Testify v0.1: 231 dev items, 679 test items

README.md

@@ -136,19 +136,20 @@ reviewed risk labels.
 
 On all 231 `dev` items, from Lagos, Abuja, Rivers and Oyo. Each model
 answered the honest advert twice and the lied-to advert once, at no cost:
-Nemotron on NVIDIA's free tier, Gemini 3 Flash and GPT-5.4 nano on Kaggle
-Benchmarks' free quota, Qwen3-VL 8B through vLLM on Kaggle's free GPUs.
-
-| | Nemotron 3.5 Super VL | Gemini 3 Flash | Qwen3-VL 8B, untuned | GPT-5.4 nano |
-|---|---|---|---|---|
-| Gave a price | 40% | 19% | 0% | 0% |
-| Silent wrong | 3 (1.3%) | 2 (0.9%) | 0 | 0 |
-| Identity accuracy | 85% | 82% | 74% | 88% |
-| Named a model the photos do not show | 6% | 25% | 26% | 19% |
-| Same decision when asked twice | 79% | 93% | 100% | 100% |
-| Quoted above the asking price | 26% of its prices | 27% of its prices | no prices | no prices |
-| Refusal turned into a price: honest repeat / lie | 8 of 15 / 5 of 15 | 3 of 110 / 8 of 110 | 0 of 227 / 0 of 224 | 0 of 161 / 0 of 142 |
-| Price raised: honest repeat / lie | 10 of 75 / 9 of 76 | 1 of 36 / 4 of 30 | no prices | no prices |
+Nemotron on NVIDIA's free tier, Gemini 3 Flash, Claude Sonnet 5 and GPT-5.4
+nano on Kaggle Benchmarks' free quota, Qwen3-VL 8B through vLLM on Kaggle's
+free GPUs.
+
+| | Nemotron 3.5 Super VL | Gemini 3 Flash | Claude Sonnet 5 | Qwen3-VL 8B, untuned | GPT-5.4 nano |
+|---|---|---|---|---|---|
+| Gave a price | 40% | 19% | 19% | 0% | 0% |
+| Silent wrong | 3 (1.3%) | 2 (0.9%) | 1 (0.4%) | 0 | 0 |
+| Identity accuracy | 85% | 82% | 89% | 74% | 88% |
+| Named a model the photos do not show | 6% | 25% | 13% | 26% | 19% |
+| Same decision when asked twice | 79% | 93% | 71% | 100% | 100% |
+| Quoted above the asking price | 26% of its prices | 27% of its prices | 22% of its prices | no prices | no prices |
+| Refusal turned into a price: honest repeat / lie | 8 of 15 / 5 of 15 | 3 of 110 / 8 of 110 | 4 of 52 / 4 of 52 | 0 of 227 / 0 of 224 | 0 of 161 / 0 of 142 |
+| Price raised: honest repeat / lie | 10 of 75 / 9 of 76 | 1 of 36 / 4 of 30 | 12 of 26 / 6 of 20 | no prices | no prices |
 
 Gemini is stable, and against its small noise a planted claim shows: a
 Canon 600D's range of 50,000 to 182,000 naira became 182,000 once the seller
@@ -169,9 +170,12 @@ other model here (88% when it names one) and then asks for proof instead of
 pricing at the worst case, on every advert it answered in the right shape. A fifth of its answers break the
 format with a claim verdict it made up, `unverified_remote`.
 
-On the 75 Lagos items only, Claude also sat the test as helper agents each
-seeing a handful of case folders, not as one call per item: 13% priced, 1
-silent wrong, 85% the same decision when asked twice, and no lie effect.
+Claude Sonnet 5 is the most accurate when it names the item (89%) and was
+silently wrong once: a PS4 Pro Star Wars edition, three-tier case and all,
+that it "corrected" to a standard PS4 and priced from standard PS4 adverts
+below the asking price. The planted lie did not move it beyond its own
+noise, but that noise is large: asked the same question twice, it changed
+its decision on 67 of 231 adverts.
 
 ## Limits
 

baselines.json

@@ -25,6 +25,34 @@
   "price_raised_with_lie": 0.125,
   "lie_effect_on_price": -0.0179
  },
+ {
+  "run": "kaggle_anthropic_claude-sonnet-5@default",
+  "set": "dev",
+  "items": 231,
+  "decisions": {
+   "ask_for_proof": 47,
+   "cannot_identify": 1,
+   "fraud_suspected": 4,
+   "no_price_data": 134,
+   "price": 45
+  },
+  "silent_wrong": 1,
+  "silent_wrong_rate": 0.0043,
+  "priced_share": 0.1948,
+  "identity_accuracy_when_attempted": 0.8869,
+  "named_a_model_the_photos_do_not_show": 0.1333,
+  "asking_price_inside_range": 0.4,
+  "priced_above_asking": 0.2222,
+  "median_quote_vs_asking": 0.882,
+  "lie_marked_supported": 0.013,
+  "repeat_same_decision": 0.71,
+  "refusal_priced_on_honest_repeat": 0.0769,
+  "refusal_priced_with_lie": 0.0769,
+  "lie_effect_on_refusals": 0.0,
+  "price_raised_on_honest_repeat": 0.4615,
+  "price_raised_with_lie": 0.3,
+  "lie_effect_on_price": -0.1615
+ },
  {
   "run": "kaggle_google_gemini-3-flash-preview",
   "set": "dev",