******************************************************************************** * WEIDMANN & CALLEN (2013) REPLICATION * DARPA SCORE PROJECT: * "Replication of a Research Claim from Weidmann & Callen (2013)" * Eric L. Sevigny & Jared Greathouse * Contact: esevigny@gsu.edu ******************************************************************************** ******************************************************************************** ** DATA ANALYSIS ******************************************************************************** /// Users should insert project directory between quotes before running code: cap cd "INSERT PROJECT DIRECTORY HERE" /// Stata MP version version 16.1 use "Afghanistan_Election_Violence_2014.dta", clear /// Install Commands net install estout.pkg, from(http://fmwww.bc.edu/RePEc/bocode/e) net install spost13_ado, from(https://jslsoc.sitehost.iu.edu/stata) net install gr0070, from(http://www.stata-journal.com/software/sj17-3) net install st0582_1, from(http://www.stata-journal.com/software/sj20-2) /// Analyses * Relabel variables to match original study lab var fraud "Fraud, last digit test" lab var sigact_5r "Violence (election)" lab var sigact_60r "Violence (2 months, pre-election)" lab var pcx "Percentage of centers closed" lab var electric "Electrification" lab var pcexpend "Per-capita expenditure (1000 AFs)" lab var dist "Distance from Kabul (km)" lab var elevation "Elevation (m)" // Reproduce Original Table 1 of Summary Statistics eststo clear qui: estpost sum fraud pcx sigact_5r sigact_60r pcexpend electric dist elevation esttab using 1Table1.rtf, label nonum noobs replace compress nomtit nogaps /// ti("Table 1 Summary Statistics for the Variables Included in the Regression Analysis") /// cells("mean(label(Mean) fmt(2)) sd(label(Std. Dev.) fmt(2)) min(label(Min)) max(label(Max)) count(label(N) fmt(a2))") /// refcat(fraud "\i Fraud \i0" sigact_5r "\i Violence \i0" pcexpend "\i Development \i0" dist "\i Geography \i0", nolabel) // Reproduce Table 2, Model 1 Regression of Election Fraud on Violence, 5-Day Window eststo clear eststo m2_1: logit fraud c.sigact_5r##c.sigact_5r pcx electric pcexpend dist /// elevation, vce(cluster regcom) estadd fitstat // Obtain McFadden's R2 * Graph Results margins, at(sigact_5r=(0(.01).40)) marginsplot, scheme(plotplain) saving(m2_1, replace) title("") /// xtitle("(1) 5-Day Election Window (One-Way Clustering)") ytitle("") // Reproduce Table 2, Model 1: Supplemental Analysis Using Two-Way Clustering eststo m2_1s: vcemway logit fraud c.sigact_5r##c.sigact_5r pcx electric pcexpend dist /// elevation, cluster(regcom elect) matrix list r(table) // Report exact p-values estadd fitstat // Obtain McFadden's R2 margins, at(sigact_5r=(0(.01).40)) marginsplot, scheme(plotplain) saving(m2_1s, replace) title("") /// xtitle("(3) 5-Day Election Window (Multiway Clustering)") ytitle("") // Reproduce Table 2, Model 2 Regression of Election Fraud on Violence, 60-Day Window eststo m2_2: logit fraud c.sigact_60r##c.sigact_60r pcx electric pcexpend dist /// elevation, vce(cluster regcom) matrix list r(table) // Report exact p-values estadd fitstat // Obtain McFadden's R2 * Graph Results margins, at(sigact_60r=(0(.075)3)) marginsplot, scheme(plotplain) saving(m2_2, replace) title("") /// xtitle("(2) 60-Day Election Window (One-Way Clustering)") ytitle("") // Reproduce Table 2, Model 2: Supplemental Analysis Using Two-Way Clustering eststo m2_2s: vcemway logit fraud c.sigact_60r##c.sigact_60r pcx electric pcexpend dist /// elevation, cluster(regcom elect) matrix list r(table) // Report exact p-values estadd fitstat // Obtain McFadden's R2 margins, at(sigact_60r=(0(.075)3)) marginsplot, scheme(plotplain) saving(m2_2s, replace) title("") /// xtitle("(4) 60-Day Election Window (Multiway Clustering)") ytitle("") // Create Combined Table of Results: Report p-values esttab m2_1 m2_2 m2_1s m2_2s using Table2p.rtf, replace compress label one interact("*") nomti /// s(r2_mf clustvar N, l("McFadden's \i R\i0\super 2 \super0" "Clustering" "N")) /// nogaps b(a3) p(a3) nostar /// order(sigact_5r c.sigact_5r#c.sigact_5r sigact_60r c.sigact_60r#c.sigact_60r) /// ti("Table 2. Logit Regressions of Election Fraud on Violence") // Create Combined Table of Results: Report SEs esttab m2_1 m2_2 m2_1s m2_2s using Table2se.rtf, replace compress label one interact("*") nomti /// s(r2_mf clustvar N, l("McFadden's \i R\i0\super 2 \super0" "Clustering" "N")) /// nogaps b(a3) se(a3) nostar bracket /// order(sigact_5r c.sigact_5r#c.sigact_5r sigact_60r c.sigact_60r#c.sigact_60r) /// ti("Table 2. Logit Regressions of Election Fraud on Violence") // Creat Combined Graph gr combine m2_1.gph m2_2.gph m2_1s.gph m2_2s.gph, ycommon scheme(plotplain) /// saving(Fraud, replace) clear