| |
| from __future__ import annotations |
| """ |
| factor_priors.py — PRISM-VQ A1: 13 经典截面先验因子计算模块 |
| |
| 从 yfinance OHLCV、yfinance info、akshare 财务数据 计算 13 个经典截面因子。 |
| 每个因子输出统一格式:{"status": "ok"/"error", "value": <float or None>, "detail": "..."} |
| |
| 支持 --use-cache 模式:从 priors_cache/ 目录读取预下载的 OHLCV、info、financial 数据。 |
| |
| 防泄露核心规则: |
| - compute_all_priors() 使用 df_ohlcv 切片确保只用到截止 date 的数据 |
| - 财务数据用最近一个财报期的值 |
| - yfinance info 是快照数据,只用在推理日期已知的信息 |
| """ |
|
|
| import logging |
| import os |
| import re |
| import threading |
| import time |
| from functools import lru_cache |
| from pathlib import Path |
|
|
| import numpy as np |
| import pandas as pd |
| import yfinance as yf |
|
|
| logger = logging.getLogger(__name__) |
|
|
| |
| CACHE_DIR = os.path.join(os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__)), "priors_cache") |
|
|
| |
| BENCHMARK_SYMBOL = "000300.SS" |
|
|
| |
| _benchmark_close: pd.Series | None = None |
| _benchmark_ts: float = 0 |
| BENCHMARK_CACHE_TTL = 3600 |
|
|
| |
| _market_returns_cache: pd.Series | None = None |
| _market_returns_ts: float = 0 |
| MARKET_RETURNS_CACHE_TTL = 3600 |
|
|
|
|
| def _to_yf(symbol: str) -> str: |
| """Convert internal symbol (sh600000) to yfinance format (600000.SS).""" |
| if symbol.endswith(".SS") or symbol.endswith(".SZ"): |
| return symbol |
| if len(symbol) > 2: |
| prefix, code = symbol[:2], symbol[2:] |
| if prefix == "sh": |
| return f"{code}.SS" |
| elif prefix == "sz": |
| return f"{code}.SZ" |
| return symbol |
|
|
|
|
| |
| |
| |
|
|
|
|
| def _get_cache_dir(symbol: str) -> str: |
| """获取单个股票的缓存目录路径。""" |
| return os.path.join(CACHE_DIR, symbol) |
|
|
|
|
| def load_cached_ohlcv(symbol: str) -> pd.DataFrame | None: |
| """从缓存读取 OHLCV 数据。 |
| |
| Args: |
| symbol: 股票代码 (e.g., "sh600000") |
| |
| Returns: |
| DataFrame with columns [date, open, high, low, close, volume], 或 None |
| """ |
| path = os.path.join(_get_cache_dir(symbol), "ohlcv.parquet") |
| if not os.path.exists(path): |
| return None |
| try: |
| df = pd.read_parquet(path) |
| if df.empty: |
| return None |
| df["date"] = pd.to_datetime(df["date"]) |
| return df |
| except Exception as e: |
| logger.warning(f"读取 OHLCV 缓存失败 [{symbol}]: {e}") |
| return None |
|
|
|
|
| def load_cached_info(symbol: str) -> dict[str, float | None] | None: |
| """从缓存读取 yfinance info 字段。 |
| |
| Returns: |
| {field: value} 字典,或 None |
| """ |
| path = os.path.join(_get_cache_dir(symbol), "info.parquet") |
| if not os.path.exists(path): |
| return None |
| try: |
| df = pd.read_parquet(path) |
| if df.empty: |
| return None |
| record = df.iloc[0].to_dict() |
| |
| return {k: v for k, v in record.items() if k != "symbol"} |
| except Exception as e: |
| logger.warning(f"读取 Info 缓存失败 [{symbol}]: {e}") |
| return None |
|
|
|
|
| def load_cached_financial(symbol: str) -> dict[str, float | None] | None: |
| """从缓存读取 akshare 财务数据。 |
| |
| Returns: |
| {roe, gross_margin, asset_growth} 字典,或 None |
| """ |
| path = os.path.join(_get_cache_dir(symbol), "financial.parquet") |
| if not os.path.exists(path): |
| return None |
| try: |
| df = pd.read_parquet(path) |
| if df.empty: |
| return None |
| record = df.iloc[0].to_dict() |
| return { |
| "roe": record.get("roe"), |
| "gross_margin": record.get("gross_margin"), |
| "asset_growth": record.get("asset_growth"), |
| } |
| except Exception as e: |
| logger.warning(f"读取 Financial 缓存失败 [{symbol}]: {e}") |
| return None |
|
|
|
|
| def load_cached_market_returns() -> pd.Series | None: |
| """从缓存读取全市场等权日收益率序列。 |
| |
| Returns: |
| pd.Series with datetime index and market_return values, or None |
| """ |
| global _market_returns_cache, _market_returns_ts |
| now = time.time() |
| if _market_returns_cache is not None and (now - _market_returns_ts) < MARKET_RETURNS_CACHE_TTL: |
| return _market_returns_cache |
|
|
| path = os.path.join(CACHE_DIR, "market_returns.parquet") |
| if not os.path.exists(path): |
| return None |
| try: |
| df = pd.read_parquet(path) |
| if df.empty or "market_return" not in df.columns: |
| return None |
| series = df["market_return"].sort_index() |
| series.index = pd.to_datetime(series.index) |
| _market_returns_cache = series |
| _market_returns_ts = now |
| return series |
| except Exception as e: |
| logger.warning(f"读取市场收益率缓存失败: {e}") |
| return None |
|
|
|
|
| |
| |
| |
|
|
|
|
| def _get_benchmark_returns(end_date: pd.Timestamp, max_periods: int = 504) -> np.ndarray: |
| """Get CSI 300 daily returns up to end_date (防数据泄露), cached for TTL. |
| Uses yfinance first, falls back to akshare for A-share indices. |
| """ |
| global _benchmark_close, _benchmark_ts |
| now = time.time() |
| if _benchmark_close is None or (now - _benchmark_ts) > BENCHMARK_CACHE_TTL: |
| |
| try: |
| bm = yf.download(BENCHMARK_SYMBOL, period="1y", progress=False, auto_adjust=True) |
| if bm.empty or len(bm) < 100: |
| raise ValueError("insufficient data from yfinance") |
| _benchmark_close = bm["Close"].dropna() |
| _benchmark_close.index = pd.to_datetime(_benchmark_close.index).tz_localize(None) |
| _benchmark_ts = now |
| except Exception: |
| |
| try: |
| import akshare as ak |
| raw = ak.stock_zh_index_daily(symbol="sh000300") |
| if raw is not None and not raw.empty: |
| raw["date"] = pd.to_datetime(raw["date"]) |
| raw = raw.sort_values("date") |
| _benchmark_close = raw.set_index("date")["close"] |
| _benchmark_ts = now |
| else: |
| logger.warning("Benchmark: akshare returned empty") |
| return np.array([], dtype=np.float64) |
| except Exception as e2: |
| logger.warning(f"Benchmark all sources failed: {e2}") |
| return np.array([], dtype=np.float64) |
|
|
| end_ts = pd.Timestamp(end_date).tz_localize(None) if hasattr(pd.Timestamp(end_date), "tz") else pd.Timestamp(end_date) |
| mask = _benchmark_close.index <= end_ts |
| bm_slice = _benchmark_close[mask] |
| if len(bm_slice) < 2: |
| return np.array([], dtype=np.float64) |
| ret = bm_slice.pct_change().dropna().values |
| |
| if ret.ndim == 2 and ret.shape[1] == 1: |
| ret = ret.flatten() |
| return ret[-max_periods:] if len(ret) > max_periods else ret |
|
|
|
|
| |
| |
| |
|
|
| def _compute_momentum_12m(df_slice: pd.DataFrame) -> dict: |
| """过去12个月收益减去最近1个月收益. |
| |
| 经典动量因子 (Jegadeesh & Titman 1993): |
| momentum = r_12m_ago_to_1m_ago (skip most recent month) |
| """ |
| try: |
| close = df_slice["close"].dropna().values |
| if len(close) < 21: |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": "insufficient data (<21 rows)"} |
| n_12m = min(252, len(close)) |
| n_1m = min(21, len(close)) |
| val = close[-1] / close[-n_12m] - 1 - (close[-1] / close[-n_1m] - 1) |
| return { |
| "status": "ok", |
| "value": float(val), |
| "detail": f"n_12m={n_12m}, n_1m={n_1m}", |
| } |
| except Exception as e: |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": str(e)} |
|
|
|
|
| def _compute_reversal_1m(df_slice: pd.DataFrame) -> dict: |
| """过去1个月收益 (短期反转因子).""" |
| try: |
| close = df_slice["close"].dropna().values |
| if len(close) < 21: |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": "insufficient data (<21 rows)"} |
| val = close[-1] / close[-21] - 1 |
| return {"status": "ok", "value": float(val), "detail": ""} |
| except Exception as e: |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": str(e)} |
|
|
|
|
| def _compute_volatility_idio(df_slice: pd.DataFrame, market_returns: np.ndarray | None = None) -> dict: |
| """残差波动率: 对市场回归后的残差标准差. |
| |
| Args: |
| df_slice: OHLCV 切片 |
| market_returns: 可选,全市场等权收益率序列 (numpy array) |
| """ |
| try: |
| close = df_slice["close"].dropna() |
| if len(close) < 30: |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": "insufficient data (<30 rows)"} |
| stock_ret = close.pct_change().dropna().values |
|
|
| end_date = pd.Timestamp(df_slice["date"].iloc[-1]) |
| if market_returns is not None and len(market_returns) > 20: |
| bm_ret = market_returns |
| else: |
| bm_ret = _get_benchmark_returns(end_date, 504) |
| if len(bm_ret) < 20: |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": f"insufficient benchmark data ({len(bm_ret)})"} |
|
|
| |
| min_len = min(len(stock_ret), len(bm_ret)) |
| stock_ret = stock_ret[-min_len:] |
| bm_ret = bm_ret[-min_len:] |
|
|
| |
| mask = np.isfinite(stock_ret) & np.isfinite(bm_ret) |
| stock_ret = stock_ret[mask] |
| bm_ret = bm_ret[mask] |
|
|
| if len(stock_ret) < 20: |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": f"too few valid returns ({len(stock_ret)})"} |
|
|
| X = np.column_stack([np.ones(len(stock_ret), dtype=np.float64), bm_ret]) |
| y = stock_ret |
| beta = np.linalg.lstsq(X, y, rcond=None)[0] |
| residuals = y - X @ beta |
| ivol = float(np.std(residuals)) |
| return {"status": "ok", "value": ivol, "detail": f"beta={beta[1]:.4f}, alpha={beta[0]:.6f}, n={len(stock_ret)}"} |
| except Exception as e: |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": str(e)} |
|
|
|
|
| def _compute_beta_60d(df_slice: pd.DataFrame, market_returns: np.ndarray | None = None) -> dict: |
| """60 日市场 beta。 |
| |
| 优先使用全市场等权收益率作为基准 (从缓存读取), |
| 如果不可用则回退到 CSI 300。 |
| |
| beta = Cov(R_i, R_m) / Var(R_m) |
| |
| Args: |
| df_slice: OHLCV 切片 |
| market_returns: 可选,全市场等权收益率序列 (numpy array) |
| """ |
| try: |
| close = df_slice["close"] |
| if len(close) < 61: |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": "insufficient data (<61 rows)"} |
|
|
| stock_ret = close.pct_change().dropna().values[-60:] |
|
|
| |
| if market_returns is not None and len(market_returns) >= 20: |
| bm_ret = market_returns[-60:] if len(market_returns) >= 60 else market_returns |
| else: |
| end_date = pd.Timestamp(df_slice["date"].iloc[-1]) |
| bm_ret = _get_benchmark_returns(end_date, 60) |
|
|
| if len(bm_ret) < 20: |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": f"insufficient benchmark data ({len(bm_ret)})"} |
|
|
| min_len = min(len(stock_ret), len(bm_ret)) |
| stock_ret = stock_ret[-min_len:] |
| bm_ret = bm_ret[-min_len:] |
|
|
| if min_len < 10: |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": "insufficient data after alignment"} |
|
|
| cov = np.cov(stock_ret, bm_ret) |
| beta = cov[0, 1] / cov[1, 1] if cov[1, 1] > 1e-12 else 0.0 |
| return {"status": "ok", "value": float(beta), "detail": f"n={min_len}"} |
| except Exception as e: |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": str(e)} |
|
|
|
|
| def _compute_turnover_avg(df_slice: pd.DataFrame, shares_outstanding: int | None) -> dict: |
| """20 日平均换手率 = 平均日成交量 / 流通股数.""" |
| try: |
| volume = df_slice["volume"].values |
| if len(volume) < 20: |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": "insufficient data (<20 rows)"} |
| avg_vol = float(np.mean(volume[-20:])) |
| if shares_outstanding is None or shares_outstanding <= 0: |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": "shares_outstanding not available"} |
| turnover = avg_vol / shares_outstanding |
| return { |
| "status": "ok", |
| "value": float(turnover), |
| "detail": f"avg_vol={avg_vol:.0f}, shares={shares_outstanding}", |
| } |
| except Exception as e: |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": str(e)} |
|
|
|
|
| |
| |
| |
|
|
| @lru_cache(maxsize=4096) |
| def _get_info_field_cached(symbol: str, field: str) -> tuple[str, float | None, str]: |
| """Cached wrapper for single info field fetch. |
| Checks local priors_cache/yfinance_info.parquet first, falls back to yfinance.info. |
| """ |
| |
| try: |
| cache_path = Path(__file__).parent / "priors_cache" / "yfinance_info.parquet" |
| if cache_path.exists(): |
| |
| if not hasattr(_get_info_field_cached, "_cache_df"): |
| _get_info_field_cached._cache_df = pd.read_parquet(cache_path) |
| cache_df = _get_info_field_cached._cache_df |
| |
| lookup_keys = [symbol] |
| if symbol.endswith(".SS"): |
| lookup_keys.append("sh" + symbol[:-3]) |
| elif symbol.endswith(".SZ"): |
| lookup_keys.append("sz" + symbol[:-3]) |
| row = cache_df[cache_df["symbol"].isin(lookup_keys)] |
| if len(row) > 0 and field in row.columns: |
| val = row.iloc[0][field] |
| if val is not None and not (isinstance(val, float) and np.isnan(val)): |
| try: |
| return ("ok", float(val), "cached") |
| except (TypeError, ValueError): |
| pass |
| except Exception: |
| pass |
|
|
| |
| try: |
| ticker = yf.Ticker(symbol) |
| info = ticker.info |
| if info and field in info and info[field] is not None: |
| try: |
| val = float(info[field]) |
| return ("ok", val, "") |
| except (TypeError, ValueError): |
| return ("error", None, f"field '{field}' value not numeric: {info[field]}") |
| else: |
| return ("error", None, f"field '{field}' not in info") |
| except Exception as e: |
| return ("error", None, str(e)) |
|
|
|
|
| @lru_cache(maxsize=4096) |
| def _get_shares_outstanding_cached(symbol: str) -> int | None: |
| """Get shares outstanding from yfinance info (cached).""" |
| try: |
| ticker = yf.Ticker(symbol) |
| info = ticker.info |
| if info: |
| for field in ["sharesOutstanding", "impliedSharesOutstanding", "floatShares"]: |
| val = info.get(field) |
| if val is not None and val > 0: |
| return int(val) |
| return None |
| except Exception: |
| return None |
|
|
|
|
| def _compute_size(yf_sym: str, cached_info: dict | None = None) -> dict: |
| """log(Market Cap).""" |
| if cached_info is not None: |
| val = cached_info.get("marketCap") |
| if val is not None and val > 0: |
| return {"status": "ok", "value": float(np.log(val)), "detail": f"raw_marketCap={val:.0f} (cached)"} |
| status, val, detail = _get_info_field_cached(yf_sym, "marketCap") |
| if status == "ok" and val is not None and val > 0: |
| return {"status": "ok", "value": float(np.log(val)), "detail": f"raw_marketCap={val:.0f}"} |
| return {"status": status, "value": None, "detail": detail} |
|
|
|
|
| def _compute_pe(yf_sym: str, cached_info: dict | None = None) -> dict: |
| """市盈率 (Price/Earnings).""" |
| if cached_info is not None: |
| val = cached_info.get("trailingPE") |
| if val is not None: |
| return {"status": "ok", "value": val, "detail": "cached"} |
| status, val, detail = _get_info_field_cached(yf_sym, "trailingPE") |
| return {"status": status, "value": val, "detail": detail} |
|
|
|
|
| def _compute_pb(yf_sym: str, cached_info: dict | None = None) -> dict: |
| """市净率 (Price/Book).""" |
| if cached_info is not None: |
| val = cached_info.get("priceToBook") |
| if val is not None: |
| return {"status": "ok", "value": val, "detail": "cached"} |
| status, val, detail = _get_info_field_cached(yf_sym, "priceToBook") |
| return {"status": status, "value": val, "detail": detail} |
|
|
|
|
| def _compute_ps(yf_sym: str, cached_info: dict | None = None) -> dict: |
| """市销率 (Price/Sales).""" |
| if cached_info is not None: |
| val = cached_info.get("priceToSalesTrailing12Months") |
| if val is not None: |
| return {"status": "ok", "value": val, "detail": "cached"} |
| status, val, detail = _get_info_field_cached(yf_sym, "priceToSalesTrailing12Months") |
| return {"status": status, "value": val, "detail": detail} |
|
|
|
|
| def _compute_dividend_yield(yf_sym: str, cached_info: dict | None = None) -> dict: |
| """股息率.""" |
| if cached_info is not None: |
| val = cached_info.get("dividendYield") |
| if val is not None: |
| return {"status": "ok", "value": val, "detail": "cached"} |
| val = cached_info.get("trailingAnnualDividendYield") |
| if val is not None: |
| return {"status": "ok", "value": val, "detail": "cached (trailing)"} |
|
|
| status, val, detail = _get_info_field_cached(yf_sym, "dividendYield") |
| if status == "ok": |
| return {"status": status, "value": val, "detail": detail} |
| status, val, detail = _get_info_field_cached(yf_sym, "trailingAnnualDividendYield") |
| return {"status": status, "value": val, "detail": detail} |
|
|
|
|
| def _get_shares_from_cache_or_api(yf_sym: str, cached_info: dict | None = None) -> int | None: |
| """从缓存或 API 获取流通股数。""" |
| if cached_info is not None: |
| for field in ["sharesOutstanding", "impliedSharesOutstanding", "floatShares"]: |
| val = cached_info.get(field) |
| if val is not None and val > 0: |
| return int(val) |
| return _get_shares_outstanding_cached(yf_sym) |
|
|
|
|
| |
| |
| |
|
|
| @lru_cache(maxsize=8192) |
| def _compute_akshare_financial(symbol: str) -> dict: |
| """从 akshare 获取最新年度财务摘要: ROE, 毛利率, 总资产增长率. |
| 优先读缓存(priors_cache/{symbol}/financial.parquet)。 |
| |
| Returns: |
| dict with status, value (dict with keys roe/gross_margin/asset_growth or None), detail |
| """ |
| |
| cached = load_cached_financial(symbol) |
| if cached is not None: |
| return { |
| "status": "ok", |
| "value": {"roe": cached["roe"], "gross_margin": cached["gross_margin"], |
| "asset_growth": cached["asset_growth"]}, |
| "detail": "from cache" |
| } |
|
|
| |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": "not in cache, akshare skipped"} |
|
|
| sym_num = re.sub(r"[^0-9]", "", symbol) |
| if not sym_num: |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": f"cannot parse symbol: {symbol}"} |
|
|
| errors = [] |
| result = {"roe": None, "gross_margin": None, "asset_growth": None} |
|
|
| |
| try: |
| df = ak.stock_financial_abstract(symbol=sym_num) |
| if df is not None and not df.empty and '指标' in df.columns: |
| date_cols = [c for c in df.columns if c not in ('选项', '指标') and re.match(r'^\d{8}$', str(c))] |
| if not date_cols: |
| date_cols = sorted([c for c in df.columns if c not in ('选项', '指标')], reverse=True) |
| else: |
| date_cols = sorted(date_cols, reverse=True) |
|
|
| if date_cols: |
| for _, row in df.iterrows(): |
| indicator = str(row['指标']) |
| val = None |
| for dc in date_cols: |
| v = row.get(dc) |
| try: |
| vf = float(v) if v is not None else None |
| except (ValueError, TypeError): |
| vf = None |
| if vf is not None and np.isfinite(vf): |
| val = vf |
| break |
| if val is None: |
| continue |
| if '净资产收益率' in indicator and 'ROE' in indicator: |
| if result['roe'] is None: |
| result['roe'] = val |
| elif indicator == '毛利率': |
| if result['gross_margin'] is None: |
| result['gross_margin'] = val |
|
|
| if any(v is not None for v in result.values()): |
| errors.append("stock_financial_abstract: partial OK") |
| else: |
| errors.append("stock_financial_abstract: all fields missing") |
| else: |
| errors.append("stock_financial_abstract: empty or missing '指标' column") |
| except Exception as e: |
| errors.append(f"stock_financial_abstract: {e}") |
|
|
| |
| try: |
| df_debt = ak.stock_financial_debt_ths(symbol=sym_num, indicator='按年度') |
| if df_debt is not None and not df_debt.empty: |
| ta_col = None |
| for candidate in ['*资产合计', '资产合计', '资产总计']: |
| if candidate in df_debt.columns: |
| ta_col = candidate |
| break |
| if ta_col is None: |
| for c in df_debt.columns: |
| if '资产合计' in str(c) or '资产总计' in str(c): |
| ta_col = c |
| break |
|
|
| if ta_col: |
| period_col = '报告期' |
| if period_col in df_debt.columns: |
| def _parse_chinese_num(s): |
| if s is None: |
| return None |
| s = str(s).strip() |
| if not s: |
| return None |
| try: |
| return float(s) |
| except ValueError: |
| pass |
| if '万亿' in s: |
| try: |
| return float(s.replace('万亿', '').replace(',', '').strip()) * 1e12 |
| except ValueError: |
| pass |
| if '亿' in s: |
| try: |
| return float(s.replace('亿', '').replace(',', '').strip()) * 1e8 |
| except ValueError: |
| pass |
| if '万' in s: |
| try: |
| return float(s.replace('万', '').replace(',', '').strip()) * 1e4 |
| except ValueError: |
| pass |
| return None |
|
|
| years = [] |
| for _, row in df_debt.iterrows(): |
| try: |
| y = int(str(row[period_col])[:4]) |
| years.append(y) |
| except (ValueError, TypeError): |
| years.append(None) |
| df_debt = df_debt.copy() |
| df_debt['_year'] = years |
| df_debt = df_debt.dropna(subset=['_year']) |
| df_debt = df_debt.sort_values('_year', ascending=False) |
|
|
| if len(df_debt) >= 2: |
| latest_ta = _parse_chinese_num(df_debt[ta_col].iloc[0]) |
| prev_ta = _parse_chinese_num(df_debt[ta_col].iloc[1]) |
| if latest_ta is not None and prev_ta is not None and prev_ta > 0: |
| growth = (latest_ta / prev_ta - 1) * 100 |
| result['asset_growth'] = float(growth) |
| errors.append("asset_growth computed from stock_financial_debt_ths") |
| else: |
| errors.append("stock_financial_debt_ths: no total assets column found") |
| else: |
| errors.append("stock_financial_debt_ths: empty result") |
| except Exception as e: |
| errors.append(f"stock_financial_debt_ths: {e}") |
|
|
| if any(v is not None for v in result.values()): |
| return {"status": "ok", "value": result, "detail": "; ".join(errors)} |
| return {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": "; ".join(errors) if errors else "all akshare APIs failed"} |
|
|
|
|
| def _timeout_akshare(symbol: str, timeout: int = 30) -> dict: |
| """带超时保护的 akshare 财务数据下载。""" |
| result_container = [{"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": "timeout"}] |
|
|
| def runner(): |
| try: |
| result_container[0] = _compute_akshare_financial(symbol) |
| except Exception as e: |
| result_container[0] = {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": str(e)} |
|
|
| t = threading.Thread(target=runner, daemon=True) |
| t.start() |
| t.join(timeout) |
| return result_container[0] |
|
|
|
|
| |
| |
| |
|
|
| PRIOR_FACTOR_NAMES = [ |
| "momentum_12m", |
| "reversal_1m", |
| "volatility_idio", |
| "beta_60d", |
| "turnover_avg", |
| "size", |
| "pe", |
| "pb", |
| "ps", |
| "dividend_yield", |
| "roe", |
| "gross_margin", |
| "asset_growth", |
| ] |
|
|
| PRIOR_COLUMNS = [f"prior_{n}" for n in PRIOR_FACTOR_NAMES] |
|
|
|
|
| def compute_all_priors( |
| df_ohlcv: pd.DataFrame, |
| symbol: str, |
| date: pd.Timestamp, |
| use_cache: bool = False, |
| ) -> dict[str, float | None]: |
| """计算单只股票在某个日期的全部 13 个先验因子值. |
| |
| 使用 df_ohlcv 中截止到 date 的数据(防数据泄露). |
| |
| Args: |
| df_ohlcv: OHLCV DataFrame with columns [date, open, high, low, close, volume]. |
| symbol: 股票代码 (e.g., "sh600000"). |
| date: 计算截止日期。 |
| use_cache: 是否优先从 priors_cache 读取信息/财务数据。 |
| |
| Returns: |
| dict with prior_* keys and float values (None if computation failed). |
| """ |
| |
| if "date" in df_ohlcv.columns: |
| df = df_ohlcv.copy() |
| df["date"] = pd.to_datetime(df["date"]).dt.tz_localize(None) |
| target = pd.Timestamp(date).tz_localize(None) if hasattr(pd.Timestamp(date), "tz") else pd.Timestamp(date) |
| df_slice = df[df["date"] <= target].sort_values("date").reset_index(drop=True) |
| else: |
| df_slice = df_ohlcv.copy() |
|
|
| if len(df_slice) < 2: |
| return {f"prior_{k}": None for k in PRIOR_FACTOR_NAMES} |
|
|
| |
| yf_sym = _to_yf(symbol) |
|
|
| |
| cached_info: dict | None = None |
| cached_financial: dict | None = None |
| market_returns_series: pd.Series | None = None |
|
|
| if use_cache: |
| cached_info = load_cached_info(symbol) |
| cached_financial = load_cached_financial(symbol) |
| market_returns_series = load_cached_market_returns() |
|
|
| |
| market_returns_arr: np.ndarray | None = None |
| if market_returns_series is not None and not market_returns_series.empty: |
| target_date = pd.Timestamp(date).tz_localize(None) if hasattr(pd.Timestamp(date), "tz") else pd.Timestamp(date) |
| mr = market_returns_series[market_returns_series.index <= target_date] |
| if len(mr) > 10: |
| market_returns_arr = mr.values[-252:] |
|
|
| |
| momentum = _compute_momentum_12m(df_slice) |
| reversal = _compute_reversal_1m(df_slice) |
| vol_idio = _compute_volatility_idio(df_slice, market_returns_arr) |
| beta = _compute_beta_60d(df_slice, market_returns_arr) |
|
|
| |
| if use_cache and cached_info is not None: |
| shares_out = _get_shares_from_cache_or_api(yf_sym, cached_info) |
| else: |
| shares_out = _get_shares_outstanding_cached(yf_sym) |
| turnover = _compute_turnover_avg(df_slice, shares_out) |
|
|
| |
| size_val = _compute_size(yf_sym, cached_info) |
| pe_val = _compute_pe(yf_sym, cached_info) |
| pb_val = _compute_pb(yf_sym, cached_info) |
| ps_val = _compute_ps(yf_sym, cached_info) |
| dy_val = _compute_dividend_yield(yf_sym, cached_info) |
|
|
| |
| |
| roe_val = {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": "excluded in A1 — static values hurt IC"} |
| gm_val = {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": "excluded in A1"} |
| ag_val = {"status": "error", "value": None, "detail": "excluded in A1"} |
|
|
| |
| results = {} |
| for name, result in [ |
| ("prior_momentum_12m", momentum), |
| ("prior_reversal_1m", reversal), |
| ("prior_volatility_idio", vol_idio), |
| ("prior_beta_60d", beta), |
| ("prior_turnover_avg", turnover), |
| ("prior_size", size_val), |
| ("prior_pe", pe_val), |
| ("prior_pb", pb_val), |
| ("prior_ps", ps_val), |
| ("prior_dividend_yield", dy_val), |
| ("prior_roe", roe_val), |
| ("prior_gross_margin", gm_val), |
| ("prior_asset_growth", ag_val), |
| ]: |
| if isinstance(result, dict): |
| results[name] = result.get("value") |
| else: |
| results[name] = result |
|
|
| return results |
|
|
|
|
| def compute_all_priors_batch( |
| symbols: list[str], |
| ohlcv_dict: dict[str, pd.DataFrame], |
| date: pd.Timestamp, |
| verbose: bool = True, |
| use_cache: bool = False, |
| ) -> pd.DataFrame: |
| """批量计算多个股票的先验因子. |
| |
| Args: |
| symbols: 股票代码列表 |
| ohlcv_dict: {symbol: OHLCV DataFrame} 字典 |
| date: 计算截止日期 |
| verbose: 是否显示进度 |
| use_cache: 是否优先从缓存读取 |
| |
| Returns: |
| DataFrame with columns [symbol] + prior_* columns |
| """ |
| rows = [] |
| iterator = enumerate(symbols) |
| if verbose: |
| try: |
| from tqdm import tqdm |
| iterator = tqdm(list(enumerate(symbols)), desc="Priors") |
| except ImportError: |
| pass |
|
|
| for idx, sym in iterator: |
| ohlcv = ohlcv_dict.get(sym) |
| if ohlcv is None or len(ohlcv) < 2: |
| row = {"symbol": sym} |
| for pcol in PRIOR_COLUMNS: |
| row[pcol] = None |
| rows.append(row) |
| continue |
|
|
| priors = compute_all_priors(ohlcv, sym, date, use_cache=use_cache) |
| row = {"symbol": sym} |
| row.update(priors) |
| rows.append(row) |
|
|
| if not verbose and (idx + 1) % 100 == 0: |
| logger.info(f" Priors: {idx + 1}/{len(symbols)}") |
|
|
| return pd.DataFrame(rows) |
|
|