ForecastBench bot
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Commit
·
09f8fd4
1
Parent(s):
f22472d
resolution set: automatic update for 2025-12-07-llm.json.
Browse files
datasets/resolution_sets/2025-12-07_resolution_set.json
CHANGED
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@@ -1622,7 +1622,7 @@
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| 1830 |
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@@ -1870,7 +1870,7 @@
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@@ -1886,7 +1886,7 @@
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| 1886 |
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| 1887 |
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@@ -1894,7 +1894,7 @@
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| 1895 |
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@@ -1902,15 +1902,15 @@
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| 1903 |
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{
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| 1911 |
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@@ -1918,15 +1918,15 @@
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| 1918 |
"id": "vbFbnc7bl8Q6CTPtG3FG",
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| 1919 |
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| 1920 |
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| 1924 |
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| 1925 |
{
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| 1926 |
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| 1927 |
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| 1928 |
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| 1929 |
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| 1930 |
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@@ -1934,15 +1934,15 @@
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| 1934 |
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| 1935 |
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| 1938 |
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| 1939 |
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| 1940 |
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| 1941 |
{
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| 1942 |
"id": "yTCCaTUbAtJWWFo1dGzD",
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| 1943 |
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| 1944 |
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| 1945 |
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| 1946 |
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| 1947 |
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| 1948 |
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|
@@ -1950,7 +1950,7 @@
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|
| 1950 |
"id": "ygZRENPOg5",
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| 1951 |
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| 1954 |
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| 1955 |
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| 1956 |
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@@ -1958,7 +1958,7 @@
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|
| 1958 |
"id": "zAyUSgCu2s",
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| 1959 |
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| 1961 |
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| 1963 |
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@@ -1966,7 +1966,7 @@
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| 1966 |
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| 1967 |
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| 1969 |
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| 1970 |
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@@ -1974,7 +1974,7 @@
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| 1974 |
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| 1975 |
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| 1980 |
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@@ -1982,7 +1982,7 @@
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| 1982 |
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| 1983 |
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| 1986 |
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| 1987 |
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| 1988 |
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@@ -1990,7 +1990,7 @@
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|
| 1990 |
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| 1991 |
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@@ -1998,7 +1998,7 @@
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| 1999 |
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@@ -2006,7 +2006,7 @@
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@@ -2014,7 +2014,7 @@
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@@ -2022,7 +2022,7 @@
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@@ -2030,7 +2030,7 @@
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@@ -2038,7 +2038,7 @@
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| 2038 |
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| 2041 |
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|
| 2042 |
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|
| 2043 |
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|
| 2044 |
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|
|
@@ -2046,7 +2046,7 @@
|
|
| 2046 |
"id": "14441",
|
| 2047 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2048 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2049 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2050 |
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|
| 2051 |
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|
| 2052 |
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|
|
@@ -2054,7 +2054,7 @@
|
|
| 2054 |
"id": "1480",
|
| 2055 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2056 |
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|
| 2057 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2058 |
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|
| 2059 |
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|
| 2060 |
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|
|
@@ -2062,7 +2062,7 @@
|
|
| 2062 |
"id": "1493",
|
| 2063 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2064 |
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|
| 2065 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2066 |
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|
| 2067 |
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|
| 2068 |
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|
@@ -2070,7 +2070,7 @@
|
|
| 2070 |
"id": "1500",
|
| 2071 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2072 |
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|
| 2073 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2074 |
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|
| 2075 |
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|
| 2076 |
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|
|
@@ -2078,7 +2078,7 @@
|
|
| 2078 |
"id": "1515",
|
| 2079 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2080 |
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|
| 2081 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2082 |
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|
| 2083 |
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|
| 2084 |
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|
|
@@ -2086,7 +2086,7 @@
|
|
| 2086 |
"id": "15206",
|
| 2087 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2088 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2089 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2090 |
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|
| 2091 |
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|
| 2092 |
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|
|
@@ -2094,7 +2094,7 @@
|
|
| 2094 |
"id": "15226",
|
| 2095 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2096 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2097 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2098 |
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|
| 2099 |
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|
| 2100 |
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|
|
@@ -2102,7 +2102,7 @@
|
|
| 2102 |
"id": "1536",
|
| 2103 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2104 |
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|
| 2105 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2106 |
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|
| 2107 |
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|
| 2108 |
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|
|
@@ -2110,15 +2110,15 @@
|
|
| 2110 |
"id": "15370",
|
| 2111 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2112 |
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|
| 2113 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2114 |
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|
| 2115 |
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|
| 2116 |
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|
| 2117 |
{
|
| 2118 |
"id": "15602",
|
| 2119 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2120 |
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|
| 2121 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2122 |
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|
| 2123 |
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|
| 2124 |
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|
|
@@ -2126,7 +2126,7 @@
|
|
| 2126 |
"id": "15644",
|
| 2127 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2128 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2129 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2130 |
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|
| 2131 |
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|
| 2132 |
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|
|
@@ -2134,7 +2134,7 @@
|
|
| 2134 |
"id": "16011",
|
| 2135 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2136 |
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|
| 2137 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2138 |
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|
| 2139 |
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|
| 2140 |
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|
|
@@ -2142,7 +2142,7 @@
|
|
| 2142 |
"id": "1642",
|
| 2143 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2144 |
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|
| 2145 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2146 |
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|
| 2147 |
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| 2148 |
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|
@@ -2150,7 +2150,7 @@
|
|
| 2150 |
"id": "16469",
|
| 2151 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2152 |
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|
| 2153 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2154 |
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|
| 2155 |
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| 2156 |
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|
@@ -2158,7 +2158,7 @@
|
|
| 2158 |
"id": "17095",
|
| 2159 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2160 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2161 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2162 |
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|
| 2163 |
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|
| 2164 |
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|
|
@@ -2166,7 +2166,7 @@
|
|
| 2166 |
"id": "17110",
|
| 2167 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2168 |
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|
| 2169 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2170 |
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|
| 2171 |
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|
| 2172 |
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|
|
@@ -2174,7 +2174,7 @@
|
|
| 2174 |
"id": "17325",
|
| 2175 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2176 |
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|
| 2177 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2178 |
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|
| 2179 |
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|
| 2180 |
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|
|
@@ -2182,7 +2182,7 @@
|
|
| 2182 |
"id": "17508",
|
| 2183 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2184 |
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|
| 2185 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2186 |
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|
| 2187 |
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|
| 2188 |
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|
@@ -2190,7 +2190,7 @@
|
|
| 2190 |
"id": "17825",
|
| 2191 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2192 |
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|
| 2193 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2194 |
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|
| 2195 |
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| 2196 |
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|
@@ -2198,7 +2198,7 @@
|
|
| 2198 |
"id": "18092",
|
| 2199 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2200 |
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|
| 2201 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2202 |
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|
| 2203 |
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| 2204 |
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|
@@ -2206,7 +2206,7 @@
|
|
| 2206 |
"id": "18545",
|
| 2207 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2208 |
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|
| 2209 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2210 |
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|
| 2211 |
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| 2212 |
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|
@@ -2214,7 +2214,7 @@
|
|
| 2214 |
"id": "18612",
|
| 2215 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2216 |
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|
| 2217 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2218 |
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|
| 2219 |
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|
| 2220 |
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|
|
@@ -2222,7 +2222,7 @@
|
|
| 2222 |
"id": "18673",
|
| 2223 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2224 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2225 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2226 |
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|
| 2227 |
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| 2228 |
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|
@@ -2230,7 +2230,7 @@
|
|
| 2230 |
"id": "18683",
|
| 2231 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2232 |
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|
| 2233 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2234 |
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|
| 2235 |
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| 2236 |
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|
@@ -2238,7 +2238,7 @@
|
|
| 2238 |
"id": "19767",
|
| 2239 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2240 |
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|
| 2241 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2242 |
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|
| 2243 |
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| 2244 |
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|
@@ -2246,7 +2246,7 @@
|
|
| 2246 |
"id": "19949",
|
| 2247 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2248 |
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|
| 2249 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2250 |
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|
| 2251 |
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|
| 2252 |
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|
@@ -2254,7 +2254,7 @@
|
|
| 2254 |
"id": "20056",
|
| 2255 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2256 |
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|
| 2257 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2258 |
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|
| 2259 |
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|
| 2260 |
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|
@@ -2262,7 +2262,7 @@
|
|
| 2262 |
"id": "20172",
|
| 2263 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2264 |
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|
| 2265 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2266 |
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|
| 2267 |
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| 2268 |
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|
@@ -2270,7 +2270,7 @@
|
|
| 2270 |
"id": "21139",
|
| 2271 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2272 |
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|
| 2273 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2274 |
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|
| 2275 |
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|
| 2276 |
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|
@@ -2278,7 +2278,7 @@
|
|
| 2278 |
"id": "21485",
|
| 2279 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2280 |
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|
| 2281 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2282 |
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|
| 2283 |
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|
| 2284 |
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|
|
@@ -2286,7 +2286,7 @@
|
|
| 2286 |
"id": "21869",
|
| 2287 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2288 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2289 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2290 |
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|
| 2291 |
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|
| 2292 |
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|
|
@@ -2294,7 +2294,7 @@
|
|
| 2294 |
"id": "21870",
|
| 2295 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2296 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2297 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2298 |
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|
| 2299 |
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|
| 2300 |
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|
|
@@ -2302,7 +2302,7 @@
|
|
| 2302 |
"id": "23458",
|
| 2303 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2304 |
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|
| 2305 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2306 |
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|
| 2307 |
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|
| 2308 |
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|
|
@@ -2310,7 +2310,7 @@
|
|
| 2310 |
"id": "24789",
|
| 2311 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2312 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2313 |
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"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2314 |
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|
| 2315 |
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|
| 2316 |
},
|
|
@@ -2318,7 +2318,7 @@
|
|
| 2318 |
"id": "25349",
|
| 2319 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2320 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2321 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2322 |
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|
| 2323 |
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|
| 2324 |
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|
|
@@ -2326,7 +2326,7 @@
|
|
| 2326 |
"id": "25598",
|
| 2327 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2328 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2329 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2330 |
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|
| 2331 |
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|
| 2332 |
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|
|
@@ -2334,7 +2334,7 @@
|
|
| 2334 |
"id": "25655",
|
| 2335 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2336 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2337 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2338 |
"resolved_to": 0.47000000000000003,
|
| 2339 |
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|
| 2340 |
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|
|
@@ -2342,7 +2342,7 @@
|
|
| 2342 |
"id": "26082",
|
| 2343 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2344 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2345 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2346 |
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|
| 2347 |
"resolved": false
|
| 2348 |
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|
|
@@ -2350,7 +2350,7 @@
|
|
| 2350 |
"id": "2632",
|
| 2351 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2352 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2353 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2354 |
"resolved_to": 0.35000000000000003,
|
| 2355 |
"resolved": false
|
| 2356 |
},
|
|
@@ -2358,7 +2358,7 @@
|
|
| 2358 |
"id": "27208",
|
| 2359 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2360 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2361 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2362 |
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|
| 2363 |
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|
| 2364 |
},
|
|
@@ -2366,7 +2366,7 @@
|
|
| 2366 |
"id": "3244",
|
| 2367 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2368 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2369 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2370 |
"resolved_to": 0.47000000000000003,
|
| 2371 |
"resolved": false
|
| 2372 |
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|
|
@@ -2374,7 +2374,7 @@
|
|
| 2374 |
"id": "34504",
|
| 2375 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2376 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2377 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2378 |
"resolved_to": 0.9500000000000001,
|
| 2379 |
"resolved": false
|
| 2380 |
},
|
|
@@ -2382,7 +2382,7 @@
|
|
| 2382 |
"id": "37349",
|
| 2383 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2384 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2385 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2386 |
"resolved_to": 0.03,
|
| 2387 |
"resolved": false
|
| 2388 |
},
|
|
@@ -2390,7 +2390,7 @@
|
|
| 2390 |
"id": "3812",
|
| 2391 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2392 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2393 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2394 |
"resolved_to": 0.4678858797,
|
| 2395 |
"resolved": false
|
| 2396 |
},
|
|
@@ -2398,8 +2398,8 @@
|
|
| 2398 |
"id": "38908",
|
| 2399 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2400 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2401 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2402 |
-
"resolved_to": 0.
|
| 2403 |
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|
| 2404 |
},
|
| 2405 |
{
|
|
@@ -2414,7 +2414,7 @@
|
|
| 2414 |
"id": "40407",
|
| 2415 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2416 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2417 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2418 |
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|
| 2419 |
"resolved": false
|
| 2420 |
},
|
|
@@ -2422,7 +2422,7 @@
|
|
| 2422 |
"id": "4290",
|
| 2423 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2424 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2425 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2426 |
"resolved_to": 0.05,
|
| 2427 |
"resolved": false
|
| 2428 |
},
|
|
@@ -2430,7 +2430,7 @@
|
|
| 2430 |
"id": "492",
|
| 2431 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2432 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2433 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2434 |
"resolved_to": 0.01,
|
| 2435 |
"resolved": false
|
| 2436 |
},
|
|
@@ -2438,7 +2438,7 @@
|
|
| 2438 |
"id": "5832",
|
| 2439 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2440 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2441 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2442 |
"resolved_to": 0.51,
|
| 2443 |
"resolved": false
|
| 2444 |
},
|
|
@@ -2446,7 +2446,7 @@
|
|
| 2446 |
"id": "6632",
|
| 2447 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2448 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2449 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2450 |
"resolved_to": 0.125,
|
| 2451 |
"resolved": false
|
| 2452 |
},
|
|
@@ -2454,7 +2454,7 @@
|
|
| 2454 |
"id": "6806",
|
| 2455 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2456 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2457 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2458 |
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|
| 2459 |
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|
| 2460 |
},
|
|
@@ -2462,7 +2462,7 @@
|
|
| 2462 |
"id": "7041",
|
| 2463 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2464 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2465 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2466 |
"resolved_to": 0.25,
|
| 2467 |
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|
| 2468 |
},
|
|
@@ -2470,7 +2470,7 @@
|
|
| 2470 |
"id": "7072",
|
| 2471 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2472 |
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|
| 2473 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2474 |
"resolved_to": 0.1,
|
| 2475 |
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|
| 2476 |
},
|
|
@@ -2478,7 +2478,7 @@
|
|
| 2478 |
"id": "7509",
|
| 2479 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2480 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2481 |
-
"resolution_date": "2025-12-
|
| 2482 |
"resolved_to": 0.02,
|
| 2483 |
"resolved": false
|
| 2484 |
},
|
|
@@ -2486,7 +2486,7 @@
|
|
| 2486 |
"id": "7994",
|
| 2487 |
"source": "metaculus",
|
| 2488 |
"direction": null,
|
| 2489 |
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| 2490 |
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| 2491 |
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| 2492 |
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@@ -2494,7 +2494,7 @@
|
|
| 2494 |
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|
| 2495 |
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|
| 2496 |
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| 2497 |
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|
| 2498 |
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| 2499 |
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| 2500 |
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@@ -2502,7 +2502,7 @@
|
|
| 2502 |
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|
| 2503 |
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| 2504 |
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| 2505 |
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|
| 2506 |
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| 2508 |
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@@ -2510,7 +2510,7 @@
|
|
| 2510 |
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| 2511 |
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| 2512 |
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| 2513 |
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| 2514 |
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| 2515 |
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| 2516 |
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@@ -2518,7 +2518,7 @@
|
|
| 2518 |
"id": "8601",
|
| 2519 |
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| 2520 |
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| 2521 |
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|
| 2522 |
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| 2524 |
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@@ -2526,7 +2526,7 @@
|
|
| 2526 |
"id": "8608",
|
| 2527 |
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|
| 2528 |
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| 2529 |
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| 2530 |
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| 2531 |
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| 2532 |
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@@ -2534,7 +2534,7 @@
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|
| 2534 |
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|
| 2535 |
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| 2536 |
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| 2537 |
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| 2538 |
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| 2540 |
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@@ -2542,7 +2542,7 @@
|
|
| 2542 |
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| 2543 |
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| 2544 |
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| 2545 |
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| 2546 |
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| 2547 |
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| 2548 |
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@@ -2550,7 +2550,7 @@
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|
| 2550 |
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|
| 2551 |
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| 2552 |
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| 2553 |
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| 2556 |
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@@ -2558,7 +2558,7 @@
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|
| 2558 |
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| 2559 |
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| 2560 |
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| 2561 |
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| 2562 |
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| 2564 |
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@@ -2566,15 +2566,15 @@
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| 2570 |
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| 2573 |
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| 2574 |
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| 2575 |
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| 2576 |
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| 2580 |
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| 2582 |
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| 2583 |
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| 2584 |
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| 2588 |
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@@ -2590,15 +2590,15 @@
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| 2590 |
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| 2591 |
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| 2598 |
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| 2599 |
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| 2600 |
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| 2607 |
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| 2615 |
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| 2620 |
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@@ -2630,7 +2630,7 @@
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| 2631 |
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| 2632 |
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| 2648 |
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@@ -2750,7 +2750,7 @@
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