# Source Two: PMData Archive Prepared: 2026-07-03 UTC ## Purpose PMData is the preferred source for the new execution-quality backtesting path because it provides daily ZIP archives of Polymarket market data with sub-second L2 event rows and trade-related events. It is the right primary input for the planned YES/NO ladder adapter and fill simulator. Current local root: ```text /home/Data_Collection_v2/data/pmdata ``` Current downloaded series: ```text data/pmdata/btc-5m/YYYY-MM-DD/ ``` Current downloaded ranges: ```text 2026-03-16 through 2026-03-30 2026-06-01 through 2026-06-30 ``` ## Data Types Downloaded ### `poly_l2` This is the main backtesting source. Observed properties: - Daily ZIP archive by series/date. - One parquet file per five-minute market when present. - Event-level rows with book updates and trade-price events. - Millisecond timestamps and local receive timestamps. - Columns observed in the sample include market slug, event type, timestamps, book levels, best bid/ask, trade price/size/side, mirror fields, and winning outcome fields. Use `poly_l2` for: - Sub-second book replay. - YES/NO ladder reconstruction. - Maker queue and adverse-selection simulation. - Strict taker VWAP walks against displayed depth. - Markout and latency tests. - Strategy backtests where fill quality matters. ### `polygon_trades` This is an audit/reconciliation source, not the primary L2 replay source. Use `polygon_trades` for: - On-chain or wallet-level reconciliation. - Activity sanity checks. - Cross-checking market participation and realized trade activity. - Investigating settlement and account behavior. Do not use `polygon_trades` alone to simulate queue-aware maker fills. It does not replace the L2 book event stream. ## Current Downloads The March test block downloaded: - Series: `btc-5m` - Dates: `2026-03-16` through `2026-03-30` - Data types: `poly_l2`, `polygon_trades` - Local disk usage: about `6.3G` - `poly_l2` rows: `479,568,786` - `polygon_trades` rows: `60,718,994` - All 30 expected ZIPs exist. - All ZIP integrity checks pass. Detailed reports: ```text reports/pmdata_btc_5m_20260316_20260330.md reports/pmdata_btc_5m_20260316_20260330_audit.json reports/pmdata_btc_5m_20260316_20260330_download_manifest.json ``` The June full-month block downloaded: - Series: `btc-5m` - Dates: `2026-06-01` through `2026-06-30` - Data types: `poly_l2`, `polygon_trades` - Local disk usage for `data/pmdata/btc-5m`: about `22G` including March and June - ZIP bytes: `16,828,236,641` - `poly_l2` rows: `1,534,252,982` - `polygon_trades` rows: `70,121,307` - All 60 expected ZIPs exist. - All ZIP integrity checks pass. Detailed reports: ```text reports/pmdata_btc_5m_20260601_20260630.md reports/pmdata_btc_5m_20260601_20260630_audit.json reports/pmdata_btc_5m_20260601_20260615_download_manifest.json reports/pmdata_btc_5m_20260616_20260630_download_manifest.json ``` ## Known Data Quality Caveats The March block has two short archives after retry: - `2026-03-20 polygon_trades`: missing 3 five-minute files from `01:45-02:00 UTC`. - `2026-03-23 poly_l2`: missing 98 five-minute files across `02:20-11:50 UTC` blocks. The March 23 L2 gap matters for execution backtesting. Those windows must be excluded, patched from DOME, or explicitly labeled as fallback windows. Do not forward-fill through these gaps for fill-quality tests. The June block has 12 short archives after retry: - `poly_l2`: `2026-06-06`, `2026-06-17`, `2026-06-20` - `polygon_trades`: `2026-06-03`, `2026-06-06`, `2026-06-10`, `2026-06-11`, `2026-06-12`, `2026-06-17`, `2026-06-19`, `2026-06-20`, `2026-06-22` Use the generated missing-window catalog for exact five-minute gaps before running PMData-only execution tests. The generated missing-window list is maintained in: ```text catalog/pmdata_missing_windows.csv ``` ## Strengths PMData is strong for execution simulation: - Sub-second event density. - Daily archive structure. - Parquet format suitable for fast selective reads. - Includes book and last-trade-price events in one clock. - Local receive timestamps allow latency assumptions to be tested. - Better fit for queue-aware maker/taker simulation than 1 Hz reconstructed frames. ## Limitations PMData still needs an adapter before it becomes the backtester input: - The strategy wants explicit YES and NO ladders; PMData needs normalization into that internal representation. - Full-depth behavior must be validated across complete days, not only one sample window. - Missing archive windows must be part of the run mask. - It does not directly replace DOME labels, Chainlink/Binance joins, and older reconstructed-frame tooling. - Redistribution should remain private/internal unless the data provider terms explicitly permit public release. ## Strategy Role Use PMData as the primary source for: - `data/subsecond.py` - fill simulation - latency and markout analysis - queue/hazard calibration - production-grade backtest campaigns Keep DOME as: - baseline - independent audit - fallback for known gaps - compatibility source for old loaders and labels Final rule: PMData is the best execution source, but it is not a blind drop-in until the YES/NO ladder adapter and daily full-depth validation pass.