### Replication require("pacman") pacman::p_load( stargazer, foreign, stringr, data.table, ggplot2,lfe, xtable, openxlsx, zoo, lme4, stringi) rm(list=ls()) my_log <- file("my_log.txt") specify_decimal <- function(x, k) format(as.numeric(round(x, k), nsmall=k)) ihs <- function(x) log(x + sqrt(x^2+1)) mod_stargazer <- function(est) { capture.output(est) } multiplot <- function(..., plotlist=NULL, file, cols=1, layout=NULL) { require(grid) plots <- c(list(...), plotlist) numPlots = length(plots) if (is.null(layout)) { layout <- matrix(seq(1, cols * ceiling(numPlots/cols)), ncol = cols, nrow = ceiling(numPlots/cols)) } if (numPlots==1) { print(plots[[1]]) } else { grid.newpage() pushViewport(viewport(layout = grid.layout(nrow(layout), ncol(layout)))) for (i in 1:numPlots) { matchidx <- as.data.frame(which(layout == i, arr.ind = TRUE)) print(plots[[i]], vp = viewport(layout.pos.row = matchidx$row, layout.pos.col = matchidx$col)) } } } load("cands.Rda") load("els.Rda") ################################################################################################## ################# MAIN TEXT ################## ################################################################################################## ### TABLE 1 ### Models (in order) est1<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type)|0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est2<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est3<-felm(perc_elected_partial~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est4<-felm(perc_elected_full~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est5<-felm(perc_elected_full~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est6<-felm(perc_elected_full~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est7<-felm(cands_per_seat~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est8<-felm(cands_per_seat~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est9<-felm(cands_per_seat~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) ### Layout Region <- list(c("Unit Type, Region Fixed Effects","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}")) UnitType <- list(c("Unit Type Fixed Effects","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}")) MuniType <- list(c("Municipality Fixed Effects","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) LinearTrend <- list(c("Linear Time Trend","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) originallayout="D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}" newlayout="D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}| D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}| D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}" t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est1,est2,est3,est4,est5,est6,est7,est8,est9, omit="electionyear",keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",covariate.labels=c("Treatment Group * Second Period Election","Treatment Group","Second Period Election","No. Seats (log)","Mun. Population (log)","Mun. Territory (log)","Mun. Revenue (log)"),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="-18pt", align=TRUE, dep.var.labels.include=TRUE, dep.var.labels=c("Part-Time Incumbents (\\%)","Full-Time Incumbents (\\%)","Candidates per Seat"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(Region,MuniType,LinearTrend),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs=NA)) t_ro[11]<-"\\hline \\bigstrut " t_ro <-gsub(originallayout, newlayout, t_ro, fixed =TRUE) t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{10}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) t_ro[6]<-paste(" \\resizebox{.99\\textwidth}{!}{",t_ro[6],sep="") t_ro[42]<-paste(t_ro[42],"}",sep="") sink(file="Main_AvgCandsNoHeader.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() ### TABLE 2 est1<-felm(cands_perc_bus~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est2<-felm(cands_perc_bus~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est3<-felm(cands_perc_bus~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est4<-felm(cands_perc_directors~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est5<-felm(cands_perc_directors~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est6<-felm(cands_perc_directors~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo)|0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est7<-felm(cands_perc_entre~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est8<-felm(cands_perc_entre~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est9<-felm(cands_perc_entre~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est1,est2,est3,est4,est5,est6,est7,est8,est9, omit="electionyear", keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",covariate.labels=c("Treatment Group * Second Period Election","Treatment Group","Second Period Election","No. Seats (log)","Mun. Population (log)","Mun. Territory (log)","Mun. Revenue (log)"),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="-18pt", align=TRUE, dep.var.labels.include=TRUE, dep.var.labels=c("All Businesspeople (\\%)","Firm Directors (\\%)","Individual Entrepreneurs (\\%)"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(Region,MuniType,LinearTrend),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs=NA)) t_ro[11]<-"\\hline \\bigstrut " t_ro <-gsub(originallayout, newlayout, t_ro, fixed =TRUE) t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{10}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) t_ro[6]<-paste(" \\resizebox{.99\\textwidth}{!}{",t_ro[6],sep="") t_ro[42]<-paste(t_ro[42],"}",sep="") sink(file="Main_Business.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() ### TABLE 3 ### A warning message appears from the felm command because the fixed effects absorb several of the non-time-varying variables within. This is to be expected and can be ignored. est1<-felm(perc_elected_partial~treatment*after*reg_pressfreedom+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els,psdef=FALSE) est2<-felm(perc_elected_partial~treatment*after*reg_dem_media+electionyear++ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els,psdef=FALSE) est3<-felm(perc_elected_partial~treatment*after*fn_budget_log+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els,psdef=FALSE) est4<-felm(perc_elected_partial~treatment*after*log_justice+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els,psdef=FALSE) est5<-felm(cands_perc_entre~treatment*after*reg_pressfreedom+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els,psdef=FALSE) est6<-felm(cands_perc_entre~treatment*after*reg_dem_media+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els,psdef=FALSE) est7<-felm(cands_perc_entre~treatment*after*fn_budget_log+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els,psdef=FALSE) est8<-felm(cands_perc_entre~treatment*after*log_justice+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els,psdef=FALSE) Muni <- list(c("Regional Covariates","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) Region <- list(c("Municipality FE; Linear Time Trend","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est1,est2,est3,est4,est5,est6,est7,est8, keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",keep=c("after","treatment:after","treatment:after:reg_pressfreedom","treatment:after:reg_dem_media" ,"treatment:after:audits_allpeople","treatment:after:ENFORCE"), covariate.labels=c("Second Election","Treatment Group * Second Election", "Second Election * GDF Press Freedom", "\\textbf{Treatment Group * Second Election * GDF Press Freedom}", "Second Election * TP Press Freedom", "\\textbf{Treatment Group * Second Election * TP Press Freedom}", "Second Election * Regional Tax Agency Budget", "\\textbf{Treatment Group * Second Election * Regional Tax Agency Budget}", "Second Election * Law Enforcement Personnel", "\\textbf{Treatment Group * Second Election * Law Enforcement Personnel}"),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="-20pt", align=TRUE, dep.var.labels.include=TRUE, dep.var.labels=c("Part-Time Incumbents (\\%)","Independent Entrepreneurs (\\%)"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(Muni,Region),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs=NA)) t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{9}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) t_ro[6]<-paste(" \\resizebox{.99\\textwidth}{!}{",t_ro[6],sep="") t_ro[50]<-paste(t_ro[50],"}",sep="") sink(file="Heterogeneity_MainInteractions.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() ### FIGURE 1 vrns_chart<-els[,list(vrns=uniqueN(vrn)),by=c("electionyear","treatment")] vrns_chart$treatment<-as.character(vrns_chart$treatment) vrns_chart$electionyear<-as.character(vrns_chart$electionyear) ggplot(vrns_chart, aes(x = electionyear, y = vrns, fill = treatment)) + geom_bar(stat = "identity")+scale_fill_grey(start = 0.6, end = 0.3,name="",breaks=c("0", "1"),labels=c("Control ", "Treatment "))+ylim(0,7000)+xlab("\nElection Year")+ylab("Number of Elections\n")+theme_bw()+ theme(legend.key = element_rect(size = 5), legend.key.size = unit(1.5, 'lines'), plot.title=element_text(size=14,hjust = 0.65), axis.text=element_text(size=14),axis.title=element_text(size=16), legend.text=element_text(size=16)) +geom_vline(aes(xintercept=7.5),colour="darkgrey", linetype="dashed")+ annotate("text", label = "Amendment\n In Effect", x = 8.5, y = 5000, size = 4, colour = "black", angle=0)+geom_vline(aes(xintercept=5.5),colour="black")+ ggtitle("First Period Election Second Period Election")+ annotate("rect", xmin = 7.5, xmax = 9.5, ymin = 0, ymax = Inf, alpha = .15) ggsave(filename = "ElectionsByYear.pdf", height=6, width=10) ################################################################################################## ################# APPENDIX ################## ################################################################################################## ### FIGURE A1 cands$coded_profession<-0 cands$coded_profession[cands$entrepreneur==1]<-1 cands$coded_profession[cands$director==1]<-2 cands$coded_profession[cands$teacher==1]<-3 cands$coded_profession[cands$accountant==1]<-4 cands$coded_profession[cands$doctor==1]<-5 cands$coded_profession[cands$lowerclass==1]<-6 cands$coded_profession[cands$nowork==1]<-7 cands$coded_profession[cands$force==1]<-8 cands$coded_profession[cands$official==1]<-9 cands$coded_profession[cands$ngo==1]<-10 prop<-as.data.frame(prop.table(table(cands$coded_profession))) prop$Freq<-prop$Freq*100 prop$label <-paste0(specify_decimal(prop$Freq,1),"%",sep="") prop$Var1<-as.factor(prop$Var1) prop_breaks<-unique(as.factor(prop$Var1)) prop <- transform(prop, Var1=reorder(Var1, Freq) ) ggplot(prop, aes(x=Var1,y=Freq))+geom_bar(stat = "identity")+xlab("")+ylab("\nPercentage of Candidates (%)")+ geom_text(aes(label=label), position=position_dodge(width=0.9), hjust=-0.2,size=5)+ylim(0,25)+ coord_flip() + theme_bw()+ scale_x_discrete(breaks=prop_breaks,labels=c("Other","Entrepreneur","Firm Director","Education","Private Sector Professional","Health Care","Blue Collar","Unemployed / Pensioner","Law Enforcement","Government / SOE","Civil Society"))+theme(axis.text=element_text(size=18),axis.title=element_text(size=18)) + guides(fill=guide_legend(title=" ")) ggsave(filename = "Professions.pdf", height=3.5, width=10) ### TABLE A2 els_first<-subset(els, sequence==1) els_second<-subset(els, sequence==2) SummaryTables <- data.frame(title=numeric(0),treatment= numeric(0),control= numeric(0),difference= numeric(0),pvalue=numeric(0)) SummaryTables[1 ,] <- c("(1) Population (log)", mean(els_first$population_log[els_first$treatment==1],na.rm=TRUE), mean(els_first$population_log[els_first$treatment==0],na.rm=TRUE), summary(lm(population_log~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][2], summary(lm(population_log~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][8]) SummaryTables[2 ,] <- c("(2) Territory (log)", mean(els_first$territory_log[els_first$treatment==1],na.rm=TRUE), mean(els_first$territory_log[els_first$treatment==0],na.rm=TRUE), summary(lm(territory_log~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][2], summary(lm(territory_log~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][8] ) SummaryTables[3 ,] <- c("(3) Revenue (log)", mean(els_first$income_log[els_first$treatment==1],na.rm=TRUE), mean(els_first$income_log[els_first$treatment==0],na.rm=TRUE), summary(lm(income_log~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][2], summary(lm(income_log~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][8]) SummaryTables[4 ,] <- c("(4) City Settlement", mean(els_first$gorpos[els_first$treatment==1],na.rm=TRUE), mean(els_first$gorpos[els_first$treatment==0],na.rm=TRUE), summary(lm(gorpos~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][2], summary(lm(gorpos~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][8] ) SummaryTables[5 ,] <- c("(5) Rural Settlement", mean(els_first$selpos[els_first$treatment==1],na.rm=TRUE), mean(els_first$selpos[els_first$treatment==0],na.rm=TRUE), summary(lm(selpos~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][2], summary(lm(selpos~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][8]) SummaryTables[6 ,] <- c("(6) City District", mean(els_first$gorokrug[els_first$treatment==1],na.rm=TRUE), mean(els_first$gorokrug[els_first$treatment==0],na.rm=TRUE), summary(lm(gorokrug~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][2], summary(lm(gorokrug~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][8]) SummaryTables[7 ,] <- c("(7) Municipal Rayon", mean(els_first$munrayon[els_first$treatment==1],na.rm=TRUE), mean(els_first$munrayon[els_first$treatment==0],na.rm=TRUE), summary(lm(munrayon~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][2], summary(lm(munrayon~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][8]) SummaryTables[8 ,] <- c("(8) Number Seats", mean(els_first$numberelected[els_first$treatment==1],na.rm=TRUE), mean(els_first$numberelected[els_first$treatment==0],na.rm=TRUE), summary(lm(numberelected~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][2], summary(lm(numberelected~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][8]) SummaryTables[9 ,] <- c("(9) Number Candidates per Seat", mean(els_first$cands_per_seat[els_first$treatment==1],na.rm=TRUE), mean(els_first$cands_per_seat[els_first$treatment==0],na.rm=TRUE), summary(lm(cands_per_seat~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][2], summary(lm(cands_per_seat~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][8]) SummaryTables[10 ,] <- c("(10) Part-time Deputy Candidates (%)", mean(els_first$perc_elected_partial[els_first$treatment==1],na.rm=TRUE), mean(els_first$perc_elected_partial[els_first$treatment==0],na.rm=TRUE), summary(lm(perc_elected_partial~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][2], summary(lm(perc_elected_partial~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][8]) SummaryTables[11 ,] <- c("(11) Full-time Deputy Candidates (%)", mean(els_first$perc_elected_full[els_first$treatment==1],na.rm=TRUE), mean(els_first$perc_elected_full[els_first$treatment==0],na.rm=TRUE), summary(lm(perc_elected_full~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][2], summary(lm(perc_elected_full~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][8]) SummaryTables[12 ,] <- c("(12) Businessperson Candidates (%)", mean(els_first$cands_perc_bus[els_first$treatment==1],na.rm=TRUE), mean(els_first$cands_perc_bus[els_first$treatment==0],na.rm=TRUE), summary(lm(cands_perc_bus~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][2], summary(lm(cands_perc_bus~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][8]) SummaryTables[13 ,] <- c("(13) Candidate Age", mean(els_first$age[els_first$treatment==1],na.rm=TRUE), mean(els_first$age[els_first$treatment==0],na.rm=TRUE), summary(lm(age~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][2], summary(lm(age~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][8]) SummaryTables[14 ,] <- c("(14) Female Candidates (%)", mean(els_first$female[els_first$treatment==1],na.rm=TRUE), mean(els_first$female[els_first$treatment==0],na.rm=TRUE), summary(lm(female~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][2], summary(lm(female~treatment, data=els_first))[[4]][8]) SummaryTables$treatment<-prettyNum(specify_decimal(as.numeric(SummaryTables$treatment),3),big.mark=",") SummaryTables$control<-prettyNum(specify_decimal(as.numeric(SummaryTables$control),3),big.mark=",") SummaryTables$difference<-prettyNum(specify_decimal(as.numeric(SummaryTables$difference),3),big.mark=",") SummaryTables$pvalue<-as.numeric(SummaryTables$pvalue) SummaryTables[15 ,] <- c("(15) Number of Elections", prettyNum(length(unique(els_first$vrn[els_first$treatment==1])),,big.mark=","), prettyNum(length(unique(els_first$vrn[els_first$treatment==0])),,big.mark=","), "", "") SummaryTables$pvalue=NULL colnames(SummaryTables) <- c(" ","Treated Elections","Control Elections","Difference") S1<- capture.output(print.xtable(xtable(SummaryTables, digits=3, align="llccc",caption.placement='top',floating=TRUE,tocharFun=prettyNum),include.rownames =FALSE,hline.after=c(0,3,7,14,15))) sink(file="PreTreatmentTable.tex") cat(S1) sink() #### TABLE A3 elections_summary<-els[,list(numbercands, numberelected, cands_per_seat, perc_elected_partial, perc_elected_full, cands_perc_directors, cands_perc_entre, female, age, income_log, population_log,territory_log,lngdp,log_pop,resource_grppct,reg_urbanshare,log_mincome,reg_sharepensm,reg_pressfreedom,reg_dem_media,fn_budget_log,log_justice,audits_allpeople,ENFORCE)] electionstable<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(elections_summary,covariate.labels=c( "No. Candidates", "No. Seats", "Candidates per Seat", "Part-Time Incumbents (\\%)", "Full-Time Incumbents (\\%)", "Firm Directors (\\%)", "Entrepreneurs (\\%)", "Female (\\%)", "Mean Age", "Revenue (log)","Population (log)","Territory (log)","Regional GDP (log)","Regional Population (log)","GDP from Natural Resources (\\%)","Urbanization (\\%)","Average Income (log)","Share of Pensioners (\\%)","GDF Press Freedom","TP Press Freedom","Regional Tax Agency Budget (log)","Law Enforcement Personnel (log)","Audit Risk","Enforcement Expenditures"),summary.stat=c("n","min","max","mean","median"),header=FALSE,digits=3,star.cutoffs = NA)) electionstable[19]<-paste("\\hline ",electionstable[19],sep="") electionstable[22]<-paste("\\hline ",electionstable[22],sep="") electionstable <-gsub("0.00000", "0", electionstable, fixed =TRUE) sink(file="ElectionsStats.tex") cat(electionstable) sink() ### FIGURE C1 els_first$treatment<-as.character(els_first$treatment) els_first_r<-subset(els_first, is.na(territory_log)==FALSE & is.na(income_log)==FALSE & is.na(population_log)==FALSE) est_r<-felm(cands_per_seat~numberelected_log+territory_log+income_log+population_log+electionyear|factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid,data=els_first_r) els_first_r$residuals_per_seat<-est_r$residuals diff<-felm(residuals_per_seat~treatment, data=els_first_r) coef<-specify_decimal(diff$coefficients[2],3) p<-specify_decimal(diff$pval[2],2) plot_per_seat<-ggplot(els_first_r,aes(x = residuals_per_seat,fill=treatment)) + geom_density(alpha=0.25)+scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Set1",name="",breaks=c("0", "1"),labels=c("Control ", "Treatment "))+xlab(paste0("\nResiduals\n\nDiff: ",coef,' p: ',p,"\n",sep=""))+ylab("Density\n")+ theme( plot.title=element_text(size=14,hjust = 0.65), axis.text=element_text(size=12),axis.title=element_text(size=12), legend.text=element_text(size=12))+ggtitle("(a) Candidates Per Seat") est_r<-felm(perc_elected_partial~numberelected_log+territory_log+income_log+population_log+electionyear+cands_per_seat+electionyear| factor(electionyear)+factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid,data=els_first_r) els_first_r$residuals_partial<-est_r$residuals diff<-felm(residuals_partial~treatment, data=els_first_r) coef<-specify_decimal(diff$coefficients[2],3) p<-specify_decimal(diff$pval[2],2) plot_partial<-ggplot(els_first_r,aes(x = residuals_partial,fill=treatment)) + geom_density(alpha=0.25)+scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Set1",name="",breaks=c("0", "1"),labels=c("Control ", "Treatment "))+xlab(paste0("\nResiduals\n\nDiff: ",coef,' p: ',p,"\n",sep=""))+ylab("Density\n")+ theme( plot.title=element_text(size=14,hjust = 0.65), axis.text=element_text(size=12),axis.title=element_text(size=12), legend.text=element_text(size=12))+ggtitle("(b) Part-Time Incumbents (%)") est_r<-felm(perc_elected_full~numberelected_log+territory_log+income_log+population_log+electionyear| factor(electionyear)+factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid,data=els_first_r) els_first_r$residuals_full<-est_r$residuals diff<-felm(residuals_full~treatment, data=els_first_r) coef<-specify_decimal(diff$coefficients[2],3) p<-specify_decimal(diff$pval[2],2) plot_full<-ggplot(els_first_r,aes(x = residuals_full,fill=treatment)) + geom_density(alpha=0.25)+scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Set1",name="",breaks=c("0", "1"),labels=c("Control ", "Treatment "))+xlab(paste0("\nResiduals\n\nDiff: ",coef,' p: ',p,"\n",sep=""))+ylab("Density\n")+ theme( plot.title=element_text(size=14,hjust = 0.65), axis.text=element_text(size=12),axis.title=element_text(size=12), legend.text=element_text(size=12))+ggtitle("(c) Full-Time Incumbents (%)")+xlim(-.025,.025) est_r<-felm(cands_perc_bus~numberelected_log+territory_log+income_log+population_log+electionyear| factor(electionyear)+factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid,data=els_first_r) els_first_r$residuals_bus<-est_r$residuals diff<-felm(residuals_bus~treatment, data=els_first_r) coef<-specify_decimal(diff$coefficients[2],3) p<-specify_decimal(diff$pval[2],2) plot_bus<-ggplot(els_first_r,aes(x = residuals_bus,fill=treatment)) + geom_density(alpha=0.25)+scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Set1",name="",breaks=c("0", "1"),labels=c("Control ", "Treatment "))+xlab(paste0("\nResiduals\n\nDiff: ",coef,' p: ',p,"\n",sep=""))+ylab("Density\n")+ theme( plot.title=element_text(size=14,hjust = 0.65), axis.text=element_text(size=12),axis.title=element_text(size=12), legend.text=element_text(size=12))+ggtitle("(d) Businesspeople (%)") est_r<-felm(cands_perc_directors~numberelected_log+territory_log+income_log+population_log+electionyear| factor(electionyear)+factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid,data=els_first_r) els_first_r$residuals_directors<-est_r$residuals diff<-felm(residuals_directors~treatment, data=els_first_r) coef<-specify_decimal(diff$coefficients[2],3) p<-specify_decimal(diff$pval[2],2) plot_directors<-ggplot(els_first_r,aes(x = residuals_directors,fill=treatment)) + geom_density(alpha=0.25)+scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Set1",name="",breaks=c("0", "1"),labels=c("Control ", "Treatment "))+xlab(paste0("\nResiduals\n\nDiff: ",coef,' p: ',p,"\n",sep=""))+ylab("Density\n")+ theme( plot.title=element_text(size=14,hjust = 0.65), axis.text=element_text(size=12),axis.title=element_text(size=12), legend.text=element_text(size=12))+ggtitle("(e) Firm Directors (%)") est_r<-felm(cands_perc_entre~numberelected_log+territory_log+income_log+population_log+electionyear| factor(electionyear)+factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid,data=els_first_r) els_first_r$residuals_entre<-est_r$residuals diff<-felm(residuals_entre~treatment, data=els_first_r) coef<-specify_decimal(diff$coefficients[2],3) coef<-ifelse(coef=="0",'0.001',coef) p<-specify_decimal(diff$pval[2],2) plot_entre<-ggplot(els_first_r,aes(x = residuals_entre,fill=treatment)) + geom_density(alpha=0.25)+scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Set1",name="",breaks=c("0", "1"),labels=c("Control ", "Treatment "))+xlab(paste0("\nResiduals\n\nDiff: ",coef,' p: ',p,"\n",sep=""))+ylab("Density\n")+ theme( plot.title=element_text(size=14,hjust = 0.65), axis.text=element_text(size=12),axis.title=element_text(size=12), legend.text=element_text(size=12))+ggtitle("(f) Entrepreneurs (%)") pdf(file = "ResidualsHistograms.pdf", height = 12, width = 12) multiplot(plot_per_seat,plot_full,plot_directors,plot_partial,plot_bus,plot_entre,cols=2) dev.off() ### TABLE D1 cands_e<-subset(cands, elected_izbirkom==1) ### Only take candidates that are in the first sequence and get their treatment status els_first_t<-els_first[,list(vrn,treatment,unit_type,population_log,territory_log,income_log)] cands_e<-merge(cands_e, els_first_t,by=c("vrn")) ### Create indicator for whether candidate ran again g_ran_again<-cands[cands$vrn %in% els_second$vrn] g_ran_again<-g_ran_again[,list(fullname, birthyear,oktmo,elected_izbirkom,nextparty=party)] g_ran_again$reran<-1 setnames(g_ran_again,"elected_izbirkom","elected_izbirkom_again") cands_e<-merge(cands_e, g_ran_again,by=c("fullname","oktmo","birthyear"),all.x=TRUE,all.y=FALSE) cands_e$reran[is.na(cands_e$reran)==TRUE]=0 ### Demographics cands_e$log_age<-log(cands_e$age) cands_e$numberelected_log<-log(cands_e$numberelected) cands_e$numbercands_log<-log(cands_e$numbercands) cands_e$systemic_opposition<-ifelse(cands_e$party=="kprf" | cands_e$party=="ldpr" | cands_e$party=="sr" | cands_e$party=="rod",1,0) cands_e$other_opposition<-ifelse(cands_e$party=="patriots" | cands_e$party=="oth" | cands_e$party=="yab" ,1,0) cands_e$ur<-ifelse(cands_e$party=="ur" ,1,0) cands_e$nextparty_ur<-ifelse(cands_e$nextparty=="ur" ,1,0) #### MODELS est1<-felm(reran~treatment | factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) + factor(electionyear)|0 | regionid,data=cands_e) est2<-felm(reran~treatment + female + log_age + businessperson + onlyincumbent + partial_deputy +ur + systemic_opposition + other_opposition| factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) + factor(electionyear)|0 | regionid,data=cands_e) est3<-felm(reran~treatment + female + log_age + businessperson + onlyincumbent + partial_deputy +ur + systemic_opposition + other_opposition+numberelected_log + numbercands_log + population_log + territory_log + income_log| factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) + factor(electionyear)|0 | regionid,data=cands_e) est4<-felm(elected_izbirkom_again~treatment | factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) + factor(electionyear)|0 | regionid,data=subset(cands_e,reran==1)) est5<-felm(elected_izbirkom_again~treatment + female + log_age + businessperson + onlyincumbent + partial_deputy +ur + systemic_opposition + other_opposition| factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) + factor(electionyear)|0 | regionid,data=subset(cands_e,reran==1)) est6<-felm(elected_izbirkom_again~treatment + female + log_age + businessperson + onlyincumbent + partial_deputy +ur + systemic_opposition + other_opposition+numberelected_log + numbercands_log + population_log + territory_log + income_log| factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) + factor(electionyear)|0 | regionid,data=subset(cands_e,reran==1)) t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est1,est2,est3,est4,est5,est6, omit="electionyear",keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",covariate.labels=c("Treatment Group","Female","Age (log)","Businessperson","Full-time Incumbent (previous term)","Part-time Incumbent (previous term)","Ruling Party","Systemic Opposition","Other Opposition","Council Size","No. Cands (first election)","Population (log)","Territory (log)","Revenue (log)"),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="-10pt", align=TRUE, dep.var.labels.include=TRUE, dep.var.labels=c("Incumbent Re-ran in Second Election","Incumbent Won in Second Election"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(UnitType,Region),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs=NA)) ### Layout Region <- list(c("Region, Year Fixed Effects","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) UnitType <- list(c("Unit Type Fixed Effects","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) originallayout="D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}" newlayout=" D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}| D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}| D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}" t_ro[9]<-paste(t_ro[9],"\\cmidrule(l{15pt}r{15pt}){2-4}\\cmidrule(l{15pt}r{15pt}){5-7}\\\\",sep="") t_ro[11]<-"\\hline \\bigstrut " t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{7}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) sink(file="Appendix_Reran_andWon.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() ##### TABLE D2 est1<-felm(reran~treatment | factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) + factor(electionyear)|0 | regionid,data=subset(cands_e, ur==1)) est2<-felm(reran~treatment + female + log_age + businessperson + onlyincumbent + partial_deputy| factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) + factor(electionyear)|0 | regionid,data=subset(cands_e, ur==1)) est3<-felm(reran~treatment + female + log_age + businessperson + onlyincumbent + partial_deputy+numberelected_log + numbercands_log + population_log + territory_log + income_log| factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) + factor(electionyear)|0 | regionid,data=subset(cands_e, ur==1)) est4<-felm(elected_izbirkom_again~treatment | factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) + factor(electionyear)|0 | regionid,data=subset(cands_e, ur==1 & reran==1)) est5<-felm(elected_izbirkom_again~treatment + female + log_age + businessperson + onlyincumbent + partial_deputy| factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) + factor(electionyear)|0 | regionid,data=subset(cands_e, ur==1 & reran==1)) est6<-felm(elected_izbirkom_again~treatment + female + log_age + businessperson + onlyincumbent + partial_deputy+numberelected_log + numbercands_log + population_log + territory_log + income_log| factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) + factor(electionyear)|0 | regionid,data=subset(cands_e, ur==1 & reran==1)) t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est1,est2,est3,est4,est5,est6, omit="electionyear",keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",covariate.labels=c("Treatment Group","Female","Age (log)","Businessperson","Full-time Incumbent (previous term)","Part-time Incumbent (previous term)","Council Size","No. Cands (first election)","Population (log)","Territory (log)","Revenue (log)"),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="-10pt", align=TRUE, dep.var.labels.include=TRUE, dep.var.labels=c("Incumbent Re-ran in Second Election","Incumbent Won in Second Election"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(UnitType,Region),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs=NA)) ### Layout Region <- list(c("Region, Year Fixed Effects","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) UnitType <- list(c("Unit Type Fixed Effects","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) originallayout="D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}" newlayout=" D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}| D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}| D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}" t_ro[9]<-paste(t_ro[9],"\\cmidrule(l{15pt}r{15pt}){2-4}\\cmidrule(l{15pt}r{15pt}){5-7}\\\\",sep="") t_ro[11]<-"\\hline \\bigstrut " t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{7}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) sink(file="Appendix_Reran_onlyUR.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() ##### TABLE D3 est1<-felm(nextparty_ur~treatment | factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) + factor(electionyear)|0 | regionid,data=subset(cands_e, ur==1 & reran==1)) est2<-felm(nextparty_ur~treatment + female + log_age + businessperson + onlyincumbent + partial_deputy| factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) + factor(electionyear)|0 | regionid,data=subset(cands_e, ur==1& reran==1)) est3<-felm(nextparty_ur~treatment + female + log_age + businessperson + onlyincumbent + partial_deputy+numberelected_log + numbercands_log + population_log + territory_log + income_log| factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) + factor(electionyear)|0 | regionid,data=subset(cands_e, ur==1& reran==1)) t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est1,est2,est3,omit="electionyear",keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",covariate.labels=c("Treatment Group","Female","Age (log)","Businessperson","Full-time Incumbent (previous term)","Part-time Incumbent (previous term)","Council Size","No. Cands (first election)","Population (log)","Territory (log)","Revenue (log)"),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="-10pt", align=TRUE, dep.var.labels.include=TRUE, dep.var.labels=c("UR Incumbent Re-Ran with UR"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(UnitType,Region),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs=NA)) t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{4}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) sink(file="Appendix_Reran_PartySwitching.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() ###### TABLE D4 est1<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type)|0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est2<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est3<-felm(perc_elected_partial~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est4<-felm(perc_elected_full~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) |0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est5<-felm(perc_elected_full~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est6<-felm(perc_elected_full~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est7<-felm(cands_per_seat~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) |0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est8<-felm(cands_per_seat~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est9<-felm(cands_per_seat~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est1,est2,est3,est4,est5,est6,est7,est8,est9, omit="electionyear",keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",covariate.labels=c("Treatment Group * Second Period Election","Treatment Group","Second Period Election","No. Seats (log)","Mun. Population (log)","Mun. Territory (log)","Mun. Revenue (log)"),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="-18pt", align=TRUE, dep.var.labels.include=TRUE, dep.var.labels=c("Part-Time Incumbents (\\%)","Full-Time Incumbents (\\%)","Candidates per Seat"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(Region,MuniType,LinearTrend),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs=NA)) ### Layout Region <- list(c("Unit Type, Region Fixed Effects","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}")) UnitType <- list(c("Unit Type Fixed Effects","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}")) MuniType <- list(c("Municipality Fixed Effects","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) LinearTrend <- list(c("Linear Time Trend","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) originallayout="D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}" newlayout="D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}| D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}| D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}" t_ro[11]<-"\\hline \\bigstrut " t_ro <-gsub(originallayout, newlayout, t_ro, fixed =TRUE) t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{10}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) sink(file="Main_AvgCands_MuniCluster.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() ##### TABLE D5 est1<-felm(cands_perc_bus~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) |0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est2<-felm(cands_perc_bus~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est3<-felm(cands_perc_bus~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est4<-felm(cands_perc_directors~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) |0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est5<-felm(cands_perc_directors~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est6<-felm(cands_perc_directors~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo)|0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est7<-felm(cands_perc_entre~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) |0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est8<-felm(cands_perc_entre~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est9<-felm(cands_perc_entre~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | oktmo+ electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est7,est8,est9,est4,est5,est6,est1,est2,est3, omit="electionyear", keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",covariate.labels=c("Treatment Group * Second Period Election","Treatment Group","Second Period Election","No. Seats (log)","Mun. Population (log)","Mun. Territory (log)","Mun. Revenue (log)"),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="-18pt", align=TRUE, dep.var.labels.include=TRUE, dep.var.labels=c("All Businesspeople (\\%)","Firm Directors (\\%)","All Businesspeople (\\%)","Individual Entrepreneurs (\\%)"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(Region,MuniType,LinearTrend),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs=NA)) t_ro[11]<-"\\hline \\bigstrut " t_ro <-gsub(originallayout, newlayout, t_ro, fixed =TRUE) t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{10}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) sink(file="Main_Business_MuniCluster.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() ##### TABLE D6 est1<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+ electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, reg_pressfreedom == 2)) est2<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + treatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, reg_pressfreedom == 3)) est3<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + treatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, reg_pressfreedom == 4)) est4<-felm(perc_elected_full~interactedtreatment + treatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, reg_pressfreedom == 2)) est5<-felm(perc_elected_full~interactedtreatment + treatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, reg_pressfreedom == 3)) est6<-felm(perc_elected_full~interactedtreatment + treatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, reg_pressfreedom == 4)) est7<-felm(cands_perc_entre~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+population_log + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, reg_pressfreedom == 2)) est8<-felm(cands_perc_entre~interactedtreatment + treatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, reg_pressfreedom == 3)) est9<-felm(cands_perc_entre~interactedtreatment + treatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, reg_pressfreedom == 4)) est10<-felm(cands_perc_directors~interactedtreatment + treatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, reg_pressfreedom == 2)) est11<-felm(cands_perc_directors~interactedtreatment + treatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, reg_pressfreedom == 3)) est12<-felm(cands_perc_directors~interactedtreatment + treatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, reg_pressfreedom == 4)) t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est1,est2,est3,est4,est5,est6,est7,est8,est9,est10,est11,est12, keep=c("interactedtreatment","after","population_log"),keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",covariate.labels=c("Treatment Group * Second Period Election","Second Period Election","Mun. Population (log)"),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="-15pt", align=TRUE,dep.var.labels.include = FALSE, column.labels = c("Low","Medium","High","Low","Medium","High","Low","Medium","High","Low","Medium","High"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(Region,UnitType),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs=NA)) originallayout="D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}" newlayout="D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}| D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}|| D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}| D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}" Region <- list(c("Unit Type, Region Fixed Effects","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) UnitType <- list(c("Linear Time Trends","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) t_ro[11]<-"\\hline \\bigstrut " t_ro <-gsub(originallayout, newlayout, t_ro, fixed =TRUE) t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{7}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) t_ro[7]<-" \\textbf{Outcome:}& \\multicolumn{3}{c}{Part-Time Incumbents (\\%)} & \\multicolumn{3}{c}{Full-Time Incumbents (\\%)} & \\multicolumn{3}{c}{Independent Entrepreneurs (\\%)} & \\multicolumn{3}{c}{Firm Directors (\\%)} \\\\ \\cmidrule(l{15pt}r{15pt}){2-4}\\cmidrule(l{15pt}r{15pt}){5-7}\\cmidrule(l{15pt}r{15pt}){8-10}\\cmidrule(l{15pt}r{15pt}){11-13}\\\\" t_ro[9]<-paste("\\textbf{Level of Press Freedom:}",t_ro[9],sep="") sink(file="Terciles_PressFreedom.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() ###### TABLE D7 est1<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, fn_budget_log <= 13.64463)) est2<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, fn_budget_log > 13.64463 & fn_budget_log<13.95877)) est3<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, fn_budget_log>=13.95877)) est4<-felm(perc_elected_full~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, fn_budget_log <= 13.64463)) est5<-felm(perc_elected_full~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, fn_budget_log > 13.64463 & fn_budget_log<13.95877)) est6<-felm(perc_elected_full~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, fn_budget_log>=13.95877)) est7<-felm(cands_perc_entre~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, fn_budget_log <= 13.64463)) est8<-felm(cands_perc_entre~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, fn_budget_log > 13.64463 & fn_budget_log<13.95877)) est9<-felm(cands_perc_entre~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, fn_budget_log>=13.95877)) est10<-felm(cands_perc_directors~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, fn_budget_log <= 13.64463)) est11<-felm(cands_perc_directors~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, fn_budget_log > 13.64463 & fn_budget_log<13.95877)) est12<-felm(cands_perc_directors~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, fn_budget_log>=13.95877)) Region <- list(c("Unit Type, Region Fixed Effects","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) UnitType <- list(c("Linear Time Trends","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) originallayout="D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}" newlayout="D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}| D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}|| D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}| D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}" t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est1,est2,est3,est4,est5,est6,est7,est8,est9,est10,est11,est12, keep=c("interactedtreatment","after","population_log"),keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",covariate.labels=c("Treatment Group * Second Period Election","Second Period Election","Mun. Population (log)"),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="-15pt", align=TRUE,dep.var.labels.include = FALSE, column.labels = c("Low","Medium","High","Low","Medium","High","Low","Medium","High","Low","Medium","High"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(Region,UnitType),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs=NA)) t_ro[11]<-"\\hline \\bigstrut " t_ro <-gsub(originallayout, newlayout, t_ro, fixed =TRUE) t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{7}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) t_ro[7]<-" \\textbf{Outcome:}& \\multicolumn{3}{c}{Part-Time Incumbents (\\%)} & \\multicolumn{3}{c}{Full-Time Incumbents (\\%)} & \\multicolumn{3}{c}{Independent Entrepreneurs (\\%)} & \\multicolumn{3}{c}{Firm Directors (\\%)} \\\\ \\cmidrule(l{15pt}r{15pt}){2-4}\\cmidrule(l{15pt}r{15pt}){5-7}\\cmidrule(l{15pt}r{15pt}){8-10}\\cmidrule(l{15pt}r{15pt}){11-13}\\\\" t_ro[9]<-paste("\\textbf{Law Enforcement Capacity:}",t_ro[9],sep="") sink(file="Terciles_AuditRisk.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() ##### TABLE D8 est1<-felm(perc_elected_partial~treatment*after*kgiscore+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els,psdef=FALSE) est2<-lmer(perc_elected_partial~treatment*after*kgiscore+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm+factor(unit_type) + (1|regionid),data=els) est3<-felm(perc_elected_partial~treatment*after*audits_allpeople+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els,psdef=FALSE) est4<-lmer(perc_elected_partial~treatment*after*audits_allpeople+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm+factor(unit_type) + (1|regionid),data=els) est5<-felm(perc_elected_partial~treatment*after*ENFORCE+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els,psdef=FALSE) est6<-lmer(perc_elected_partial~treatment*after*ENFORCE+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm+factor(unit_type) + (1|regionid),data=els) est7<-felm(cands_perc_entre~treatment*after*kgiscore+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els,psdef=FALSE) est8<-lmer(cands_perc_entre~treatment*after*kgiscore+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm+factor(unit_type) + (1|regionid),data=els) est9<-felm(cands_perc_entre~treatment*after*audits_allpeople+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els,psdef=FALSE) est10<-lmer(cands_perc_entre~treatment*after*audits_allpeople+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm+factor(unit_type) + (1|regionid),data=els) est11<-felm(cands_perc_entre~treatment*after*ENFORCE+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els,psdef=FALSE) est12<-lmer(cands_perc_entre~treatment*after*ENFORCE+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm+factor(unit_type) + (1|regionid),data=els) Muni <- list(c("Regional Covariates","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) Region <- list(c("Municipality FE; Linear Time Trend","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}")) MLM <- list(c("Unit Type FE; Region RE","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est1,est2,est3,est4,est5,est6,est7,est8,est9,est10,est11,est12, keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",keep=c("treatment","after","treatment:after:kgiscore","treatment:after:fn_budget_log" ,"treatment:after:log_justice_salary"), covariate.labels=c("Treatment Group","Second Election"," Treatment Group * Second Election", "Treatment Group * KGI Score", "Second Election * KGI Score", "\\textbf{Treatment Group * Second Election * KGI Score}", "Treatment Group * Audit Risk", "Second Election * Audit Risk", "\\textbf{Treatment Group * Second Election * Audit Risk}", "Treatment Group * Enforcement Exp.", "Second Election *Enforcement Exp. (log)", "\\textbf{Treatment Group * Second Election * Enforcement Exp.}" ),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="-20pt", align=TRUE, dep.var.labels.include=TRUE, dep.var.labels=c("Part-Time Incumbents (\\%)","Independent Entrepreneurs (\\%)"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(Muni,Region,MLM),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs=NA)) t_ro[9]<-paste(t_ro[9],"\\cmidrule(l{15pt}r{15pt}){2-7}\\cmidrule(l{15pt}r{15pt}){8-13}\\\\",sep="") t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{13}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) t_ro <-gsub("(0.000)","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) sink(file="Heterogeneity_EnforcementRobustness.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() ##### TABLE D9 est1<-lmer(perc_elected_partial~treatment*after*reg_pressfreedom+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm+factor(unit_type) + (1|regionid),data=els) est2<-lmer(perc_elected_partial~treatment*after*reg_dem_media+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm+factor(unit_type) + (1|regionid),data=els) est3<-lmer(perc_elected_partial~treatment*after*fn_budget_log+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm+factor(unit_type) + (1|regionid),data=els) est4<-lmer(perc_elected_partial~treatment*after*log_justice+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm+factor(unit_type) + (1|regionid),data=els) est5<-lmer(cands_perc_entre~treatment*after*reg_pressfreedom+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm+factor(unit_type) + (1|regionid),data=els) est6<-lmer(cands_perc_entre~treatment*after*reg_dem_media+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm+factor(unit_type) + (1|regionid),data=els) est7<-lmer(cands_perc_entre~treatment*after*fn_budget_log+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm+factor(unit_type) + (1|regionid),data=els) est8<-lmer(cands_perc_entre~treatment*after*log_justice+electionyear+ lngdp + log_pop + resource_grppct + reg_urbanshare + log_mincome + reg_sharepensm+factor(unit_type) + (1|regionid),data=els) Muni <- list(c("Regional Covariates, Linear Time Trend","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) Region <- list(c("Unit Type FE; Region RE","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est1,est2,est3,est4,est5,est6,est7,est8, keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",keep=c("treatment","after","treatment:after:reg_pressfreedom","treatment:after:reg_dem_media" ,"treatment:after:fn_budget_log","treatment:after:log_justice"), covariate.labels=c("Treatment Group","Second Election","Treatment Group * Second Election","Treatment Group * GDF Press Freedom", "Second Election * GDF Press Freedom", "\\textbf{Treatment Group * Second Election * GDF Press Freedom}", "Treatment Group * TP Press Freedom", "Second Election * TP Press Freedom", "\\textbf{Treatment Group * Second Election * TP Press Freedom}", "Treatment Group * Regional Tax Agency Budget", "Second Election * Regional Tax Agency Budget", "\\textbf{Treatment Group * Second Election * Regional Tax Agency Budget}", "Treatment Group * Law Enforcement Personnel", "Second Election * Law Enforcement Personnel", "\\textbf{Treatment Group * Second Election * Law Enforcement Personnel}"),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="-20pt", align=TRUE, dep.var.labels.include=TRUE, dep.var.labels=c("Part-Time Incumbents (\\%)","Independent Entrepreneurs (\\%)"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(Muni,Region),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs=NA)) t_ro[9]<-paste(t_ro[9],"\\cmidrule(l{15pt}r{15pt}){2-5}\\cmidrule(l{15pt}r{15pt}){6-9}\\\\",sep="") t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{9}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) sink(file="MultilevelModels.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() ###### TABLE D10 els[,minlevelincumbency:=min(perc_elected_partial),by="oktmo"] est1<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els), psdef=FALSE) est2<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els,minlevelincumbency>0), psdef=FALSE) est3<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els,minlevelincumbency>0.1), psdef=FALSE) est4<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els,minlevelincumbency>0.2), psdef=FALSE) est5<-felm(perc_elected_full~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els), psdef=FALSE) est6<-felm(perc_elected_full~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els,minlevelincumbency>0), psdef=FALSE) est7<-felm(perc_elected_full~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els,minlevelincumbency>0.1), psdef=FALSE) est8<-felm(perc_elected_full~interactedtreatment + after + electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els,minlevelincumbency>0.2), psdef=FALSE) MuniType <- list(c("Municipality Fixed Effects","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) LinearTrend <- list(c("Linear Time Trend","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) MinIncumbency <- list(c("Minimum Incumbent Constraint","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{None}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{0\\%}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{10\\%}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{20\\%}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{None}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{0\\%}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{10\\%}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{20\\%}}")) t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est1,est2,est3,est4,est5,est6,est7,est8, omit="electionyear",keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",covariate.labels=c("Treatment Group * Second Period Election","Treatment Group","Second Period Election"),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="-5pt", align=TRUE, dep.var.labels.include=TRUE, dep.var.labels=c("Part-Time Incumbents (\\%)","Full-Time Incumbents (\\%)"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(MinIncumbency,MuniType,LinearTrend),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs = NA)) t_ro[11]<-"\\hline \\bigstrut " originallayout="D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}" newlayout="D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}| D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3} D{.}{.}{-3}" t_ro <-gsub(originallayout, newlayout, t_ro, fixed =TRUE) t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{9}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) sink(file="Appendix_IncumbencyMinimum.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() ###### TABLE D11 #### Do this because Stargazer isn't great at removing certain variables els[,treatment2:=treatment] MuniType <- list(c("Municipality Fixed Effects","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) LinearTrend <- list(c("Linear Time Trend","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) est1<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + after+electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els,psdef=FALSE) est2<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + after+electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, LowURSeats==0),psdef=FALSE) est3<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + after+electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, LowURSeats==1),psdef=FALSE) est4<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + after+electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, republic==1),psdef=FALSE) est5<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + after+electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, republic==0),psdef=FALSE) est6<-felm(perc_elected_partial~interactedtreatment + after+electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, FarCrimea == 1),psdef=FALSE) t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est1,est2,est3,est4,est5,est6, omit=c("electionyear","treatment2"), keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",covariate.labels=c("Treatment Group * Second Period Election","Second Period Election"),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="5pt", align=TRUE, dep.var.labels.include=TRUE,column.labels = c("Full Sample","Low UR Seats","High UR Seats","Ethnic Republic","Not Ethnic Republic","No 2017"), column.separate = c(1,1,1,1,1), dep.var.labels=c("Part-Time Incumbents (\\%)"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(MuniType,LinearTrend),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs=NA)) t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{6}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) sink(file="Party_Partial.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() ####### TABLE D12 est1<-felm(cands_perc_entre~interactedtreatment + after+electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els,psdef=FALSE) est2<-felm(cands_perc_entre~interactedtreatment + after+electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, LowURSeats==0),psdef=FALSE) est3<-felm(cands_perc_entre~interactedtreatment + after+electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, LowURSeats==1),psdef=FALSE) est4<-felm(cands_perc_entre~interactedtreatment + after+electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, republic==1),psdef=FALSE) est5<-felm(cands_perc_entre~interactedtreatment + after+electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, republic==0),psdef=FALSE) est6<-felm(cands_perc_entre~interactedtreatment + after+electionyear | factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=subset(els, FarCrimea == 1),psdef=FALSE) t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est1,est2,est3,est4,est5,est6, omit=c("electionyear","treatment2"), keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",covariate.labels=c("Treatment Group * Second Period Election","Second Period Election"),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="5pt", align=TRUE, dep.var.labels.include=TRUE,column.labels = c("Full Sample","Low UR Seats","High UR Seats","Ethnic Republic","Not Ethnic Republic","No 2017"), column.separate = c(1,1,1,1,1), dep.var.labels=c("Individual Entrepreneurs (\\%)"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(MuniType,LinearTrend),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs=NA)) t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{6}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) sink(file="Party_Entrepreneur.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() ####### TABLE E1 est1<-felm(partialname_per_seat~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est2<-felm(partialname_per_seat~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est3<-felm(partialname_per_seat~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est4<-felm(business_per_seat~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est5<-felm(business_per_seat~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est6<-felm(business_per_seat~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est7<-felm(urwins_per_seat~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est8<-felm(urwins_per_seat~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est9<-felm(urwins_per_seat~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est10<-felm(incumbent_success_rate~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est11<-felm(incumbent_success_rate~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est12<-felm(incumbent_success_rate~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est1,est2,est3,est4,est5,est6,est7,est8,est9,est10,est11,est12, omit="electionyear", keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",covariate.labels=c("Treatment Group * Second Period Election","Treatment Group","Second Period Election","No. Seats (log)","Mun. Population (log)","Mun. Territory (log)","Mun. Revenue (log)"),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="-18pt", align=TRUE, dep.var.labels.include=TRUE, dep.var.labels=c("Part-time Inc. Winners (\\%)","Bus. Winners (\\%)","UR Winners (\\%)","Inc. Success (\\%)"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(UnitType,Region,MuniType,LinearTrend),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs=NA)) t_ro[11]<-"\\hline \\bigstrut " t_ro <-gsub(originallayout, newlayout, t_ro, fixed =TRUE) t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{13}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) sink(file="Main_Winners.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() ####### TABLE E2 est1<-felm(age~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est2<-felm(age~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est3<-felm(age~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est4<-felm(female~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log + electionyear|factor(regionid)+ factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est5<-felm(female~interactedtreatment + treatment + after+numberelected_log+population_log+territory_log+income_log + electionyear| factor(regionid)+factor(unit_type) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) est6<-felm(female~after + interactedtreatment + electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid + electionyear,data=els, psdef=FALSE) t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est1,est2,est3,est4,est5,est6, omit="electionyear", keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",covariate.labels=c("Treatment Group * Second Period Election","Treatment Group","Second Period Election","No. Seats (log)","Mun. Population (log)","Mun. Territory (log)","Mun. Revenue (log)"),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="-18pt", align=TRUE, dep.var.labels.include=TRUE, dep.var.labels=c("Mean Age","Female (\\%)","Education Level"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(UnitType,Region,MuniType,LinearTrend),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs=NA)) t_ro[11]<-"\\hline \\bigstrut " t_ro <-gsub(originallayout, newlayout, t_ro, fixed =TRUE) t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{7}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) sink(file="Main_Demo.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() ###### TABLE E3 est1<-felm(cands_perc_official~after + interactedtreatment+electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid,data=els) est2<-felm(cands_perc_doctor~after + interactedtreatment+electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid,data=els) est3<-felm(cands_perc_teacher~after + interactedtreatment+electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid,data=els) est4<-felm(cands_perc_force~after + interactedtreatment+electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid,data=els) est5<-felm(cands_perc_accountant~after + interactedtreatment+electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid,data=els) est6<-felm(cands_perc_ngo~after + interactedtreatment+electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid,data=els) est7<-felm(cands_perc_lowerclass~after + interactedtreatment+electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid,data=els) est8<-felm(cands_perc_notwork~after + interactedtreatment+electionyear| factor(oktmo) |0 | regionid,data=els) Region <- list(c("Region Fixed Effects","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}")) UnitType <- list(c("Unit Type Fixed Effects","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{No}}")) MuniType <- list(c("Municipality Fixed Effects","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}","\\multicolumn{1}{c}{\\text{Yes}}")) t_ro<-mod_stargazer(stargazer(est1,est2,est3,est4,est5,est6,est7,est8,omit="electionyear",keep.stat=c("n","rsq"),dep.var.caption="",covariate.labels=c("Treatment Group * Second Period Election","Second Period Election"),order=c("interactedtreatment","after"),ci=FALSE, ci.level=0.95, digits=3, column.sep.width="-5pt", align=TRUE, dep.var.labels.include=TRUE, dep.var.labels=c( "Government (\\%)", "Health Care (\\%)", "Education (\\%)", "Law Enforcement (\\%)", "Professional (\\%)", "Civil Society (\\%)", "Blue Collar (\\%)", "Unemployed (\\%)"),font.size="small",model.names=FALSE,header=FALSE,add.lines=c(UnitType,Region,MuniType,LinearTrend),out.header=FALSE,notes.append=FALSE, notes.label="",notes=c(""),star.cutoffs = NA)) t_ro <-gsub("\\multicolumn{9}{r}{} \\\\ ","", t_ro, fixed =TRUE) sink(file="ProfessionsDiD.tex") cat(t_ro) sink() my_log <- file("my_log.txt") sink(my_log, append = TRUE, type = "output") sink(my_log, append=TRUE, type="message") con <- file("test.log") sink(con, append=TRUE)