=== [2026-06-29T20:10:32.9944455+03:00] Regenerating structured POV heads on canonical official_hltv === --- [2026-06-29T20:10:33.0052113+03:00] enemy-belief --- { "mode": "pov_structured_oracle_extractor", "n_train": 24127, "n_holdout": 5651, "feature_cols": [ "hud_health", "hud_armor", "hud_weapon_id", "own_alive", "enemy_alive", "man_adv", "own_hp", "own_armor", "own_primaries", "planted", "post_plant_frac", "i_am_t", "progress", "own_view_sin", "own_view_cos", "own_speed", "visible_enemy_count", "visible_enemy_frac", "nearest_visible_enemy_dist", "audio_enemy_near_count", "audio_weapon_fire_near_count", "visible_utility_count", "own_zone_0", "own_zone_1", "own_zone_2", "own_zone_3", "own_zone_4", "own_zone_5", "own_zone_6", "own_zone_7", "visible_enemy_zone_0", "visible_enemy_zone_1", "visible_enemy_zone_2", "visible_enemy_zone_3", "visible_enemy_zone_4", "visible_enemy_zone_5", "visible_enemy_zone_6", "visible_enemy_zone_7", "map_dust2", "map_mirage", "map_nuke", "map_inferno", "map_overpass", "map_anubis", "map_ancient", "map_vertigo", "map_train" ], "target_cols": [ "target_enemy_zone_0", "target_enemy_zone_1", "target_enemy_zone_2", "target_enemy_zone_3", "target_enemy_zone_4", "target_enemy_zone_5", "target_enemy_zone_6", "target_enemy_zone_7" ], "best_epoch": 6, "train": { "nll": 1.2132, "top1": 0.6323, "top3": 0.9215, "ece": 0.1343, "mean_entropy": 0.6013 }, "holdout": { "nll": 1.4283, "top1": 0.5174, "top3": 0.845, "ece": 0.0453, "mean_entropy": 0.6321 }, "baseline_map_side_time_prior": { "nll": 1.6177, "top1": 0.4176, "top3": 0.7531 }, "beats_prior_nll": true, "beats_prior_top1": true, "provenance_gate": { "checked": true, "forbidden_input_provenance": [ "eval_only", "privileged_teacher" ] } } wrote official_hltv\planner_bundle\pov_enemy_belief_head.pt wrote official_hltv\pov_enemy_belief_report.json --- [2026-06-29T20:10:41.8214903+03:00] utility-threat --- { "mode": "pov_structured_oracle_extractor", "n_train": 24127, "n_holdout": 5651, "feature_cols": [ "hud_health", "hud_armor", "hud_weapon_id", "own_alive", "enemy_alive", "man_adv", "own_hp", "own_armor", "own_primaries", "planted", "post_plant_frac", "i_am_t", "progress", "own_view_sin", "own_view_cos", "own_speed", "visible_enemy_count", "visible_enemy_frac", "nearest_visible_enemy_dist", "audio_enemy_near_count", "audio_weapon_fire_near_count", "visible_utility_count", "own_zone_0", "own_zone_1", "own_zone_2", "own_zone_3", "own_zone_4", "own_zone_5", "own_zone_6", "own_zone_7", "visible_enemy_zone_0", "visible_enemy_zone_1", "visible_enemy_zone_2", "visible_enemy_zone_3", "visible_enemy_zone_4", "visible_enemy_zone_5", "visible_enemy_zone_6", "visible_enemy_zone_7", "map_dust2", "map_mirage", "map_nuke", "map_inferno", "map_overpass", "map_anubis", "map_ancient", "map_vertigo", "map_train" ], "binary_target_cols": [ "target_enemy_utility_flash_0_5s", "target_enemy_utility_smoke_0_5s", "target_enemy_utility_he_0_5s", "target_enemy_utility_molotov_0_5s", "target_enemy_utility_flash_5_10s", "target_enemy_utility_smoke_5_10s", "target_enemy_utility_he_5_10s", "target_enemy_utility_molotov_5_10s", "target_enemy_utility_flash_10_20s", "target_enemy_utility_smoke_10_20s", "target_enemy_utility_he_10_20s", "target_enemy_utility_molotov_10_20s" ], "local_target_cols": [ "target_enemy_utility_local_impact_0_5s", "target_enemy_utility_local_impact_5_10s", "target_enemy_utility_local_impact_10_20s" ], "zone_target_cols_by_window": { "0_5s": [ "target_enemy_utility_zone_0_5s_zone_0", "target_enemy_utility_zone_0_5s_zone_1", "target_enemy_utility_zone_0_5s_zone_2", "target_enemy_utility_zone_0_5s_zone_3", "target_enemy_utility_zone_0_5s_zone_4", "target_enemy_utility_zone_0_5s_zone_5", "target_enemy_utility_zone_0_5s_zone_6", "target_enemy_utility_zone_0_5s_zone_7" ], "5_10s": [ "target_enemy_utility_zone_5_10s_zone_0", "target_enemy_utility_zone_5_10s_zone_1", "target_enemy_utility_zone_5_10s_zone_2", "target_enemy_utility_zone_5_10s_zone_3", "target_enemy_utility_zone_5_10s_zone_4", "target_enemy_utility_zone_5_10s_zone_5", "target_enemy_utility_zone_5_10s_zone_6", "target_enemy_utility_zone_5_10s_zone_7" ], "10_20s": [ "target_enemy_utility_zone_10_20s_zone_0", "target_enemy_utility_zone_10_20s_zone_1", "target_enemy_utility_zone_10_20s_zone_2", "target_enemy_utility_zone_10_20s_zone_3", "target_enemy_utility_zone_10_20s_zone_4", "target_enemy_utility_zone_10_20s_zone_5", "target_enemy_utility_zone_10_20s_zone_6", "target_enemy_utility_zone_10_20s_zone_7" ] }, "utility_types": [ "flash", "smoke", "he", "molotov" ], "utility_windows": [ { "name": "0_5s", "lo_s": 0.0, "hi_s": 5.0 }, { "name": "5_10s", "lo_s": 5.0, "hi_s": 10.0 }, { "name": "10_20s", "lo_s": 10.0, "hi_s": 20.0 } ], "positive_rates": { "target_enemy_utility_flash_0_5s": 0.1609, "target_enemy_utility_smoke_0_5s": 0.1721, "target_enemy_utility_he_0_5s": 0.1023, "target_enemy_utility_molotov_0_5s": 0.1298, "target_enemy_utility_flash_5_10s": 0.1542, "target_enemy_utility_smoke_5_10s": 0.1595, "target_enemy_utility_he_5_10s": 0.0964, "target_enemy_utility_molotov_5_10s": 0.1194, "target_enemy_utility_flash_10_20s": 0.2239, "target_enemy_utility_smoke_10_20s": 0.2303, "target_enemy_utility_he_10_20s": 0.1371, "target_enemy_utility_molotov_10_20s": 0.1587, "target_enemy_utility_local_impact_0_5s": 0.1647, "target_enemy_utility_local_impact_5_10s": 0.1324, "target_enemy_utility_local_impact_10_20s": 0.1663 }, "best_epoch": 4, "calibration": { "method": "train_split_mean_logit_bias", "binary_logit_bias": [ -1.5480257272720337, -1.3060030937194824, -1.808235764503479, -1.6642353534698486, -1.5419772863388062, -1.414421558380127, -1.7364752292633057, -1.653084397315979, -1.1748497486114502, -1.0897053480148315, -1.5286815166473389, -1.404442548751831 ], "local_logit_bias": [ -1.2541126012802124, -1.566249132156372, -1.3963247537612915 ] }, "train": { "binary": { "mean_ap": 0.3705, "mean_f1_at_0_5": 0.1959, "mean_brier": 0.113, "mean_ece": 0.0354, "per_target": { "target_enemy_utility_flash_0_5s": { "positive_rate": 0.1602, "ap": 0.3283, "precision_at_0_5": 0.4876, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0507, "f1_at_0_5": 0.0918, "brier": 0.1221, "ece": 0.0312 }, "target_enemy_utility_smoke_0_5s": { "positive_rate": 0.1732, "ap": 0.3816, "precision_at_0_5": 0.6437, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0804, "f1_at_0_5": 0.143, "brier": 0.1285, "ece": 0.03 }, "target_enemy_utility_he_0_5s": { "positive_rate": 0.0984, "ap": 0.3547, "precision_at_0_5": 0.5039, "recall_at_0_5": 0.2195, "f1_at_0_5": 0.3058, "brier": 0.0777, "ece": 0.0434 }, "target_enemy_utility_molotov_0_5s": { "positive_rate": 0.1293, "ap": 0.3981, "precision_at_0_5": 0.6739, "recall_at_0_5": 0.1484, "f1_at_0_5": 0.2433, "brier": 0.0965, "ece": 0.0369 }, "target_enemy_utility_flash_5_10s": { "positive_rate": 0.1543, "ap": 0.3136, "precision_at_0_5": 0.4367, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0269, "f1_at_0_5": 0.0506, "brier": 0.1188, "ece": 0.0323 }, "target_enemy_utility_smoke_5_10s": { "positive_rate": 0.1602, "ap": 0.3764, "precision_at_0_5": 0.63, "recall_at_0_5": 0.1216, "f1_at_0_5": 0.2038, "brier": 0.12, "ece": 0.0324 }, "target_enemy_utility_he_5_10s": { "positive_rate": 0.0928, "ap": 0.3892, "precision_at_0_5": 0.6046, "recall_at_0_5": 0.1769, "f1_at_0_5": 0.2738, "brier": 0.0719, "ece": 0.0394 }, "target_enemy_utility_molotov_5_10s": { "positive_rate": 0.1184, "ap": 0.3795, "precision_at_0_5": 0.6508, "recall_at_0_5": 0.1677, "f1_at_0_5": 0.2667, "brier": 0.0902, "ece": 0.0355 }, "target_enemy_utility_flash_10_20s": { "positive_rate": 0.223, "ap": 0.4177, "precision_at_0_5": 0.4945, "recall_at_0_5": 0.1758, "f1_at_0_5": 0.2594, "brier": 0.1524, "ece": 0.036 }, "target_enemy_utility_smoke_10_20s": { "positive_rate": 0.2328, "ap": 0.3993, "precision_at_0_5": 0.4761, "recall_at_0_5": 0.1223, "f1_at_0_5": 0.1946, "brier": 0.1593, "ece": 0.0332 }, "target_enemy_utility_he_10_20s": { "positive_rate": 0.131, "ap": 0.368, "precision_at_0_5": 0.483, "recall_at_0_5": 0.1617, "f1_at_0_5": 0.2423, "brier": 0.0991, "ece": 0.0429 }, "target_enemy_utility_molotov_10_20s": { "positive_rate": 0.1568, "ap": 0.34, "precision_at_0_5": 0.5049, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0407, "f1_at_0_5": 0.0753, "brier": 0.119, "ece": 0.0321 } } }, "local_impact": { "mean_ap": 0.3989, "mean_f1_at_0_5": 0.2704, "mean_brier": 0.1092, "mean_ece": 0.0405, "per_target": { "target_enemy_utility_local_impact_0_5s": { "positive_rate": 0.164, "ap": 0.471, "precision_at_0_5": 0.5352, "recall_at_0_5": 0.3575, "f1_at_0_5": 0.4287, "brier": 0.1107, "ece": 0.0483 }, "target_enemy_utility_local_impact_5_10s": { "positive_rate": 0.1304, "ap": 0.3405, "precision_at_0_5": 0.4426, "recall_at_0_5": 0.103, "f1_at_0_5": 0.1671, "brier": 0.0993, "ece": 0.0373 }, "target_enemy_utility_local_impact_10_20s": { "positive_rate": 0.1631, "ap": 0.3851, "precision_at_0_5": 0.4721, "recall_at_0_5": 0.1396, "f1_at_0_5": 0.2154, "brier": 0.1176, "ece": 0.0358 } } }, "zone": { "mean_nll": 1.283, "mean_top1": 0.4849, "per_window": { "0_5s": { "n": 9236, "nll": 1.2741, "top1": 0.4801 }, "5_10s": { "n": 8673, "nll": 1.2784, "top1": 0.4825 }, "10_20s": { "n": 11078, "nll": 1.2965, "top1": 0.4922 } } } }, "holdout": { "binary": { "mean_ap": 0.2908, "mean_f1_at_0_5": 0.1323, "mean_brier": 0.1271, "mean_ece": 0.0391, "per_target": { "target_enemy_utility_flash_0_5s": { "positive_rate": 0.1639, "ap": 0.2319, "precision_at_0_5": 0.1358, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0119, "f1_at_0_5": 0.0218, "brier": 0.1363, "ece": 0.0309 }, "target_enemy_utility_smoke_0_5s": { "positive_rate": 0.1678, "ap": 0.2931, "precision_at_0_5": 0.5773, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0591, "f1_at_0_5": 0.1072, "brier": 0.1344, "ece": 0.0386 }, "target_enemy_utility_he_0_5s": { "positive_rate": 0.1191, "ap": 0.3112, "precision_at_0_5": 0.4701, "recall_at_0_5": 0.1634, "f1_at_0_5": 0.2426, "brier": 0.0954, "ece": 0.0273 }, "target_enemy_utility_molotov_0_5s": { "positive_rate": 0.1318, "ap": 0.3459, "precision_at_0_5": 0.546, "recall_at_0_5": 0.1195, "f1_at_0_5": 0.196, "brier": 0.1025, "ece": 0.0245 }, "target_enemy_utility_flash_5_10s": { "positive_rate": 0.1538, "ap": 0.2573, "precision_at_0_5": 0.2632, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0115, "f1_at_0_5": 0.0221, "brier": 0.1268, "ece": 0.0359 }, "target_enemy_utility_smoke_5_10s": { "positive_rate": 0.1566, "ap": 0.3134, "precision_at_0_5": 0.6338, "recall_at_0_5": 0.1017, "f1_at_0_5": 0.1753, "brier": 0.1249, "ece": 0.0391 }, "target_enemy_utility_he_5_10s": { "positive_rate": 0.1118, "ap": 0.2811, "precision_at_0_5": 0.4914, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0902, "f1_at_0_5": 0.1524, "brier": 0.0921, "ece": 0.0199 }, "target_enemy_utility_molotov_5_10s": { "positive_rate": 0.1237, "ap": 0.2952, "precision_at_0_5": 0.5227, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0987, "f1_at_0_5": 0.1661, "brier": 0.1011, "ece": 0.0366 }, "target_enemy_utility_flash_10_20s": { "positive_rate": 0.2277, "ap": 0.2959, "precision_at_0_5": 0.3324, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0917, "f1_at_0_5": 0.1437, "brier": 0.1768, "ece": 0.0647 }, "target_enemy_utility_smoke_10_20s": { "positive_rate": 0.2196, "ap": 0.286, "precision_at_0_5": 0.3101, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0862, "f1_at_0_5": 0.1349, "brier": 0.1702, "ece": 0.0661 }, "target_enemy_utility_he_10_20s": { "positive_rate": 0.1633, "ap": 0.3416, "precision_at_0_5": 0.5412, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0997, "f1_at_0_5": 0.1683, "brier": 0.124, "ece": 0.026 }, "target_enemy_utility_molotov_10_20s": { "positive_rate": 0.1669, "ap": 0.2365, "precision_at_0_5": 0.3973, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0308, "f1_at_0_5": 0.0571, "brier": 0.1402, "ece": 0.0593 } } }, "local_impact": { "mean_ap": 0.3488, "mean_f1_at_0_5": 0.2223, "mean_brier": 0.1226, "mean_ece": 0.0298, "per_target": { "target_enemy_utility_local_impact_0_5s": { "positive_rate": 0.1672, "ap": 0.4298, "precision_at_0_5": 0.525, "recall_at_0_5": 0.3005, "f1_at_0_5": 0.3822, "brier": 0.119, "ece": 0.0381 }, "target_enemy_utility_local_impact_5_10s": { "positive_rate": 0.1412, "ap": 0.2883, "precision_at_0_5": 0.3786, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0664, "f1_at_0_5": 0.113, "brier": 0.1123, "ece": 0.0203 }, "target_enemy_utility_local_impact_10_20s": { "positive_rate": 0.18, "ap": 0.3283, "precision_at_0_5": 0.4007, "recall_at_0_5": 0.1091, "f1_at_0_5": 0.1716, "brier": 0.1364, "ece": 0.0311 } } }, "zone": { "mean_nll": 1.5074, "mean_top1": 0.3975, "per_window": { "0_5s": { "n": 2289, "nll": 1.4499, "top1": 0.4045 }, "5_10s": { "n": 2187, "nll": 1.5061, "top1": 0.4033 }, "10_20s": { "n": 2798, "nll": 1.5663, "top1": 0.3846 } } } }, "baseline_map_side_time_prior": { "binary": { "mean_ap": 0.3028, "mean_f1_at_0_5": 0.0955, "mean_brier": 0.1253, "mean_ece": 0.0327, "per_target": { "target_enemy_utility_flash_0_5s": { "positive_rate": 0.1639, "ap": 0.2601, "precision_at_0_5": 0.0, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0, "f1_at_0_5": 0.0, "brier": 0.1338, "ece": 0.0242 }, "target_enemy_utility_smoke_0_5s": { "positive_rate": 0.1678, "ap": 0.3646, "precision_at_0_5": 0.7542, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0939, "f1_at_0_5": 0.167, "brier": 0.1272, "ece": 0.0224 }, "target_enemy_utility_he_0_5s": { "positive_rate": 0.1191, "ap": 0.2807, "precision_at_0_5": 0.0, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0, "f1_at_0_5": 0.0, "brier": 0.097, "ece": 0.0289 }, "target_enemy_utility_molotov_0_5s": { "positive_rate": 0.1318, "ap": 0.362, "precision_at_0_5": 0.6746, "recall_at_0_5": 0.1141, "f1_at_0_5": 0.1952, "brier": 0.1007, "ece": 0.0434 }, "target_enemy_utility_flash_5_10s": { "positive_rate": 0.1538, "ap": 0.2431, "precision_at_0_5": 0.0, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0, "f1_at_0_5": 0.0, "brier": 0.1283, "ece": 0.0401 }, "target_enemy_utility_smoke_5_10s": { "positive_rate": 0.1566, "ap": 0.3029, "precision_at_0_5": 0.5275, "recall_at_0_5": 0.1085, "f1_at_0_5": 0.1799, "brier": 0.1248, "ece": 0.0272 }, "target_enemy_utility_he_5_10s": { "positive_rate": 0.1118, "ap": 0.2898, "precision_at_0_5": 0.6032, "recall_at_0_5": 0.1203, "f1_at_0_5": 0.2005, "brier": 0.091, "ece": 0.0277 }, "target_enemy_utility_molotov_5_10s": { "positive_rate": 0.1237, "ap": 0.3062, "precision_at_0_5": 0.4457, "recall_at_0_5": 0.1116, "f1_at_0_5": 0.1785, "brier": 0.0994, "ece": 0.0318 }, "target_enemy_utility_flash_10_20s": { "positive_rate": 0.2277, "ap": 0.2989, "precision_at_0_5": 0.5224, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0272, "f1_at_0_5": 0.0517, "brier": 0.1767, "ece": 0.0463 }, "target_enemy_utility_smoke_10_20s": { "positive_rate": 0.2196, "ap": 0.3325, "precision_at_0_5": 0.0, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0, "f1_at_0_5": 0.0, "brier": 0.1611, "ece": 0.0206 }, "target_enemy_utility_he_10_20s": { "positive_rate": 0.1633, "ap": 0.3534, "precision_at_0_5": 0.4846, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0683, "f1_at_0_5": 0.1197, "brier": 0.1253, "ece": 0.0361 }, "target_enemy_utility_molotov_10_20s": { "positive_rate": 0.1669, "ap": 0.2391, "precision_at_0_5": 0.4154, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0286, "f1_at_0_5": 0.0536, "brier": 0.1386, "ece": 0.0444 } } }, "local_impact": { "mean_ap": 0.2324, "mean_f1_at_0_5": 0.0, "mean_brier": 0.1331, "mean_ece": 0.0214, "per_target": { "target_enemy_utility_local_impact_0_5s": { "positive_rate": 0.1672, "ap": 0.2825, "precision_at_0_5": 0.0, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0, "f1_at_0_5": 0.0, "brier": 0.1323, "ece": 0.0108 }, "target_enemy_utility_local_impact_5_10s": { "positive_rate": 0.1412, "ap": 0.1851, "precision_at_0_5": 0.0, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0, "f1_at_0_5": 0.0, "brier": 0.121, "ece": 0.0209 }, "target_enemy_utility_local_impact_10_20s": { "positive_rate": 0.18, "ap": 0.2297, "precision_at_0_5": 0.0, "recall_at_0_5": 0.0, "f1_at_0_5": 0.0, "brier": 0.1462, "ece": 0.0325 } } }, "zone": { "mean_nll": 1.7169, "mean_top1": 0.3604, "per_window": { "0_5s": { "n": 2289, "nll": 1.5206, "top1": 0.3735 }, "5_10s": { "n": 2187, "nll": 1.7915, "top1": 0.3772 }, "10_20s": { "n": 2798, "nll": 1.8386, "top1": 0.3306 } } } }, "beats_prior_mean_ap": false, "beats_prior_zone_nll": true, "provenance_gate": { "checked": true, "forbidden_input_provenance": [ "eval_only", "privileged_teacher" ] } } wrote official_hltv\planner_bundle\pov_utility_threat_head.pt wrote official_hltv\pov_utility_threat_report.json --- [2026-06-29T20:10:49.5722046+03:00] round-value --- { "mode": "pov_structured_oracle_extractor", "task": "round_win_probability", "target_col": "target_pov_round_win", "target_provenance": "privileged_teacher", "n_train": 24127, "n_holdout": 5651, "selected_model": "hud_situation_mlp", "feature_cols": [ "hud_health", "hud_armor", "hud_weapon_id", "own_alive", "enemy_alive", "man_adv", "own_hp", "own_armor", "own_primaries", "planted", "post_plant_frac", "i_am_t", "progress" ], "candidate_models": { "structured_pov_mlp": { "feature_cols": [ "hud_health", "hud_armor", "hud_weapon_id", "own_alive", "enemy_alive", "man_adv", "own_hp", "own_armor", "own_primaries", "planted", "post_plant_frac", "i_am_t", "progress", "own_view_sin", "own_view_cos", "own_speed", "visible_enemy_count", "visible_enemy_frac", "nearest_visible_enemy_dist", "audio_enemy_near_count", "audio_weapon_fire_near_count", "visible_utility_count", "own_zone_0", "own_zone_1", "own_zone_2", "own_zone_3", "own_zone_4", "own_zone_5", "own_zone_6", "own_zone_7", "visible_enemy_zone_0", "visible_enemy_zone_1", "visible_enemy_zone_2", "visible_enemy_zone_3", "visible_enemy_zone_4", "visible_enemy_zone_5", "visible_enemy_zone_6", "visible_enemy_zone_7", "map_dust2", "map_mirage", "map_nuke", "map_inferno", "map_overpass", "map_anubis", "map_ancient", "map_vertigo", "map_train" ], "best_epoch": 1, "train": { "n": 24127, "positive_rate": 0.5151, "mean_prob": 0.5162, "brier": 0.1705, "log_loss": 0.5014, "ece": 0.0197, "auc": 0.8205, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.7251 }, "holdout": { "n": 5651, "positive_rate": 0.5617, "mean_prob": 0.5027, "brier": 0.2034, "log_loss": 0.5981, "ece": 0.0963, "auc": 0.759, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.6944 } }, "hud_situation_mlp": { "feature_cols": [ "hud_health", "hud_armor", "hud_weapon_id", "own_alive", "enemy_alive", "man_adv", "own_hp", "own_armor", "own_primaries", "planted", "post_plant_frac", "i_am_t", "progress" ], "best_epoch": 1, "train": { "n": 24127, "positive_rate": 0.5151, "mean_prob": 0.5182, "brier": 0.1844, "log_loss": 0.5382, "ece": 0.0211, "auc": 0.7883, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.7005 }, "holdout": { "n": 5651, "positive_rate": 0.5617, "mean_prob": 0.5041, "brier": 0.185, "log_loss": 0.5426, "ece": 0.1192, "auc": 0.7937, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.6799 } } }, "best_epoch": 1, "calibration": { "method": "train_split_mean_logit_bias", "logit_bias": -0.05598140315461051 }, "train": { "n": 24127, "positive_rate": 0.5151, "mean_prob": 0.5182, "brier": 0.1844, "log_loss": 0.5382, "ece": 0.0211, "auc": 0.7883, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.7005 }, "holdout": { "n": 5651, "positive_rate": 0.5617, "mean_prob": 0.5041, "brier": 0.185, "log_loss": 0.5426, "ece": 0.1192, "auc": 0.7937, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.6799 }, "baselines": { "global_train_win_rate": { "n": 5651, "positive_rate": 0.5617, "mean_prob": 0.5151, "brier": 0.2484, "log_loss": 0.6899, "ece": 0.0466, "auc": 0.565, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.5617 }, "map_side_time_prior": { "n": 5651, "positive_rate": 0.5617, "mean_prob": 0.5142, "brier": 0.2733, "log_loss": 0.754, "ece": 0.2182, "auc": 0.5072, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.4539 }, "hud_situation_mlp": { "feature_cols": [ "hud_health", "hud_armor", "hud_weapon_id", "own_alive", "enemy_alive", "man_adv", "own_hp", "own_armor", "own_primaries", "planted", "post_plant_frac", "i_am_t", "progress" ], "best_epoch": 1, "train": { "n": 24127, "positive_rate": 0.5151, "mean_prob": 0.5182, "brier": 0.1844, "log_loss": 0.5382, "ece": 0.0211, "auc": 0.7883, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.7005 }, "holdout": { "n": 5651, "positive_rate": 0.5617, "mean_prob": 0.5041, "brier": 0.185, "log_loss": 0.5426, "ece": 0.1192, "auc": 0.7937, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.6799 } } }, "repair_latent_comparison": null, "beats_global_brier": true, "beats_map_side_time_brier": true, "structured_beats_hud_situation_brier": false, "provenance_gate": { "checked": true, "forbidden_input_provenance": [ "eval_only", "privileged_teacher" ], "input_feature_count": 13, "label_source": "parsed rounds winner_team, target only" } } wrote official_hltv\planner_bundle\pov_value_head.pt wrote official_hltv\pov_value_report.json --- [2026-06-29T20:10:57.1888458+03:00] destination --- { "mode": "pov_structured_oracle_extractor", "task": "own_future_destination_zone", "target_cols": [ "target_own_destination_zone_3s", "target_own_destination_zone_6s", "target_own_destination_zone_12s" ], "target_provenance": "privileged_teacher", "horizons_s": [ 3.0, 6.0, 12.0 ], "num_zones": 8, "n_train": 24127, "n_holdout": 5651, "selected_model": "structured_pov_mlp", "feature_cols": [ "hud_health", "hud_armor", "hud_weapon_id", "own_alive", "enemy_alive", "man_adv", "own_hp", "own_armor", "own_primaries", "planted", "post_plant_frac", "i_am_t", "progress", "own_view_sin", "own_view_cos", "own_speed", "visible_enemy_count", "visible_enemy_frac", "nearest_visible_enemy_dist", "audio_enemy_near_count", "audio_weapon_fire_near_count", "visible_utility_count", "own_zone_0", "own_zone_1", "own_zone_2", "own_zone_3", "own_zone_4", "own_zone_5", "own_zone_6", "own_zone_7", "visible_enemy_zone_0", "visible_enemy_zone_1", "visible_enemy_zone_2", "visible_enemy_zone_3", "visible_enemy_zone_4", "visible_enemy_zone_5", "visible_enemy_zone_6", "visible_enemy_zone_7", "map_dust2", "map_mirage", "map_nuke", "map_inferno", "map_overpass", "map_anubis", "map_ancient", "map_vertigo", "map_train" ], "current_zone_cols": [ "own_zone_0", "own_zone_1", "own_zone_2", "own_zone_3", "own_zone_4", "own_zone_5", "own_zone_6", "own_zone_7" ], "best_epoch": 8, "train": { "by_horizon": { "3s": { "all": { "n": 24127, "top1": 0.8666, "top3": 0.9941, "nll": 0.378, "ece": 0.0079, "mover_rate": 0.1606 }, "movers": { "n": 3875, "top1": 0.2689, "top3": 0.9636, "nll": 1.6492, "ece": 0.4208, "mover_rate": 0.1606 } }, "6s": { "all": { "n": 24127, "top1": 0.8003, "top3": 0.9878, "nll": 0.5424, "ece": 0.0142, "mover_rate": 0.266 }, "movers": { "n": 6417, "top1": 0.3598, "top3": 0.9545, "nll": 1.4344, "ece": 0.2874, "mover_rate": 0.266 } }, "12s": { "all": { "n": 24127, "top1": 0.7143, "top3": 0.9622, "nll": 0.7793, "ece": 0.022, "mover_rate": 0.3895 }, "movers": { "n": 9397, "top1": 0.3748, "top3": 0.904, "nll": 1.462, "ece": 0.2235, "mover_rate": 0.3895 } } }, "mean": { "top1": 0.7937, "top3": 0.9814, "nll": 0.5666, "ece": 0.0147 }, "mean_movers": { "top1": 0.3345, "top3": 0.9407, "nll": 1.5152, "ece": 0.3106 } }, "holdout": { "by_horizon": { "3s": { "all": { "n": 5651, "top1": 0.8554, "top3": 0.9866, "nll": 0.4808, "ece": 0.0263, "mover_rate": 0.1557 }, "movers": { "n": 880, "top1": 0.2011, "top3": 0.9136, "nll": 2.2385, "ece": 0.5286, "mover_rate": 0.1557 } }, "6s": { "all": { "n": 5651, "top1": 0.7705, "top3": 0.9708, "nll": 0.7064, "ece": 0.0307, "mover_rate": 0.2493 }, "movers": { "n": 1409, "top1": 0.2463, "top3": 0.8843, "nll": 1.9814, "ece": 0.426, "mover_rate": 0.2493 } }, "12s": { "all": { "n": 5651, "top1": 0.6514, "top3": 0.9342, "nll": 0.9965, "ece": 0.032, "mover_rate": 0.3658 }, "movers": { "n": 2067, "top1": 0.255, "top3": 0.8249, "nll": 1.9325, "ece": 0.3529, "mover_rate": 0.3658 } } }, "mean": { "top1": 0.7591, "top3": 0.9639, "nll": 0.7279, "ece": 0.0297 }, "mean_movers": { "top1": 0.2341, "top3": 0.8743, "nll": 2.0508, "ece": 0.4358 } }, "baselines": { "stay_current_zone": { "by_horizon": { "3s": { "all": { "n": 5651, "top1": 0.8443, "top3": 0.8682, "nll": 1.4349, "ece": 0.155, "mover_rate": 0.1557 }, "movers": { "n": 880, "top1": 0.0, "top3": 0.1534, "nll": 9.2103, "ece": 0.9993, "mover_rate": 0.1557 } }, "6s": { "all": { "n": 5651, "top1": 0.7507, "top3": 0.7947, "nll": 2.297, "ece": 0.2486, "mover_rate": 0.2493 }, "movers": { "n": 1409, "top1": 0.0, "top3": 0.1767, "nll": 9.2103, "ece": 0.9993, "mover_rate": 0.2493 } }, "12s": { "all": { "n": 5651, "top1": 0.6342, "top3": 0.6955, "nll": 3.3694, "ece": 0.3651, "mover_rate": 0.3658 }, "movers": { "n": 2067, "top1": 0.0, "top3": 0.1674, "nll": 9.2103, "ece": 0.9993, "mover_rate": 0.3658 } } }, "mean": { "top1": 0.7431, "top3": 0.7861, "nll": 2.3671, "ece": 0.2562 }, "mean_movers": { "top1": 0.0, "top3": 0.1658, "nll": 9.2103, "ece": 0.9993 } }, "global_train_destination_prior": { "by_horizon": { "3s": { "all": { "n": 5651, "top1": 0.16, "top3": 0.4429, "nll": 2.0413, "ece": 0.0073, "mover_rate": 0.1557 }, "movers": { "n": 880, "top1": 0.1886, "top3": 0.5034, "nll": 2.0295, "ece": 0.0213, "mover_rate": 0.1557 } }, "6s": { "all": { "n": 5651, "top1": 0.1617, "top3": 0.4197, "nll": 2.0419, "ece": 0.0079, "mover_rate": 0.2493 }, "movers": { "n": 1409, "top1": 0.1796, "top3": 0.3982, "nll": 2.0462, "ece": 0.0099, "mover_rate": 0.2493 } }, "12s": { "all": { "n": 5651, "top1": 0.1536, "top3": 0.4449, "nll": 2.0407, "ece": 0.0153, "mover_rate": 0.3658 }, "movers": { "n": 2067, "top1": 0.1597, "top3": 0.4625, "nll": 2.0487, "ece": 0.0093, "mover_rate": 0.3658 } } }, "mean": { "top1": 0.1584, "top3": 0.4358, "nll": 2.0413, "ece": 0.0102 }, "mean_movers": { "top1": 0.176, "top3": 0.4547, "nll": 2.0415, "ece": 0.0135 } }, "map_side_time_current_zone_prior": { "by_horizon": { "3s": { "all": { "n": 5651, "top1": 0.8498, "top3": 0.9807, "nll": 0.5507, "ece": 0.0315, "mover_rate": 0.1557 }, "movers": { "n": 880, "top1": 0.0898, "top3": 0.8761, "nll": 2.4771, "ece": 0.658, "mover_rate": 0.1557 } }, "6s": { "all": { "n": 5651, "top1": 0.7641, "top3": 0.9577, "nll": 0.7944, "ece": 0.0451, "mover_rate": 0.2493 }, "movers": { "n": 1409, "top1": 0.1214, "top3": 0.8332, "nll": 2.2117, "ece": 0.543, "mover_rate": 0.2493 } }, "12s": { "all": { "n": 5651, "top1": 0.6576, "top3": 0.9167, "nll": 1.081, "ece": 0.0604, "mover_rate": 0.3658 }, "movers": { "n": 2067, "top1": 0.1456, "top3": 0.7784, "nll": 2.1039, "ece": 0.4259, "mover_rate": 0.3658 } } }, "mean": { "top1": 0.7572, "top3": 0.9517, "nll": 0.8087, "ece": 0.0457 }, "mean_movers": { "top1": 0.1189, "top3": 0.8292, "nll": 2.2642, "ece": 0.5423 } } }, "repair_latent_comparison": null, "beats_stay_mover_top1": true, "beats_context_prior_mover_top3": true, "provenance_gate": { "checked": true, "forbidden_input_provenance": [ "eval_only", "privileged_teacher" ], "input_feature_count": 47, "label_source": "privileged future own position destination labels", "planner_eligible": true } } wrote official_hltv\planner_bundle\pov_destination_head.pt wrote official_hltv\pov_destination_report.json --- [2026-06-29T20:11:04.6836563+03:00] option-value --- { "mode": "pov_structured_oracle_extractor", "task": "destination_option_value", "target_col": "target_pov_round_win", "target_provenance": "privileged_teacher", "logged_option_col": "target_own_destination_zone_6s", "logged_option_provenance": "privileged_teacher", "horizon_s": 6.0, "num_zones": 8, "n_train": 24127, "n_holdout": 5651, "n_train_round_groups": 104, "n_holdout_round_groups": 23, "selected_model": "structured_pov_destination_conditioned_mlp", "feature_cols": [ "hud_health", "hud_armor", "hud_weapon_id", "own_alive", "enemy_alive", "man_adv", "own_hp", "own_armor", "own_primaries", "planted", "post_plant_frac", "i_am_t", "progress", "own_view_sin", "own_view_cos", "own_speed", "visible_enemy_count", "visible_enemy_frac", "nearest_visible_enemy_dist", "audio_enemy_near_count", "audio_weapon_fire_near_count", "visible_utility_count", "own_zone_0", "own_zone_1", "own_zone_2", "own_zone_3", "own_zone_4", "own_zone_5", "own_zone_6", "own_zone_7", "visible_enemy_zone_0", "visible_enemy_zone_1", "visible_enemy_zone_2", "visible_enemy_zone_3", "visible_enemy_zone_4", "visible_enemy_zone_5", "visible_enemy_zone_6", "visible_enemy_zone_7", "map_dust2", "map_mirage", "map_nuke", "map_inferno", "map_overpass", "map_anubis", "map_ancient", "map_vertigo", "map_train" ], "option_feature_cols": [ "candidate_zone_0", "candidate_zone_1", "candidate_zone_2", "candidate_zone_3", "candidate_zone_4", "candidate_zone_5", "candidate_zone_6", "candidate_zone_7", "candidate_is_current_zone" ], "current_zone_cols": [ "own_zone_0", "own_zone_1", "own_zone_2", "own_zone_3", "own_zone_4", "own_zone_5", "own_zone_6", "own_zone_7" ], "best_epoch": 1, "train": { "n": 24127, "positive_rate": 0.5151, "mean_prob": 0.5137, "brier": 0.1693, "log_loss": 0.4997, "ece": 0.0201, "auc": 0.8244, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.7319 }, "holdout": { "n": 5651, "positive_rate": 0.5617, "mean_prob": 0.5059, "brier": 0.2187, "log_loss": 0.6294, "ece": 0.0835, "auc": 0.7177, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.6447 }, "baselines": { "global_train_win_rate": { "n": 5651, "positive_rate": 0.5617, "mean_prob": 0.5151, "brier": 0.2484, "log_loss": 0.6899, "ece": 0.0466, "auc": 0.565, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.5617 }, "map_side_time_prior": { "n": 5651, "positive_rate": 0.5617, "mean_prob": 0.5142, "brier": 0.2733, "log_loss": 0.754, "ece": 0.2182, "auc": 0.5072, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.4539 }, "state_only_mlp": { "feature_cols": [ "hud_health", "hud_armor", "hud_weapon_id", "own_alive", "enemy_alive", "man_adv", "own_hp", "own_armor", "own_primaries", "planted", "post_plant_frac", "i_am_t", "progress", "own_view_sin", "own_view_cos", "own_speed", "visible_enemy_count", "visible_enemy_frac", "nearest_visible_enemy_dist", "audio_enemy_near_count", "audio_weapon_fire_near_count", "visible_utility_count", "own_zone_0", "own_zone_1", "own_zone_2", "own_zone_3", "own_zone_4", "own_zone_5", "own_zone_6", "own_zone_7", "visible_enemy_zone_0", "visible_enemy_zone_1", "visible_enemy_zone_2", "visible_enemy_zone_3", "visible_enemy_zone_4", "visible_enemy_zone_5", "visible_enemy_zone_6", "visible_enemy_zone_7", "map_dust2", "map_mirage", "map_nuke", "map_inferno", "map_overpass", "map_anubis", "map_ancient", "map_vertigo", "map_train" ], "best_epoch": 1, "train": { "n": 24127, "positive_rate": 0.5151, "mean_prob": 0.5181, "brier": 0.169, "log_loss": 0.4999, "ece": 0.0209, "auc": 0.8249, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.7336 }, "holdout": { "n": 5651, "positive_rate": 0.5617, "mean_prob": 0.5119, "brier": 0.2017, "log_loss": 0.5886, "ece": 0.0735, "auc": 0.7566, "accuracy_at_0_5": 0.676 } } }, "option_signal": { "factual_brier_gain_over_state_only": -0.017, "factual_auc_gain_over_state_only": -0.0389, "train_logged_destination_counts": [ 2315, 3411, 1369, 3019, 2555, 3975, 3390, 4093 ], "support_min_count": 50, "support_min_propensity": 0.02 }, "policy_evaluation": { "logged_observed_mean_win": 0.5617, "policies": { "support_greedy_q": { "dr_value": 0.5318, "logged_match_rate": 0.3534, "ess": 656.69, "mean_selected_behavior_prob": 0.3648, "unsupported_selected": 0 }, "behavior_context_prior_argmax": { "dr_value": 0.5712, "logged_match_rate": 0.7641, "ess": 4117.04, "mean_selected_behavior_prob": 0.728, "unsupported_selected": 0 }, "stay_current_zone": { "dr_value": 0.5351, "logged_match_rate": 0.7507, "ess": 1849.11, "mean_selected_behavior_prob": 0.7086, "unsupported_selected": 0 } }, "greedy_vs_logged_observed_dr_delta_bootstrap": { "mean": -0.03, "std": 0.0251, "ci95": [ -0.0807, 0.017 ] }, "greedy_switch_rate_vs_context_imitation": 0.6096, "greedy_mean_q_gap_vs_context_imitation": 0.053, "behavior_propensity_source": "train_split_map_side_time_current_zone_destination_prior" }, "promotion_decision": "report_pov_values_only_do_not_override_imitation", "caveat": "This is an observational destination-conditioned value head. It is POV-valid as an inference model, but its greedy policy is not causal proof and must be treated as advisory unless OPE confidence is clearly positive at larger scale.", "provenance_gate": { "checked": true, "forbidden_input_provenance": [ "eval_only", "privileged_teacher" ], "input_feature_count": 47, "candidate_feature_count": 9, "label_source": "privileged round outcome and future own destination labels", "planner_eligible": true } } wrote official_hltv\planner_bundle\pov_option_value_head.pt wrote official_hltv\pov_option_value_report.json --- [2026-06-29T20:11:12.2936795+03:00] leakage audit --- { "mode": "pov_leakage_audit", "passed": true, "violations": [], "warnings": [], "checks": { "metadata": { "metadata": { "feature_count": 47, "target_count": 59, "schema_version": 4, "input_mode": "pov_structured_oracle_extractor" } }, "checkpoint_files": [ "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_audio_only_enemy_belief.pt", "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_destination_head.pt", "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_enemy_belief_head.pt", "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_hud_token_head.pt", "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_option_value_head.pt", "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_utility_threat_head.pt", "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_value_head.pt", "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_video_audio_enemy_belief.pt", "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_video_only_enemy_belief.pt" ], "checkpoint:pov_audio_only_enemy_belief.pt": { "checkpoint": { "path": "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_audio_only_enemy_belief.pt", "feature_count": 0, "planner_eligible": false, "context_mode": null, "input_mode": "pov_video_audio_black_radar", "media_runtime_inputs": [ "obs_audio" ], "radar_policy": "masked_black" } }, "checkpoint:pov_destination_head.pt": { "checkpoint": { "path": "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_destination_head.pt", "feature_count": 47, "planner_eligible": true, "context_mode": null, "input_mode": null }, "checkpoint_features": { "metadata": { "feature_count": 47, "target_count": 59, "schema_version": null, "input_mode": null } } }, "checkpoint:pov_enemy_belief_head.pt": { "checkpoint": { "path": "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_enemy_belief_head.pt", "feature_count": 47, "planner_eligible": null, "context_mode": null, "input_mode": null }, "checkpoint_features": { "metadata": { "feature_count": 47, "target_count": 59, "schema_version": null, "input_mode": null } } }, "checkpoint:pov_hud_token_head.pt": { "checkpoint": { "path": "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_hud_token_head.pt", "feature_count": 0, "planner_eligible": false, "context_mode": null, "input_mode": "pov_video_hud_crops_black_radar", "media_runtime_inputs": [ "black_radar_mask", "hud_crops", "obs_video" ], "radar_policy": "masked_black" } }, "checkpoint:pov_option_value_head.pt": { "checkpoint": { "path": "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_option_value_head.pt", "feature_count": 47, "planner_eligible": true, "context_mode": null, "input_mode": null }, "checkpoint_features": { "metadata": { "feature_count": 47, "target_count": 59, "schema_version": null, "input_mode": null } } }, "checkpoint:pov_utility_threat_head.pt": { "checkpoint": { "path": "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_utility_threat_head.pt", "feature_count": 47, "planner_eligible": null, "context_mode": null, "input_mode": null }, "checkpoint_features": { "metadata": { "feature_count": 47, "target_count": 59, "schema_version": null, "input_mode": null } } }, "checkpoint:pov_value_head.pt": { "checkpoint": { "path": "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_value_head.pt", "feature_count": 13, "planner_eligible": null, "context_mode": null, "input_mode": null }, "checkpoint_features": { "metadata": { "feature_count": 13, "target_count": 59, "schema_version": null, "input_mode": null } } }, "checkpoint:pov_video_audio_enemy_belief.pt": { "checkpoint": { "path": "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_video_audio_enemy_belief.pt", "feature_count": 0, "planner_eligible": false, "context_mode": null, "input_mode": "pov_video_audio_black_radar", "media_runtime_inputs": [ "black_radar_mask", "obs_audio", "obs_video" ], "radar_policy": "masked_black" } }, "checkpoint:pov_video_only_enemy_belief.pt": { "checkpoint": { "path": "official_hltv\\planner_bundle\\pov_video_only_enemy_belief.pt", "feature_count": 0, "planner_eligible": false, "context_mode": null, "input_mode": "pov_video_audio_black_radar", "media_runtime_inputs": [ "black_radar_mask", "obs_video" ], "radar_policy": "masked_black" } }, "splits": { "round_disjoint_split": { "rounds_checked": 127, "mixed_rounds": 0 } }, "planner_contract": { "mode": "pov", "input_contract": "single_player_pov_observation_history", "allowed_input_provenance": [ "pov_observable", "pov_extracted", "belief_predicted" ], "forbidden_input_provenance": [ "eval_only", "privileged_teacher" ] } } } === [2026-06-29T20:11:14.8989597+03:00] Structured head regeneration complete (leakage audit exit 0) === pov_audio_only_enemy_belief.pt pov_destination_head.pt pov_enemy_belief_head.pt pov_hud_token_head.pt pov_option_value_head.pt pov_utility_threat_head.pt pov_value_head.pt pov_video_audio_enemy_belief.pt pov_video_only_enemy_belief.pt