function run_simulations() % Runs simulations of commitment contract game for different populations % NOTE: If you start a MATLAB session by opening this file, your current % folder will typically default to the Code subfolder. If that is not the % case, MATLAB will usually prompt you to change it to that folder when you % run this file. You can also edit the code below to manually choose the % correct location. % cd '/Users/Your Name/Downloads/Who_Chooses_Commitment_Replication/Code' % declare global global OUTPUT; OUTPUT = '../Output'; % add path to intermediate files addpath('MATLAB'); % delete old output file numbersfile = [OUTPUT '/simulations.tex']; if (exist(numbersfile,'file')), delete(numbersfile); end %% Set game properties % Game properties from experimental design props12.a_star = 12; props12.T = 28; props12.p = 80; % Alternate contract threshold properties props8 = props12; props8.a_star = 8; props16 = props12; props16.a_star = 16; % Game properties with no penalty (equivalent to no contract) props12NoP = props12; props12NoP.p = 0; props8NoP = props8; props8NoP.p = 0; props16NoP = props16; props16NoP.p = 0; % Set lower bound on support of cost distribution minC = 0; %% Instantiate games for attendance comparisons % chose 12+ visit contract params12 = load_parameters('commit12'); game12 = gymGame(props12, params12, minC, 'chose 12+ contract'); mu12 = params12.mu; % store share of pop. in chose 12+ contract group % add heterogeneity along past attendance (below vs. above median) params12AM = load_parameters('amcommit'); game12AM = gymGame(props12, params12AM, minC, 'chose 12+, above med. att.'); params12BM = load_parameters('bmcommit'); game12BM = gymGame(props12, params12BM, minC, 'chose 12+, below med. att.'); % add heterogeneity along past attendance (quartiles) params12Q1 = load_parameters('qfstcommit'); game12Q1 = gymGame(props12, params12Q1, minC, 'chose 12+, q1 att.'); params12Q2 = load_parameters('qsndcommit'); game12Q2 = gymGame(props12, params12Q2, minC, 'chose 12+, q2 att.'); params12Q3 = load_parameters('qthdcommit'); game12Q3 = gymGame(props12, params12Q3, minC, 'chose 12+, q3 att.'); params12Q4 = load_parameters('qfthcommit'); game12Q4 = gymGame(props12, params12Q4, minC, 'chose 12+, q4 att.'); % add heterogeneity along past attendance (median) & info treatment params12AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfocommit'); game12AMInfo = gymGame(props12, params12AMInfo, minC, 'chose 12+, above med. att., info treat'); params12AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlcommit'); game12AMControl = gymGame(props12, params12AMControl, minC, 'chose 12+, above med. att., control'); params12BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfocommit'); game12BMInfo = gymGame(props12, params12BMInfo, minC, 'chose 12+, below med. att., info treat'); params12BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlcommit'); game12BMControl = gymGame(props12, params12BMControl, minC, 'chose 12+, below med. att., control'); % add heterogeneity along past attendance (quartiles) & info treatment params12Q1Info = load_parameters('qfstinfocommit'); game12Q1Info = gymGame(props12, params12Q1Info, minC, 'chose 12+, q1 att., info treat'); params12Q1Control = load_parameters('qfstctrlcommit'); game12Q1Control = gymGame(props12, params12Q1Control, minC, 'chose 12+, q1 att., control'); params12Q2Info = load_parameters('qsndinfocommit'); game12Q2Info = gymGame(props12, params12Q2Info, minC, 'chose 12+, q2 att., info treat'); params12Q2Control = load_parameters('qsndctrlcommit'); game12Q2Control = gymGame(props12, params12Q2Control, minC, 'chose 12+, q2 att., control'); params12Q3Info = load_parameters('qthdinfocommit'); game12Q3Info = gymGame(props12, params12Q3Info, minC, 'chose 12+, q3 att., info treat'); params12Q3Control = load_parameters('qthdctrlcommit'); game12Q3Control = gymGame(props12, params12Q3Control, minC, 'chose 12+, q3 att., control'); params12Q4Info = load_parameters('qfthinfocommit'); game12Q4Info = gymGame(props12, params12Q4Info, minC, 'chose 12+, q4 att., info treat'); params12Q4Control = load_parameters('qfthctrlcommit'); game12Q4Control = gymGame(props12, params12Q4Control, minC, 'chose 12+, q4 att., control'); % add no penalty versions of the above games % note: the no penalty contracts are equivalent to no contract being % assigned due to these populations' rejection of the contract game12NoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12, minC, 'chose 12+, no penalty'); game12AMNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12AM, minC, 'chose 12+, above med. att., no penalty'); game12BMNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12BM, minC, 'chose 12+, below med. att., no penalty'); game12Q1NoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q1, minC, 'chose 12+, q1 att., no penalty'); game12Q2NoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q2, minC, 'chose 12+, q2 att., no penalty'); game12Q3NoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q3, minC, 'chose 12+, q3 att., no penalty'); game12Q4NoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q4, minC, 'chose 12+, q4 att., no penalty'); game12AMInfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12AMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 12+, above med. att., info treat, no penalty'); game12AMControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12AMControl, minC, ... 'chose 12+, above med. att., control, no penalty'); game12BMInfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12BMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 12+, below med. att., info treat, no penalty'); game12BMControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12BMControl, minC, ... 'chose 12+, below med. att., control, no penalty'); game12Q1InfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q1Info, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q1 att., info treat, no penalty'); game12Q1ControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q1Control, ... minC, 'chose 12+, q1 att., control, no penalty'); game12Q2InfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q2Info, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q2 att., info treat, no penalty'); game12Q2ControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q2Control, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q2 att., control, no penalty'); game12Q3InfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q3Info, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q3 att., info treat, no penalty'); game12Q3ControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q3Control, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q3 att., control, no penalty'); game12Q4InfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q4Info, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q4 att., info treat, no penalty'); game12Q4ControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q4Control, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q4 att., control, no penalty'); %% Compare attendance outcomes across different simulated populations % chose 12+ visit contract mc(1) = game12; mc(1).mu = 1; % homogeneous population mcnp(1) = game12NoP; mcnp(1).mu = 1; % homogeneous population simulate_attendance(mc,mcnp,'all') % with hetereogenity along past attendance (above vs. below median) mc = [game12AM game12BM]; mcnp = [game12AMNoP game12BMNoP]; simulate_attendance(mc,mcnp,'matt') % with hetereogenity along past attendance (quartile) mc = [game12Q1 game12Q2 game12Q3 game12Q4]; mcnp = [game12Q1NoP game12Q2NoP game12Q3NoP game12Q4NoP]; simulate_attendance(mc,mcnp,'qatt') % with heterogeneity along past attendance (median) & info treatment mc = [game12AMInfo game12AMControl game12BMInfo game12BMControl]; mcnp = [game12AMInfoNoP game12AMControlNoP game12BMInfoNoP game12BMControlNoP]; simulate_attendance(mc,mcnp,'mattinfo') % with heterogeneity along past attendance (quartile) & info treatment mc = [game12Q1Info game12Q1Control game12Q2Info game12Q2Control ... game12Q3Info game12Q3Control game12Q4Info game12Q4Control]; mcnp = [game12Q1InfoNoP game12Q1ControlNoP game12Q2InfoNoP game12Q2ControlNoP ... game12Q3InfoNoP game12Q3ControlNoP game12Q4InfoNoP game12Q4ControlNoP]; simulate_attendance(mc,mcnp,'qattinfo') %% Instantiate games for welfare/efficiency comparisons % with heterogeneity along past attendance (median) & info treatment % add 8+ contract versions (with & without penalty) params8AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfocommite'); game8AMInfo = gymGame(props8, params8AMInfo, minC, 'chose 8+, above med. att., info treat'); game8AMInfoNoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8AMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 8+, above med. att., info treat, no penalty'); params8AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlcommite'); game8AMControl = gymGame(props8, params8AMControl, minC, 'chose 8+, above med. att., control'); game8AMControlNoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8AMControl, minC, ... 'chose 8+, above med. att., control, no penalty'); params8BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfocommite'); game8BMInfo = gymGame(props8, params8BMInfo, minC, 'chose 8+, below med. att., info treat'); game8BMInfoNoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8BMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 8+, below med. att., info treat, no penalty'); params8BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlcommite'); game8BMControl = gymGame(props8, params8BMControl, minC, 'chose 8+, below med. att., control'); game8BMControlNoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8BMControl, minC, ... 'chose 8+, below med. att., control, no penalty'); % add 16+ contract versions (with & without penalty) params16AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfocommits'); game16AMInfo = gymGame(props16, params16AMInfo, minC, 'chose 16+, above med. att., info treat'); game16AMInfoNoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16AMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 16+, above med. att., info treat, no penalty'); params16AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlcommits'); game16AMControl = gymGame(props16, params16AMControl, minC, 'chose 16+, above med. att., control'); game16AMControlNoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16AMControl, minC, ... 'chose 16+, above med. att., control, no penalty'); params16BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfocommits'); game16BMInfo = gymGame(props16, params16BMInfo, minC, 'chose 16+, below med. att., info treat'); game16BMInfoNoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16BMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 16+, below med. att., info treat, no penalty'); params16BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlcommits'); game16BMControl = gymGame(props16, params16BMControl, minC, 'chose 16+, below med. att., control'); game16BMControlNoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16BMControl, minC, ... 'chose 16+, below med. att., control, no penalty'); % add versions for those who rejected the commitment contracts paramsNo12AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfonocommit'); gameNo12AMInfo = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12AMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 12+, above med. att., info treat'); paramsNo12AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlnocommit'); gameNo12AMControl = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12AMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 12+, above med. att., control'); paramsNo12BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfonocommit'); gameNo12BMInfo = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12BMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 12+, below med. att., info treat'); paramsNo12BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlnocommit'); gameNo12BMControl = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12BMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 12+, below med. att., control'); paramsNo8AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfonocommite'); gameNo8AMInfo = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8AMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 8+, above med. att., info treat'); paramsNo8AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlnocommite'); gameNo8AMControl = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8AMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 8+, above med. att., control'); paramsNo8BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfonocommite'); gameNo8BMInfo = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8BMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 8+, below med. att., info treat'); paramsNo8BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlnocommite'); gameNo8BMControl = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8BMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 8+, below med. att., control'); paramsNo16AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfonocommits'); gameNo16AMInfo = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16AMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 16+, above med. att., info treat'); paramsNo16AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlnocommits'); gameNo16AMControl = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16AMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 16+, above med. att., control'); paramsNo16BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfonocommits'); gameNo16BMInfo = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16BMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 16+, below med. att., info treat'); paramsNo16BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlnocommits'); gameNo16BMControl = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16BMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 16+, below med. att., control'); % store share of population that chose each contract params8 = load_parameters('commit8'); mu8 = params8.mu; params16 = load_parameters('commit16'); mu16 = params16.mu; %% Compare welfare/efficiency outcomes across different contracts/incentives % with heterogeneity along past attendance (median) & info treatment % under the 12+ visit contract mc = [game12AMInfo game12AMControl game12BMInfo game12BMControl]; mnc = [gameNo12AMInfo gameNo12AMControl gameNo12BMInfo gameNo12BMControl]; mcnp = [game12AMInfoNoP game12AMControlNoP game12BMInfoNoP game12BMControlNoP]; for m = 1:length(mc) % rescale mu's as a share of whole population mc(m).mu = mc(m).mu .* mu12; mcnp(m).mu = mcnp(m).mu .* mu12; mnc(m).mu = mnc(m).mu .* (1 - mu12); end Results12 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % under the 8+ visit contract mc = [game8AMInfo game8AMControl game8BMInfo game8BMControl]; mnc = [gameNo8AMInfo gameNo8AMControl gameNo8BMInfo gameNo8BMControl]; mcnp = [game8AMInfoNoP game8AMControlNoP game8BMInfoNoP game8BMControlNoP]; for m = 1:length(mc) % rescale mu's as a share of whole population mc(m).mu = mc(m).mu .* mu8; mcnp(m).mu = mcnp(m).mu .* mu8; mnc(m).mu = mnc(m).mu .* (1 - mu8); end Results8 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % under the 16+ visit contract mc = [game16AMInfo game16AMControl game16BMInfo game16BMControl]; mnc = [gameNo16AMInfo gameNo16AMControl gameNo16BMInfo gameNo16BMControl]; mcnp = [game16AMInfoNoP game16AMControlNoP game16BMInfoNoP game16BMControlNoP]; for m = 1:length(mc) % rescale mu's as a share of whole population mc(m).mu = mc(m).mu .* mu16; mcnp(m).mu = mcnp(m).mu .* mu16; mnc(m).mu = mnc(m).mu .* (1 - mu16); end Results16 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % export results export_efficiency_results(Results8, Results12, Results16, 'het'); %% Instantiate games for welfare/efficiency comparisons % with homogeneity & heterogeneity along past attendance & treatment % add 8+ contract versions (with & without penalty) % with homogeneity params8 = load_parameters('commit8'); game8 = gymGame(props8, params8, minC, 'chose 8+ contract'); game8NoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8, minC, 'chose 8+ contract, no penalty'); % with heterogeneity along past attendance (below vs. above median) params8AM = load_parameters('amcommite'); game8AM = gymGame(props8, params8AM, minC, 'chose 8+, above med. att.'); game8AMNoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8AM, minC, 'chose 8+, above med. att., no penalty'); params8BM = load_parameters('bmcommite'); game8BM = gymGame(props8, params8BM, minC, 'chose 8+, below med. att.'); game8BMNoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8BM, minC, 'chose 8+, below med. att., no penalty'); % add heterogeneity along past attendance (quartiles) params8Q1 = load_parameters('qfstcommite'); game8Q1 = gymGame(props8, params8Q1, minC, 'chose 8+, q1 att.'); game8Q1NoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8Q1, minC, 'chose 8+, q1 att., no penalty'); params8Q2 = load_parameters('qsndcommite'); game8Q2 = gymGame(props8, params8Q2, minC, 'chose 8+, q2 att.'); game8Q2NoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8Q2, minC, 'chose 8+, q2 att., no penalty'); params8Q3 = load_parameters('qthdcommite'); game8Q3 = gymGame(props8, params8Q3, minC, 'chose 8+, q3 att.'); game8Q3NoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8Q3, minC, 'chose 8+, q3 att., no penalty'); params8Q4 = load_parameters('qfthcommite'); game8Q4 = gymGame(props8, params8Q4, minC, 'chose 8+, q4 att.'); game8Q4NoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8Q4, minC, 'chose 8+, q4 att., no penalty'); % add 16+ contract versions (with & without penalty) % with homogeneity params16 = load_parameters('commit16'); game16 = gymGame(props16, params16, minC, 'chose 16+ contract'); game16NoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16, minC, 'chose 16+ contract, no penalty'); % with heterogeneity along past attendance (below vs. above median) params16AM = load_parameters('amcommits'); game16AM = gymGame(props16, params16AM, minC, 'chose 16+, above med. att.'); game16AMNoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16AM, minC, 'chose 16+, above med. att., no penalty'); params16BM = load_parameters('bmcommits'); game16BM = gymGame(props16, params16BM, minC, 'chose 16+, below med. att.'); game16BMNoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16BM, minC, 'chose 16+, below med. att., no penalty'); % add heterogeneity along past attendance (quartiles) params16Q1 = load_parameters('qfstcommits'); game16Q1 = gymGame(props16, params16Q1, minC, 'chose 16+, q1 att.'); game16Q1NoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16Q1, minC, 'chose 16+, q1 att., no penalty'); params16Q2 = load_parameters('qsndcommits'); game16Q2 = gymGame(props16, params16Q2, minC, 'chose 16+, q2 att.'); game16Q2NoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16Q2, minC, 'chose 16+, q2 att., no penalty'); params16Q3 = load_parameters('qthdcommits'); game16Q3 = gymGame(props16, params16Q3, minC, 'chose 16+, q3 att.'); game16Q3NoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16Q3, minC, 'chose 16+, q3 att., no penalty'); params16Q4 = load_parameters('qfthcommits'); game16Q4 = gymGame(props16, params16Q4, minC, 'chose 16+, q4 att.'); game16Q4NoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16Q4, minC, 'chose 16+, q4 att., no penalty'); % add versions for those who rejected the commitment contracts % 8+ visits contract paramsNo8 = load_parameters('nocommit8'); gameNo8 = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8, minC, 'rejected 8+ contract'); paramsNo8AM = load_parameters('amnocommite'); gameNo8AM = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8AM, minC, 'rejected 8+, above med. att.'); paramsNo8BM = load_parameters('bmnocommite'); gameNo8BM = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8BM, minC, 'rejected 8+, below med. att.'); paramsNo8Q1 = load_parameters('qfstnocommite'); gameNo8Q1 = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8Q1, minC, 'rejected 8+, q1 att.'); paramsNo8Q2 = load_parameters('qsndnocommite'); gameNo8Q2 = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8Q2, minC, 'rejected 8+, q2 att.'); paramsNo8Q3 = load_parameters('qthdnocommite'); gameNo8Q3 = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8Q3, minC, 'rejected 8+, q3 att.'); paramsNo8Q4 = load_parameters('qfthnocommite'); gameNo8Q4 = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8Q4, minC, 'rejected 8+, q4 att.'); % 12+ visits contract paramsNo12 = load_parameters('nocommit12'); gameNo12 = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12, minC, 'rejected 12+ contract'); paramsNo12AM = load_parameters('amnocommit'); gameNo12AM = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12AM, minC, 'rejected 12+, above med. att.'); paramsNo12BM = load_parameters('bmnocommit'); gameNo12BM = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12BM, minC, 'rejected 12+, below med. att.'); paramsNo12Q1 = load_parameters('qfstnocommit'); gameNo12Q1 = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12Q1, minC, 'rejected 12+, q1 att.'); paramsNo12Q2 = load_parameters('qsndnocommit'); gameNo12Q2 = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12Q2, minC, 'rejected 12+, q2 att.'); paramsNo12Q3 = load_parameters('qthdnocommit'); gameNo12Q3 = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12Q3, minC, 'rejected 12+, q3 att.'); paramsNo12Q4 = load_parameters('qfthnocommit'); gameNo12Q4 = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12Q4, minC, 'rejected 12+, q4 att.'); % 16+ visits contract paramsNo16 = load_parameters('nocommit16'); gameNo16 = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16, minC, 'rejected 16+ contract'); paramsNo16AM = load_parameters('amnocommits'); gameNo16AM = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16AM, minC, 'rejected 16+, above med. att.'); paramsNo16BM = load_parameters('bmnocommits'); gameNo16BM = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16BM, minC, 'rejected 16+, below med. att.'); paramsNo16Q1 = load_parameters('qfstnocommits'); gameNo16Q1 = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16Q1, minC, 'rejected 16+, q1 att.'); paramsNo16Q2 = load_parameters('qsndnocommits'); gameNo16Q2 = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16Q2, minC, 'rejected 16+, q2 att.'); paramsNo16Q3 = load_parameters('qthdnocommits'); gameNo16Q3 = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16Q3, minC, 'rejected 16+, q3 att.'); paramsNo16Q4 = load_parameters('qfthnocommits'); gameNo16Q4 = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16Q4, minC, 'rejected 16+, q4 att.'); %% Compare welfare/efficiency outcomes across different contracts/incentives % with homogeneity & heterogeneity along past attendance & treatment % HOMOGENEITY % under the 12+ visit contract mc = game12; mnc = gameNo12; mcnp = game12NoP; Results12 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % under the 8+ visit contract mc = game8; mnc = gameNo8; mcnp = game8NoP; Results8 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % under the 16+ visit contract mc = game16; mnc = gameNo16; mcnp = game16NoP; Results16 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % export results export_efficiency_results(Results8, Results12, Results16, 'hom'); % HETEROGENEITY ALONG PAST ATTENDANCE (MEDIAN) % under the 12+ visit contract mc = [game12AM game12BM]; mnc = [gameNo12AM gameNo12BM]; mcnp = [game12AMNoP game12BMNoP]; for m = 1:length(mc) % rescale mu's as a share of whole population mc(m).mu = mc(m).mu .* mu12; mcnp(m).mu = mcnp(m).mu .* mu12; mnc(m).mu = mnc(m).mu .* (1 - mu12); end Results12 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % under the 8+ visit contract mc = [game8AM game8BM]; mnc = [gameNo8AM gameNo8BM]; mcnp = [game8AMNoP game8BMNoP]; for m = 1:length(mc) % rescale mu's as a share of whole population mc(m).mu = mc(m).mu .* mu8; mcnp(m).mu = mcnp(m).mu .* mu8; mnc(m).mu = mnc(m).mu .* (1 - mu8); end Results8 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % under the 16+ visit contract mc = [game16AM game16BM]; mnc = [gameNo16AM gameNo16BM]; mcnp = [game16AMNoP game16BMNoP]; for m = 1:length(mc) % rescale mu's as a share of whole population mc(m).mu = mc(m).mu .* mu16; mcnp(m).mu = mcnp(m).mu .* mu16; mnc(m).mu = mnc(m).mu .* (1 - mu16); end Results16 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % export results export_efficiency_results(Results8, Results12, Results16, 'med'); % HETEROGENEITY ALONG PAST ATTENDANCE (QUARTILE) % under the 12+ visit contract mc = [game12Q1 game12Q2 game12Q3 game12Q4]; mnc = [gameNo12Q1 gameNo12Q2 gameNo12Q3 gameNo12Q4]; mcnp = [game12Q1NoP game12Q2NoP game12Q3NoP game12Q4NoP]; for m = 1:length(mc) % rescale mu's as a share of whole population mc(m).mu = mc(m).mu .* mu12; mcnp(m).mu = mcnp(m).mu .* mu12; mnc(m).mu = mnc(m).mu .* (1 - mu12); end Results12 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % under the 8+ visit contract mc = [game8Q1 game8Q2 game8Q3 game8Q4]; mnc = [gameNo8Q1 gameNo8Q2 gameNo8Q3 gameNo8Q4]; mcnp = [game8Q1NoP game8Q2NoP game8Q3NoP game8Q4NoP]; for m = 1:length(mc) % rescale mu's as a share of whole population mc(m).mu = mc(m).mu .* mu8; mcnp(m).mu = mcnp(m).mu .* mu8; mnc(m).mu = mnc(m).mu .* (1 - mu8); end Results8 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % under the 16+ visit contract mc = [game16Q1 game16Q2 game16Q3 game16Q4]; mnc = [gameNo16Q1 gameNo16Q2 gameNo16Q3 gameNo16Q4]; mcnp = [game16Q1NoP game16Q2NoP game16Q3NoP game16Q4NoP]; for m = 1:length(mc) % rescale mu's as a share of whole population mc(m).mu = mc(m).mu .* mu16; mcnp(m).mu = mcnp(m).mu .* mu16; mnc(m).mu = mnc(m).mu .* (1 - mu16); end Results16 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % export results export_efficiency_results(Results8, Results12, Results16, 'qrt'); %% Plot the average probability of attending each day % generate plot for 12+ visit contract mc = [game12AMInfo game12AMControl game12BMInfo game12BMControl]; plot_att_prob(mc,'daily_att_prob_commit12'); %% Results with a minimal cost draw of $10 % Set lower bound on support of cost distribution minC = 10; % INSTANTIATE GAMES % chose 12+ visit contract params12 = load_parameters('commit12X'); game12 = gymGame(props12, params12, minC, 'chose 12+ contract'); % add heterogeneity along past attendance (below vs. above median) params12AM = load_parameters('amcommitX'); game12AM = gymGame(props12, params12AM, minC, 'chose 12+, above med. att.'); params12BM = load_parameters('bmcommitX'); game12BM = gymGame(props12, params12BM, minC, 'chose 12+, below med. att.'); % add heterogeneity along past attendance (quartiles) params12Q1 = load_parameters('qfstcommitX'); game12Q1 = gymGame(props12, params12Q1, minC, 'chose 12+, q1 att.'); params12Q2 = load_parameters('qsndcommitX'); game12Q2 = gymGame(props12, params12Q2, minC, 'chose 12+, q2 att.'); params12Q3 = load_parameters('qthdcommitX'); game12Q3 = gymGame(props12, params12Q3, minC, 'chose 12+, q3 att.'); params12Q4 = load_parameters('qfthcommitX'); game12Q4 = gymGame(props12, params12Q4, minC, 'chose 12+, q4 att.'); % add heterogeneity along past attendance (median) & info treatment params12AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfocommitX'); game12AMInfo = gymGame(props12, params12AMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 12+, above med. att., info treat'); params12AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlcommitX'); game12AMControl = gymGame(props12, params12AMControl, minC, ... 'chose 12+, above med. att., control'); params12BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfocommitX'); game12BMInfo = gymGame(props12, params12BMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 12+, below med. att., info treat'); params12BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlcommitX'); game12BMControl = gymGame(props12, params12BMControl, minC, ... 'chose 12+, below med. att., control'); % add heterogeneity along past attendance (quartiles) & info treatment params12Q1Info = load_parameters('qfstinfocommitX'); game12Q1Info = gymGame(props12, params12Q1Info, minC, 'chose 12+, q1 att., info treat'); params12Q1Control = load_parameters('qfstctrlcommitX'); game12Q1Control = gymGame(props12, params12Q1Control, minC, 'chose 12+, q1 att., control'); params12Q2Info = load_parameters('qsndinfocommitX'); game12Q2Info = gymGame(props12, params12Q2Info, minC, 'chose 12+, q2 att., info treat'); params12Q2Control = load_parameters('qsndctrlcommitX'); game12Q2Control = gymGame(props12, params12Q2Control, minC, 'chose 12+, q2 att., control'); params12Q3Info = load_parameters('qthdinfocommitX'); game12Q3Info = gymGame(props12, params12Q3Info, minC, 'chose 12+, q3 att., info treat'); params12Q3Control = load_parameters('qthdctrlcommitX'); game12Q3Control = gymGame(props12, params12Q3Control, minC, 'chose 12+, q3 att., control'); params12Q4Info = load_parameters('qfthinfocommitX'); game12Q4Info = gymGame(props12, params12Q4Info, minC, 'chose 12+, q4 att., info treat'); params12Q4Control = load_parameters('qfthctrlcommitX'); game12Q4Control = gymGame(props12, params12Q4Control, minC, 'chose 12+, q4 att., control'); % add no penalty versions of the above games game12NoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12, minC, 'chose 12+, no penalty'); game12AMNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12AM, minC, 'chose 12+, above med. att., no penalty'); game12BMNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12BM, minC, 'chose 12+, below med. att., no penalty'); game12Q1NoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q1, minC, 'chose 12+, q1 att., no penalty'); game12Q2NoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q2, minC, 'chose 12+, q2 att., no penalty'); game12Q3NoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q3, minC, 'chose 12+, q3 att., no penalty'); game12Q4NoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q4, minC, 'chose 12+, q4 att., no penalty'); game12AMInfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12AMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 12+, above med. att., info treat, no penalty'); game12AMControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12AMControl, minC, ... 'chose 12+, above med. att., control, no penalty'); game12BMInfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12BMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 12+, below med. att., info treat, no penalty'); game12BMControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12BMControl, minC, ... 'chose 12+, below med. att., control, no penalty'); game12Q1InfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q1Info, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q1 att., info treat, no penalty'); game12Q1ControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q1Control, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q1 att., control, no penalty'); game12Q2InfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q2Info, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q2 att., info treat, no penalty'); game12Q2ControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q2Control, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q2 att., control, no penalty'); game12Q3InfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q3Info, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q3 att., info treat, no penalty'); game12Q3ControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q3Control, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q3 att., control, no penalty'); game12Q4InfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q4Info, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q4 att., info treat, no penalty'); game12Q4ControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q4Control, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q4 att., control, no penalty'); % add 8+ contract versions (with & without penalty) params8AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfocommiteX'); game8AMInfo = gymGame(props8, params8AMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 8+, above med. att., info treat'); game8AMInfoNoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8AMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 8+, above med. att., info treat, no penalty'); params8AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlcommiteX'); game8AMControl = gymGame(props8, params8AMControl, minC, ... 'chose 8+, above med. att., control'); game8AMControlNoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8AMControl, minC, ... 'chose 8+, above med. att., control, no penalty'); params8BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfocommiteX'); game8BMInfo = gymGame(props8, params8BMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 8+, below med. att., info treat'); game8BMInfoNoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8BMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 8+, below med. att., info treat, no penalty'); params8BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlcommiteX'); game8BMControl = gymGame(props8, params8BMControl, minC, ... 'chose 8+, below med. att., control'); game8BMControlNoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8BMControl, minC, ... 'chose 8+, below med. att., control, no penalty'); % add 16+ contract versions (with & without penalty) params16AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfocommitsX'); game16AMInfo = gymGame(props16, params16AMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 16+, above med. att., info treat'); game16AMInfoNoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16AMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 16+, above med. att., info treat, no penalty'); params16AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlcommitsX'); game16AMControl = gymGame(props16, params16AMControl, minC, ... 'chose 16+, above med. att., control'); game16AMControlNoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16AMControl, minC, ... 'chose 16+, above med. att., control, no penalty'); params16BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfocommitsX'); game16BMInfo = gymGame(props16, params16BMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 16+, below med. att., info treat'); game16BMInfoNoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16BMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 16+, below med. att., info treat, no penalty'); params16BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlcommitsX'); game16BMControl = gymGame(props16, params16BMControl, minC, ... 'chose 16+, below med. att., control'); game16BMControlNoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16BMControl, minC, ... 'chose 16+, below med. att., control, no penalty'); % add versions for those who rejected the commitment contracts paramsNo12AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfonocommitX'); gameNo12AMInfo = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12AMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 12+, above med. att., info treat'); paramsNo12AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlnocommitX'); gameNo12AMControl = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12AMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 12+, above med. att., control'); paramsNo12BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfonocommitX'); gameNo12BMInfo = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12BMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 12+, below med. att., info treat'); paramsNo12BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlnocommitX'); gameNo12BMControl = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12BMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 12+, below med. att., control'); paramsNo8AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfonocommiteX'); gameNo8AMInfo = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8AMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 8+, above med. att., info treat'); paramsNo8AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlnocommiteX'); gameNo8AMControl = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8AMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 8+, above med. att., control'); paramsNo8BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfonocommiteX'); gameNo8BMInfo = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8BMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 8+, below med. att., info treat'); paramsNo8BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlnocommiteX'); gameNo8BMControl = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8BMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 8+, below med. att., control'); paramsNo16AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfonocommitsX'); gameNo16AMInfo = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16AMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 16+, above med. att., info treat'); paramsNo16AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlnocommitsX'); gameNo16AMControl = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16AMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 16+, above med. att., control'); paramsNo16BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfonocommitsX'); gameNo16BMInfo = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16BMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 16+, below med. att., info treat'); paramsNo16BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlnocommitsX'); gameNo16BMControl = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16BMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 16+, below med. att., control'); % store share of population that chose each contract params8 = load_parameters('commit8X'); mu8 = params8.mu; params12 = load_parameters('commit12X'); mu12 = params12.mu; params16 = load_parameters('commit16X'); mu16 = params16.mu; % GENERATE ATTENDANCE RESULTS % chose 12+ visit contract mc = game12; mc.mu = 1; % homogeneous population mcnp = game12NoP; mcnp.mu = 1; % homogeneous population simulate_attendance(mc,mcnp,'allX') % with hetereogenity along past attendance (above vs. below median) mc = [game12AM game12BM]; mcnp = [game12AMNoP game12BMNoP]; simulate_attendance(mc,mcnp,'mattX') % with hetereogenity along past attendance (quartile) mc = [game12Q1 game12Q2 game12Q3 game12Q4]; mcnp = [game12Q1NoP game12Q2NoP game12Q3NoP game12Q4NoP]; simulate_attendance(mc,mcnp,'qattX') % with heterogeneity along past attendance (median) & info treatment mc = [game12AMInfo game12AMControl game12BMInfo game12BMControl]; mcnp = [game12AMInfoNoP game12AMControlNoP game12BMInfoNoP game12BMControlNoP]; simulate_attendance(mc,mcnp,'mattinfoX') % with heterogeneity along past attendance (quartile) & info treatment mc = [game12Q1Info game12Q1Control game12Q2Info game12Q2Control ... game12Q3Info game12Q3Control game12Q4Info game12Q4Control]; mcnp = [game12Q1InfoNoP game12Q1ControlNoP game12Q2InfoNoP game12Q2ControlNoP ... game12Q3InfoNoP game12Q3ControlNoP game12Q4InfoNoP game12Q4ControlNoP]; simulate_attendance(mc,mcnp,'qattinfoX') % GENERATE WELFARE/EFFICIENCY RESULTS % under the 12+ visit contract mc = [game12AMInfo game12AMControl game12BMInfo game12BMControl]; mnc = [gameNo12AMInfo gameNo12AMControl gameNo12BMInfo gameNo12BMControl]; mcnp = [game12AMInfoNoP game12AMControlNoP game12BMInfoNoP game12BMControlNoP]; for m = 1:length(mc) % rescale mu's as a share of whole population mc(m).mu = mc(m).mu .* mu12; mcnp(m).mu = mcnp(m).mu .* mu12; mnc(m).mu = mnc(m).mu .* (1 - mu12); end Results12 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % under the 8+ visit contract mc = [game8AMInfo game8AMControl game8BMInfo game8BMControl]; mnc = [gameNo8AMInfo gameNo8AMControl gameNo8BMInfo gameNo8BMControl]; mcnp = [game8AMInfoNoP game8AMControlNoP game8BMInfoNoP game8BMControlNoP]; for m = 1:length(mc) % rescale mu's as a share of whole population mc(m).mu = mc(m).mu .* mu8; mcnp(m).mu = mcnp(m).mu .* mu8; mnc(m).mu = mnc(m).mu .* (1 - mu8); end Results8 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % under the 16+ visit contract mc = [game16AMInfo game16AMControl game16BMInfo game16BMControl]; mnc = [gameNo16AMInfo gameNo16AMControl gameNo16BMInfo gameNo16BMControl]; mcnp = [game16AMInfoNoP game16AMControlNoP game16BMInfoNoP game16BMControlNoP]; for m = 1:length(mc) % rescale mu's as a share of whole population mc(m).mu = mc(m).mu .* mu16; mcnp(m).mu = mcnp(m).mu .* mu16; mnc(m).mu = mnc(m).mu .* (1 - mu16); end Results16 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % export results export_efficiency_results(Results8, Results12, Results16, 'hetX'); %% Results with a minimal cost draw of -$5 % Set lower bound on support of cost distribution minC = -5; % INSTANTIATE GAMES % chose 12+ visit contract params12 = load_parameters('commit12V'); game12 = gymGame(props12, params12, minC, 'chose 12+ contract'); % add heterogeneity along past attendance (below vs. above median) params12AM = load_parameters('amcommitV'); game12AM = gymGame(props12, params12AM, minC, 'chose 12+, above med. att.'); params12BM = load_parameters('bmcommitV'); game12BM = gymGame(props12, params12BM, minC, 'chose 12+, below med. att.'); % add heterogeneity along past attendance (quartiles) params12Q1 = load_parameters('qfstcommitV'); game12Q1 = gymGame(props12, params12Q1, minC, 'chose 12+, q1 att.'); params12Q2 = load_parameters('qsndcommitV'); game12Q2 = gymGame(props12, params12Q2, minC, 'chose 12+, q2 att.'); params12Q3 = load_parameters('qthdcommitV'); game12Q3 = gymGame(props12, params12Q3, minC, 'chose 12+, q3 att.'); params12Q4 = load_parameters('qfthcommitV'); game12Q4 = gymGame(props12, params12Q4, minC, 'chose 12+, q4 att.'); % add heterogeneity along past attendance (median) & info treatment params12AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfocommitV'); game12AMInfo = gymGame(props12, params12AMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 12+, above med. att., info treat'); params12AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlcommitV'); game12AMControl = gymGame(props12, params12AMControl, minC, ... 'chose 12+, above med. att., control'); params12BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfocommitV'); game12BMInfo = gymGame(props12, params12BMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 12+, below med. att., info treat'); params12BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlcommitV'); game12BMControl = gymGame(props12, params12BMControl, minC, ... 'chose 12+, below med. att., control'); % add heterogeneity along past attendance (quartiles) & info treatment params12Q1Info = load_parameters('qfstinfocommitV'); game12Q1Info = gymGame(props12, params12Q1Info, minC, 'chose 12+, q1 att., info treat'); params12Q1Control = load_parameters('qfstctrlcommitV'); game12Q1Control = gymGame(props12, params12Q1Control, minC, 'chose 12+, q1 att., control'); params12Q2Info = load_parameters('qsndinfocommitV'); game12Q2Info = gymGame(props12, params12Q2Info, minC, 'chose 12+, q2 att., info treat'); params12Q2Control = load_parameters('qsndctrlcommitV'); game12Q2Control = gymGame(props12, params12Q2Control, minC, 'chose 12+, q2 att., control'); params12Q3Info = load_parameters('qthdinfocommitV'); game12Q3Info = gymGame(props12, params12Q3Info, minC, 'chose 12+, q3 att., info treat'); params12Q3Control = load_parameters('qthdctrlcommitV'); game12Q3Control = gymGame(props12, params12Q3Control, minC, 'chose 12+, q3 att., control'); params12Q4Info = load_parameters('qfthinfocommitV'); game12Q4Info = gymGame(props12, params12Q4Info, minC, 'chose 12+, q4 att., info treat'); params12Q4Control = load_parameters('qfthctrlcommitV'); game12Q4Control = gymGame(props12, params12Q4Control, minC, 'chose 12+, q4 att., control'); % add no penalty versions of the above games game12NoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12, minC, 'chose 12+, no penalty'); game12AMNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12AM, minC, 'chose 12+, above med. att., no penalty'); game12BMNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12BM, minC, 'chose 12+, below med. att., no penalty'); game12Q1NoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q1, minC, 'chose 12+, q1 att., no penalty'); game12Q2NoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q2, minC, 'chose 12+, q2 att., no penalty'); game12Q3NoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q3, minC, 'chose 12+, q3 att., no penalty'); game12Q4NoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q4, minC, 'chose 12+, q4 att., no penalty'); game12AMInfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12AMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 12+, above med. att., info treat, no penalty'); game12AMControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12AMControl, minC, ... 'chose 12+, above med. att., control, no penalty'); game12BMInfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12BMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 12+, below med. att., info treat, no penalty'); game12BMControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12BMControl, minC, ... 'chose 12+, below med. att., control, no penalty'); game12Q1InfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q1Info, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q1 att., info treat, no penalty'); game12Q1ControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q1Control, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q1 att., control, no penalty'); game12Q2InfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q2Info, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q2 att., info treat, no penalty'); game12Q2ControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q2Control, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q2 att., control, no penalty'); game12Q3InfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q3Info, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q3 att., info treat, no penalty'); game12Q3ControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q3Control, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q3 att., control, no penalty'); game12Q4InfoNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q4Info, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q4 att., info treat, no penalty'); game12Q4ControlNoP = gymGame(props12NoP, params12Q4Control, minC, ... 'chose 12+, q4 att., control, no penalty'); % add 8+ contract versions (with & without penalty) params8AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfocommiteV'); game8AMInfo = gymGame(props8, params8AMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 8+, above med. att., info treat'); game8AMInfoNoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8AMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 8+, above med. att., info treat, no penalty'); params8AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlcommiteV'); game8AMControl = gymGame(props8, params8AMControl, minC, ... 'chose 8+, above med. att., control'); game8AMControlNoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8AMControl, minC, ... 'chose 8+, above med. att., control, no penalty'); params8BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfocommiteV'); game8BMInfo = gymGame(props8, params8BMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 8+, below med. att., info treat'); game8BMInfoNoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8BMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 8+, below med. att., info treat, no penalty'); params8BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlcommiteV'); game8BMControl = gymGame(props8, params8BMControl, minC, ... 'chose 8+, below med. att., control'); game8BMControlNoP = gymGame(props8NoP, params8BMControl, minC, ... 'chose 8+, below med. att., control, no penalty'); % add 16+ contract versions (with & without penalty) params16AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfocommitsV'); game16AMInfo = gymGame(props16, params16AMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 16+, above med. att., info treat'); game16AMInfoNoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16AMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 16+, above med. att., info treat, no penalty'); params16AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlcommitsV'); game16AMControl = gymGame(props16, params16AMControl, minC, ... 'chose 16+, above med. att., control'); game16AMControlNoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16AMControl, minC, ... 'chose 16+, above med. att., control, no penalty'); params16BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfocommitsV'); game16BMInfo = gymGame(props16, params16BMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 16+, below med. att., info treat'); game16BMInfoNoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16BMInfo, minC, ... 'chose 16+, below med. att., info treat, no penalty'); params16BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlcommitsV'); game16BMControl = gymGame(props16, params16BMControl, minC, ... 'chose 16+, below med. att., control'); game16BMControlNoP = gymGame(props16NoP, params16BMControl, minC, ... 'chose 16+, below med. att., control, no penalty'); % add versions for those who rejected the commitment contracts paramsNo12AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfonocommitV'); gameNo12AMInfo = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12AMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 12+, above med. att., info treat'); paramsNo12AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlnocommitV'); gameNo12AMControl = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12AMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 12+, above med. att., control'); paramsNo12BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfonocommitV'); gameNo12BMInfo = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12BMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 12+, below med. att., info treat'); paramsNo12BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlnocommitV'); gameNo12BMControl = gymGame(props12NoP, paramsNo12BMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 12+, below med. att., control'); paramsNo8AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfonocommiteV'); gameNo8AMInfo = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8AMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 8+, above med. att., info treat'); paramsNo8AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlnocommiteV'); gameNo8AMControl = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8AMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 8+, above med. att., control'); paramsNo8BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfonocommiteV'); gameNo8BMInfo = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8BMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 8+, below med. att., info treat'); paramsNo8BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlnocommiteV'); gameNo8BMControl = gymGame(props8NoP, paramsNo8BMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 8+, below med. att., control'); paramsNo16AMInfo = load_parameters('aminfonocommitsV'); gameNo16AMInfo = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16AMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 16+, above med. att., info treat'); paramsNo16AMControl = load_parameters('amctrlnocommitsV'); gameNo16AMControl = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16AMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 16+, above med. att., control'); paramsNo16BMInfo = load_parameters('bminfonocommitsV'); gameNo16BMInfo = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16BMInfo, minC, ... 'rejected 16+, below med. att., info treat'); paramsNo16BMControl = load_parameters('bmctrlnocommitsV'); gameNo16BMControl = gymGame(props16NoP, paramsNo16BMControl, minC, ... 'rejected 16+, below med. att., control'); % store share of population that chose each contract params8 = load_parameters('commit8V'); mu8 = params8.mu; params12 = load_parameters('commit12V'); mu12 = params12.mu; params16 = load_parameters('commit16V'); mu16 = params16.mu; % GENERATE ATTENDANCE RESULTS % chose 12+ visit contract mc = game12; mc.mu = 1; % homogeneous population mcnp = game12NoP; mcnp.mu = 1; % homogeneous population simulate_attendance(mc,mcnp,'allV') % with hetereogenity along past attendance (above vs. below median) mc = [game12AM game12BM]; mcnp = [game12AMNoP game12BMNoP]; simulate_attendance(mc,mcnp,'mattV') % with hetereogenity along past attendance (quartile) mc = [game12Q1 game12Q2 game12Q3 game12Q4]; mcnp = [game12Q1NoP game12Q2NoP game12Q3NoP game12Q4NoP]; simulate_attendance(mc,mcnp,'qattV') % with heterogeneity along past attendance (median) & info treatment mc = [game12AMInfo game12AMControl game12BMInfo game12BMControl]; mcnp = [game12AMInfoNoP game12AMControlNoP game12BMInfoNoP game12BMControlNoP]; simulate_attendance(mc,mcnp,'mattinfoV') % with heterogeneity along past attendance (quartile) & info treatment mc = [game12Q1Info game12Q1Control game12Q2Info game12Q2Control ... game12Q3Info game12Q3Control game12Q4Info game12Q4Control]; mcnp = [game12Q1InfoNoP game12Q1ControlNoP game12Q2InfoNoP game12Q2ControlNoP ... game12Q3InfoNoP game12Q3ControlNoP game12Q4InfoNoP game12Q4ControlNoP]; simulate_attendance(mc,mcnp,'qattinfoV') % GENERATE WELFARE/EFFICIENCY RESULTS % under the 12+ visit contract mc = [game12AMInfo game12AMControl game12BMInfo game12BMControl]; mnc = [gameNo12AMInfo gameNo12AMControl gameNo12BMInfo gameNo12BMControl]; mcnp = [game12AMInfoNoP game12AMControlNoP game12BMInfoNoP game12BMControlNoP]; for m = 1:length(mc) % rescale mu's as a share of whole population mc(m).mu = mc(m).mu .* mu12; mcnp(m).mu = mcnp(m).mu .* mu12; mnc(m).mu = mnc(m).mu .* (1 - mu12); end Results12 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % under the 8+ visit contract mc = [game8AMInfo game8AMControl game8BMInfo game8BMControl]; mnc = [gameNo8AMInfo gameNo8AMControl gameNo8BMInfo gameNo8BMControl]; mcnp = [game8AMInfoNoP game8AMControlNoP game8BMInfoNoP game8BMControlNoP]; for m = 1:length(mc) % rescale mu's as a share of whole population mc(m).mu = mc(m).mu .* mu8; mcnp(m).mu = mcnp(m).mu .* mu8; mnc(m).mu = mnc(m).mu .* (1 - mu8); end Results8 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % under the 16+ visit contract mc = [game16AMInfo game16AMControl game16BMInfo game16BMControl]; mnc = [gameNo16AMInfo gameNo16AMControl gameNo16BMInfo gameNo16BMControl]; mcnp = [game16AMInfoNoP game16AMControlNoP game16BMInfoNoP game16BMControlNoP]; for m = 1:length(mc) % rescale mu's as a share of whole population mc(m).mu = mc(m).mu .* mu16; mcnp(m).mu = mcnp(m).mu .* mu16; mnc(m).mu = mnc(m).mu .* (1 - mu16); end Results16 = compute_efficiency(mc,mnc,mcnp); % export results export_efficiency_results(Results8, Results12, Results16, 'hetV'); %% Helper functions function parameters = load_parameters(title) % reads in parameters estimated in Stata file = strcat(OUTPUT,'/parameter_estimates/',title,'.csv'); % read file into vector P = readmatrix(file); % set parameter values from vector parameters.lambda = P(1); parameters.beta = P(2); parameters.betatilde = P(3); parameters.b = P(4); parameters.mu = P(5); end function simulate_attendance(commit_models, no_p_commit_models, name) % simulate attendance with & without the commitment contract % average change in attendance DaC = 0; for i = 1:length(commit_models) DaC = DaC + commit_models(i).mu .* (commit_models(i).avg_att - ... no_p_commit_models(i).avg_att); end % average probabilities of success with & without the contract prob_c = 0; prob_nop = 0; for i = 1:length(commit_models) prob_c = prob_c + commit_models(i).mu .* ... commit_models(i).prob_success; prob_nop = prob_nop + no_p_commit_models(i).mu .* ... no_p_commit_models(i).prob_success; end prob_diff = prob_c - prob_nop; % export results latex_command(strcat('DaC',name),DaC,'%1.2f'); latex_command(strcat('probc',name),prob_c,'%1.2f'); latex_command(strcat('probnop',name),prob_nop,'%1.2f'); latex_command(strcat('Dprob',name),prob_diff,'%1.2f'); end function export_efficiency_results(results8, results12, results16, name) % exports welfare/efficiency outcomes % for the optimal piece-rate incentive (12+ visit contract) latex_command(strcat('Ropt',name),results12.r_opt,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DaRopt',name),results12.delta_att_r_opt,'%3.2f'); latex_command(strcat('DsurplusRopt',name),results12.delta_surplus_r_opt,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DbenefitsRopt',name),results12.delta_benefits_r_opt,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DcostsRopt',name),results12.delta_costs_r_opt,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DeffRopt',name),results12.U_E_r_opt,'currency'); % for the 12+ visit contract latex_command(strcat('DaCT',name),results12.avg_delta_a_C,'%3.2f'); latex_command(strcat('DcommitsurplusCT',name),results12.commit_delta_surplus,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DsurplusCT',name),results12.avg_delta_surplus,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DbenefitsCT',name),results12.avg_delta_benefits,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DcostsCT',name),results12.avg_delta_costs,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DeffCT',name),results12.V_E,'currency'); % for the attendance-equivalent incentive (12+ visit contract) latex_command(strcat('RattT',name),results12.r_att,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DaRattT',name),results12.delta_att_r_att,'%3.2f'); latex_command(strcat('DsurplusRattT',name),results12.delta_surplus_r_att,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DbenefitsRattT',name),results12.delta_benefits_r_att,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DcostsRattT',name),results12.delta_costs_r_att,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DeffRattT',name),results12.U_E_r_att,'currency'); % for the 8+ visit contract latex_command(strcat('DaCE',name),results8.avg_delta_a_C,'%3.2f'); latex_command(strcat('DcommitsurplusCE',name),results8.commit_delta_surplus,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DsurplusCE',name),results8.avg_delta_surplus,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DbenefitsCE',name),results8.avg_delta_benefits,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DcostsCE',name),results8.avg_delta_costs,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DeffCE',name),results8.V_E,'currency'); % for the attendance-equivalent incentive (8+ visit contract) latex_command(strcat('RattE',name),results8.r_att,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DaRattE',name),results8.delta_att_r_att,'%3.2f'); latex_command(strcat('DsurplusRattE',name),results8.delta_surplus_r_att,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DbenefitsRattE',name),results8.delta_benefits_r_att,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DcostsRattE',name),results8.delta_costs_r_att,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DeffRattE',name),results8.U_E_r_att,'currency'); % for the 16+ visit contract latex_command(strcat('DaCS',name),results16.avg_delta_a_C,'%3.2f'); latex_command(strcat('DcommitsurplusCS',name),results16.commit_delta_surplus,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DsurplusCS',name),results16.avg_delta_surplus,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DbenefitsCS',name),results16.avg_delta_benefits,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DcostsCS',name),results16.avg_delta_costs,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DeffCS',name),results16.V_E,'currency'); % for the attendance-equivalent incentive (16+ visit contract) latex_command(strcat('RattS',name),results16.r_att,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DaRattS',name),results16.delta_att_r_att,'%3.2f'); latex_command(strcat('DsurplusRattS',name),results16.delta_surplus_r_att,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DbenefitsRattS',name),results16.delta_benefits_r_att,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DcostsRattS',name),results16.delta_costs_r_att,'currency'); latex_command(strcat('DeffRattS',name),results16.U_E_r_att,'currency'); end function plot_att_prob(commit_models, name) % plot the average probability of attending each day % contract threshold a_star = commit_models(1).a_star; % average probability for each day over all naive groups probs = zeros(commit_models(1).T,1); for i = 1:length(probs) p = 0; for j = 1:length(commit_models) p = p + commit_models(j).mu .* ... commit_models(j).prob_att_day(i); end probs(i) = p; end % average probability without the contract or present bias noc_prob = 0; noc_nopb_prob = 0; for j = 1:length(commit_models) noc_prob = noc_prob + commit_models(j).mu .* ... commit_models(j).F(commit_models(j).beta .* commit_models(j).b); noc_nopb_prob = noc_nopb_prob + commit_models(j).mu .* ... commit_models(j).F(commit_models(j).b); end plot(repmat(noc_prob,length(probs),1),'LineStyle','--', ... 'Color','#D95319'); hold on plot(probs,'LineStyle','-','Color','#0072BD'); hold on plot(repmat(noc_nopb_prob,length(probs),1),'LineStyle','-.', ... 'Color','#EDB120'); xticks(linspace(0,28,15)); xlim([0 28]) ylim([0 1]); xlabel('Day'); label2 = "With " + num2str(a_star) + "+ visits contract"; ylabel('Probability of going to the gym'); legend({'Baseline',label2, 'First best'}, ... 'location','northwest'); set(gcf,'color','w'); fpath = [OUTPUT '/' name '.pdf']; fig = gcf; fig.PaperPositionMode = 'auto'; fig_pos = fig.PaperPosition; fig.PaperSize = [fig_pos(3) fig_pos(4)]; print(fig,fpath,'-dpdf'); close; end function latex_command(name, value, format) % outputs figures to a tex file if strcmp(format, 'currency') curr = java.util.Locale.CANADA; % preserves negative sign j = java.text.NumberFormat.getCurrencyInstance(curr); % format value = char(j.format(value)); value = strrep(value,'$','\$'); else value = compose(format, value); end if ismac input = strcat('\\\newcommand{\\',name,'}{',value,'}'); else input = strcat('\\newcommand{\',name,'}{',value,'}'); end file = [OUTPUT '/simulations.tex']; command = strcat('echo ',input,' >> ',file); system(char(command)); end end