********************************************************************** *** FIGURE A13 *** Role of Local Characteristics in the Effect of Trump Rallies on the *** Probability of a Black Stop: Event-study Results ********************************************************************** use "Data\stoplevel_data.dta", clear g n_stops = 1 replace black = black/100 collapse (sum) n_stops black (first) dist_event* racial_resent_a racial_resent_b alt_cottonsui ihsbl_lynch ihsbl_exec any_slaves_1860, by(county_fips day_id) g black_ps = 100*black / n_stops summ racial_resent_a [aweight=n_stops] g racial_resent_asd = ( racial_resent_a - r(mean))/r(sd) summ racial_resent_b [aweight=n_stops] g racial_resent_bsd = ( racial_resent_b - r(mean))/r(sd) summ alt_cottonsui [aweight=n_stops] g alt_cottonsuisd = ( alt_cottonsui - r(mean))/r(sd) su ihsbl_lynch [aweight=n_stops] g ihsbl_lynchsd = ( ihsbl_lynch - r(mean))/r(sd) su ihsbl_exec [aweight=n_stops] g ihsbl_execsd = ( ihsbl_exec - r(mean))/r(sd) local start = -105 local end = 105 local bin_l = 15 local var_het = "racial_resent_a" g TRUMP_0 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_0 = 1 if dist_event`ii' == 0 } g INT_TRUMP_0 = TRUMP_0 * `var_het' forval ii = 1(`bin_l')`end'{ local jj = `ii' + `bin_l' - 1 g TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 0 forval ee = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' >= `ii' & dist_event`ee'<=`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.) } g INT_TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' * `var_het' } g TRUMP_POST_M`end' = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_M`end' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > `end' & dist_event`ii'!=.) } * forval ii = `start'(`bin_l')0 { if `ii' < -`bin_l' { local jj = abs(`ii') local zz = `jj' - `bin_l' + 1 g TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 0 forval ee = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' <= -`zz' & dist_event`ee'>=-`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.) } g INT_TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' * `var_het' } } * local jj = abs(`start') g TRUMP_PRE_M`jj' = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_M`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' < `start' & dist_event`ii'!=.) } * g TRUMP_POST_M15 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_M15 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' >15 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } g TRUMP_PRE_M15 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_M15 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' <-15 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } g TRUMP_POST_1_30 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_1_30 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > 0 & dist_event`ii'<=30 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } reghdfe black_ps 1.TRUMP_PRE_M15 1.TRUMP_0 1.TRUMP_POST_1_30 TRUMP_POST_M15 INT_* c.day_id#c.`var_het' [w=n_stops], a(i.county_fips i.day_id) cluster(county_fips day_id) local temp = 1/`bin_l' local bin_neg = abs(`start' * `temp') local bin_pos = `end' * `temp' local range = round(`bin_neg' + `bin_pos' + 3) mat treat = J(`range',4,1) local Nrange = `range' - 2 forval pos = 1/`Nrange' { local lag = `start' + `bin_l'*`pos' - `bin_l' if `lag' > 0 { local lag = `start' + `bin_l'*`pos' - `bin_l' - `bin_l' + 1 } local num = abs(`lag') if `lag' == 0 { mat treat[`pos',1] = 0 mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] + _se[INT_TRUMP_0]*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] - _se[INT_TRUMP_0]*invttail(e(N),0.05) } else if `lag' < -`bin_l' { local num2 = `num' - `bin_l' + 1 local num1 = - `num' mat treat[`pos',1] = `num1' mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] + _se[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] - _se[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) } else if `lag' == -`bin_l' { mat treat[`pos',1] = -`bin_l' mat treat[`pos',2] = 0 mat treat[`pos',3] = 0 mat treat[`pos',4] = 0 } else { di "**" di `lag' di `pos' local num2 = `num' + `bin_l' - 1 mat treat[`pos',1] = `num2' mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] + _se[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] - _se[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) } } local jj = abs(`start') mat treat[`range'-1,1] = `start' - `bin_l' - 1 mat treat[`range'-1,2] = 0 mat treat[`range'-1,3] = 0 mat treat[`range'-1,4] = 0 mat treat[`range',1] = `end' + `bin_l' + 1 mat treat[`range',2] = 0 mat treat[`range',3] = 0 mat treat[`range',4] = 0 g yy = treat[_n,1] in 1/`range' g eff = treat[_n,2] in 1/`range' g eff_10 = treat[_n,3] in 1/`range' g eff_90 = treat[_n,4] in 1/`range' sort yy twoway (rcap eff_10 eff_90 yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1) (scatter eff yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1)(line eff yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1, xline(0,lp(-)) yline(0,lp(-))) , xlabel(-105(15)105) graphregion(fcolor(white)) title("Racial Resentment A") xtitle("Days From Trump") ytitle("Differential Trump Effect on Black Stops by") legend(order(1 "90% CI" 2 "Effect")) graph export "Results\FigureA13A.pdf", as(pdf) name("Graph") replace ****************************************************************************************************************************************************************** use "Data\stoplevel_data.dta", clear g n_stops = 1 replace black = black/100 collapse (sum) n_stops black (first) dist_event* racial_resent_a racial_resent_b alt_cottonsui ihsbl_lynch ihsbl_exec, by(county_fips day_id) g black_ps = 100*black / n_stops summ racial_resent_a [aweight=n_stops] g racial_resent_asd = ( racial_resent_a - r(mean))/r(sd) summ racial_resent_b [aweight=n_stops] g racial_resent_bsd = ( racial_resent_b - r(mean))/r(sd) summ alt_cottonsui [aweight=n_stops] g alt_cottonsuisd = ( alt_cottonsui - r(mean))/r(sd) su ihsbl_lynch [aweight=n_stops] g ihsbl_lynchsd = ( ihsbl_lynch - r(mean))/r(sd) su ihsbl_exec [aweight=n_stops] g ihsbl_execsd = ( ihsbl_exec - r(mean))/r(sd) local start = -105 local end = 105 local bin_l = 15 local var_het = "racial_resent_b" g TRUMP_0 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_0 = 1 if dist_event`ii' == 0 } g INT_TRUMP_0 = TRUMP_0 * `var_het' * forval ii = 1(`bin_l')`end'{ local jj = `ii' + `bin_l' - 1 g TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 0 forval ee = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' >= `ii' & dist_event`ee'<=`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.) } g INT_TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' * `var_het' } g TRUMP_POST_M`end' = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_M`end' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > `end' & dist_event`ii'!=.) } * forval ii = `start'(`bin_l')0 { if `ii' < -`bin_l' { local jj = abs(`ii') local zz = `jj' - `bin_l' + 1 g TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 0 forval ee = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' <= -`zz' & dist_event`ee'>=-`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.) } g INT_TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' * `var_het' } } * local jj = abs(`start') g TRUMP_PRE_M`jj' = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_M`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' < `start' & dist_event`ii'!=.) } * g TRUMP_POST_M15 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_M15 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' >15 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } g TRUMP_PRE_M15 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_M15 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' <-15 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } g TRUMP_POST_1_30 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_1_30 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > 0 & dist_event`ii'<=30 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } reghdfe black_ps 1.TRUMP_PRE_M15 1.TRUMP_0 1.TRUMP_POST_1_30 TRUMP_POST_M15 INT_* c.day_id#c.`var_het' [w=n_stops], a(i.county_fips i.day_id) cluster(county_fips day_id) local temp = 1/`bin_l' local bin_neg = abs(`start' * `temp') local bin_pos = `end' * `temp' local range = round(`bin_neg' + `bin_pos' + 3) mat treat = J(`range',4,1) local Nrange = `range' - 2 forval pos = 1/`Nrange' { local lag = `start' + `bin_l'*`pos' - `bin_l' if `lag' > 0 { local lag = `start' + `bin_l'*`pos' - `bin_l' - `bin_l' + 1 } local num = abs(`lag') if `lag' == 0 { mat treat[`pos',1] = 0 mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] + _se[INT_TRUMP_0]*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] - _se[INT_TRUMP_0]*invttail(e(N),0.05) } else if `lag' < -`bin_l' { local num2 = `num' - `bin_l' + 1 local num1 = - `num' mat treat[`pos',1] = `num1' mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] + _se[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] - _se[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) } else if `lag' == -`bin_l' { mat treat[`pos',1] = -`bin_l' mat treat[`pos',2] = 0 mat treat[`pos',3] = 0 mat treat[`pos',4] = 0 } else { di "**" di `lag' di `pos' local num2 = `num' + `bin_l' - 1 mat treat[`pos',1] = `num2' mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] + _se[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] - _se[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) } } local jj = abs(`start') mat treat[`range'-1,1] = `start' - `bin_l' - 1 mat treat[`range'-1,2] = 0 mat treat[`range'-1,3] = 0 mat treat[`range'-1,4] = 0 mat treat[`range',1] = `end' + `bin_l' + 1 mat treat[`range',2] = 0 mat treat[`range',3] = 0 mat treat[`range',4] = 0 g yy = treat[_n,1] in 1/`range' g eff = treat[_n,2] in 1/`range' g eff_10 = treat[_n,3] in 1/`range' g eff_90 = treat[_n,4] in 1/`range' sort yy twoway (rcap eff_10 eff_90 yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1) (scatter eff yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1)(line eff yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1, xline(0,lp(-)) yline(0,lp(-))) , xlabel(-105(15)105) graphregion(fcolor(white)) title("Racial Resentment B") xtitle("Days From Trump") ytitle("Differential Trump Effect on Black Stops by") legend(order(1 "90% CI" 2 "Effect")) graph export "Results\FigureA13B.pdf", as(pdf) name("Graph") replace ****************************************************************************************************************************************************************** use "Data\stoplevel_data.dta", clear g n_stops = 1 replace black = black/100 collapse (sum) n_stops black (first) dist_event* racial_resent_a racial_resent_b alt_cottonsui ihsbl_lynch ihsbl_exec any_slaves_1860, by(county_fips day_id) g black_ps = 100*black / n_stops summ racial_resent_a [aweight=n_stops] g racial_resent_asd = ( racial_resent_a - r(mean))/r(sd) summ racial_resent_b [aweight=n_stops] g racial_resent_bsd = ( racial_resent_b - r(mean))/r(sd) summ alt_cottonsui [aweight=n_stops] g alt_cottonsuisd = ( alt_cottonsui - r(mean))/r(sd) su ihsbl_lynch [aweight=n_stops] g ihsbl_lynchsd = ( ihsbl_lynch - r(mean))/r(sd) su ihsbl_exec [aweight=n_stops] g ihsbl_execsd = ( ihsbl_exec - r(mean))/r(sd) local start = -105 local end = 105 local bin_l = 15 local var_het = "any_slaves_1860" g TRUMP_0 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_0 = 1 if dist_event`ii' == 0 } g INT_TRUMP_0 = TRUMP_0 * `var_het' * forval ii = 1(`bin_l')`end'{ local jj = `ii' + `bin_l' - 1 g TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 0 forval ee = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' >= `ii' & dist_event`ee'<=`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.) } g INT_TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' * `var_het' } g TRUMP_POST_M`end' = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_M`end' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > `end' & dist_event`ii'!=.) } * forval ii = `start'(`bin_l')0 { if `ii' < -`bin_l' { local jj = abs(`ii') local zz = `jj' - `bin_l' + 1 g TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 0 forval ee = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' <= -`zz' & dist_event`ee'>=-`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.) } g INT_TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' * `var_het' } } * local jj = abs(`start') g TRUMP_PRE_M`jj' = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_M`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' < `start' & dist_event`ii'!=.) } * g TRUMP_POST_M15 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_M15 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' >15 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } g TRUMP_PRE_M15 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_M15 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' <-15 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } g TRUMP_POST_1_30 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_1_30 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > 0 & dist_event`ii'<=30 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } reghdfe black_ps 1.TRUMP_PRE_M15 1.TRUMP_0 1.TRUMP_POST_1_30 TRUMP_POST_M15 INT_* c.day_id#c.`var_het' [w=n_stops], a(i.county_fips i.day_id) cluster(county_fips day_id) local temp = 1/`bin_l' local bin_neg = abs(`start' * `temp') local bin_pos = `end' * `temp' local range = round(`bin_neg' + `bin_pos' + 3) mat treat = J(`range',4,1) local Nrange = `range' - 2 forval pos = 1/`Nrange' { local lag = `start' + `bin_l'*`pos' - `bin_l' if `lag' > 0 { local lag = `start' + `bin_l'*`pos' - `bin_l' - `bin_l' + 1 } local num = abs(`lag') if `lag' == 0 { mat treat[`pos',1] = 0 mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] + _se[INT_TRUMP_0]*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] - _se[INT_TRUMP_0]*invttail(e(N),0.05) } else if `lag' < -`bin_l' { local num2 = `num' - `bin_l' + 1 local num1 = - `num' mat treat[`pos',1] = `num1' mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] + _se[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] - _se[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) } else if `lag' == -`bin_l' { mat treat[`pos',1] = -`bin_l' mat treat[`pos',2] = 0 mat treat[`pos',3] = 0 mat treat[`pos',4] = 0 } else { di "**" di `lag' di `pos' local num2 = `num' + `bin_l' - 1 mat treat[`pos',1] = `num2' mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] + _se[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] - _se[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) } } local jj = abs(`start') mat treat[`range'-1,1] = `start' - `bin_l' - 1 mat treat[`range'-1,2] = 0 mat treat[`range'-1,3] = 0 mat treat[`range'-1,4] = 0 mat treat[`range',1] = `end' + `bin_l' + 1 mat treat[`range',2] = 0 mat treat[`range',3] = 0 mat treat[`range',4] = 0 g yy = treat[_n,1] in 1/`range' g eff = treat[_n,2] in 1/`range' g eff_10 = treat[_n,3] in 1/`range' g eff_90 = treat[_n,4] in 1/`range' sort yy twoway (rcap eff_10 eff_90 yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1) (scatter eff yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1)(line eff yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1, xline(0,lp(-)) yline(0,lp(-))) , xlabel(-105(15)105) graphregion(fcolor(white)) title("Presence of Slaves") xtitle("Days From Trump") ytitle("Differential Trump Effect on Black Stops by") legend(order(1 "90% CI" 2 "Effect")) graph export "Results\FigureA13C.pdf", as(pdf) name("Graph") replace ****************************************************************************************************************************************************************** use "Data\stoplevel_data.dta", clear g n_stops = 1 replace black = black/100 collapse (sum) n_stops black (first) dist_event* racial_resent_a racial_resent_b alt_cottonsui ihsbl_lynch ihsbl_exec, by(county_fips day_id) g black_ps = 100*black / n_stops summ racial_resent_a [aweight=n_stops] g racial_resent_asd = ( racial_resent_a - r(mean))/r(sd) summ racial_resent_b [aweight=n_stops] g racial_resent_bsd = ( racial_resent_b - r(mean))/r(sd) summ alt_cottonsui [aweight=n_stops] g alt_cottonsuisd = ( alt_cottonsui - r(mean))/r(sd) su ihsbl_lynch [aweight=n_stops] g ihsbl_lynchsd = ( ihsbl_lynch - r(mean))/r(sd) su ihsbl_exec [aweight=n_stops] g ihsbl_execsd = ( ihsbl_exec - r(mean))/r(sd) local start = -105 local end = 105 local bin_l = 15 local var_het = "alt_cottonsui" g TRUMP_0 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_0 = 1 if dist_event`ii' == 0 } g INT_TRUMP_0 = TRUMP_0 * `var_het' * forval ii = 1(`bin_l')`end'{ local jj = `ii' + `bin_l' - 1 g TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 0 forval ee = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' >= `ii' & dist_event`ee'<=`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.) } g INT_TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' * `var_het' } g TRUMP_POST_M`end' = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_M`end' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > `end' & dist_event`ii'!=.) } * forval ii = `start'(`bin_l')0 { if `ii' < -`bin_l' { local jj = abs(`ii') local zz = `jj' - `bin_l' + 1 g TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 0 forval ee = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' <= -`zz' & dist_event`ee'>=-`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.) } g INT_TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' * `var_het' } } * local jj = abs(`start') g TRUMP_PRE_M`jj' = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_M`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' < `start' & dist_event`ii'!=.) } * g TRUMP_POST_M15 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_M15 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' >15 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } g TRUMP_PRE_M15 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_M15 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' <-15 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } g TRUMP_POST_1_30 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_1_30 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > 0 & dist_event`ii'<=30 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } reghdfe black_ps 1.TRUMP_PRE_M15 1.TRUMP_0 1.TRUMP_POST_1_30 TRUMP_POST_M15 INT_* c.day_id#c.`var_het' [w=n_stops], a(i.county_fips i.day_id) cluster(county_fips day_id) local temp = 1/`bin_l' local bin_neg = abs(`start' * `temp') local bin_pos = `end' * `temp' local range = round(`bin_neg' + `bin_pos' + 3) mat treat = J(`range',4,1) local Nrange = `range' - 2 forval pos = 1/`Nrange' { local lag = `start' + `bin_l'*`pos' - `bin_l' if `lag' > 0 { local lag = `start' + `bin_l'*`pos' - `bin_l' - `bin_l' + 1 } local num = abs(`lag') if `lag' == 0 { mat treat[`pos',1] = 0 mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] + _se[INT_TRUMP_0]*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] - _se[INT_TRUMP_0]*invttail(e(N),0.05) } else if `lag' < -`bin_l' { local num2 = `num' - `bin_l' + 1 local num1 = - `num' mat treat[`pos',1] = `num1' mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] + _se[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] - _se[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) } else if `lag' == -`bin_l' { mat treat[`pos',1] = -`bin_l' mat treat[`pos',2] = 0 mat treat[`pos',3] = 0 mat treat[`pos',4] = 0 } else { di "**" di `lag' di `pos' local num2 = `num' + `bin_l' - 1 mat treat[`pos',1] = `num2' mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] + _se[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] - _se[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) } } local jj = abs(`start') mat treat[`range'-1,1] = `start' - `bin_l' - 1 mat treat[`range'-1,2] = 0 mat treat[`range'-1,3] = 0 mat treat[`range'-1,4] = 0 mat treat[`range',1] = `end' + `bin_l' + 1 mat treat[`range',2] = 0 mat treat[`range',3] = 0 mat treat[`range',4] = 0 g yy = treat[_n,1] in 1/`range' g eff = treat[_n,2] in 1/`range' g eff_10 = treat[_n,3] in 1/`range' g eff_90 = treat[_n,4] in 1/`range' sort yy twoway (rcap eff_10 eff_90 yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1) (scatter eff yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1)(line eff yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1, xline(0,lp(-)) yline(0,lp(-))) , xlabel(-105(15)105) graphregion(fcolor(white)) title("Cotton Suitability") xtitle("Days From Trump") ytitle("Differential Trump Effect on Black Stops by") legend(order(1 "90% CI" 2 "Effect")) graph export "Results\FigureA13D.pdf", as(pdf) name("Graph") replace ****************************************************************************************************************************************************************** use "Data\stoplevel_data.dta", clear g n_stops = 1 replace black = black/100 collapse (sum) n_stops black (first) dist_event* racial_resent_a racial_resent_b alt_cottonsui ihsbl_lynch ihsbl_exec, by(county_fips day_id) g black_ps = 100*black / n_stops summ racial_resent_a [aweight=n_stops] g racial_resent_asd = ( racial_resent_a - r(mean))/r(sd) summ racial_resent_b [aweight=n_stops] g racial_resent_bsd = ( racial_resent_b - r(mean))/r(sd) summ alt_cottonsui [aweight=n_stops] g alt_cottonsuisd = ( alt_cottonsui - r(mean))/r(sd) su ihsbl_lynch [aweight=n_stops] g ihsbl_lynchsd = ( ihsbl_lynch - r(mean))/r(sd) su ihsbl_exec [aweight=n_stops] g ihsbl_execsd = ( ihsbl_exec - r(mean))/r(sd) local start = -105 local end = 105 local bin_l = 15 local var_het = "ihsbl_lynch" g TRUMP_0 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_0 = 1 if dist_event`ii' == 0 } g INT_TRUMP_0 = TRUMP_0 * `var_het' * forval ii = 1(`bin_l')`end'{ local jj = `ii' + `bin_l' - 1 g TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 0 forval ee = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' >= `ii' & dist_event`ee'<=`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.) } g INT_TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' * `var_het' } g TRUMP_POST_M`end' = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_M`end' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > `end' & dist_event`ii'!=.) } * forval ii = `start'(`bin_l')0 { if `ii' < -`bin_l' { local jj = abs(`ii') local zz = `jj' - `bin_l' + 1 g TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 0 forval ee = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' <= -`zz' & dist_event`ee'>=-`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.) } g INT_TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' * `var_het' } } * local jj = abs(`start') g TRUMP_PRE_M`jj' = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_M`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' < `start' & dist_event`ii'!=.) } * g TRUMP_POST_M15 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_M15 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' >15 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } g TRUMP_PRE_M15 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_M15 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' <-15 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } g TRUMP_POST_1_30 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_1_30 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > 0 & dist_event`ii'<=30 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } reghdfe black_ps 1.TRUMP_PRE_M15 1.TRUMP_0 1.TRUMP_POST_1_30 TRUMP_POST_M15 INT_* c.day_id#c.`var_het' [w=n_stops], a(i.county_fips i.day_id) cluster(county_fips day_id) local temp = 1/`bin_l' local bin_neg = abs(`start' * `temp') local bin_pos = `end' * `temp' local range = round(`bin_neg' + `bin_pos' + 3) mat treat = J(`range',4,1) local Nrange = `range' - 2 forval pos = 1/`Nrange' { local lag = `start' + `bin_l'*`pos' - `bin_l' if `lag' > 0 { local lag = `start' + `bin_l'*`pos' - `bin_l' - `bin_l' + 1 } local num = abs(`lag') if `lag' == 0 { mat treat[`pos',1] = 0 mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] + _se[INT_TRUMP_0]*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] - _se[INT_TRUMP_0]*invttail(e(N),0.05) } else if `lag' < -`bin_l' { local num2 = `num' - `bin_l' + 1 local num1 = - `num' mat treat[`pos',1] = `num1' mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] + _se[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] - _se[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) } else if `lag' == -`bin_l' { mat treat[`pos',1] = -`bin_l' mat treat[`pos',2] = 0 mat treat[`pos',3] = 0 mat treat[`pos',4] = 0 } else { di "**" di `lag' di `pos' local num2 = `num' + `bin_l' - 1 mat treat[`pos',1] = `num2' mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] + _se[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] - _se[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) } } local jj = abs(`start') mat treat[`range'-1,1] = `start' - `bin_l' - 1 mat treat[`range'-1,2] = 0 mat treat[`range'-1,3] = 0 mat treat[`range'-1,4] = 0 mat treat[`range',1] = `end' + `bin_l' + 1 mat treat[`range',2] = 0 mat treat[`range',3] = 0 mat treat[`range',4] = 0 g yy = treat[_n,1] in 1/`range' g eff = treat[_n,2] in 1/`range' g eff_10 = treat[_n,3] in 1/`range' g eff_90 = treat[_n,4] in 1/`range' sort yy twoway (rcap eff_10 eff_90 yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1) (scatter eff yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1)(line eff yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1, xline(0,lp(-)) yline(0,lp(-))) , xlabel(-105(15)105) graphregion(fcolor(white)) title("Lynchings") xtitle("Days From Trump") ytitle("Differential Trump Effect on Black Stops by") legend(order(1 "90% CI" 2 "Effect")) graph export "Results\FigureA13E.pdf", as(pdf) name("Graph") replace ****************************************************************************************************************************************************************** use "Data\stoplevel_data.dta", clear g n_stops = 1 replace black = black/100 collapse (sum) n_stops black (first) dist_event* racial_resent_a racial_resent_b alt_cottonsui ihsbl_lynch ihsbl_exec, by(county_fips day_id) g black_ps = 100*black / n_stops summ racial_resent_a [aweight=n_stops] g racial_resent_asd = ( racial_resent_a - r(mean))/r(sd) summ racial_resent_b [aweight=n_stops] g racial_resent_bsd = ( racial_resent_b - r(mean))/r(sd) summ alt_cottonsui [aweight=n_stops] g alt_cottonsuisd = ( alt_cottonsui - r(mean))/r(sd) su ihsbl_lynch [aweight=n_stops] g ihsbl_lynchsd = ( ihsbl_lynch - r(mean))/r(sd) su ihsbl_exec [aweight=n_stops] g ihsbl_execsd = ( ihsbl_exec - r(mean))/r(sd) local start = -105 local end = 105 local bin_l = 15 local var_het = "ihsbl_exec" g TRUMP_0 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_0 = 1 if dist_event`ii' == 0 } g INT_TRUMP_0 = TRUMP_0 * `var_het' * forval ii = 1(`bin_l')`end'{ local jj = `ii' + `bin_l' - 1 g TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 0 forval ee = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' >= `ii' & dist_event`ee'<=`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.) } g INT_TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' = TRUMP_POST_`ii'_`jj' * `var_het' } g TRUMP_POST_M`end' = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_M`end' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > `end' & dist_event`ii'!=.) } * forval ii = `start'(`bin_l')0 { if `ii' < -`bin_l' { local jj = abs(`ii') local zz = `jj' - `bin_l' + 1 g TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 0 forval ee = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = 1 if (dist_event`ee' <= -`zz' & dist_event`ee'>=-`jj' & dist_event`ee'!=.) } g INT_TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' = TRUMP_PRE_`jj'_`zz' * `var_het' } } * local jj = abs(`start') g TRUMP_PRE_M`jj' = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_M`jj' = 1 if (dist_event`ii' < `start' & dist_event`ii'!=.) } * g TRUMP_POST_M15 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_M15 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' >15 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } g TRUMP_PRE_M15 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_PRE_M15 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' <-15 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } g TRUMP_POST_1_30 = 0 forval ii = 1/9 { replace TRUMP_POST_1_30 = 1 if (dist_event`ii' > 0 & dist_event`ii'<=30 & dist_event`ii'!=.) } reghdfe black_ps 1.TRUMP_PRE_M15 1.TRUMP_0 1.TRUMP_POST_1_30 TRUMP_POST_M15 INT_* c.day_id#c.`var_het' [w=n_stops], a(i.county_fips i.day_id) cluster(county_fips day_id) local temp = 1/`bin_l' local bin_neg = abs(`start' * `temp') local bin_pos = `end' * `temp' local range = round(`bin_neg' + `bin_pos' + 3) mat treat = J(`range',4,1) local Nrange = `range' - 2 forval pos = 1/`Nrange' { local lag = `start' + `bin_l'*`pos' - `bin_l' if `lag' > 0 { local lag = `start' + `bin_l'*`pos' - `bin_l' - `bin_l' + 1 } local num = abs(`lag') if `lag' == 0 { mat treat[`pos',1] = 0 mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] + _se[INT_TRUMP_0]*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_0] - _se[INT_TRUMP_0]*invttail(e(N),0.05) } else if `lag' < -`bin_l' { local num2 = `num' - `bin_l' + 1 local num1 = - `num' mat treat[`pos',1] = `num1' mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] + _se[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2'] - _se[INT_TRUMP_PRE_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) } else if `lag' == -`bin_l' { mat treat[`pos',1] = -`bin_l' mat treat[`pos',2] = 0 mat treat[`pos',3] = 0 mat treat[`pos',4] = 0 } else { di "**" di `lag' di `pos' local num2 = `num' + `bin_l' - 1 mat treat[`pos',1] = `num2' mat treat[`pos',2] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] mat treat[`pos',3] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] + _se[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) mat treat[`pos',4] = _b[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2'] - _se[INT_TRUMP_POST_`num'_`num2']*invttail(e(N),0.05) } } local jj = abs(`start') mat treat[`range'-1,1] = `start' - `bin_l' - 1 mat treat[`range'-1,2] = 0 mat treat[`range'-1,3] = 0 mat treat[`range'-1,4] = 0 mat treat[`range',1] = `end' + `bin_l' + 1 mat treat[`range',2] = 0 mat treat[`range',3] = 0 mat treat[`range',4] = 0 g yy = treat[_n,1] in 1/`range' g eff = treat[_n,2] in 1/`range' g eff_10 = treat[_n,3] in 1/`range' g eff_90 = treat[_n,4] in 1/`range' sort yy twoway (rcap eff_10 eff_90 yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1) (scatter eff yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1)(line eff yy if yy>`start' - `bin_l' - 1 & yy<`end' + `bin_l' + 1, xline(0,lp(-)) yline(0,lp(-))) , xlabel(-105(15)105) graphregion(fcolor(white)) title("Executions") xtitle("Days From Trump") ytitle("Differential Trump Effect on Black Stops by") legend(order(1 "90% CI" 2 "Effect")) graph export "Results\FigureA13F.pdf", as(pdf) name("Graph") replace