| { | |
| "original_study": { | |
| "claim": { | |
| "hypothesis": "Greater levels of imports originating from South correspond with higher levels of national affluence in advanced economies.", | |
| "hypothesis_location": "Discussion of indirect effects of global South trade in the conceptual framework.", | |
| "statement": "The analysis demonstrates that inflows of manufactured goods from developing countries have a strong positive association with national affluence. The regression coefficient for imports from the South in the affluence equation is reported as 0.910 with a standard error of 0.104, and is statistically significant at the 0.001 level.", | |
| "statement_location": "Table 2, column with national affluence as the dependent variable, row labeled “Imports from the South,” showing coefficient = .910, SE = .104, significance p < .001.", | |
| "study_type": "Observational (cross-national panel analysis)." | |
| }, | |
| "data": { | |
| "source": "OECD STAN (Structural Analysis) Database for manufacturing employment and workforce data; OECD Annual National Accounts for GDP and population used to construct national affluence; OECD International Trade by Commodities Database for imports and exports disaggregated by region and SITC codes; UN National Accounts Main Aggregates Database for real value added in manufacturing and service sectors; OECD Labour Force Statistics for unemployment data.", | |
| "wave_or_subset": "Annual observations for 18 OECD countries from 1970 to 2003.", | |
| "sample_size": "612 country–year observations.", | |
| "unit_of_analysis": "Country–year.", | |
| "access_details": "not stated", | |
| "notes": "National affluence is measured using logged GDP per capita. Imports from the South are calculated as the logged value of manufactured imports originating from non-OECD countries. All continuous variables are logged. Country fixed effects and year dummies appear in the models." | |
| }, | |
| "method": { | |
| "description": "The study estimates panel regression models (OLS) to assess how trade with developing countries relates to changes in national affluence, net of other macroeconomic conditions.", | |
| "steps": [ | |
| "Assemble annual country-level data on GDP per capita, trade flows with developing countries, productivity measures, and labor market indicators for OECD nations.", | |
| "Construct measures of imports from the South using COMTRADE data and log-transform GDP per capita to represent national affluence.", | |
| "Specify a fixed-effects regression model of national affluence on imports from the South and control variables.", | |
| "Include year indicators to adjust for common temporal shocks.", | |
| "Cluster standard errors by country and estimate the regression.", | |
| "Interpret the coefficient on imports from the South as the estimated association with national affluence." | |
| ], | |
| "models": "Country fixed-effects panel regression with year dummies predicting logged national affluence.", | |
| "outcome_variable": "Logged national affluence (GDP per capita).", | |
| "independent_variables": "Logged imports from the South.", | |
| "control_variables": "Exports to the South, unemployment, Period Indicators .", | |
| "tools_software": "Stata" | |
| }, | |
| "results": { | |
| "summary": "Imports from developing countries exhibit a strong and statistically significant positive association with national affluence across OECD nations. The magnitude of the coefficient indicates that increases in such imports correspond with higher levels of GDP per capita.", | |
| "numerical_results": [ | |
| { | |
| "outcome_name": "Logged national affluence", | |
| "value": 0.910, | |
| "unit": "unstandardized regression coefficient (change in logged affluence per unit change in logged imports from the South)", | |
| "effect_size": "OLS fixed-effects coefficient = 0.910", | |
| "confidence_interval": { | |
| "lower": "not stated", | |
| "upper": "not stated", | |
| "level": "not stated" | |
| }, | |
| "p_value": "< .001", | |
| "statistical_significance": 1, | |
| "direction": "positive" | |
| } | |
| ] | |
| }, | |
| "metadata": { | |
| "original_paper_id": "not stated", | |
| "original_paper_title": "Explaining Deindustrialization: How Affluence, Productivity Growth, and Globalization Diminish Manufacturing Employment", | |
| "original_paper_code": "not stated", | |
| "original_paper_data": "not stated" | |
| } | |
| } | |
| } |