavy censorship during the war mostly to stop people from getting the impression that the war was a moral struggle b...
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My podcast with Auren Hoffman
pa bit on time management a bit on talent a bit on organizational capital and indeed a bit on almost everythingp pauren is a very good interviewer here is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsafegraphcompodcaststylercowenidentifyingtalentmeasuringorganizationalcapital target_blankthe linka 43 minutesp pthe post a relnofollow hre...
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Finally, A Randomized Trial of Mask Wearing
divimg sizesmaxwidth 600px 100vw 600px srchttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads2021090921_scatteredmasks_mwinklerscaledjpg width600 altsurgical masks srcsethttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads2021090921_scatteredmasks_mwinklerscaledjpg 2560w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswp...
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Gödel Prize Winners Don’t Cosplay
pa hrefhttptimroughgardenorgtim roughgardena a topnotch computer scientist cowinner of a gdel prize is teaching a a hrefhttpstimroughgardengithubiofob21class on blockchainsa hes only just begun to put up material but i liked this bit of hype from lecture onep blockquotepspanits worth recognizing that were currently in ...
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What I’ve been reading on Ireland
p1 susan mckay a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomessusanmckaydp1780732643refsr_1_1__mk_es_usc385mc385c5bdc395c391cridwm0n8jvo2zddchild1keywordssusanmckaynorthernprotestantsqid1631807869sprefixsusanmckayn2caps2c252sr81 target_blanknorthern protestants on shifting grounda and also a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomessu...
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Our world will stay weird
blockquotepaurea smigrodzki was born in the usa last summer she is the latest baby at the forefront of science she is the first baby in history to be conceived with the help of polygenic testing the test is fully named preimplantation genetic testing for polygenic disorders or pgtp for shortpblockquote phere is a relno...