""" Example 1 — Regression: Process Parameters → Steady-State Melt-Pool Width Three models compared via leave-one-out cross-validation: 1. Ridge (linear baseline) 2. PolyRidge-2 (degree-2 polynomial features + Ridge) 3. GPR (RBF + white-noise kernel, uncertainty-aware) Target: mean melt-pool width (ymax − ymin) over the last N_STABLE valid timesteps of monitor/position-bounds_melt.dat. Rows with sentinel values (|val| > 1e30) are excluded (Initial Emptiness). Set N_SUBSET to a small number (e.g. 30) for a quick reviewer run. Set N_SUBSET = None to use the full dataset. Outputs saved to runs/regression_/: regression_diagnostics.png — LOO parity plots + feature relevance run.log This is a proof-of-concept, not a benchmark. """ import logging import random import sys from datetime import datetime from pathlib import Path import numpy as np from sklearn.base import clone from sklearn.gaussian_process import GaussianProcessRegressor from sklearn.gaussian_process.kernels import RBF, WhiteKernel from sklearn.inspection import permutation_importance from sklearn.linear_model import Ridge from sklearn.metrics import r2_score from sklearn.model_selection import LeaveOneOut from sklearn.pipeline import make_pipeline from sklearn.preprocessing import PolynomialFeatures, StandardScaler import matplotlib.pyplot as plt # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # Config ← edit DATA_DIRS to point at your data directories # ------------------------------------------------------------------ DATA_DIRS = [ Path(__file__).parent.parent / "rnl" / "final_data_processed", Path(__file__).parent.parent / "rnl" / "lrz_data_new_format", ] OUT_ROOT = Path(__file__).parent.parent / "runs" N_SUBSET = 30 # reviewer-friendly subset size (None = full dataset) N_STABLE = 50 # last N valid timesteps for steady-state width estimate RANDOM_SEED = 42 INPUT_PARAMS = ["laser_power", "scan_speed", "laser_spot_size", "substrate_temp"] MODEL_NAMES = ["Ridge", "PolyRidge-2", "GPR"] # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # Logger # ------------------------------------------------------------------ class _ColorFormatter(logging.Formatter): _COLORS = {logging.INFO: "\033[32m", logging.WARNING: "\033[33m", logging.ERROR: "\033[31m"} _RESET = "\033[0m"; _BOLD = "\033[1m" def format(self, record): color = self._COLORS.get(record.levelno, self._RESET) t = self.formatTime(record, "%H:%M:%S") return f"{self._BOLD}{t}{self._RESET} {color}{record.levelname:<8}{self._RESET} {record.getMessage()}" run_id = datetime.now().strftime("%Y%m%d_%H%M%S") out_dir = OUT_ROOT / f"regression_{run_id}" out_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) log = logging.getLogger("reg") log.setLevel(logging.DEBUG) _ch = logging.StreamHandler(sys.stdout); _ch.setFormatter(_ColorFormatter()); log.addHandler(_ch) _fh = logging.FileHandler(out_dir / "run.log") _fh.setFormatter(logging.Formatter("%(asctime)s %(levelname)-8s %(message)s", datefmt="%H:%M:%S")) log.addHandler(_fh) log.info("=" * 60) log.info(f"Run ID : {run_id}") log.info(f"Results : {out_dir}") log.info("=" * 60) # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # 1. Load experiments # ------------------------------------------------------------------ def load_params(sim_dir: Path) -> dict | None: pjson = sim_dir / "parameters.json" if not pjson.exists(): return None try: raw = __import__("json").loads(pjson.read_text()) return { "laser_power": float(raw["laser_power"]["value"]), "scan_speed": float(raw["scan_speed_x"]["value"]), "laser_spot_size": float(raw["laser_spot_size"]["value"]), "substrate_temperature": float(raw["substrate_temperature"]["value"]), } except Exception: return None def melt_width(sim_dir: Path, n_stable: int) -> float | None: """Mean melt-pool width (ymax − ymin) over the last n_stable valid rows. Rows where any |value| > 1e30 are Initial Emptiness sentinels → excluded. """ dat = sim_dir / "monitor" / "position-bounds_melt.dat" if not dat.exists(): return None try: b = np.loadtxt(dat, delimiter=",") if b.ndim == 1: b = b.reshape(1, -1) b = b[~np.any(np.abs(b) > 1e30, axis=1)] # drop Initial Emptiness rows if len(b) < 10: return None width = (b[-n_stable:, 3] - b[-n_stable:, 2]).mean() # ymax - ymin return width if width > 0 else None except Exception: return None all_sims = [] for data_dir in DATA_DIRS: sims = sorted(data_dir.iterdir()) if data_dir.is_dir() else [] log.info(f"Scanning {data_dir} → {len(sims)} dirs") all_sims.extend(sims) log.info(f"Total simulation directories: {len(all_sims)}") X_list, y_list, skipped = [], [], 0 for sim_dir in all_sims: if not sim_dir.is_dir(): continue params = load_params(sim_dir) if params is None: skipped += 1; continue w = melt_width(sim_dir, N_STABLE) if w is None: skipped += 1; continue X_list.append(list(params.values())) y_list.append(w) log.info(f"Valid experiments: {len(X_list)} (skipped {skipped})") X_all = np.array(X_list) y_all = np.array(y_list) log.info(f"Width range: [{y_all.min()*1e6:.1f}, {y_all.max()*1e6:.1f}] µm") # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # 2. Optional subset for reviewer # ------------------------------------------------------------------ if N_SUBSET is not None and N_SUBSET < len(X_all): rng = random.Random(RANDOM_SEED) idx = list(range(len(X_all))) rng.shuffle(idx) idx = sorted(idx[:N_SUBSET]) X, y = X_all[idx], y_all[idx] log.info(f"Reviewer subset: {len(y)} experiments") else: X, y = X_all, y_all log.info("Using full dataset") # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # 3. Models # ------------------------------------------------------------------ def make_models(): return [ make_pipeline(StandardScaler(), Ridge(alpha=1.0)), make_pipeline(PolynomialFeatures(degree=2, include_bias=False), StandardScaler(), Ridge(alpha=1.0)), make_pipeline(StandardScaler(), GaussianProcessRegressor( kernel=RBF() + WhiteKernel(), normalize_y=True, n_restarts_optimizer=5, )), ] # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # 4. LOO cross-validation # ------------------------------------------------------------------ splits = list(LeaveOneOut().split(X)) n_folds = len(splits) y_preds = {} for name, base_pipe in zip(MODEL_NAMES, make_models()): preds = np.empty(n_folds) log.info(f"[{name}] LOO CV ({n_folds} folds)") for fold, (train_idx, test_idx) in enumerate(splits): pipe = clone(base_pipe) pipe.fit(X[train_idx], y[train_idx]) preds[test_idx] = pipe.predict(X[test_idx]) if (fold + 1) % 10 == 0 or fold == n_folds - 1: running_r2 = r2_score(y[:fold+1], preds[:fold+1]) log.info(f" fold {fold+1:3d}/{n_folds} running R² = {running_r2:.3f}") log.info(f"[{name}] Final LOO R²: {r2_score(y, preds):.3f}") y_preds[name] = preds # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # 5. Fit on full subset for importance plots # ------------------------------------------------------------------ log.info("Fitting on full subset for feature importance ...") fitted = {} for name, pipe in zip(MODEL_NAMES, make_models()): pipe.fit(X, y) fitted[name] = pipe def feature_importances(name, pipe): if name == "Ridge": return pipe.named_steps["ridge"].coef_ if name == "PolyRidge-2": poly = pipe.named_steps["polynomialfeatures"] coef = pipe.named_steps["ridge"].coef_ powers = poly.powers_ imp = np.array([np.sum(np.abs(coef[powers[:, i] > 0])) for i in range(X.shape[1])]) return imp / imp.max() result = permutation_importance(pipe, X, y, n_repeats=30, random_state=0) imp = result.importances_mean return imp / (np.abs(imp).max() or 1) # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # 6. Plots — 2 rows × 3 columns # ------------------------------------------------------------------ log.info("Generating plots ...") fig, axes = plt.subplots(2, 3, figsize=(13, 8)) colors = [plt.get_cmap("tab20")(i / len(y)) for i in range(len(y))] for col, name in enumerate(MODEL_NAMES): yt, yp = y * 1e6, y_preds[name] * 1e6 r2 = r2_score(y, y_preds[name]) ax = axes[0, col] ax.scatter(yt, yp, s=35, alpha=0.85, color=colors) lo, hi = min(yt.min(), yp.min()), max(yt.max(), yp.max()) ax.plot([lo, hi], [lo, hi], "k--", lw=0.8) ax.set_title(f"{name} (R²={r2:.3f})") ax.set_xlabel("True width (µm)") if col == 0: ax.set_ylabel("Predicted width (µm)") ax = axes[1, col] imp = feature_importances(name, fitted[name]) bar_colors = ["#e06c75" if v < 0 else "#61afef" for v in imp] ax.barh(INPUT_PARAMS, imp, color=bar_colors) ax.axvline(0, color="k", lw=0.6) ax.set_xlabel("Standardised coef." if name != "GPR" else "Permutation importance (norm.)") ax.set_title(f"{name} — input relevance") subset_note = f"N={len(y)} (reviewer subset)" if N_SUBSET else f"N={len(y)} (full)" plt.suptitle( f"LOO parity and input relevance — steady-state melt-pool width [{subset_note}]", y=1.01, ) plt.tight_layout() plot_path = out_dir / "regression_diagnostics.png" plt.savefig(plot_path, dpi=150, bbox_inches="tight") log.info(f"Plot saved → {plot_path}") plt.show() log.info("Done.")