Datasets:
Upload folder using huggingface_hub (part 3)
Browse files
full_22model/figures/P4_D1_combs.png
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Git LFS Details
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full_22model/figures/P5_ppc.png
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Git LFS Details
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full_22model/figures/P5_residuals.png
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Git LFS Details
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full_22model/figures/P5_sensitivity.png
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Git LFS Details
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full_22model/run.log
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| 1 |
+
[NbConvertApp] Converting notebook run_full_21model.ipynb to notebook
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| 2 |
+
[NbConvertApp] ERROR | Notebook JSON is invalid: Additional properties are not allowed ('execution_count', 'outputs' were unexpected)
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| 3 |
+
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| 4 |
+
Failed validating 'additionalProperties' in markdown_cell:
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| 5 |
+
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| 6 |
+
On instance['cells'][0]:
|
| 7 |
+
{'cell_type': 'markdown',
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| 8 |
+
'execution_count': None,
|
| 9 |
+
'id': 'p0c000',
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| 10 |
+
'metadata': {},
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| 11 |
+
'outputs': ['...0 outputs...'],
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| 12 |
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'source': '# Structural aliasing in Chronos-Bolt, Bayesian analysis\n'
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| 13 |
+
'\n'
|
| 14 |
+
'**PATC...'}
|
| 15 |
+
C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\zmq\_future.py:718: RuntimeWarning: Proactor event loop does not implement add_reader family of methods required for zmq. Registering an additional selector thread for add_reader support via tornado. Use `asyncio.set_event_loop_policy(WindowsSelectorEventLoopPolicy())` to avoid this warning.
|
| 16 |
+
self._get_loop()
|
| 17 |
+
[IPKernelApp] WARNING | Kernel is running over TCP without encryption. All communication (including code and outputs) is sent in plain text and is susceptible to eavesdropping. Use IPC transport or launch with kernel manager-provisioned CurveZMQ keys to enable transport encryption.
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| 18 |
+
Traceback (most recent call last):
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| 19 |
+
File "<frozen runpy>", line 198, in _run_module_as_main
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| 20 |
+
File "<frozen runpy>", line 88, in _run_code
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| 21 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Scripts\jupyter-nbconvert.EXE\__main__.py", line 7, in <module>
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| 22 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\jupyter_core\application.py", line 284, in launch_instance
|
| 23 |
+
super().launch_instance(argv=argv, **kwargs)
|
| 24 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\traitlets\config\application.py", line 1080, in launch_instance
|
| 25 |
+
app.start()
|
| 26 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\nbconvertapp.py", line 420, in start
|
| 27 |
+
self.convert_notebooks()
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| 28 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\nbconvertapp.py", line 597, in convert_notebooks
|
| 29 |
+
self.convert_single_notebook(notebook_filename)
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| 30 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\nbconvertapp.py", line 563, in convert_single_notebook
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| 31 |
+
output, resources = self.export_single_notebook(
|
| 32 |
+
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
|
| 33 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\nbconvertapp.py", line 487, in export_single_notebook
|
| 34 |
+
output, resources = self.exporter.from_filename(
|
| 35 |
+
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
|
| 36 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\exporters\exporter.py", line 201, in from_filename
|
| 37 |
+
return self.from_file(f, resources=resources, **kw)
|
| 38 |
+
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
|
| 39 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\exporters\exporter.py", line 220, in from_file
|
| 40 |
+
return self.from_notebook_node(
|
| 41 |
+
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
|
| 42 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\exporters\notebook.py", line 36, in from_notebook_node
|
| 43 |
+
nb_copy, resources = super().from_notebook_node(nb, resources, **kw)
|
| 44 |
+
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
|
| 45 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\exporters\exporter.py", line 154, in from_notebook_node
|
| 46 |
+
nb_copy, resources = self._preprocess(nb_copy, resources)
|
| 47 |
+
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
|
| 48 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\exporters\exporter.py", line 353, in _preprocess
|
| 49 |
+
nbc, resc = preprocessor(nbc, resc)
|
| 50 |
+
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
|
| 51 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\preprocessors\base.py", line 48, in __call__
|
| 52 |
+
return self.preprocess(nb, resources)
|
| 53 |
+
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
|
| 54 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\preprocessors\execute.py", line 103, in preprocess
|
| 55 |
+
self.preprocess_cell(cell, resources, index)
|
| 56 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\preprocessors\execute.py", line 124, in preprocess_cell
|
| 57 |
+
cell = self.execute_cell(cell, index, store_history=True)
|
| 58 |
+
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
|
| 59 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\jupyter_core\utils\__init__.py", line 165, in wrapped
|
| 60 |
+
return loop.run_until_complete(inner)
|
| 61 |
+
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
|
| 62 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\asyncio\base_events.py", line 691, in run_until_complete
|
| 63 |
+
return future.result()
|
| 64 |
+
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
|
| 65 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbclient\client.py", line 1062, in async_execute_cell
|
| 66 |
+
await self._check_raise_for_error(cell, cell_index, exec_reply)
|
| 67 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbclient\client.py", line 918, in _check_raise_for_error
|
| 68 |
+
raise CellExecutionError.from_cell_and_msg(cell, exec_reply_content)
|
| 69 |
+
nbclient.exceptions.CellExecutionError: An error occurred while executing the following cell:
|
| 70 |
+
------------------
|
| 71 |
+
idata_A = cached_fit("04_A.nc", lambda: sample(model_A_contrast(live), "A"))
|
| 72 |
+
|
| 73 |
+
print("\nModel A, H1 behavioural")
|
| 74 |
+
rowsA = [report(idata_A, "beta_bar", label="beta_bar (log ratio)"),
|
| 75 |
+
report(idata_A, "beta_bar", np.exp, label="recovery ratio exp(beta_bar)"),
|
| 76 |
+
report(idata_A, "delta_O", label="delta_O (overlap slope, M1)"),
|
| 77 |
+
report(idata_A, "delta_P", label="delta_P (log patch-size slope)")]
|
| 78 |
+
pA_att = prob(idata_A, "beta_bar", lambda x: x < ATTENUATION_20)
|
| 79 |
+
pA_rope = prob(idata_A, "beta_bar", lambda x: np.abs(x) < ROPE_LOG)
|
| 80 |
+
pA_neg = prob(idata_A, "beta_bar", lambda x: x < 0)
|
| 81 |
+
print(f"\n P(at least 20% attenuation | D) = {pA_att:.3f} (prior: "
|
| 82 |
+
f"{prior_summary['p_attenuation20_prior']:.3f})")
|
| 83 |
+
print(f" P(practically no effect | D) = {pA_rope:.3f} (ROPE |beta| < log 1.1)")
|
| 84 |
+
print(f" P(beta_bar < 0 | D) = {pA_neg:.3f} (any attenuation at all)")
|
| 85 |
+
|
| 86 |
+
pA_mit = prob(idata_A, "delta_O", lambda x: x < 0)
|
| 87 |
+
print(f" P(delta_O < 0 | D) = {pA_mit:.3f} (M1: overlap reduces the deficit)")
|
| 88 |
+
|
| 89 |
+
display(az.summary(idata_A.posterior, var_names=["beta_bar", "delta_O", "delta_P", "tau", "sigma",
|
| 90 |
+
"sigma_harm", "sigma_bg"], ci_prob=0.95).round(3))
|
| 91 |
+
|
| 92 |
+
# M1, second half: which description of the configuration level does the data prefer?
|
| 93 |
+
# deliverable2.tex, Mitigation: "the overlap ratio, the absolute stride, or the patch size".
|
| 94 |
+
# idata_A IS the config_level="both" fit (it is the default), so it is reused rather than
|
| 95 |
+
# sampled a second time: on the full design that is one avoidable fit of the largest model.
|
| 96 |
+
fitsM1 = {"overlap + patch size": idata_A}
|
| 97 |
+
fitsM1.update({lbl: cached_fit(f"04_A_{lvl}.nc",
|
| 98 |
+
lambda l=lvl, n=lbl: sample(model_A_contrast(live, config_level=l), n))
|
| 99 |
+
for lvl, lbl in (("overlap", "overlap only"), ("patch", "patch size only"),
|
| 100 |
+
("none", "neither"))})
|
| 101 |
+
cmpM1 = az.compare(fitsM1)
|
| 102 |
+
display(cmpM1)
|
| 103 |
+
|
| 104 |
+
# plot_forest: ArviZ 1.x changed the API; draw manually
|
| 105 |
+
post_beta = idata_A.posterior["beta"].values.reshape(-1, idata_A.posterior.sizes["config"])
|
| 106 |
+
cfg_names = list(idata_A.posterior.coords["config"].values)
|
| 107 |
+
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(8, 3.4))
|
| 108 |
+
for j, name in enumerate(cfg_names):
|
| 109 |
+
lo, med, hi = np.quantile(post_beta[:, j], [0.025, 0.5, 0.975])
|
| 110 |
+
ax.plot([lo, hi], [j, j], color="steelblue", lw=2)
|
| 111 |
+
ax.plot(med, j, "o", color="steelblue", ms=5)
|
| 112 |
+
ax.axvline(0, color="k", lw=.9)
|
| 113 |
+
ax.axvline(ATTENUATION_20, color="crimson", ls="--", lw=1)
|
| 114 |
+
ax.set_yticks(range(len(cfg_names))); ax.set_yticklabels(cfg_names, fontsize=8)
|
| 115 |
+
ax.set_title("Model A: per-configuration phase-lock effect $\\beta_c$\n"
|
| 116 |
+
"(left of the dashed line = at least 20% attenuation)")
|
| 117 |
+
plt.tight_layout(); plt.savefig(FIG_DIR / "P4_A_forest.png", dpi=140, bbox_inches="tight"); plt.show()
|
| 118 |
+
|
| 119 |
+
------------------
|
| 120 |
+
|
| 121 |
+
----- stderr -----
|
| 122 |
+
NUTS[nutpie]: [beta_bar, delta_O, delta_P, tau, z_cfg, sigma_harm, z_harm, sigma_bg, z_bg, sigma]
|
| 123 |
+
----- stdout -----
|
| 124 |
+
checkpoint -> 04_A.nc
|
| 125 |
+
|
| 126 |
+
Model A, H1 behavioural
|
| 127 |
+
beta_bar (log ratio) median +0.0185 95% CrI [-0.4954, +0.5329]
|
| 128 |
+
recovery ratio exp(beta_bar) median +1.0187 95% CrI [+0.6094, +1.7039]
|
| 129 |
+
delta_O (overlap slope, M1) median +0.3791 95% CrI [+0.0091, +0.7166]
|
| 130 |
+
delta_P (log patch-size slope) median -0.7530 95% CrI [-1.1491, -0.2461]
|
| 131 |
+
|
| 132 |
+
P(at least 20% attenuation | D) = 0.212 (prior: 0.336)
|
| 133 |
+
P(practically no effect | D) = 0.244 (ROPE |beta| < log 1.1)
|
| 134 |
+
P(beta_bar < 0 | D) = 0.478 (any attenuation at all)
|
| 135 |
+
P(delta_O < 0 | D) = 0.023 (M1: overlap reduces the deficit)
|
| 136 |
+
----- stderr -----
|
| 137 |
+
NUTS[nutpie]: [beta_bar, delta_O, tau, z_cfg, sigma_harm, z_harm, sigma_bg, z_bg, sigma]
|
| 138 |
+
----- stdout -----
|
| 139 |
+
checkpoint -> 04_A_overlap.nc
|
| 140 |
+
----- stderr -----
|
| 141 |
+
NUTS[nutpie]: [beta_bar, delta_P, tau, z_cfg, sigma_harm, z_harm, sigma_bg, z_bg, sigma]
|
| 142 |
+
----- stdout -----
|
| 143 |
+
checkpoint -> 04_A_patch.nc
|
| 144 |
+
----- stderr -----
|
| 145 |
+
NUTS[nutpie]: [beta_bar, tau, z_cfg, sigma_harm, z_harm, sigma_bg, z_bg, sigma]
|
| 146 |
+
----- stdout -----
|
| 147 |
+
checkpoint -> 04_A_none.nc
|
| 148 |
+
------------------
|
| 149 |
+
|
| 150 |
+
[31m---------------------------------------------------------------------------[39m
|
| 151 |
+
[31mMemoryError[39m Traceback (most recent call last)
|
| 152 |
+
[36mFile [39m[32m~\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\arviz_stats\loo\compare.py:636[39m, in [36m_calculate_ics[39m[34m(compare_dict, var_name)[39m
|
| 153 |
+
[32m 635[39m [38;5;28;01mtry[39;00m:
|
| 154 |
+
[32m--> [39m[32m636[39m new_compare_dict[name] = [30;43mloo[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m
|
| 155 |
+
[32m 637[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43mdataset[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m
|
| 156 |
+
[32m 638[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43mpointwise[39;49m[30;43m=[39;49m[30;43;01mTrue[39;49;00m[30;43m,[39;49m
|
| 157 |
+
[32m 639[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43mvar_name[39;49m[30;43m=[39;49m[30;43mvar_name[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m
|
| 158 |
+
[32m 640[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m
|
| 159 |
+
[32m 641[39m [38;5;28;01mexcept[39;00m [38;5;167;01mException[39;00m [38;5;28;01mas[39;00m e:
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| 160 |
+
|
| 161 |
+
[36mFile [39m[32m~\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\arviz_stats\loo\loo.py:227[39m, in [36mloo[39m[34m(data, pointwise, var_name, reff, log_lik_fn, log_weights, pareto_k, log_jacobian, mixture, moment_match, model)[39m
|
| 162 |
+
[32m 226[39m [38;5;28;01mif[39;00m log_weights [38;5;129;01mis[39;00m [38;5;28;01mNone[39;00m [38;5;129;01mand[39;00m pareto_k [38;5;129;01mis[39;00m [38;5;28;01mNone[39;00m:
|
| 163 |
+
[32m--> [39m[32m227[39m log_weights, pareto_k = [30;43mloo_inputs[39;49m[30;43m.[39;49m[30;43mlog_likelihood[39;49m[30;43m.[39;49m[30;43mazstats[39;49m[30;43m.[39;49m[30;43mpsislw[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m
|
| 164 |
+
[32m 228[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43mr_eff[39;49m[30;43m=[39;49m[30;43mreff[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43mdim[39;49m[30;43m=[39;49m[30;43mloo_inputs[39;49m[30;43m.[39;49m[30;43msample_dims[39;49m
|
| 165 |
+
[32m 229[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m
|
| 166 |
+
[32m 231[39m [38;5;28;01mif[39;00m mixture:
|
| 167 |
+
|
| 168 |
+
[36mFile [39m[32m~\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\arviz_stats\accessors.py:170[39m, in [36m_BaseAccessor.psislw[39m[34m(self, dim, **kwargs)[39m
|
| 169 |
+
[32m 169[39m [38;5;250m[39m[33;03m"""Pareto smoothed importance sampling."""[39;00m
|
| 170 |
+
[32m--> [39m[32m170[39m [38;5;28;01mreturn[39;00m [30;43mself[39;49m[30;43m.[39;49m[30;43m_apply[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m[30;43m"[39;49m[30;43mpsislw[39;49m[30;43m"[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43mdim[39;49m[30;43m=[39;49m[30;43mdim[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43m*[39;49m[30;43m*[39;49m[30;43mkwargs[39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m
|
| 171 |
+
|
| 172 |
+
[36mFile [39m[32m~\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\arviz_stats\accessors.py:398[39m, in [36mAzStatsDaAccessor._apply[39m[34m(self, func, **kwargs)[39m
|
| 173 |
+
[32m 397[39m func = get_function(func)
|
| 174 |
+
[32m--> [39m[32m398[39m [38;5;28;01mreturn[39;00m [30;43mfunc[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m[30;43mself[39;49m[30;43m.[39;49m[30;43m_obj[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43m*[39;49m[30;43m*[39;49m[30;43mkwargs[39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m
|
| 175 |
+
|
| 176 |
+
[36mFile [39m[32m~\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\arviz_stats\base\dataarray.py:546[39m, in [36mBaseDataArray.psislw[39m[34m(self, da, r_eff, dim)[39m
|
| 177 |
+
[32m 545[39m dims = validate_dims(dim)
|
| 178 |
+
[32m--> [39m[32m546[39m [38;5;28;01mreturn[39;00m [30;43mapply_ufunc[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m
|
| 179 |
+
[32m 547[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43mself[39;49m[30;43m.[39;49m[30;43marray_class[39;49m[30;43m.[39;49m[30;43mpsislw[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m
|
| 180 |
+
[32m 548[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43mda[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m
|
| 181 |
+
[32m 549[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43mr_eff[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m
|
| 182 |
+
[32m 550[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43minput_core_dims[39;49m[30;43m=[39;49m[30;43m[[39;49m[30;43mdims[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43m[[39;49m[30;43m][39;49m[30;43m][39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m
|
| 183 |
+
[32m 551[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43moutput_core_dims[39;49m[30;43m=[39;49m[30;43m[[39;49m[30;43mdims[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43m[[39;49m[30;43m][39;49m[30;43m][39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m
|
| 184 |
+
[32m 552[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43mkwargs[39;49m[30;43m=[39;49m[30;43m{[39;49m[30;43m"[39;49m[30;43maxis[39;49m[30;43m"[39;49m[30;43m:[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43mnp[39;49m[30;43m.[39;49m[30;43marange[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m[30;43m-[39;49m[30;43mlen[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m[30;43mdims[39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43m0[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43m1[39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m[30;43m}[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m
|
| 185 |
+
[32m 553[39m [30;43m[39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m
|
| 186 |
+
|
| 187 |
+
[36mFile [39m[32m~\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\xarray\computation\apply_ufunc.py:1267[39m, in [36mapply_ufunc[39m[34m(func, input_core_dims, output_core_dims, exclude_dims, vectorize, join, dataset_join, dataset_fill_value, keep_attrs, kwargs, dask, output_dtypes, output_sizes, meta, dask_gufunc_kwargs, on_missing_core_dim, *args)[39m
|
| 188 |
+
[32m 1266[39m [38;5;28;01melif[39;00m [38;5;28many[39m([38;5;28misinstance[39m(a, DataArray) [38;5;28;01mfor[39;00m a [38;5;129;01min[39;00m args):
|
| 189 |
+
[32m-> [39m[32m1267[39m [38;5;28;01mreturn[39;00m [30;43mapply_dataarray_vfunc[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m
|
| 190 |
+
[32m 1268[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43mvariables_vfunc[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m
|
| 191 |
+
[32m 1269[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43m*[39;49m[30;43margs[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m
|
| 192 |
+
[32m 1270[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43msignature[39;49m[30;43m=[39;49m[30;43msignature[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m
|
| 193 |
+
[32m 1271[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43mjoin[39;49m[30;43m=[39;49m[30;43mjoin[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m
|
| 194 |
+
[32m 1272[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43mexclude_dims[39;49m[30;43m=[39;49m[30;43mexclude_dims[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m
|
| 195 |
+
[32m 1273[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43mkeep_attrs[39;49m[30;43m=[39;49m[30;43mkeep_attrs[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m
|
| 196 |
+
[32m 1274[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m
|
| 197 |
+
[32m 1275[39m [38;5;66;03m# feed Variables directly through apply_variable_ufunc[39;00m
|
| 198 |
+
|
| 199 |
+
[36mFile [39m[32m~\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\xarray\computation\apply_ufunc.py:312[39m, in [36mapply_dataarray_vfunc[39m[34m(func, signature, join, exclude_dims, keep_attrs, *args)[39m
|
| 200 |
+
[32m 311[39m data_vars = [[38;5;28mgetattr[39m(a, [33m"[39m[33mvariable[39m[33m"[39m, a) [38;5;28;01mfor[39;00m a [38;5;129;01min[39;00m args]
|
| 201 |
+
[32m--> [39m[32m312[39m result_var = [30;43mfunc[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m[30;43m*[39;49m[30;43mdata_vars[39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m
|
| 202 |
+
[32m 314[39m out: [38;5;28mtuple[39m[DataArray, ...] | DataArray
|
| 203 |
+
|
| 204 |
+
[36mFile [39m[32m~\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\xarray\computation\apply_ufunc.py:820[39m, in [36mapply_variable_ufunc[39m[34m(func, signature, exclude_dims, dask, output_dtypes, vectorize, keep_attrs, dask_gufunc_kwargs, *args)[39m
|
| 205 |
+
[32m 816[39m func = _vectorize(
|
| 206 |
+
[32m 817[39m func, signature, output_dtypes=output_dtypes, exclude_dims=exclude_dims
|
| 207 |
+
[32m 818[39m )
|
| 208 |
+
[32m--> [39m[32m820[39m result_data = [30;43mfunc[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m[30;43m*[39;49m[30;43minput_data[39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m
|
| 209 |
+
[32m 822[39m [38;5;28;01mif[39;00m signature.num_outputs == [32m1[39m:
|
| 210 |
+
|
| 211 |
+
[36mFile [39m[32m~\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\arviz_stats\base\array.py:306[39m, in [36mBaseArray.psislw[39m[34m(self, ary, r_eff, axis)[39m
|
| 212 |
+
[32m 299[39m psl_ufunc = make_ufunc(
|
| 213 |
+
[32m 300[39m [38;5;28mself[39m._psislw,
|
| 214 |
+
[32m 301[39m n_output=[32m2[39m,
|
| 215 |
+
[32m (...)[39m[32m 304[39m ravel=[38;5;28;01mFalse[39;00m,
|
| 216 |
+
[32m 305[39m )
|
| 217 |
+
[32m--> [39m[32m306[39m [38;5;28;01mreturn[39;00m [30;43mpsl_ufunc[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m[30;43mary[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43mout_shape[39;49m[30;43m=[39;49m[30;43m[[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m[30;43mary[39;49m[30;43m.[39;49m[30;43mshape[39;49m[30;43m[[39;49m[30;43mi[39;49m[30;43m][39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43;01mfor[39;49;00m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43mi[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43;01min[39;49;00m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43maxes[39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43m[[39;49m[30;43m][39;49m[30;43m][39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43mr_eff[39;49m[30;43m=[39;49m[30;43mr_eff[39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m
|
| 218 |
+
|
| 219 |
+
[36mFile [39m[32m~\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\arviz_stats\base\stats_utils.py:89[39m, in [36mmake_ufunc.<locals>._multi_ufunc[39m[34m(out, out_shape, shape_from_1st, *args, **kwargs)[39m
|
| 220 |
+
[32m 88[39m [38;5;28;01melse[39;00m:
|
| 221 |
+
[32m---> [39m[32m89[39m out = [30;43mtuple[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m[30;43mnp[39;49m[30;43m.[39;49m[30;43mempty[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m[30;43m([39;49m[30;43m*[39;49m[30;43melement_shape[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43m*[39;49m[30;43mout_shape[39;49m[30;43m[[39;49m[30;43mi[39;49m[30;43m][39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43;01mfor[39;49;00m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43mi[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43;01min[39;49;00m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43mrange[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m[30;43mn_output[39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m
|
| 222 |
+
[32m 91[39m [38;5;28;01melif[39;00m check_shape:
|
| 223 |
+
|
| 224 |
+
[36mFile [39m[32m~\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\arviz_stats\base\stats_utils.py:89[39m, in [36m<genexpr>[39m[34m(.0)[39m
|
| 225 |
+
[32m 88[39m [38;5;28;01melse[39;00m:
|
| 226 |
+
[32m---> [39m[32m89[39m out = [38;5;28mtuple[39m([30;43mnp[39;49m[30;43m.[39;49m[30;43mempty[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m[30;43m([39;49m[30;43m*[39;49m[30;43melement_shape[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43m*[39;49m[30;43mout_shape[39;49m[30;43m[[39;49m[30;43mi[39;49m[30;43m][39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m [38;5;28;01mfor[39;00m i [38;5;129;01min[39;00m [38;5;28mrange[39m(n_output))
|
| 227 |
+
[32m 91[39m [38;5;28;01melif[39;00m check_shape:
|
| 228 |
+
|
| 229 |
+
[31mMemoryError[39m: Unable to allocate 10.2 GiB for an array with shape (171259, 4, 2000) and data type float64
|
| 230 |
+
|
| 231 |
+
During handling of the above exception, another exception occurred:
|
| 232 |
+
|
| 233 |
+
[31mTypeError[39m Traceback (most recent call last)
|
| 234 |
+
[36mCell[39m[36m [39m[32mIn[22][39m[32m, line 31[39m
|
| 235 |
+
[32m 27[39m fitsM1.update({lbl: cached_fit(f"04_A_{lvl}.nc",
|
| 236 |
+
[32m 28[39m [38;5;28;01mlambda[39;00m l=lvl, n=lbl: sample(model_A_contrast(live, config_level=l), n))
|
| 237 |
+
[32m 29[39m for lvl, lbl in (("overlap", "overlap only"), ("patch", "patch size only"),
|
| 238 |
+
[32m 30[39m ([33m"none"[39m, [33m"neither"[39m))})
|
| 239 |
+
[32m---> [39m[32m31[39m cmpM1 = az.compare(fitsM1)
|
| 240 |
+
[32m 32[39m display(cmpM1)
|
| 241 |
+
[32m 33[39m
|
| 242 |
+
[32m 34[39m [38;5;66;03m# plot_forest: ArviZ 1.x changed the API; draw manually[39;00m
|
| 243 |
+
|
| 244 |
+
[36mFile [39m[32m~\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\arviz_stats\loo\compare.py:202[39m, in [36mcompare[39m[34m(compare_dict, method, var_name, reference, round_to)[39m
|
| 245 |
+
[32m 199[39m [38;5;28;01melse[39;00m:
|
| 246 |
+
[32m 200[39m round_val = round_to
|
| 247 |
+
[32m--> [39m[32m202[39m ics_dict = [30;43m_calculate_ics[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m[30;43mcompare_dict[39;49m[30;43m,[39;49m[30;43m [39;49m[30;43mvar_name[39;49m[30;43m=[39;49m[30;43mvar_name[39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m
|
| 248 |
+
[32m 203[39m names = [38;5;28mlist[39m(ics_dict.keys())
|
| 249 |
+
[32m 205[39m has_subsampling = [38;5;28many[39m(
|
| 250 |
+
[32m 206[39m [38;5;28mgetattr[39m(elpd, [33m"[39m[33msubsample_size[39m[33m"[39m, [38;5;28;01mNone[39;00m) [38;5;129;01mis[39;00m [38;5;129;01mnot[39;00m [38;5;28;01mNone[39;00m [38;5;28;01mfor[39;00m elpd [38;5;129;01min[39;00m ics_dict.values()
|
| 251 |
+
[32m 207[39m )
|
| 252 |
+
|
| 253 |
+
[36mFile [39m[32m~\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\arviz_stats\loo\compare.py:642[39m, in [36m_calculate_ics[39m[34m(compare_dict, var_name)[39m
|
| 254 |
+
[32m 636[39m new_compare_dict[name] = loo(
|
| 255 |
+
[32m 637[39m dataset,
|
| 256 |
+
[32m 638[39m pointwise=[38;5;28;01mTrue[39;00m,
|
| 257 |
+
[32m 639[39m var_name=var_name,
|
| 258 |
+
[32m 640[39m )
|
| 259 |
+
[32m 641[39m [38;5;28;01mexcept[39;00m [38;5;167;01mException[39;00m [38;5;28;01mas[39;00m e:
|
| 260 |
+
[32m--> [39m[32m642[39m [38;5;28;01mraise[39;00m [30;43me[39;49m[30;43m.[39;49m[30;43m__class__[39;49m[30;43m([39;49m
|
| 261 |
+
[32m 643[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43mf[39;49m[30;43m"[39;49m[30;43mEncountered error trying to compute ELPD from model [39;49m[30;43;01m{[39;49;00m[30;43mname[39;49m[30;43;01m}[39;49;00m[30;43m.[39;49m[30;43m"[39;49m
|
| 262 |
+
[32m 644[39m [30;43m [39;49m[30;43m)[39;49m [38;5;28;01mfrom[39;00m[38;5;250m [39m[34;01me[39;00m
|
| 263 |
+
[32m 645[39m [38;5;28;01mreturn[39;00m new_compare_dict
|
| 264 |
+
|
| 265 |
+
[31mTypeError[39m: _ArrayMemoryError.__init__() missing 1 required positional argument: 'dtype'
|
| 266 |
+
|
ontology_run.log
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
| 1 |
+
[NbConvertApp] Converting notebook chronos/bayesian/reconstruction_figures_ontology.ipynb to notebook
|
| 2 |
+
C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbformat\validator.py:434: MissingIDFieldWarning: Cell is missing an id field, this will become a hard error in future nbformat versions. You may want to use `normalize()` on your notebooks before validations (available since nbformat 5.1.4). Previous versions of nbformat are fixing this issue transparently, and will stop doing so in the future.
|
| 3 |
+
_validate(nbdict, ref, version, version_minor, relax_add_props)
|
| 4 |
+
C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\zmq\_future.py:718: RuntimeWarning: Proactor event loop does not implement add_reader family of methods required for zmq. Registering an additional selector thread for add_reader support via tornado. Use `asyncio.set_event_loop_policy(WindowsSelectorEventLoopPolicy())` to avoid this warning.
|
| 5 |
+
self._get_loop()
|
| 6 |
+
[IPKernelApp] WARNING | Kernel is running over TCP without encryption. All communication (including code and outputs) is sent in plain text and is susceptible to eavesdropping. Use IPC transport or launch with kernel manager-provisioned CurveZMQ keys to enable transport encryption.
|
| 7 |
+
[NbConvertApp] Writing 4217454 bytes to chronos\bayesian\chronos\bayesian\reconstruction_figures_ontology_executed.ipynb
|
| 8 |
+
Traceback (most recent call last):
|
| 9 |
+
File "<frozen runpy>", line 198, in _run_module_as_main
|
| 10 |
+
File "<frozen runpy>", line 88, in _run_code
|
| 11 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\__main__.py", line 5, in <module>
|
| 12 |
+
main()
|
| 13 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\jupyter_core\application.py", line 284, in launch_instance
|
| 14 |
+
super().launch_instance(argv=argv, **kwargs)
|
| 15 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\traitlets\config\application.py", line 1080, in launch_instance
|
| 16 |
+
app.start()
|
| 17 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\nbconvertapp.py", line 420, in start
|
| 18 |
+
self.convert_notebooks()
|
| 19 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\nbconvertapp.py", line 597, in convert_notebooks
|
| 20 |
+
self.convert_single_notebook(notebook_filename)
|
| 21 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\nbconvertapp.py", line 566, in convert_single_notebook
|
| 22 |
+
write_results = self.write_single_notebook(output, resources)
|
| 23 |
+
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
|
| 24 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\nbconvertapp.py", line 526, in write_single_notebook
|
| 25 |
+
return self.writer.write(output, resources, notebook_name=notebook_name)
|
| 26 |
+
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
|
| 27 |
+
File "C:\Users\feder\AppData\Local\Programs\Python\Python312\Lib\site-packages\nbconvert\writers\files.py", line 152, in write
|
| 28 |
+
with open(dest_path, "w", encoding="utf-8") as f:
|
| 29 |
+
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
|
| 30 |
+
FileNotFoundError: [Errno 2] No such file or directory: 'chronos\\bayesian\\chronos\\bayesian\\reconstruction_figures_ontology_executed.ipynb'
|