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{
  "mode": "pov_structured_oracle_extractor",
  "task": "round_win_probability",
  "target_col": "target_pov_round_win",
  "target_provenance": "privileged_teacher",
  "n_train": 17910,
  "n_holdout": 11868,
  "selected_model": "hud_situation_mlp",
  "feature_cols": [
    "hud_health",
    "hud_armor",
    "hud_weapon_id",
    "own_alive",
    "enemy_alive",
    "man_adv",
    "own_hp",
    "own_armor",
    "own_primaries",
    "planted",
    "post_plant_frac",
    "i_am_t",
    "progress"
  ],
  "candidate_models": {
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      "feature_cols": [
        "hud_health",
        "hud_armor",
        "hud_weapon_id",
        "own_alive",
        "enemy_alive",
        "man_adv",
        "own_hp",
        "own_armor",
        "own_primaries",
        "planted",
        "post_plant_frac",
        "i_am_t",
        "progress",
        "own_view_sin",
        "own_view_cos",
        "own_speed",
        "visible_enemy_count",
        "visible_enemy_frac",
        "nearest_visible_enemy_dist",
        "audio_enemy_near_count",
        "audio_weapon_fire_near_count",
        "visible_utility_count",
        "own_zone_0",
        "own_zone_1",
        "own_zone_2",
        "own_zone_3",
        "own_zone_4",
        "own_zone_5",
        "own_zone_6",
        "own_zone_7",
        "visible_enemy_zone_0",
        "visible_enemy_zone_1",
        "visible_enemy_zone_2",
        "visible_enemy_zone_3",
        "visible_enemy_zone_4",
        "visible_enemy_zone_5",
        "visible_enemy_zone_6",
        "visible_enemy_zone_7",
        "map_dust2",
        "map_mirage",
        "map_nuke",
        "map_inferno",
        "map_overpass",
        "map_anubis",
        "map_ancient",
        "map_vertigo",
        "map_train"
      ],
      "best_epoch": 1,
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      "holdout": {
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        "log_loss": 0.6765,
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        "auc": 0.6321,
        "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.5369
      }
    },
    "hud_situation_mlp": {
      "feature_cols": [
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        "hud_armor",
        "hud_weapon_id",
        "own_alive",
        "enemy_alive",
        "man_adv",
        "own_hp",
        "own_armor",
        "own_primaries",
        "planted",
        "post_plant_frac",
        "i_am_t",
        "progress"
      ],
      "best_epoch": 1,
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      "holdout": {
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        "positive_rate": 0.5111,
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        "auc": 0.67,
        "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.5975
      }
    }
  },
  "best_epoch": 1,
  "calibration": {
    "method": "train_split_mean_logit_bias",
    "logit_bias": -0.007548731310899698
  },
  "train": {
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    "positive_rate": 0.5324,
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    "log_loss": 0.5022,
    "ece": 0.0333,
    "auc": 0.8153,
    "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.7344
  },
  "holdout": {
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    "log_loss": 0.6508,
    "ece": 0.0993,
    "auc": 0.67,
    "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.5975
  },
  "baselines": {
    "global_train_win_rate": {
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      "positive_rate": 0.5111,
      "mean_prob": 0.5324,
      "brier": 0.2503,
      "log_loss": 0.6938,
      "ece": 0.0213,
      "auc": 0.5431,
      "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.5111
    },
    "map_side_time_prior": {
      "n": 11868,
      "positive_rate": 0.5111,
      "mean_prob": 0.5414,
      "brier": 0.2582,
      "log_loss": 0.7114,
      "ece": 0.0986,
      "auc": 0.4782,
      "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.4621
    },
    "hud_situation_mlp": {
      "feature_cols": [
        "hud_health",
        "hud_armor",
        "hud_weapon_id",
        "own_alive",
        "enemy_alive",
        "man_adv",
        "own_hp",
        "own_armor",
        "own_primaries",
        "planted",
        "post_plant_frac",
        "i_am_t",
        "progress"
      ],
      "best_epoch": 1,
      "train": {
        "n": 17910,
        "positive_rate": 0.5324,
        "mean_prob": 0.5329,
        "brier": 0.1704,
        "log_loss": 0.5022,
        "ece": 0.0333,
        "auc": 0.8153,
        "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.7344
      },
      "holdout": {
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        "mean_prob": 0.5495,
        "brier": 0.2308,
        "log_loss": 0.6508,
        "ece": 0.0993,
        "auc": 0.67,
        "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.5975
      }
    }
  },
  "repair_latent_comparison": null,
  "beats_global_brier": true,
  "beats_map_side_time_brier": true,
  "structured_beats_hud_situation_brier": false,
  "provenance_gate": {
    "checked": true,
    "forbidden_input_provenance": [
      "eval_only",
      "privileged_teacher"
    ],
    "input_feature_count": 13,
    "label_source": "parsed rounds winner_team, target only"
  }
}