{ "mode": "pov_structured_oracle_extractor", "task": "destination_option_value", "target_col": "target_pov_round_win", "target_provenance": "privileged_teacher", "logged_option_col": "target_own_destination_zone_6s", "logged_option_provenance": "privileged_teacher", "horizon_s": 6.0, "num_zones": 8, "n_train": 17910, "n_holdout": 11868, "n_train_round_groups": 69, "n_holdout_round_groups": 58, "selected_model": "structured_pov_destination_conditioned_mlp", "feature_cols": [ "hud_health", "hud_armor", "hud_weapon_id", "own_alive", "enemy_alive", "man_adv", "own_hp", "own_armor", "own_primaries", "planted", "post_plant_frac", "i_am_t", "progress", "own_view_sin", "own_view_cos", "own_speed", "visible_enemy_count", "visible_enemy_frac", "nearest_visible_enemy_dist", "audio_enemy_near_count", "audio_weapon_fire_near_count", "visible_utility_count", "own_zone_0", "own_zone_1", "own_zone_2", "own_zone_3", "own_zone_4", "own_zone_5", "own_zone_6", "own_zone_7", "visible_enemy_zone_0", "visible_enemy_zone_1", "visible_enemy_zone_2", "visible_enemy_zone_3", "visible_enemy_zone_4", "visible_enemy_zone_5", "visible_enemy_zone_6", "visible_enemy_zone_7", "map_dust2", "map_mirage", "map_nuke", "map_inferno", "map_overpass", "map_anubis", "map_ancient", "map_vertigo", "map_train" ], "option_feature_cols": [ "candidate_zone_0", "candidate_zone_1", "candidate_zone_2", "candidate_zone_3", "candidate_zone_4", "candidate_zone_5", "candidate_zone_6", "candidate_zone_7", "candidate_is_current_zone" ], "current_zone_cols": [ "own_zone_0", "own_zone_1", "own_zone_2", "own_zone_3", "own_zone_4", "own_zone_5", "own_zone_6", "own_zone_7" ], "best_epoch": 1, "train": { "n": 17910, "positive_rate": 0.5324, "mean_prob": 0.5303, "brier": 0.1649, "log_loss": 0.4866, "ece": 0.0268, "auc": 0.8332, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.7367 }, "holdout": { "n": 11868, "positive_rate": 0.5111, "mean_prob": 0.5197, "brier": 0.2409, "log_loss": 0.6735, "ece": 0.0571, "auc": 0.6215, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.5645 }, "baselines": { "global_train_win_rate": { "n": 11868, "positive_rate": 0.5111, "mean_prob": 0.5324, "brier": 0.2503, "log_loss": 0.6938, "ece": 0.0213, "auc": 0.5431, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.5111 }, "map_side_time_prior": { "n": 11868, "positive_rate": 0.5111, "mean_prob": 0.5414, "brier": 0.2582, "log_loss": 0.7114, "ece": 0.0986, "auc": 0.4782, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.4621 }, "state_only_mlp": { "feature_cols": [ "hud_health", "hud_armor", "hud_weapon_id", "own_alive", "enemy_alive", "man_adv", "own_hp", "own_armor", "own_primaries", "planted", "post_plant_frac", "i_am_t", "progress", "own_view_sin", "own_view_cos", "own_speed", "visible_enemy_count", "visible_enemy_frac", "nearest_visible_enemy_dist", "audio_enemy_near_count", "audio_weapon_fire_near_count", "visible_utility_count", "own_zone_0", "own_zone_1", "own_zone_2", "own_zone_3", "own_zone_4", "own_zone_5", "own_zone_6", "own_zone_7", "visible_enemy_zone_0", "visible_enemy_zone_1", "visible_enemy_zone_2", "visible_enemy_zone_3", "visible_enemy_zone_4", "visible_enemy_zone_5", "visible_enemy_zone_6", "visible_enemy_zone_7", "map_dust2", "map_mirage", "map_nuke", "map_inferno", "map_overpass", "map_anubis", "map_ancient", "map_vertigo", "map_train" ], "best_epoch": 1, "train": { "n": 17910, "positive_rate": 0.5324, "mean_prob": 0.5291, "brier": 0.166, "log_loss": 0.4902, "ece": 0.0295, "auc": 0.8303, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.7358 }, "holdout": { "n": 11868, "positive_rate": 0.5111, "mean_prob": 0.5798, "brier": 0.2494, "log_loss": 0.6933, "ece": 0.1255, "auc": 0.6016, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.534 } } }, "option_signal": { "factual_brier_gain_over_state_only": 0.0085, "factual_auc_gain_over_state_only": 0.0199, "train_logged_destination_counts": [ 1781, 2033, 929, 2318, 2391, 2687, 2397, 3374 ], "support_min_count": 50, "support_min_propensity": 0.02 }, "policy_evaluation": { "logged_observed_mean_win": 0.5111, "policies": { "support_greedy_q": { "dr_value": 0.4353, "logged_match_rate": 0.2874, "ess": 1073.82, "mean_selected_behavior_prob": 0.3195, "unsupported_selected": 0 }, "behavior_context_prior_argmax": { "dr_value": 0.4538, "logged_match_rate": 0.436, "ess": 3395.69, "mean_selected_behavior_prob": 0.4655, "unsupported_selected": 0 }, "stay_current_zone": { "dr_value": 0.5049, "logged_match_rate": 0.726, "ess": 5508.7, "mean_selected_behavior_prob": 0.4353, "unsupported_selected": 0 } }, "greedy_vs_logged_observed_dr_delta_bootstrap": { "mean": -0.077, "std": 0.0395, "ci95": [ -0.1544, -0.0024 ] }, "greedy_switch_rate_vs_context_imitation": 0.2335, "greedy_mean_q_gap_vs_context_imitation": 0.0167, "behavior_propensity_source": "train_split_map_side_time_current_zone_destination_prior" }, "promotion_decision": "report_pov_values_only_do_not_override_imitation", "caveat": "This is an observational destination-conditioned value head. It is POV-valid as an inference model, but its greedy policy is not causal proof and must be treated as advisory unless OPE confidence is clearly positive at larger scale.", "provenance_gate": { "checked": true, "forbidden_input_provenance": [ "eval_only", "privileged_teacher" ], "input_feature_count": 47, "candidate_feature_count": 9, "label_source": "privileged round outcome and future own destination labels", "planner_eligible": true } }