{ "experiment": "1A_1B", "model": "qwen2.5vl:3b", "decode_seeds": { "core_preregistered": [ 155921, 155922, 155923, 155924, 155925, 155926, 155927, 155928, 155929, 155930, 155931, 155932, 155933, 155934, 155935, 155936, 155937, 155938, 155939, 155940, 155941, 155942, 155943, 155944, 155945, 155946, 155947, 155948, 155949, 155950 ], "cross_domain_extension": [ 155921, 155922, 155923, 155924, 155925, 155926, 155927, 155928, 155929, 155930, 155931, 155932, 155933, 155934, 155935, 155936, 155937, 155938, 155939, 155940 ] }, "unique_semantic_cases": 18, "decode_replicates_per_case": { "core_preregistered": 30, "cross_domain_extension": 20 }, "total_decoding_events": 390, "preregistered_failure_bounds": { "typed_absolute_error_reduction_min": 0.1, "typed_relative_error_reduction_min": 0.25, "execution_conformance_required": 1.0 }, "group_1_direct_nl": { "severe_semantic_errors": 299, "severe_semantic_error_rate": 0.7666666666666667 }, "group_2_typed_ir": { "compilation_failures": 0, "severe_semantic_errors": 0, "severe_semantic_error_rate": 0.0, "field_precision": 1.0, "required_field_recall": 1.0, "field_f1_score": 1.0, "field_corruption_rate": 0.0, "causal_inversions": 0, "causal_inversion_rate": 0.0, "provenance_hallucinations": 0, "provenance_hallucination_rate": 0.0 }, "confusion_matrix": { "rows": [ "Group_1_direct_NL", "Group_2_typed_IR" ], "columns": [ "semantically_correct", "severe_semantic_error" ], "values": [ [ 91, 299 ], [ 390, 0 ] ] }, "case_breakdown": { "A_causal_direction": { "group_1_errors": 7, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 }, "B_time_and_lag": { "group_1_errors": 30, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 }, "C_indirect_injection": { "group_1_errors": 30, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 }, "D_quant_vwap_reversal": { "group_1_errors": 20, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 }, "E_adtech_delayed_postback": { "group_1_errors": 20, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 }, "F_medical_drug_interaction": { "group_1_errors": 20, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 }, "G_industrial_sensor_drift": { "group_1_errors": 20, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 }, "H_supply_chokepoint": { "group_1_errors": 19, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 }, "I_security_credential_stuffing": { "group_1_errors": 15, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 }, "J_energy_temperature_spike": { "group_1_errors": 20, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 }, "K_manufacturing_tool_wear": { "group_1_errors": 0, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 }, "L_credit_macro_shock": { "group_1_errors": 20, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 }, "M_logistics_port_congestion": { "group_1_errors": 20, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 }, "N_agriculture_rainfall_deficit": { "group_1_errors": 18, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 }, "O_recommender_position_bias": { "group_1_errors": 20, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 }, "P_telecom_network_congestion": { "group_1_errors": 0, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 }, "Q_education_proctoring_latency": { "group_1_errors": 20, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 }, "R_insurance_reporting_delay": { "group_1_errors": 0, "group_2_errors": 0, "compile_failures": 0 } }, "cohort_breakdown": { "core_preregistered": { "unique_cases": 3, "events": 90, "group_1_errors": 67, "group_2_errors": 0 }, "cross_domain_extension": { "unique_cases": 15, "events": 300, "group_1_errors": 232, "group_2_errors": 0 } }, "engineering_advantage_redline": { "absolute_error_reduction": 0.7666666666666667, "relative_error_reduction": 1.0, "passed": true }, "execution_conformance_1b": { "semantic_hash_matches": 390, "semantic_hash_match_rate": 1.0, "envelope_hash_matches": 390, "envelope_hash_match_rate": 1.0, "execution_vector_matches": 390, "conditional_conformance_rate": 1.0, "passed": true }, "experiment_passed": true }