OpenDecisions 1.0: 2,352 decisions (long logs removed), dataset card, scorer and letter readout
Browse files- README.md +191 -0
- opendecisions.jsonl +0 -0
- predict_letters.py +110 -0
- score.py +218 -0
README.md
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,191 @@
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
---
|
| 2 |
+
license: cc-by-sa-4.0
|
| 3 |
+
pretty_name: OpenDecisions
|
| 4 |
+
language:
|
| 5 |
+
- en
|
| 6 |
+
- pl
|
| 7 |
+
- pt
|
| 8 |
+
- es
|
| 9 |
+
- de
|
| 10 |
+
- ja
|
| 11 |
+
- da
|
| 12 |
+
- it
|
| 13 |
+
- fr
|
| 14 |
+
- hi
|
| 15 |
+
- ar
|
| 16 |
+
- zh
|
| 17 |
+
- ko
|
| 18 |
+
- uk
|
| 19 |
+
- el
|
| 20 |
+
- tr
|
| 21 |
+
- nl
|
| 22 |
+
- cs
|
| 23 |
+
- fi
|
| 24 |
+
- 'no'
|
| 25 |
+
- sv
|
| 26 |
+
- id
|
| 27 |
+
task_categories:
|
| 28 |
+
- multiple-choice
|
| 29 |
+
- text-classification
|
| 30 |
+
tags:
|
| 31 |
+
- decision-model
|
| 32 |
+
- jev
|
| 33 |
+
- jevbench
|
| 34 |
+
- calibration
|
| 35 |
+
- evaluation
|
| 36 |
+
size_categories:
|
| 37 |
+
- 1K<n<10K
|
| 38 |
+
configs:
|
| 39 |
+
- config_name: default
|
| 40 |
+
data_files: opendecisions.jsonl
|
| 41 |
+
---
|
| 42 |
+
|
| 43 |
+
# OpenDecisions
|
| 44 |
+
|
| 45 |
+
OpenDecisions (version 1.0) is a validation set of 2,352 Jev-style decisions: a state, a typed question and its options. A decision
|
| 46 |
+
model returns one probability per option. The set is built to compare decision models such as Jev and its open
|
| 47 |
+
alternatives. Its composition follows JevBench v1.6 (question types, difficulty tiers, item families and languages),
|
| 48 |
+
but it contains no JevBench items.
|
| 49 |
+
|
| 50 |
+
Use it for evaluation only. Do not train on it, fit temperatures on it, or use its items as examples.
|
| 51 |
+
|
| 52 |
+
## At a glance
|
| 53 |
+
|
| 54 |
+
| | |
|
| 55 |
+
|---|---|
|
| 56 |
+
| Decisions | 2,352 |
|
| 57 |
+
| Question types | choice 1,178, yes/no 586, score (ordered levels) 588 |
|
| 58 |
+
| Difficulty tiers | easy 443, standard 407, judge 581, hard 921 |
|
| 59 |
+
| Languages | English 1,842; 510 items in 21 other languages or mixed-language inputs |
|
| 60 |
+
| Labels | computed by code 599; written by an LLM author and confirmed by a labeler panel 1,443; real user requests labeled by the panel 310 |
|
| 61 |
+
|
| 62 |
+
## Files
|
| 63 |
+
|
| 64 |
+
| File | Content |
|
| 65 |
+
|---|---|
|
| 66 |
+
| `opendecisions.jsonl` | the 2,352 items |
|
| 67 |
+
| `score.py` | the scorer: Intelligence, Calibration and Capability (Python standard library only) |
|
| 68 |
+
| `predict_letters.py` | predictions from any Hugging Face chat model with a letter readout (one forward pass per item) |
|
| 69 |
+
|
| 70 |
+
## How to evaluate
|
| 71 |
+
|
| 72 |
+
Write one prediction per item to a JSONL file, `{"id": "<item id>", "probs": {...}}`:
|
| 73 |
+
|
| 74 |
+
- choice: one probability per option id in `labels`
|
| 75 |
+
- yes/no: `{"yes": p, "no": 1 - p}`
|
| 76 |
+
- score: one probability per level `"0"`, `"1"`, ...
|
| 77 |
+
|
| 78 |
+
The probabilities of an item must sum to 1. Items without a prediction count as wrong. Then run:
|
| 79 |
+
|
| 80 |
+
```
|
| 81 |
+
python score.py predictions.jsonl
|
| 82 |
+
```
|
| 83 |
+
|
| 84 |
+
To get predictions from a Hugging Face chat model:
|
| 85 |
+
|
| 86 |
+
```
|
| 87 |
+
pip install torch transformers accelerate
|
| 88 |
+
python predict_letters.py --model google/gemma-4-31B-it --out predictions.jsonl
|
| 89 |
+
python score.py predictions.jsonl
|
| 90 |
+
```
|
| 91 |
+
|
| 92 |
+
`predict_letters.py` shows each item as a multiple-choice prompt with lettered options, runs the model once and reads
|
| 93 |
+
the probabilities of the option letters. `--temperatures` divides the letter logits by one temperature per question
|
| 94 |
+
type (choice, yes/no, score). Fit temperatures on your own data, never on OpenDecisions.
|
| 95 |
+
|
| 96 |
+
As a check of your setup: google/gemma-4-31B-it scores 72.3 without temperatures and 79.3 with
|
| 97 |
+
`--temperatures 5.96,7.2444,7.2444` (the temperatures we fitted on separate data). Our paper reports 79.6 for the same
|
| 98 |
+
model; there we ran many items per batch, which changes the top answer on 0.6% of items.
|
| 99 |
+
|
| 100 |
+
## Format
|
| 101 |
+
|
| 102 |
+
One JSON object per line, in JevBench's task format. A short example:
|
| 103 |
+
|
| 104 |
+
```json
|
| 105 |
+
{"id": "jb16-usecase-842d6d23b1", "family": "usecase", "tier": "easy", "language": "en",
|
| 106 |
+
"state": "CRM note, 2025-03-04, account Hillcrest Bakeries\nCall with Dana (purchasing). They open two new shops in May and asked us to double their weekly flour order from the first week of May onward.",
|
| 107 |
+
"question": {"type": "choice",
|
| 108 |
+
"instructions": "What does this note say about Hillcrest's flour orders from May?",
|
| 109 |
+
"criteria": {"lower_volume": "Hillcrest will order less flour than now.",
|
| 110 |
+
"same_volume": "Hillcrest will keep ordering about the same amount.",
|
| 111 |
+
"higher_volume": "Hillcrest will order more flour than now.",
|
| 112 |
+
"not_mentioned": "The note says nothing about future order volume."}},
|
| 113 |
+
"labels": ["lower_volume", "same_volume", "higher_volume", "not_mentioned"],
|
| 114 |
+
"expected": "higher_volume"}
|
| 115 |
+
```
|
| 116 |
+
|
| 117 |
+
| Field | Content |
|
| 118 |
+
|---|---|
|
| 119 |
+
| `state` | the input: text or a JSON object |
|
| 120 |
+
| `question` | `type` (`choice`, `noul` = yes/no, `score`), `instructions`, and `criteria`: one description per option (choice), the meaning of `true` and `false` (yes/no), or the ordered levels (score) |
|
| 121 |
+
| `labels`, `expected` | the option ids and the correct one; yes/no items use `no` / `yes`; score items give the correct level as an index from 0 |
|
| 122 |
+
| `family`, `tier`, `language`, `use_case`, `topic` | what kind of item it is |
|
| 123 |
+
| `group` | items that belong together (pairs that differ in one detail, the same item with reordered options); empty otherwise |
|
| 124 |
+
| `label_source` | `programmatic`, `author+panel` or `panel` (see below) |
|
| 125 |
+
| `panel` | the answers of the three labeler models and their mean probability per option |
|
| 126 |
+
| `provenance` | origin and licence of the item, and the reason for its label |
|
| 127 |
+
| `jb16` | build details (generator, batch, prompt source) |
|
| 128 |
+
|
| 129 |
+
Item IDs (`jb16-...`) and the `jb16` field keep the set's working name from when it was built.
|
| 130 |
+
|
| 131 |
+
## Item families
|
| 132 |
+
|
| 133 |
+
| Family | Items | What it tests |
|
| 134 |
+
|---|---:|---|
|
| 135 |
+
| llm_router | 694 | routing requests: task type, needed capability, model choice, difficulty |
|
| 136 |
+
| multilingual | 422 | decisions on inputs in 21 languages other than English, or mixed |
|
| 137 |
+
| fairness | 236 | variants that change only a protected attribute; the answer must stay the same |
|
| 138 |
+
| usecase | 213 | everyday business decisions (support, compliance, extraction, and similar) |
|
| 139 |
+
| jaggedness | 162 | easy-looking questions where models fail unevenly: counting, decimals vs. version numbers, dates, small sums |
|
| 140 |
+
| negation_pair_gen | 160 | pairs whose answer flips because one fact or the question is negated |
|
| 141 |
+
| option_order | 120 | the same item with its options reordered |
|
| 142 |
+
| perturb_pair | 110 | pairs that change only an irrelevant detail; the answer must stay the same |
|
| 143 |
+
| composite_gen | 106 | policies with 2 to 5 rules that need small computations |
|
| 144 |
+
| calibration_gen, calibration | 129 | the state fixes the answer distribution exactly (rates among past cases, dice, cards, draws) |
|
| 145 |
+
|
| 146 |
+
## How the labels were made
|
| 147 |
+
|
| 148 |
+
- **Computed (599 items).** Written by seeded generators; the label is computed, so it is exact.
|
| 149 |
+
- **Authored (1,443 items).** Written by LLM agents (Claude Opus) from fixed briefs, with a label and a rationale.
|
| 150 |
+
Kept only if a panel of three open models (Qwen3.8-27B, gpt-oss-120b, GLM-4.7-Flash) agreed with the label: all
|
| 151 |
+
three, or two of three with a mean probability of at least 0.5 on the label.
|
| 152 |
+
- **Real requests (310 items).** User prompts from public datasets (Chatbot Arena 55k 288, Dolly 17, GSM8K 4,
|
| 153 |
+
MATH-500 1), each paired with a routing question. The label is the panel's answer, kept only when all three agree.
|
| 154 |
+
- Items that belong together are kept only if every member passes.
|
| 155 |
+
- Every candidate was compared with our model training data and with the 231 public JevBench items; 43 of 3,297
|
| 156 |
+
candidates were dropped for overlap. About 60 items were also read by hand.
|
| 157 |
+
|
| 158 |
+
## Scoring
|
| 159 |
+
|
| 160 |
+
`score.py` computes Capability, the mean of Intelligence and Calibration, as JevBench v1.6 defines them, with one
|
| 161 |
+
change for yes/no questions.
|
| 162 |
+
|
| 163 |
+
- Intelligence: accuracy corrected for chance, per question type and difficulty tier (tier weights: easy 0.1,
|
| 164 |
+
standard 0.2, judge 0.3, hard 0.4; the three question types weigh equally).
|
| 165 |
+
- Calibration: an expected-calibration-error score per question type.
|
| 166 |
+
- Yes/no answers: "yes" if P(yes) is at least 0.5, otherwise "no".
|
| 167 |
+
|
| 168 |
+
Note: JevBench v1.6 counts a yes/no answer with P(yes) between 0.2 and 0.8 as an abstention, which is scored as
|
| 169 |
+
wrong. OpenDecisions drops this rule. The exact definitions are in the docstring of `score.py`.
|
| 170 |
+
|
| 171 |
+
We ran 17 public systems the way their authors serve them and scored them with JevBench v1.6's own rule. For the 14
|
| 172 |
+
with an official Capability of 55 or more, OpenDecisions ranks them close to the official JevBench v1.6.1 board
|
| 173 |
+
(Spearman correlation 0.90). For systems not used while the set was built, the official score is predicted to within
|
| 174 |
+
3.0 points (root mean squared error).
|
| 175 |
+
|
| 176 |
+
## Limitations
|
| 177 |
+
|
| 178 |
+
- Authored items may differ in style from real requests, and some labels may be wrong. 71 items are answered wrongly by every strong public system we ran; some of them may have wrong labels, others are simply hard.
|
| 179 |
+
- Compared with JevBench v1.6, our easy and standard tiers are easier and our hard tier is harder.
|
| 180 |
+
- Non-English items were written natively by the agents but not checked by native speakers.
|
| 181 |
+
- 78% of the items are English.
|
| 182 |
+
- All inputs are short (at most about 10,000 characters), so the set does not test long inputs. We removed 37 very
|
| 183 |
+
long items (about 80,000 tokens each) before release, because most decision models, ours included, refuse inputs above
|
| 184 |
+
8,192 tokens.
|
| 185 |
+
|
| 186 |
+
## Licence
|
| 187 |
+
|
| 188 |
+
CC BY-SA 4.0. Items built from real requests keep the terms of their source (Chatbot Arena 55k: Apache-2.0; Dolly:
|
| 189 |
+
CC BY-SA 3.0; GSM8K and MATH-500: MIT); each item names its source and licence in `provenance`. The code (`score.py`,
|
| 190 |
+
`predict_letters.py`) is under the MIT License. This dataset is not
|
| 191 |
+
affiliated with TypeSafe or Benchmark Heaven.
|
opendecisions.jsonl
ADDED
|
The diff for this file is too large to render.
See raw diff
|
|
|
predict_letters.py
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,110 @@
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
"""Zero-shot letter readout of a Hugging Face chat model on OpenDecisions; writes predictions for score.py.
|
| 2 |
+
|
| 3 |
+
pip install torch transformers accelerate
|
| 4 |
+
python predict_letters.py --model google/gemma-4-31B-it --out predictions.jsonl
|
| 5 |
+
python predict_letters.py --model google/gemma-4-31B-it --out predictions.jsonl --temperatures 5.96,7.24,7.24
|
| 6 |
+
python score.py predictions.jsonl
|
| 7 |
+
|
| 8 |
+
Each item becomes a multiple-choice prompt with lettered options (the prompt of SemIf, github.com/TheoLeeCJ/SemIf):
|
| 9 |
+
a fixed system message and a JSON user message {"evidence": state, "criterion": question, "options": [{"letter",
|
| 10 |
+
"description"}]}, rendered with the model's chat template with thinking disabled. One forward pass gives the
|
| 11 |
+
next-token logits of the option letters A, B, C, ...; a softmax over the item's K letters gives the probabilities.
|
| 12 |
+
Option descriptions are "<id>: <text>"; yes/no questions have the options "true" (listed first) and "false"; score
|
| 13 |
+
levels are listed from lowest to highest. This is how JevBench's semif_direct adapter maps a question
|
| 14 |
+
(github.com/fstandhartinger/jevbench, MIT).
|
| 15 |
+
|
| 16 |
+
--temperatures choice,yesno,score divides the letter logits by one temperature per question type (default 1, 1, 1).
|
| 17 |
+
Our paper fits them by NLL on separate data, never below 1 (for example 5.96, 7.24, 7.24 for Gemma 4 31B).
|
| 18 |
+
Items above --max-tokens prompt tokens (default 8192) are skipped and count as wrong in score.py. MIT License.
|
| 19 |
+
"""
|
| 20 |
+
from __future__ import annotations
|
| 21 |
+
|
| 22 |
+
import argparse
|
| 23 |
+
import json
|
| 24 |
+
from pathlib import Path
|
| 25 |
+
|
| 26 |
+
SYSTEM = ("Apply the supplied criterion to the supplied evidence. Choose exactly one listed option. "
|
| 27 |
+
"Respond with only its uppercase letter, with no explanation or reasoning.")
|
| 28 |
+
LETTERS = "ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOP"
|
| 29 |
+
|
| 30 |
+
|
| 31 |
+
def options(question: dict) -> list[dict]:
|
| 32 |
+
"""Option ids and descriptions of one question, in prompt order."""
|
| 33 |
+
qtype, criteria = question["type"], question["criteria"]
|
| 34 |
+
if qtype == "noul":
|
| 35 |
+
opts = [(key, criteria.get(key, f"The proposition is {key}.")) for key in ("true", "false")]
|
| 36 |
+
elif qtype == "choice" and isinstance(criteria, dict):
|
| 37 |
+
opts = [(key, text or key) for key, text in criteria.items()]
|
| 38 |
+
elif qtype == "choice": # a bare list of option ids
|
| 39 |
+
opts = [(str(key), str(key)) for key in criteria]
|
| 40 |
+
else:
|
| 41 |
+
opts = [(str(i), text) for i, text in enumerate(criteria)]
|
| 42 |
+
return [{"id": key, "description": f"{key}: {text}"} for key, text in opts]
|
| 43 |
+
|
| 44 |
+
|
| 45 |
+
def messages(item: dict) -> tuple[list[dict], list[str]]:
|
| 46 |
+
opts = options(item["question"])
|
| 47 |
+
if len(opts) > len(LETTERS):
|
| 48 |
+
raise ValueError(f"{item['id']}: more than {len(LETTERS)} options")
|
| 49 |
+
payload = {"evidence": item["state"], "criterion": item["question"]["instructions"],
|
| 50 |
+
"options": [{"letter": LETTERS[i], "description": o["description"]} for i, o in enumerate(opts)]}
|
| 51 |
+
return ([{"role": "system", "content": SYSTEM}, {"role": "user", "content": json.dumps(payload, ensure_ascii=False)}],
|
| 52 |
+
[o["id"] for o in opts])
|
| 53 |
+
|
| 54 |
+
|
| 55 |
+
def letter_ids(tokenizer) -> list[int]:
|
| 56 |
+
ids = []
|
| 57 |
+
for letter in LETTERS:
|
| 58 |
+
encoded = tokenizer.encode(letter, add_special_tokens=False)
|
| 59 |
+
if len(encoded) != 1 or tokenizer.decode(encoded) != letter:
|
| 60 |
+
raise ValueError(f"the letter {letter!r} is not a single token for this tokenizer")
|
| 61 |
+
ids.append(encoded[0])
|
| 62 |
+
return ids
|
| 63 |
+
|
| 64 |
+
|
| 65 |
+
def main() -> None:
|
| 66 |
+
import torch
|
| 67 |
+
from transformers import AutoModelForCausalLM, AutoTokenizer
|
| 68 |
+
|
| 69 |
+
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__, formatter_class=argparse.RawDescriptionHelpFormatter)
|
| 70 |
+
parser.add_argument("--model", required=True)
|
| 71 |
+
parser.add_argument("--revision", default=None)
|
| 72 |
+
parser.add_argument("--out", required=True)
|
| 73 |
+
parser.add_argument("--data", default=str(Path(__file__).resolve().parent / "opendecisions.jsonl"))
|
| 74 |
+
parser.add_argument("--temperatures", default="1,1,1", help="choice,yesno,score")
|
| 75 |
+
parser.add_argument("--max-tokens", type=int, default=8192)
|
| 76 |
+
parser.add_argument("--limit", type=int, default=None, help="only the first N items (for a quick test)")
|
| 77 |
+
args = parser.parse_args()
|
| 78 |
+
temps = dict(zip(("choice", "noul", "score"), (float(x) for x in args.temperatures.split(","))))
|
| 79 |
+
|
| 80 |
+
torch.backends.cuda.enable_cudnn_sdp(False) # as in all our evaluations
|
| 81 |
+
tokenizer = AutoTokenizer.from_pretrained(args.model, revision=args.revision)
|
| 82 |
+
model = AutoModelForCausalLM.from_pretrained(args.model, revision=args.revision, dtype=torch.bfloat16,
|
| 83 |
+
device_map="auto").eval()
|
| 84 |
+
letters = letter_ids(tokenizer)
|
| 85 |
+
with open(args.data, encoding="utf-8") as f:
|
| 86 |
+
items = [json.loads(line) for line in f if line.strip()][:args.limit]
|
| 87 |
+
written = skipped = 0
|
| 88 |
+
with open(args.out, "w", encoding="utf-8") as out:
|
| 89 |
+
for item in items:
|
| 90 |
+
msgs, ids = messages(item)
|
| 91 |
+
prompt = tokenizer.apply_chat_template(msgs, tokenize=False, add_generation_prompt=True, enable_thinking=False)
|
| 92 |
+
tokens = tokenizer.encode(prompt, add_special_tokens=False)
|
| 93 |
+
if len(tokens) > args.max_tokens:
|
| 94 |
+
skipped += 1
|
| 95 |
+
continue
|
| 96 |
+
with torch.inference_mode():
|
| 97 |
+
logits = model(input_ids=torch.tensor([tokens], device=model.device), use_cache=False,
|
| 98 |
+
logits_to_keep=1).logits[0, -1].float()
|
| 99 |
+
qtype = item["question"]["type"]
|
| 100 |
+
probs = torch.softmax(logits[letters[:len(ids)]] / temps[qtype], dim=-1).tolist()
|
| 101 |
+
by_id = dict(zip(ids, probs))
|
| 102 |
+
if qtype == "noul":
|
| 103 |
+
by_id = {"yes": by_id["true"], "no": by_id["false"]}
|
| 104 |
+
out.write(json.dumps({"id": item["id"], "probs": by_id}) + "\n")
|
| 105 |
+
written += 1
|
| 106 |
+
print(f"wrote {written} predictions to {args.out}; skipped {skipped} items above {args.max_tokens} tokens")
|
| 107 |
+
|
| 108 |
+
|
| 109 |
+
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
| 110 |
+
main()
|
score.py
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,218 @@
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
"""Score a model's predictions on OpenDecisions: Intelligence, Calibration and Capability.
|
| 2 |
+
|
| 3 |
+
python score.py predictions.jsonl # data file: opendecisions.jsonl next to this script
|
| 4 |
+
python score.py predictions.jsonl --data path/to/opendecisions.jsonl --json
|
| 5 |
+
|
| 6 |
+
predictions.jsonl has one line per item: {"id": "<item id>", "probs": {"<label>": probability, ...}}
|
| 7 |
+
choice one probability per id in the item's "labels"
|
| 8 |
+
yes/no {"yes": p, "no": 1 - p} (or only {"yes": p})
|
| 9 |
+
score one probability per level "0", "1", ... (the item's "labels")
|
| 10 |
+
Probabilities are used as given and must sum to 1 over the item's labels (within 0.01, so rounded outputs are fine).
|
| 11 |
+
An item without a prediction counts as wrong (this is how we count inputs that are too long for a model).
|
| 12 |
+
|
| 13 |
+
The metric is JevBench v1.6's Capability, with one change: a yes/no answer counts as "yes" when P(yes) >= 0.5 and
|
| 14 |
+
as "no" otherwise. JevBench v1.6 instead counts an answer with 0.2 < P(yes) < 0.8 as an abstention (wrong).
|
| 15 |
+
|
| 16 |
+
Capability = (Intelligence + Calibration) / 2
|
| 17 |
+
Intelligence = mean over the three question types of a tier-weighted, chance-corrected competence
|
| 18 |
+
(tier weights easy 0.1, standard 0.2, judge 0.3, hard 0.4; each type's value clipped at 0),
|
| 19 |
+
clipped to [0, 100]
|
| 20 |
+
choice: 100 (acc - c) / (1 - c), c = mean of 1 / (number of options)
|
| 21 |
+
yes/no: 100 (acc - 0.5) / 0.5
|
| 22 |
+
score: 100 (1 - mean nMAE / mean nMAE of the mid-scale guess), nMAE = |E[level] - gold| / (K - 1)
|
| 23 |
+
Calibration = mean over the three types of
|
| 24 |
+
choice: 100 (1 - ECE / 0.5), top-label ECE on hard-tier items
|
| 25 |
+
yes/no: 100 (1 - ECE / 0.5), ECE of P(yes)
|
| 26 |
+
score: mean of 100 (1 - top-level ECE / 0.5) and 100 (1 - mean nRPS)
|
| 27 |
+
(ECE: 10 equal-width bins; each ECE term clipped at 0; only items with a prediction)
|
| 28 |
+
|
| 29 |
+
This file reimplements the JevBench v1.6 scorer from its published method and reproduces the published v1.6.1
|
| 30 |
+
results; JevBench's own v1.6 scorer is not public. MIT License.
|
| 31 |
+
"""
|
| 32 |
+
from __future__ import annotations
|
| 33 |
+
|
| 34 |
+
import argparse
|
| 35 |
+
import json
|
| 36 |
+
import math
|
| 37 |
+
from collections import defaultdict
|
| 38 |
+
from pathlib import Path
|
| 39 |
+
|
| 40 |
+
TIER_WEIGHTS = {"easy": 0.1, "standard": 0.2, "judge": 0.3, "hard": 0.4}
|
| 41 |
+
TYPES = ("choice", "noul", "score")
|
| 42 |
+
|
| 43 |
+
|
| 44 |
+
# ------------------------------------------------------------------ per item
|
| 45 |
+
|
| 46 |
+
def ece(pairs: list[tuple[float, float]], bins: int = 10) -> float | None:
|
| 47 |
+
"""Expected calibration error of (forecast, outcome) pairs; equal-width bins, empty bins absent."""
|
| 48 |
+
if not pairs:
|
| 49 |
+
return None
|
| 50 |
+
sums = defaultdict(lambda: [0, 0.0, 0.0])
|
| 51 |
+
for p, y in pairs:
|
| 52 |
+
p = min(max(float(p), 0.0), 1.0)
|
| 53 |
+
b = sums[min(int(p * bins), bins - 1)]
|
| 54 |
+
b[0] += 1
|
| 55 |
+
b[1] += p
|
| 56 |
+
b[2] += float(y)
|
| 57 |
+
return sum(n / len(pairs) * abs(o / n - f / n) for n, f, o in sums.values())
|
| 58 |
+
|
| 59 |
+
|
| 60 |
+
def nrps(probs: list[float], gold: int) -> float:
|
| 61 |
+
"""Normalized ranked probability score (0 is perfect)."""
|
| 62 |
+
k, cum, total = len(probs), 0.0, 0.0
|
| 63 |
+
for level in range(k - 1):
|
| 64 |
+
cum += probs[level]
|
| 65 |
+
total += (cum - (1.0 if gold <= level else 0.0)) ** 2
|
| 66 |
+
return total / (k - 1)
|
| 67 |
+
|
| 68 |
+
|
| 69 |
+
def item_outcome(task: dict, probs: dict | None) -> dict:
|
| 70 |
+
"""Outcome of one item; probs is None for a missing prediction (wrong, no forecast)."""
|
| 71 |
+
qtype, labels = task["question"]["type"], task["labels"]
|
| 72 |
+
out = {"id": task["id"], "type": qtype, "tier": task["tier"], "k": len(labels), "valid": probs is not None}
|
| 73 |
+
if qtype == "choice":
|
| 74 |
+
out["chance"] = 1.0 / len(labels)
|
| 75 |
+
if probs is None:
|
| 76 |
+
out.update(correct=False, conf=None)
|
| 77 |
+
else:
|
| 78 |
+
best = max(sorted(labels), key=lambda lab: probs[lab]) # ties: the smallest label
|
| 79 |
+
out.update(correct=best == task["expected"], conf=probs[best])
|
| 80 |
+
elif qtype == "noul":
|
| 81 |
+
y = 1.0 if task["expected"] == "yes" else 0.0
|
| 82 |
+
if probs is None:
|
| 83 |
+
out.update(correct=False, p_yes=None, y=y)
|
| 84 |
+
else:
|
| 85 |
+
p = probs["yes"]
|
| 86 |
+
out.update(correct=(p >= 0.5) == (y == 1.0), p_yes=p, y=y) # the more likely side; no abstention
|
| 87 |
+
else:
|
| 88 |
+
k, gold = len(labels), int(task["expected"])
|
| 89 |
+
out["nmae_chance"] = sum(abs(level - gold) for level in range(k)) / k / (k - 1) # random level
|
| 90 |
+
out["nmae_chance_mid"] = abs((k - 1) / 2 - gold) / (k - 1) # mid-scale guess
|
| 91 |
+
if probs is None:
|
| 92 |
+
out.update(nmae=max(gold, k - 1 - gold) / (k - 1), conf=None, correct=False) # the worst level
|
| 93 |
+
else:
|
| 94 |
+
vector = [probs[str(level)] for level in range(k)]
|
| 95 |
+
ev = sum(level * p for level, p in enumerate(vector))
|
| 96 |
+
best = max(range(k), key=lambda level: (vector[level], -level))
|
| 97 |
+
out.update(nmae=abs(ev - gold) / (k - 1), conf=vector[best], correct=best == gold, nrps=nrps(vector, gold))
|
| 98 |
+
return out
|
| 99 |
+
|
| 100 |
+
|
| 101 |
+
# ------------------------------------------------------------------ aggregation
|
| 102 |
+
|
| 103 |
+
def _weighted(values: dict, weights: dict) -> float | None:
|
| 104 |
+
present = {k: v for k, v in values.items() if v is not None}
|
| 105 |
+
total = sum(weights[k] for k in present)
|
| 106 |
+
return sum(weights[k] * v for k, v in present.items()) / total if total else None
|
| 107 |
+
|
| 108 |
+
|
| 109 |
+
def _mean(values: list[float]) -> float:
|
| 110 |
+
return sum(values) / len(values)
|
| 111 |
+
|
| 112 |
+
|
| 113 |
+
def competence(outs: list[dict]) -> float | None:
|
| 114 |
+
"""Chance-corrected competence of items of one type and tier (0 = chance, 100 = perfect)."""
|
| 115 |
+
if not outs:
|
| 116 |
+
return None
|
| 117 |
+
qtype = outs[0]["type"]
|
| 118 |
+
if qtype == "choice":
|
| 119 |
+
acc, chance = _mean([o["correct"] for o in outs]), _mean([o["chance"] for o in outs])
|
| 120 |
+
return 100 * (acc - chance) / (1 - chance)
|
| 121 |
+
if qtype == "noul":
|
| 122 |
+
return 100 * (_mean([o["correct"] for o in outs]) - 0.5) / 0.5
|
| 123 |
+
chance = _mean([o["nmae_chance_mid"] for o in outs])
|
| 124 |
+
if chance <= 0: # every gold at mid-scale: the random-level baseline
|
| 125 |
+
chance = _mean([o["nmae_chance"] for o in outs])
|
| 126 |
+
return 100 * (1 - _mean([o["nmae"] for o in outs]) / chance)
|
| 127 |
+
|
| 128 |
+
|
| 129 |
+
def intelligence(outs: list[dict]) -> tuple[float | None, dict]:
|
| 130 |
+
per_type = {}
|
| 131 |
+
for qtype in TYPES:
|
| 132 |
+
tiers = {t: competence([o for o in outs if o["type"] == qtype and o["tier"] == t]) for t in TIER_WEIGHTS}
|
| 133 |
+
cc = _weighted(tiers, TIER_WEIGHTS)
|
| 134 |
+
per_type[qtype] = None if cc is None else max(0.0, cc)
|
| 135 |
+
total = _weighted(per_type, {t: 1 / 3 for t in TYPES})
|
| 136 |
+
return (None if total is None else min(100.0, max(0.0, total))), per_type
|
| 137 |
+
|
| 138 |
+
|
| 139 |
+
def _ece_score(e: float | None) -> float | None:
|
| 140 |
+
return None if e is None else max(0.0, 100 * (1 - e / 0.5))
|
| 141 |
+
|
| 142 |
+
|
| 143 |
+
def calibration(outs: list[dict]) -> tuple[float | None, dict]:
|
| 144 |
+
parts = {}
|
| 145 |
+
choice = [o for o in outs if o["type"] == "choice" and o["valid"]]
|
| 146 |
+
if choice:
|
| 147 |
+
parts["choice"] = _ece_score(ece([(o["conf"], float(o["correct"])) for o in choice if o["tier"] == "hard"]))
|
| 148 |
+
noul = [o for o in outs if o["type"] == "noul" and o["valid"]]
|
| 149 |
+
if noul:
|
| 150 |
+
parts["noul"] = _ece_score(ece([(o["p_yes"], o["y"]) for o in noul]))
|
| 151 |
+
score = [o for o in outs if o["type"] == "score" and o["valid"]]
|
| 152 |
+
if score:
|
| 153 |
+
top = _ece_score(ece([(o["conf"], float(o["correct"])) for o in score]))
|
| 154 |
+
parts["score"] = (top + 100 * (1 - _mean([o["nrps"] for o in score]))) / 2
|
| 155 |
+
return _weighted(parts, {t: 1 / 3 for t in TYPES}), parts
|
| 156 |
+
|
| 157 |
+
|
| 158 |
+
def summary(outs: list[dict]) -> dict:
|
| 159 |
+
i, cc = intelligence(outs)
|
| 160 |
+
c, cal = calibration(outs)
|
| 161 |
+
accuracy = {t: _mean([o["correct"] for o in outs if o["type"] == t]) * 100 for t in TYPES
|
| 162 |
+
if any(o["type"] == t for o in outs)}
|
| 163 |
+
return {"capability": None if i is None or c is None else (i + c) / 2, "intelligence": i, "calibration": c,
|
| 164 |
+
"competence_per_type": cc, "calibration_per_type": cal, "accuracy_per_type": accuracy,
|
| 165 |
+
"items": len(outs), "predicted": sum(o["valid"] for o in outs)}
|
| 166 |
+
|
| 167 |
+
|
| 168 |
+
# ------------------------------------------------------------------ input
|
| 169 |
+
|
| 170 |
+
def normalized(task: dict, probs: dict) -> dict:
|
| 171 |
+
labels = task["labels"]
|
| 172 |
+
if task["question"]["type"] == "noul" and "no" not in probs:
|
| 173 |
+
probs = {"yes": probs["yes"], "no": 1.0 - probs["yes"]}
|
| 174 |
+
values = {lab: float(probs.get(lab, 0.0)) for lab in labels}
|
| 175 |
+
if any(not math.isfinite(v) or v < 0 for v in values.values()):
|
| 176 |
+
raise ValueError(f"{task['id']}: probabilities must be finite and non-negative")
|
| 177 |
+
if abs(sum(values.values()) - 1.0) > 0.01:
|
| 178 |
+
raise ValueError(f"{task['id']}: probabilities over the labels {labels} sum to {sum(values.values()):.4f}, not 1")
|
| 179 |
+
return values
|
| 180 |
+
|
| 181 |
+
|
| 182 |
+
def score(tasks: list[dict], predictions: list[dict]) -> dict:
|
| 183 |
+
by_id = {t["id"]: t for t in tasks}
|
| 184 |
+
probs = {}
|
| 185 |
+
for p in predictions:
|
| 186 |
+
if p["id"] not in by_id:
|
| 187 |
+
raise ValueError(f"unknown item id {p['id']!r}")
|
| 188 |
+
if p["id"] in probs:
|
| 189 |
+
raise ValueError(f"item {p['id']!r} predicted twice")
|
| 190 |
+
probs[p["id"]] = normalized(by_id[p["id"]], p["probs"])
|
| 191 |
+
return summary([item_outcome(t, probs.get(t["id"])) for t in tasks])
|
| 192 |
+
|
| 193 |
+
|
| 194 |
+
def read_jsonl(path) -> list[dict]:
|
| 195 |
+
with open(path, encoding="utf-8") as f:
|
| 196 |
+
return [json.loads(line) for line in f if line.strip()]
|
| 197 |
+
|
| 198 |
+
|
| 199 |
+
def main() -> None:
|
| 200 |
+
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__, formatter_class=argparse.RawDescriptionHelpFormatter)
|
| 201 |
+
parser.add_argument("predictions")
|
| 202 |
+
parser.add_argument("--data", default=str(Path(__file__).resolve().parent / "opendecisions.jsonl"))
|
| 203 |
+
parser.add_argument("--json", action="store_true", help="print the full result as JSON")
|
| 204 |
+
args = parser.parse_args()
|
| 205 |
+
result = score(read_jsonl(args.data), read_jsonl(args.predictions))
|
| 206 |
+
if args.json:
|
| 207 |
+
print(json.dumps(result, indent=1))
|
| 208 |
+
return
|
| 209 |
+
print(f"Capability {result['capability']:.1f} (Intelligence {result['intelligence']:.1f}, "
|
| 210 |
+
f"Calibration {result['calibration']:.1f}); {result['predicted']} of {result['items']} items predicted")
|
| 211 |
+
for t in TYPES:
|
| 212 |
+
if t in result["accuracy_per_type"]:
|
| 213 |
+
print(f" {t:7s} accuracy {result['accuracy_per_type'][t]:5.1f}% competence "
|
| 214 |
+
f"{result['competence_per_type'][t]:5.1f} calibration {result['calibration_per_type'][t]:5.1f}")
|
| 215 |
+
|
| 216 |
+
|
| 217 |
+
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
| 218 |
+
main()
|