#!/usr/bin/env python3 """Analyze L4 temporal accuracy for contamination detection. Reads existing results.json files from results/llm/l4_*/ and reports accuracy_pre_2023 vs accuracy_post_2024 gap per model/config. A gap > 0.15 flags potential training data contamination. """ import json from pathlib import Path PROJECT_ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent RESULTS_DIR = PROJECT_ROOT / "results" / "llm" THRESHOLD = 0.15 def main(): rows = [] for run_dir in sorted(RESULTS_DIR.iterdir()): if not run_dir.is_dir() or not run_dir.name.startswith("l4_"): continue results_file = run_dir / "results.json" if not results_file.exists(): continue with open(results_file) as f: m = json.load(f) name = run_dir.name pre = m.get("accuracy_pre_2023") post = m.get("accuracy_post_2024") gap = round(pre - post, 4) if pre is not None and post is not None else None flag = gap > THRESHOLD if gap is not None else None rows.append({ "run": name, "accuracy": m.get("accuracy"), "mcc": m.get("mcc"), "pre_2023": pre, "post_2024": post, "gap": gap, "flag": flag, }) if not rows: print("No L4 results found.") return # Print table print(f"{'Run':<55} {'Acc':>5} {'MCC':>6} {'Pre23':>6} {'Post24':>6} {'Gap':>6} {'Flag'}") print("-" * 100) for r in rows: flag_str = "YES" if r["flag"] else ("NO" if r["flag"] is not None else "N/A") print( f"{r['run']:<55} " f"{r['accuracy']:>5.3f} " f"{r['mcc']:>6.3f} " f"{r['pre_2023']:>6.3f} " f"{r['post_2024']:>6.3f} " f"{r['gap']:>6.3f} " f"{flag_str}" ) # Summary by model from collections import defaultdict model_gaps = defaultdict(list) for r in rows: # Extract model from run name parts = r["run"][3:] # strip "l4_" if parts.endswith("_zero-shot"): model = parts[:-10] elif parts.endswith("_3-shot"): model = parts[:-7] else: model = parts model = model.rsplit("_fs", 1)[0] if r["gap"] is not None: model_gaps[model].append(r["gap"]) print("\n--- Summary by Model ---") print(f"{'Model':<40} {'Mean Gap':>8} {'Flag'}") print("-" * 55) for model, gaps in sorted(model_gaps.items()): mean_gap = sum(gaps) / len(gaps) flag = "YES" if mean_gap > THRESHOLD else "NO" print(f"{model:<40} {mean_gap:>8.4f} {flag}") print(f"\nThreshold: {THRESHOLD}") flagged = sum(1 for r in rows if r["flag"]) print(f"Flagged runs: {flagged}/{len(rows)}") if __name__ == "__main__": main()