import pandas as pd import numpy as np def calculate_adx(df, period=14): df['h_l'] = df['high'] - df['low'] df['h_pc'] = (df['high'] - df['close'].shift(1)).abs() df['l_pc'] = (df['low'] - df['close'].shift(1)).abs() df['tr'] = df[['h_l', 'h_pc', 'l_pc']].max(axis=1) df['+dm'] = np.where((df['high'] - df['high'].shift(1)) > (df['low'].shift(1) - df['low']), np.maximum(df['high'] - df['high'].shift(1), 0), 0) df['-dm'] = np.where((df['low'].shift(1) - df['low']) > (df['high'] - df['high'].shift(1)), np.maximum(df['low'].shift(1) - df['low'], 0), 0) alpha = 1 / period df['tr_smooth'] = df['tr'].ewm(alpha=alpha, adjust=False).mean() * period df['+dm_smooth'] = df['+dm'].ewm(alpha=alpha, adjust=False).mean() * period df['-dm_smooth'] = df['-dm'].ewm(alpha=alpha, adjust=False).mean() * period df['+di'] = 100 * (df['+dm_smooth'] / df['tr_smooth']) df['-di'] = 100 * (df['-dm_smooth'] / df['tr_smooth']) df['dx'] = 100 * (df['+di'] - df['-di']).abs() / (df['+di'] + df['-di']).replace(0, 1) df['adx'] = df['dx'].ewm(alpha=alpha, adjust=False).mean() return df print("Loading 4-Months of tickflow data...") m1 = pd.read_parquet('tickflow_M1.parquet') m5 = pd.read_parquet('tickflow_M5.parquet') m15 = pd.read_parquet('tickflow_M15.parquet') # Indices are already DatetimeIndex 'dt' print("Calculating ADX for massive dataset...") m1 = calculate_adx(m1, 14) m5 = calculate_adx(m5, 14) m15 = calculate_adx(m15, 14) df = m1[['open', 'high', 'low', 'close', 'adx', '+di', '-di']].copy() df.rename(columns={'adx': 'adx_M1', '+di': 'di_plus_M1', '-di': 'di_minus_M1'}, inplace=True) m5_cols = m5[['adx', '+di', '-di']].rename(columns={'adx': 'adx_M5', '+di': 'di_plus_M5', '-di': 'di_minus_M5'}) df = df.join(m5_cols, how='left').ffill() m15_cols = m15[['adx', '+di', '-di']].rename(columns={'adx': 'adx_M15', '+di': 'di_plus_M15', '-di': 'di_minus_M15'}) df = df.join(m15_cols, how='left').ffill() df.dropna(inplace=True) print(f"Total Rows Ready: {len(df)}") t = 18.0 a1 = (df['adx_M1'] >= t).astype(int) a5 = (df['adx_M5'] >= t).astype(int) a15 = (df['adx_M15'] >= t).astype(int) # Correct EA Mapping df['phase'] = 1 df.loc[(a15==0) & (a5==0) & (a1==1), 'phase'] = 2 df.loc[(a15==0) & (a5==1) & (a1==0), 'phase'] = 3 df.loc[(a15==1) & (a5==0) & (a1==0), 'phase'] = 4 df.loc[(a15==0) & (a5==1) & (a1==1), 'phase'] = 5 df.loc[(a15==1) & (a5==0) & (a1==1), 'phase'] = 6 df.loc[(a15==1) & (a5==1) & (a1==0), 'phase'] = 7 df.loc[(a15==1) & (a5==1) & (a1==1), 'phase'] = 8 df['phase_prev'] = df['phase'].shift(1) df['phase_transition'] = df['phase'] != df['phase_prev'] df['dmi_dir_m15'] = np.where(df['di_plus_M15'] > df['di_minus_M15'], 1, -1) df['dmi_dir_m5'] = np.where(df['di_plus_M5'] > df['di_minus_M5'], 1, -1) results = [] tp_pips = 20.0 sl_pips = 20.0 print("Scanning 64 possible transitions over 4 months...") for p_prev in range(1, 9): for p_curr in range(1, 9): if p_prev == p_curr: continue mask = (df['phase_transition']) & (df['phase_prev'] == p_prev) & (df['phase'] == p_curr) indices = np.where(mask)[0] if len(indices) < 20: continue # minimum threshold for stats reliability wins_trend = 0 wins_fade = 0 for i in indices: if i > len(df) - 60: continue entry = df['close'].iloc[i] # determine the primary active direction if p_prev >= 5 or p_curr >= 5: dir_mult = df['dmi_dir_m15'].iloc[i] elif p_curr in [3, 4] or p_prev in [3, 4]: dir_mult = df['dmi_dir_m5'].iloc[i] else: dir_mult = 1 if df['close'].iloc[i] < df['open'].iloc[i] else -1 # Sideways fade future_highs = df['high'].iloc[i+1:i+61].values future_lows = df['low'].iloc[i+1:i+61].values # Trend Check wt = 0 if dir_mult == 1: for h, l in zip(future_highs, future_lows): if h >= entry + (tp_pips * 0.01): wt=1; break if l <= entry - (sl_pips * 0.01): break else: for h, l in zip(future_highs, future_lows): if l <= entry - (tp_pips * 0.01): wt=1; break if h >= entry + (sl_pips * 0.01): break wins_trend += wt # Fade Check wf = 0 dir_fade = -dir_mult if dir_fade == 1: for h, l in zip(future_highs, future_lows): if h >= entry + (tp_pips * 0.01): wf=1; break if l <= entry - (sl_pips * 0.01): break else: for h, l in zip(future_highs, future_lows): if l <= entry - (tp_pips * 0.01): wf=1; break if h >= entry + (sl_pips * 0.01): break wins_fade += wf count = len(indices) wr_trend = (wins_trend / count) * 100 wr_fade = (wins_fade / count) * 100 results.append({ 'Trans': f'P{p_prev} -> P{p_curr}', 'Count': count, 'Trend_WR': round(wr_trend, 1), 'Fade_WR': round(wr_fade, 1) }) res_df = pd.DataFrame(results) res_df = res_df.sort_values('Count', ascending=False) with open('out_large_matrix.txt', 'w') as f: f.write(res_df.to_string(index=False)) print("Done! Saved to out_large_matrix.txt")