diff --git "a/tasks.csv" "b/tasks.csv" --- "a/tasks.csv" +++ "b/tasks.csv" @@ -1,2497 +1,2497 @@ board,dataset,panel,level,horizon_label,horizon,configuration,n_entities,n_windows,mase,rel_mase,mase_rank,wql,rel_wql,wql_rank,coverage_80pct -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.6569418272593974,0.601845025630152,1.0,0.8922272174474135,0.4623950963056444,2.0,0.8262264150943396 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,5300,0.6574192919515361,0.6022824460195287,2.0,0.8977573923837513,0.4652610991827934,7.0,0.8177358490566038 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.6593790741955694,0.6040778640397365,3.0,0.8955891278319796,0.4641374001108229,4.0,0.8326415094339623 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,5300,0.6593925877723432,0.6040902442515335,4.0,0.9239624300848128,0.4788418112419271,12.0,0.8394339622641509 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.6594201751318669,0.6041155178974039,5.0,0.8841888301299732,0.4582292170261223,1.0,0.8326415094339623 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,t0-beta,100,5300,0.6597082203411087,0.6043794051536956,6.0,0.8971284206141121,0.4649351357327791,5.0,0.8243396226415094 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,5300,0.6599331813951654,0.6045854990355685,7.0,0.9019557722051854,0.4674369017181763,8.0,0.7835849056603773 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,Timestral-209M,100,5300,0.6599933778315777,0.6046406468801906,8.0,0.904273363168419,0.4686379889252079,9.0,0.8320754716981132 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.6603037358566035,0.6049249756072947,9.0,0.8974268584241576,0.4650898005728767,6.0,0.8281132075471698 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,t0-gamma,100,5300,0.661145627472271,0.6056962589386103,10.0,0.8945360847817779,0.4635916625082366,3.0,0.8126415094339623 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.6612391168501105,0.6057819074917504,11.0,0.951439988459788,0.4930820047740074,17.0,0.8077358490566038 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.6561449505888269,0.6011149819028034,1.0,0.8909259853629992,0.46172073519759604,5.0,0.8249056603773585 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,5300,0.657156091518771,0.6020413198427038,2.0,0.8940219943277745,0.4633252360864235,6.0,0.8162264150943396 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,t0-beta,100,5300,0.6592510153591381,0.6039605453206413,3.0,0.8892797563887522,0.4608675800929291,2.0,0.8235849056603773 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.6593790741955694,0.6040778640397365,4.0,0.8955891278319796,0.4641374001108229,7.0,0.8326415094339623 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,5300,0.6593925877723432,0.6040902442515335,5.0,0.9239624300848128,0.47884181124192715,12.0,0.8394339622641509 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.6596366114219272,0.6043138019754356,6.0,0.8859586227058,0.4591464087375359,1.0,0.8330188679245283 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.659645116849003,0.6043215940641169,7.0,0.8904686316603936,0.4614837124916904,4.0,0.8275471698113207 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,5300,0.6599331813951654,0.6045854990355685,8.0,0.9019557722051854,0.46743690171817637,8.0,0.7835849056603773 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,Timestral-209M,100,5300,0.6599933778315777,0.6046406468801906,9.0,0.904273363168419,0.46863798892520797,9.0,0.8320754716981132 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,t0-gamma,100,5300,0.6611027151766025,0.6056569456377748,10.0,0.8895368413468506,0.4610008138944026,3.0,0.8147169811320755 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.6612391168501105,0.6057819074917504,11.0,0.951439988459788,0.49308200477400743,17.0,0.8077358490566038 daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5300,0.6624491344236492,0.6068904425664576,12.0,0.9584975618873194,0.4967395790789516,18.0,0.8181132075471698 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,TiRex-2,100,5300,0.6647185059689232,0.6089694850617843,13.0,0.9274715753018616,0.4806604192252499,14.0,0.8133962264150943 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,TiRex-2,100,5300,0.6647185059689232,0.6089694850617843,13.0,0.9274715753018615,0.48066041922524994,14.0,0.8133962264150943 daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.6653979529169837,0.6095919477348883,14.0,0.927139101044495,0.4804881150596205,13.0,0.8160377358490566 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,t0-alpha,100,5300,0.6659796015524765,0.6101248143045149,15.0,0.9161734256304492,0.4748051741674559,11.0,0.7916981132075471 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,t0-alpha,100,5300,0.6666716919563542,0.6107588600442996,15.0,0.9200502244681602,0.47681431795601853,11.0,0.7909433962264151 daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.6681260868378748,0.6120912768404667,16.0,0.92908425652025,0.4814961882678268,15.0,0.7666037735849056 daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,Chronos-2,100,5300,0.6708983085624138,0.614630996166633,17.0,0.9349276387553088,0.484524510245115,16.0,0.6883018867924529 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.675010714831022,0.6183985006144124,18.0,0.909011134852665,0.4710933302904698,10.0,0.8262264150943396 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.6748859738400307,0.6182842214776529,18.0,0.9096709912781338,0.4714352996559364,10.0,0.8269811320754717 daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,AutoTheta,100,5300,0.7270581874597798,0.6660808237645726,19.0,1.1523522995595594,0.5972044363960217,20.0,0.8984905660377358 daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,AutoETS,100,5300,0.7342733103015581,0.6726908242417079,20.0,1.107497079857247,0.5739583021955886,19.0,0.8967924528301887 daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,1d,1,Seasonal Naive,100,5300,1.0915464933378112,1.0,21.0,1.9295775940877384,1.0,21.0,0.7720754716981132 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.8135703109550375,0.7356106628524928,1.0,1.3262011266408955,0.6365162274330137,1.0,0.8467857142857144 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,Timestral-209M,100,5200,0.8153257220942067,0.7371978632877533,2.0,1.338741049034421,0.6425348198877242,3.0,0.8319780219780221 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.8172265352864748,0.7389165327542948,3.0,1.3448464305937449,0.6454651253739088,5.0,0.8204670329670329 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,5200,0.8184565879344289,0.7400287167063404,4.0,1.3387910453365264,0.6425588158389888,4.0,0.7875824175824176 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.8193061149678369,0.740796838570845,5.0,1.3294224781111172,0.6380623296371755,2.0,0.8244505494505494 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,TimesFM-3.0,100,5200,0.8210197835136813,0.7423462963594881,6.0,1.351971610753291,0.6488848878095073,7.0,0.8133516483516484 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,t0-gamma,100,5200,0.821914274315866,0.7431550733798026,7.0,1.3461821660715978,0.6461062176563176,6.0,0.8062912087912087 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.8220597531725747,0.7432866118550561,8.0,1.4196585991342177,0.6813715639441112,17.0,0.8062637362637363 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,t0-beta,100,5200,0.8225932345149362,0.7437689728244642,9.0,1.3598513391012976,0.6526667990600081,10.0,0.8096978021978022 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.8135703109550375,0.7356106628524928,1.0,1.3262011266408957,0.6365162274330137,1.0,0.8467857142857144 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.814935247514493,0.7368448055857422,2.0,1.3345452296950393,0.6405210174234945,2.0,0.8306593406593407 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+daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.8220597531725747,0.7432866118550561,9.0,1.4196585991342177,0.6813715639441112,17.0,0.8062637362637363 daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5200,0.8236258471581261,0.7447026362837849,10.0,1.419823206204541,0.681450567851819,18.0,0.8112912087912088 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.8237081297784903,0.7447770342455741,11.0,1.3587019891941292,0.6521151633750315,9.0,0.7566483516483516 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.8252338167897719,0.7461565236622378,12.0,1.355799679618053,0.6507221867705809,8.0,0.81260989010989 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.8237081297784903,0.7447770342455741,11.0,1.3587019891941292,0.6521151633750315,10.0,0.7566483516483516 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.8240823323876998,0.7451153792241152,12.0,1.3502392936917487,0.6480534544027783,8.0,0.8125824175824176 daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,TimesFM-2.5,100,5200,0.8256179048626511,0.7465038068387253,13.0,1.3890095207436746,0.6666614001842144,14.0,0.8267032967032968 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,t0-alpha,100,5200,0.8273871234541773,0.7481034916395581,14.0,1.372988114923595,0.658971854016658,12.0,0.7971703296703297 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,Chronos-2,100,5200,0.8276535775662238,0.748344413024401,15.0,1.3695663235036233,0.6573295497522817,11.0,0.7099725274725275 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.8311678368160454,0.751521921521684,16.0,1.41631700312827,0.6797677498313165,15.0,0.8228846153846154 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,t0-alpha,100,5200,0.8269744118993133,0.7477303278006713,14.0,1.3664185280464909,0.6558187510892014,11.0,0.7977197802197802 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covariates,100,5200,0.8330798615602171,0.7532507282031856,18.0,1.3701013914047118,0.657586358010833,13.0,0.813021978021978 +daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,AutoTheta,100,5200,0.9251422533341813,0.8364913235453802,19.0,1.751404804321078,0.8405946551848839,20.0,0.892032967032967 daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,AutoETS,100,5200,0.935033767470783,0.8454349921781489,20.0,1.750470770465314,0.8401463614123763,19.0,0.8943956043956044 daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,7d,7,Seasonal Naive,100,5200,1.105979497089179,1.0,21.0,2.0835307404326366,1.0,21.0,0.7686813186813186 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,28d,28,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,4900,0.9834297287480228,0.7448624206551612,1.0,1.669559097200802,0.6353023825593979,1.0,0.8286661807580175 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,28d,28,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,4900,0.9873496521174052,0.7478314214127628,2.0,1.687840334270515,0.6422587781047812,3.0,0.8149562682215743 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,28d,28,Timestral-209M,100,4900,0.9915643886299148,0.7510237174654032,3.0,1.6967183971317128,0.645637067916557,5.0,0.8301895043731778 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,28d,28,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,4900,0.994734711723008,0.7534249612597987,4.0,1.6841262595708804,0.64084549449617,2.0,0.758338192419825 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,28d,28,TimesFM-3.0,100,4900,0.9968058449316632,0.7549936643915033,5.0,1.6929549429465176,0.644204994374197,4.0,0.8146064139941691 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,28d,28,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,4900,0.99818908863037,0.7560413510941275,6.0,1.6975454637167828,0.6459517841628469,6.0,0.8214212827988339 -daily,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,28d,28,t0-gamma,100,4900,0.9989563561774278,0.756622489477161,7.0,1.7059773563532532,0.6491602968117348,7.0,0.8044606413994169 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-daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,1d,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5300,0.6901359972664813,0.6493311793286014,16.0,0.5676468689961306,0.541351697251613,11.0,0.8043396226415095 -daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,1d,1,t0-alpha,100,5300,0.691903913106246,0.6509945657940734,17.0,0.578554354746364,0.5517539142744587,15.0,0.7945283018867925 -daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,1d,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.7040124234838663,0.6623871512475995,18.0,0.6358900730683763,0.6064336634672151,19.0,0.7888679245283019 -daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,1d,1,AutoETS,100,5300,0.788866750398973,0.7422244012753586,19.0,0.62228505958518,0.5934588766014222,18.0,0.8996226415094339 -daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,1d,1,AutoTheta,100,5300,0.7963045550035842,0.7492224400020112,20.0,0.6533020242310166,0.6230390387968229,20.0,0.9105660377358492 +daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,1d,1,t0-beta + past & calendar 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covariates,100,5200,0.7645813050829914,0.6877595414576418,15.0,0.5881609501587711,0.6131003238120868,13.0,0.8044780219780219 +daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,7d,7,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.763400353610154,0.6866972467899032,14.0,0.5907905598054677,0.6158414349406883,13.0,0.8067032967032968 +daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,7d,7,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.7635465812409788,0.6868287821121193,15.0,0.5988978680286029,0.6242925116323775,16.0,0.8067582417582417 daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,7d,7,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5200,0.7678376610901709,0.6906887131486467,16.0,0.5987382287209279,0.6241261032518105,15.0,0.8094780219780219 daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,7d,7,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.774018195586244,0.6962482547470656,17.0,0.6321163238868449,0.6589195062292271,17.0,0.8081868131868132 daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,7d,7,TiRex-2,100,5200,0.776996542805424,0.6989273507492135,18.0,0.6410908858491609,0.6682746102083033,18.0,0.8083516483516484 -daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,7d,7,AutoETS,100,5200,0.911211442754147,0.8196569284041335,19.0,0.8752372736983557,0.9123493420840252,19.0,0.8845604395604395 -daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,7d,7,AutoTheta,100,5200,0.9241370048222136,0.8312837868976862,20.0,0.9245539528106724,0.9637571615336776,20.0,0.8951373626373625 +daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,7d,7,AutoETS,100,5200,0.911211442754147,0.8196569284041335,19.0,0.8752372736983557,0.9123493420840251,19.0,0.8845604395604395 +daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,7d,7,AutoTheta,100,5200,0.9241370048222137,0.8312837868976862,20.0,0.9245539528106724,0.9637571615336775,20.0,0.8951373626373625 daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,7d,7,Seasonal Naive,100,5200,1.11169857921932,1.0,21.0,0.9593225240883098,1.0,21.0,0.7897527472527471 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-daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,28d,28,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,4900,0.7404213601252841,0.6346357946555699,4.0,0.5743915568773814,0.5161115023974769,3.0,0.7450218658892128 -daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,28d,28,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,4900,0.7432496738818533,0.6370600212447809,5.0,0.5864800443566919,0.5269734438030534,6.0,0.7802551020408163 -daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,28d,28,TimesFM-3.0,100,4900,0.7436763581267138,0.6374257442092809,6.0,0.5975375905980785,0.53690904737372,9.0,0.8125364431486881 -daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,28d,28,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,4900,0.7471651718745674,0.6404161037592805,7.0,0.5958187136556408,0.5353645745301067,8.0,0.8406924198250728 -daily,card_spend,card_spend,original,28d,28,t0-gamma,100,4900,0.7476944175246898,0.6408697349641886,8.0,0.5881287877860518,0.5284548991590844,7.0,0.8179810495626821 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covariates,100,3994,0.7254346995880678,0.4620298183276268,1.0,0.4365424679679047,0.3836547314216463,1.0,0.8419694128968065 -daily,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,91d,91,Timestral-209M,100,3994,0.781088285824884,0.4974756225507752,2.0,0.4997756091245374,0.4392270882196534,4.0,0.8447819359759295 -daily,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,91d,91,t0-gamma,100,3994,0.7874759882001726,0.501543954227853,3.0,0.5002485531548347,0.4396427344127164,5.0,0.8452196353190597 -daily,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,91d,91,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,3994,0.7895830679566777,0.5028859546555313,4.0,0.5141496611613341,0.4518597035509605,6.0,0.8342658167526275 -daily,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,91d,91,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,3994,0.7897437501603682,0.5029882932525432,5.0,0.4885092434968611,0.4293256586998523,3.0,0.8282729722611797 -daily,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,91d,91,t0-gamma + past & calendar 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covariates,100,5300,0.3179621226662492,0.6945100176704553,4.0,0.2489055114641679,0.5213172533233945,2.0,0.8347169811320755 -daily,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1d,1,t0-gamma,100,5300,0.319667455097772,0.6982348967447912,5.0,0.2884221207897469,0.6040823560850107,6.0,0.8418867924528302 -daily,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1d,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.3202640187552922,0.6995379432613122,6.0,0.2738080893383391,0.5734741678957894,5.0,0.8456603773584905 +daily,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1d,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,5300,0.31121988134964823,0.6797832505427679,2.0,0.25554944736421104,0.5352325675898115,4.0,0.8307547169811321 +daily,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1d,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.3179621226662492,0.6945100176704553,3.0,0.24890551146416792,0.5213172533233945,2.0,0.8347169811320755 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covariates,100,5300,0.3313452895075935,0.7237422525087697,14.0,0.3288537360858756,0.6887638824586854,13.0,0.870188679245283 +daily,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1d,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,5300,0.3241807364952419,0.7080930493977682,8.0,0.36529820207163194,0.7650945703360708,14.0,0.9130188679245284 +daily,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1d,1,Chronos-2,100,5300,0.3270294412832671,0.7143153440411651,9.0,0.29695429440298454,0.6219524678666524,10.0,0.7515094339622641 +daily,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1d,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5300,0.32704601635415853,0.7143515482049856,10.0,0.2901996963764398,0.6078053785965585,7.0,0.7947169811320755 +daily,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1d,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.3276733831826291,0.7157218766688709,11.0,0.295653152366293,0.6192273060622329,8.0,0.7941509433962264 +daily,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1d,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.3298837647358048,0.7205499112746337,12.0,0.2968282923031239,0.6216885642342019,9.0,0.6666037735849056 +daily,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1d,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.3300548865429281,0.7209236847552372,13.0,0.3195196663122151,0.6692142485911601,12.0,0.8424528301886792 +daily,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1d,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.3321791572923241,0.7255636314989833,14.0,0.3309039177237783,0.6930578615433525,13.0,0.870754716981132 daily,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1d,1,TiRex-2,100,5300,0.3404983098076351,0.7437347731178752,15.0,0.3883613749022593,0.8133989644101901,15.0,0.8618867924528302 -daily,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1d,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5300,0.3419520999748757,0.7469102200115895,16.0,0.391919550135471,0.8208513431402139,16.0,0.8583018867924528 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covariates,100,5200,0.284246676926565,0.7070023015370068,1.0,0.3579551730811938,0.5825775174278788,1.0,0.8561538461538462 -daily,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,7d,7,Timestral-209M,100,5200,0.2892119909662097,0.719352449274318,2.0,0.3873825443453853,0.6304710141133772,2.0,0.8493681318681318 -daily,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,7d,7,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2968988438451943,0.7384718378834678,3.0,0.4361589938177438,0.7098554314356755,4.0,0.8596978021978022 -daily,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,7d,7,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2978713494466554,0.7408907358136915,4.0,0.4388480812549893,0.714231962356718,5.0,0.865467032967033 -daily,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,7d,7,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.3000989766154499,0.7464314779336457,5.0,0.4559707872149554,0.7420994281176945,8.0,0.8595879120879122 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monthly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,6m,6,AutoETS,100,200,1.0188188451169684,0.8528613426300411,20.0,1.874668189733655,1.0259108884460142,21.0,0.8391666666666667 monthly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,6m,6,Seasonal Naive,100,200,1.194589078190776,1.0,21.0,1.8273206872511951,1.0,20.0,0.7116666666666667 -monthly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1m,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.7776638963614663,0.5856308288493538,1.0,1.5836415729533202,0.6828307491319748,6.0,0.8016666666666666 -monthly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1m,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.7788090454307804,0.5864931996007238,2.0,1.598734015832341,0.689338272206211,9.0,0.815 +monthly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1m,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.7764600240046527,0.5847242356933025,1.0,1.6024199664442023,0.6909275714899289,9.0,0.8008333333333333 +monthly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1m,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar 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covariates,100,1200,0.8004214414941956,0.6027687210429011,7.0,1.6719985193268592,0.7209282838984707,12.0,0.7783333333333333 -monthly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1m,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.802258242347604,0.604151949981837,8.0,1.575600977157556,0.6793638244537789,3.0,0.7816666666666666 -monthly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1m,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.8030107386969575,0.6047186280323932,9.0,1.6735389736591115,0.721592493277449,13.0,0.7941666666666667 -monthly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1m,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1200,0.8035759652840253,0.6051442799319103,10.0,1.578369634680275,0.6805576075184671,4.0,0.785 -monthly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1m,1,Chronos-2,100,1200,0.8040862221682307,0.6055285361169042,11.0,1.5894469755016,0.6853339085834295,7.0,0.7533333333333333 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monthly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1m,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,1200,0.8277041998863274,0.6233143892746873,18.0,1.7223759327685493,0.7426498953711789,17.0,0.78 -monthly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1m,1,AutoTheta,100,1200,0.8824617160094089,0.6645503135639984,19.0,1.8841925164311304,0.8124215791482341,19.0,0.7808333333333334 +monthly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1m,1,AutoTheta,100,1200,0.8824617160094089,0.6645503135639984,19.0,1.8841925164311306,0.8124215791482341,19.0,0.7808333333333334 monthly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1m,1,AutoETS,100,1200,0.8932213490262774,0.672653007840106,20.0,2.004403034304177,0.8642536599515426,20.0,0.8016666666666666 monthly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1m,1,Seasonal Naive,100,1200,1.327908057520501,1.0,21.0,2.3192300214459736,1.0,21.0,0.7083333333333334 -monthly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar 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& calendar covariates,96,1127,0.5083451004219922,0.4269491611707726,6.0,0.3241494461945777,0.3477473920344773,10.0,0.7080745341614907 -monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,TimesFM-3.0,96,1127,0.5085988513193569,0.4271622816133347,7.0,0.3077890512293616,0.3301959670710894,3.0,0.7817213842058562 -monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,Chronos-2,96,1127,0.5124872499468649,0.4304280719808114,8.0,0.3285633950016955,0.3524826744922099,12.0,0.7870452528837621 -monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,96,1127,0.5150397914625199,0.4325719019460413,9.0,0.3225383717960712,0.3460190320849809,8.0,0.7551020408163265 -monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,TiRex-2,96,1127,0.5172002557553376,0.4343864338787622,10.0,0.3234065981262072,0.3469504649334555,9.0,0.7613132209405501 -monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,96,1127,0.5184695839724336,0.4354525179564678,11.0,0.3153402579489666,0.3382968985219473,6.0,0.7630878438331854 -monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,Toto-2.0-22M,96,1127,0.5211868107443798,0.4377346638648874,12.0,0.3326890171213885,0.3569086401987247,13.0,0.7391304347826086 -monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,t0-beta,96,1127,0.522753321801078,0.4390503460285727,13.0,0.336286352126485,0.3607678597068331,14.0,0.7834960070984915 -monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,96,1127,0.5227537420727236,0.4390506990065524,14.0,0.3402126840195285,0.3649800269404864,15.0,0.7897071872227152 -monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,TimesFM-2.5,96,1127,0.5232446317523307,0.4394629876993355,15.0,0.3267130669282234,0.3504976432989995,11.0,0.8074534161490683 -monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,AutoETS,96,1127,0.5396023340669203,0.4532015036722399,16.0,0.3634201082810188,0.3898769421057418,17.0,0.7755102040816326 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covariates,96,1127,0.49024382093143903,0.4117462486450222,1.0,0.29422368373592156,0.31564304642534075,1.0,0.7586512866015972 +monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,Timestral-209M,96,1127,0.49850052573455333,0.41868089439413625,2.0,0.30834796775366413,0.33079557248758146,4.0,0.7879325643300799 +monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,96,1127,0.5003124357048905,0.4202026823317208,3.0,0.2999868866246582,0.32182580810471967,2.0,0.7755102040816326 +monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,t0-gamma,96,1127,0.5047199383117414,0.42390445803348503,4.0,0.3108345001751457,0.3334631234426441,5.0,0.7923691215616682 +monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,TimesFM-3.0,96,1127,0.5053745756020537,0.4244542751591697,5.0,0.30585806012104777,0.328124400607407,3.0,0.7834960070984915 +monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,96,1127,0.5067338709334004,0.42559592086603315,6.0,0.31433352327554015,0.3372168739799817,6.0,0.7586512866015972 +monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,96,1127,0.5083451004219922,0.42694916117077264,7.0,0.32414944619457775,0.34774739203447735,10.0,0.7080745341614907 +monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,96,1127,0.5104334554539893,0.4287031299380486,8.0,0.3159147497729809,0.3389132131135391,8.0,0.7772848269742679 +monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,Chronos-2,96,1127,0.5124872499468649,0.4304280719808114,9.0,0.32856339500169557,0.35248267449220994,12.0,0.7870452528837621 +monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,TiRex-2,96,1127,0.5172002557553376,0.4343864338787622,10.0,0.32340659812620726,0.3469504649334555,9.0,0.7613132209405501 +monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,96,1127,0.5184695839724336,0.4354525179564678,11.0,0.3153402579489666,0.33829689852194733,7.0,0.7630878438331854 +monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,Toto-2.0-22M,96,1127,0.5211868107443798,0.4377346638648874,12.0,0.3326890171213885,0.3569086401987247,14.0,0.7391304347826086 +monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,t0-beta,96,1127,0.5212403848078754,0.43777965967865834,13.0,0.33074361568981325,0.35482161434619763,13.0,0.7763975155279503 +monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,TimesFM-2.5,96,1127,0.5232446317523307,0.4394629876993355,14.0,0.32671306692822344,0.3504976432989995,11.0,0.8074534161490683 +monthly,app_dau__company,app_dau,company,1m,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,96,1127,0.5264486760415548,0.44215400217061224,15.0,0.34061096373919164,0.3654073012592892,15.0,0.7923691215616682 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monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,1m,1,Timestral-209M,100,1162,0.5354032695709399,0.550540024078396,1.0,0.8666808839049321,0.4667504713876423,1.0,0.7969018932874354 -monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,1m,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1162,0.5431613466748314,0.5585174351222271,2.0,0.8782168504374063,0.4729631592603507,2.0,0.8115318416523236 -monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,1m,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1162,0.546745725268589,0.5622031501513766,3.0,0.8814588425692574,0.4747091321828855,4.0,0.7736660929432013 -monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,1m,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1162,0.5480084150696186,0.5635015383252469,4.0,0.932715884178477,0.502313581268281,16.0,0.7616179001721171 -monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,1m,1,t0-gamma,100,1162,0.5490410066505599,0.5645633230138053,5.0,0.8857034040444274,0.4769950382253069,5.0,0.7839931153184165 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covariates,100,392,0.6148070819993706,0.6295640638064539,1.0,1.0233700384368418,0.5508599082756447,2.0,0.8414115646258503 monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,Timestral-209M,100,392,0.6354302942149529,0.6506822871830645,2.0,1.0222754364514517,0.5502707056151961,1.0,0.8116496598639457 monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,392,0.646255327075354,0.6617671492120929,3.0,1.078513503665611,0.5805425480413346,10.0,0.8307823129251701 -monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,392,0.647820090109399,0.6633694706612926,4.0,1.0452202652605995,0.5626214544337895,4.0,0.7767857142857143 -monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,392,0.653579292991274,0.6692669095112289,5.0,1.0745622247486186,0.5784156525294134,8.0,0.7704081632653061 -monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,Chronos-2,100,392,0.6551940964742452,0.67092047251132,6.0,1.0765866208932122,0.5795053450478965,9.0,0.7920918367346939 -monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M,100,392,0.6561391242971762,0.6718881834795799,7.0,1.080023783144591,0.5813555016983833,11.0,0.7840136054421768 -monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,t0-gamma,100,392,0.6569733127972369,0.6727423946906331,8.0,1.062174108868407,0.5717473740757026,6.0,0.7954931972789115 -monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0,100,392,0.657023215705342,0.6727934953993631,9.0,1.0464378299114605,0.5632768454719298,5.0,0.7708333333333334 -monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,392,0.6588724147779943,0.6746870800978024,10.0,1.032809353883267,0.5559409056135627,3.0,0.7797619047619048 +monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,392,0.6485052508533101,0.6640710770593428,4.0,1.0464180871710398,0.5632662183441375,3.0,0.7733843537414966 +monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,t0-gamma,100,392,0.6500123667569857,0.6656143676959108,5.0,1.0496469847810328,0.5650042702456658,5.0,0.8154761904761906 +monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,392,0.653579292991274,0.6692669095112289,6.0,1.0745622247486186,0.5784156525294134,7.0,0.7704081632653061 +monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,392,0.6546544841168366,0.6703679080426324,7.0,1.0482842597803985,0.5642707422541673,4.0,0.800595238095238 +monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,Chronos-2,100,392,0.6551940964742452,0.67092047251132,8.0,1.0765866208932122,0.5795053450478965,8.0,0.7920918367346939 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covariates,100,392,0.6838755348811437,0.7002903406340818,14.0,1.0914265613303464,0.5874933923044904,12.0,0.7665816326530612 -monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,392,0.6959655558659198,0.7126705538188882,15.0,1.1255687925984736,0.6058714820259896,15.0,0.7670068027210885 +monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,t0-beta,100,392,0.6703511554724186,0.6864413406626957,12.0,1.0848788772506066,0.5839689031010614,12.0,0.8048469387755102 +monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,392,0.672254807541041,0.6883906853717677,13.0,1.0778277827628768,0.5801734380035228,9.0,0.7818877551020408 +monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,392,0.6838755348811437,0.7002903406340818,14.0,1.0914265613303464,0.5874933923044904,13.0,0.7665816326530612 +monthly,app_downloads,app_downloads,original,3m,3,t0-alpha + past & calendar 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covariates,100,400,0.6393668209057175,0.7155229078472468,17.0,0.4048362995708964,0.5778375160832003,15.0,0.8333333333333333 -monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,3m,3,t0-alpha,100,400,0.6566996206339186,0.7349202473042551,18.0,0.4116038240227395,0.5874970488954266,17.0,0.8108333333333333 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,3m,3,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.635744539265264,0.7114691699808566,17.0,0.4054520642795911,0.5787164193587736,17.0,0.8383333333333333 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,3m,3,t0-alpha,100,400,0.645732820607051,0.722647172774226,18.0,0.39069522023023345,0.5576534412618338,15.0,0.8341666666666667 monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,3m,3,AutoETS,100,400,0.685264575812503,0.7668876236578693,19.0,0.4318494237857477,0.6163943268595599,19.0,0.8091666666666667 monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,3m,3,AutoTheta,100,400,0.7175094958709911,0.8029732918676585,20.0,0.5169651323130817,0.73788306106454,20.0,0.8 monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,3m,3,Seasonal Naive,100,400,0.8935658298199624,1.0,21.0,0.7006057729083235,1.0,21.0,0.8291666666666667 -monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6038938542108746,0.6677805968064906,1.0,0.4227592619883722,0.5953254405618551,7.0,0.8816666666666667 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6038938542108746,0.6677805968064906,1.0,0.4227592619883722,0.5953254405618551,9.0,0.8816666666666667 monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6148194469040803,0.6798620226369742,2.0,0.4132654499589332,0.581956347706374,5.0,0.795 monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,Timestral-209M,100,200,0.6168849945009568,0.6821460872906489,3.0,0.3959684713433066,0.5575989123037639,2.0,0.8758333333333332 -monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6199887772048231,0.6855782233388852,4.0,0.3941758038640892,0.5550744955663837,1.0,0.8125 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6199887772048231,0.6855782233388852,4.0,0.39417580386408924,0.5550744955663837,1.0,0.8125 monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,Toto-2.0-22M,100,200,0.6208615658063168,0.6865433454197398,5.0,0.4151914994853687,0.5846685917326224,6.0,0.83 -monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6291624650614457,0.6957224079651998,6.0,0.4250102621852013,0.5984952769306181,9.0,0.8483333333333333 -monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,0.6294169627399084,0.6960038292951648,7.0,0.403906266389097,0.5687768373254395,3.0,0.8183333333333332 -monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6300503507416877,0.6967042242650572,8.0,0.4229177296254162,0.5955485931319355,8.0,0.8633333333333333 -monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,t0-gamma,100,200,0.6419784421846803,0.7098942045356339,9.0,0.4300844881496775,0.605640752096802,10.0,0.8408333333333333 -monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.6501761311663234,0.7189591380540402,10.0,0.4111028396814635,0.5789109811539231,4.0,0.8383333333333333 -monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,Chronos-2,100,200,0.6508009576690733,0.7196500657924124,11.0,0.4608644701578419,0.6489848204521879,15.0,0.8158333333333333 -monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6511267622702569,0.7200103377003042,12.0,0.463682314265917,0.6529528808494562,16.0,0.8416666666666667 -monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6585547444537974,0.7282241361037908,13.0,0.4351922389400103,0.6128334365934901,11.0,0.8408333333333333 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6277642604293246,0.6941762853855695,6.0,0.4324227609306636,0.6089334848614189,10.0,0.8433333333333333 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,0.6294169627399084,0.6960038292951648,7.0,0.40390626638909705,0.5687768373254395,3.0,0.8183333333333332 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6308007965108725,0.697534060700919,8.0,0.4094818489234957,0.5766283178892672,4.0,0.8633333333333333 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,t0-gamma,100,200,0.6357147404476741,0.7029678573721551,9.0,0.41626462395441527,0.5861797550701401,7.0,0.8433333333333333 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6459523544338062,0.7142885223033575,10.0,0.4537854223486236,0.6390161748547858,14.0,0.8475 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,Chronos-2,100,200,0.6508009576690733,0.7196500657924124,11.0,0.46086447015784193,0.6489848204521879,16.0,0.8158333333333333 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.6512654794849763,0.7201637299956334,12.0,0.4173824260556608,0.5877538330105148,8.0,0.8458333333333333 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6585547444537974,0.7282241361037908,13.0,0.43519223894001036,0.6128334365934901,11.0,0.8408333333333333 monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,TiRex-2,100,200,0.6636226359380457,0.7338281666404555,14.0,0.4388710387088308,0.6180138862962624,12.0,0.8425 -monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,0.6792749652689588,0.7511363769312643,15.0,0.4952692575682803,0.697433304173686,19.0,0.8275 -monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,t0-beta,100,200,0.6799017415483061,0.7518294607157211,16.0,0.4821883091431961,0.6790128410772575,18.0,0.8233333333333333 -monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,t0-alpha,100,200,0.689397921201662,0.7623302539794414,17.0,0.4445877114895477,0.6260640487592243,13.0,0.8325 -monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.696013097825998,0.769645259031036,18.0,0.4780770929463273,0.6732234668075264,17.0,0.8441666666666667 -monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,AutoETS,100,200,0.7181370296598111,0.7941097113527033,19.0,0.4561293550472252,0.6423168778597994,14.0,0.8291666666666667 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,t0-beta,100,200,0.6664563801772875,0.7369616964919069,15.0,0.46934650337563477,0.6609291363223904,17.0,0.8416666666666667 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,0.6792749652689588,0.7511363769312643,16.0,0.49526925756828033,0.697433304173686,19.0,0.8275 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,t0-alpha,100,200,0.6794162343673074,0.7512925910774222,17.0,0.4431751417830114,0.6240748819721671,13.0,0.8583333333333333 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6923368870242108,0.7655801369469376,18.0,0.4883813918326195,0.6877338792945548,18.0,0.8533333333333333 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,AutoETS,100,200,0.7181370296598111,0.7941097113527033,19.0,0.45612935504722524,0.6423168778597994,15.0,0.8291666666666667 monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,AutoTheta,100,200,0.7434882352367225,0.8221428550448767,20.0,0.5588912246690583,0.78702513337582,20.0,0.8333333333333333 -monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,Seasonal Naive,100,200,0.9043297410839132,1.0,21.0,0.7101313553631796,1.0,21.0,0.83 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.4737146113554756,0.492293383758489,1.0,0.3514736715631418,0.4384135115224173,9.0,0.8233333333333334 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.4761983257552607,0.4948745077872819,2.0,0.3584894522639218,0.4471647020153519,10.0,0.8325 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.4763054035273976,0.494985785078518,3.0,0.3422837279743335,0.4269503614618628,7.0,0.8516666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,Timestral-209M,100,1200,0.4794143996785653,0.4982167139936533,4.0,0.3188490301886406,0.3977189026672414,2.0,0.8483333333333334 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.4796544291573951,0.4984661572692085,5.0,0.3352032370031528,0.4181184540926064,5.0,0.7983333333333333 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1200,0.4830556964178509,0.5020008199724035,6.0,0.3438848647579098,0.4289475523086011,8.0,0.8108333333333333 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.4869494923292493,0.50604732797308,7.0,0.3145410259006052,0.3923452788644357,1.0,0.8166666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,1200,0.4877945839726602,0.5069255635494123,8.0,0.3664568637954339,0.4571029168800374,13.0,0.8241666666666667 +monthly,card_spend,card_spend,original,6m,6,Seasonal Naive,100,200,0.9043297410839131,1.0,21.0,0.7101313553631796,1.0,21.0,0.83 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.47351684832877405,0.4920878645972399,1.0,0.3431270948685199,0.42800234194147485,8.0,0.8333333333333334 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.4740443761643498,0.49263608172412837,2.0,0.35492648121174525,0.4427204014124351,10.0,0.8325 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.47630540352739764,0.49498578507851804,3.0,0.34228372797433354,0.4269503614618628,7.0,0.8516666666666667 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,Timestral-209M,100,1200,0.47941439967856536,0.4982167139936533,4.0,0.3188490301886406,0.3977189026672414,2.0,0.8483333333333334 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.47965442915739515,0.49846615726920857,5.0,0.33520323700315285,0.41811845409260645,5.0,0.7983333333333333 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1200,0.4830556964178509,0.5020008199724035,6.0,0.34388486475790986,0.4289475523086011,9.0,0.8108333333333333 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.4869494923292493,0.50604732797308,7.0,0.31454102590060523,0.3923452788644357,1.0,0.8166666666666667 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,1200,0.49076455025743676,0.5100120099391441,8.0,0.3628814361061924,0.4526430783906749,13.0,0.8241666666666667 monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1200,0.491063560250675,0.5103227469057063,9.0,0.3203492620169485,0.3995902289063336,3.0,0.795 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,Chronos-2,100,1200,0.4979211264409189,0.5174492622869465,10.0,0.3604444255012745,0.4496032536090128,12.0,0.8125 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.4996836208685747,0.5192808805753575,11.0,0.4019608957982979,0.5013891567976798,15.0,0.835 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,1200,0.5005522851793723,0.5201836133234337,12.0,0.4201486669241914,0.5240758194162666,16.0,0.8491666666666666 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,t0-gamma,100,1200,0.5013720605893536,0.5210355397804769,13.0,0.3597898961053218,0.4487868211018549,11.0,0.8175 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,t0-beta,100,1200,0.5043389313199477,0.5241187692104472,14.0,0.390432135280062,0.4870086646264679,14.0,0.8283333333333334 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.5073944695933986,0.5272941436654099,15.0,0.3308416184077686,0.412677954052249,4.0,0.8125 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,TiRex-2,100,1200,0.5091602419646037,0.5291291684561389,16.0,0.3378954717205126,0.4214766347239777,6.0,0.8166666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.5204314018146367,0.540842375708874,17.0,0.4394170614434148,0.548110406317193,17.0,0.8191666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,t0-alpha,100,1200,0.5285251742164602,0.5492535804881894,18.0,0.4420867587474758,0.5514404747247923,18.0,0.8175 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,t0-gamma,100,1200,0.49596765641270557,0.5154191784617754,10.0,0.3562242430567471,0.4443391750891566,11.0,0.8291666666666667 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.4969370137704828,0.5164265533712508,11.0,0.3984763237648185,0.4970426478413863,16.0,0.8425 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,Chronos-2,100,1200,0.4979211264409189,0.5174492622869465,12.0,0.36044442550127453,0.4496032536090128,12.0,0.8125 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,1200,0.5005522851793723,0.5201836133234337,13.0,0.42014866692419145,0.5240758194162666,18.0,0.8491666666666666 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,t0-beta,100,1200,0.5011552461422802,0.5208102220148034,14.0,0.3845945282535773,0.4797270785435419,14.0,0.8366666666666667 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.5073944695933986,0.5272941436654099,15.0,0.33084161840776866,0.412677954052249,4.0,0.8125 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,TiRex-2,100,1200,0.5091602419646037,0.5291291684561389,16.0,0.33789547172051265,0.4214766347239777,6.0,0.8166666666666667 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.5130709687162848,0.5331932713134079,17.0,0.3934457415512004,0.4907677106505978,15.0,0.8391666666666666 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,t0-alpha,100,1200,0.5172457393516475,0.5375317736800914,18.0,0.40052325150890733,0.49959589962871803,17.0,0.84 monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,AutoETS,100,1200,0.5366194544538209,0.5576653130200145,19.0,0.4638669711072174,0.5786081978144657,19.0,0.8275 monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,AutoTheta,100,1200,0.5492633375931599,0.5708050808576616,20.0,0.5223229786426431,0.6515237690412079,20.0,0.8475 monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1m,1,Seasonal Naive,100,1200,0.9622607716943686,1.0,21.0,0.8016944330539182,1.0,21.0,0.8066666666666666 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5536584797861065,0.5633822416526894,1.0,0.4148453332009043,0.5133356735055207,7.0,0.8741666666666668 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5618415633548277,0.5717090426191597,2.0,0.4073957159366455,0.5041174083120813,5.0,0.8083333333333332 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5618420092926424,0.5717094963888658,3.0,0.4327611314567913,0.5355049439010995,11.0,0.8391666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5619278470464836,0.5717968416891602,4.0,0.4709176771957541,0.5827204108184262,14.0,0.835 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M,100,400,0.5705115745524443,0.5805313229995742,5.0,0.402751498443732,0.4983705857644204,4.0,0.8175 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,Timestral-209M,100,400,0.571338604524229,0.5813728778866195,6.0,0.4022638542664459,0.4977671677381244,3.0,0.855 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5536584797861065,0.5633822416526894,1.0,0.41484533320090433,0.5133356735055207,7.0,0.8741666666666668 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5587346874336713,0.5685476014331164,2.0,0.42243213442450805,0.5227236921336224,8.0,0.8416666666666667 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5592846588349706,0.5691072318410686,3.0,0.462415134188581,0.5721992399342809,13.0,0.85 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5618415633548277,0.5717090426191597,4.0,0.4073957159366455,0.5041174083120813,5.0,0.8083333333333332 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M,100,400,0.5705115745524443,0.5805313229995742,5.0,0.40275149844373204,0.49837058576442045,4.0,0.8175 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,Timestral-209M,100,400,0.571338604524229,0.5813728778866195,6.0,0.40226385426644595,0.49776716773812446,3.0,0.855 monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5755519256854119,0.5856601965266356,7.0,0.3850860683630888,0.4765111246051454,1.0,0.81 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5790333738954256,0.5892027885185672,8.0,0.5219144983734109,0.6458246220768304,16.0,0.85 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.5815616805458174,0.5917754991701468,9.0,0.4691089282063226,0.580482238404799,13.0,0.8233333333333333 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,Chronos-2,100,400,0.5878140056013527,0.5981376322069054,10.0,0.4251018024159835,0.526027178292828,8.0,0.8266666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,t0-gamma,100,400,0.5914389514213926,0.6018262420205808,11.0,0.4266909659013091,0.5279936323969528,9.0,0.83 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.5947847963209711,0.6052308491359184,12.0,0.39731511419641,0.4916435245064302,2.0,0.7816666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,TimesFM-2.5,100,400,0.5965175294544943,0.6069940138170181,13.0,0.5286159091272883,0.6541170456078741,17.0,0.8375 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,t0-beta,100,400,0.5971914952061836,0.6076798162563315,14.0,0.4619293466581884,0.5715981193499645,12.0,0.8491666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6066221913124068,0.6172761412592862,15.0,0.5585704596247499,0.6911832438353539,18.0,0.8375 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5784918486815119,0.5886517526362232,8.0,0.5327547116246834,0.6592384602592418,18.0,0.8575 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.5789106794448249,0.5890779392168017,9.0,0.4475879990742122,0.5538519264153753,12.0,0.8233333333333333 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,t0-gamma,100,400,0.5859829517731793,0.5962744200500147,10.0,0.43360061754526974,0.5365437362464357,11.0,0.845 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,Chronos-2,100,400,0.5878140056013527,0.5981376322069054,11.0,0.42510180241598355,0.526027178292828,9.0,0.8266666666666667 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.5947847963209711,0.6052308491359184,12.0,0.39731511419641,0.49164352450643023,2.0,0.7816666666666667 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,t0-beta,100,400,0.5956202455720124,0.6060809711678623,13.0,0.46282784283112594,0.5727099316355655,14.0,0.8541666666666667 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,TimesFM-2.5,100,400,0.5965175294544943,0.6069940138170181,14.0,0.5286159091272883,0.6541170456078741,17.0,0.8375 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6036208942735419,0.6142221332103631,15.0,0.5092595934618863,0.6301652579331347,16.0,0.8508333333333333 monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6108056065921719,0.62153302878856,16.0,0.4114129481148623,0.5090883900751431,6.0,0.8108333333333333 monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,TiRex-2,100,400,0.6113288509578924,0.6220654627608629,17.0,0.4290400679507151,0.5309004455780499,10.0,0.8158333333333333 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,t0-alpha,100,400,0.6230436944856209,0.633986051080601,18.0,0.5178336744189695,0.6407749509212046,15.0,0.8191666666666667 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,t0-alpha,100,400,0.6113621565404131,0.6220993532807866,18.0,0.4827730909546934,0.5973904729345267,15.0,0.8466666666666667 monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,AutoETS,100,400,0.6434125405239961,0.6547126299373208,19.0,0.6482074862418167,0.8021014095875532,19.0,0.8066666666666668 monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,AutoTheta,100,400,0.6558257987736446,0.6673438990575958,20.0,0.7192021258559738,0.8899512134178535,20.0,0.8191666666666667 monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,3m,3,Seasonal Naive,100,400,0.9827403827318766,1.0,21.0,0.8081365753678579,1.0,21.0,0.805 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6280238727518708,0.6181556480975579,1.0,0.450924771730362,0.5487835302841274,3.0,0.8883333333333333 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6280238727518708,0.6181556480975579,1.0,0.45092477173036205,0.5487835302841274,3.0,0.8883333333333333 monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6462763140914554,0.6361212863402482,2.0,0.455744316423338,0.5546490025686154,6.0,0.8133333333333332 monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,Timestral-209M,100,200,0.6469292709523016,0.6367639832010021,3.0,0.4469912391586803,0.5439963506335361,2.0,0.8608333333333333 monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,Toto-2.0-22M,100,200,0.6472282404106405,0.6370582549115202,4.0,0.454201368565905,0.5527712073678834,5.0,0.83 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6497684253300936,0.6395585255593409,5.0,0.5236110633186958,0.6372440500910977,12.0,0.8491666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6498137264441604,0.639603114850832,6.0,0.4320313598686804,0.5257899093730865,1.0,0.7983333333333333 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6499737644727877,0.639760638180117,7.0,0.4983785145668372,0.606535585952003,10.0,0.8533333333333333 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6474585957005009,0.6372849905973349,5.0,0.4882017817394881,0.594150319677276,9.0,0.8516666666666667 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6482000546751324,0.6380147989261055,6.0,0.5191217953822117,0.631780530539663,13.0,0.8583333333333333 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6498137264441604,0.639603114850832,7.0,0.4320313598686804,0.5257899093730865,1.0,0.7983333333333333 monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,Chronos-2,100,200,0.6648774755986452,0.654430165263052,8.0,0.4522351713433645,0.5503783101028251,4.0,0.8266666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6725500458140233,0.6619821753375718,9.0,0.6192103542360525,0.7535901008103021,18.0,0.8625 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.6757111351999474,0.6650935940954098,10.0,0.5483184197684091,0.6673133457841048,14.0,0.8258333333333333 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,t0-gamma,100,200,0.680597093787205,0.66990277894988,11.0,0.4933699025528553,0.6004400153487095,9.0,0.8441666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6893084142102177,0.6784772172085359,12.0,0.5967590770806918,0.7262664940600531,17.0,0.8491666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,0.6920517676448392,0.6811774639569731,13.0,0.5635934779632995,0.6859033654215712,15.0,0.835 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6985850063111313,0.6876080449542235,14.0,0.489684791302936,0.5959551688997994,8.0,0.83 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,TiRex-2,100,200,0.7022080748410912,0.6911741837148818,15.0,0.502036186752384,0.6109870385677105,11.0,0.8241666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,t0-beta,100,200,0.7025527933846901,0.6915134856490518,16.0,0.5389772023720838,0.655944916766033,13.0,0.8583333333333333 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,t0-alpha,100,200,0.7097182613377407,0.6985663616281634,17.0,0.5769811359767136,0.702196385205437,16.0,0.82 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.6702177037162003,0.659686481648815,9.0,0.5148599665501356,0.6265938084552707,12.0,0.8266666666666667 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6716859727991762,0.6611316796197004,10.0,0.633121766242042,0.7705205385917265,18.0,0.8633333333333333 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,t0-gamma,100,200,0.6717003531381931,0.6611458339984917,11.0,0.48663354525336794,0.5922417477621185,8.0,0.8466666666666667 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,0.6920517676448392,0.6811774639569731,12.0,0.5635934779632995,0.6859033654215712,16.0,0.835 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.695599469374822,0.6846694201664478,13.0,0.5835845673478114,0.7102328795544034,17.0,0.8541666666666667 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6985850063111313,0.6876080449542235,14.0,0.489684791302936,0.5959551688997994,10.0,0.83 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,t0-beta,100,200,0.6989763524967111,0.6879932418638849,15.0,0.5403657632762976,0.6576348202772213,14.0,0.86 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,t0-alpha,100,200,0.700836375373014,0.6898240379473828,16.0,0.5490613158313415,0.6682174636095368,15.0,0.8558333333333333 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,TiRex-2,100,200,0.7022080748410912,0.6911741837148818,17.0,0.502036186752384,0.6109870385677105,11.0,0.8241666666666667 monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,0.7167291409623874,0.7054670783463314,18.0,0.4841401317430278,0.5892072188241501,7.0,0.7583333333333333 monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,AutoETS,100,200,0.7171066438348747,0.7058386494647644,19.0,0.6886773739238443,0.8381327090069954,19.0,0.8316666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,AutoTheta,100,200,0.7444622730206882,0.7327644359231307,20.0,0.8045360328481312,0.9791347737515652,20.0,0.8441666666666667 +monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,AutoTheta,100,200,0.7444622730206882,0.7327644359231307,20.0,0.8045360328481312,0.9791347737515651,20.0,0.8441666666666667 monthly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,6m,6,Seasonal Naive,100,200,1.0159639804063645,1.0,21.0,0.8216805841401619,1.0,21.0,0.8033333333333332 -monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6719573813680858,0.6193378786743655,1.0,0.800376017438496,0.4951984430313159,11.0,0.8266666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1200,0.674471650602671,0.621655261022326,2.0,0.7750230427894471,0.4795123738602263,4.0,0.805 -monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,Timestral-209M,100,1200,0.6767135139200903,0.6237215689605787,3.0,0.7359695097657801,0.4553496699225386,1.0,0.8475 -monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6772229558584957,0.6241911176227236,4.0,0.7799424220143836,0.4825560294418434,6.0,0.8066666666666666 -monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6789823472504792,0.625812734949481,5.0,0.8010760255010846,0.495631543093225,12.0,0.83 +monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6717201308082221,0.6191192066833515,1.0,0.8048155999205931,0.4979452448906214,15.0,0.8291666666666667 +monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6725868728716313,0.6199180760845876,2.0,0.7874434343615774,0.48719696014760944,9.0,0.8383333333333334 +monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1200,0.674471650602671,0.621655261022326,3.0,0.7750230427894471,0.4795123738602263,5.0,0.805 +monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6763861393994134,0.6234198304176443,4.0,0.7663125789598104,0.47412314675629436,4.0,0.81 +monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,Timestral-209M,100,1200,0.6767135139200903,0.6237215689605787,5.0,0.7359695097657801,0.4553496699225386,1.0,0.8475 monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,Chronos-2,100,1200,0.679454818778231,0.6262482082724111,6.0,0.7592672164881809,0.4697641299310428,2.0,0.81 -monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6828651437400926,0.6293914781970146,7.0,0.7644802838921437,0.4729894925176449,3.0,0.7966666666666666 -monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,t0-gamma,100,1200,0.6838161077089896,0.6302679742718004,8.0,0.7888784900847567,0.4880848395246751,7.0,0.8225 -monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6864052142501565,0.6326543335816773,9.0,0.797815282252306,0.4936140976116779,9.0,0.8358333333333333 -monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,1200,0.68720136925718,0.6333881434434604,10.0,0.8144782460495315,0.5039235940844495,16.0,0.8366666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6889129699612732,0.6349657124658474,11.0,0.7927499464487632,0.4904801376369989,8.0,0.8166666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1200,0.6904782870833039,0.6364084530513254,12.0,0.775381538486141,0.4797341777461103,5.0,0.7983333333333333 -monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,t0-beta,100,1200,0.6908272198065946,0.6367300616215043,13.0,0.8012342650898268,0.4957294470736839,13.0,0.8141666666666667 -monthly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1m,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar 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-monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,1m,1,t0-gamma,100,1188,0.2799043910952077,0.5181904355613546,13.0,0.219851219556805,0.5447731211513015,14.0,0.8880471380471381 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,1m,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,1188,0.2827177971889788,0.5233989288023424,14.0,0.2026833058236535,0.5022324522074628,12.0,0.941919191919192 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,1m,1,t0-beta,100,1188,0.2989748258714341,0.5534957655862622,15.0,0.231194350434558,0.5728804603980805,16.0,0.8956228956228957 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,1m,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1188,0.3021920409892006,0.5594518354308504,16.0,0.2371870284634709,0.5877298204355043,17.0,0.8846801346801347 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,1m,1,t0-alpha,100,1188,0.3024902745375598,0.5600039588602778,17.0,0.2308240784099186,0.5719629569748815,15.0,0.8872053872053872 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,1m,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1188,0.3232050176746094,0.5983534171404024,18.0,0.247004777956172,0.6120573908924808,18.0,0.8611111111111112 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,1m,1,AutoETS,100,1188,0.3602566049399022,0.6669474755191112,19.0,0.3109198736449168,0.7704337066447117,19.0,0.9713804713804712 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,1m,1,AutoTheta,100,1188,0.4983170766517622,0.9225405217383836,20.0,0.4577383253874906,1.13423767534518,21.0,0.9124579124579124 +monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,1m,1,Timestral-209M,100,1188,0.23762171166624893,0.43991199203904274,1.0,0.16554320847174225,0.41020236570145585,1.0,0.8973063973063973 +monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,1m,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1188,0.24710833507574614,0.45747469442230687,2.0,0.1801544135104527,0.4464077221637304,3.0,0.9183501683501684 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covariates,100,1188,0.30996085427329784,0.5738343348397713,18.0,0.22596076622430153,0.5599120719998849,16.0,0.8880471380471381 +monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,1m,1,AutoETS,100,1188,0.36025660493990225,0.6669474755191112,19.0,0.3109198736449168,0.7704337066447117,19.0,0.9713804713804713 +monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,1m,1,AutoTheta,100,1188,0.4983170766517622,0.9225405217383837,20.0,0.4577383253874906,1.13423767534518,21.0,0.9124579124579124 monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,1m,1,Seasonal Naive,100,1188,0.5401573859463229,1.0,21.0,0.4035647336861634,1.0,20.0,0.9242424242424242 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0,100,397,0.2808695013798677,0.5086722425002685,1.0,0.2005575666550626,0.4928609475258232,7.0,0.9311502938706968 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,Timestral-209M,100,397,0.2819596049400997,0.510646488261437,2.0,0.195654251670051,0.480811277648811,3.0,0.9160369437447524 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,397,0.2820217575673738,0.5107590505586516,3.0,0.1988633921262779,0.4886975919493813,6.0,0.924433249370277 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,397,0.2963117748632385,0.5366391660839896,4.0,0.1912799574415657,0.4700616518223472,1.0,0.834592779177162 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,Chronos-2,100,397,0.2993564230492532,0.5421532144687228,5.0,0.2167498721403364,0.5326527896248318,9.0,0.8942065491183879 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,397,0.2996084315695072,0.5426096176684189,6.0,0.2214324476325954,0.5441600024040196,10.0,0.9235936188077246 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M,100,397,0.3010633764495363,0.5452446138898054,7.0,0.193701155219789,0.4760116334212709,2.0,0.8413098236775819 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,t0-gamma,100,397,0.3019197650136983,0.5467955871682986,8.0,0.2249706304887505,0.5528549231895485,11.0,0.9445843828715366 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,397,0.3053248845465593,0.5529624717187833,9.0,0.2373329043331385,0.5832346396078171,14.0,0.9504617968094038 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,TiRex-2,100,397,0.3095833022275038,0.5606747326108593,10.0,0.1962289544925422,0.4822235832644148,4.0,0.8858102434928632 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,397,0.3140485680570084,0.5687616084435685,11.0,0.2106821968932391,0.5177417582364886,8.0,0.8253568429890848 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,397,0.3160844688468118,0.5724487521710633,12.0,0.1964094949862972,0.4826672531807531,5.0,0.8639798488664987 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,397,0.3183866781386377,0.5766181972600628,13.0,0.2291764801568544,0.5631906042966993,13.0,0.8900083963056254 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,TimesFM-2.5,100,397,0.3222690848545604,0.5836494787654746,14.0,0.2271941959157938,0.558319232422733,12.0,0.9336691855583544 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,397,0.3309434042092217,0.5993592139151498,15.0,0.2550164719493801,0.6266911894470341,16.0,0.9353484466834592 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,t0-beta,100,397,0.3320735352800694,0.601405952002778,16.0,0.2493393160622548,0.6127398413306464,15.0,0.9387069689336692 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,t0-alpha,100,397,0.3445528194057912,0.6240067164497645,17.0,0.2680383392846868,0.6586918263737526,18.0,0.9185558354324098 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,397,0.345034559830332,0.624879178503673,18.0,0.2590591113168588,0.636625788786223,17.0,0.9378673383711168 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,AutoETS,100,397,0.453960083067933,0.8221501171373724,19.0,0.3890043143373706,0.9559601173547144,19.0,0.9672544080604534 -monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,Seasonal Naive,100,397,0.5521620365980939,1.0,20.0,0.4069252548043574,1.0,20.0,0.9240134340890008 +monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,Timestral-209M,100,397,0.2819596049400997,0.510646488261437,1.0,0.19565425167005107,0.48081127764881104,3.0,0.9160369437447523 +monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0,100,397,0.28281189714796423,0.5121900427823446,2.0,0.20372231562613974,0.500638171804023,7.0,0.9353484466834592 +monthly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,397,0.28440818197382056,0.5150810144900178,3.0,0.20205059285119356,0.4965299903746106,6.0,0.927791771620487 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Naive,100,1196,0.4743195483854388,1.0,20.0,0.3757544939271813,1.0,19.0,0.9364548494983278 monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,1m,1,AutoTheta,100,1196,0.5198531827403298,1.0959978025571269,21.0,0.5093691111055865,1.3555902040769705,21.0,0.8963210702341137 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,399,0.269661997936475,0.5683290598449974,1.0,0.2075349824636177,0.5478455720083922,5.0,0.8930659983291562 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,Timestral-209M,100,399,0.2751912399777304,0.5799822737016357,2.0,0.1981749406363863,0.5231371714872368,2.0,0.8713450292397661 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,399,0.2752607123276075,0.5801286909038852,3.0,0.2069097833806888,0.5461951873593063,4.0,0.9064327485380116 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,Chronos-2,100,399,0.2851461332221989,0.6009628166100913,4.0,0.228940209515421,0.6043505463455281,10.0,0.8654970760233918 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,399,0.2892090243522897,0.6095256067469538,5.0,0.2122978227907691,0.5604183968518873,6.0,0.8086883876357561 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,399,0.2895953634447855,0.6103398398791701,6.0,0.1893185625889201,0.499758329810811,1.0,0.7928153717627401 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0,100,399,0.289943879217458,0.6110743580646758,7.0,0.2452929968056583,0.6475182186126467,12.0,0.8880534670008354 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M,100,399,0.2910047739459852,0.6133102582221774,8.0,0.2139753377480529,0.5648466582004862,7.0,0.8170426065162907 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,399,0.2917809778148846,0.6149461550798561,9.0,0.2230138141161237,0.5887061983954418,9.0,0.8863826232247285 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,t0-gamma,100,399,0.297591605907384,0.6271924071516702,10.0,0.222813056296919,0.5881762430067562,8.0,0.8897243107769424 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,t0-beta,100,399,0.2988468155240098,0.6298378377528832,11.0,0.2479847531891699,0.6546238487002906,13.0,0.9014202172096908 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,399,0.3048779773318891,0.6425488780413725,12.0,0.2721472261798847,0.7184073307889359,15.0,0.9030910609857978 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,399,0.3075446349474527,0.648169021135984,13.0,0.2865254581597978,0.7563626221330628,16.0,0.921470342522974 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,TiRex-2,100,399,0.3088122890438891,0.6508406792351946,14.0,0.2439375069422215,0.6439400309222111,11.0,0.8187134502923977 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,399,0.3158583843535117,0.665690753600658,15.0,0.2000348174213298,0.5280468269535922,3.0,0.8696741854636592 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,399,0.3194113833317007,0.6731789150188646,16.0,0.2502456878044494,0.6605922064339007,14.0,0.7827903091060985 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,t0-alpha,100,399,0.325239526740776,0.6854620816855368,17.0,0.30183810187855,0.7967845498364133,17.0,0.8930659983291562 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,399,0.26627824359080715,0.5611975917822528,1.0,0.19983764178819383,0.5275263277286462,3.0,0.9047619047619048 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+monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,399,0.28959320250195847,0.6103352855607468,7.0,0.23025936707192018,0.6078328249355301,9.0,0.8830409356725146 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,399,0.2895953634447855,0.6103398398791701,8.0,0.1893185625889201,0.499758329810811,1.0,0.7928153717627401 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M,100,399,0.29100477394598523,0.6133102582221774,9.0,0.21397533774805294,0.5648466582004862,7.0,0.8170426065162907 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,t0-gamma,100,399,0.29614571797974254,0.6241451104141029,10.0,0.24040778752368835,0.6346223673123449,11.0,0.8922305764411027 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,t0-beta,100,399,0.3036262294400371,0.6399107432356415,11.0,0.27046233813848886,0.713959606160292,14.0,0.9005847953216374 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Naive,100,399,0.47448215653449255,1.0,20.0,0.378820224288385,1.0,19.0,0.9398496240601504 monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,3m,3,AutoTheta,100,399,0.6023401287273991,1.2694684519366364,21.0,0.60022490221893,1.5844584415904783,21.0,0.8880534670008354 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.2930512473908452,0.6159233981273015,1.0,0.2201918208169822,0.5760828487853897,6.0,0.895 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.2999964200642007,0.6305204844445925,2.0,0.2064491570137532,0.5401282302882553,2.0,0.905 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,Timestral-209M,100,200,0.3065839429900387,0.6443658768182762,3.0,0.214237127591244,0.5605037204399389,5.0,0.8591666666666667 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.2932036351586407,0.616243680646517,1.0,0.21221401581217492,0.5552106991425395,5.0,0.8958333333333333 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.29999642006420074,0.6305204844445925,2.0,0.20644915701375327,0.5401282302882553,2.0,0.905 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,Timestral-209M,100,200,0.30658394299003877,0.6443658768182762,3.0,0.21423712759124405,0.5605037204399389,6.0,0.8591666666666667 monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,Chronos-2,100,200,0.3123270297506455,0.6564364670130863,4.0,0.2546185350216798,0.6661526775364178,11.0,0.855 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.3187561578346731,0.6699489514395002,5.0,0.211051633498964,0.5521695847546947,4.0,0.8033333333333332 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,Toto-2.0-22M,100,200,0.3189399529619723,0.6703352446915277,6.0,0.2097467786027781,0.5487557225909809,3.0,0.8175 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.3191982635673193,0.670878151596836,7.0,0.1976381781782714,0.5170762669169587,1.0,0.775 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.3224597468790567,0.6777330068557237,8.0,0.2605030596826188,0.6815482254629655,12.0,0.8858333333333333 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,t0-beta,100,200,0.3284291201390912,0.6902791969700661,9.0,0.2607029521513519,0.6820711995789487,13.0,0.8991666666666667 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.3331573303261319,0.700216760148489,10.0,0.2529277465334492,0.6617291061004786,9.0,0.8883333333333333 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.31875615783467315,0.6699489514395002,5.0,0.21105163349896405,0.5521695847546947,4.0,0.8033333333333332 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,Toto-2.0-22M,100,200,0.3189399529619723,0.6703352446915277,6.0,0.20974677860277816,0.5487557225909809,3.0,0.8175 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.31919826356731934,0.670878151596836,7.0,0.1976381781782714,0.5170762669169587,1.0,0.775 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.32097152129447737,0.6746051138083634,8.0,0.26118323116458025,0.6833277426291212,12.0,0.8925 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.3236525290458622,0.680239948736864,9.0,0.2453912225923445,0.6420114700601302,8.0,0.8875 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calendar covariates,100,200,0.3459422748546693,0.7270876455277397,15.0,0.2921214236369703,0.7642706313778325,15.0,0.9075 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,t0-alpha,100,200,0.3513317221277979,0.7384149703831977,16.0,0.3020919546299012,0.7903563046648743,17.0,0.8991666666666667 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,0.3545820056948057,0.7452462864662813,17.0,0.2222807401156052,0.5815480407982836,7.0,0.8591666666666667 -monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,0.3737926328752693,0.7856224148004733,18.0,0.3357338002878581,0.8783726997022849,18.0,0.8916666666666667 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,t0-beta,100,200,0.33446131720791944,0.7029574276545817,12.0,0.27784592001054764,0.726921956179805,14.0,0.905 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.342867314825579,0.7206248174487417,13.0,0.26146419506066704,0.6840628220751377,13.0,0.815 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.3446460965644492,0.724363389807284,14.0,0.2915189426919794,0.7626943741951565,16.0,0.9266666666666667 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,t0-alpha,100,200,0.346517766285886,0.7282971904147313,15.0,0.29993282451543024,0.7847074216926199,17.0,0.9075 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.34679798536920126,0.7288861436833228,16.0,0.2909376713438494,0.7611736071979737,15.0,0.9066666666666667 +monthly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,6m,6,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,0.35458200569480575,0.7452462864662813,17.0,0.22228074011560522,0.5815480407982836,7.0,0.8591666666666667 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Naive,100,1200,0.7029398818583429,1.0,21.0,0.4742765145205276,1.0,21.0,0.9191666666666668 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.3531763827419815,0.4850489001212627,1.0,0.2099435581978777,0.4400337168046038,3.0,0.9258333333333332 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.3591130128416137,0.4932022083291818,2.0,0.2005182806773062,0.4202786934312128,2.0,0.8216666666666668 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,Timestral-209M,100,400,0.3623480664156686,0.4976451984457521,3.0,0.1995085076136696,0.4181622474771892,1.0,0.91 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,Chronos-2,100,400,0.3705326045217117,0.5088857609531184,4.0,0.2407007972173047,0.5044997205274218,9.0,0.88 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.3722947686002248,0.5113058994161721,5.0,0.2140919803440273,0.4487286519172315,4.0,0.9125 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.3822592619405208,0.5249910345813601,6.0,0.2370785515841208,0.4969076313829345,6.0,0.8966666666666667 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.3844666134482971,0.5280225889925454,7.0,0.243374290774275,0.5101032613877611,11.0,0.9025 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.3851305629978395,0.5289344506415073,8.0,0.229745383060375,0.4815375889336348,5.0,0.8075 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M,100,400,0.3874317498460338,0.5320948775676352,9.0,0.2372545044149004,0.4972764218272559,7.0,0.8266666666666667 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,t0-gamma,100,400,0.3911625419948509,0.5372187100683117,10.0,0.2418426404662665,0.5068929805691295,10.0,0.88 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.4008932273426215,0.550582735682704,11.0,0.3018690185236418,0.6327059870249386,17.0,0.8941666666666667 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.4014231122087463,0.5513104742407278,12.0,0.2384167570576134,0.4997124591823862,8.0,0.8841666666666668 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.4095961397857079,0.5625352283029555,13.0,0.2506013497372346,0.5252509022314954,12.0,0.9275 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,t0-beta,100,400,0.415509355509065,0.5706563794414493,14.0,0.2538682022302332,0.5320981008647189,13.0,0.8983333333333333 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,TiRex-2,100,400,0.4252803358216533,0.5840757457561837,15.0,0.2613039013988487,0.547683043647878,14.0,0.8225 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.4270586762396827,0.5865181006416079,16.0,0.2666521830740491,0.5588928387197433,15.0,0.7991666666666667 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,TimesFM-2.5,100,400,0.4297548423626254,0.5902209881402688,17.0,0.3113378615733495,0.6525523220912196,18.0,0.8791666666666668 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,t0-alpha,100,400,0.4362787572879748,0.599180867434738,18.0,0.2875877974708166,0.6027730906106568,16.0,0.8808333333333332 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,AutoETS,100,400,0.4845364513931302,0.6654575002785443,19.0,0.4731665683700171,0.9917391394847906,19.0,0.945 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,AutoTheta,100,400,0.5777023419103684,0.7934105994449138,20.0,0.4788049960670981,1.0035570695883762,21.0,0.88 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1m,1,Seasonal Naive,100,1200,0.7029398818583429,1.0,21.0,0.4742765145205276,1.0,21.0,0.9191666666666667 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.35317638274198154,0.4850489001212627,1.0,0.20994355819787777,0.44003371680460385,3.0,0.9258333333333333 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.35911301284161373,0.4932022083291818,2.0,0.20051828067730626,0.4202786934312128,2.0,0.8216666666666668 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,Timestral-209M,100,400,0.36234806641566863,0.49764519844575217,3.0,0.1995085076136696,0.4181622474771892,1.0,0.91 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.3657932585771689,0.5023767907896913,4.0,0.21333416668044916,0.44714030328728543,4.0,0.9275 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,Chronos-2,100,400,0.3705326045217117,0.5088857609531184,5.0,0.2407007972173047,0.5044997205274218,9.0,0.88 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.3772083597469569,0.5180541761918281,6.0,0.23779945697371077,0.4984186216736998,7.0,0.8975 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.37910899950085913,0.5206644957579316,7.0,0.2439076301381074,0.5112211204190162,10.0,0.9258333333333333 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,t0-gamma,100,400,0.3801490685724147,0.5220929161842678,8.0,0.2458092371661294,0.5152068164585851,11.0,0.895 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.3851305629978395,0.5289344506415073,9.0,0.22974538306037504,0.4815375889336348,5.0,0.8075 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M,100,400,0.38743174984603385,0.5320948775676352,10.0,0.2372545044149004,0.4972764218272559,6.0,0.8266666666666667 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.3972846609914643,0.5456267668660627,11.0,0.29952593271648464,0.6277949682474838,17.0,0.9008333333333333 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.4014231122087463,0.5513104742407278,12.0,0.23841675705761345,0.4997124591823862,8.0,0.8841666666666668 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,t0-beta,100,400,0.406754534103961,0.5586325955736413,13.0,0.2652482928352911,0.5559503381493559,14.0,0.9041666666666667 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.41008053688494256,0.563200494418378,14.0,0.26071530243888047,0.5464493626038613,12.0,0.9158333333333333 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,t0-alpha,100,400,0.41458273090499426,0.5693837625084021,15.0,0.2879112661523029,0.6034510686701224,16.0,0.8825 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,TiRex-2,100,400,0.42528033582165337,0.5840757457561837,16.0,0.2613039013988487,0.547683043647878,13.0,0.8225 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.42705867623968274,0.5865181006416079,17.0,0.26665218307404914,0.5588928387197433,15.0,0.7991666666666667 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,TimesFM-2.5,100,400,0.42975484236262546,0.5902209881402688,18.0,0.31133786157334953,0.6525523220912196,18.0,0.8791666666666668 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,AutoETS,100,400,0.4845364513931302,0.6654575002785443,19.0,0.47316656837001714,0.9917391394847906,19.0,0.945 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,AutoTheta,100,400,0.5777023419103684,0.7934105994449138,20.0,0.47880499606709814,1.0035570695883762,21.0,0.88 monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,3m,3,Seasonal Naive,100,400,0.7281253140738739,1.0,21.0,0.4771078901008461,1.0,20.0,0.92 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.4028963849298677,0.5230396787558842,1.0,0.2300460344777092,0.477973692980936,1.0,0.8125 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.40289638492986773,0.5230396787558842,1.0,0.2300460344777092,0.47797369298093606,1.0,0.8125 monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.4223093667642045,0.5482415921066153,2.0,0.2662056321138201,0.5531035966894539,6.0,0.9316666666666668 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,Chronos-2,100,200,0.4230815822585603,0.5492440814790838,3.0,0.2835903741860482,0.5892244078507917,9.0,0.8916666666666667 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.425071036594959,0.5518267890831507,4.0,0.2363990586744073,0.4911735659706497,2.0,0.9283333333333332 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,Timestral-209M,100,200,0.4384743387369879,0.5692269423455215,5.0,0.2455408821899274,0.5101678127361445,3.0,0.9016666666666668 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,Chronos-2,100,200,0.42308158225856035,0.5492440814790838,3.0,0.28359037418604827,0.5892244078507917,9.0,0.8916666666666667 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.4257765935670935,0.552742742429601,4.0,0.24278681991467618,0.5044456131799122,2.0,0.9333333333333332 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,Timestral-209M,100,200,0.4384743387369879,0.5692269423455215,5.0,0.24554088218992748,0.5101678127361445,3.0,0.9016666666666667 monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,Toto-2.0-22M,100,200,0.441442502473262,0.5730802095010109,6.0,0.2606390891202101,0.5415378197881757,5.0,0.8375 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.4459246764742813,0.5788989632484024,7.0,0.2595975549568691,0.5393737923510231,4.0,0.8241666666666667 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.4494741585815731,0.5835068973242339,8.0,0.2904319228786645,0.6034393031509563,12.0,0.9091666666666668 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.463187031288295,0.6013089347800742,9.0,0.2782903786907077,0.5782124448519872,7.0,0.9133333333333332 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.4678321219784834,0.6073391868082998,10.0,0.343659583613439,0.7140320444164082,17.0,0.9166666666666669 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,t0-gamma,100,200,0.4712503845223114,0.6117767717797764,11.0,0.2784943840853374,0.5786363131098364,8.0,0.8891666666666667 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,TiRex-2,100,200,0.4852937837854895,0.6300078984763634,12.0,0.3084086167536908,0.6407900307066041,15.0,0.8533333333333333 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,0.4875628314113848,0.6329535738056089,13.0,0.2938587684623875,0.6105593651969996,13.0,0.8708333333333332 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.4886759356124465,0.6343986045517807,14.0,0.3217807517100888,0.6685737251426339,16.0,0.8283333333333333 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,t0-beta,100,200,0.4950099551584209,0.6426214223095936,15.0,0.2899608157650736,0.6024604694693243,11.0,0.9108333333333332 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.5088709334514135,0.66061573028749,16.0,0.2874968811277466,0.597341076994072,10.0,0.9408333333333332 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,0.50964033413164,0.6616145654711074,17.0,0.3697564597837199,0.7682543234776193,18.0,0.8783333333333333 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,t0-alpha,100,200,0.5165654388418336,0.6706047293903021,18.0,0.3050581453443099,0.6338286536222102,14.0,0.9025 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,AutoETS,100,200,0.5346696786848412,0.6941076352137299,19.0,0.5505000247145121,1.143790765166995,20.0,0.9658333333333332 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.4419708059293896,0.5737660525125503,7.0,0.29305260352615686,0.6088843716132295,11.0,0.9266666666666667 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.4459246764742813,0.5788989632484024,8.0,0.2595975549568691,0.5393737923510231,4.0,0.8241666666666667 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.4470918102944685,0.5804141351913874,9.0,0.2739385835905825,0.5691705868611477,7.0,0.9225 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,t0-gamma,100,200,0.4520896527321042,0.5869023291807888,10.0,0.27830258657961376,0.5782378095567393,8.0,0.9033333333333333 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.467956797361488,0.607501040264212,11.0,0.3423219802450889,0.7112528649223319,17.0,0.9208333333333333 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,t0-alpha,100,200,0.478411790457129,0.6210737017093897,12.0,0.31388003694892,0.6521581680557293,15.0,0.9141666666666667 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,t0-beta,100,200,0.47994843552586386,0.6230685727809006,13.0,0.3037339034281432,0.6310772356266451,13.0,0.9125 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,TiRex-2,100,200,0.48529378378548954,0.6300078984763634,14.0,0.3084086167536908,0.6407900307066041,14.0,0.8533333333333333 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,0.48756283141138484,0.6329535738056089,15.0,0.29385876846238757,0.6105593651969996,12.0,0.8708333333333332 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.48867593561244654,0.6343986045517807,16.0,0.32178075171008885,0.6685737251426339,16.0,0.8283333333333333 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.5069902738634137,0.6581742599155782,17.0,0.2902904966211046,0.6031454574832235,10.0,0.925 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,0.50964033413164,0.6616145654711074,18.0,0.3697564597837199,0.7682543234776193,18.0,0.8783333333333333 +monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,AutoETS,100,200,0.5346696786848412,0.6941076352137299,19.0,0.5505000247145121,1.143790765166995,20.0,0.9658333333333333 monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,AutoTheta,100,200,0.5619058358936296,0.729465586910192,20.0,0.5564364498935475,1.156125057615768,21.0,0.9575 -monthly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,6m,6,Seasonal Naive,100,200,0.770297935881667,1.0,21.0,0.4812943428810936,1.0,19.0,0.9166666666666669 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covariates,100,400,0.9425907411699133,0.6367759549523052,6.0,4.751751295262475,0.464015051244491,17.0,0.635 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,3m,3,TiRex-2,100,400,0.94592685436699,0.6390296972967938,7.0,4.524627827591966,0.4418361321594305,4.0,0.6758333333333333 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,3m,3,TimesFM-2.5,100,400,0.946130824157649,0.6391674909887488,8.0,4.576254931080871,0.44687758984154713,12.0,0.6733333333333333 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,3m,3,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.9465487909617566,0.6394498523564125,9.0,4.547745703581857,0.4440936245544571,8.0,0.6733333333333333 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,3m,3,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.946944126134979,0.6397169247150297,10.0,4.513547429530477,0.44075411604477455,3.0,0.7058333333333333 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.9544485080777274,0.6447865798359673,11.0,4.543705429485039,0.4436990862304615,6.0,0.6725 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,3m,3,t0-alpha,100,400,0.9553252184830353,0.6453788497163861,12.0,4.668351070595456,0.4558709045671907,16.0,0.6616666666666667 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,3m,3,Chronos-2,100,400,0.9554406720907527,0.6454568454764714,13.0,4.785023406670228,0.46726411869784723,18.0,0.6316666666666666 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,3m,3,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.9575333252550725,0.6468705568136311,14.0,4.549937654444618,0.44430767157180073,9.0,0.6191666666666666 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,3m,3,Toto-2.0-22M,100,400,0.958272717142805,0.6473700598904495,15.0,4.611689844880692,0.45033785792398257,14.0,0.7058333333333333 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,3m,3,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.9657127034841406,0.6523962119630403,16.0,4.6240724054486595,0.45154703199885726,15.0,0.7083333333333333 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,3m,3,Timestral-209M,100,400,0.9658904541656699,0.652516293091605,17.0,4.60081783835407,0.44927619152940285,13.0,0.6833333333333332 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,3m,3,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.9765476720303349,0.6597158758866618,18.0,4.57408128672444,0.44666533047973206,11.0,0.6158333333333332 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,3m,3,AutoETS,100,400,1.0048824068486675,0.6788576699168788,19.0,5.217337519307294,0.5094801865566605,19.0,0.7741666666666667 monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,3m,3,AutoTheta,100,400,1.0192488896318712,0.6885630811775771,20.0,5.299611372894173,0.5175143415483705,20.0,0.7575 monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,3m,3,Seasonal Naive,100,400,1.480254921435458,1.0,21.0,10.240511126779728,1.0,21.0,0.6725 -monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,t0-beta,100,200,1.0959066813631286,0.7126621071171177,1.0,5.117937558141538,0.4911178411133932,1.0,0.6825 -monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,t0-gamma,100,200,1.1056749895314153,0.7190143843689742,2.0,5.203470147213588,0.4993255576032283,5.0,0.6791666666666667 -monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,1.1064009403497943,0.7194864662064954,3.0,5.176730887819243,0.4967596553823558,4.0,0.6408333333333333 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,t0-beta,100,200,1.0964521499241402,0.7130168223320785,1.0,5.161572135937987,0.49530501991380593,1.0,0.6825 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,t0-gamma,100,200,1.1053937773023577,0.7188315135980268,2.0,5.2399789408687445,0.5028289453874445,8.0,0.6833333333333332 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covariates,100,200,1.1238678331352634,0.7308450908311739,8.0,5.341765027182989,0.512596349228961,11.0,0.6433333333333333 -monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.1303640415743847,0.7350695395668434,9.0,5.301191074206335,0.5087028683169807,10.0,0.6816666666666668 -monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.132419113520006,0.7364059415871522,10.0,5.227410382402891,0.5016228651589278,6.0,0.6616666666666667 -monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.1345800274450202,0.7378111720664334,11.0,5.834710603812541,0.5598994600290492,17.0,0.6125 -monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,1.135429322394913,0.7383634639165039,12.0,5.5336422684881565,0.5310089100384772,15.0,0.5825 -monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.1367030956098418,0.7391917916553323,13.0,5.271626801011234,0.5058658774665225,8.0,0.5975 -monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,1.1411585931466657,0.7420891772784388,14.0,5.292345131666471,0.5078540107149805,9.0,0.665 -monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.147387626938038,0.7461398838053317,15.0,5.344730986731714,0.5128809630277524,12.0,0.7083333333333333 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.1112200182162364,0.7226202861248009,5.0,5.164720003894886,0.49560708966310235,2.0,0.6666666666666667 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.1151617691495492,0.7251835851480092,6.0,5.207584829202506,0.4997204029315092,5.0,0.6816666666666668 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.1216645198885242,0.7294122883054086,7.0,5.256112803234005,0.504377152563408,9.0,0.6691666666666667 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,t0-alpha,100,200,1.122791287930296,0.7301450193860171,8.0,5.518342706240784,0.5295407623919791,14.0,0.6508333333333333 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.1238678331352634,0.7308450908311739,9.0,5.341765027182989,0.512596349228961,11.0,0.6433333333333333 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,1.1295262134352355,0.7345247045209384,10.0,5.233224815298708,0.5021808187679065,7.0,0.6708333333333333 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.1330086986353451,0.7367893455555449,11.0,5.231613230643622,0.5020261709302598,6.0,0.6616666666666667 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.1345800274450202,0.7378111720664334,12.0,5.834710603812541,0.5598994600290492,17.0,0.6125 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,1.135429322394913,0.7383634639165039,13.0,5.5336422684881565,0.5310089100384772,15.0,0.5825 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.1374439881922926,0.7396735900401182,14.0,5.271769617035916,0.5058795821076834,10.0,0.6025 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.1473876269380379,0.7461398838053317,15.0,5.344730986731714,0.5128809630277524,12.0,0.7083333333333333 monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,Timestral-209M,100,200,1.1488884117199227,0.7471158359216716,16.0,5.368604979916053,0.5151719139934976,13.0,0.6916666666666668 -monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,Chronos-2,100,200,1.1580179863909583,0.7530527482818105,17.0,5.842280288281792,0.5606258477686836,18.0,0.6208333333333333 +monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,Chronos-2,100,200,1.1580179863909585,0.7530527482818105,17.0,5.842280288281792,0.5606258477686836,18.0,0.6208333333333333 monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,Toto-2.0-22M,100,200,1.159096577108567,0.7537541499126242,18.0,5.625020275138852,0.5397775534308031,16.0,0.6658333333333333 monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,AutoETS,100,200,1.1845608727136208,0.7703134417490225,19.0,6.07630215493822,0.583082611380971,19.0,0.7758333333333333 monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,AutoTheta,100,200,1.2172661405426717,0.7915814981275912,20.0,6.144883494416132,0.5896636841280343,20.0,0.7508333333333332 monthly,job_openings__company,job_openings,company,6m,6,Seasonal Naive,100,200,1.537764770174639,1.0,21.0,10.42099701883945,1.0,21.0,0.6675 -monthly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1m,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6311242259761393,0.4290487361677624,1.0,1.727052016365634,0.2185896323101186,3.0,0.7583333333333333 -monthly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1m,1,TiRex-2,100,1200,0.6357995311162428,0.4322270862912385,2.0,1.7630067876672406,0.2231403581505317,7.0,0.7583333333333333 -monthly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1m,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6416130234296922,0.4361791949683356,3.0,1.792634548451508,0.2268902865109026,10.0,0.7533333333333333 -monthly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1m,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6467580044092055,0.4396768385320146,4.0,1.708261035216865,0.2162112941818325,1.0,0.7483333333333333 -monthly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1m,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6478071284262057,0.4403900504719952,5.0,1.8295110338327527,0.2315576719190958,13.0,0.7525 +monthly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1m,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6309158737901398,0.4289070948895456,1.0,1.727286097788287,0.21861925954289652,3.0,0.7583333333333333 +monthly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1m,1,TiRex-2,100,1200,0.6357995311162428,0.43222708629123857,2.0,1.7630067876672406,0.22314035815053174,7.0,0.7583333333333333 +monthly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1m,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6409599601685729,0.4357352317115181,3.0,1.8045057664594872,0.22839280360642014,11.0,0.7641666666666667 +monthly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1m,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6416130234296922,0.4361791949683356,4.0,1.792634548451508,0.2268902865109026,10.0,0.7533333333333333 +monthly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1m,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6468059895483373,0.4397094596269624,5.0,1.7084263226611627,0.21623221429386863,1.0,0.7483333333333333 monthly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1m,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1200,0.6488604841428266,0.4411061391916959,6.0,1.9334813064886032,0.2447169881734209,16.0,0.71 -monthly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1m,1,t0-gamma,100,1200,0.6518220751224706,0.4431194779522177,7.0,1.727355863487835,0.2186280896525096,4.0,0.7633333333333333 -monthly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1m,1,t0-beta,100,1200,0.6518835104434744,0.4431612427043027,8.0,1.7109781453473227,0.2165551935541356,2.0,0.76 -monthly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1m,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1200,0.6524046734210965,0.4435155379566207,9.0,1.7549060211422856,0.222115059804367,6.0,0.7958333333333333 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-weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.6571985591266459,0.575540531365487,5.0,1.3987370803246746,0.6632081464225573,1.0,0.8151923076923077 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.6574560244358414,0.5757660061764169,6.0,1.444833989305429,0.6850648956222276,5.0,0.8148076923076923 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1300,0.6581744363630823,0.5763951542118189,7.0,1.4258266995290825,0.67605263048791,4.0,0.8015384615384615 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.6568619152961906,0.5752457160979084,5.0,1.4470835701684275,0.6861315294988605,6.0,0.8151923076923077 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.6571985591266459,0.575540531365487,6.0,1.3987370803246746,0.6632081464225573,2.0,0.8151923076923077 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covariates,100,1300,0.6695139034428451,0.5863256734100974,10.0,1.5182242214497752,0.7198627146767386,15.0,0.7798076923076923 weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,4w,4,Chronos-2,100,1300,0.6699112173626242,0.5866736204062266,11.0,1.4829823613979012,0.7031528633327954,10.0,0.745576923076923 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1300,0.6707490864203386,0.5874073828224627,12.0,1.5115459229425332,0.7166962139550902,12.0,0.7971153846153847 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1300,0.6741694463544639,0.5904027572745365,13.0,1.5133691814836268,0.7175607080294212,13.0,0.8061538461538461 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1300,0.6742857935961444,0.5905046481754976,14.0,1.5107389710164996,0.716313599453305,11.0,0.7961538461538461 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,4w,4,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.6772218754917972,0.5930759169509531,15.0,1.6287674614573615,0.7722765516559926,17.0,0.7936538461538462 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weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,4w,4,AutoTheta,100,1300,0.7586270132559332,0.6643663292533069,19.0,1.735887178437267,0.8230671326328418,19.0,0.8434615384615385 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,4w,4,AutoETS,100,1300,0.767062179690082,0.6717534120523286,20.0,2.1710821683477404,1.0294138911844295,21.0,0.8842307692307693 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,4w,4,AutoETS,100,1300,0.767062179690082,0.6717534120523286,20.0,2.1710821683477404,1.0294138911844297,21.0,0.8842307692307693 weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,4w,4,Seasonal Naive,100,1300,1.1418805858336734,1.0,21.0,2.109046892547489,1.0,20.0,0.7530769230769231 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.7833694788230124,0.6732152364275471,1.0,1.631207848038562,0.7712449332676141,1.0,0.7846153846153847 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.7833973054107005,0.6732391501532102,1.0,1.6261602106677773,0.7688583797993537,1.0,0.7898076923076922 weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.7859891485692987,0.6754665388273521,2.0,1.6792769072670903,0.7939722751091346,6.0,0.8086538461538462 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.7912654992859519,0.6800009504826584,3.0,1.6682004261728327,0.7887352478764291,3.0,0.7936538461538462 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.7908652933440699,0.679657019878943,3.0,1.6713691634215853,0.7902334460066646,4.0,0.8007692307692308 weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,TimesFM-2.5,100,400,0.7954060163322886,0.6835592447966901,4.0,1.673145047196547,0.7910730945929305,5.0,0.7913461538461539 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.7967374061530675,0.6847034199748188,5.0,1.6711012636332443,0.7901067813669439,4.0,0.7042307692307692 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.7967374061530675,0.6847034199748188,5.0,1.6711012636332443,0.7901067813669439,3.0,0.7042307692307692 weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,Timestral-209M,100,400,0.7984550163073996,0.6861795067479164,6.0,1.6667842573549128,0.7880656746967846,2.0,0.7986538461538462 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.8079436578882191,0.6943338939916028,7.0,1.7382038979985803,0.8218333126151869,8.0,0.7901923076923077 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.8097282606374903,0.6958675531323507,8.0,1.7378050597825847,0.8216447394951826,7.0,0.7765384615384616 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,Chronos-2,100,400,0.8133903544699956,0.6990146981666123,9.0,1.808000173019303,0.854833413451762,13.0,0.7280769230769231 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M,100,400,0.8134217921307695,0.6990417151908936,10.0,1.7964992173703445,0.8493956920831084,12.0,0.7809615384615385 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.8143007194754829,0.69979705133325,11.0,1.7518802501472626,0.8282995746019337,9.0,0.7709615384615386 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,t0-alpha,100,400,0.8164510928275369,0.7016450478964881,12.0,1.7527309941850584,0.8287018115268275,10.0,0.785 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.8065021762322379,0.6930951076461156,7.0,1.7142728840236323,0.8105185845145784,7.0,0.7898076923076922 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,t0-alpha,100,400,0.8083329048133728,0.6946684065911233,8.0,1.7290665874773818,0.817513136954163,8.0,0.791923076923077 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.8097282606374903,0.6958675531323507,9.0,1.7378050597825847,0.8216447394951826,9.0,0.7765384615384616 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covariates,100,400,0.8292088964578123,0.7126089008668085,15.0,1.954907902524813,0.924292276205036,17.0,0.7844230769230769 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,t0-gamma,100,400,0.8319739132787265,0.7149851122244615,16.0,1.8080311550725925,0.854848061953883,14.0,0.7859615384615385 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,TiRex-2,100,400,0.8330588660453286,0.715917503328565,17.0,2.017651289396895,0.9539577288813028,18.0,0.7803846153846153 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,t0-beta,100,400,0.8411595510482702,0.7228791028252343,18.0,1.8336851785231127,0.8669774393523141,15.0,0.7778846153846153 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,AutoETS,100,400,1.0350208396056388,0.8894804023887373,19.0,2.9511609054922854,1.395326719617758,21.0,0.880576923076923 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.8259550572209102,0.7098126033209053,14.0,1.8255905538916894,0.8631502518843313,15.0,0.7761538461538461 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weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,AutoTheta,100,400,1.0361943343504054,0.8904888850567517,20.0,2.1300770733241245,1.0071133192781836,20.0,0.8444230769230769 weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,13w,13,Seasonal Naive,100,400,1.163624107766789,1.0,21.0,2.115032174185512,1.0,19.0,0.7469230769230769 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.8365851827794891,0.7013691292828331,1.0,1.6574328191837426,0.781349555936229,1.0,0.7938461538461539 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.8508576569300074,0.7133347640725892,2.0,1.7217968168648912,0.8116921317705926,4.0,0.8046153846153846 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.8531064499668048,0.7152200879423185,3.0,1.7208257598796004,0.8112343545771742,3.0,0.8159615384615384 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.8555563404250215,0.7172740061480042,4.0,1.7897737662263775,0.84373793090208,7.0,0.7209615384615384 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.8407307754247257,0.704844675782821,1.0,1.668199515841903,0.7864252088105921,1.0,0.7951923076923078 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.8484338535622407,0.7113027165386426,2.0,1.7125726962327363,0.8073436824841922,3.0,0.8063461538461538 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.8531064499668048,0.7152200879423185,3.0,1.7208257598796004,0.8112343545771742,4.0,0.8159615384615384 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.8555563404250215,0.7172740061480042,4.0,1.7897737662263777,0.84373793090208,8.0,0.7209615384615384 weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,Timestral-209M,100,200,0.8594096938515113,0.7205045476316305,5.0,1.7301558769269574,0.8156327728583903,5.0,0.8123076923076923 weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,0.8598229989203492,0.7208510507997787,6.0,1.7003500503720963,0.8015816637736659,2.0,0.7925 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M,100,200,0.8698425213907999,0.7292511323402883,7.0,1.827241528312604,0.8614010415447273,11.0,0.7990384615384616 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.8714162367753585,0.7305704903826334,8.0,1.7954571714612224,0.8464172106321861,8.0,0.8026923076923077 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,Chronos-2,100,200,0.8764262878241005,0.7347707741242652,9.0,1.891334041590496,0.8916156337797118,14.0,0.7313461538461539 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.8767937836537462,0.7350788721343176,10.0,1.8807871424993283,0.8866435982160343,13.0,0.7767307692307692 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,0.8781147351195762,0.7361863201246536,11.0,1.826907190428447,0.8612434274596826,10.0,0.7778846153846153 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,t0-alpha,100,200,0.8831721918141696,0.7404263474061403,12.0,1.7813417340353024,0.8397628891797969,6.0,0.7994230769230769 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.8877001925761014,0.7442224939518356,13.0,2.0045711597421896,0.9449980520347684,17.0,0.7951923076923078 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.8882719778700227,0.7447018624154292,14.0,1.8526127448287708,0.8733615798718444,12.0,0.7840384615384616 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.8899579796278332,0.7461153581468694,15.0,1.8213926245361167,0.8586437422348691,9.0,0.7765384615384616 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,TiRex-2,100,200,0.8927763251154759,0.7484781785283143,16.0,2.033319448684028,0.958550615094123,18.0,0.7934615384615384 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,t0-gamma,100,200,0.8992995214504381,0.7539470400713706,17.0,1.90039460463502,0.8958869784939172,15.0,0.7967307692307692 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,t0-beta,100,200,0.9259451528209296,0.7762859765696505,18.0,1.9544148270186028,0.9213532756991192,16.0,0.7871153846153847 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,AutoTheta,100,200,1.0879465595677908,0.9121033301774892,19.0,2.334855363355216,1.100701144696396,20.0,0.8726923076923078 -weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,AutoETS,100,200,1.0965492923457838,0.9193156156950348,20.0,3.795281900022792,1.7891776927019252,21.0,0.9176923076923076 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+weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,0.8781147351195762,0.7361863201246536,12.0,1.826907190428447,0.8612434274596826,9.0,0.7778846153846153 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.8846671711438541,0.7416796953883182,13.0,1.8442865074364643,0.8694364120980445,11.0,0.7886538461538461 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.8877001925761014,0.7442224939518356,14.0,2.0045711597421896,0.9449980520347685,17.0,0.7951923076923078 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,t0-gamma,100,200,0.891136900737465,0.7471037319421218,15.0,1.8584843183656494,0.8761295661953844,12.0,0.8026923076923077 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,TiRex-2,100,200,0.8927763251154759,0.7484781785283143,16.0,2.0333194486840274,0.958550615094123,18.0,0.7934615384615384 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.8957648808829614,0.7509836983481734,17.0,1.879584322522814,0.8860765629530403,13.0,0.7776923076923077 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,t0-beta,100,200,0.908172532091562,0.7613859188318167,18.0,1.8845564703323154,0.8884205406021112,15.0,0.7944230769230769 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,AutoTheta,100,200,1.0879465595677908,0.9121033301774891,19.0,2.3348553633552154,1.100701144696396,20.0,0.8726923076923078 +weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,AutoETS,100,200,1.0965492923457838,0.9193156156950347,20.0,3.7952819000227915,1.7891776927019252,21.0,0.9176923076923077 weekly,ad_spend,ad_spend,original,26w,26,Seasonal Naive,100,200,1.19278871545846,1.0,21.0,2.1212436950805875,1.0,19.0,0.7398076923076923 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5933172831026212,0.4476042606435134,1.0,1.4560663823565412,0.5319304545411726,1.0,0.815 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5933172831026212,0.44760426064351344,1.0,1.4560663823565412,0.5319304545411726,1.0,0.815 weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,Timestral-209M,100,5200,0.5973804611857453,0.4506695612399316,2.0,1.4798814171357622,0.5406305676874721,2.0,0.8161538461538461 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6077353640507569,0.4584813994804961,3.0,1.4988519965164344,0.5475609034435512,5.0,0.8175 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6078709272814042,0.45858366968457154,3.0,1.501030980435693,0.5483569302735459,5.0,0.8178846153846154 weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6094897025268131,0.4598048892874799,4.0,1.576477528659325,0.5759190779726142,17.0,0.8001923076923076 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,TiRex-2,100,5200,0.6098926539444502,0.4601088797096425,5.0,1.5668511772134983,0.5724023773865706,15.0,0.8009615384615385 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6124643525801652,0.4620489938765814,6.0,1.5335549221020388,0.5602385829809248,9.0,0.8188461538461539 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,TiRex-2,100,5200,0.6098926539444502,0.4601088797096425,5.0,1.5668511772134983,0.5724023773865706,14.0,0.8009615384615385 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6102601609199716,0.4603861305040225,6.0,1.514641157128236,0.5533290026750345,8.0,0.8163461538461538 weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6126395983232307,0.4621812009494069,7.0,1.490313957333479,0.5444417853054554,4.0,0.755 weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5200,0.6127610336731174,0.4622728129444558,8.0,1.5404726187597455,0.5627657572719461,11.0,0.8084615384615385 weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6128544923791964,0.4623433190905375,9.0,1.5536498033158723,0.5675796489017833,13.0,0.7957692307692308 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,Chronos-2,100,5200,0.6131078992103907,0.4625344916394401,10.0,1.4890633891813585,0.5439849275044288,3.0,0.7542307692307693 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,t0-gamma,100,5200,0.6141464482858962,0.4633179830433189,11.0,1.515154405282089,0.5535165025906148,6.0,0.81 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,5200,0.6147823781607399,0.4637977346527142,12.0,1.5332182643098982,0.5601155950906966,8.0,0.8165384615384615 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,5200,0.6148055488966239,0.4638152148785551,13.0,1.5190149143611198,0.5549268245196506,7.0,0.8057692307692308 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6165040496442651,0.4650965801665757,14.0,1.5349450611929183,0.5607464288644965,10.0,0.8067307692307693 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,t0-beta,100,5200,0.6245259415431201,0.4711483725121025,15.0,1.5600273808983531,0.5699095067869919,14.0,0.8026923076923077 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,5200,0.628755192628002,0.4743389601771459,16.0,1.5710055196494217,0.5739200425748047,16.0,0.8067307692307693 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6336979593928597,0.4780678309286403,17.0,1.55044653255938,0.5664094294048112,12.0,0.7982692307692307 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,t0-alpha,100,5200,0.6357859408788986,0.4796430242289409,18.0,1.5914626679263797,0.5813934519697576,18.0,0.7915384615384615 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,AutoTheta,100,5200,0.6669010122790926,0.5031165331348749,19.0,1.8399341617704053,0.6721651065196481,19.0,0.8357692307692308 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,5200,0.6129684351188964,0.46242927858845134,10.0,1.506419714183247,0.5503255435362865,6.0,0.8092307692307692 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,Chronos-2,100,5200,0.6131078992103907,0.4625344916394401,11.0,1.4890633891813583,0.5439849275044288,3.0,0.7542307692307693 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,1w,1,t0-gamma,100,5200,0.6133242271524683,0.4626976915180343,12.0,1.5111128125623383,0.5520400271506642,7.0,0.8096153846153846 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-weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.7487484644499418,0.5578555202500706,2.0,1.7815666658767688,0.6498701809919759,3.0,0.8101923076923077 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7496974497791349,0.5585625623739106,3.0,1.7653657395265625,0.6439604953534287,2.0,0.7348076923076923 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7576443464684096,0.5644834028129301,4.0,1.813960877526052,0.6616867650080736,8.0,0.806923076923077 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7606836544356219,0.5667478411493678,5.0,1.804730284509988,0.6583196795832571,6.0,0.8048076923076923 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.761504114239889,0.5673591252490152,6.0,1.886610786447361,0.6881876029301318,14.0,0.8007692307692308 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,Chronos-2,100,1300,0.7620032032297073,0.567730971818705,7.0,1.7913887127126982,0.6534530137184941,4.0,0.7453846153846154 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.7644739281369961,0.5695717869842666,8.0,1.8104647983876123,0.6604114843093625,7.0,0.8092307692307692 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,TiRex-2,100,1300,0.7645702632001782,0.5696435614844377,9.0,1.8704083948274288,0.6822773827984779,11.0,0.7975 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.7660602884077354,0.5707537057141935,10.0,1.793942046036954,0.6543844047359334,5.0,0.7975 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7713439481736588,0.57469029978749,11.0,1.895601680842364,0.6914672523980259,16.0,0.7830769230769231 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1300,0.7725946875219472,0.5756221639354174,12.0,1.8725022149456727,0.6830411550924204,12.0,0.7971153846153847 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1300,0.7742316773021825,0.5768418042136357,13.0,1.84588522354838,0.673331954000971,9.0,0.8063461538461538 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7763516447296742,0.5784212872955081,14.0,1.8897430377760729,0.6893301685028327,15.0,0.7796153846153846 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1300,0.7781251036991076,0.5797426040300435,15.0,1.860352021137248,0.6786090735988644,10.0,0.7769230769230769 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1300,0.780998704815731,0.5818835823719261,16.0,1.9082185552340405,0.6960695670918947,17.0,0.7988461538461539 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7840817656672756,0.584180618822698,17.0,1.8788383595573392,0.6853524193995287,13.0,0.7892307692307692 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,t0-alpha,100,1300,0.7850689587291592,0.5849161276421103,18.0,1.9222418850774607,0.7011849209419674,18.0,0.7846153846153846 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.7487484644499418,0.5578555202500706,2.0,1.7815666658767688,0.6498701809919759,4.0,0.8101923076923077 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7496974497791349,0.5585625623739106,3.0,1.7653657395265623,0.6439604953534287,2.0,0.7348076923076923 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7570683660025641,0.5640542682000609,4.0,1.7969131563707672,0.6554681901745391,6.0,0.8109615384615385 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7613252750977243,0.5672258810322587,5.0,1.8085390165052584,0.6597090080875027,7.0,0.8042307692307692 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.761504114239889,0.5673591252490152,6.0,1.8866107864473611,0.6881876029301318,15.0,0.8007692307692308 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,Chronos-2,100,1300,0.7620032032297073,0.567730971818705,7.0,1.7913887127126982,0.6534530137184941,5.0,0.7453846153846154 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.7622356268901598,0.5679041392149352,8.0,1.7767005285298116,0.6480951379251242,3.0,0.803076923076923 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.7644739281369961,0.5695717869842666,9.0,1.8104647983876123,0.6604114843093625,8.0,0.8092307692307692 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,TiRex-2,100,1300,0.7645702632001782,0.5696435614844377,10.0,1.8704083948274286,0.6822773827984779,13.0,0.7975 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7703755238417956,0.5739687746223316,11.0,1.860996089704115,0.6788440134212903,11.0,0.7830769230769231 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1300,0.7720879443492188,0.5752446146118763,12.0,1.8413346868418943,0.671672034016108,9.0,0.8059615384615385 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1300,0.7725946875219472,0.5756221639354174,13.0,1.8725022149456727,0.6830411550924204,14.0,0.7971153846153847 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7763516447296742,0.5784212872955081,14.0,1.8897430377760729,0.6893301685028327,16.0,0.7796153846153846 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1300,0.7764812553309114,0.5785178537564973,15.0,1.8645967421419627,0.6801574397983615,12.0,0.7982692307692307 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1300,0.7781251036991076,0.5797426040300435,16.0,1.860352021137248,0.6786090735988644,10.0,0.7769230769230769 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,t0-alpha,100,1300,0.7865044796616015,0.5859856634269827,17.0,1.900190767460275,0.6931412344095279,18.0,0.7873076923076923 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7870812049664649,0.5864153529826365,18.0,1.896925946137597,0.6919503106767744,17.0,0.7890384615384616 weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,AutoTheta,100,1300,0.8264163688659647,0.615722041895044,19.0,2.257692779675583,0.8235488704712525,19.0,0.8236538461538462 weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,AutoETS,100,1300,0.8466721567026504,0.6308136295218856,20.0,2.5786828384544256,0.9406378751044704,20.0,0.8571153846153846 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,Seasonal Naive,100,1300,1.3421906520066331,1.0,21.0,2.741419314173404,1.0,21.0,0.7190384615384615 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.91763182573047,0.6663650653017478,1.0,1.91495936342006,0.6970764165247577,1.0,0.7951923076923078 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,4w,4,Seasonal Naive,100,1300,1.3421906520066333,1.0,21.0,2.7414193141734042,1.0,21.0,0.7190384615384615 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.9176318257304699,0.6663650653017478,1.0,1.9149593634200597,0.6970764165247577,1.0,0.7951923076923078 weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,Timestral-209M,100,400,0.9256898098804328,0.6722166050846189,2.0,2.095927233414656,0.7629516704500704,4.0,0.7890384615384616 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.9332360273412214,0.6776965105870644,3.0,2.1145575981736364,0.7697334268428249,5.0,0.79 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.9335613532897932,0.6779327554958456,4.0,2.0357624232718163,0.7410506990475438,2.0,0.7765384615384616 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.9342933629651696,0.6784643256326437,5.0,2.0479059990268325,0.7454711585271567,3.0,0.7123076923076923 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.9370110022492388,0.6804378185174983,6.0,2.1346839566864584,0.7770597493423029,8.0,0.7728846153846153 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.9292850683451469,0.674827406687657,3.0,2.03851576997368,0.7420529621185249,2.0,0.7801923076923077 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.9314598728028136,0.6764067042597502,4.0,2.1146780054661707,0.7697772570595943,5.0,0.7886538461538461 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.9342933629651697,0.6784643256326437,5.0,2.0479059990268325,0.7454711585271567,3.0,0.7123076923076923 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.9383971719949641,0.6814444260339653,6.0,2.137160316713598,0.7779611847496114,8.0,0.7742307692307692 weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.941128548629795,0.6834278946960116,7.0,2.1424170739032293,0.7798747300364129,9.0,0.7771153846153847 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,TimesFM-2.5,100,400,0.9426262389952744,0.6845154861572168,8.0,2.1211160588143643,0.7721208133997868,7.0,0.7665384615384616 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.9427553871343208,0.6846092708382795,9.0,2.235383052607719,0.8137158613585439,14.0,0.7890384615384616 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,t0-alpha,100,400,0.9436008280249388,0.6852232123543521,10.0,2.234999107164862,0.8135760989601556,13.0,0.7613461538461539 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,Chronos-2,100,400,0.9479274118137272,0.6883650871325667,11.0,2.1191211841382938,0.7713946465070712,6.0,0.7248076923076923 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.949101590922598,0.6892177514763907,12.0,2.211916194372788,0.8051735425198376,11.0,0.7601923076923077 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,TiRex-2,100,400,0.9505501099096636,0.6902696357096326,13.0,2.234530754390122,0.813405610917369,12.0,0.7792307692307692 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M,100,400,0.951417186091504,0.6908992883222954,14.0,2.194224669954306,0.7987335393113776,10.0,0.7796153846153847 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.9534725667246584,0.6923918628074289,15.0,2.295412640779145,0.8355676097597532,17.0,0.7569230769230769 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.956469480689258,0.6945681591320845,16.0,2.261827999683043,0.8233422530692958,16.0,0.7663461538461539 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,t0-gamma,100,400,0.9716049971772712,0.7055592550706784,17.0,2.2556816922324296,0.8211048969904279,15.0,0.7713461538461539 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,t0-beta,100,400,0.9875397480208414,0.7171307383046976,18.0,2.334536312971857,0.8498092640393913,18.0,0.7634615384615385 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,AutoTheta,100,400,1.0489635774657122,0.7617354402901942,19.0,2.7007056234718347,0.9831008605507664,19.0,0.8321153846153847 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,TimesFM-2.5,100,400,0.9426262389952745,0.6845154861572168,8.0,2.1211160588143643,0.7721208133997868,7.0,0.7665384615384616 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.9427553871343207,0.6846092708382795,9.0,2.235383052607719,0.8137158613585439,14.0,0.7890384615384616 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,Chronos-2,100,400,0.9479274118137273,0.6883650871325667,10.0,2.1191211841382938,0.7713946465070712,6.0,0.7248076923076923 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,TiRex-2,100,400,0.9505501099096637,0.6902696357096326,11.0,2.234530754390122,0.813405610917369,13.0,0.7792307692307692 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M,100,400,0.951417186091504,0.6908992883222954,12.0,2.194224669954306,0.7987335393113776,10.0,0.7796153846153847 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.953656586428731,0.6925254940729133,13.0,2.2057737434648814,0.8029375902853653,11.0,0.7586538461538461 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.9536897775047274,0.6925495967390412,14.0,2.242033189353627,0.8161366195118439,15.0,0.7573076923076922 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.956469480689258,0.6945681591320845,15.0,2.261827999683043,0.8233422530692958,17.0,0.7663461538461539 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,13w,13,t0-alpha,100,400,0.9569598245809506,0.694924236624436,16.0,2.2603991237128573,0.8228221189296469,16.0,0.7636538461538461 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covariates,100,200,1.0340499406111676,0.73047469120067,1.0,2.059309524401012,0.7462279959969089,1.0,0.7978846153846153 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.0340499406111676,0.73047469120067,1.0,2.0593095244010113,0.7462279959969089,1.0,0.7978846153846153 weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.0355922727521052,0.7315642271603301,2.0,2.196386567235325,0.7959003379927948,2.0,0.7263461538461539 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,Timestral-209M,100,200,1.045115700552404,0.7382917774539682,3.0,2.250729687777964,0.8155925491238764,4.0,0.795 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,1.0521954603848178,0.7432930691462252,4.0,2.301121862473188,0.8338530636755591,5.0,0.7732692307692308 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.0528151251262898,0.7437308133913504,5.0,2.327269850289913,0.8433282592771051,8.0,0.7890384615384616 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,t0-alpha,100,200,1.054840644684615,0.7451616831354307,6.0,2.321970858960773,0.8414080740725526,7.0,0.765 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,1.0597903687943908,0.7486582726603814,7.0,2.2247671417691137,0.8061845517103758,3.0,0.7688461538461538 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.0602369350941854,0.748973736514816,8.0,2.3097566378170917,0.836982030460015,6.0,0.7732692307692308 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.0667078718233236,0.7535449427238726,9.0,2.4083744164264416,0.8727179635139485,15.0,0.7726923076923078 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,1.068227222329656,0.7546182439720529,10.0,2.330715345596835,0.8445767967250387,9.0,0.760576923076923 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M,100,200,1.0686814192707634,0.7549390982724783,11.0,2.334644457000053,0.8460005811992667,10.0,0.7875 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,Timestral-209M,100,200,1.045115700552404,0.7382917774539682,3.0,2.2507296877779637,0.8155925491238764,4.0,0.795 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.0477328437538633,0.7401405826197844,4.0,2.3120160464604025,0.8378007679854128,7.0,0.7901923076923077 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,1.0521954603848178,0.7432930691462252,5.0,2.301121862473188,0.8338530636755591,6.0,0.7732692307692308 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,1.0543896725383128,0.7448431068980823,6.0,2.2134608348282394,0.8020875072055831,3.0,0.7753846153846153 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.0596614002932856,0.7485671665906265,7.0,2.284425843856676,0.8278029598103079,5.0,0.7740384615384616 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,t0-alpha,100,200,1.0619101421177128,0.7501557252523268,8.0,2.38270282090097,0.8634153972624823,12.0,0.7667307692307692 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.0667078718233236,0.7535449427238726,9.0,2.4083744164264416,0.8727179635139485,16.0,0.7726923076923078 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,1.068227222329656,0.7546182439720529,10.0,2.330715345596835,0.8445767967250387,8.0,0.760576923076923 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M,100,200,1.0686814192707634,0.7549390982724783,11.0,2.334644457000053,0.8460005811992667,9.0,0.7875 weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.0704148538875122,0.756163633052334,12.0,2.3854179650172105,0.864399278766791,13.0,0.796923076923077 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.0711542765288715,0.7566859768042177,13.0,2.340413317836562,0.8480910321053612,12.0,0.7582692307692308 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,Chronos-2,100,200,1.074837091537313,0.7592875950146984,14.0,2.337618932956314,0.8470784362791762,11.0,0.7178846153846153 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,Chronos-2,100,200,1.0748370915373133,0.7592875950146984,13.0,2.337618932956314,0.8470784362791762,10.0,0.7178846153846153 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.075819931293872,0.7599818937516122,14.0,2.3579379500286213,0.85444139906395,11.0,0.7576923076923078 weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,TiRex-2,100,200,1.079300060350282,0.7624403303299432,15.0,2.404371545977757,0.8712674511175539,14.0,0.7840384615384616 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.084453848939759,0.7660810753080693,16.0,2.5493880587287787,0.9238168034195744,17.0,0.7398076923076923 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,t0-gamma,100,200,1.1020030027215877,0.7784781677367363,17.0,2.448128492955369,0.8871235710777354,16.0,0.7721153846153846 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,t0-beta,100,200,1.1232827137561403,0.793510604504362,18.0,2.580000399766366,0.9349097380341012,18.0,0.749423076923077 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,1.081202886960203,0.7637845271870785,16.0,2.4644215707847805,0.8930276620719242,17.0,0.7403846153846153 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,t0-gamma,100,200,1.0988926681433013,0.7762809617785197,17.0,2.4079576555986337,0.8725669427015549,15.0,0.7725 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,t0-beta,100,200,1.1112102693965873,0.7849823751420841,18.0,2.486570267794818,0.9010536424249992,18.0,0.7534615384615384 weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,AutoTheta,100,200,1.172088574195965,0.827988093872518,19.0,2.772375985329224,1.0046205056444533,20.0,0.8540384615384616 -weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,AutoETS,100,200,1.2675354063626838,0.8954137495539619,20.0,270.378848997865,97.97665880572984,21.0,0.8832692307692308 +weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,AutoETS,100,200,1.2675354063626838,0.8954137495539619,20.0,270.378848997865,97.97665880572983,21.0,0.8832692307692308 weekly,ad_spend__company,ad_spend,company,26w,26,Seasonal Naive,100,200,1.4155862661189749,1.0,21.0,2.7596251218770163,1.0,19.0,0.7109615384615384 weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5545728679096652,0.4350929619230996,1.0,2.342049785092284,0.3703978010467124,1.0,0.815 weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,Timestral-209M,100,5200,0.561095614707604,0.4402104160727893,2.0,2.3990804513863515,0.3794172649035488,2.0,0.8105769230769231 -weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5665362650836985,0.4444789059753796,3.0,2.4171189266721544,0.3822700700072771,3.0,0.8259615384615384 -weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5685356696987225,0.4460475490273062,4.0,2.419052411340108,0.382575852776681,4.0,0.8038461538461539 -weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,5200,0.5722936464319073,0.4489958887718063,5.0,2.4460244366635373,0.3868415088413666,8.0,0.8103846153846154 -weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5737987793466213,0.4501767484493078,6.0,2.488494564302503,0.3935582071745006,11.0,0.815 -weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5742098555253308,0.4504992603544518,7.0,2.43840816995334,0.385636987716496,7.0,0.8057692307692308 +weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5662892534635952,0.4442851117534854,3.0,2.4065332978628957,0.38059594093512683,3.0,0.821923076923077 +weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5685356696987225,0.4460475490273062,4.0,2.419052411340108,0.38257585277668105,4.0,0.8038461538461539 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-weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,t0-gamma,100,5200,0.5758551527926068,0.4517900866870875,10.0,2.4998226024075274,0.3953497491096815,13.0,0.8046153846153846 +weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,t0-gamma,100,5200,0.5747590147716132,0.45093010603201455,9.0,2.4962780047085875,0.3947891670069271,12.0,0.8048076923076923 +weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,Chronos-2,100,5200,0.5758347332214564,0.45177406640876683,10.0,2.4856992403302134,0.39311612355222253,10.0,0.7486538461538461 weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,TiRex-2,100,5200,0.5761319711764078,0.4520072659569222,11.0,2.4324119519426897,0.3846886791109836,6.0,0.8065384615384615 -weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,5200,0.5765360307642873,0.4523242729600714,12.0,2.498448290491124,0.3951324001382684,12.0,0.8144230769230769 -weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5797620491875806,0.4548552621090714,13.0,2.5092708855471604,0.3968440056881978,14.0,0.8073076923076923 -weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,t0-beta,100,5200,0.5838749361931087,0.4580820485114342,14.0,2.531689768453093,0.4003895771714078,15.0,0.811923076923077 +weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,5200,0.5765360307642873,0.45232427296007144,12.0,2.498448290491124,0.39513240013826845,13.0,0.8144230769230769 +weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5789236221180956,0.4541974698907219,13.0,2.5006854863136367,0.39548621516749805,14.0,0.8075 +weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,t0-beta,100,5200,0.5826015851835816,0.45708303450559007,14.0,2.530513941587459,0.4002036188334533,15.0,0.8109615384615385 weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5844096896116481,0.4585015920236291,15.0,2.4551327962318767,0.3882820061257242,9.0,0.7532692307692308 -weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,5200,0.591681653590558,0.4642068483202595,16.0,2.576265173671573,0.4074392275156427,16.0,0.8148076923076923 -weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,t0-alpha,100,5200,0.5941295519605215,0.4661273594269219,17.0,2.604259748725521,0.4118666009674033,18.0,0.8073076923076923 -weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6028687816177347,0.472983766468282,18.0,2.5937551317884746,0.4102052840137304,17.0,0.8042307692307692 +weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,1w,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,5200,0.591681653590558,0.46420684832025955,16.0,2.576265173671573,0.4074392275156427,16.0,0.8148076923076923 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Naive,100,5200,1.2746077653347172,1.0,21.0,6.32306611560288,1.0,21.0,0.7051923076923077 weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,4w,4,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7667227141692262,0.5872330590329554,1.0,3.1151015380843,0.4912470244801379,1.0,0.8078846153846154 -weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7724549835368013,0.591623405130331,2.0,3.155083067301888,0.4975520540344504,3.0,0.8009615384615385 +weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7700728523892272,0.5897989304735141,2.0,3.1435655673163887,0.4957357608805502,3.0,0.8084615384615385 weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.77347644606755,0.5924057434588217,3.0,3.118255502095043,0.4917444000605653,2.0,0.8025 weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1300,0.7741469377807844,0.5929192731776399,4.0,3.257274393830301,0.51366747899605,11.0,0.7834615384615384 -weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.775588045804323,0.5940230180614425,5.0,3.172388810486261,0.5002811448014143,4.0,0.7911538461538462 +weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.7751719722780784,0.593704347275924,5.0,3.1554910183204035,0.4976163873223158,4.0,0.7955769230769231 weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.7812271397912302,0.5983420011186928,6.0,3.2149040990901616,0.5069857445604399,6.0,0.7992307692307692 weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,4w,4,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7820848267902268,0.5989989037391654,7.0,3.1887660769222896,0.502863816122865,5.0,0.7267307692307692 weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,4w,4,TiRex-2,100,1300,0.7833543684540341,0.5999712459184565,8.0,3.2418513348814724,0.5112352848205584,8.0,0.7880769230769231 weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,4w,4,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.784106135847585,0.6005470246948483,9.0,3.255295378167703,0.5133553910773209,10.0,0.7894230769230769 weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,4w,4,Chronos-2,100,1300,0.7846735083345647,0.6009815753804912,10.0,3.2161370517235413,0.50718017941435,7.0,0.7334615384615385 weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7861419619607747,0.6021062642660966,11.0,3.25910914219488,0.5139568161697344,12.0,0.7830769230769231 -weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7871559145692287,0.6028828507438067,12.0,3.2913151584530045,0.5190356585328929,14.0,0.7871153846153847 -weekly,ad_spend__product,ad_spend,product,4w,4,t0-beta + past & 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Naive,100,200,1.3537602338840973,1.0,21.0,6.419470551013337,1.0,21.0,0.6884615384615383 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,1w,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6639118702677935,0.4767547302561375,1.0,1.6049018410702678,0.4905436574486539,2.0,0.8201923076923077 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,1w,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6672412036063932,0.4791455226020201,2.0,1.6135490382395197,0.4931867024109898,5.0,0.8136538461538462 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,1w,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6692614983758004,0.4805962951080729,3.0,1.6351649716435144,0.499793685317864,9.0,0.8013461538461538 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,1w,1,Timestral-209M,100,5200,0.6695806687811996,0.4808254911916893,4.0,1.620547979436607,0.4953259523795721,6.0,0.8096153846153846 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-weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,1w,1,TiRex-2,100,5200,0.6794433243758964,0.4879078584730007,15.0,1.7001637504408016,0.5196607811519957,18.0,0.7984615384615384 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,1w,1,t0-alpha,100,5200,0.6819077712992677,0.489677576384067,16.0,1.6857478133559745,0.5152545013894745,16.0,0.7980769230769231 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,1w,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6847242514622948,0.4917000891610326,17.0,1.658180065716338,0.5068283263993889,12.0,0.7917307692307692 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,1w,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6901846946710588,0.4956212302727636,18.0,1.6026975377386314,0.4898699047051801,1.0,0.7476923076923077 +weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5200,0.6777579525151058,0.48669759391401884,12.0,1.6734978353202892,0.5115102543112336,16.0,0.8001923076923076 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-weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.8173889156465393,0.5799500336097896,3.0,1.890708915179578,0.5764988281059192,3.0,0.8090384615384615 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.8175654564472788,0.580075292028839,4.0,1.8756135586610836,0.5718960808120945,1.0,0.8071153846153846 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.818991823634439,0.5810873215319294,5.0,1.907700642981493,0.5816798007488544,6.0,0.8076923076923077 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.8225070661603993,0.5835814402825669,6.0,1.937801649570254,0.5908579428118176,10.0,0.8 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1300,0.8226423493985322,0.5836774258250672,7.0,1.8763934817520207,0.5721338883055316,2.0,0.7853846153846153 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.8243469669633255,0.584886878259606,8.0,1.938518692350092,0.5910765773773816,12.0,0.7863461538461538 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,Chronos-2,100,1300,0.8283693481957434,0.5877408197387205,9.0,1.9238362393849744,0.5865997291115519,8.0,0.7561538461538462 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.8316125095551061,0.590041892708222,10.0,2.016895597979996,0.6149745946149617,16.0,0.8015384615384615 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,t0-alpha,100,1300,0.8331217921135539,0.5911127519451693,11.0,2.0290857016701045,0.6186914970082472,18.0,0.7992307692307692 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.8336807075556181,0.5915093110655653,12.0,1.944165394327576,0.5927983215583856,13.0,0.7871153846153847 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1300,0.8349452970464453,0.5924065567997182,13.0,1.9345517637071552,0.5898670153472498,9.0,0.8134615384615385 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,TiRex-2,100,1300,0.8351364500161159,0.5925421827778334,14.0,2.0180957211434984,0.6153405259287601,17.0,0.7984615384615384 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.8358544148124047,0.5930515898663906,15.0,1.989016783385236,0.6064740243717971,15.0,0.7782692307692308 -weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1300,0.836073438560714,0.5932069905915066,16.0,1.9379597863109637,0.5909061605173392,11.0,0.8 +weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.8128965452483912,0.5767626275739091,1.0,1.8833766279431885,0.5742631296516635,4.0,0.8048076923076923 +weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.8155189144057438,0.578623238908161,2.0,1.8691018701794702,0.569910592327589,1.0,0.8094230769230769 +weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.8158199824005303,0.5788368512906549,3.0,1.9110968988595838,0.582715358109349,8.0,0.8157692307692308 +weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.8163704128375392,0.5792273901691894,4.0,1.8711347270457364,0.5705304336959248,2.0,0.8105769230769231 +weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.818991823634439,0.5810873215319294,5.0,1.9077006429814933,0.5816798007488544,6.0,0.8076923076923077 +weekly,ad_spend__service,ad_spend,service,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.8225070661603993,0.5835814402825669,6.0,1.9378016495702541,0.5908579428118176,12.0,0.8 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-weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,1w,1,t0-beta,100,5200,0.542623665357617,0.5912388618553859,11.0,0.3385765157064389,0.4434417555448209,12.0,0.7875 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,1w,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,5200,0.543599227981846,0.5923018279079957,12.0,0.3337167726543419,0.4370768339080612,10.0,0.8228846153846154 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5445568292134284,0.5933452233557394,13.0,0.3487142720267999,0.4567194173182803,13.0,0.7859615384615385 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5200,0.546184422100508,0.5951186369157371,14.0,0.3545338417630501,0.4643414469058132,15.0,0.7975 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,1w,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.548992822418073,0.598178649800168,15.0,0.3496312301652244,0.4579203793100347,14.0,0.7834615384615384 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,1w,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5573682636472749,0.607304470614906,16.0,0.3683937625574441,0.4824941164610377,16.0,0.7990384615384616 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,1w,1,TiRex-2,100,5200,0.5574874841406201,0.6074343724111146,17.0,0.3712237113133625,0.4862005679903411,17.0,0.7926923076923077 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,1w,1,t0-alpha,100,5200,0.5620689967216473,0.6124263557264709,18.0,0.3719214459130409,0.4871144076733451,18.0,0.7936538461538462 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,1w,1,AutoTheta,100,5200,0.6294283367200464,0.685820610453154,19.0,0.4537830008145269,0.5943304428475571,19.0,0.8398076923076923 +weekly,app_downloads__service,app_downloads,service,26w,26,AutoETS,99,196,0.8867536160361411,1.0989242239310721,21.0,9.757461591219961,6.229964597090495,21.0,0.9383598246991104 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,1w,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5172380123626106,0.5635788360540201,1.0,0.28218830348208107,0.3695887661588602,1.0,0.8067307692307693 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covariates,100,5200,0.5292283965948416,0.5766434728903087,7.0,0.304654224073382,0.39901291935551847,2.0,0.8101923076923077 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,1w,1,Timestral-209M,100,5200,0.5299093896346654,0.5773854780321809,8.0,0.31578975001406756,0.4135973838501969,8.0,0.8111538461538461 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,1w,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5331060320670437,0.5808685167460054,9.0,0.3262679741734517,0.427320964490557,10.0,0.7307692307692307 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,1w,1,Chronos-2,100,5200,0.5381864613459013,0.5864041161242393,10.0,0.3347728213189326,0.4384599660865873,12.0,0.7551923076923077 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,1w,1,t0-beta,100,5200,0.5382353978311809,0.5864574369683289,11.0,0.3247581001646447,0.4253434464110178,9.0,0.7905769230769231 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,1w,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,5200,0.543599227981846,0.5923018279079957,12.0,0.33371677265434196,0.4370768339080612,11.0,0.8228846153846154 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covariates,100,1300,0.5429071114760312,0.5896850528655323,2.0,0.3431999796434634,0.44894160191714,2.0,0.8257692307692308 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5438088266574287,0.5906644615952621,3.0,0.3474605541212249,0.4545148806018316,4.0,0.8398076923076923 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.5442487889635552,0.5911423319164699,4.0,0.3468154610589782,0.4536710311556529,3.0,0.7909615384615385 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.5501138784073292,0.5975127689684179,5.0,0.3485958871388993,0.4560000153742569,5.0,0.8103846153846154 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.551765279049501,0.5993064575283885,6.0,0.3491598390734522,0.4567377237073561,6.0,0.8034615384615384 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.554581383510425,0.6023652030721705,7.0,0.3619175437308416,0.4734261406811105,7.0,0.818076923076923 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5560421017845052,0.6039517796972782,8.0,0.3677877079672877,0.4811049317421258,9.0,0.7236538461538462 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1300,0.5561007620859101,0.6040154942852876,9.0,0.3638059862615129,0.475896421756677,8.0,0.7948076923076923 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,Chronos-2,100,1300,0.561024115885723,0.6093630539034057,10.0,0.3783745564321379,0.4949536409232902,11.0,0.7465384615384615 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1300,0.5636474322921368,0.6122124003958349,11.0,0.3837845308702789,0.5020304554181888,12.0,0.7832692307692307 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1300,0.5641758776217484,0.6127863776113505,12.0,0.3710233910693628,0.485337544916086,10.0,0.8355769230769231 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5704458442991406,0.6195965769133472,13.0,0.4050987129616324,0.5299116431198505,14.0,0.7982692307692307 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1300,0.5756178078504599,0.6252141669866962,14.0,0.4169184719118466,0.5453731286446929,16.0,0.8017307692307692 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5773608781097302,0.6271074235977427,15.0,0.3870052496044235,0.5062434936279624,13.0,0.7844230769230769 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,1w,1,Seasonal Naive,100,5200,0.9177740171794391,1.0,21.0,0.763519698974801,1.0,21.0,0.8144230769230769 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5380064810174549,0.5843621744762931,1.0,0.31546046090794394,0.4126553993641212,1.0,0.8117307692307693 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5383367748029111,0.5847209270220249,2.0,0.33997131311242157,0.44471816715467877,2.0,0.8313461538461538 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5438088266574287,0.5906644615952621,3.0,0.3474605541212249,0.4545148806018316,6.0,0.8398076923076923 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.5442487889635552,0.5911423319164699,4.0,0.3468154610589782,0.45367103115565294,5.0,0.7909615384615385 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.5466613709253053,0.5937627866712238,5.0,0.34477170779752936,0.45099758733997614,4.0,0.8148076923076923 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5501193874954514,0.5975187527303762,6.0,0.3414871343600724,0.4467010204749131,3.0,0.8051923076923077 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1300,0.5525663688552789,0.6001765708028046,7.0,0.35135914585932865,0.4596146478627256,7.0,0.8017307692307692 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.554581383510425,0.6023652030721705,8.0,0.3619175437308416,0.47342614068111055,8.0,0.818076923076923 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5560421017845052,0.6039517796972782,9.0,0.36778770796728777,0.4811049317421258,9.0,0.7236538461538462 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1300,0.5595643400110228,0.6077775008766567,10.0,0.36883131298207156,0.4824700766573222,10.0,0.7905769230769231 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,Chronos-2,100,1300,0.561024115885723,0.6093630539034057,11.0,0.37837455643213797,0.4949536409232902,12.0,0.7465384615384615 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-weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,Seasonal Naive,100,1300,0.9206730081385188,1.0,21.0,0.764464639003999,1.0,21.0,0.8146153846153846 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5698891359316642,0.6144241324886773,1.0,0.3858070165925089,0.5024371265000693,2.0,0.8428846153846153 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5699796147370363,0.6145216819206532,2.0,0.3900626980310361,0.507979307594022,5.0,0.8357692307692308 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5767137458329554,0.6217820636261421,3.0,0.3649112260530021,0.4752245033411026,1.0,0.8190384615384616 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.5780414106839068,0.6232134811999267,4.0,0.3887117929120227,0.5062200215857837,4.0,0.8234615384615386 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.5783450714822042,0.6235408721094932,5.0,0.3861529717931759,0.5028876645396728,3.0,0.7959615384615385 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,AutoETS,100,1300,0.733225460463364,0.7964016040242675,20.0,0.6895345335455444,0.9019835560267653,20.0,0.8401923076923077 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,4w,4,Seasonal Naive,100,1300,0.9206730081385189,1.0,21.0,0.764464639003999,1.0,21.0,0.8146153846153846 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5674333321965757,0.6117764156182242,1.0,0.38659728063601784,0.503466288692877,5.0,0.8392307692307692 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5698891359316642,0.6144241324886773,2.0,0.38580701659250893,0.5024371265000693,3.0,0.8428846153846153 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5759601275013794,0.6209695524543873,3.0,0.36417840971639803,0.47427015539360395,1.0,0.8236538461538462 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.5760480770103542,0.6210643749336162,4.0,0.38578528146595154,0.5024088208082028,2.0,0.8273076923076923 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.5783450714822042,0.6235408721094932,5.0,0.3861529717931759,0.5028876645396728,4.0,0.7959615384615385 weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,Timestral-209M,100,400,0.5852994351377845,0.6310386968383419,6.0,0.3968465127528715,0.5168138809142575,8.0,0.8261538461538461 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,Chronos-2,100,400,0.5863287499385362,0.6321484492684804,7.0,0.394743429604017,0.5140750321928584,6.0,0.7588461538461538 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5866047064818403,0.632445970924946,8.0,0.404160103633678,0.5263383826172182,9.0,0.7496153846153847 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,t0-gamma,100,400,0.5907068757754516,0.63686871150839,9.0,0.3959338779875827,0.5156253551246913,7.0,0.8011538461538461 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.599060230769677,0.6458748542335118,10.0,0.4223308728154312,0.5500022058794551,11.0,0.8082692307692309 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,Chronos-2,100,400,0.5863287499385362,0.6321484492684804,7.0,0.39474342960401704,0.5140750321928584,7.0,0.7588461538461538 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5866047064818403,0.632445970924946,8.0,0.40416010363367805,0.5263383826172182,9.0,0.7496153846153847 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,t0-gamma,100,400,0.5880278432551278,0.6339803212436451,9.0,0.39015674529119027,0.5081017854990751,6.0,0.808076923076923 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5963814395818055,0.6429867241605713,10.0,0.4244526940965975,0.5527654573020749,11.0,0.8138461538461539 weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,TimesFM-2.5,100,400,0.5995055372118534,0.6463549599368406,11.0,0.4108188591176103,0.5350100910816268,10.0,0.8359615384615385 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,t0-beta,100,400,0.6067710132190463,0.6541882094434114,12.0,0.445754901757985,0.5805073581623174,12.0,0.791923076923077 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6078199566200921,0.6553191243856021,13.0,0.4508595344013261,0.5871551298379364,14.0,0.8009615384615385 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,t0-beta,100,400,0.6014858608372122,0.6484900394616832,12.0,0.43715610707166935,0.5693091333821815,12.0,0.7984615384615386 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6078199566200921,0.6553191243856021,13.0,0.45085953440132615,0.5871551298379364,14.0,0.8009615384615385 weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M,100,400,0.6138613290772299,0.6618326106006877,14.0,0.4485366087187937,0.5841299798152307,13.0,0.8067307692307693 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6215585712036252,0.6701313673550765,15.0,0.4717207760033023,0.6143227598574578,15.0,0.7953846153846154 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,TiRex-2,100,400,0.6241972934731634,0.6729762972530453,16.0,0.4900310737013537,0.6381682913411078,16.0,0.8223076923076923 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6242022420660706,0.6729816325625156,17.0,0.4911722360756174,0.639654429020145,17.0,0.8251923076923078 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,t0-alpha,100,400,0.6399476090653465,0.6899574491718816,18.0,0.5151408431163159,0.6708687862760097,18.0,0.8007692307692308 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6160763898711294,0.6642207712461374,15.0,0.46860059978181934,0.6102593491171819,15.0,0.8 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,TiRex-2,100,400,0.6241972934731634,0.6729762972530453,16.0,0.4900310737013537,0.6381682913411078,17.0,0.8223076923076923 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6242022420660706,0.6729816325625156,17.0,0.49117223607561744,0.639654429020145,18.0,0.8251923076923078 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,t0-alpha,100,400,0.6304250923222903,0.6796907784809302,18.0,0.4888353676179198,0.6366111212978949,16.0,0.8132692307692309 weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,AutoTheta,100,400,0.7612408827589395,0.820729400709547,19.0,0.8148028713092855,1.061119149517801,20.0,0.8315384615384616 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,AutoETS,100,400,0.8769359276486433,0.9454656399315536,20.0,1.075512111069033,1.400641230878124,21.0,0.8451923076923077 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,AutoETS,100,400,0.8769359276486433,0.9454656399315537,20.0,1.0755121110690333,1.400641230878124,21.0,0.8451923076923077 weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,13w,13,Seasonal Naive,100,400,0.9275175010189988,1.0,21.0,0.7678712345164559,1.0,19.0,0.8138461538461539 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.5942599743096378,0.6341662602476459,1.0,0.4233835823090216,0.5489165834244041,2.0,0.8376923076923077 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.594703769663983,0.6346398577510067,1.0,0.4190185869077662,0.5432573692686423,2.0,0.8413461538461539 weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.5987381101735084,0.6389451159613776,2.0,0.4346212675043303,0.5634862361477482,3.0,0.838076923076923 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.6047210789096075,0.6453298584521676,3.0,0.4409551039911218,0.5716980516965164,4.0,0.8298076923076922 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6095146591400742,0.6504453415393192,4.0,0.4232440746418356,0.5487357118100264,1.0,0.8346153846153846 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.6071906731576292,0.647965293137831,3.0,0.4354071731884761,0.5645051624383767,4.0,0.833076923076923 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6083445619729203,0.6491966689436555,4.0,0.41695847860501245,0.5405864399783173,1.0,0.8392307692307692 weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,Chronos-2,100,200,0.611082854885644,0.6521188461909821,5.0,0.4508019251080801,0.58446444990127,7.0,0.775576923076923 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,0.6120055843653016,0.6531035396393581,6.0,0.4432036876545259,0.5746133391890741,5.0,0.8038461538461539 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,Timestral-209M,100,200,0.6132456132925013,0.6544268401161817,7.0,0.4553703668288533,0.5903874320992666,8.0,0.8376923076923077 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,0.6120055843653016,0.6531035396393581,6.0,0.44320368765452595,0.5746133391890741,6.0,0.8038461538461539 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,Timestral-209M,100,200,0.6132456132925013,0.6544268401161817,7.0,0.45537036682885335,0.5903874320992666,8.0,0.8376923076923077 weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6182779354514224,0.659797097346768,8.0,0.4564898518894354,0.5918388438694114,9.0,0.7626923076923078 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,t0-gamma,100,200,0.6216607953671676,0.6634071261463721,9.0,0.4441879634122401,0.575889452171834,6.0,0.8151923076923078 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6346458457721015,0.6772641604586535,10.0,0.4952679341807178,0.6421146063989674,11.0,0.8082692307692309 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,0.6371797967984743,0.6799682736675438,11.0,0.4594247814839988,0.59564397848718,10.0,0.8398076923076923 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.641650671932554,0.6847393810723582,12.0,0.495497073477637,0.6424116853723826,12.0,0.8203846153846154 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-weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,TiRex-2,100,200,0.6509314407355181,0.6946433804975864,14.0,0.5413538200057779,0.7018649322222182,15.0,0.8363461538461539 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,t0-beta,100,200,0.6533270686449788,0.6971998817898911,15.0,0.509622663355933,0.6607255049412981,14.0,0.8011538461538461 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6535715491380572,0.6974607798592574,16.0,0.5542254346390382,0.7185529735702358,17.0,0.8388461538461539 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6537614894835668,0.697663475251492,17.0,0.5419873503213252,0.7026863039306095,16.0,0.8153846153846154 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,t0-alpha,100,200,0.6628046976635646,0.7073139611668735,18.0,0.5581361117494354,0.7236231643098203,18.0,0.8155769230769231 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,t0-beta,100,200,0.6500403614001162,0.6936924625927212,14.0,0.5074554316982558,0.6579156902797719,14.0,0.8076923076923077 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,TiRex-2,100,200,0.6509314407355181,0.6946433804975864,15.0,0.5413538200057779,0.7018649322222182,17.0,0.8363461538461539 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.65208470727044,0.6958740922351047,16.0,0.5386693800015423,0.6983845572216182,16.0,0.8207692307692308 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6535715491380572,0.6974607798592574,17.0,0.5542254346390382,0.7185529735702358,18.0,0.8388461538461539 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,t0-alpha,100,200,0.6577803030208913,0.7019521638083116,18.0,0.5128986730317718,0.6649728496983138,15.0,0.8271153846153847 weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,AutoTheta,100,200,0.765272717590971,0.8166630067051246,19.0,0.7527634118903446,0.975957352734933,19.0,0.8575 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,AutoETS,100,200,0.8803837359242421,0.9395040647698438,20.0,0.9820965556111884,1.2732876484225488,21.0,0.8757692307692309 -weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,Seasonal Naive,100,200,0.9370728333569428,1.0,21.0,0.7713076906289703,1.0,20.0,0.8134615384615383 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.498244049013777,0.5044938006684346,1.0,0.4310551465764539,0.4444928765346815,4.0,0.8259615384615384 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5020494495354741,0.5083469344410441,2.0,0.4026168319156479,0.4151680247430372,1.0,0.8153846153846154 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,Timestral-209M,100,5200,0.5051960956458712,0.5115330506801341,3.0,0.4176999635138099,0.4307213584741519,2.0,0.8155769230769231 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5085393300237367,0.5149182211024468,4.0,0.4524936143739661,0.4665996679637968,7.0,0.8209615384615384 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,5200,0.5115181893069848,0.5179344458710856,5.0,0.4697687430644081,0.4844133321900733,8.0,0.7978846153846154 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,t0-gamma,100,5200,0.5130242828336291,0.5194594311647843,6.0,0.4223321184777061,0.4354979164176294,3.0,0.8098076923076923 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5140686641456017,0.5205169127312317,7.0,0.450190027399556,0.4642242688791653,6.0,0.8163461538461538 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,5200,0.5153605952805194,0.5218250492754546,8.0,0.4458819750506682,0.4597819171382623,5.0,0.7825 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5171647816091974,0.5236518665146579,9.0,0.4746297811723917,0.4894259084897025,9.0,0.7425 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,AutoETS,100,200,0.8803837359242421,0.9395040647698438,20.0,0.9820965556111885,1.2732876484225488,21.0,0.8757692307692309 +weekly,card_spend,card_spend,original,26w,26,Seasonal Naive,100,200,0.9370728333569427,1.0,21.0,0.7713076906289703,1.0,20.0,0.8134615384615383 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.498244049013777,0.5044938006684346,1.0,0.4310551465764539,0.44449287653468156,4.0,0.8259615384615384 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.4989179229532,0.5051761273827102,2.0,0.3910727581492652,0.4032640755706361,1.0,0.8176923076923077 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,Timestral-209M,100,5200,0.5051960956458712,0.5115330506801341,3.0,0.4176999635138099,0.43072135847415194,2.0,0.8155769230769231 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.506879287131799,0.5132373553711169,4.0,0.44246680194828814,0.4562602792963359,5.0,0.8244230769230769 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,t0-gamma,100,5200,0.5094444262372806,0.5158346704401663,5.0,0.41813036445110774,0.43116517674706245,3.0,0.813076923076923 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,5200,0.5119048799848346,0.5183259870247384,6.0,0.467790100136421,0.48237300697024676,9.0,0.8036538461538462 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5138729607738716,0.5203187545434858,7.0,0.4493045444037821,0.46331118180193154,7.0,0.8176923076923077 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,5200,0.5153605952805194,0.5218250492754546,8.0,0.4458819750506682,0.4597819171382623,6.0,0.7825 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5171647816091974,0.5236518665146579,9.0,0.4746297811723917,0.4894259084897025,10.0,0.7425 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,Chronos-2,100,5200,0.5178378320532009,0.5243333594039538,10.0,0.500173074151703,0.5157654890809957,13.0,0.7696153846153846 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5238268597882527,0.5303975108380663,11.0,0.4821141067173796,0.4971435506912524,12.0,0.7861538461538462 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5200,0.5247263771371168,0.5313083113323098,12.0,0.481125512130627,0.4961241376182794,11.0,0.7923076923076923 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,t0-beta,100,5200,0.5258584515726297,0.5324545860058196,13.0,0.4765111496377474,0.4913659268090042,10.0,0.8125 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,t0-beta,100,5200,0.5231235312062943,0.5296853600153254,11.0,0.4645944248470293,0.4790777095746951,8.0,0.8178846153846154 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5238268597882527,0.5303975108380663,12.0,0.48211410671737964,0.4971435506912524,12.0,0.7861538461538462 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5200,0.5247263771371168,0.5313083113323098,13.0,0.481125512130627,0.49612413761827945,11.0,0.7923076923076923 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5342528515183242,0.5409542815693029,14.0,0.5326386308567315,0.5492431283174837,15.0,0.8017307692307692 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,TiRex-2,100,5200,0.5378065749139234,0.5445525812899296,15.0,0.5264404266127377,0.5428517010125469,14.0,0.801923076923077 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,5200,0.5378488048388473,0.5445953409282414,16.0,0.5950190427391963,0.6135681895939231,18.0,0.8269230769230769 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5409751349413573,0.5477608863244811,17.0,0.5326431744117404,0.5492478135134536,16.0,0.7834615384615384 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,t0-alpha,100,5200,0.5527023005834971,0.5596351523143751,18.0,0.5613014706507876,0.5787995045976426,17.0,0.8063461538461538 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,AutoTheta,100,5200,0.634996022474929,0.6429611300362117,19.0,0.8905787393424386,0.9183416757111844,20.0,0.833076923076923 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5392951748274113,0.5460598535383723,17.0,0.5361040392396978,0.5528165674765935,16.0,0.7888461538461539 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,t0-alpha,100,5200,0.5465714613950399,0.5534274106070852,18.0,0.5559008782044681,0.573230553871682,17.0,0.8144230769230769 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,AutoTheta,100,5200,0.634996022474929,0.6429611300362117,19.0,0.8905787393424386,0.9183416757111845,20.0,0.833076923076923 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,AutoETS,100,5200,0.6445693838239245,0.6526545753702542,20.0,0.8571866445608372,0.8839086144639731,19.0,0.8311538461538461 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,1w,1,Seasonal Naive,100,5200,0.987611836564935,1.0,21.0,0.9697684019978232,1.0,21.0,0.8121153846153846 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5293746989491537,0.5325648136475849,1.0,0.5232883012404239,0.5385797674469666,5.0,0.833076923076923 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5362014945820783,0.5394327488762156,2.0,0.4994798724444023,0.5140756116807409,1.0,0.8178846153846154 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5380079523774104,0.5412500927368931,3.0,0.5374844497671767,0.5531907540752884,6.0,0.8265384615384616 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.5438162655237724,0.5470934079057886,4.0,0.5661106575141299,0.5826534733348178,9.0,0.8075 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.5448487194868141,0.5481320836368323,5.0,0.508825687736639,0.5236945292349144,2.0,0.8205769230769231 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5473325635440134,0.5506308958204856,6.0,0.5438772674536354,0.5597703818918138,7.0,0.7321153846153846 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,Chronos-2,100,1300,0.5487928005145211,0.5520999324624398,7.0,0.5758411781335812,0.5926683380278355,11.0,0.7701923076923077 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.5498687382383862,0.5531823539958907,8.0,0.5128787556656412,0.5278660354151106,3.0,0.7815384615384615 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1300,0.5518074787851915,0.5551327777695807,9.0,0.5134308422744417,0.5284342550307096,4.0,0.8109615384615385 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5530054811627686,0.556337999542042,10.0,0.5584938140482447,0.5748140514084873,8.0,0.811923076923077 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1300,0.5612085105561169,0.564590461982892,11.0,0.5669089268172687,0.5834750695650897,10.0,0.8090384615384615 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5346703107831425,0.537892337866473,2.0,0.5289771631803408,0.544434868608937,6.0,0.8315384615384616 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5359691886817826,0.5391990430554693,3.0,0.49907300044665664,0.5136568501196528,1.0,0.8217307692307693 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.5416533477664345,0.544917455986178,4.0,0.5573172183070841,0.5736030733316771,9.0,0.8123076923076923 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.5448487194868141,0.5481320836368323,5.0,0.508825687736639,0.5236945292349144,3.0,0.8205769230769231 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1300,0.5461015507195324,0.5493924646737594,6.0,0.5078666256849386,0.5227074415902114,2.0,0.8192307692307692 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5473325635440134,0.5506308958204856,7.0,0.5438772674536354,0.5597703818918138,7.0,0.7321153846153846 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,Chronos-2,100,1300,0.5487928005145211,0.5520999324624398,8.0,0.5758411781335812,0.5926683380278355,11.0,0.7701923076923077 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.5498687382383862,0.5531823539958907,9.0,0.5128787556656412,0.5278660354151106,4.0,0.7815384615384615 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5530736875743132,0.5564066169786628,10.0,0.5526807852448473,0.5688311549942641,8.0,0.8134615384615385 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1300,0.5594006257678581,0.5627716825299515,11.0,0.5581691394302579,0.5744798891888528,10.0,0.8128846153846154 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5632906602155883,0.5666851590803996,12.0,0.5767956815990721,0.593650733875885,13.0,0.7842307692307692 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1300,0.5672414371834719,0.5706597441972191,13.0,0.5766510699811555,0.5935018964351032,12.0,0.801923076923077 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1300,0.571991136367074,0.5754380659901164,14.0,0.6774416043765981,0.6972377193970852,18.0,0.8294230769230769 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5721230349601166,0.5755707594296849,15.0,0.6524580724667146,0.671524121798719,17.0,0.8173076923076923 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,TiRex-2,100,1300,0.5738637530292345,0.5773219674037967,16.0,0.6375450590242825,0.6561753221165562,15.0,0.816923076923077 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5771175209737572,0.5805953431855766,17.0,0.642851673947257,0.661637006286394,16.0,0.7823076923076923 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,t0-alpha,100,1300,0.5858588089367911,0.5893893078467403,18.0,0.6338128769566033,0.6523340786847507,14.0,0.8065384615384615 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,AutoTheta,100,1300,0.671812299339872,0.675860770668338,19.0,1.0254241758962277,1.05538899470819,20.0,0.8275 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,TiRex-2,100,1300,0.5738637530292345,0.5773219674037967,16.0,0.6375450590242825,0.6561753221165562,16.0,0.816923076923077 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5744837037161213,0.5779456540338679,17.0,0.6334385428684071,0.6519488058519923,14.0,0.7896153846153846 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,t0-alpha,100,1300,0.5836076521503211,0.5871245851524789,18.0,0.6357985704635811,0.6543777978825123,15.0,0.8165384615384615 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,AutoTheta,100,1300,0.671812299339872,0.675860770668338,19.0,1.0254241758962275,1.05538899470819,20.0,0.8275 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,AutoETS,100,1300,0.7136253746287126,0.7179258196656507,20.0,1.2638097634108534,1.3007406564632793,21.0,0.8313461538461538 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,4w,4,Seasonal Naive,100,1300,0.9940099033644716,1.0,21.0,0.9716077967818418,1.0,19.0,0.8117307692307693 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.5960843255633486,0.5887289534200844,1.0,0.5652496532949546,0.5783535790580885,2.0,0.8413461538461539 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.606260080252781,0.5987791445619288,2.0,0.5405570795977972,0.5530885686495733,1.0,0.8209615384615385 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6072665376670775,0.599773182812508,2.0,0.5487385319617281,0.5614596879045614,1.0,0.8242307692307692 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6138705806283149,0.6062957353007589,3.0,0.6377252010283634,0.6525092944689208,6.0,0.7490384615384617 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.6217728980227754,0.6141005421874979,4.0,0.6582434441666748,0.6735032027107968,11.0,0.8084615384615386 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6234689808510563,0.6157756962312885,5.0,0.6540540804632419,0.6692167188930134,10.0,0.8246153846153846 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6200786148479491,0.6124271655903696,4.0,0.6413833933953349,0.6562522930466076,7.0,0.8259615384615385 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.6232465115283151,0.6155559720648768,5.0,0.6450760421628201,0.6600305468118781,9.0,0.8167307692307691 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,Timestral-209M,100,400,0.6247253301345681,0.6170165428147194,6.0,0.6056035756907258,0.6196430080928164,4.0,0.8309615384615385 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,Chronos-2,100,400,0.6254087191192865,0.6176914991329749,7.0,0.642953793812975,0.6578590993432627,7.0,0.7621153846153846 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.6314335463875421,0.6236419831501896,8.0,0.6164970748061961,0.6307890462463521,5.0,0.7823076923076923 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,t0-gamma,100,400,0.6319971121891309,0.6241985948413948,9.0,0.6003273489255633,0.6142444649610058,3.0,0.8098076923076922 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6387228504896043,0.6308413410113648,10.0,0.703008272732091,0.7193057939478064,12.0,0.8201923076923078 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,Chronos-2,100,400,0.6254087191192865,0.6176914991329749,7.0,0.642953793812975,0.6578590993432627,8.0,0.7621153846153846 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-weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M,100,400,0.6464493269021608,0.6384724767029305,13.0,0.6501458767949371,0.6652179131156438,9.0,0.8084615384615386 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,t0-beta,100,400,0.6482337052132806,0.6402348367089887,14.0,0.7353232974450314,0.7523699631890164,13.0,0.8078846153846154 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6693936428300202,0.6611336716444051,15.0,0.8221219730733667,0.8411808530578061,18.0,0.8305769230769231 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,TiRex-2,100,400,0.6699344191213841,0.6616677750361495,16.0,0.8038367863548148,0.822471769167574,16.0,0.8259615384615385 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6701027201234904,0.6618339992909744,17.0,0.7448788296730015,0.7621470169769071,14.0,0.7842307692307692 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,t0-alpha,100,400,0.6783302765902443,0.6699600319681445,18.0,0.8146873925399261,0.8335739200234442,17.0,0.8042307692307692 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6415727949150678,0.6336561185972757,12.0,0.6485405652204148,0.6635753863326262,10.0,0.7942307692307692 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,t0-beta,100,400,0.6422445064301786,0.6343195415398563,13.0,0.6893258527530468,0.7053061806460944,13.0,0.8140384615384616 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M,100,400,0.6464493269021608,0.6384724767029305,14.0,0.6501458767949371,0.6652179131156438,11.0,0.8084615384615386 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.6632839304202369,0.6550993499243867,15.0,0.7407606170554081,0.7579333337082428,14.0,0.7905769230769231 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Naive,100,400,1.0124936477143427,1.0,21.0,0.9773427082711668,1.0,19.0,0.8082692307692309 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,AutoETS,100,400,0.8581045726701086,0.8475160062556835,20.0,1.8092598839836043,1.8512031334269896,21.0,0.826923076923077 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,13w,13,Seasonal Naive,100,400,1.0124936477143427,1.0,21.0,0.9773427082711669,1.0,19.0,0.8082692307692309 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6676091239727431,0.6412905580633556,1.0,0.7004060589331141,0.7090135511749655,8.0,0.7596153846153847 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.677020000923534,0.6503304383090376,2.0,0.611290797735651,0.6188031268080744,2.0,0.8321153846153847 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6884114938336167,0.661272854437221,3.0,0.6060338150294972,0.6134815395239309,1.0,0.8255769230769231 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.693055187285323,0.6657334836560054,4.0,0.7465654502889714,0.7557402086158553,12.0,0.7988461538461539 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6993070101821642,0.6717388464505861,5.0,0.6807788683690701,0.6891451564003714,6.0,0.8138461538461539 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,Chronos-2,100,200,0.7009734799937164,0.6733396204919692,6.0,0.6719271995469303,0.680184706864898,5.0,0.7667307692307692 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.6886785826108414,0.6615294140090549,3.0,0.6066172021399788,0.6140720960470175,1.0,0.8246153846153846 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-weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,t0-gamma,100,200,0.7164249853199164,0.6881819947462225,9.0,0.6814055627065624,0.6897795523654827,7.0,0.8076923076923077 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,0.719192928234581,0.6908408194876671,10.0,0.8171848850947367,0.8272275060413994,14.0,0.811923076923077 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.7245208749117192,0.6959587272202361,11.0,0.7038655393723945,0.7125155461679995,9.0,0.7971153846153847 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,t0-beta,100,200,0.7256194477031518,0.697013991945048,12.0,0.7633476476019635,0.7727286471960816,13.0,0.8182692307692307 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.7289639067778944,0.7002266053582662,13.0,0.7410846288057891,0.7501920317353378,11.0,0.828076923076923 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M,100,200,0.7330800348220607,0.7041804669154541,14.0,0.7209825034862894,0.7298428655949808,10.0,0.8146153846153846 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,t0-gamma,100,200,0.7079586541275714,0.6800494242642923,9.0,0.6668344133930895,0.6750293339918969,6.0,0.8151923076923078 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,t0-beta,100,200,0.7190918146731582,0.6907436920370313,10.0,0.7373447042299264,0.7464061461467721,13.0,0.8271153846153847 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,0.719192928234581,0.6908408194876671,11.0,0.8171848850947367,0.8272275060413994,14.0,0.811923076923077 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.7245208749117192,0.6959587272202361,12.0,0.7038655393723945,0.7125155461679995,9.0,0.7971153846153847 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.725176740128539,0.6965887368408444,13.0,0.7249819254890508,0.7338914376492324,12.0,0.8275 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M,100,200,0.7330800348220607,0.7041804669154541,14.0,0.7209825034862894,0.7298428655949808,11.0,0.8146153846153846 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.7485238536695232,0.7190154577082446,15.0,0.8230781869511088,0.833193232385482,15.0,0.8355769230769231 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,TiRex-2,100,200,0.7518809765181226,0.7222402356625276,16.0,0.825869865978536,0.8360192191623409,16.0,0.8296153846153846 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.7551514062561983,0.7253817381323518,17.0,0.8549405174280694,0.8654471282392548,17.0,0.7934615384615384 -weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,t0-alpha,100,200,0.7621379840900311,0.732092890267826,18.0,0.8568281981815518,0.8673580072464265,18.0,0.8046153846153846 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.7545523811839523,0.7248063278974098,17.0,0.8629549721562866,0.8735600749151301,18.0,0.7957692307692308 +weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,t0-alpha,100,200,0.7568643243552686,0.7270271293713645,18.0,0.8478780678316507,0.8582978861610545,17.0,0.8088461538461539 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,AutoTheta,100,200,0.7876446568428941,0.7565940359482298,19.0,1.195585886387625,1.2102787864707911,20.0,0.8371153846153847 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,AutoETS,100,200,0.8678607337351602,0.833647825162163,20.0,1.5136619884227858,1.532263817541712,21.0,0.845 weekly,card_spend__company,card_spend,company,26w,26,Seasonal Naive,100,200,1.0410400021931827,1.0,21.0,0.9878599044720836,1.0,19.0,0.8065384615384616 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6545425410249336,0.581144537211261,1.0,1.0044754170989476,0.4917443676481312,2.0,0.8213461538461538 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6527010201768989,0.5795095177680325,1.0,0.9866538805246868,0.48301977361223286,1.0,0.8240384615384615 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6545654347295263,0.5811648636996506,2.0,1.0313658260898644,0.5049086591180293,5.0,0.8217307692307693 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,5200,0.6560223950325815,0.5824584458092693,3.0,0.992316254704498,0.4857918082116262,1.0,0.7998076923076923 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covariates,100,5200,0.666213447712309,0.5915067111580454,8.0,1.080027506808752,0.5287311509445738,9.0,0.7536538461538461 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,Chronos-2,100,5200,0.6678490808740436,0.5929589304062172,9.0,1.099907294680813,0.538463368925935,11.0,0.7584615384615384 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6686853477073765,0.5937014213390164,10.0,1.06117747649098,0.5195030542873833,7.0,0.818076923076923 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,5200,0.6592720959779356,0.5853437371900335,5.0,1.043810420370904,0.51100095270849,6.0,0.815 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6623021448035593,0.5880340074354744,6.0,1.0584033395144983,0.5181449660653646,8.0,0.8221153846153846 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weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,5200,0.672428104184746,0.5970244788098561,12.0,1.1170416951431512,0.5468515731337761,12.0,0.8288461538461539 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5200,0.673490385977598,0.5979676402122125,13.0,1.1407502927073314,0.5584581979635735,14.0,0.7988461538461539 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,t0-beta,100,5200,0.675173911209398,0.5994623810890787,14.0,1.0832271193610503,0.5302975321864296,10.0,0.8138461538461539 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,t0-beta,100,5200,0.6742770892110768,0.5986661254257583,14.0,1.0651377600675327,0.5214418246245247,9.0,0.8167307692307693 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6811090097784818,0.6047319394371617,15.0,1.1550128040799947,0.5654404590688583,16.0,0.801923076923077 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,TiRex-2,100,5200,0.6824945758691733,0.6059621332199672,16.0,1.1643030559835923,0.5699885335860233,17.0,0.7986538461538462 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,t0-alpha,100,5200,0.6863658929644375,0.609399334991761,17.0,1.176651113287008,0.5760335671697101,18.0,0.811923076923077 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6899445924299735,0.6125767322033472,18.0,1.149009225388353,0.5625013866365298,15.0,0.7951923076923076 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,TiRex-2,100,5200,0.6824945758691733,0.6059621332199672,16.0,1.1643030559835923,0.5699885335860233,18.0,0.7986538461538462 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,t0-alpha,100,5200,0.6839062076502694,0.6072154697821,17.0,1.1551339184007723,0.5654997509978295,17.0,0.8159615384615385 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6903401631488649,0.6129279450702825,18.0,1.1500241254878913,0.5629982344430345,15.0,0.7967307692307692 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,AutoTheta,100,5200,0.773992035360005,0.6871994026395265,19.0,1.4138225451462534,0.6921416508505056,19.0,0.8511538461538461 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,AutoETS,100,5200,0.7787514483693302,0.6914251125015173,20.0,1.458027754756774,0.7137824620407481,20.0,0.8509615384615384 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,1w,1,Seasonal Naive,100,5200,1.1262990514646969,1.0,21.0,2.0426780318868896,1.0,21.0,0.7765384615384615 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.6779659307035419,0.5972736690864613,1.0,1.052709874188401,0.5145345647825131,3.0,0.8325 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.6808781595429642,0.5998392811996484,2.0,1.0342555783520238,0.5055146312667774,1.0,0.8209615384615384 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.6824400437862469,0.601215268237383,3.0,1.0404994823088805,0.5085664734540296,2.0,0.8013461538461538 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.6838110049846899,0.6024230561041266,4.0,1.0892534701722256,0.5323960323303708,7.0,0.8201923076923077 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.676982584207387,0.5964073615875988,1.0,1.0874380111643385,0.5315086877415078,7.0,0.825 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.6779659307035419,0.5972736690864613,2.0,1.0527098741884007,0.5145345647825131,4.0,0.8325 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.6803518100213646,0.599375578385465,3.0,1.0228032647663974,0.49991706698908306,1.0,0.8228846153846154 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.6824400437862469,0.601215268237383,4.0,1.0404994823088805,0.5085664734540296,2.0,0.8013461538461538 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.6842142460948507,0.6027783030073778,5.0,1.073643713000795,0.5247664281920463,6.0,0.8238461538461539 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.6879614575142484,0.6060795171421114,6.0,1.0676844624933342,0.5218537164929656,5.0,0.8378846153846153 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1300,0.6900287887892479,0.6079007923418176,7.0,1.0625545722830536,0.5193463724550239,4.0,0.8055769230769231 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.692529367535819,0.6101037494155666,8.0,1.1198355136010014,0.5473436630039374,9.0,0.7509615384615385 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1300,0.6990230539084694,0.615824549989815,9.0,1.1761024859684663,0.5748453544467422,12.0,0.8411538461538461 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.699795069348076,0.6165046792903046,10.0,1.115274139127055,0.5451141932446921,8.0,0.8140384615384615 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1300,0.7011070125561611,0.6176604735537611,11.0,1.1281147914871923,0.5513903379220094,10.0,0.8115384615384615 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.6847258622783711,0.603229026061821,6.0,1.0720208723695364,0.5239732299724896,5.0,0.8365384615384616 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1300,0.6885910435479223,0.6066341691435,7.0,1.0477823572774307,0.5121261350418888,3.0,0.8088461538461539 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.692529367535819,0.6101037494155666,8.0,1.1198355136010014,0.5473436630039374,10.0,0.7509615384615385 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.6977356914775341,0.6146904108719822,9.0,1.106747517947329,0.5409466239786034,8.0,0.818076923076923 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1300,0.6990230539084694,0.615824549989815,10.0,1.1761024859684663,0.5748453544467422,12.0,0.8411538461538461 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1300,0.7002015877516135,0.6168628134198176,11.0,1.1169086957657284,0.54591311791455,9.0,0.8161538461538461 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,Chronos-2,100,1300,0.7018592689697555,0.6183231955695636,12.0,1.1324247376338303,0.5534969166852285,11.0,0.7638461538461538 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7029154106375335,0.6192536340774902,13.0,1.1961990110508265,0.5846679627839776,13.0,0.7990384615384616 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1300,0.7041637099033344,0.6203533593716937,14.0,1.209805549890534,0.5913184509305649,14.0,0.8038461538461539 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7029154106375335,0.6192536340774902,13.0,1.1961990110508263,0.5846679627839776,13.0,0.7990384615384616 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1300,0.7041637099033344,0.6203533593716937,14.0,1.209805549890534,0.5913184509305649,15.0,0.8038461538461539 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,TiRex-2,100,1300,0.7117357054926202,0.6270241275963242,15.0,1.2147923020237998,0.5937558331585471,16.0,0.8086538461538462 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7121676457849484,0.6274046578730557,16.0,1.2180032509903964,0.595325253441928,17.0,0.8076923076923077 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7182030245833622,0.6327216991519802,17.0,1.210203236275173,0.5915128286939518,15.0,0.7851923076923077 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,t0-alpha,100,1300,0.7233273091343109,0.6372360856374665,18.0,1.2884612043607255,0.6297630916932493,18.0,0.8088461538461539 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.7181249975410512,0.6326529589753157,17.0,1.205871570385297,0.5893956339396527,14.0,0.7896153846153846 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covariates,100,400,0.7379201443473407,0.6379400172087801,2.0,1.162779418701981,0.5664182260974354,1.0,0.8305769230769231 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.7405088728708468,0.6401780012663844,3.0,1.1861279961915534,0.577791887886449,5.0,0.8182692307692307 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.7187293716180211,0.6213493847684367,1.0,1.1654320672247525,0.5677103959162008,1.0,0.8405769230769231 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.7382916675697639,0.6382612030887452,2.0,1.1832228949228958,0.5763767421754392,6.0,0.8232692307692308 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.7392503722186686,0.639090013719415,3.0,1.167402518854566,0.5686702509831366,2.0,0.8357692307692308 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,Timestral-209M,100,400,0.7405991979829268,0.6402560883114341,4.0,1.2043049864922917,0.5866463433715896,7.0,0.8275 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.7441537710963745,0.6433290555566477,5.0,1.2397823890114503,0.6039282517698987,10.0,0.7515384615384616 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.7540702791135113,0.651901984949568,6.0,1.172435195966654,0.5711217907992886,4.0,0.8198076923076922 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.7441537710963745,0.6433290555566477,5.0,1.2397823890114505,0.6039282517698987,11.0,0.7515384615384616 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.7550695732976199,0.6527658856763474,6.0,1.1762754825423463,0.5729924880914179,5.0,0.821923076923077 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.7569575854573712,0.6543980927910447,7.0,1.1721880369216953,0.5710013935979297,3.0,0.805 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M,100,400,0.7572722124654195,0.6546700912728128,8.0,1.298929369588744,0.6327401891664244,14.0,0.8155769230769231 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.7592093940978303,0.6563448059331772,9.0,1.2945314400664527,0.6305978503887922,13.0,0.8084615384615386 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,Chronos-2,100,400,0.7597704590342041,0.6568298526931924,10.0,1.2293493541511684,0.5988460659285201,9.0,0.7578846153846154 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,TimesFM-2.5,100,400,0.7606386877034153,0.6575804458521141,11.0,1.2601875876794475,0.6138681219179228,12.0,0.84 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,t0-gamma,100,400,0.7636996073535991,0.6602266442914317,12.0,1.1972912518439909,0.5832297820927157,6.0,0.8007692307692308 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.7756781744254942,0.6705822462390382,13.0,1.2425596805539474,0.6052811382448008,11.0,0.8105769230769231 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,t0-beta,100,400,0.7762340205808874,0.6710627813059464,14.0,1.228907642476253,0.5986308973941205,8.0,0.8073076923076923 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.7850597466234375,0.6786927177788749,15.0,1.334257589288251,0.6499494269732932,15.0,0.8234615384615386 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,t0-gamma,100,400,0.7604687161968832,0.6574335036299337,11.0,1.1751415598554968,0.5724401266834959,4.0,0.8057692307692308 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-weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,AutoETS,100,400,0.9020235022960924,0.7798091609037766,20.0,2.039367092042605,0.993425470091088,20.0,0.8505769230769231 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,Seasonal Naive,100,400,1.1567233978768254,1.0,21.0,2.052863705875805,1.0,21.0,0.770576923076923 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,AutoETS,100,400,0.9020235022960925,0.7798091609037766,20.0,2.039367092042605,0.9934254700910881,20.0,0.8505769230769231 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,13w,13,Seasonal Naive,100,400,1.1567233978768254,1.0,21.0,2.0528637058758052,1.0,21.0,0.770576923076923 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,26w,26,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.7852562567989517,0.660350508602577,1.0,1.2922552756259764,0.6268385826164975,1.0,0.8367307692307692 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covariates,100,200,0.8204804896750214,0.6899718454508404,6.0,1.382556249464527,0.6706411775971426,10.0,0.7567307692307692 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,26w,26,Timestral-209M,100,200,0.8176910309280798,0.6876260882711681,4.0,1.3516192751036458,0.6556344761159482,7.0,0.8353846153846153 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,26w,26,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.8204804896750214,0.6899718454508404,5.0,1.382556249464527,0.6706411775971426,10.0,0.7567307692307692 +weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.8237246214182357,0.6926999536678168,6.0,1.3303461931966865,0.6453154712242996,3.0,0.8240384615384616 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.826409604336806,0.6949578533286165,7.0,1.419000587942115,0.6883193545847514,14.0,0.8178846153846153 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,26w,26,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,0.8357927097804287,0.7028484475114964,8.0,1.4113487699532965,0.6846076616762221,13.0,0.8286538461538462 weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,26w,26,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,0.8367606469636659,0.70366242104652,9.0,1.3587980575863314,0.6591167121116023,8.0,0.8057692307692308 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,26w,26,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.8449926391250788,0.7105850022593854,10.0,1.3353302512034118,0.6477331048881287,3.0,0.8253846153846154 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,26w,26,Chronos-2,100,200,0.8461521760406733,0.7115600989686782,11.0,1.3453576692459166,0.652597138049086,4.0,0.7638461538461538 -weekly,card_spend__product,card_spend,product,26w,26,t0-gamma,100,200,0.8491627986522668,0.7140918408753018,12.0,1.354365372903309,0.6569665349474614,7.0,0.7932692307692308 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-weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1272,0.6448355933938287,0.5411839245839332,3.0,0.6848839355734581,0.4078587339096454,15.0,0.7814465408805031 +weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1272,0.6408649063810165,0.5378514907001606,1.0,0.6576703723016506,0.39165264571761343,6.0,0.7894392033542976 +weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1272,0.6409591043319232,0.5379305471562273,2.0,0.6571918730746862,0.39136769219665946,5.0,0.8002489517819706 +weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1272,0.6448355933938287,0.5411839245839332,3.0,0.6848839355734581,0.4078587339096454,16.0,0.7814465408805031 weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1272,0.6467079704791853,0.542755333466655,4.0,0.6509536519643719,0.3876527372506498,1.0,0.8009040880503144 -weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1272,0.6483563417726463,0.5441387435248246,5.0,0.6606143642434616,0.393405837409899,6.0,0.8232442348008386 -weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1272,0.649251665616009,0.5448901519090523,6.0,0.656120637332103,0.3907297551229524,3.0,0.7932389937106918 -weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1272,0.6499486682731414,0.5454751174991914,7.0,0.6791004444746936,0.4044145775575992,12.0,0.7567479035639413 +weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1272,0.6483466308130574,0.5441305935168603,5.0,0.6555855737988711,0.3904111167027908,2.0,0.8203616352201258 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-weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1272,0.6631839738153958,0.5565829637003086,11.0,0.6628181311986912,0.3947182139360606,7.0,0.7758123689727464 -weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1272,0.6633956289715104,0.5567605971455122,12.0,0.6806208627878176,0.4053200096403134,13.0,0.7954009433962265 -weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1272,0.6707595873828148,0.5629408637969354,13.0,0.7131609721100631,0.4246981365025531,19.0,0.7936975890985325 -weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1272,0.6717304631160032,0.5637556797670106,14.0,0.6808091141401756,0.4054321161655821,14.0,0.7810534591194969 -weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1272,0.6756014479580043,0.5670044377299098,15.0,0.6564088208420442,0.3909013727582818,4.0,0.7839360587002097 -weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1272,0.6766981723408763,0.5679248732824601,16.0,0.6658605702895717,0.3965300323933949,9.0,0.7669680293501049 -weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,t0-alpha,100,1272,0.683738721672376,0.5738337160285534,17.0,0.709690973303904,0.4226316997732947,18.0,0.7624475890985325 -weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1272,0.6994562849478415,0.5870248187925066,18.0,0.7005293029665042,0.4171757866320692,16.0,0.7613993710691824 -weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,AutoTheta,100,1272,0.7432579277117893,0.6237857314608914,19.0,0.7047264057066018,0.4196752247423114,17.0,0.7969732704402516 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-weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,396,0.7226806529126122,0.6002310935445407,2.0,1.316219018118285,0.7777749096644982,11.0,0.7912738005541037 -weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,13w,13,TimesFM-2.5,100,396,0.728566976823896,0.6051200505464857,3.0,1.302472617347607,0.7696519411687909,9.0,0.7807747737671981 +weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,4w,4,Seasonal Naive,100,1272,1.1915276195418847,1.0,21.0,1.679218510311914,1.0,21.0,0.6516640461215932 +weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,396,0.7199291704449403,0.5979458167438083,1.0,1.312417420304628,0.775528484597396,12.0,0.8026187967475846 +weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0,100,396,0.7200230238131028,0.5980237677856385,2.0,1.2454782747733395,0.7359730708311911,3.0,0.788247814194784 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covariates,100,396,0.7432562954640645,0.6173204405185674,7.0,1.2848982476492663,0.7592669644921288,8.0,0.762215688352052 +weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,13w,13,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,396,0.7410320041180031,0.6154730286339026,5.0,1.2729168369522725,0.7521869569141877,6.0,0.8112482144679115 +weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,13w,13,Chronos-2,100,396,0.7423694526900233,0.6165838626042156,6.0,1.2732315709633326,0.7523729382848038,7.0,0.7756024699206517 +weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,13w,13,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,396,0.7432562954640645,0.6173204405185674,7.0,1.2848982476492665,0.7592669644921288,8.0,0.762215688352052 weekly,clickstream_visits__product,clickstream_visits,product,13w,13,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,396,0.7437628062267632,0.6177411291142305,8.0,1.390217611329464,0.8215018641894424,16.0,0.7627393790272579 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Naive,100,5155,0.5633923379098549,1.0,21.0,0.4529643701784013,1.0,21.0,0.919301648884578 -weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1291,0.2758358150239383,0.4843022980833012,1.0,0.2266112669203847,0.4988874159651485,1.0,0.8464368706429125 -weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1291,0.2852698266005088,0.5008661858666229,2.0,0.239972135174961,0.5283015273160998,3.0,0.8177769171185127 -weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1291,0.292212842951213,0.5130564765799016,3.0,0.2420082647312506,0.5327840909004801,4.0,0.838884585592564 -weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1291,0.2948480017042694,0.5176831906264758,4.0,0.239912307097125,0.5281698150867857,2.0,0.7867931835786213 -weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,4w,4,Timestral-209M + past & calendar 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covariates,100,200,0.3700144516638582,0.6173988656566914,1.0,0.2669325853773228,0.5789446130428343,1.0,0.8658216783216782 -weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,26w,26,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.3732723664942767,0.6228349585218798,2.0,0.2820046990493653,0.6116342114493521,3.0,0.8608216783216782 -weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.3748953059789464,0.6255429635534638,3.0,0.2806328378824256,0.6086588098837483,2.0,0.88493006993007 -weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,26w,26,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,0.3766492246942137,0.6284695179634083,4.0,0.2925030013400395,0.6344037641013434,6.0,0.8527447552447552 +weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,13w,13,AutoETS,100,397,1.0065416995100225,1.7608468150719536,21.0,1.0161420719000376,2.2218870962018076,21.0,0.8455725634566944 +weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar 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covariates,100,200,0.3869604614494626,0.6456746456214805,6.0,0.287523678783492,0.6236042134708315,4.0,0.8173601398601399 -weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,26w,26,Timestral-209M,100,200,0.3892941228873191,0.6495685473814806,7.0,0.2978063193679851,0.6459060218687568,7.0,0.847937062937063 -weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,26w,26,t0-gamma,100,200,0.3965621147562088,0.6616957762377498,8.0,0.3014734552523038,0.6538595977220807,8.0,0.8506818181818181 -weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,26w,26,Chronos-2,100,200,0.3969402346648747,0.6623266997101784,9.0,0.3278597947679835,0.7110883886504279,15.0,0.863513986013986 -weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.40421861014168,0.674471254451206,10.0,0.3083002440736319,0.6686660800663105,9.0,0.8619755244755245 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covariates,100,200,0.4419655208550058,0.737455010225219,16.0,0.3256822800768646,0.7063656216699078,13.0,0.8662062937062938 -weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,26w,26,t0-alpha,100,200,0.4539116381098527,0.7573880674584663,17.0,0.3574454081695666,0.7752560191336173,17.0,0.916923076923077 -weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,26w,26,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.483540119714846,0.8068255714580966,18.0,0.3602089560704423,0.7812498215307139,18.0,0.8262762237762238 -weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,26w,26,Seasonal Naive,100,200,0.5993118423861944,1.0,19.0,0.461067569096758,1.0,19.0,0.9123951048951048 -weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,26w,26,AutoTheta,100,200,0.6042780204100268,1.008286467365736,20.0,0.687765976152575,1.491681528371046,20.0,0.973846153846154 +weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,26w,26,Timestral-209M + past & calendar 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weekly,foottraffic,foottraffic,original,26w,26,AutoETS,100,200,0.643782922225263,1.0742035726542705,21.0,0.7344834193183518,1.593006033274519,21.0,0.9767307692307692 -weekly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,1w,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5185,0.2246840200062,0.4551651927462316,1.0,0.239568633399363,0.5731449286935323,1.0,0.791321118611379 -weekly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,1w,1,Timestral-209M,100,5185,0.2289839998107927,0.4638760976717725,2.0,0.2568196282872755,0.6144162758420669,6.0,0.7951783992285438 -weekly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5185,0.2310201778533059,0.4680009899144901,3.0,0.2547541999821252,0.6094749371455955,5.0,0.8003857280617165 -weekly,foottraffic__company,foottraffic,company,1w,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,5185,0.2312806977893894,0.4685287515546744,4.0,0.2761861890330273,0.6607489109627895,7.0,0.7749276759884282 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covariates,100,5200,0.2406191605861684,0.5617829125982052,1.0,0.28651265235075496,0.5195242777636431,1.0,0.7998076923076923 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,5200,0.24262255151380369,0.5664603073146444,2.0,0.2927413263179653,0.5308185341173857,2.0,0.7742307692307693 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,t0-gamma,100,5200,0.24688219751899826,0.5764054685129711,3.0,0.30182042564117817,0.5472813760894119,3.0,0.8003846153846154 weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,Timestral-209M,100,5200,0.2580878226421124,0.602567677307197,4.0,0.3104077320047814,0.5628524655330447,5.0,0.8028846153846154 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,5200,0.2608757661069861,0.6090767973458524,5.0,0.3294197446696627,0.5973263432746245,8.0,0.8275 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.262981154098073,0.6139923285732939,6.0,0.3097317718001421,0.5616267683980986,3.0,0.7859615384615385 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2632650578583326,0.6146551697242135,7.0,0.3178779305761693,0.57639793895528,6.0,0.8584615384615385 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2639911460251605,0.6163503960069832,8.0,0.3268320285232299,0.5926341199085619,7.0,0.805 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2745731874930405,0.6410566997883553,9.0,0.330735930175267,0.5997129405805088,9.0,0.8182692307692307 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,t0-beta,100,5200,0.2753391597535384,0.6428450450158245,10.0,0.3420175942182371,0.6201696230893177,10.0,0.8215384615384616 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,5200,0.2773560223372782,0.6475538925317228,11.0,0.3444807970225235,0.624636070373173,11.0,0.8188461538461539 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,Chronos-2,100,5200,0.2862120511162889,0.6682304073587474,12.0,0.349442199154631,0.6336324230236754,12.0,0.8094230769230769 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2862365844914513,0.6682876863839133,13.0,0.3568732944640367,0.6471069917449392,13.0,0.7886538461538461 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5200,0.2868143590569316,0.6696366391332704,14.0,0.3571334751200871,0.6475787690515036,14.0,0.795 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.3093838800601015,0.7223305776135628,15.0,0.3802805181110767,0.689550565736894,15.0,0.7634615384615384 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.3277492056214,0.7652088174823523,16.0,0.3972300710403001,0.7202846508522394,17.0,0.8103846153846154 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,5200,0.2596285852619124,0.6061649557203752,5.0,0.3325697255360919,0.6030381033702922,9.0,0.8253846153846154 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.26271983514051483,0.61338221703963,6.0,0.32622730013703877,0.5915375851639304,8.0,0.8071153846153846 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.262981154098073,0.6139923285732939,7.0,0.30973177180014216,0.5616267683980986,4.0,0.7859615384615385 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.26326505785833265,0.6146551697242135,8.0,0.3178779305761693,0.57639793895528,6.0,0.8584615384615385 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2703746811396093,0.6312542837128989,9.0,0.32317258382339126,0.5859985652511982,7.0,0.8201923076923077 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,t0-beta,100,5200,0.27362772244194894,0.6388492857616912,10.0,0.3399974255461497,0.6165065155032621,10.0,0.8290384615384615 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,5200,0.27735602233727824,0.6475538925317228,11.0,0.3444807970225235,0.624636070373173,11.0,0.8188461538461539 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,Chronos-2,100,5200,0.2862120511162889,0.6682304073587474,12.0,0.34944219915463104,0.6336324230236754,12.0,0.8094230769230769 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.28623658449145134,0.6682876863839133,13.0,0.35687329446403676,0.6471069917449392,13.0,0.7886538461538461 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5200,0.28681435905693164,0.6696366391332704,14.0,0.35713347512008714,0.6475787690515036,14.0,0.795 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.3064009678320856,0.715366256420698,15.0,0.3730479128358853,0.6764359126801651,15.0,0.7715384615384615 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.3277492056214,0.7652088174823523,16.0,0.39723007104030017,0.7202846508522394,18.0,0.8103846153846154 weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,TiRex-2,100,5200,0.3279892591284975,0.7657692797417507,17.0,0.3887595287069173,0.7049252859100249,16.0,0.7934615384615384 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,t0-alpha,100,5200,0.3426095601727679,0.7999038652157594,18.0,0.4055317926329914,0.7353378985160032,18.0,0.8292307692307692 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,AutoTheta,100,5200,0.3926881074278888,0.916824197192372,19.0,0.5245717777377547,0.9511893165219208,19.0,0.8842307692307693 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,AutoETS,100,5200,0.4117179342119165,0.9612538739102492,20.0,0.5351184993396022,0.9703133512827528,20.0,0.8878846153846154 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,Seasonal Naive,100,5200,0.4283134199887323,1.0,21.0,0.5514904011494599,1.0,21.0,0.9653846153846154 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.2662218936118928,0.6223618619994876,1.0,0.3539106254010898,0.6402689564528223,4.0,0.8480769230769231 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.2701150896767212,0.6314632049400047,2.0,0.3416393091665095,0.6180685977297324,1.0,0.8023076923076923 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.272394907738465,0.6367928635742995,3.0,0.3472378539333786,0.6281970712997906,2.0,0.7753846153846153 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.2736658454420116,0.6397640059733455,4.0,0.3812371022938602,0.6897059995589387,7.0,0.8532692307692308 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.2804497619835375,0.6556231484095729,5.0,0.3515847056984462,0.6360610743664427,3.0,0.8711538461538462 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.2812655054182078,0.6575301576191739,6.0,0.368186920141554,0.666096574160346,6.0,0.8213461538461538 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1300,0.2814878176261403,0.6580498693445955,7.0,0.3647189010631295,0.6598224902619468,5.0,0.8084615384615385 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1300,0.2941600287063595,0.687674408395592,8.0,0.3839407958751482,0.6945973222365147,8.0,0.8396153846153847 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.2951408520904755,0.6899673342678758,9.0,0.4003852653061571,0.7243474414087773,11.0,0.7551923076923077 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.2961140163895551,0.6922423550672153,10.0,0.3863958120683336,0.6990387561558953,9.0,0.8148076923076923 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1300,0.303196460588585,0.7087993823628053,11.0,0.4040557392607173,0.7309877917116544,12.0,0.8226923076923077 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,1w,1,t0-alpha,100,5200,0.3338230844198803,0.7793897385439433,18.0,0.3938368125956996,0.7141317632633927,17.0,0.8332692307692308 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calendar covariates,100,1300,0.29009551551426227,0.6781725677917428,8.0,0.3806127956373817,0.6885765500800003,7.0,0.8167307692307693 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1300,0.2941600287063595,0.687674408395592,9.0,0.38394079587514823,0.6945973222365147,8.0,0.8396153846153847 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.2951408520904755,0.6899673342678758,10.0,0.4003852653061571,0.7243474414087773,12.0,0.7551923076923077 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1300,0.2979149775122023,0.6964525629598592,11.0,0.3946657503527065,0.7140001175144695,11.0,0.8334615384615385 weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,Chronos-2,100,1300,0.3058228686313179,0.714939283847499,12.0,0.3938586620076448,0.7125399929085121,10.0,0.8028846153846154 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1300,0.3094750140468222,0.7234771091564863,13.0,0.4047508409194387,0.7322453182782948,13.0,0.8151923076923077 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1300,0.3094750140468222,0.7234771091564863,13.0,0.40475084091943875,0.7322453182782948,13.0,0.8151923076923077 weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.3096192385824789,0.723814270947876,14.0,0.4136997883973192,0.7484350929043605,14.0,0.808076923076923 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.3431926566839929,0.8023007347013293,15.0,0.441958777495437,0.7995591681981109,15.0,0.7773076923076923 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.3457664576681798,0.8083176537127683,16.0,0.4545723284965196,0.8223786727763499,17.0,0.8342307692307692 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,TiRex-2,100,1300,0.3500811892729712,0.8184044439431044,17.0,0.4569807145835795,0.8267357469527744,18.0,0.8228846153846154 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,t0-alpha,100,1300,0.362173115927124,0.8466724195236958,18.0,0.4455883243760434,0.8061254762624952,16.0,0.8592307692307692 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.3320522164777522,0.7762571023907664,15.0,0.4185855689530312,0.7572740861228262,16.0,0.7878846153846154 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.3457664576681798,0.8083176537127683,16.0,0.45457232849651963,0.8223786727763499,17.0,0.8342307692307692 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,t0-alpha,100,1300,0.346746038875634,0.8106076756789544,17.0,0.41594718207479314,0.7525009115075295,15.0,0.864423076923077 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-weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.2877109666173327,0.6762198244267283,2.0,0.3953355984444618,0.7131173392451868,5.0,0.821923076923077 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.2878511862290638,0.6765493887889797,3.0,0.3560028879619264,0.6421679029814872,2.0,0.879423076923077 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.293982379928678,0.6909598048249934,4.0,0.3658866521760071,0.6599965115505234,3.0,0.8871153846153846 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,t0-gamma,100,400,0.3010956410635867,0.7076784174392533,5.0,0.387847247660965,0.699609643993169,4.0,0.8478846153846153 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,Timestral-209M,100,400,0.3075751769905604,0.7229075576365142,6.0,0.3967367945300722,0.7156448556850494,6.0,0.8484615384615385 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,Timestral-209M + past 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-weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M,100,400,0.3437817314220939,0.8080054257110131,12.0,0.4217159132712367,0.7607028842650162,11.0,0.8398076923076923 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,AutoTheta,100,1300,0.45792828361820714,1.0705246491497622,20.0,0.5943286064659334,1.0752154056430077,20.0,0.9023076923076923 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,4w,4,AutoETS,100,1300,0.5096320517226018,1.1913954496435475,21.0,0.6559644242215733,1.1867223734538654,21.0,0.9130769230769231 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.27870786329721925,0.6550594320440486,1.0,0.3429835066784407,0.6186831812007285,1.0,0.8578846153846154 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.2853634552936942,0.6707023646170648,2.0,0.3670514955493724,0.6620976883995603,2.0,0.8834615384615385 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calendar covariates,100,400,0.3440771527538782,0.8086997675480998,13.0,0.434045529783318,0.7829433891818637,13.0,0.8425 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.3562081309611757,0.8372117427776495,14.0,0.4312179296332115,0.7778428854492697,12.0,0.7846153846153847 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.3562081309611757,0.8372117427776495,14.0,0.43121792963321154,0.7778428854492697,12.0,0.7846153846153847 weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.3817120364743506,0.897154701195544,15.0,0.5045668085999824,0.9101516317681244,17.0,0.8761538461538462 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,TiRex-2,100,400,0.3874008953772684,0.9105254781726904,16.0,0.4824059041854228,0.870177176511478,15.0,0.8626923076923078 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.3911412213873821,0.9193165320125736,17.0,0.5598773443213992,1.0099223132374375,19.0,0.8092307692307692 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,Seasonal Naive,100,400,0.4254695828553124,1.0,18.0,0.5543766455923125,1.0,18.0,0.966153846153846 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,t0-alpha,100,400,0.4354869535446821,1.0235442698915005,19.0,0.4884130687992298,0.8810130669869666,16.0,0.8778846153846154 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.3847064036590305,0.9041924949776161,16.0,0.5401309540066214,0.9743032256157353,18.0,0.8171153846153847 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,TiRex-2,100,400,0.3874008953772684,0.9105254781726903,17.0,0.4824059041854228,0.870177176511478,16.0,0.8626923076923078 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covariates,100,200,0.305194883818693,0.7225703112354411,2.0,0.3917881665690117,0.7020456657323535,2.0,0.8767307692307692 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,0.3097525766905873,0.7333609690464571,3.0,0.4461200533055535,0.7994030359880259,7.0,0.8434615384615385 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.3154256632772146,0.7467923997745032,4.0,0.3982305188725267,0.7135897242255211,3.0,0.8940384615384616 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,t0-gamma,100,200,0.317018622701523,0.7505638430326796,5.0,0.4373567731761023,0.7837001042574525,6.0,0.8707692307692309 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,13w,13,AutoETS,100,400,1.0632842095719652,2.4990839590372116,21.0,1.3942931504670462,2.5150647336114638,21.0,0.835 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.2939152237401397,0.6958649242000801,1.0,0.3623629468796118,0.6493185807693963,1.0,0.8801923076923077 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.30197235315368376,0.714940743673736,2.0,0.4089162089891716,0.7327374246204695,3.0,0.8890384615384616 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,0.30975257669058737,0.7333609690464571,3.0,0.4461200533055535,0.7994030359880259,7.0,0.8434615384615385 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.31279931102757,0.7405743264611675,4.0,0.40850912363958863,0.7320079679149222,2.0,0.884423076923077 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,t0-gamma,100,200,0.3136317136619484,0.7425450981303063,5.0,0.4304899875798946,0.7713955032595513,5.0,0.8740384615384617 weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.3266287581587132,0.7733165133311826,6.0,0.4520925519330254,0.8101051631393585,9.0,0.8171153846153847 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,Timestral-209M,100,200,0.3310477413398969,0.7837787662124236,7.0,0.4480565162641475,0.8028729861879963,8.0,0.855576923076923 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,0.3324637399830027,0.7871312423989699,8.0,0.4340458811944366,0.7777673131121974,5.0,0.8684615384615384 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,Timestral-209M,100,200,0.33104774133989695,0.7837787662124236,7.0,0.4480565162641475,0.8028729861879963,8.0,0.855576923076923 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,0.33246373998300277,0.7871312423989699,8.0,0.4340458811944366,0.7777673131121974,6.0,0.8684615384615384 weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,Chronos-2,100,200,0.3449818294152012,0.8167686978632306,9.0,0.4251361707772697,0.7618019927808579,4.0,0.8421153846153847 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M,100,200,0.3452280408371406,0.8173516206879989,10.0,0.4726456064022288,0.8469342050525568,11.0,0.8559615384615386 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.3491333238946807,0.8265976524662566,11.0,0.4574012358876751,0.8196178000159199,10.0,0.8561538461538462 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.3518380146628324,0.8330011977212942,12.0,0.4759229618085795,0.8528069019699809,12.0,0.8809615384615386 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,t0-beta,100,200,0.3549535248677946,0.8403773868313125,13.0,0.5262770640993403,0.9430364757078727,17.0,0.8692307692307693 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.3637872511200614,0.8612918538354876,14.0,0.487352339989175,0.8732872178610163,13.0,0.8244230769230769 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.3976228763021553,0.9414000716167382,15.0,0.5463941117120064,0.9790842364339892,18.0,0.8523076923076922 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,TiRex-2,100,200,0.4048362030272757,0.9584781289930524,16.0,0.4999138070992316,0.8957961252052133,15.0,0.879423076923077 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M,100,200,0.3452280408371406,0.8173516206879989,10.0,0.4726456064022288,0.8469342050525568,12.0,0.8559615384615386 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.3469928420610065,0.8215299114694231,11.0,0.4717078488096068,0.8452538361451107,11.0,0.8871153846153846 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weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.4087463685928594,0.967735720451841,17.0,0.5100475200596545,0.913954737099857,16.0,0.8763461538461539 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,Seasonal Naive,100,200,0.4223739601159018,1.0,18.0,0.5580664986519214,1.0,19.0,0.9657692307692308 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,t0-alpha,100,200,0.4255565970298178,1.0075351163055664,19.0,0.4991046087445778,0.894346121743962,14.0,0.9134615384615384 -weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,AutoTheta,100,200,0.5182022777802758,1.22688026894006,20.0,0.8338463820135468,1.4941702897912807,20.0,0.9696153846153848 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,t0-alpha,100,200,0.41282746081335636,0.9773979927646916,18.0,0.4848935950239861,0.8688813899334694,13.0,0.9173076923076923 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,Seasonal Naive,100,200,0.42237396011590184,1.0,19.0,0.5580664986519214,1.0,19.0,0.9657692307692308 +weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,AutoTheta,100,200,0.5182022777802758,1.22688026894006,20.0,0.8338463820135468,1.4941702897912807,20.0,0.9696153846153847 weekly,foottraffic__product,foottraffic,product,26w,26,AutoETS,100,200,0.6019743902161072,1.4252166256909446,21.0,1.0067230552000868,1.80394819906221,21.0,0.9767307692307692 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2258535140698999,0.3183149714500679,1.0,0.1992285731838723,0.3997411064111678,1.0,0.7853846153846153 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,Timestral-209M,100,5200,0.2353110990010508,0.3316443672300873,2.0,0.2246369351059061,0.4507215784614058,6.0,0.8021153846153846 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2356641209171358,0.3321419116743375,3.0,0.21357583924538,0.4285281017590157,3.0,0.7944230769230769 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,5200,0.2369212421557506,0.3339136818096257,4.0,0.2409623119132974,0.4834775435485165,9.0,0.7988461538461539 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,t0-gamma,100,5200,0.2404252878086222,0.3388522376543151,5.0,0.2330679427086625,0.4676379286285896,7.0,0.7790384615384616 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2407991755240059,0.3393791900815909,6.0,0.2190314691036558,0.4394745211448747,4.0,0.8346153846153846 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2414397343116236,0.3402819852098062,7.0,0.2208550122253385,0.4431333595002402,5.0,0.8157692307692308 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,5200,0.2417615411439193,0.3407355355256227,8.0,0.2383948568389768,0.4783260870296633,8.0,0.7907692307692308 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2421622341273373,0.3413002669450216,9.0,0.2100851804016894,0.4215242879687467,2.0,0.7803846153846153 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,5200,0.2435321064584604,0.343230946986762,10.0,0.259109372459657,0.5198886162424783,17.0,0.8215384615384616 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,t0-beta,100,5200,0.2502385937110831,0.3526829818915107,11.0,0.2509025607710229,0.503422102769559,11.0,0.8034615384615384 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,Chronos-2,100,5200,0.251657066790897,0.354682159189075,12.0,0.2517287252785981,0.5050797561325179,12.0,0.7990384615384616 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5200,0.2519521241895462,0.3550980092050197,13.0,0.2580975684992006,0.5178584875909481,16.0,0.7913461538461538 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2527425017429882,0.3562119569308045,14.0,0.2573899623078651,0.516438714928285,15.0,0.7775 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2667922090159224,0.3760134295263636,15.0,0.2455468675202548,0.4926762006559853,10.0,0.7803846153846153 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,TiRex-2,100,5200,0.2722804778737804,0.383748523452149,16.0,0.2570320271775433,0.5157205378980946,14.0,0.7840384615384616 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2727058513580546,0.3843480392447633,17.0,0.2541962586750282,0.5100307253345365,13.0,0.7911538461538462 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,t0-alpha,100,5200,0.2892490896734504,0.4076638616872121,18.0,0.2973017885554911,0.5965195854989518,18.0,0.8061538461538461 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,AutoTheta,100,5200,0.3121965527089772,0.4400057141976163,19.0,0.3357507593076116,0.6736653174750491,19.0,0.8596153846153847 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,AutoETS,100,5200,0.3154145630595519,0.4445411356502672,20.0,0.3362604633539436,0.674688010436038,20.0,0.8636538461538461 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,Seasonal Naive,100,5200,0.7095284052805797,1.0,21.0,0.4983940104947544,1.0,21.0,0.9159615384615384 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.2634832292677643,0.3673543290979422,1.0,0.237374869184139,0.4748104027402516,2.0,0.828076923076923 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.2635072618682809,0.367387835897839,2.0,0.2321764311566534,0.4644121981538345,1.0,0.7921153846153847 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.2704675287264118,0.3770919987362748,3.0,0.2718880547873404,0.543845594260012,7.0,0.8251923076923077 +weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2261011701400717,0.3186640146572582,1.0,0.20101060098056212,0.403316646564471,1.0,0.7996153846153846 +weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.23359568901166325,0.3292266909586078,2.0,0.2107022938114403,0.42276249187320025,3.0,0.7946153846153846 +weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,5200,0.23419161260362298,0.3300665778292738,3.0,0.24167903649223121,0.484915611751267,10.0,0.8013461538461538 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past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.25274250174298823,0.3562119569308045,14.0,0.25738996230786515,0.516438714928285,15.0,0.7775 +weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2619755556582095,0.36922490165085425,15.0,0.23642043205900293,0.4743645129770099,8.0,0.7975 +weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,t0-alpha,100,5200,0.27039268101272723,0.3810878873916284,16.0,0.2773796187997215,0.5565468544141763,18.0,0.8205769230769231 +weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,TiRex-2,100,5200,0.27228047787378046,0.38374852345214905,17.0,0.2570320271775433,0.5157205378980946,14.0,0.7840384615384616 +weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,1w,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.2727058513580546,0.38434803924476335,18.0,0.2541962586750282,0.5100307253345365,13.0,0.7911538461538462 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-weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1300,0.300656464974513,0.4191821023547163,13.0,0.2908844335097381,0.5818432064874091,12.0,0.796923076923077 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.3012537744649539,0.4200148848727328,14.0,0.2954257214077376,0.5909269428712126,15.0,0.7842307692307692 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,4w,4,TiRex-2,100,1300,0.3226637480797278,0.4498651585129845,15.0,0.2947132715486932,0.5895018610768855,14.0,0.7940384615384616 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,4w,4,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.324282150371376,0.4521215719086728,16.0,0.2925936591523064,0.5852620945883742,13.0,0.7982692307692307 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.3389043651225533,0.4725081972918995,17.0,0.3203877937563253,0.640857466965025,16.0,0.750576923076923 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,4w,4,t0-alpha,100,1300,0.351490434978793,0.4900559830119542,18.0,0.3578983871845954,0.715888240163205,17.0,0.8336538461538462 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,4w,4,AutoTheta,100,1300,0.4093056344838208,0.5706632531021861,19.0,0.4125673304778945,0.8252400981408049,19.0,0.8819230769230769 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,4w,4,AutoETS,100,1300,0.4125750889171242,0.5752216010592848,20.0,0.4187327814667277,0.8375725757832139,20.0,0.89 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,4w,4,Seasonal Naive,100,1300,0.7172454722794781,1.0,21.0,0.4999361172674151,1.0,21.0,0.9155769230769232 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,13w,13,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.294362264817566,0.3964711584850214,1.0,0.2473339592423696,0.4896373138884195,1.0,0.8348076923076923 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar 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-weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,13w,13,t0-gamma,100,400,0.3194369057113165,0.4302437343615606,7.0,0.2714989115001667,0.5374757197021358,5.0,0.8382692307692308 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,13w,13,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.3324981729563603,0.4478357166733366,8.0,0.2724923937595321,0.5394424774670686,6.0,0.83 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,13w,13,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.3377916822783972,0.4549654477027535,9.0,0.2534022828777627,0.5016505355816356,2.0,0.7936538461538462 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,13w,13,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.3389767739142083,0.4565616259834586,10.0,0.3957162663735054,0.7833839328921631,17.0,0.8357692307692308 -weekly,foottraffic__service,foottraffic,service,13w,13,TimesFM-2.5,100,400,0.3410625181751364,0.4593708768361321,11.0,0.3128738629326068,0.6193840841810778,11.0,0.8486538461538461 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covariates,100,1300,0.5882111281188218,0.4508806036782224,3.0,2.909243950025881,0.3086882836383307,11.0,0.7801923076923077 -weekly,job_openings,job_openings,original,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1300,0.589586326865648,0.4519347327341101,4.0,2.8747091101300417,0.3050239293812473,3.0,0.8132692307692307 -weekly,job_openings,job_openings,original,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.5896041422080737,0.4519483887021182,5.0,2.870405762312909,0.304567318291085,1.0,0.8342307692307692 -weekly,job_openings,job_openings,original,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5912476429953042,0.4532081789231261,6.0,2.916437223838233,0.3094515332609193,14.0,0.7975 -weekly,job_openings,job_openings,original,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.5921594901586383,0.4539071357769028,7.0,2.901125459575848,0.3078268629648485,9.0,0.7973076923076923 -weekly,job_openings,job_openings,original,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5931491589884469,0.4546657451572671,8.0,2.885660621634274,0.3061859506306021,5.0,0.8319230769230769 -weekly,job_openings,job_openings,original,4w,4,TiRex-2,100,1300,0.5932826849663284,0.4547680966270642,9.0,2.8994694115224253,0.3076511463044327,8.0,0.8151923076923077 -weekly,job_openings,job_openings,original,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1300,0.5934030653913157,0.454860371655697,10.0,2.8985209560905547,0.3075505094776829,7.0,0.8053846153846154 -weekly,job_openings,job_openings,original,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1300,0.594937552232822,0.4560365995785643,11.0,2.915935893578278,0.3093983391045887,13.0,0.8376923076923077 -weekly,job_openings,job_openings,original,4w,4,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.5951115471540397,0.4561699716474786,12.0,2.9088951980138407,0.3086512789519374,10.0,0.8153846153846154 -weekly,job_openings,job_openings,original,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1300,0.5955626097350438,0.4565157239787379,13.0,2.915611320792277,0.3093638999795282,12.0,0.8 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-weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.6587968117624866,0.4566752609253304,3.0,2.105800866894266,0.2587607006642504,3.0,0.8340384615384615 -weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,4w,4,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.6598731274472069,0.4574213585648176,4.0,2.1528570943187435,0.2645429674352449,9.0,0.8126923076923077 -weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,4w,4,TiRex-2,100,1300,0.6610955996853541,0.4582687713305781,5.0,2.137762573876954,0.2626881535508395,7.0,0.8044230769230769 -weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.6620324919437784,0.4589182212200367,6.0,2.1494294491375743,0.2641217785742032,8.0,0.7721153846153846 +weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5200,0.5988463215923324,0.42059995696364627,10.0,1.9604805509542347,0.24255999187497504,3.0,0.8211538461538461 +weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1w,1,TiRex-2,100,5200,0.5991016925296322,0.42077931684508035,11.0,1.9992249905963224,0.24735363849402006,9.0,0.8101923076923077 +weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1w,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.5998838445745643,0.4213286616512115,12.0,2.1501398642625364,0.26602554549787805,18.0,0.7342307692307692 +weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1w,1,Chronos-2,100,5200,0.6022987308877399,0.42302475803315637,13.0,2.0507247919608815,0.2537254392213826,14.0,0.7357692307692307 +weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.6033668865975081,0.4237749776293366,14.0,1.9914948929771197,0.24639723399676863,8.0,0.8486538461538462 +weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,1w,1,t0-alpha,100,5200,0.6073254792645529,0.4265552967953096,15.0,2.0805136246851794,0.25741105549544036,16.0,0.7892307692307692 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-weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1300,0.6682976029589571,0.4632611706036691,10.0,2.112063383125905,0.2595302383320785,4.0,0.8157692307692308 -weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1300,0.6685879137331584,0.4634624128473939,11.0,2.115470360949961,0.2599488875893563,5.0,0.7632692307692308 -weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,4w,4,Chronos-2,100,1300,0.6727934138620195,0.4663776483712743,12.0,2.295386159869481,0.2820569315743723,16.0,0.7325 -weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.6736867537614981,0.466996907943278,13.0,2.19416497011613,0.2696188770581941,12.0,0.8344230769230769 -weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,4w,4,t0-alpha,100,1300,0.6763361715379703,0.4688334735318905,14.0,2.313615388329335,0.2842969382164996,17.0,0.7638461538461538 -weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.6810057620948624,0.47207041464622,15.0,2.120028316858737,0.260508968973638,6.0,0.8167307692307693 -weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1300,0.6812525864285753,0.4722415122668953,16.0,2.194896709188718,0.2697087931172589,13.0,0.8325 -weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.6824021199387372,0.4730383642041279,17.0,2.4422591788382366,0.3001046804828817,18.0,0.713076923076923 +weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.666352325739659,0.4619127123752232,8.0,2.2323149308638746,0.27430674224459206,14.0,0.7853846153846153 +weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1300,0.6668321657903584,0.46224533553982133,9.0,2.1678035013068233,0.2663795811461855,11.0,0.7944230769230769 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-weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,13w,13,AutoETS,100,400,1.0215592954417958,0.6802744728213822,19.0,3.657885230219174,0.4400713275441216,19.0,0.8238461538461539 -weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,13w,13,AutoTheta,100,400,1.0264459147687588,0.6835285593940964,20.0,3.59565372483136,0.4325844056022203,17.0,0.8275 +weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,13w,13,AutoETS,100,400,1.0215592954417958,0.6802744728213822,19.0,3.657885230219174,0.44007132754412165,19.0,0.8238461538461539 +weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,13w,13,AutoTheta,100,400,1.0264459147687588,0.6835285593940964,20.0,3.5956537248313594,0.43258440560222033,17.0,0.8275 weekly,job_openings__product,job_openings,product,13w,13,Seasonal Naive,100,400,1.501686945866075,1.0,21.0,8.312028076522285,1.0,21.0,0.7140384615384616 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Naive,80,4160,1.1055054965658242,1.0,21.0,9.145809244669122,1.0,21.0,0.760576923076923 -weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,4w,4,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,80,1040,0.5465206737256514,0.4913500073060421,1.0,3.350427515137343,0.3652469207058789,1.0,0.7790865384615384 -weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,4w,4,TiRex-2,80,1040,0.5515933788194143,0.4959106283487751,2.0,3.380685608441527,0.3685455073357501,2.0,0.8076923076923077 -weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,4w,4,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,80,1040,0.5519683368394178,0.4962477347652849,3.0,3.385485541798648,0.3690687721640029,3.0,0.8423076923076923 -weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,80,1040,0.5523632045744671,0.496602741032804,4.0,3.4113812043778453,0.3718917883235698,8.0,0.7824519230769231 -weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar 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past & calendar covariates,80,320,0.7392865847211453,0.6528548819158941,15.0,4.798691570097685,0.5194351447359181,11.0,0.7776442307692307 +weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0,80,320,0.7338210034608658,0.6480282943894514,12.0,4.708015321091308,0.5096198795039876,4.0,0.7701923076923076 +weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,80,320,0.7361204545242095,0.6500589113158993,13.0,4.781949710167744,0.5176229194014025,9.0,0.7853365384615385 +weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,13w,13,Chronos-2,80,320,0.7361247126005608,0.6500626715707057,14.0,4.815018373811462,0.5212024422432192,12.0,0.6519230769230769 +weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,13w,13,PatchTST-FM-r2,80,320,0.7370972888567077,0.6509215416895251,15.0,4.867491415878915,0.5268823951643207,15.0,0.7100961538461539 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covariates,80,160,0.7827896704120477,0.6771161906726875,4.0,5.521686806095205,0.59356308616216,7.0,0.682451923076923 +weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,80,160,0.767876164521544,0.6642159485261131,1.0,5.270474472513004,0.5665585903913294,1.0,0.7254807692307692 +weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,t0-alpha,80,160,0.7777827043161386,0.6727851450063533,2.0,5.43083282181721,0.5837965830641129,3.0,0.7317307692307693 +weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,80,160,0.7823959162432157,0.6767755917443435,3.0,5.5568915306521705,0.5973474777238934,8.0,0.7252403846153845 +weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,80,160,0.7827896768839839,0.6771161962709381,4.0,5.5216865046117505,0.5935630537536849,7.0,0.682451923076923 weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,Timestral-209M,80,160,0.7858888140008234,0.6797969622522038,5.0,5.661278716382753,0.6085687552598869,10.0,0.7829326923076924 weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,TiRex-2,80,160,0.7889521595516192,0.6824467683859218,6.0,5.520000792659887,0.5933818452890135,6.0,0.7704326923076923 weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,t0-beta,80,160,0.7910918907958957,0.684297644456406,7.0,5.359855394439662,0.5761667441540966,2.0,0.74375 weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,TimesFM-2.5,80,160,0.7920300516301124,0.685109157324184,8.0,5.437882890258178,0.5845544421257417,4.0,0.7665865384615385 weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,80,160,0.7972211052462342,0.6895994394305841,9.0,5.6002492819057,0.6020082927151906,9.0,0.7908653846153846 weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,PatchTST-FM-r2,80,160,0.79985768969264,0.6918800955049003,10.0,5.750715845552584,0.6181829511155678,15.0,0.6716346153846154 -weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,80,160,0.8001990968305261,0.6921754140424484,11.0,5.703418207213216,0.6130986112812427,12.0,0.7879807692307692 -weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0,80,160,0.8094341456421384,0.7001637681410707,12.0,5.515547489197392,0.5929031298819938,5.0,0.7358173076923077 -weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,80,160,0.8135087642528953,0.7036883295097809,13.0,5.717196894488583,0.6145797746339707,13.0,0.7634615384615385 +weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,80,160,0.8001990968305261,0.6921754140424484,11.0,5.703418207213216,0.6130986112812427,13.0,0.7879807692307692 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weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,80,160,0.8280436812180658,0.7162610907241943,17.0,5.8463000746494105,0.6284579399013343,16.0,0.5980769230769231 weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M,80,160,0.8296731074007602,0.717670550878705,18.0,5.923356909763304,0.6367412950546186,18.0,0.739423076923077 -weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,AutoTheta,80,160,0.9511450660999584,0.8227442802045607,19.0,7.971422346483538,0.8569015620114103,19.0,0.8341346153846153 -weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,AutoETS,80,160,0.9517618175413524,0.8232777726641235,20.0,8.221514765758197,0.8837856706947502,20.0,0.8444711538461538 -weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,Seasonal Naive,80,160,1.1560640274077305,1.0,21.0,9.30261152491328,1.0,21.0,0.7492788461538462 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.1211240289076988,0.2043882989699893,1.0,0.2349184005585168,0.0936170289200736,1.0,0.85 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,Timestral-209M,100,5200,0.1217240874021331,0.205400855570574,2.0,0.244298938967055,0.0973552551866841,2.0,0.8576923076923076 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.1242616210643143,0.2096827655554833,3.0,0.2594425873994084,0.1033901309983552,4.0,0.8698076923076923 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.1245662205094966,0.2101967557441308,4.0,0.2580681866358644,0.1028424203221265,3.0,0.859423076923077 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,t0-gamma,100,5200,0.1270016340367969,0.2143063451676524,5.0,0.2635812699456388,0.1050394320437407,5.0,0.8376923076923077 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,5200,0.1275747852938595,0.215273497693373,6.0,0.2721962233813638,0.1084725660299244,6.0,0.8461538461538461 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.127603497266255,0.2153219471319437,7.0,0.2722554156080605,0.1084961546478672,7.0,0.8638461538461538 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.1282438785103635,0.216402545542977,8.0,0.276505403179753,0.1101898117154411,8.0,0.7984615384615384 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5200,0.1286136264215524,0.217026469196253,9.0,0.2793370445224305,0.1113182454560015,9.0,0.8269230769230769 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.129133706886764,0.2179040684849386,10.0,0.2812882504485743,0.1120958180138877,10.0,0.885 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,t0-beta,100,5200,0.129178656044571,0.2179799170344557,11.0,0.288716773646176,0.1150561492155728,14.0,0.8471153846153846 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-weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,AutoETS,100,5200,0.1375336025269058,0.2320783029196461,17.0,0.3206613987639805,0.1277863605842198,18.0,0.8569230769230769 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,Chronos-2,100,5200,0.138150873959941,0.2331199051462114,18.0,0.323333570168166,0.1288512441652006,19.0,0.7469230769230769 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.1402561862149023,0.2366724718373353,19.0,0.3158592392370742,0.1258726581827036,17.0,0.6992307692307692 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,AutoTheta,100,5200,0.1408834066031717,0.2377308622276961,20.0,0.411569329421189,0.164013962820427,20.0,0.9730769230769232 +weekly,job_openings__service,job_openings,service,26w,26,AutoTheta,80,160,0.9511450660999585,0.8227442802045607,19.0,7.971422346483538,0.8569015620114103,19.0,0.8341346153846153 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covariates,100,5200,0.12436061309756972,0.2098498076648906,4.0,0.25780286784511325,0.10273668847290683,4.0,0.865 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,t0-gamma,100,5200,0.12611358028474848,0.2128078167797517,5.0,0.2598974973247401,0.1035714165661718,5.0,0.8398076923076923 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,5200,0.12668902489227538,0.21377883917344617,6.0,0.26445502971679735,0.1053876329235836,6.0,0.849423076923077 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.12697837034223616,0.21426708931559804,7.0,0.2707383511871673,0.10789159126148834,7.0,0.8692307692307693 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.1282438785103635,0.21640254554297703,8.0,0.276505403179753,0.11018981171544114,8.0,0.7984615384615384 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covariates,100,5200,0.1402561862149023,0.2366724718373353,19.0,0.31585923923707426,0.1258726581827036,17.0,0.6992307692307692 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,AutoTheta,100,5200,0.14088340660317175,0.2377308622276961,20.0,0.411569329421189,0.16401396282042702,20.0,0.9730769230769231 weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,1w,1,Seasonal Naive,100,5200,0.5926172364959292,1.0,21.0,2.5093554374501728,1.0,21.0,0.8996153846153846 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.1324882661283861,0.2231187754135219,1.0,0.2791646086696751,0.1108807354909252,1.0,0.8721153846153846 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.1341898749284232,0.2259843942550369,2.0,0.2886512202690732,0.1146487004792904,2.0,0.8751923076923077 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.1346923983144096,0.2268306760109571,3.0,0.2978833627120634,0.1183155934608682,3.0,0.8688461538461538 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.1357578421467452,0.2286249520633906,4.0,0.3006135214868234,0.11939997881471,4.0,0.885 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.1369368417652219,0.2306104633752574,5.0,0.3107221944167355,0.1234150188824577,6.0,0.8667307692307692 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1300,0.1382611261654643,0.2328406436192573,6.0,0.3079615325765568,0.1223185180876778,5.0,0.8313461538461538 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.1389845003294134,0.2340588523130725,7.0,0.3257942376829491,0.1294014483610106,12.0,0.8965384615384615 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,TiRex-2,100,1300,0.1394927946521154,0.2349148526982011,8.0,0.3280141403888502,0.1302831663048488,14.0,0.8980769230769231 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.1400424982802503,0.2358405890213784,9.0,0.3201071444728067,0.1271426051611113,8.0,0.8515384615384616 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1300,0.140300572145461,0.2362752020362113,10.0,0.3311680848429357,0.131535874097692,15.0,0.8492307692307692 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.1404989417192206,0.2366092691779282,11.0,0.3219373832528003,0.1278695534050767,9.0,0.8059615384615385 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.1407635503611763,0.2370548871777877,12.0,0.3135571324714805,0.1245410212725146,7.0,0.8482692307692308 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1300,0.1409585241417094,0.2373832355849452,13.0,0.3241529678719226,0.1287495562581652,11.0,0.8344230769230769 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1300,0.1416399698783271,0.2385308341059913,14.0,0.3224005136205328,0.1280535030684924,10.0,0.9090384615384616 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,t0-alpha,100,1300,0.1431086486081261,0.2410041837032386,15.0,0.3400650790495649,0.1350696503381352,16.0,0.8663461538461539 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.1445339920775193,0.2434045539301875,16.0,0.3265744244924211,0.1297113289281312,13.0,0.8884615384615384 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,Chronos-2,100,1300,0.1462794638914287,0.2463440409128377,17.0,0.3649213539571985,0.1449422558107874,18.0,0.7503846153846154 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,AutoETS,100,1300,0.1514945032564393,0.2551265031704911,18.0,0.36908496510343,0.1465959907465745,19.0,0.8701923076923077 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.1516572274819169,0.2554005412493312,19.0,0.353469615513255,0.1403937667047896,17.0,0.6963461538461538 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.1324882661283861,0.22311877541352199,1.0,0.2791646086696751,0.11088073549092521,1.0,0.8721153846153846 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.1341898749284232,0.2259843942550369,2.0,0.28865122026907325,0.11464870047929042,2.0,0.8751923076923077 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.1353754304314765,0.22798094609887862,3.0,0.2989412335366204,0.11873576668999002,4.0,0.8740384615384615 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.1357021636445566,0.22853118587874494,4.0,0.2952609781900171,0.11727401470942778,3.0,0.8857692307692308 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.13651485645149197,0.2298998129214982,5.0,0.3054345584593527,0.12131483517093075,6.0,0.8751923076923077 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1300,0.13775151544571237,0.23198242633669072,6.0,0.3017755745092902,0.11986153192641927,5.0,0.8430769230769231 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.13898450032941348,0.23405885231307258,7.0,0.32579423768294913,0.12940144836101064,12.0,0.8965384615384615 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.1393207628169965,0.23462514000510357,8.0,0.3145035090427782,0.12491691036095218,8.0,0.8625 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,TiRex-2,100,1300,0.13949279465211545,0.23491485269820112,9.0,0.32801414038885024,0.1302831663048488,14.0,0.8980769230769231 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1300,0.13973393499385783,0.2353209485686099,10.0,0.3279015439078944,0.13023844437293353,13.0,0.865 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.14049894171922062,0.23660926917792824,11.0,0.32193738325280036,0.12786955340507675,9.0,0.8059615384615385 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.1407635503611763,0.23705488717778775,12.0,0.3135571324714805,0.12454102127251462,7.0,0.8482692307692308 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1300,0.14095852414170948,0.2373832355849452,13.0,0.3241529678719226,0.12874955625816528,11.0,0.8344230769230769 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1300,0.14163996987832714,0.2385308341059913,14.0,0.3224005136205328,0.12805350306849245,10.0,0.9090384615384616 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,t0-alpha,100,1300,0.14381060003908228,0.24218631513458314,15.0,0.3453386067831629,0.13716423043738069,16.0,0.8782692307692308 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.14419509867890537,0.2428338356144901,16.0,0.32943206243940243,0.13084634743509035,15.0,0.89 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,Chronos-2,100,1300,0.1462794638914287,0.24634404091283774,17.0,0.36492135395719855,0.14494225581078748,18.0,0.7503846153846154 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,AutoETS,100,1300,0.15149450325643934,0.2551265031704911,18.0,0.36908496510343,0.1465959907465745,19.0,0.8701923076923077 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.15165722748191696,0.2554005412493312,19.0,0.35346961551325506,0.14039376670478967,17.0,0.6963461538461538 weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,AutoTheta,100,1300,0.1525939256282164,0.2569780012723337,20.0,0.4757744003456158,0.1889717170434661,20.0,0.9703846153846154 weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,4w,4,Seasonal Naive,100,1300,0.5938015116963425,1.0,21.0,2.5177016317006906,1.0,21.0,0.8986538461538461 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.1646345092462681,0.2756539967370106,1.0,0.4576917956450777,0.1800289729285522,2.0,0.8761538461538462 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,Timestral-209M,100,400,0.1660229588314567,0.2779787321717459,2.0,0.4821700832599332,0.1896572883588979,4.0,0.8842307692307692 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.1670956216236613,0.2797747334303884,3.0,0.4483546416967917,0.1763562869608771,1.0,0.8709615384615386 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.1672488148447026,0.2800312308308811,4.0,0.5058023814848578,0.1989528414316334,8.0,0.8915384615384616 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.1677121137802225,0.2808069503555709,5.0,0.4942239916603339,0.1943985853839854,6.0,0.8688461538461538 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,t0-gamma,100,400,0.1700415699553287,0.2847072499211451,6.0,0.4615247371553454,0.1815366261789587,3.0,0.8365384615384616 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.1702565101377548,0.2850671326736518,7.0,0.4936455985560553,0.1941710796311994,5.0,0.8986538461538461 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,TiRex-2,100,400,0.1727053330735003,0.2891672926743098,8.0,0.5017496977685251,0.1973587545504662,7.0,0.8988461538461539 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.1729229871384344,0.2895317193864238,9.0,0.5143702629125362,0.2023229409358742,11.0,0.8307692307692308 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M,100,400,0.1735563696827022,0.2905922165482291,10.0,0.5356468598383509,0.2106918999786523,13.0,0.8613461538461539 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,Chronos-2,100,400,0.1751905450634331,0.2933283802913595,11.0,0.5407876393989347,0.2127139796251523,14.0,0.7619230769230769 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,t0-alpha,100,400,0.1755050342378882,0.2938549418140073,12.0,0.5552380754890364,0.2183979293756697,17.0,0.860576923076923 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.1757894117203823,0.2943310861533101,13.0,0.5290073653823018,0.2080803142367609,12.0,0.8407692307692308 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.1775659008414026,0.2973055313568765,14.0,0.5075736738055574,0.199649563418538,9.0,0.8601923076923077 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,TimesFM-2.5,100,400,0.177655427719706,0.2974554297100996,15.0,0.5477403893071516,0.2154487815965122,15.0,0.8942307692307692 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.1802019177327976,0.3017191175175541,16.0,0.5557170874928201,0.2185863444617214,18.0,0.88 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.1805055187515883,0.3022274485754001,17.0,0.5132595740623349,0.2018860614137863,10.0,0.7201923076923077 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,t0-beta,100,400,0.180677962248218,0.3025161774650776,18.0,0.5537359809930731,0.2178070939446593,16.0,0.8528846153846154 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,AutoTheta,100,400,0.187939875431793,0.3146750826798724,19.0,0.7241693108424291,0.2848455194037124,20.0,0.9769230769230768 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,AutoETS,100,400,0.1902233601312667,0.3184984104061159,20.0,0.5887846807650966,0.2315931864253984,19.0,0.8830769230769231 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.16463450924626816,0.2756539967370106,1.0,0.4576917956450777,0.18002897292855222,2.0,0.8761538461538462 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,Timestral-209M,100,400,0.1660229588314567,0.27797873217174596,2.0,0.48217008325993327,0.18965728835889792,4.0,0.8842307692307692 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.16695260156582223,0.27953526935485895,3.0,0.4873969892906987,0.1917132450818855,5.0,0.8798076923076923 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.16748600232581068,0.2804283631055345,4.0,0.48811073387716,0.19199399012922208,6.0,0.8898076923076923 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.1679859609863801,0.28126546344142517,5.0,0.4572601324222613,0.17985918206187274,1.0,0.875 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,t0-gamma,100,400,0.1699526872662543,0.2845584301591385,6.0,0.45864113661997874,0.18040238770744188,3.0,0.8525 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.17025651013775486,0.28506713267365186,7.0,0.49364559855605533,0.19417107963119942,7.0,0.8986538461538461 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,TiRex-2,100,400,0.17270533307350033,0.2891672926743098,8.0,0.5017496977685251,0.19735875455046625,8.0,0.8988461538461539 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.1729229871384344,0.28953171938642386,9.0,0.5143702629125362,0.2023229409358742,10.0,0.8307692307692308 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M,100,400,0.1735563696827022,0.29059221654822914,10.0,0.5356468598383509,0.2106918999786523,13.0,0.8613461538461539 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,Chronos-2,100,400,0.1751905450634331,0.2933283802913595,11.0,0.5407876393989347,0.21271397962515237,14.0,0.7619230769230769 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.17578941172038234,0.2943310861533101,12.0,0.5290073653823018,0.2080803142367609,12.0,0.8407692307692308 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,t0-alpha,100,400,0.17582551526561815,0.2943915357308998,13.0,0.5607145316733322,0.22055204441886694,18.0,0.8769230769230769 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.1763795284026347,0.2953191415904647,14.0,0.5219064516556842,0.20528723335302895,11.0,0.8703846153846153 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,TimesFM-2.5,100,400,0.17765542771970605,0.29745542971009964,15.0,0.5477403893071516,0.2154487815965122,15.0,0.8942307692307692 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,t0-beta,100,400,0.17864463703058636,0.29911170154157657,16.0,0.5580662834158189,0.21951037966018802,17.0,0.8730769230769231 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.18050551875158838,0.3022274485754001,17.0,0.5132595740623349,0.20188606141378637,9.0,0.7201923076923077 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.18112934233010605,0.30327194078705394,18.0,0.5527000010627245,0.21739960050778795,16.0,0.8817307692307692 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,AutoTheta,100,400,0.18793987543179302,0.3146750826798724,19.0,0.7241693108424291,0.28484551940371244,20.0,0.9769230769230769 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,AutoETS,100,400,0.19022336013126676,0.3184984104061159,20.0,0.5887846807650966,0.2315931864253984,19.0,0.8830769230769231 weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,13w,13,Seasonal Naive,100,400,0.5972505793316639,1.0,21.0,2.5423229839050467,1.0,21.0,0.8961538461538461 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.2063975761137047,0.3446682228123493,1.0,0.715094069641946,0.279388966936924,5.0,0.8640384615384616 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.2112390381274523,0.3527530954136272,2.0,0.7356091918063745,0.2874042743369342,6.0,0.8719230769230769 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,Timestral-209M,100,200,0.2116764302499662,0.3534835069251265,3.0,0.7128553310232848,0.2785142863928346,3.0,0.8876923076923078 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.212545718747083,0.3549351524679375,4.0,0.679024473933641,0.265296489442569,1.0,0.8615384615384616 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.2150467362965042,0.359111661176095,5.0,0.7487322482364631,0.2925314839373344,10.0,0.8942307692307692 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.2185183477715208,0.3649089877722647,6.0,0.7671061991119482,0.2997102305828239,13.0,0.8748076923076923 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,t0-gamma,100,200,0.2186850680172302,0.365187397877061,7.0,0.6895320093286555,0.2694018087057203,2.0,0.8313461538461538 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,Chronos-2,100,200,0.2188944066257602,0.3655369773998762,8.0,0.8563578672302253,0.3345810712338284,20.0,0.745 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.2191500777166188,0.3659639286372405,9.0,0.740720037977909,0.2894010941857599,8.0,0.8382692307692308 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.2203291096141825,0.3679328220536461,10.0,0.7602386865851772,0.2970270769786531,12.0,0.7421153846153846 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,TiRex-2,100,200,0.2206512948424504,0.3684708468315258,11.0,0.76911953657532,0.3004968463553033,14.0,0.8861538461538462 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,t0-alpha,100,200,0.2216247517805397,0.3700964457322162,12.0,0.8031157554124306,0.3137792505366409,16.0,0.8398076923076923 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,AutoTheta,100,200,0.2216575130411381,0.3701511545407214,13.0,0.8531604990468841,0.3333318518211881,19.0,0.9826923076923078 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M,100,200,0.2222035880350492,0.3710630581648701,14.0,0.7527771552770958,0.2941118388128881,11.0,0.8636538461538461 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,0.2240936258041111,0.3742192772018218,15.0,0.7403597660018197,0.2892603350612068,7.0,0.826923076923077 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,0.2254516449267554,0.3764870656437227,16.0,0.8071351754791695,0.3153496475904076,17.0,0.8759615384615386 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.228804785796018,0.3820865553567778,17.0,0.7148012468405532,0.2792745603665861,4.0,0.8436538461538461 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.2326637651909625,0.388530756858409,18.0,0.7864101147518653,0.307252316690704,15.0,0.8486538461538461 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,t0-beta,100,200,0.2327335822092817,0.3886473459583356,19.0,0.8153816736802207,0.318571574202654,18.0,0.8390384615384616 -weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,AutoETS,100,200,0.2488070059200498,0.4154887386200805,20.0,0.7430562434956705,0.2903138552809351,9.0,0.8957692307692308 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.20639757611370477,0.3446682228123493,1.0,0.715094069641946,0.27938896693692405,5.0,0.8640384615384616 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0,100,200,0.20872763914793757,0.3485592505083691,2.0,0.7121173881062985,0.27822597032647645,3.0,0.8786538461538461 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,Timestral-209M,100,200,0.21167643024996624,0.35348350692512653,3.0,0.7128553310232848,0.2785142863928346,4.0,0.8876923076923078 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.2150467362965042,0.35911166117609505,4.0,0.7487322482364631,0.2925314839373344,10.0,0.8942307692307692 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.2156545831927944,0.36012671916965855,5.0,0.6980945593734499,0.2727472175308258,2.0,0.8657692307692308 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.21734535280694903,0.3629501755738886,6.0,0.7187993928176944,0.28083664558255755,6.0,0.8803846153846153 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,Chronos-2,100,200,0.21889440662576023,0.3655369773998762,7.0,0.8563578672302253,0.33458107123382846,20.0,0.745 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.21915007771661885,0.3659639286372405,8.0,0.740720037977909,0.2894010941857599,8.0,0.8382692307692308 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,t0-gamma,100,200,0.21933146983889923,0.36626683965778506,9.0,0.6822721574152354,0.2665653671628319,1.0,0.8515384615384616 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.22032910961418256,0.3679328220536461,10.0,0.7602386865851772,0.29702707697865316,13.0,0.7421153846153846 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,TiRex-2,100,200,0.22065129484245044,0.3684708468315258,11.0,0.76911953657532,0.3004968463553033,14.0,0.8861538461538462 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,AutoTheta,100,200,0.22165751304113818,0.3701511545407214,12.0,0.8531604990468841,0.33333185182118813,19.0,0.9826923076923078 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,Toto-2.0-22M,100,200,0.22220358803504925,0.3710630581648701,13.0,0.7527771552770958,0.29411183881288816,11.0,0.8636538461538461 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,200,0.22409362580411113,0.37421927720182185,14.0,0.7403597660018197,0.2892603350612068,7.0,0.826923076923077 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,TimesFM-2.5,100,200,0.22545164492675546,0.3764870656437227,15.0,0.8071351754791695,0.3153496475904076,16.0,0.8759615384615386 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,t0-alpha,100,200,0.2255309516972041,0.3766195019065035,16.0,0.813422181456278,0.317805995894275,18.0,0.8578846153846154 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.22812032411215763,0.3809435565066878,17.0,0.7534686040274654,0.29438198949691263,12.0,0.8548076923076923 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,t0-beta,100,200,0.2330679439053191,0.38920570450943726,18.0,0.8073995905381115,0.31545295518768274,17.0,0.8590384615384616 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,200,0.23764555111231198,0.3968499596914751,19.0,0.7883282540027255,0.3080017382933854,15.0,0.855576923076923 +weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,AutoETS,100,200,0.24880700592004984,0.4154887386200805,20.0,0.7430562434956705,0.2903138552809351,9.0,0.8957692307692308 weekly,rx_claims,rx_claims,original,26w,26,Seasonal Naive,100,200,0.5988297221878663,1.0,21.0,2.5594928728999826,1.0,21.0,0.8948076923076923 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.1710216576658611,0.2268575747190145,1.0,0.2469932917064457,0.1015097486902159,1.0,0.8348076923076924 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,Timestral-209M,100,5200,0.1730343797266681,0.2295274192961863,2.0,0.265844113116752,0.1092570932870829,4.0,0.8390384615384615 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.1736884039535296,0.2303949722829733,3.0,0.2597865703533612,0.1067675534321996,2.0,0.8426923076923077 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.1765939051931273,0.2342490745853029,4.0,0.2628779364001941,0.1080380486280627,3.0,0.85 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,t0-gamma,100,5200,0.179147130431705,0.2376358882394353,5.0,0.2828966055199596,0.1162653573837805,5.0,0.8153846153846154 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.1797540811383448,0.2384409989322069,6.0,0.2837532142870774,0.1166174080005207,6.0,0.8473076923076923 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.1799738163924484,0.2387324743365887,7.0,0.3114035332120422,0.1279811859634194,13.0,0.8534615384615385 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,5200,0.1799747414932589,0.2387337014684568,8.0,0.2840597667738933,0.1167433954946832,7.0,0.8255769230769231 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,TiRex-2,100,5200,0.1809102813881983,0.2399746806199598,9.0,0.3130043547298137,0.1286390944792507,15.0,0.8559615384615384 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5200,0.1815501447164676,0.2408234493945346,10.0,0.3087041610723645,0.1268717931308168,11.0,0.8128846153846154 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.1819096425784152,0.2413003177291724,11.0,0.3121224311972488,0.12827663995453,14.0,0.7955769230769231 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,t0-beta,100,5200,0.1829691323891492,0.2427057145203334,12.0,0.2999158851231464,0.1232599716239976,8.0,0.8253846153846154 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,5200,0.1831367703276981,0.2429280836441574,13.0,0.3088599474131049,0.1269358184822288,12.0,0.8857692307692308 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,5200,0.1843471293874413,0.2445336061527101,14.0,0.2999389432341272,0.1232694480880536,9.0,0.81 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.1847873631065849,0.2451175693489361,15.0,0.3055732994366261,0.125585065966561,10.0,0.8480769230769231 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,t0-alpha,100,5200,0.1873781961466278,0.2485542691680572,16.0,0.3206923957746058,0.1317987394598295,16.0,0.8307692307692308 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.1896362341917463,0.2515495215912308,17.0,0.3260234476221662,0.1339897047672741,17.0,0.6976923076923077 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,Chronos-2,100,5200,0.1911569643503223,0.2535667465455734,18.0,0.3400414810107766,0.1397508614228974,18.0,0.7178846153846153 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,AutoETS,100,5200,0.1926957114139029,0.2556078706447908,19.0,0.4146192825112173,0.1704009808487157,19.0,0.8823076923076923 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,AutoTheta,100,5200,0.1982348902700599,0.262955505432063,20.0,0.5395624853096894,0.2217503637772911,20.0,0.9409615384615384 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.17102165766586117,0.2268575747190145,1.0,0.2469932917064457,0.10150974869021596,1.0,0.8348076923076924 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,Timestral-209M,100,5200,0.17303437972666819,0.22952741929618634,2.0,0.265844113116752,0.10925709328708298,4.0,0.8390384615384615 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.17388605682477948,0.23065715574920764,3.0,0.25656214531684673,0.10544237341267082,2.0,0.8513461538461539 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.1758713844300933,0.23329066200631668,4.0,0.2595255188104241,0.10666026599805248,3.0,0.8351923076923077 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,t0-gamma,100,5200,0.17822620899773392,0.23641430024953516,5.0,0.27644825889837876,0.1136152042541075,5.0,0.8284615384615385 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.17857669832278739,0.23687921889979102,6.0,0.2771940805335265,0.1139217233754509,6.0,0.8517307692307692 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,TimesFM-3.0,100,5200,0.17861822580155018,0.23693430445588315,7.0,0.2803799378369812,0.1152310527584567,7.0,0.8228846153846154 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.17997381639244844,0.23873247433658876,8.0,0.3114035332120422,0.1279811859634194,13.0,0.8534615384615385 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,TiRex-2,100,5200,0.18091028138819834,0.23997468061995986,9.0,0.31300435472981375,0.1286390944792507,15.0,0.8559615384615384 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M,100,5200,0.1815501447164676,0.24082344939453465,10.0,0.30870416107236454,0.1268717931308168,11.0,0.8128846153846154 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.18190964257841521,0.2413003177291724,11.0,0.31212243119724886,0.12827663995453006,14.0,0.7955769230769231 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,t0-beta,100,5200,0.18192935424924445,0.24132646495461163,12.0,0.2986061753761584,0.12272170474899324,8.0,0.8378846153846153 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,TimesFM-2.5,100,5200,0.18313677032769815,0.24292808364415744,13.0,0.3088599474131049,0.12693581848222887,12.0,0.8857692307692308 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,5200,0.18434712938744138,0.24453360615271016,14.0,0.29993894323412723,0.12326944808805367,9.0,0.81 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.18459337644864776,0.24486024905776319,15.0,0.306017878705723,0.12576777995675528,10.0,0.8515384615384616 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,t0-alpha,100,5200,0.1876499746834682,0.2489147791793023,16.0,0.3215939383596363,0.13216925705813232,16.0,0.8382692307692308 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,5200,0.18963623419174638,0.25154952159123084,17.0,0.3260234476221662,0.13398970476727412,17.0,0.6976923076923077 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,Chronos-2,100,5200,0.1911569643503223,0.2535667465455734,18.0,0.34004148101077664,0.13975086142289744,18.0,0.7178846153846153 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,AutoETS,100,5200,0.19269571141390293,0.25560787064479085,19.0,0.4146192825112173,0.17040098084871577,19.0,0.8823076923076923 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,AutoTheta,100,5200,0.19823489027005997,0.262955505432063,20.0,0.5395624853096894,0.2217503637772911,20.0,0.9409615384615385 weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,1w,1,Seasonal Naive,100,5200,0.753872370705225,1.0,21.0,2.4331977459643954,1.0,21.0,0.8586538461538461 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.1929795658504824,0.2542806086037684,1.0,0.2924728552653475,0.1197609016780643,1.0,0.8530769230769231 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.1939634956586858,0.2555770892407245,2.0,0.3036038752752239,0.1243187981425753,2.0,0.8446153846153847 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.1955230645069534,0.2576320638912748,3.0,0.3107999865831997,0.1272654400729418,4.0,0.8582692307692308 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.1980843205003966,0.2610069172335577,4.0,0.3089366283616763,0.1265024377746383,3.0,0.8621153846153846 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.1993060097037401,0.2626166828726385,5.0,0.3587758025676377,0.1469104323435047,14.0,0.8669230769230769 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.2004269282490658,0.2640936674883129,6.0,0.3324137707053017,0.1361157871343453,6.0,0.8486538461538462 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.200661459005128,0.2644026982560264,7.0,0.3526572902630284,0.1444050423993215,10.0,0.8065384615384615 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1300,0.2011476369938253,0.2650433134129258,8.0,0.3314253680608633,0.1357110590038954,5.0,0.8142307692307692 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.2012525102658929,0.265181500268773,9.0,0.3467519804977206,0.1419869539871852,8.0,0.8421153846153846 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,TiRex-2,100,1300,0.2018950880997483,0.2660281965598955,10.0,0.3646092314500171,0.1492990871887374,16.0,0.8698076923076923 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1300,0.2022038153660505,0.2664349927759711,11.0,0.3567699179959114,0.1460890687856657,12.0,0.8213461538461538 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1300,0.2029793469104685,0.2674568762704072,12.0,0.3538887425328139,0.1449092937564917,11.0,0.8853846153846154 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1300,0.2048639790916793,0.2699401724469766,13.0,0.3571030697618264,0.1462254867648502,13.0,0.8340384615384615 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.205123582160882,0.2702822398888913,14.0,0.3431845458433015,0.140526171616448,7.0,0.8275 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.2064222043956955,0.2719933767688996,15.0,0.3513762245068639,0.1438804754615523,9.0,0.8530769230769231 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,t0-alpha,100,1300,0.2077790035549453,0.2737811708000792,16.0,0.3637888665040725,0.1489631666276916,15.0,0.8415384615384616 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,AutoETS,100,1300,0.20939618459609,0.2759120584800906,17.0,0.5080775929365258,0.2080460786601694,19.0,0.8948076923076923 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,Chronos-2,100,1300,0.2106640575144048,0.2775826783505442,18.0,0.3963829323537013,0.1623096862968906,18.0,0.7228846153846153 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.2126226343372498,0.2801634080993929,19.0,0.3711305023961501,0.1519693975253574,17.0,0.6886538461538462 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,AutoTheta,100,1300,0.2172476721423165,0.2862576151347584,20.0,0.6428565371107453,0.2632349537674945,20.0,0.945 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.19297956585048243,0.2542806086037684,1.0,0.29247285526534755,0.11976090167806433,1.0,0.8530769230769231 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.19427925640277735,0.2559931531583052,2.0,0.3036783371286232,0.12434928855747428,2.0,0.855 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,Timestral-209M,100,1300,0.1955230645069534,0.25763206389127485,3.0,0.31079998658319974,0.12726544007294188,4.0,0.8582692307692308 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.1972048900446526,0.2598481307551772,4.0,0.30664780616668685,0.12556521777313073,3.0,0.8590384615384615 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.19883305064309748,0.26199348571052,5.0,0.32825278678463776,0.13441196000223588,5.0,0.8525 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.19930600970374013,0.2626166828726385,6.0,0.35877580256763775,0.1469104323435047,14.0,0.8669230769230769 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,TimesFM-3.0,100,1300,0.19938651236082824,0.2627227576508067,7.0,0.32945298110266413,0.13490341194770042,6.0,0.8515384615384616 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.20066145900512808,0.2644026982560264,8.0,0.3526572902630284,0.1444050423993215,10.0,0.8065384615384615 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,t0-gamma,100,1300,0.20082915346825325,0.2646236618070378,9.0,0.3334210650260618,0.1365282509713739,7.0,0.8365384615384616 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,TiRex-2,100,1300,0.20189508809974838,0.26602819655989557,10.0,0.3646092314500171,0.1492990871887374,15.0,0.8698076923076923 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,Toto-2.0-22M,100,1300,0.2022038153660505,0.26643499277597116,11.0,0.3567699179959114,0.14608906878566574,12.0,0.8213461538461538 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,TimesFM-2.5,100,1300,0.20297934691046857,0.2674568762704072,12.0,0.3538887425328139,0.14490929375649175,11.0,0.8853846153846154 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,t0-beta,100,1300,0.2035871458447438,0.2682577459491999,13.0,0.35823498995779574,0.14668898202896258,13.0,0.8453846153846154 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,1300,0.20512358216088208,0.2702822398888913,14.0,0.34318454584330155,0.14052617161644804,8.0,0.8275 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.2061122429346078,0.2715849543091342,15.0,0.3490390199066434,0.1429234439788372,9.0,0.8546153846153847 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,t0-alpha,100,1300,0.20760620227686563,0.27355347822566606,16.0,0.36466551912897377,0.1493221356975609,16.0,0.8528846153846154 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,AutoETS,100,1300,0.20939618459609008,0.27591205848009065,17.0,0.5080775929365258,0.20804607866016947,19.0,0.8948076923076923 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,Chronos-2,100,1300,0.21066405751440487,0.27758267835054423,18.0,0.3963829323537013,0.1623096862968906,18.0,0.7228846153846153 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,1300,0.21262263433724982,0.28016340809939294,19.0,0.3711305023961501,0.15196939752535749,17.0,0.6886538461538462 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,AutoTheta,100,1300,0.2172476721423165,0.28625761513475845,20.0,0.6428565371107453,0.2632349537674945,20.0,0.945 weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,4w,4,Seasonal Naive,100,1300,0.7589236430969535,1.0,21.0,2.442139723125661,1.0,21.0,0.8571153846153846 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.2560784270055392,0.3311565009274133,1.0,0.4411540814010776,0.1789962056054649,2.0,0.8526923076923077 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,Timestral-209M,100,400,0.2581809016543694,0.3338753873097486,2.0,0.4608774259297327,0.1869988604177387,3.0,0.8653846153846154 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.2610303036445385,0.3375601881101673,3.0,0.5003151807966356,0.2030005450363066,12.0,0.8736538461538461 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.2610565454834882,0.3375941236340071,4.0,0.4686789270145291,0.1901642830015454,5.0,0.8575 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M,100,400,0.2611797158560707,0.3377534055777433,5.0,0.516317978588626,0.2094936054081851,15.0,0.849423076923077 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.2620260804136565,0.3388479106037095,6.0,0.4235912106512179,0.1718701529261381,1.0,0.8423076923076923 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.2625236668301114,0.3394913813501877,7.0,0.4780171740719741,0.1939532330776287,7.0,0.860576923076923 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,TiRex-2,100,400,0.2641302644600247,0.3415690075514329,8.0,0.5104523294986915,0.2071136457188699,13.0,0.8725 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,t0-gamma,100,400,0.2646706144891763,0.342267779513688,9.0,0.4686115767663983,0.1901369559533093,4.0,0.8184615384615386 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.2651294816530865,0.3428611791458549,10.0,0.4855903186646453,0.1970260010825954,9.0,0.8215384615384616 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.2656562275687384,0.343542358487453,11.0,0.470623012854125,0.1909530867400347,6.0,0.7230769230769231 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.2678129754290096,0.3463314301134462,12.0,0.4821156399407916,0.195616166438671,8.0,0.8321153846153847 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.268896770060918,0.347732975890744,13.0,0.5437047655755451,0.2206056661621394,17.0,0.8307692307692308 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,t0-alpha,100,400,0.2696139060894475,0.3486603646625115,14.0,0.4866416242724164,0.1974525634168372,10.0,0.8303846153846153 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,Chronos-2,100,400,0.2697624720361884,0.3488524877540775,15.0,0.4939119775314844,0.2004024752541061,11.0,0.7326923076923078 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.2707207308853864,0.3500916926773266,16.0,0.5157889714319752,0.2092789632281153,14.0,0.8457692307692308 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,TimesFM-2.5,100,400,0.2727266482233726,0.3526857126991022,17.0,0.5460122079088623,0.2215419000988298,18.0,0.8680769230769231 -weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,t0-beta,100,400,0.276307023706468,0.3573157966575704,18.0,0.5429080862726045,0.2202824172603999,16.0,0.8136538461538462 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,Timestral-209M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.25607842700553923,0.3311565009274133,1.0,0.4411540814010776,0.17899620560546492,2.0,0.8526923076923077 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,Timestral-209M,100,400,0.25818090165436947,0.3338753873097486,2.0,0.4608774259297327,0.18699886041773875,5.0,0.8653846153846154 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.25938694325830824,0.33543502090404825,3.0,0.4464059259266066,0.18112711696304312,3.0,0.8619230769230769 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,TimesFM-3.0,100,400,0.25986817373768284,0.3360573404158979,4.0,0.45621046619826766,0.185105263330316,4.0,0.8648076923076923 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,TiRex-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.2610303036445385,0.33756018811016736,5.0,0.5003151807966356,0.20300054503630666,12.0,0.8736538461538461 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M,100,400,0.26117971585607075,0.3377534055777433,6.0,0.516317978588626,0.20949360540818515,15.0,0.849423076923077 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,t0-gamma + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.26145588827068156,0.33811054730008455,7.0,0.43044401312327335,0.17465064548412604,1.0,0.8525 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,t0-gamma,100,400,0.2629650886159259,0.34006222090013655,8.0,0.4698774178857642,0.19065056506817069,6.0,0.845 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,TiRex-2,100,400,0.26413026446002474,0.34156900755143293,9.0,0.5104523294986915,0.20711364571886998,14.0,0.8725 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,Toto-2.0-22M + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.2651294816530865,0.34286117914585496,10.0,0.48559031866464536,0.1970260010825954,9.0,0.8215384615384616 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,t0-beta + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.26539897095103115,0.34320967836926985,11.0,0.47201595937846075,0.1915182682785928,8.0,0.8469230769230769 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,Chronos-2 + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.2656562275687384,0.343542358487453,12.0,0.470623012854125,0.19095308674003475,7.0,0.7230769230769231 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,t0-alpha,100,400,0.2681162830624844,0.3467236626641558,13.0,0.49194716112070713,0.19960526018330016,10.0,0.8459615384615385 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,PatchTST-FM-r2,100,400,0.268896770060918,0.347732975890744,14.0,0.5437047655755451,0.2206056661621394,17.0,0.8307692307692308 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,t0-alpha + past & calendar covariates,100,400,0.2695059667943561,0.3485207793030846,15.0,0.5030339238060476,0.20410366229899995,13.0,0.85 +weekly,rx_claims__company,rx_claims,company,13w,13,Chronos-2,100,400,0.2697624720361884,0.34885248775407757,16.0,0.49391197753148447,0.20040247525410612,11.0,0.7326923076923078 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