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"original_study": {
"claim": {
"hypothesis": "If individuals perceive newcomers as a threat to that community, then the \ngoverning institutions are likely to be called into question: those most worried about the effects of newcomers in the multicultural state may question the extent to which national political institutions will continue to represent a national citizenry.",
"hypothesis_location": "Section: Concern about immigration and \npolitical trust; p. 205",
"statement": "...the effect of concern about immigration on political trust remains—even after taking into account this potential automatic correspondence via voting for the far right and via left-right self-placement, as well as pessimism, attitudes to the economy, and attitudes to government provision of health and educational services.",
"statement_location": "Section:Multivariate Analyses ; p. 220",
"study_type": "Observational"
},
"data": {
"source": "European Social Survey",
"wave_or_subset": "1-4",
"sample_size": "not stated",
"unit_of_analysis": "respondent",
"access_details": "Available at http://www.europeansocialsurvey.org/",
"notes": "It is aggregated to the country level for the analysis."
},
"method": {
"description": "The authors use a multivariate analysis, which adjusts the standard errors for control variables at different levels of aggregation, to estimate the effect of immigration concerns on three measures of political distrust: politicians, parliament, and the legal system.",
"steps": "(1) Reverse the coding of the political trust variable; (2) clean the sample by removing the excluded countries; (3) Run bivariate correlations between variables; (3) Run multilevel, multivariate analysis",
"models": "Multivariate analysis",
"outcome_variable": "political distrust (politicians, parliament, legal system)",
"independent_variables": "concern about immigration",
"control_variables": "far-right popularity;level of spending on social protection; long-term country of migration; governance quality; gdp per capita; unemployment rate",
"tools_software": "not stated"
},
"results": {
"summary": "These results indicate that after controlling for fairly powerful predictors of distrust in politics, concern about immigration has a statistically significant effect on distrust in politics, with maximum effects of 1.7 on the 11-point measure of distrust in parliament, 1.3 on distrust in politicians, and 1.4 on distrust of the legal system.",
"numerical_results": [
{
"outcome_name": "distrust in parliament",
"value": "0.17",
"unit": "not stated",
"effect_size": "not stated",
"confidence_interval": {
"lower": "not stated",
"upper": "not stated",
"level": "not stated"
},
"p_value": "0.00",
"statistical_significance": "5% level",
"direction": "Positive",
"notes": "They also report standard errors = 0.000."
},
{
"outcome_name": "distrust in politicians",
"value": "0.13",
"unit": "not stated",
"effect_size": "not stated",
"confidence_interval": {
"lower": "not stated",
"upper": "not stated",
"level": "not stated"
},
"p_value": "0.00",
"statistical_significance": "5% level",
"direction": "Positive",
"notes": "They also report standard errors = 0.000."
},
{
"outcome_name": "distrust in legal system",
"value": "0.14",
"unit": "not stated",
"effect_size": "not stated",
"confidence_interval": {
"lower": "not stated",
"upper": "not stated",
"level": "not stated"
},
"p_value": "0.00",
"statistical_significance": "5% level",
"direction": "Positive",
"notes": "They also report standard errors = 0.000."
}
]
},
"metadata": {
"original_paper_id": "S0043887112000032.",
"original_paper_title": "The Cultural Divide in Europe: Migration, Multiculturalism, and Political Trust",
"original_paper_code": "not stated",
"original_paper_data": "http://www.europeansocialsurvey.org/; http://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?DataSetCode=naG; http://titania.sourceoecd.org/vl =3262696/cl=11/nw=1/rpsv/factbook2009/06/02/01/index.htm"
}
}
} |