File size: 37,018 Bytes
c3c7d87
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
354
355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
364
365
366
367
368
369
370
371
372
373
374
375
376
377
378
379
380
381
382
383
384
385
386
387
388
389
390
391
392
393
394
395
396
397
398
399
400
401
402
403
404
405
406
407
408
409
410
411
412
413
414
415
416
417
418
419
420
421
422
423
424
425
426
427
428
429
430
431
432
433
434
435
436
437
438
439
440
441
442
443
444
445
446
447
448
449
450
451
452
453
454
455
456
457
458
459
460
461
462
463
464
465
466
467
468
469
470
471
472
473
474
475
476
477
478
479
480
481
482
483
484
485
486
487
488
489
490
491
492
493
494
495
496
497
498
499
500
501
502
503
504
505
506
507
508
509
510
511
512
513
514
515
516
517
518
519
520
521
522
523
524
525
526
527
528
529
530
531
532
533
534
535
536
537
538
539
540
541
542
543
544
545
546
547
548
549
550
551
552
553
554
555
556
557
558
559
560
561
562
563
564
565
566
567
568
569
570
571
572
573
574
575
576
577
578
579
580
581
582
583
584
585
586
587
588
589
590
591
592
593
594
595
596
597
598
599
600
601
602
603
604
605
606
607
608
609
610
611
612
613
614
615
616
617
618
619
620
621
622
623
624
625
626
627
628
629
630
631
632
633
634
635
636
637
638
639
640
641
642
643
644
645
646
647
648
649
650
651
652
653
654
655
656
657
658
659
660
661
662
663
664
665
666
667
668
669
670
671
672
673
674
675
676
677
678
679
680
681
682
683
684
685
686
687
688
689
690
691
692
693
694
695
696
697
698
699
700
701
702
703
704
705
706
707
708
709
710
711
712
713
714
715
716
717
718
719
720
721
722
723
724
725
726
727
728
729
730
731
732
733
734
735
736
737
738
739
740
741
742
743
744
745
746
747
748
749
750
751
752
753
754
755
756
757
758
759
760
761
762
763
764
765
766
767
768
769
770
771
772
773
774
775
776
777
778
779
780
781
782
783
784
785
786
787
788
789
790
791
792
793
794
795
796
797
798
799
800
801
802
803
804
805
806
807
808
809
810
811
# Replication File for Appendix: Survey Analysis
# Appendix D2 Figure D2: Replicate Figure 3 with only among anti-refugees
# Appendix D3 Figure D3: Variables Predicting Mate Competition vs. Other Views About Refugees
# Appendix D4 Figures D.4.1 and D.4.2: Replicate Figure 4 with wave 1
# Appendix D5 Table D.5: Table representation of Figure 5
# Appendix D6 Table D.6.1, Figure.6.2, Table.D.6.3, Table.D.6.4
# Appendix D8 Table D.8.1: Robustness Check with YouGov Survey Data

# R version 4.0.2 (2020-06-22)

# ##################
# Data Preparation
# ##################
rm(list=ls())
# install.packages("readstata13")  #  readstata13_0.9.2
# install.packages("MASS") # MASS_7.3-51.6  
# install.packages("sandwich")  # sandwich_2.5-1 
# install.packages("lmtest") # lmtest_0.9-37 
# install.packages("stargazer") # stargazer_5.2.2
# install.packages("foreign") # foreign_0.8-80
# install.packages("list") # list_9.2


require(readstata13)  #  readstata13_0.9.2
require(MASS) # MASS_7.3-51.6
require(sandwich)  # sandwich_2.5-1
require(lmtest) # lmtest_0.9-37
require(stargazer) # stargazer_5.2.2
require(foreign) # foreign_0.8-80
require(list) # list_9.2
source("Help.R")

dat <- read.dta13(file =  "survey.dta")

# Subset to people who pass the check
dat_use <- dat[dat$wave == 4, ]

## ###############################
## 1: Appendix D2 Figure D2
## ###############################
# Replicate only among anti-refugee
quantile(dat_use$refugee_ind, probs = 0.75)

dat_use_r <- dat_use[dat_use$refugee_ind > 0.875, ]
dat_use_r$MateComp.cont_bin <- ifelse(dat_use_r$MateComp.cont >= 3, 1, 0)
dat_use_r$excess_c <- ifelse(dat_use_r$pop_15_44_muni_gendergap_2015 < 1.04, "1",
                             ifelse(dat_use_r$pop_15_44_muni_gendergap_2015 < 1.12, "2", "3"))
dat_male_r <- dat_use_r[dat_use_r$gender == "Male" & dat_use_r$age <= 44 & dat_use_r$age >= 18, ]
dat_male_y_r <- dat_use_r[dat_use_r$gender == "Male" & dat_use_r$age <= 40 & dat_use_r$age >= 30, ]

mean_all_r <- tapply(dat_use_r$MateComp.cont_bin, dat_use_r$excess_c, mean)
se_all_r   <- tapply(dat_use_r$MateComp.cont_bin, dat_use_r$excess_c, sd)/sqrt(table(dat_use_r$excess_c))

mean_all_m_r <- tapply(dat_male_r$MateComp.cont_bin, dat_male_r$excess_c, mean)
se_all_m_r <- tapply(dat_male_r$MateComp.cont_bin, dat_male_r$excess_c, sd)/sqrt(table(dat_male_r$excess_c))

mean_all_y_r <- tapply(dat_male_y_r$MateComp.cont_bin, dat_male_y_r$excess_c, mean)
se_all_y_r <- tapply(dat_male_y_r$MateComp.cont_bin, dat_male_y_r$excess_c, sd)/sqrt(table(dat_male_y_r$excess_c))

pdf("figure_D2.pdf", height= 6, width = 17.5)
par(mfrow = c(1, 3), mar = c(2,2,3,2), oma = c(4,4,0,0))
plot(seq(1:3), mean_all_r, pch = 19, ylim = c(0, 1),
     xlim = c(0.5, 3.5),
     main = "All", xaxt = "n", xlab = "", ylab = "", cex.axis = 2.25, cex.main = 2.5,
     cex = 2.25, cex.lab = 2.5)
segments(seq(1:3), mean_all_r - 1.96*se_all_r,
         seq(1:3), mean_all_r + 1.96*se_all_r, pch = 19, lwd = 3)
Axis(side = 1, at = c(1,2,3), labels = c("1st tercile", "2nd tercile", "3rd tercile"), cex.axis = 2.25)

plot(seq(1:3), mean_all_m_r, pch = 19, ylim = c(0, 1),
     xlim = c(0.5, 3.5),
     main = "Male (18-44)", xaxt = "n", xlab = "", ylab = "", cex.axis = 2.25, cex.main = 2.5,
     cex = 2.25, cex.lab = 2.5)
segments(seq(1:3), mean_all_m_r - 1.96*se_all_m_r,
         seq(1:3), mean_all_m_r + 1.96*se_all_m_r, pch = 19, lwd = 3)
Axis(side = 1, at = c(1,2,3), labels = c("1st tercile", "2nd tercile", "3rd tercile"), cex.axis = 2.25)

plot(seq(1:3), mean_all_y_r, pch = 19, ylim = c(0, 1),
     xlim = c(0.5, 3.5),
     main = "Male (30 - 40)", xaxt = "n", xlab = "", ylab = "", cex.axis = 2.25, cex.main = 2.5,
     cex = 2.25, cex.lab = 2.5)
segments(seq(1:3), mean_all_y_r - 1.96*se_all_y_r,
         seq(1:3), mean_all_y_r + 1.96*se_all_y_r, pch = 19, lwd = 3)
Axis(side = 1, at = c(1,2,3), labels = c("1st tercile", "2nd tercile", "3rd tercile"), cex.axis = 2.25)
mtext("Proportion Perceiving Mate Competition", side = 2, outer = TRUE, at = 0.5,
      cex = 1.5, line = 1.75)
mtext("Excess Males", side = 1, outer = TRUE, at = 0.175,
      cex = 1.5, line = 1.75)
mtext("Excess Males", side = 1, outer = TRUE, at = 0.5,
      cex = 1.5, line = 1.75)
mtext("Excess Males", side = 1, outer = TRUE, at = 0.825,
      cex = 1.5, line = 1.75)
dev.off()


## ###############################
## 2: Appendix D3 Figure D3
## ###############################
# Coefficients of Male x Single on Refugee Variables

rm(list=ls())
dat <- read.dta13(file =  "survey.dta")
dat_use <- dat[dat$wave == 4, ]
source("Help.R")
dat_use$male <- as.numeric(dat_use$gender == "Male")

# outcomes we want to analyze
outcome_ref <- c("MateComp.cont", "JobComp.cont", "ref_integrating",
                 "ref_citizenship","ref_reduce","ref_moredone", "ref_cultgiveup",
                 "ref_economy", "ref_crime", "ref_terror", "ref_loc_services",
                 "ref_loc_economy", "ref_loc_crime", "ref_loc_culture",
                 "ref_loc_islam", "ref_loc_schools", "ref_loc_housing", "ref_loc_wayoflife")

outcome_ref_name <- c("Mate competition", "Job competition", "Integration",
                      "Citizenship for refugees","Number of refugees","More for refugees",
                      "Culture",
                      "Economy", "Crime", "Terrorism", "Local social services",
                      "Local economy", "Local crime", "Local culture",
                      "Islam", "Local school", "Housing", "Living")

# Fit Ordered Logit
lm_l <- list()
lm_out <- list()
male_mat <- sing_mat <- int_mat <- matrix(NA, nrow = 18, ncol = 2)
for(i in 1:18){
  control <- paste(outcome_ref[-i], collapse = "+")
  for_i <- paste("as.factor(", outcome_ref[i],")", "~ male*singdivsep + ", control, sep = "")
  lm_l[[i]]  <- polr(for_i, data = dat_use, Hess = TRUE)
  lm_out[[i]] <- summary(lm_l[[i]])$coef
  male_mat[i, 1:2] <- summary(lm_l[[i]])$coef["male", 1:2]
  sing_mat[i, 1:2] <- summary(lm_l[[i]])$coef["singdivsep", 1:2]
  int_mat[i, 1:2] <- summary(lm_l[[i]])$coef["male:singdivsep", 1:2]
}
rownames(int_mat) <- outcome_ref

# Fit linear regression
lm2_l <- list()
lm2_out <- list()
male_mat2 <- sing_mat2 <- int_mat2 <- matrix(NA, nrow = 18, ncol = 2)
for(i in 1:18){
  control <- paste(outcome_ref[-i], collapse = "+")
  for_i <- paste(outcome_ref[i], "~ male*singdivsep + ", control, sep = "")
  lm2_l[[i]]  <- lm(for_i, data = dat_use)
  lm2_out[[i]] <- summary(lm2_l[[i]])$coef
  male_mat2[i, 1:2] <- summary(lm2_l[[i]])$coef["male", 1:2]
  sing_mat2[i, 1:2] <- summary(lm2_l[[i]])$coef["singdivsep", 1:2]
  int_mat2[i, 1:2] <- summary(lm2_l[[i]])$coef["male:singdivsep", 1:2]
}
rownames(int_mat2) <- outcome_ref


# Show Coefficients for Male x Single Interaction (after controlling for other refugee variables)
# Both Ordered Logit and Linear regression
col_p <-  rev(c("red", rep("black", 17)))

pdf("figure_D3_1.pdf", height = 6, width = 8)
par(mfrow = c(1, 2), mar = c(4, 2, 4, 1), oma = c(1, 10, 2, 2))
plot(rev(int_mat[,1]), seq(1:18), pch = 19, xlim = c(-0.6, 1.0), ylim = c(1, 18),
     xlab = "Coefficients", ylab = "", yaxt = "n",
     main = "Ordered logit", col = col_p)
segments(rev(int_mat[,1]) - 1.96*rev(int_mat[,2]), seq(1:18),
         rev(int_mat[,1]) + 1.96*rev(int_mat[,2]), seq(1:18), col = col_p)
abline(v = 0, lty = 2)

plot(rev(int_mat2[,1]), seq(1:18), pch = 19, xlim = c(-0.3, 0.3), ylim = c(1, 18),
     xlab = "Coefficients", ylab = "", yaxt = "n",
     main = "Linear regression", col = col_p)
segments(rev(int_mat2[,1]) - 1.96*rev(int_mat2[,2]), seq(1:18),
         rev(int_mat2[,1]) + 1.96*rev(int_mat2[,2]), seq(1:18), col = col_p)
abline(v = 0, lty = 2)

Axis(side = 2, at = seq(1:18), labels = rev(outcome_ref_name), las = 1, tick = 0,
     outer  = TRUE, hadj = 0, line = 7.5)
mtext(side = 3, at = 0.5, text = "Coefficients of Male x Single", cex = 1.5, font = 2, outer = TRUE)
dev.off()

# ######################################
# Coefficients of Women's Role on Mate Competition
# ######################################
# Ordered Logit
lm_l <- list()
lm_out <- list()
role_mat <- matrix(NA, nrow = 18, ncol = 2)
for(i in 1:18){
  control <- paste(outcome_ref[-i], collapse = "+")
  for_i <- paste("as.factor(", outcome_ref[i], ")", "~ women_role + ", control, sep = "")
  lm_l[[i]]  <- polr(for_i, data = dat_use, Hess = TRUE)
  lm_out[[i]] <- summary(lm_l[[i]])$coef
  role_mat[i, 1:2] <- summary(lm_l[[i]])$coef["women_role", 1:2]
}
rownames(role_mat) <- outcome_ref

# OLS
lm_l2 <- list()
lm_out2 <- list()
role_mat2 <- matrix(NA, nrow = 18, ncol = 2)
for(i in 1:18){
  control <- paste(outcome_ref[-i], collapse = "+")
  for_i <- paste(outcome_ref[i], "~ women_role + ", control, sep = "")
  lm_l2[[i]]  <- lm(for_i, data = dat_use)
  lm_out2[[i]] <- summary(lm_l2[[i]])$coef
  role_mat2[i, 1:2] <- summary(lm_l2[[i]])$coef["women_role", 1:2]
}
rownames(role_mat2) <- outcome_ref

pdf("figure_D3_2.pdf", height = 6, width = 8)
par(mfrow = c(1, 2), mar = c(4, 2, 4, 1), oma = c(1, 10, 2, 2))

plot(rev(role_mat[,1]), seq(1:18), pch = 19, xlim = c(-0.3, 0.6), ylim = c(1, 18),
     xlab = "Coefficients", ylab = "", yaxt = "n",
     main = "Ordered logit", col = col_p)
segments(rev(role_mat[,1]) - 1.96*rev(role_mat[,2]), seq(1:18),
         rev(role_mat[,1]) + 1.96*rev(role_mat[,2]), seq(1:18), col = col_p)
abline(v = 0, lty = 2)

plot(rev(role_mat2[,1]), seq(1:18), pch = 19, xlim = c(-0.1, 0.15), ylim = c(1, 18),
     xlab = "Coefficients", ylab = "", yaxt = "n",
     main = "Linear regression", col = col_p)
segments(rev(role_mat2[,1]) - 1.96*rev(role_mat2[,2]), seq(1:18),
         rev(role_mat2[,1]) + 1.96*rev(role_mat2[,2]), seq(1:18), col = col_p)
abline(v = 0, lty = 2)

Axis(side = 2, at = seq(1:18), labels = rev(outcome_ref_name), las = 1, tick = 0,
     outer  = TRUE, hadj = 0, line = 7.5)

mtext(side = 3, at = 0.5, text = "Coefficients of Women's Role",
      cex = 1.5, font = 2, outer = TRUE)
dev.off()


## ###################################
## Appendix D4: Figure D.4.1 & D.4.2
## ###################################
# Replicate Figure 3 with Wave 1
data.u1 <- dat[dat$wave == 1, ]

data.u1$List.treat <- ifelse(data.u1$treatment_list == "Scenario 2", 1, 0)

# Difference-in-Means (0.12618)
# Message (hate_pol_message):
# Attacks against refugee homes are sometimes necessary to make it clear to politicians that we have a refugee problem
diff.in.means.results <- ictreg(outcome_list ~ 1, data = data.u1,
                                treat = "List.treat", J = 3, method = "lm")
summary(diff.in.means.results)

data.u1$means_bin <- ifelse(data.u1$hate_violence_means >= 3, 1, 0)
data.u1$condemn_bin <- ifelse(data.u1$hate_polcondemn >= 3, 1, 0)
data.u1$justified_bin <- ifelse(data.u1$hate_justified >= 3, 1, 0)

only.mean <- mean(data.u1$means_bin)
condemn.mean <- mean(data.u1$condemn_bin)
justified.mean <- mean(data.u1$justified_bin)

only.se <- sd(data.u1$means_bin)/sqrt(length(data.u1$means_bin))
condemn.se <- sd(data.u1$condemn_bin)/sqrt(length(data.u1$condemn_bin))
justified.se <- sd(data.u1$justified_bin)/sqrt(length(data.u1$justified_bin))

# plot different questions within the same wave
point <- c(summary(diff.in.means.results)$par.treat, only.mean, condemn.mean, justified.mean)
se_p  <- c(summary(diff.in.means.results)$se.treat,  only.se, condemn.se, justified.se)
base <- barplot(point, ylim = c(0, 0.20))
bar_name_u <- c("Message (List)", "Only Means", "Condemn", "Justified")
bar_name <- rep("",4)

# Figure D.4.1
pdf("figure_D4_1.pdf", height = 4.5, width = 8)
par(mar = c(4, 5, 2, 1))
barplot(point, ylim = c(0, 0.3), names.arg = bar_name,
        col = c(adjustcolor("red", 0.4), "gray", "gray", "gray"), cex.axis = 1.3)
arrows(base[,1], point - 1.96*se_p, base[,1], point + 1.96*se_p,
       lwd = 3, angle = 90, length = 0.05, code = 3,
       col = c("red", "black", "black", "black"))
mtext(bar_name_u[1], outer = FALSE, side = 1, at = base[1], cex = 1.2, line = 2.4)
mtext(bar_name_u[2], outer = FALSE, side = 1, at = base[2], cex = 1.2, line = 2.4)
mtext(bar_name_u[3], outer = FALSE, side = 1, at = base[3], cex = 1.2, line = 2.4)
mtext(bar_name_u[4], outer = FALSE, side = 1, at = base[4], cex = 1.2, line = 2.4)
text(x = base[1], y = 0.28, "Estimate from \nList Experiment", col = "red", font = 2)
text(x = base[3], y = 0.28, "Direct Questions", font = 2)
dev.off()

## "Message" across Waves
data.u1 <- dat[dat$wave == 1, ]
data.u2 <- dat[dat$wave == 2, ]
data.u3 <- dat[dat$wave == 3, ]
data.u4 <- dat[dat$wave == 4, ]
dat_all <- rbind(data.u1, data.u2, data.u3, data.u4)

dat_all$hate_pol_message_bin <- ifelse(dat_all$hate_pol_message >=3, 1, 0)
message_direct <- tapply(dat_all$hate_pol_message_bin, dat_all$wave, mean, na.rm = TRUE)[c(2,3,4)]
message_direct_num <- tapply(dat_all$hate_pol_message_bin, dat_all$wave, function(x) sum(is.na(x)==FALSE))[c(2,3,4)]
message_direct_se <- tapply(dat_all$hate_pol_message_bin, dat_all$wave, sd, na.rm = TRUE)[c(2,3,4)]/sqrt(message_direct_num)

# plot The same question over time
point <- c(summary(diff.in.means.results)$par.treat, message_direct)
se_p  <- c(summary(diff.in.means.results)$se.treat, message_direct_se)
base <- barplot(point, ylim = c(0, 0.20))
bar_name_u <- c("Message \n(List)", "Message \n(Direct, Wave 2)",
                "Message \n(Direct, Wave 3)", "Message \n(Direct, Wave 4)")
bar_name <- rep("",4)

# Figure D.4.2
pdf("figure_D4_2.pdf", height = 4.5, width = 8)
par(mar = c(4, 5, 2, 1))
barplot(point, ylim = c(0, 0.25), names.arg = bar_name,
        col = c(adjustcolor("red", 0.4), "gray", "gray", "gray"), cex.axis = 1.3,
        ylab = "Proportion of respondents", cex.lab = 1.45)
arrows(base[,1], point - 1.96*se_p, base[,1], point + 1.96*se_p,
       lwd = 3, angle = 90, length = 0.05, code = 3,
       col = c("red", "black", "black", "black"))
mtext(bar_name_u[1], outer = FALSE, side = 1, at = base[1], cex = 1.2, line = 2.4)
mtext(bar_name_u[2], outer = FALSE, side = 1, at = base[2], cex = 1.2, line = 2.4)
mtext(bar_name_u[3], outer = FALSE, side = 1, at = base[3], cex = 1.2, line = 2.4)
mtext(bar_name_u[4], outer = FALSE, side = 1, at = base[4], cex = 1.2, line = 2.4)
text(x = base[1], y = 0.225, "Estimate from \nList Experiment", col = "red", font = 2)
text(x = base[3], y = 0.225, "Direct Questions", font = 2)
dev.off()


# #############################
# Appendix D5 Table D5
# #############################
formula.5 <-
  as.character("hate_violence_means ~ MateComp.cont + JobComp.cont +
               LifeSatis.cont +  factor(age_group) + factor(gender) +
               factor(state) + factor(citizenship) + factor(marital) +
               factor(religion) + eduyrs + factor(occupation) +
               factor(income) + factor(household_size) + factor(self_econ) +
               factor(ref_integrating) + factor(ref_citizenship) + factor(ref_reduce) +
               factor(ref_moredone) + factor(ref_cultgiveup) +
               factor(ref_economy) + factor(ref_crime) + factor(ref_terror)  +
               factor(ref_loc_services) +  factor(ref_loc_economy) + factor(ref_loc_crime) +
               factor(ref_loc_culture) + factor(ref_loc_islam) +
               factor(ref_loc_schools) + factor(ref_loc_housing) + factor(ref_loc_wayoflife)")

formula.6 <- paste(formula.5, "factor(distance_ref) + factor(settle_ref)",
                   "lrscale + afd + muslim_ind + afd_ind + contact_ind",
                   sep="+", collapse="+")

# with Difference Outcomes
# hate_pol_message : "82. Support for Hate Crime_Attacks against refugee homes are somet"
# hate_prevent_settlement : "82. Support for Hate Crime_Racist violence is defensible if it lea"
# hate_polcondemn : "82. Support for Hate Crime_Politicians should condemn attacks agai"
# hate_justified: "82. Support for Hate Crime_Hostility against foreigners is sometimes justified"

formula.7.means   <- paste("hate_violence_means ~ ", as.character(as.formula(formula.6))[3], sep = "")
formula.7.message <- paste("hate_pol_message ~", as.character(as.formula(formula.6))[3], sep = "")
formula.7.prevent <- paste("hate_prevent_settlement ~", as.character(as.formula(formula.6))[3], sep = "")
formula.7.condemn <- paste("hate_polcondemn ~ ", as.character(as.formula(formula.6))[3], sep = "")
formula.7.justified <- paste("hate_justified ~ ", as.character(as.formula(formula.6))[3], sep = "")

# output
lm7.means <- lm(as.formula(formula.7.means), data=dat_use)
lm7.justified <- lm(as.formula(formula.7.justified), data=dat_use)
lm7.message <- lm(as.formula(formula.7.message), data=dat_use)
lm7.prevent <- lm(as.formula(formula.7.prevent), data=dat_use)
lm7.condemn <- lm(as.formula(formula.7.condemn), data=dat_use)

## Table D.5 (in Appendix D.5)
lm.list_d <- list(lm7.means, lm7.justified, lm7.message, lm7.prevent, lm7.condemn)
star_out(stargazer(lm.list_d,
                   covariate.labels = c("Mate Competition","Job Competition","Life Satisfaction"),
                   keep=c("MateComp.cont","JobComp.cont","LifeSatis.cont")),
         name = "table_D5_1.tex")

## ##################################
## Table D.5.2 (appendix) with East/West
## ##################################
rm(list=ls())
# Set the directly appropriately

dat <- read.dta13(file =  "survey.dta")
source("Help.R")

# Subset to wave 4
dat_use <- dat[dat$wave == 4, ]
{
  dat_use$west <- 1 - dat_use$east

  #  remove state
  formula.5_int <-
    as.character("hate_violence_means ~ MateComp.cont*west + JobComp.cont +
               LifeSatis.cont +  factor(age_group) + factor(gender) +
               factor(citizenship) + factor(marital) +
               factor(religion) + eduyrs + factor(occupation) +
               factor(income) + factor(household_size) + factor(self_econ) +
               factor(ref_integrating) + factor(ref_citizenship) + factor(ref_reduce) +
               factor(ref_moredone) + factor(ref_cultgiveup) +
               factor(ref_economy) + factor(ref_crime) + factor(ref_terror)  +
               factor(ref_loc_services) +  factor(ref_loc_economy) + factor(ref_loc_crime) +
               factor(ref_loc_culture) + factor(ref_loc_islam) +
               factor(ref_loc_schools) + factor(ref_loc_housing) + factor(ref_loc_wayoflife)")

  formula.6_int <- paste(formula.5_int, "factor(distance_ref) + factor(settle_ref)",
                         "lrscale + afd + muslim_ind + afd_ind + contact_ind",
                         sep="+", collapse="+")

  ## Interaction with East/West
  # with Difference Outcomes
  # hate_pol_message: "82. Support for Hate Crime_Attacks against refugee homes are somet"
  # hate_prevent_settlement: "82. Support for Hate Crime_Racist violence is defensible if it lea"
  # hate_polcondemn: "82. Support for Hate Crime_Politicians should condemn attacks agai"
  # hate_justified: "82. Support for Hate Crime_Hostility against foreigners is sometimes justified"

  formula.7_int.means   <- paste("hate_violence_means ~ ",
                                 as.character(as.formula(formula.6_int))[3], sep = "")
  formula.7_int.message <- paste("hate_pol_message ~",
                                 as.character(as.formula(formula.6_int))[3], sep = "")
  formula.7_int.prevent <- paste("hate_prevent_settlement ~",
                                 as.character(as.formula(formula.6_int))[3], sep = "")
  formula.7_int.condemn <- paste("hate_polcondemn ~ ",
                                 as.character(as.formula(formula.6_int))[3], sep = "")
  formula.7_int.justified <- paste("hate_justified ~ ",
                                   as.character(as.formula(formula.6_int))[3], sep = "")

  # output
  lm7_int.means <- lm(as.formula(formula.7_int.means), data = dat_use)
  lm7_int.justified <- lm(as.formula(formula.7_int.justified), data=dat_use)
  lm7_int.message <- lm(as.formula(formula.7_int.message), data=dat_use)
  lm7_int.prevent <- lm(as.formula(formula.7_int.prevent), data=dat_use)
  lm7_int.condemn <- lm(as.formula(formula.7_int.condemn), data=dat_use)

  ## Table D.5.2 (in Appendix D.5)
  lm.list_int <- list(lm7_int.means, lm7_int.justified, lm7_int.message, lm7_int.prevent, lm7_int.condemn)
  star_out(stargazer(lm.list_int,
                     covariate.labels = c("Mate Competition",
                                          "West",
                                          "Job Competition","Life Satisfaction",
                                          "Mate Competition x West"),
                     keep=c("MateComp.cont",  "west",
                            "JobComp.cont","LifeSatis.cont",
                            "MateComp.cont:west")),
           name  = "table_D5_2.tex")
}

# ##########################################
# Appendix D6: Replcate Results with Men
# ##########################################
rm(list=ls())
# Set the directly appropriately

dat <- read.dta13(file =  "survey.dta")
source("Help.R")

# Subset to wave 4
dat_use <- dat[dat$wave == 4, ]
dat_male <- dat_use[dat_use$gender == "Male",]
dat_female <- dat_use[dat_use$gender == "Female",]

# ##########################################
# Table D.6.1: Replicate Main Models
# ##########################################
{
  
  lm1 <- lm(hate_violence_means ~ MateComp.cont, data=dat_male)
  
  lm2 <- lm(hate_violence_means ~ MateComp.cont + JobComp.cont + LifeSatis.cont, data=dat_male)
  
  lm3 <- lm(hate_violence_means ~ MateComp.cont + JobComp.cont + LifeSatis.cont + 
              factor(age_group) +     # age group
              factor(state) +     # state  
              factor(citizenship) +    # german citizen
              factor(marital) +    # marital status
              factor(religion) +    # religious affiliation
              eduyrs +    # education
              factor(occupation) +    # main activity
              factor(income) +   # income
              factor(household_size) +   # household size
              factor(self_econ),    # subjective social status
            data=dat_male)
  
  lm4 <- lm(hate_violence_means ~ MateComp.cont + JobComp.cont + LifeSatis.cont + 
              factor(age_group) +   # age group
              factor(state) +   # state  
              factor(citizenship) +  # german citizen
              factor(marital) +  # marital status
              factor(religion) +  # religious affiliation
              eduyrs +  # education
              factor(occupation) +  # main activity
              factor(income) + # income
              factor(household_size) + # household size
              factor(self_econ) + # subjective social status
              factor(ref_integrating) + # Refugee Index (National-level; Q73) 8 in total
              factor(ref_citizenship) + factor(ref_reduce) + factor(ref_moredone) + factor(ref_cultgiveup) + 
              factor(ref_economy) + factor(ref_crime) + factor(ref_terror),
            data=dat_male)
  
  lm5 <- lm(hate_violence_means ~ MateComp.cont + JobComp.cont + LifeSatis.cont + 
              factor(age_group) +      # age group
              factor(state) +      # state  
              factor(citizenship) +     # german citizen
              factor(marital) +     # marital status
              factor(religion) +     # religious affiliation
              eduyrs + # education
              factor(occupation) +     # main activity
              factor(income) +    # income
              factor(household_size) +    # household size
              factor(self_econ) +    # subjective social status
              factor(ref_integrating) + # Refugee Index (National-level; Q73) 8 in total
              factor(ref_citizenship) + factor(ref_reduce) + factor(ref_moredone) + factor(ref_cultgiveup) + 
              factor(ref_economy) + factor(ref_crime) + factor(ref_terror) + 
              factor(ref_loc_services) +    # Refugee Index (Local, Q75)
              factor(ref_loc_economy) + factor(ref_loc_crime) + factor(ref_loc_culture) + factor(ref_loc_islam) + 
              factor(ref_loc_schools) + factor(ref_loc_housing) + factor(ref_loc_wayoflife), ## end
            data=dat_male)
  
  
  # Add More Variables 
  # lrscale  Q21  Left-Right Scale
  # afd, Q23  Closeness to AfD
  # muslim_ind, afd_ind, contact_ind
  # distance_ref Q71. Distance to refugee reception centers
  # settle_ref Q72. Settlement of refugees living in area
  
  formula.5 <- 
    as.character("hate_violence_means ~ MateComp.cont + JobComp.cont + 
               LifeSatis.cont +  factor(age_group) + 
               factor(state) + factor(citizenship) + factor(marital) + 
               factor(religion) + eduyrs + factor(occupation) + 
               factor(income) + factor(household_size) + factor(self_econ) + 
               factor(ref_integrating) + factor(ref_citizenship) + factor(ref_reduce) + 
               factor(ref_moredone) + factor(ref_cultgiveup) + 
               factor(ref_economy) + factor(ref_crime) + factor(ref_terror)  + 
               factor(ref_loc_services) +  factor(ref_loc_economy) + factor(ref_loc_crime) + 
               factor(ref_loc_culture) + factor(ref_loc_islam) + 
               factor(ref_loc_schools) + factor(ref_loc_housing) + factor(ref_loc_wayoflife)")
  
  formula.6 <- paste(formula.5, "factor(distance_ref) + factor(settle_ref)", 
                     "lrscale + afd + muslim_ind + afd_ind + contact_ind", 
                     sep="+", collapse="+") 
  
  lm6 <- lm(as.formula(formula.6), data=dat_male)
}
lm.list.table1 <- list(lm1, lm2, lm3, lm4, lm5, lm6)

# Table D.6.1
star_out(stargazer(lm.list.table1,
                   covariate.labels = c("Mate Competition","Job Competition","Life Satisfaction"),
                   keep=c("MateComp.cont","JobComp.cont","LifeSatis.cont")), 
         name = "table_D6_1.tex")

## ###############################################
## Figure D.6.2: Replicating Figure 4 (with Male)
## ###############################################
# with Difference Outcomes
# hate_pol_message: "82. Support for Hate Crime_Attacks against refugee homes are somet"
# hate_prevent_settlement: "82. Support for Hate Crime_Racist violence is defensible if it lea"
# hate_polcondemn: "82. Support for Hate Crime_Politicians should condemn attacks agai"
# hate_justified: "82. Support for Hate Crime_Hostility against foreigners is sometimes justified"

# without gender
formula.5 <- 
  as.character("hate_violence_means ~ MateComp.cont + JobComp.cont + 
               LifeSatis.cont +  factor(age_group) + 
               factor(state) + factor(citizenship) + factor(marital) + 
               factor(religion) + eduyrs + factor(occupation) + 
               factor(income) + factor(household_size) + factor(self_econ) + 
               factor(ref_integrating) + factor(ref_citizenship) + factor(ref_reduce) + 
               factor(ref_moredone) + factor(ref_cultgiveup) + 
               factor(ref_economy) + factor(ref_crime) + factor(ref_terror)  + 
               factor(ref_loc_services) +  factor(ref_loc_economy) + factor(ref_loc_crime) + 
               factor(ref_loc_culture) + factor(ref_loc_islam) + 
               factor(ref_loc_schools) + factor(ref_loc_housing) + factor(ref_loc_wayoflife)")

formula.6 <- paste(formula.5, "factor(distance_ref) + factor(settle_ref)", 
                   "lrscale + afd + muslim_ind + afd_ind + contact_ind", 
                   sep="+", collapse="+") 

formula.7.means   <- paste("hate_violence_means ~ ", as.character(as.formula(formula.6))[3], sep = "")
formula.7.message <- paste("hate_pol_message ~", as.character(as.formula(formula.6))[3], sep = "")
formula.7.prevent <- paste("hate_prevent_settlement ~", as.character(as.formula(formula.6))[3], sep = "")
formula.7.condemn <- paste("hate_polcondemn ~ ", as.character(as.formula(formula.6))[3], sep = "")
formula.7.justified <- paste("hate_justified ~ ", as.character(as.formula(formula.6))[3], sep = "")

# output
lm7.means <- lm(as.formula(formula.7.means), data=dat_male)
lm7.justified <- lm(as.formula(formula.7.justified), data=dat_male)
lm7.message <- lm(as.formula(formula.7.message), data=dat_male)
lm7.prevent <- lm(as.formula(formula.7.prevent), data=dat_male)
lm7.condemn <- lm(as.formula(formula.7.condemn), data=dat_male)

point <- c(coef(lm7.means)["MateComp.cont"],
           coef(lm7.justified)["MateComp.cont"], coef(lm7.message)["MateComp.cont"],
           coef(lm7.prevent)["MateComp.cont"], coef(lm7.condemn)["MateComp.cont"])

se <- c(summary(lm7.means)$coef["MateComp.cont", 2],
        summary(lm7.justified)$coef["MateComp.cont", 2], summary(lm7.message)$coef["MateComp.cont", 2],
        summary(lm7.prevent)$coef["MateComp.cont", 2], summary(lm7.condemn)$coef["MateComp.cont", 2])


pdf("figure_D6_2.pdf", height = 4, width = 8)
par(mar = c(2,4,4,1))
plot(seq(1:5), point, pch = 19, ylim = c(-0.05, 0.25), xlim = c(0.5, 5.5),
     xlab = "", xaxt = "n", ylab = "Estimated Effects",
     main = "Estimated Effects of Mate Competition (among male)", cex.lab = 1.25, cex.axis = 1.25, cex.main = 1.5)
segments(seq(1:5), point - 1.96*se,
         seq(1:5), point + 1.96*se, lwd = 2)
Axis(side=1, at = seq(1:5), labels = c("Only Means", "Justified", "Message",
                                       "Prevent", "Condemn"), cex.axis = 1.25)
abline(h =0, lty = 2)
dev.off()

## Table D.6.3
lm.list_d_m <- list(lm7.means, lm7.justified, lm7.message, lm7.prevent, lm7.condemn)
star_out(stargazer(lm.list_d_m,
                   covariate.labels = c("Mate Competition","Job Competition","Life Satisfaction"),
                   keep=c("MateComp.cont","JobComp.cont","LifeSatis.cont")),
         name  = "table_D6_3.tex")

# ##########################################
# Appendix D8, Table D8: YouGov analysis
# ##########################################
rm(list=ls())
you_data <- read.dta13(file  = "YouGov.dta")
source("Help.R")

## (1) Main Regression
lm1 <- lm(hate_cont ~ mate_compete +
            age + # age
            gender +  # gender
            factor(sta) +  #state
            factor(mstat) +  # Marital Status
            reli + # religion
            educ_aggr_rec  + # education
            hinc +  # income
            housz + # household size
            pol_leftright, # leftright scale
          data = you_data)
summary(lm1)

## (2) + Aggression Score
lm2 <- lm(hate_cont ~
            mate_compete +
            age + # age
            gender +  # gender
            factor(sta) +  #state
            factor(mstat) +  # Marital Status
            reli + # religion
            educ_aggr_rec  + # education
            hinc +  # income
            housz + # household size
            pol_leftright + # leftright scale
            angry_mean, # aggression score
          data = you_data)
summary(lm2)

## (3) + Refugee Index
lm3 <- lm(hate_cont ~
            mate_compete +
            age + # age
            gender +  # gender
            factor(sta) +  #state
            factor(mstat) +  # Marital Status
            reli + # religion
            educ_aggr_rec  + # education
            hinc +  # income
            housz + # household size
            pol_leftright + # leftright scale
            angry_mean + # aggression score
            ref_loc_services + ref_loc_economy + ref_loc_crime + ## Refugee Questions (9 Questions)
            ref_loc_culture + ref_loc_islam + ref_local_job +
            ref_loc_schools + ref_loc_housing + ref_loc_wayoflife,
          data = you_data)
summary(lm3)

## (4) + Refugee Contact
lm4 <- lm(hate_cont ~
            mate_compete +
            age + # age
            gender +  # gender
            factor(sta) +  #state
            factor(mstat) +  # Marital Status
            reli + # religion
            educ_aggr_rec  + # education
            hinc +  # income
            housz + # household size
            pol_leftright + # leftright scale
            angry_mean + # aggression score
            ref_loc_services + ref_loc_economy + ref_loc_crime + ## Refugee Questions (9 Questions)
            ref_loc_culture + ref_loc_islam + ref_local_job +
            ref_loc_schools + ref_loc_housing + ref_loc_wayoflife +
            see_ref_road + see_ref_store + see_ref_center + ## Refugee Contact (5 Questions)
            see_ref_school + see_ref_work,
          data = you_data)
summary(lm4)

## (5) + AfD Score
lm5 <- lm(hate_cont ~
            mate_compete +
            age + # age
            gender +  # gender
            factor(sta) +  #state
            factor(mstat) +  # Marital Status
            reli + # religion
            educ_aggr_rec  + # education
            hinc +  # income
            housz + # household size
            pol_leftright + # leftright scale
            angry_mean + # aggression score
            ref_loc_services + ref_loc_economy + ref_loc_crime + ## Refugee Questions (9 Questions)
            ref_loc_culture + ref_loc_islam + ref_local_job +
            ref_loc_schools + ref_loc_housing + ref_loc_wayoflife +
            see_ref_road + see_ref_store + see_ref_center + ## Refugee Contact (5 Questions)
            see_ref_school + see_ref_work +
            afd.score, # Closeness to AfD
          data = you_data)
summary(lm5)

star_out(stargazer(list(lm1, lm2, lm3, lm4, lm5),
          covariate.labels = c("Mate Competition", "Aggressiveness"), keep=c("mate_compete", "angry_mean")),
         name = "table_D8_1.tex")


rm(list=ls())
you_data <- read.dta13(file  = "YouGov.dta")
you_male <- you_data[you_data$gender == levels(you_data$gender)[1], ]
source("Help.R")

{
  ## (1) Main Regression 
  lm1 <- lm(hate_cont ~ mate_compete + 
              age + # age 
              factor(sta) +  #state 
              factor(mstat) +  # Marital Status
              reli + # religion 
              educ_aggr_rec  + # education 
              hinc +  # income 
              housz + # household size 
              pol_leftright, # leftright scale
            data = you_male)
  
  ## (2) + Aggression Score 
  lm2 <- lm(hate_cont ~ 
              mate_compete + 
              age + # age 
              factor(sta) +  #state 
              factor(mstat) +  # Marital Status
              reli + # religion 
              educ_aggr_rec  + # education 
              hinc +  # income 
              housz + # household size 
              pol_leftright + # leftright scale
              angry_mean, # aggression score 
            data = you_male)
  
  ## (3) + Refugee Index
  lm3 <- lm(hate_cont ~ 
              mate_compete + 
              age + # age 
              factor(sta) +  #state 
              factor(mstat) +  # Marital Status
              reli + # religion 
              educ_aggr_rec  + # education 
              hinc +  # income 
              housz + # household size 
              pol_leftright + # leftright scale
              angry_mean + # aggression score 
              ref_loc_services + ref_loc_economy + ref_loc_crime + ## Refugee Questions (9 Questions)
              ref_loc_culture + ref_loc_islam + ref_local_job +
              ref_loc_schools + ref_loc_housing + ref_loc_wayoflife, 
            data = you_male)
  summary(lm3)
  
  ## (4) + Refugee Contact 
  lm4 <- lm(hate_cont ~ 
              mate_compete + 
              age + # age 
              # gender +  # gender 
              factor(sta) +  #state 
              factor(mstat) +  # Marital Status
              reli + # religion 
              educ_aggr_rec  + # education 
              hinc +  # income 
              housz + # household size 
              pol_leftright + # leftright scale
              angry_mean + # aggression score 
              ref_loc_services + ref_loc_economy + ref_loc_crime + ## Refugee Questions (9 Questions)
              ref_loc_culture + ref_loc_islam + ref_local_job +
              ref_loc_schools + ref_loc_housing + ref_loc_wayoflife +
              see_ref_road + see_ref_store + see_ref_center + ## Refugee Contact (5 Questions)
              see_ref_school + see_ref_work, 
            data = you_male)
  summary(lm4)
  
  ## (5) + AfD Score 
  lm5 <- lm(hate_cont ~ 
              mate_compete + 
              age + # age 
              # gender +  # gender 
              factor(sta) +  #state 
              factor(mstat) +  # Marital Status
              reli + # religion 
              educ_aggr_rec  + # education 
              hinc +  # income 
              housz + # household size 
              pol_leftright + # leftright scale
              angry_mean + # aggression score 
              ref_loc_services + ref_loc_economy + ref_loc_crime + ## Refugee Questions (9 Questions)
              ref_loc_culture + ref_loc_islam + ref_local_job +
              ref_loc_schools + ref_loc_housing + ref_loc_wayoflife +
              see_ref_road + see_ref_store + see_ref_center + ## Refugee Contact (5 Questions)
              see_ref_school + see_ref_work + 
              afd.score, # Closeness to AfD
            data = you_male)
  summary(lm5)
}

star_out(stargazer(list(lm1, lm2, lm3, lm4, lm5),
                   covariate.labels = c("Mate Competition", "Aggressiveness"), 
                   keep=c("mate_compete", "angry_mean")),
         name = "table_D8_2.tex")