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use "Data\stoplevel_data.dta", clear
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g n_stops = 1
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replace black = black/100
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collapse (sum) n_stops black (first) dist_event*, by(county_fips day_id)
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merge n:1 county_fips using "Data\allcandidates_rallies.dta"
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drop if _merge==2
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g black_ps = black / n_stops
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local start = -105
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local end = 105
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local bin_l = 15
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g TRUMP_0 = 0
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forval ii = 1/9 {
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replace TRUMP_0 = 1 if dist_event`ii' == 0
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}
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forval ii = 1(`bin_l')`end'{
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local jj = `ii' + `bin_l' - 1
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g TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 0
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forval ee = 1/9 {
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replace TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' >= `ii' & dist_event`ee'<=`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.)
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}
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}
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g TRUMP_POST_M`end' = 0
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forval ii = 1/9 {
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replace TRUMP_POST_M`end' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > `end' & dist_event`ii'!=.)
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}
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forval ii = `start'(`bin_l')0 {
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if `ii' < -`bin_l' {
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local jj = abs(`ii')
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local zz = `jj' - `bin_l' + 1
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g TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 0
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forval ee = 1/9 {
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replace TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' <= -`zz' & dist_event`ee'>=-`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.)
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}
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}
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}
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local jj = abs(`start')
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g TRUMP_PRE_M`jj' = 0
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forval ii = 1/9 {
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replace TRUMP_PRE_M`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' < `start' & dist_event`ii'!=.)
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}
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drop dist_event*
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forval ii = 1/4 {
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g dist_event`ii' = day_id - event_day_Cruz_`ii'
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}
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g CRUZ_0 = 0
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forval ii = 1/4 {
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replace CRUZ_0 = 1 if dist_event`ii' == 0
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}
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forval ii = 1(`bin_l')`end'{
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local jj = `ii' + `bin_l' - 1
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g CRUZ_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 0
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forval ee = 1/4 {
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replace CRUZ_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' >= `ii' & dist_event`ee'<=`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.)
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}
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}
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g CRUZ_POST_M`end' = 0
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forval ii = 1/4 {
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replace CRUZ_POST_M`end' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > `end' & dist_event`ii'!=.)
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}
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forval ii = `start'(`bin_l')0 {
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if `ii' < -`bin_l' {
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local jj = abs(`ii')
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local zz = `jj' - `bin_l' + 1
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g CRUZ_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 0
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forval ee = 1/4 {
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replace CRUZ_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' <= -`zz' & dist_event`ee'>=-`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.)
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}
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}
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}
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local jj = abs(`start')
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g CRUZ_PRE_M`jj' = 0
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forval ii = 1/4 {
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replace CRUZ_PRE_M`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' < `start' & dist_event`ii'!=.)
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}
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drop dist_event*
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forval ii = 1/10 {
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g dist_event`ii' = day_id - event_day_Clinton_`ii'
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}
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g CLINTON_0 = 0
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forval ii = 1/10 {
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replace CLINTON_0 = 1 if dist_event`ii' == 0
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}
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forval ii = 1(`bin_l')`end'{
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local jj = `ii' + `bin_l' - 1
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g CLINTON_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 0
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forval ee = 1/10 {
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replace CLINTON_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' >= `ii' & dist_event`ee'<=`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.)
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}
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}
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g CLINTON_POST_M`end' = 0
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forval ii = 1/10 {
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replace CLINTON_POST_M`end' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > `end' & dist_event`ii'!=.)
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}
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forval ii = `start'(`bin_l')0 {
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if `ii' < -`bin_l' {
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local jj = abs(`ii')
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local zz = `jj' - `bin_l' + 1
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g CLINTON_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 0
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forval ee = 1/10 {
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replace CLINTON_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' <= -`zz' & dist_event`ee'>=-`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.)
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}
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}
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}
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local jj = abs(`start')
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g CLINTON_PRE_M`jj' = 0
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forval ii = 1/10 {
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replace CLINTON_PRE_M`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' < `start' & dist_event`ii'!=.)
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}
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g ANYCANDIDATE_0 = (TRUMP_0==1) | (CRUZ_0==1) | (CLINTON_0==1)
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forval ii = 1(`bin_l')`end'{
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local jj = `ii' + `bin_l' - 1
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g ANYCANDIDATE_POST_`ii'_`jj' = (TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj'==1) | (CRUZ_POST_`ii'_`jj'==1) | (CLINTON_POST_`ii'_`jj'==1)
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}
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g ANYCANDIDATE_POST_M`end' = (TRUMP_POST_M`end'==1) | (CRUZ_POST_M`end'==1) | (CLINTON_POST_M`end'==1)
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forval ii = `start'(`bin_l')0 {
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if `ii' < -`bin_l' {
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local jj = abs(`ii')
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local zz = `jj' - `bin_l' + 1
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|
g ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = (TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz'==1) | (CRUZ_PRE_`jj'_`zz'==1) | (CLINTON_PRE_`jj'_`zz'==1)
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|
|
}
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}
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|
local jj = abs(`start')
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g ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_M`jj' = (TRUMP_PRE_M`jj'==1) | (CRUZ_PRE_M`jj'==1) | (CLINTON_PRE_M`jj'==1)
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reghdfe black_ps 1.TRUMP_PRE_* 1.TRUMP_0 1.TRUMP_POST_* 1.ANYCANDIDATE_* 1.ANYCANDIDATE_0 1.ANYCANDIDATE_* [w=n_stops], a(i.county_fips i.day_id i.county_fips#c.day_id) cluster(county_fips day_id )
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local temp = 1/`bin_l'
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|
local bin_neg = abs(`start' * `temp')
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|
local bin_pos = `end' * `temp'
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|
local range = round(`bin_neg' + `bin_pos' + 3)
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|
|
mat treat = J(`range',7,1)
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|
|
local Nrange = `range' - 2
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forval pos = 1/`Nrange' {
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|
local lag = `start' + `bin_l'*`pos' - `bin_l'
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|
if `lag' > 0 {
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|
|
local lag = `start' + `bin_l'*`pos' - `bin_l' - `bin_l' + 1
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|
|
}
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|
local num = abs(`lag')
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if `lag' == 0 {
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|
mat treat[`pos',1] = 0
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mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_0]
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mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_0] + _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_0]*invttail(e(N),0.05)
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mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_0] - _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_0]*invttail(e(N),0.05)
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lincom _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_0] + _b[1.TRUMP_0]
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mat treat[`pos',5] = r(estimate)
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|
mat treat[`pos',6] = r(estimate) + r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
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|
mat treat[`pos',7] = r(estimate) - r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
else if `lag' < -`bin_l' {
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|
|
local num2 = `num' - `bin_l' + 1
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|
|
local num1 = - `num'
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|
|
mat treat[`pos',1] = `num1'
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|
|
mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_`num'_`num2']
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|
mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_`num'_`num2'] + _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05)
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|
|
mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_`num'_`num2'] - _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
|
|
|
lincom _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_`num'_`num2'] + _b[1.TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2']
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',5] = r(estimate)
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|
|
mat treat[`pos',6] = r(estimate) + r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',7] = r(estimate) - r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
else if `lag' == -`bin_l' {
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',1] = -`bin_l'
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',2] = 0
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',3] = 0
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',4] = 0
|
|
|
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',5] = 0
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',6] = 0
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',7] = 0
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
else {
|
|
|
di "**"
|
|
|
di `lag'
|
|
|
di `pos'
|
|
|
local num2 = `num' + `bin_l' - 1
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',1] = `num2'
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_`num'_`num2']
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_`num'_`num2'] + _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_`num'_`num2'] - _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
|
|
|
lincom _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_`num'_`num2'] + _b[1.TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2']
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',5] = r(estimate)
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',6] = r(estimate) + r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',7] = r(estimate) - r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
mat treat[`range'-1,1] = `start' - `bin_l' - 1
|
|
|
mat treat[`range'-1,2] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_M`jj']
|
|
|
mat treat[`range'-1,3] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_M`jj'] + _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_M`jj']*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
mat treat[`range'-1,4] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_M`jj'] - _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_M`jj']*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
|
|
|
lincom _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_M`jj'] + _b[1.TRUMP_PRE_M`jj']
|
|
|
mat treat[`range'-1,5] = r(estimate)
|
|
|
mat treat[`range'-1,6] = r(estimate) + r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
mat treat[`range'-1,7] = r(estimate) - r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
|
|
|
mat treat[`range',1] = `end' + `bin_l' + 1
|
|
|
mat treat[`range',2] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_M`end']
|
|
|
mat treat[`range',3] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_M`end'] + _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_M`end']*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
mat treat[`range',4] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_M`end'] - _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_M`end']*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
|
|
|
lincom _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_M`end'] + _b[1.TRUMP_POST_M`end']
|
|
|
mat treat[`range',5] = r(estimate)
|
|
|
mat treat[`range',6] = r(estimate) + r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
mat treat[`range',7] = r(estimate) - r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
|
|
|
g yy = treat[_n,1] in 1/`range'
|
|
|
g eff_any = treat[_n,2] in 1/`range'
|
|
|
g eff_any_10 = treat[_n,3] in 1/`range'
|
|
|
g eff_any_90 = treat[_n,4] in 1/`range'
|
|
|
g eff_tr = treat[_n,5] in 1/`range'
|
|
|
g eff_tr_10 = treat[_n,6] in 1/`range'
|
|
|
g eff_tr_90 = treat[_n,7] in 1/`range'
|
|
|
sort yy
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|
|
duplicates drop yy, force
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|
|
keep eff_* eff_*_10 eff_*_90 yy
|
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|
|
twoway (rcap eff_tr_10 eff_tr_90 yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1,lc(blue)) (scatter eff_tr yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1,mc(blue)) (line eff_tr yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1, lc(blue) xline(0,lp(-)) yline(0,lp(-))) , graphregion(fcolor(white)) xtitle("Days From Trump") ytitle("Effect on Probabilty Black Stop") xlabel(-105(15)105) legend(off) xlabel(-105(15)105) ylabel(-0.01(0.005)0.02) saving(track,replace)
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|
|
graph export "Results\FigureA11A.pdf", as(pdf) name("Graph") replace
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
use "Data\stoplevel_data.dta", clear
|
|
|
|
|
|
g n_stops = 1
|
|
|
replace black = black/100
|
|
|
|
|
|
collapse (sum) n_stops black (first) dist_event*, by(county_fips day_id)
|
|
|
|
|
|
merge n:1 county_fips using "Data\allcandidates_rallies.dta"
|
|
|
drop if _merge==2
|
|
|
|
|
|
g black_ps = black / n_stops
|
|
|
|
|
|
local start = -105
|
|
|
local end = 105
|
|
|
local bin_l = 15
|
|
|
|
|
|
g TRUMP_0 = 0
|
|
|
forval ii = 1/9 {
|
|
|
replace TRUMP_0 = 1 if dist_event`ii' == 0
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
forval ii = 1(`bin_l')`end'{
|
|
|
local jj = `ii' + `bin_l' - 1
|
|
|
g TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 0
|
|
|
forval ee = 1/9 {
|
|
|
replace TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' >= `ii' & dist_event`ee'<=`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.)
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
g TRUMP_POST_M`end' = 0
|
|
|
forval ii = 1/9 {
|
|
|
replace TRUMP_POST_M`end' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > `end' & dist_event`ii'!=.)
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
forval ii = `start'(`bin_l')0 {
|
|
|
if `ii' < -`bin_l' {
|
|
|
local jj = abs(`ii')
|
|
|
local zz = `jj' - `bin_l' + 1
|
|
|
g TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 0
|
|
|
forval ee = 1/9 {
|
|
|
replace TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' <= -`zz' & dist_event`ee'>=-`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.)
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
local jj = abs(`start')
|
|
|
g TRUMP_PRE_M`jj' = 0
|
|
|
forval ii = 1/9 {
|
|
|
replace TRUMP_PRE_M`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' < `start' & dist_event`ii'!=.)
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
drop dist_event*
|
|
|
|
|
|
forval ii = 1/4 {
|
|
|
g dist_event`ii' = day_id - event_day_Cruz_`ii'
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
g CRUZ_0 = 0
|
|
|
forval ii = 1/4 {
|
|
|
replace CRUZ_0 = 1 if dist_event`ii' == 0
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
forval ii = 1(`bin_l')`end'{
|
|
|
local jj = `ii' + `bin_l' - 1
|
|
|
g CRUZ_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 0
|
|
|
forval ee = 1/4 {
|
|
|
replace CRUZ_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' >= `ii' & dist_event`ee'<=`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.)
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
g CRUZ_POST_M`end' = 0
|
|
|
forval ii = 1/4 {
|
|
|
replace CRUZ_POST_M`end' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > `end' & dist_event`ii'!=.)
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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forval ii = `start'(`bin_l')0 {
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if `ii' < -`bin_l' {
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local jj = abs(`ii')
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local zz = `jj' - `bin_l' + 1
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g CRUZ_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 0
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forval ee = 1/4 {
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replace CRUZ_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' <= -`zz' & dist_event`ee'>=-`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.)
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}
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}
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}
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local jj = abs(`start')
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g CRUZ_PRE_M`jj' = 0
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forval ii = 1/4 {
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replace CRUZ_PRE_M`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' < `start' & dist_event`ii'!=.)
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}
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drop dist_event*
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forval ii = 1/10 {
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g dist_event`ii' = day_id - event_day_Clinton_`ii'
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}
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g CLINTON_0 = 0
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forval ii = 1/10 {
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replace CLINTON_0 = 1 if dist_event`ii' == 0
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}
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forval ii = 1(`bin_l')`end'{
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local jj = `ii' + `bin_l' - 1
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g CLINTON_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 0
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forval ee = 1/10 {
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replace CLINTON_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' >= `ii' & dist_event`ee'<=`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.)
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}
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}
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g CLINTON_POST_M`end' = 0
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forval ii = 1/10 {
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replace CLINTON_POST_M`end' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > `end' & dist_event`ii'!=.)
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}
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forval ii = `start'(`bin_l')0 {
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if `ii' < -`bin_l' {
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local jj = abs(`ii')
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local zz = `jj' - `bin_l' + 1
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g CLINTON_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 0
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forval ee = 1/10 {
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replace CLINTON_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' <= -`zz' & dist_event`ee'>=-`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.)
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}
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}
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}
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local jj = abs(`start')
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g CLINTON_PRE_M`jj' = 0
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forval ii = 1/10 {
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replace CLINTON_PRE_M`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' < `start' & dist_event`ii'!=.)
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}
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|
g ANYCANDIDATE_0 = (TRUMP_0==1) | (CRUZ_0==1) | (CLINTON_0==1)
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forval ii = 1(`bin_l')`end'{
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local jj = `ii' + `bin_l' - 1
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|
|
g ANYCANDIDATE_POST_`ii'_`jj' = (TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj'==1) | (CRUZ_POST_`ii'_`jj'==1) | (CLINTON_POST_`ii'_`jj'==1)
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}
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|
g ANYCANDIDATE_POST_M`end' = (TRUMP_POST_M`end'==1) | (CRUZ_POST_M`end'==1) | (CLINTON_POST_M`end'==1)
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forval ii = `start'(`bin_l')0 {
|
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|
if `ii' < -`bin_l' {
|
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|
local jj = abs(`ii')
|
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|
local zz = `jj' - `bin_l' + 1
|
|
|
g ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = (TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz'==1) | (CRUZ_PRE_`jj'_`zz'==1) | (CLINTON_PRE_`jj'_`zz'==1)
|
|
|
}
|
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|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
local jj = abs(`start')
|
|
|
g ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_M`jj' = (TRUMP_PRE_M`jj'==1) | (CRUZ_PRE_M`jj'==1) | (CLINTON_PRE_M`jj'==1)
|
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|
reghdfe black_ps 1.TRUMP_PRE_* 1.TRUMP_0 1.TRUMP_POST_* 1.ANYCANDIDATE_* 1.ANYCANDIDATE_0 1.ANYCANDIDATE_* [w=n_stops], a(i.county_fips i.day_id) cluster(county_fips day_id)
|
|
|
|
|
|
local temp = 1/`bin_l'
|
|
|
local bin_neg = abs(`start' * `temp')
|
|
|
local bin_pos = `end' * `temp'
|
|
|
local range = round(`bin_neg' + `bin_pos' + 3)
|
|
|
|
|
|
mat treat = J(`range',7,1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
local Nrange = `range' - 2
|
|
|
|
|
|
forval pos = 1/`Nrange' {
|
|
|
local lag = `start' + `bin_l'*`pos' - `bin_l'
|
|
|
if `lag' > 0 {
|
|
|
local lag = `start' + `bin_l'*`pos' - `bin_l' - `bin_l' + 1
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
local num = abs(`lag')
|
|
|
|
|
|
if `lag' == 0 {
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',1] = 0
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_0]
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_0] + _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_0]*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_0] - _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_0]*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
lincom _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_0] + _b[1.TRUMP_0]
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',5] = r(estimate)
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',6] = r(estimate) + r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',7] = r(estimate) - r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
else if `lag' < -`bin_l' {
|
|
|
local num2 = `num' - `bin_l' + 1
|
|
|
local num1 = - `num'
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',1] = `num1'
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_`num'_`num2']
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_`num'_`num2'] + _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_`num'_`num2'] - _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
|
|
|
lincom _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_`num'_`num2'] + _b[1.TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2']
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',5] = r(estimate)
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',6] = r(estimate) + r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',7] = r(estimate) - r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
else if `lag' == -`bin_l' {
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',1] = -`bin_l'
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',2] = 0
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',3] = 0
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',4] = 0
|
|
|
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',5] = 0
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',6] = 0
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',7] = 0
|
|
|
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
else {
|
|
|
di "**"
|
|
|
di `lag'
|
|
|
di `pos'
|
|
|
local num2 = `num' + `bin_l' - 1
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',1] = `num2'
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_`num'_`num2']
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_`num'_`num2'] + _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_`num'_`num2'] - _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
|
|
|
lincom _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_`num'_`num2'] + _b[1.TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2']
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',5] = r(estimate)
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',6] = r(estimate) + r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
mat treat[`pos',7] = r(estimate) - r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
}
|
|
|
mat treat[`range'-1,1] = `start' - `bin_l' - 1
|
|
|
mat treat[`range'-1,2] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_M`jj']
|
|
|
mat treat[`range'-1,3] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_M`jj'] + _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_M`jj']*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
mat treat[`range'-1,4] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_M`jj'] - _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_M`jj']*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
|
|
|
lincom _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_PRE_M`jj'] + _b[1.TRUMP_PRE_M`jj']
|
|
|
mat treat[`range'-1,5] = r(estimate)
|
|
|
mat treat[`range'-1,6] = r(estimate) + r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
mat treat[`range'-1,7] = r(estimate) - r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
|
|
|
mat treat[`range',1] = `end' + `bin_l' + 1
|
|
|
mat treat[`range',2] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_M`end']
|
|
|
mat treat[`range',3] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_M`end'] + _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_M`end']*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
mat treat[`range',4] = _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_M`end'] - _se[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_M`end']*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
|
|
|
lincom _b[1.ANYCANDIDATE_POST_M`end'] + _b[1.TRUMP_POST_M`end']
|
|
|
mat treat[`range',5] = r(estimate)
|
|
|
mat treat[`range',6] = r(estimate) + r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
mat treat[`range',7] = r(estimate) - r(se)*invttail(e(N),0.05)
|
|
|
|
|
|
g yy = treat[_n,1] in 1/`range'
|
|
|
g eff_any = treat[_n,2] in 1/`range'
|
|
|
g eff_any_10 = treat[_n,3] in 1/`range'
|
|
|
g eff_any_90 = treat[_n,4] in 1/`range'
|
|
|
g eff_tr = treat[_n,5] in 1/`range'
|
|
|
g eff_tr_10 = treat[_n,6] in 1/`range'
|
|
|
g eff_tr_90 = treat[_n,7] in 1/`range'
|
|
|
sort yy
|
|
|
|
|
|
duplicates drop yy, force
|
|
|
keep eff_* eff_*_10 eff_*_90 yy
|
|
|
|
|
|
twoway (rcap eff_tr_10 eff_tr_90 yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1,lc(blue)) (scatter eff_tr yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1,mc(blue)) (line eff_tr yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1, lc(blue) xline(0,lp(-)) yline(0,lp(-))) , graphregion(fcolor(white)) xtitle("Days From Trump") ytitle("Effect on Probabilty Black Stop") xlabel(-105(15)105) legend(off) xlabel(-105(15)105) ylabel(-0.01(0.005)0.02) saving(track,replace)
|
|
|
graph export "Results\FigureA11B.pdf", as(pdf) name("Graph") replace
|
|
|
|
