| { | |
| "original_study": { | |
| "claim": { | |
| "hypothesis": "Imports from the South will be positively associated with national affluence.", | |
| "hypothesis_location": "it is discussed in the introduction and literature review sections", | |
| "statement": "The focal test result concerns the location of the estimated coefficient “Imports from the South”. The dependent variable is national affluence. The result was a statistically significant estimated coefficient for “Imports from the South” (b=.910,SE=.104,p<.001).", | |
| "statement_location": "Table 2 Model 4", | |
| "study_type": "Observational" | |
| }, | |
| "data": { | |
| "source": "Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), specifically:\nnational affluence: OECD’s Annual National Accounts, volume 1: Comparative Tables;\nimport/export data: International Trade by Commodities Database;\nunemployment: Labour Force Statistics—Summary Tables;", | |
| "wave_or_subset": "1970-2003", | |
| "sample_size": "566", | |
| "unit_of_analysis": "country-year", | |
| "access_details": "not stated; there are only mentions which OECD database was used for which variable. they are referenced in the reference section", | |
| "notes": "countries used in this study are Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, and the United States;\nThe study defines the South as Africa, Asia, Central and South America, and Oceania; the study defines the North as Europe and North America. Adjustments were made by moving Mexico and Turkey (from North America and Europe, respectively) to the South, and by moving Australia and New Zealand (from Oceania) and Israel, Japan, and South Korea (from Asia) to the North. To facilitate international comparison, values for imports and exports are expressed as a percentage of GDP for all countries. \nnational affluence is measured as a country’s gross domestic product (GDP) divided by its total population, with GDP expressed in U.S. dollars at prices and purchasing parities (PPP) from the year 2000." | |
| }, | |
| "method": { | |
| "description": "The study analyzes why the world’s most economically advanced countries have deindustrialized over the last few decades. Model 4 estimates the relationship between imports from the South and national affluence.", | |
| "steps": "1. Combine all datasets including 18 OECD countries (see notes) for the years 1970–2003 using databases described in the source field.\n2. Construct national affluence as GDP per capita (in 2000 PPP U.S. dollars). \n3. Define imports from the South as the total value of manufactured goods that each OECD country imports from Southern countries, and exports to the South as the total value of manufactured goods that each OECD country exports to Southern countries.\n4. Normalize all trade variables express each trade measure as a percentage of GDP.\n5. Create control variables: the unemployment rate (from OECD data) and a set of period dummies (1975–79, 1980–84, 1985–89, 1990–94, 1995–99, and 2000–2003) to capture temporal and macroeconomic effects.\n6. Estimate Model 4 with national affluence as the DV and import/export data as the IV. Include unemployment and period dummies as controls.", | |
| "models": "two-way fixed-effects regression", | |
| "outcome_variable": "national affluence", | |
| "independent_variables": "imports from the South, exports to the South", | |
| "control_variables": "unemployment, period indicators (dummies)", | |
| "tools_software": "not stated" | |
| }, | |
| "results": { | |
| "summary": "Model 4 shows a significant positive effect of imports from the South on national affluence (b = .910, SE = .104, p < .001).", | |
| "numerical_results": [ | |
| { | |
| "outcome_name": "national affluence", | |
| "value": "0.910", | |
| "unit": "NA", | |
| "effect_size": "not stated", | |
| "confidence_interval": { | |
| "lower": "not stated", | |
| "upper": "not stated", | |
| "level": "not stated" | |
| }, | |
| "p_value": "<0.001", | |
| "statistical_significance": "true", | |
| "direction": "positive" | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "metadata": { | |
| "original_paper_id": "0002-9602/2009/11406-0002", | |
| "original_paper_title": "Explaining Deindustrialization: How Affluence, Productivity Growth, and Globalization Diminish Manufacturing Employment.", | |
| "original_paper_code": "not stated", | |
| "original_paper_data": "not stated" | |
| } | |
| } | |
| } | |