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갱신: macro.json asOf 2026-06-13 — macroProvider 회귀 수선 후 풀 shape(quadrant KR/US) 복원

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  1. landing/dashboards/macro.json +55 -42
landing/dashboards/macro.json CHANGED
@@ -1,13 +1,13 @@
1
  {
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  "version": "v19",
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- "asOf": "2026-04-22",
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  "kr": {
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  "market": "KR",
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  "phase": "recovery",
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  "phaseLabel": "회복",
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  "confidence": "high",
9
  "signals": [
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- "CLI 급등 (+1.00)"
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  ],
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  "sectorStrategy": {
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  "high": "overweight",
@@ -20,9 +20,9 @@
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  "quadrant": "stagflation",
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  "quadrantLabel": "스태그플레이션",
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  "growth": "falling",
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- "growthSignal": -6.9,
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  "inflation": "rising",
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- "inflationSignal": 0.65,
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  "assetImplication": {
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  "equity": "underweight",
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  "bond": "underweight",
@@ -33,33 +33,45 @@
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  },
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  "confidence": "high",
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  "description": "성장 둔화 + 물가 상승 — 금·TIPS·현금 방어, 주식·채권 불리"
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- }
 
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  },
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  "us": {
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  "market": "US",
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- "phase": "expansion",
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- "phaseLabel": "확장",
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  "confidence": "medium",
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  "signals": [
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- "HY 스프레드 안정 (287bp)",
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- "수익률곡선 정상 (+0.52%)",
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- "금 급등 (YoY +62.1%)",
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- "CPI 3.3% — 인플레 동반 확장"
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  ],
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  "sectorStrategy": {
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- "high": "overweight",
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- "moderate": "overweight",
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- "defensive": "neutral",
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  "low": "neutral"
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  },
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- "transition": null,
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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  "quadrant": {
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  "quadrant": "reflation",
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  "quadrantLabel": "리플레이션",
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  "growth": "rising",
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- "growthSignal": 619557.0,
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  "inflation": "rising",
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- "inflationSignal": 26.04,
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  "assetImplication": {
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  "equity": "overweight",
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  "bond": "underweight",
@@ -70,68 +82,69 @@
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  },
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  "confidence": "high",
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  "description": "성장 가속 + 물가 상승 — 원자재·EM 주식·TIPS 유리, 명목채 불리"
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- }
 
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  },
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  "sectorTailwind": {
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  "automotive": {
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  "kr": 0.4,
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- "us": 0.5,
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- "blended": 0.44
80
  },
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  "biotech": {
82
  "kr": 0.0,
83
- "us": 0.1,
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- "blended": 0.04
85
  },
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  "chemicals": {
87
  "kr": 0.3,
88
- "us": 0.2,
89
- "blended": 0.26
90
  },
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  "construction": {
92
  "kr": 0.5,
93
- "us": 0.3,
94
- "blended": 0.42
95
  },
96
  "display": {
97
  "kr": 0.3,
98
- "us": 0.4,
99
- "blended": 0.34
100
  },
101
  "energy": {
102
  "kr": 0.3,
103
- "us": 0.0,
104
- "blended": 0.18
105
  },
106
  "finance": {
107
  "kr": 0.4,
108
- "us": 0.3,
109
- "blended": 0.36
110
  },
111
  "it_software": {
112
  "kr": 0.4,
113
- "us": 0.5,
114
- "blended": 0.44
115
  },
116
  "retail": {
117
  "kr": 0.3,
118
- "us": 0.4,
119
- "blended": 0.34
120
  },
121
  "semiconductor": {
122
  "kr": 0.5,
123
- "us": 0.6,
124
- "blended": 0.54
125
  },
126
  "shipbuilding": {
127
  "kr": 0.3,
128
- "us": 0.4,
129
- "blended": 0.34
130
  },
131
  "steel": {
132
  "kr": 0.4,
133
- "us": 0.2,
134
- "blended": 0.32
135
  }
136
  }
137
  }
 
1
  {
2
  "version": "v19",
3
+ "asOf": "2026-06-13",
4
  "kr": {
5
  "market": "KR",
6
  "phase": "recovery",
7
  "phaseLabel": "회복",
8
  "confidence": "high",
9
  "signals": [
10
+ "CLI 급등 (+1.10)"
11
  ],
12
  "sectorStrategy": {
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  "high": "overweight",
 
20
  "quadrant": "stagflation",
21
  "quadrantLabel": "스태그플레이션",
22
  "growth": "falling",
23
+ "growthSignal": -20.0,
24
  "inflation": "rising",
25
+ "inflationSignal": 0.94,
26
  "assetImplication": {
27
  "equity": "underweight",
28
  "bond": "underweight",
 
33
  },
34
  "confidence": "high",
35
  "description": "성장 둔화 + 물가 상승 — 금·TIPS·현금 방어, 주식·채권 불리"
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+ },
37
+ "computedAt": "2026-06-12T15:39:37.996264+00:00"
38
  },
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  "us": {
40
  "market": "US",
41
+ "phase": "slowdown",
42
+ "phaseLabel": "둔화",
43
  "confidence": "medium",
44
  "signals": [
45
+ "HY 스프레드 안정 (280bp)",
46
+ "수익률곡선 평탄화 (+0.40%)",
47
+ "금 급등 (YoY +39.5%)",
48
+ "CPI 4.3% — 물가 과열, 둔화 전조"
49
  ],
50
  "sectorStrategy": {
51
+ "defensive": "overweight",
52
+ "moderate": "neutral",
53
+ "high": "underweight",
54
  "low": "neutral"
55
  },
56
+ "transition": {
57
+ "from": "slowdown",
58
+ "to": "contraction",
59
+ "progress": 33,
60
+ "triggered": [
61
+ "gold_surging"
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+ ],
63
+ "pending": [
64
+ "vix_spiking",
65
+ "term_spread_inverted"
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+ ]
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+ },
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  "quadrant": {
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  "quadrant": "reflation",
70
  "quadrantLabel": "리플레이션",
71
  "growth": "rising",
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+ "growthSignal": 662678.0,
73
  "inflation": "rising",
74
+ "inflationSignal": 26.71,
75
  "assetImplication": {
76
  "equity": "overweight",
77
  "bond": "underweight",
 
82
  },
83
  "confidence": "high",
84
  "description": "성장 가속 + 물가 상승 — 원자재·EM 주식·TIPS 유리, 명목채 불리"
85
+ },
86
+ "computedAt": "2026-06-12T15:39:38.196754+00:00"
87
  },
88
  "sectorTailwind": {
89
  "automotive": {
90
  "kr": 0.4,
91
+ "us": -0.3,
92
+ "blended": 0.12
93
  },
94
  "biotech": {
95
  "kr": 0.0,
96
+ "us": 0.2,
97
+ "blended": 0.08
98
  },
99
  "chemicals": {
100
  "kr": 0.3,
101
+ "us": -0.2,
102
+ "blended": 0.1
103
  },
104
  "construction": {
105
  "kr": 0.5,
106
+ "us": -0.4,
107
+ "blended": 0.14
108
  },
109
  "display": {
110
  "kr": 0.3,
111
+ "us": -0.2,
112
+ "blended": 0.1
113
  },
114
  "energy": {
115
  "kr": 0.3,
116
+ "us": 0.1,
117
+ "blended": 0.22
118
  },
119
  "finance": {
120
  "kr": 0.4,
121
+ "us": -0.1,
122
+ "blended": 0.2
123
  },
124
  "it_software": {
125
  "kr": 0.4,
126
+ "us": 0.1,
127
+ "blended": 0.28
128
  },
129
  "retail": {
130
  "kr": 0.3,
131
+ "us": -0.2,
132
+ "blended": 0.1
133
  },
134
  "semiconductor": {
135
  "kr": 0.5,
136
+ "us": -0.2,
137
+ "blended": 0.22
138
  },
139
  "shipbuilding": {
140
  "kr": 0.3,
141
+ "us": -0.1,
142
+ "blended": 0.14
143
  },
144
  "steel": {
145
  "kr": 0.4,
146
+ "us": -0.3,
147
+ "blended": 0.12
148
  }
149
  }
150
  }